TRENDS IN COMMUNIST PROPAGANDA

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CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8
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RIPPUB
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C
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35
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November 11, 2016
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March 18, 1999
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23
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Publication Date: 
May 21, 1975
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REPORT
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ns~ on,~rn mun'ist Pr~pagan~a Approved For Release 1999/09/26: CIA-RDP86T00608R0002wdbntw [rBiS TRENDS In Communist Propaganda Confidential 21 MAY 1975 VOI ~~vvI NO. 20) Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R0002 01 Y00z3'~ CONFIDENTIAL, Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 This propaganda analysis report Is based exclusively on material carried in foreign broadcast and press medin. It is published by FBIS without coordination with other U.S. Covctnment components. Classified by o0Qtt73 subject to 04~01 D.elauiHcatt.n S(hI t. Of 1.0. 11637, Automatically Daleulli.d Twe Years trans Data of Icw. Matl.n.a Security information Un.uth.riI.d dleclewro subject te critmin.t .emctiM. Approved For Release I 999/ FIl IR?E86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release I 999/0&/ rplQLRDP86T000Q$ tQ 0170023-8 21 MAY 1975 CONTENTS Hanoi Unveils Communist Party Leadership in South Vietnam . . . . . 1 DRV, PRG Lzadors Speak at Rallies Marking Victory, Ho's Birth . . . 4 CAMBODIA Phnom Penh, Communist Allies Defend Mayaguez Ship Seizure . . . . . 7 U.S.-SOVIET RELATIONS Soviet Media Play Down Gromyko's Criticism of Kissinger . . . . . . 10 WARSAW PACT Pact 20th Anniversary Marked by Low-Key observance . . . . . . . . 11 MIDDLE EAST Kosygin Visits Continue USSR Mideast Diplomatic Momentum . . . . . 14 PRC FOREIGN RELY%ONS Peking Raps Both Superpowers on Anniversary of Mao Statement . . . 18 PRC-TAIWAN Peking Increases Invective Against Kuomintang Leaders . . . . . . . 19 CHINA Campaign Pushes Communist Ideas To Replace Bourgeois Rights . . . . 21 YUGOSLAVIA Belgrade Rebukes Austria on Anniversary of State Treaty . . . . . . 24 CUBA Havana Ignores, Moscow Approves OAS Move To Lift Sanctions . . . . 26 NOTES Hungarian Premier Change; PRAVDA on Japanese Socialists; New Burmese CP Chairman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 ' Moscow, Peking Broadcast Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/DrtTikDP86T001?$ 10170023-8 V I E T N A M The Vietnamese communists' formal celebration of their victory in South Vietnam was marked by the unprecedented visit to Saigon of a high-level party and state delegation from Hanoi and the surfacing of the top Vietnam Workers Party (VWP) leaders responsible for South Vietnam. The highlight of the emergence of the communist party organization in the South was the appear- ance in Saigon of Pham Hung, a VWP Political Bureau member whose activities have not been publ~,cly reported since he became chief of the party organization in the South eight years ago--a position which the media only now acknowledge. The lenders of the PRG, Nguyen Huu Tho and Huynh Tan Phat, also made their first postwar public appearance on the occasion of the arrival in Saigon of the North Vietnamese delegation which included DRV President Tong Duc Thang and Political Bureau members Le Duc Tho, Le Thanh Nghi, and Van Tien Dung. Communist media reports on the lineup of officials at arrival ceremonies and at festivities in Saigon clearly reflected the party's dominant position, however, listing party leaders ahead of the PRG officials. The role of the PRG as the international representative for South Vietnam has been consistently maintained by Vietnamese media, but there has been no r:mparable evidence in the postwar period indicating an active role for the PRG domestically. The communists' celebration of their takeover in the South and the 85th anniversary of Ho Chi Minh's birth (19 May) provided public forums for Hanoi and PRG leaders to expound on postwar policies. First Secretary Le Duan in his 15 May victory day speech in Hanoi maintained that the events in Vietne% will have a positive effect on developments in Southeast Asia, and NFLSV Chairman Nguyen Huu Tho, in his remarks of the same day in Saigon, reiterated longstanding PRG willingness to have diplomatic relations with all countries. Speaking in Hanoi on the 19th at festivities marking Ho's birthday, DRV National Assembly Standing Committee Chairman Truong Chinh for the most part eulogized the later DRV leader but also seemed to take a harder line on treatment of those conquered in the South than had communist propaganda in the immediate wakens the takeover. HANOI UNVEILS CO'l1UNIST PARTY LEADERSHIP IN SOUTH VIETNAM Hanoi openly acknowledged its control of the revolution in South Vietnam with the appearance at the victory celebrations of VWP officials who are responsible for the South. Media identification Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release I 999/09/2&kRQ86T00608 , 0.1130023-8 21 MAY 1975 of the officials has also surfaced the broad framewor 9,. of the party organization, with references to the "South Vietnam Party Organization"--apparently the equivalent of the formerly clandestine Central Office for South Vietnam (COSVN) which was responsible for the southern portion of South Vletnruli--and to the VWP's Committee for Zone Five, controlling the northern part of the South. During the war Hanoi media regularly attributed to the VWP the major guiding role in the revolution but still explicitly claimed that the South Vietnamese people's struggle was being led by the PRG and the National Liberaticit:t Front (NFLSV). North Vietnam's longstanding policy of camouflaging its control in South Vietnam was dropped on 14 May when Hanoi radio reported that the North Vietnamese delegation to the Saigon vica,cory celebrations had been met at the airport on the prr;v;.eus day by VWP Political Bureau member Pham Hung, who was furtl;er identifi,i d as the "Secretary of the South Vietnam Party O.?ganizati,in." A later Saigon radio report on the 15 clay celebration in additirm noted that he was "political commissar of the South Vietnam PI.AF Command." Pham Hung last appeared in public at a reception in North Vietnam on 29 September 1967. A list of H;o Chi Minh's funeral committee in September 1969 included Pham Hung, identifying him in his positions as a member of the Political Bureau and a DRV vice premier, but he was not reported as being present to Hanoi. He was formally relieved of his government positions in 1971 when in April he failed to run for election to the fourth legislature of the DRV National Assembly and in June his name was not included in, the list of vice premiers elected by the new legislature. Surfacing in Saigon along with Pham Hung was Nguyen Van Linh-- identified as deputy secretary of the South Vietnam Party Organization. Linh had previously been identified by the media on at least one occasion as the deputy sec'etary general of the People's Revolutionary Party (PRP), the name given the communist party in South Vietnam when it first publicly emerged in January 1962.* The role of the PRP in South Vietnam was mentioned periodically in media comment from 1962 to 1966, but rarely mentioned thereafter. * A 6 September 1969 Liberation Radio report listing the South Vietnamese delegation to Ho's funeral identified him as the PRP deputy secretary general. For background on media references to the PRP, see the F51S SURVEY Supplement of 15 September 1969, pages 1-4, and the FBIS SPECIAL REPORT of 24 July 1969, RS. 97, "Provisional Revolutionary Government and the People's Revolutionary Party in Stith Vietnam." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release 1999/0M'FA*DP86T00EY6$@ 21 0170023-8 Another South Vietnamese party official showed up in Saigon on 19 May when the main speech at the rally marking Ho Clii Minh's birthday was delivered by a Nguyen Van If o,* who was said by Saigon radio to be a "member of the Standing Committee of the Executive Committee of the Saigon-Gia Dinh Municipal Party Organization" of the PRP, as well as the chairman of the Saigon Federation of Liberation Trade Unions and a representative of the Saigon-Gia Dinh Municipal NFLSV committee. (The meeting was not attended by either Pham Hung or Nguyen Van Linh, and th(,i head of the Saigon. military management committee, Tran Van Tra, was also absent. Although Pham Hung and Linh were present at the 15 May victory celebration in Saigon and later meetings on the 16th, neither is known to have appeared since the departure of the North Vietnamese delegation from Saigon on the 17th.) Another figure formerly associated publicly with the PRP, Vo Chi Cong, was reported by Saigon radio to have attended 15 May victory celebrations in Danang and was for the first time acknowledged to be a member of the VWP Central Committee. Cong was the only official named as attending the Danang ceremonies, and his position as the leading party figure in the northern half of the South was confirmed by the radio's further identification of him as "Secretary of the Zone Five VWP committee" and "Zone Five Political Officer." Further reflecting the anomalous ties emerging between northern and southern organizations, the radio also listed Vo Chi L'ong's long- standing public position as a vice chairman of the NFLSV Central 'Committee Presidium. PRG/NFLSV ROLE The relationship of the PEG and the NFLSV to the communist party in postwar South Vietnam can be inferred from Vietnamese media reports on appearances in Saigon by PRG President Huynh Tan Phat and Nguyen Huu Tho, NFLSV chairman and chairman of the PRG Advisor Council. The Hanoi radio report on the"airport arrival ceremony greeting the North Vietnamese delegation on 13 May listed Pham Hung first among the welcomers, * Other reports on the recent activities of Nguyen Van Ho have identified him in the abbreviated form as Nguyen Ho. Although the present media reports do not indicate his background, there was a Nguyen Ho identified by Vietnamese communist media in the early 1950's as the vice president of the Saigon-Cholon resistance administrative committee. In the late 1950's--following the communist regrouping in North Vietnam--and as late as 1963, a ? Nguyen Ho was a member of the presidium of North Vietnam's trade union federation. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release 1999/6@)Y66'RDP86T00 00170023-8 followed by Nguyen Huu Tho and PRG President Fhat. Other radio reports on activities in Saigon in the following days have also listed Pham Hung's deputy Nguyen Van Linh ahead of Tho and Phat. While Hanoi claims that Vietnam has been "reunified," there apparently will be two governments for some time. However, it seems clear that the domestic administration of the South will be controlled by the VWP. The time#rame and plan for the transiticn to a single government has not yet been revealed by Hanoi and may not yet have been decided. Le Duan, in his 15 May victory rally speech only briefly touched upon the question in tasking the South with building a "national democratic regime" and a national and democratic economy and culture. DRV, PRG LEADERS SPEAK AT RALLIES MARKING VICTORY, HO'S BIRTH LE DUAN Speaking at the 15 May victory celebration in Hanoi, VWP First Secretary Le Duan briefly recalled Vietnam's long history of thwarting foreign invaders and noted that the recommendations contained in Ho Chi Minh's testament to rid the country of "U.S. imperialists" and reunite it "under one roof" love now been accomplished. The First Secretary declared that the credit for the victory should be given to the armed forces, the party, and international benefactors, such as the Soviet Union and China, for the support and aid they provided. He gave particular emphasis to the concept of "national independence," and made frequent allusions to Vietnam's heroic past. According to Le Duan, national independence has a twofold importance: domestically, once having achieved it, the laboring people can be freed of "oppression and exploitation," and internationally, it can influence the "world revolutionary movement." Le Duan did not specify what responsibility Hanoi may feel for encouraging revolution in neighboring countries, but he did suggest that North Vietnam will use its new strength and influence to bring about a further rc.iuction of the U.S. position in Southeast Asia. The First Secretary boasted that Vietnam's victory, coupled with that in Cambodia and Laos, had "created new favorable conditions for safeguarding peace and national independence :.n Indochina and Southeast Asia." He went on to promise that the 1)RV would "persist in its policy of strengthening solidarity and friendship with its neighbors in Southeast Asia and in countries of the third world, in their struggle to regain and maintain national independence, consolidate sovereignty, and oppose all schemes and maneuvers of imperialism and old and new colonialism." Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release I 999/0919 'i ' 74T RDP86T006 O 170023-8 21 MAY 1975 A 2 May NHAN DAN editorial entitled "The Irreversible Trend of Southeast Asian Nations" echoed Le Duan's speech regarding the future of the region in the aftermath of the communist successes in Indochina. The editorial contended that "a rare opportunity for the independent and free development of Southeast Asian nations has come," and predicted that the people in the region would "surely rise up and take their destiny into their hands and get rid of all control by the barbarous imperialists." It optimisticly maintained that Southeast Apia is now facing "unprecedentedly favorable perspectives" and it enthusiastically applauded the "firm and punitive blows" the Cambodian army recently dealt the "U.S. aggressors" and the current "widespread anti-U.S. feelings in Bangkok." NGUYgN HUU THO NFLSV Chairman Nguyen Huu Tho's address to the 15 May victory rally in Saigon expressed the same jubilance as Le Duan did for the "liberation" of the southern half of the country. Thus, Tho declared that "from now on, our country is no longer partitioned, and the North and the South are together under the same roof again." Vietnamese communist leaders have consistently spoken of Vietnam as a single country, a concept also voiced in the opening articles of the Paris agreement. Whatever specific steps Hanoi and Front leaders might now have in mind for formal amalgamation of the two separate entities that exist in Vietnam were not articulated in the rhetoric of the ceremonies. It is clear, however, from Nguyen Huu Tho's assertions, that the PRG will continue to function separately in the field of foreign relations. In professing the PRG's policy of "peace and nonalinc- ment," Tho noted that his government was ready to establish diplomatic relations with "all countries without distinction as to the political and social systems." WhIle not specifically excluding the United States from his invitation for recognition, he did point out in the same context that the Unified States must still fulfill its "obligations" under the Paris agreement. Earlier statements by PRG leaders have been more specific with regard to tha United States. For example, when asked by an AFP correspondent--in an interview transmitted by LPA on 7 April--about the likelihood of the PRG establishing relations with the United States after the war, Nguyen Huu Tho reiterated the standard PRG policy that relations with all nations would be entertained, and he specifically mentioned the United States. The PRG has been consistent in its willingness to have diplomatic relations with the Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release I 999/09 'Z Q*IR.DP86T00608R0Ofl OOI70023-8 21 MAY 1975 United States, and language to this effect was included in the PRG's 12-point program issued in June 1969 at the time of the government's formal establishment. And'PRG President Huynh Tan Phat, in remarks at a June 1971 celebration marking the second anniversary of the PRG, cited the conun.nists' proposals for ending the war as "creating conditions for future relations . . between us and the Americans." TRUONG CHINH Speaking at the Hanoi rally marking the 85th anniversary of Ho Chi Minh's birth,* politburo member and National Assembly Standing Committee Chairman Truong Chinh was notably harsh regarding treatment to be meted out to the defeated southerners. According to Truong Chinh, communists in the South will have to "continue to struggle to completely smash the war machinery and the puppet administration from top to bottom, to root out all vestiges of the neo-colonialism of U.S. imperialism, . . . to check and punish all acts of counterrevolution, hooliganism, and gangsterism." Truong Chinh indicated that the VWP Central Committee had been focusing its attention on the problem of party building, and he quoted generalized guidance on the subject from what is apparently the resolution of the rarely mentioned 23d party plenum. The fact that the plenum had been held was first noted in Hanoi media in an editorial in the January issue of the DRV party journal HOC TAP.** * The anniversary is one of three major holidays that Vietnam is celebrating this year. The first, the 45th anniversary of the founding of the Indochinese Communist Party--the presently constituted Vietnam Workers Party--was marked on 2 February and is discussed in the TRENDS of 5 February 1975, pages 9>-11. The last of the major holidays will be the 30th anniversary of the founding of the DRV, on 2 September. ** For a discussion of the 23d plenum, see the TRENDS of 29 January 1975, page 8. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/9 9ffAThbP86T0060'RKWffl'yj 70023-8 CAMBODIA PHNOM PENH, CC'1UNIST ALLIES DEFEND MAYAGUEZ SHIP SEIZURE Cambodia's newly established communist regime denounced the U.S. military operation to recover the freighter Mayaguez in a 16 May press communique from the RGNU information ministry which charged that the U.S. action on the previous day was an "act of aggression" and that air attacks on Cambodian facilities had occurred hours after Cambodia had released the Mayaguez crew. The communique, like a communique from the same ministry released on the 15th while the U.S. operation was under way, justified the seizure of the Mayaguez as a defense of Cambodian sovereignty against the intruding "spy ship" and insisted that the United States had provu::1-r4 the incident. Phnom Penh's response at this level--through communiques signed by RGNU spokesman and Minister of Information and Propaganda Hu Nim--is consistent with the precedent set by its only other foreign policy pronouncement since the RGNU seized control of the country in mid-April. Hu Nim likewise signed a statement on 10 May protesting "dishonest propaganda" allegedly spread by the United States about repressive Cambodian internal policies and maltreatment of foreigners. Outside of Cambodia, head of state Prince Siha,,touk sent a message from Peking on 16 May to Algerian President Bo-.mediene appealing for Third World support, and on 18 May he expressed "full support" for Cambodia's action in a cable to RGNU Deputy Prime Minister Khieu Samphan. North and South Vietnam and North Korea each backed Cambodia's position with authoritative statements at foreign ministry or ministry spokesman level, while China's first leadership comment came in a speech by Vice Premier Li Hsien-nien. Soviet media reaction thus far has been restricted largely to low-level reportage on the incident. CAMBODIA The 15 May Phnom Penh communique, which announced the RGNU decision to release the Mayaguez just as the U.S. recovery operation was getting underway, was replete with avowals of Cambodia's wish to "provoke no one or to make trouble." The communique alleged that the ship had intruded into Cambodian territorial waters on a spy mission as part of what it described in detail as a continuing campaign to conduct sabotage, espionage, and blockade against Cambodia, and it afFirmed Cambodia's right to protect national sovereignty and territorial integrity. The communique contained one critical reference to the Ford Administration Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/26Ni?U1 RDP86T0060& @2 70023-8 21 MAY 1975 by name--the first such mention by the Communists since their 17 April takeover of Phnom Penh. It referred to U.S. planes sinking "two" Cambodian patrol boats on 14 May, saying that Phnom Penh still had "no precise idea" of the damage or the number of killed--a possible indication of communications difficulties between Phnom Penh and the coast. The briefer 16 May pronouncement labeled the landing of U.S. Marines on Tang Island and the bombings of the Sihanoukville area the previous day as "savage, ferocious, insane aggressive acts," claiming that they had begun three and one-half hours after Phnom Penh had "returned" the crew. It said Washington's actions were "proof" that the. United States had provoked the incident as a pretext to intensify its "blockade" and "sabotage" against Cambodia. The Mayaguez incident also drew passing mention in a 1.9 May Information and Propaganda Ministry statement devoted mainly to denouncing as "tricks of U.S. imperialism and its hirelings" recent Western press reports of a Cambodian ultimatum to Thailand over their common border. Noting the U.S. use of bases in Thailand during the fray, this statement predicted that "despite these historical facts" Cambodia and Thailand "can live peacefully as neighboring countries." Sihanouk's 16 May cable to Algerian President Boumediene, carried by NCNA on the 17th, appealed for Third World condemnation of the "cowardly and monstrous act of aggression" of the United States. Declaring that the United States would "always remain a paper tiger," Sihanouk charged that the United States was attempting to revenge its "ignominious and undeniable defeat" in Cambodia and Vietnam. His 18 May cable to Khieu Samphan, reported by NCNA on the 19th, expressed full support for RGNU measures and the CPNLAF's effectiveness in handling the incident, and added that "for all its ridiculous bragging, the Ford-Kissinger clique has not emerged any nobler from this frantic adventure." FOREIGN SUPPORT PRC Vice Premier Li Hsien-nien made Peking's initial response to the incident, in brief remarks delivered at a 15 May reception given by the DRV envoy in Peking to celebrate the communist takeover of Saigon. Li accused the Mayaguez of intruding into Cambodia's territorial waters, backed Cambodia's "legitimate measures" against the ship, and denounced as "an outright act of piracy" the U.S. bombing of Cambodian ships and territory. Peking's formal response to the Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 CONFIDENTIAAL~ Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T006086 ffm 0023-8 Cambodian protests come in a 17 May PEOPLE'S DAILY Commentator article, which denounced the "acts of piracy pure and simple" by the United States and offered a perfunctory, generalized pledge of Chinese support. Chinese comment has avoided all mention of the Ford Administration and did not directly condemn the United States in the name of the Chinese Government. By contrast, Peking's response to the January 1968 Pueblo incident off North Korea had come at the formal level of a PRC Government statement on 28 January which had offered the "firm support" of the Chinese Government and people against "U.S. imperialism's flagrant provocation." A 15 May DRV Foreign Ministry Statement denounced the alleged violation of Cambodian territorial waters by the "spyship" Mayaguez and the dispatch of U.S. Marines to Thailand as "an extremely serious act of war." Attacking the Ford Administration by name, the statement concluded that the United States was persisting in its "policy of intervention and aggressicn" against Cambodia and demanded that the United States cease its "acts of war and withdraw its Marines from Thailand. It promised to "resolutely support" Cambodia's right to defend its "territory, airspace, and territorial waters." A 16 May PRG Foreign Ministry statement closely paralleled the DRV statement Most comment did not criticize Thai involvement in the episode, but a 17 May Hanoi radio station commentary broadcast in English, noted that it was "regrettable that the Thai authorities had allowed the United States to freely encroach upon their sovereignty, thus causing a bad effect on their relationship with neighboring countries." However, the commentary singled out only the "Ford Administration" as the party to be held "fully responsible for all the consequences arising therefrom." A 18 May DPRK Foreign Ministry spokesman statement, offering to "fully support" the RGNU's stand, denounced the U.S. military response as evidence that the United States was "still persistently clinging to the policy of aggression and interference" in Indochina and Asia. An 18 May NODONG SINMUN commentary pointed out that the "frantic use of force" by the United States demonstrated its "aggressive ambition to hang on in Asia at all costs, even while being hit hard and kicked out of Asia." The commentary noted the Thai Government protest over the "blatant infringement" of Thai sovereignty by the United States and predicted that the United Stares would "surely be kicked out" of Asia, including Korea. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00$b$4IR12180170023-8 -10- U,S,-SOVIET RELATIONS SOVIET MEDIA PLAY DOWN GROMYKOIS CRITICISM OF KISSINGER Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko's criticism of Secretary Kissinger in his 14 May Warsaw Pact anniversary speech in Moscow has been played down in subsequent Soviet accounts of the speech. The passage criticizing the Secretary, included in the live Moscuw radio broadcast, was omitted from the TASS English-language version, which TASS described as a "text" but which in fact was a report based on paraphrases and extensive excerpts. The critical passage was also omitted from the account carried in PRAVDA on the 15th, which appeared tr be the same TASS report with minor editorial revisions. Neither the TASS English nor PRAVDA report, moreover, indicated that Gromyko had even so much as mentioned Kissinger. After asserting that Kissinger, in his 12 May St. Louis speech, had made "a number of correct points," Gromyko said: But the same U.S. Secretary of State was rather sharp in.his criticism of those American officials who have been timid and not very insistent in general, but have all the same opposed the spiraling military budgets and favor cuts in military budgets, including the United States' own military budget. The U.S. Secretary of State criticized those critics; he defended the spiraling military budgets and the course of their further spiraling. To put it mildly, these two things-- support for a policy of detente and increasing military budgets--do not go together very well. The theory expressed in some Western news reports that Gromyko's criticism of Kissinger may have been extemporaneous does not jibe with the character of the remarks nor the background against which they were made. It seems likely that Moscow felt that some sort of response to Kissinger's criticism of the Soviet Union in his St. Louis speech* was necessary, particularly in view of the scheduled 19-20 May Vienna meeting between Gromyko and the Secretary. At the same time, by refraining from exploiting the issue, Moscow has served notice that it remains committed to improving the atmosphere of U.S.-Soviet relations. * In St. Louis, Secretary Kissinger had said that "the willingness of the Soviet Union to exploit strategic opportunities . . . constitutes a heavy mortgage on detente. If detente turns into a formula for more selective exploitation of opportunities, the new tread in U.S.-Soviet relations will be in jeopardy." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release 1999/69716D'1tDP86T00P "0170023-8 WARSAW PACT PACT 20TH ANNIVERSARY MARKED BY LOW-KEY OBSERVANCE The only joint meeting held on the 20th anniversary of the Warsaw Pact was a low-level gathering of parliamentary leaders of the member countries in the Polish capital on 14-15 May. Elsewhere the anniversary was marked by meetings held in the respective capitals, including one in Moscow addressed by Gromyko. The East European meetings were addressed by speakers at the Politburo, deputy premier, or defense ministry level. While the 10th anniversary in 1965 had been observed in low key, it might have been expected that the second decennial-- marking the end of the Pact's statutory 2')-year span and the start of its 10-year renewal period--would be marked by a Pact Political Consultative Committee meeting or other top level joint gathering. The absence of such a gathering had the advantage for Moscow of avoiding any show of militance which might jeopardize early conclusion of the European Security Conference. It also averted possible difficulties with the kamanians, who might have refused to attend such a meeting, oz? would likely have been recalcitrant partners if they did attend. As it was, the Romanians sans- a less prominent repre- sentative to the Warsaw session than did the orthodox Pact members. Following the lead of a similar document issued by the Soviet governing bodies on 9 May, the Warsaw Pact anniversary meeting issued an innocuous peace appeal calling on European parliaments to help speed the conclusion of the CSCE. Leading Soviet pronouncements on the anniversary emphasized the harmony between the peaceful objectives of the defensive Warsaw alliance and Moscow's detente policy. They also reasserted the Pact's readiness to dissolve itself simultaneously with dissolution of NATO. Gromyko, in voicing this readiness in his address at the 14 May Moscow anniversary meeting, refrained from adding the usual followup proviso that as long as NATO exists, the Warsaw Pact must strengthen its defenses. Both parts of the formulation were, however, included in PRAVDA's 14 May editorial article on the anniversary. In a tougher stance in keeping with his position, Pact Commander Yakubovskiy in an IZVESTIYA article on the 14th did not include a reference to mutual dissolution of the blocs, declaring instead simply that as long as the "aggressive NATO bloc" exists and effective disarmament measures have not been implemented, the socialist countries deem it necessary to Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release I 994 '" 'h-RDP86T~g'WM00170023-8 strengthen their defenses. The three pronouncements included now routine references to the Warsaw Pact's "defense of socialist gains"--Moscow's ex post facto, rationale for the August 1968 Pact intervention in Czechoslovakia. This phrase had appeared for the first time in a Soviet bloc treaty in the new Soviet-Czechoslovak friendship pact of 6 May 1970. The Moscow statements also welcomed what were described an the positive manifestations of detcnte,attributing the credit for these developments to the peace program announced by Brezhnev at the 24th CPSU Congress. All three statements balanced characterization of the Pact as the main center for coordination of foreign policy with insistence that the Warsaw alliance was based on principles of equality, independence, sovereignty, and noninterference. ROMANIA As reported by AGERPRES, the speech by Grand National Assembly deputy chairman Mocuta at the Warsaw parliamentary session on the 15th was devoted largely to inoffensive generalities. He called on the European Security Conference to ensure security from the threat or use of force and the right of all countries to develop according to their own interests. More characteristically, the speech by the Romanian chief of staff, Colonel General Coman at a 14 May Bucharest meeting on the Pact anniversary asserted in effect that the more devoted a socialise army is to its people, party, and state the stronger is "the entire world socialist system." He added that Bucharest was developing relations with the armies of "all" socialist countries, as well as those of the Warsaw Pact states. Stressing the same points, a SCINTEI.A anniversary article added Bucharest's stock demand, embarrassing to Moscow, calling for concrete steps to dismantle military bases on and to withdraw foreign troops from the territories of other states. The article also stated that the Pact's defenses must be strengthened as long as NATO exists, stipulating that priority in this regard should be given to "political" measures--improving mutual information and consultation among the Pact members. YUGOSLAVIA In apparently the only Yugoslav comment on the Warsaw Pact anniversary, Zagreb commentator Sundic on the 13th cited Belgrade's traditional aversion to blocs in voicing the conviction that none of the existing world alliances could justify its existence. He added that there were no prospects whatever for the dissolution of either the Warsaw Pact or NATO and that both groups have become, for the great powers, more political and ideological than military alliances. In keeping Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release 1999/09MFtF P86T0060 M 570023-8 J with the current dour Yugoslav mood over recent Soviet alighting of the role of Yugoslav partisans in World War 11, Sundic recalled sarcastically that in Hungary ip 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968 "the Warsaw Pact had major tanks which it carried out," adding that few if any membern of either, bloc want the allinnces "to bra reduced merely to the establishing of a certain order or system." Sundic reiterated Belgrade's readiness to cooperate with any country, bloc member or nonalined, on the beaia of full equality and noninterference. ALBANIA A 7 May ZERI I POPULLIT editorial article used the anniversary for a new denunciation of the Pact as an instrument of Soviet hegemonism. Tirana had joined the Pact an a charter member in 1955, stopped all participation in its activities in 1962, and formally withdrew in 1968 after the Pact intervention in Czechoslovakia. Soviet forces, it added, perform the function of "a colonial occupying army" in Czechoslovakia, Poland, the GDR, Hungary, and Bulgaria. As usual there was no mention of the seventh Pact member--Romania. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release I 999/bb)fit' ?At'RDP86T00 AFt O 00170023-8 21 MAX 1975 MIDDLE EAST KOSYGIN VISITS CONTINUE USSR MIDEAST DIPLCIIATIC I t4111i With Premier Konygin's official visits to Libya (12-15 Hay) and to Tunisia (15-17 Hay), Moscow bas continued the momentum of its activity aimed toward eventual resumption of the Geneva Hideaat conference, Konygin's trips, his first to each country, came on the heels of the recent round of high-level Arab visitors to Moscow in April and early May. Koeygitt does not appear to have been very eucceaful, however, in obtaining agreement with the two countries on key issues of a Mideast settlement. This wan especially evident in Libya, which continues to oppose a negotiated Arab-lgraeli settlement and to nopport radical factions within the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO). In Tunisia, despite predictable general agreement on the broad elements of a negotiated Mideast settlement, differences remained over the basis for a settlement, with President nourguiba reiterating luninle a lonhatanding advocacy of a return to the 1947 UN partition plan for Palestine. On the other hand, there was a strong emphasis throughout. both vinits on strengthening bilateral relations. And aotae Libyan sources hinted strongly that an increase in mutual Soviet-Libyan military cooperation wan discussed. ARAB-ISRAELI During Koeygin'a stay in Libya, it was clear that ISSUE Moscow and Tripoli continued to advocate conflicting approaches to a Mideast settlement. Libyan sources Ignored the insue of resumption of the Geneva Hide-ant conference; and, as expected, the 15 Hay Soviet-Libyan cot-vunique made no mention of the conference. Kosygin in his dinner speech on the 12th, however, told his Libyan audience flatly that "the situation requires resumption of the.work of the Geneva conference." He added--an Soviet sources frequently have over the past two months-- that the conference must "of course" be thoroughly prepared. But perhaps reflecting the difficulties Moscow has experienced in preparations and alinement of inter-Arab and Sovie:-Arab positions, he did not repeat the standard Soviet tornulation of recent months calling for "speediest" or "earliest" resumption of the conference.* Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko, in a 14 May speech In t:occow marking the Warsaw Pact 20th anniversary, used a similar expression in noting simply that the Soviet Union "proposes to resume" the work of the Geneva conference. He added that the USSR has in mind "serious preparations" and a "serious approach to Its tasks, although we are not so sure that all the conference's participants want the sassse." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 ~tIJ70023-8 Approved For Release I 999/09/~g11-'di1i tTA'IP86T00601 M :j itosygin stated that the essence of the Soviet position "remains unet'anged" and reaffirmed iioseow's stand on the three broad ? elements it has regularly stresRed as part of a settlementi Conpletewithdrawal of Israeli fortes froi all Arab territories occupied In 1967; implementation of Palestinian legitimate national rights, Including the right to create their own state: and safe- guarding of the independent existence and deviklop- taent of all states In the region. In predictable contrast to Libya, Tunisia was willing to join Moscow in calling for a political solution to the Arab-Israeli con?lict. The joint c~ . uitique on the 17th stated that both sides believed it desirable to resume the Geneva conference "as soon as possible after careful preparation" and with PLO participation on an equal basis with other participants. Tunisia also agreed--as gpypt and Syria had agreed in cer uniques issued after their foreign ministers' visits to Moscow in April--that "any partial treasures should be part and parcel of the overall settlement." The Soviet-Tunisian communique also stated that both sides advocated a settlement "on the basis of implementing the well-kn(_1wn VU; Security Council and General Assembly resolutions." That this formulation was an attempt to paper over differences on the precise basis for a settlement was suggested in renarks by President 11ourguiba on the 15th and their subsequent handling by :ioviet media. Reaffirming Tunisia's longtitte stand on a settlement, fourguiba Aof:ertod that the internatlensil iiit had .;+ - ii tt=: a serious injustice in Its 1947 decision to partition Palestine and that Israel oust now he forced to respect the international law to which It owes its existence. In this context 13ourr.ulba said that the Geneva conference could, with the participation of the 11LO, "achieve a political solution Jr. confOt ity with the 133; rennlution" -by which he clearly grant, as he has often said in the past, the 1947 tU General Aasr bly partition vote and cot, as in Soviet references, the U3: Security Council Resolution 242 of 1967 or kenolution ))8 of 197). TASS, reporting lic.urguiba's remarks on the 16th, rendered their pore in line with Moscow's position. TASS cited bour.guiba as stressing that Israel shouls3 be compel led "to respect international law, to which it owes its existence" and that the Geneva conference "nt~truld lead to a peaceful settlement in accordance with the U`; resolutions." #RAVDA'o text Loa the 17th emitted Aourgufba"s reference to the )4'47 partition decision. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 CONPUM Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : NX-RDP86T0 6 00170023-8 Both the Soviet-Libyan and Soviet-Tunisian communiques sought to suggest hutttal agreeesant on the it3sue of gengtal support for the Palestinian cause. (loth, for example, routinely conditioned the establishment of a t1ideast peace on Israel's withdrawal front all occupied Arab territories and on assurance of Palestinian "national legitimate rights, including their right to self" deteroination and to establishment of their own state." There were ample indications during Kosygin's visits, however, that Moscow and t.ibya have continued to differ sharply over the kind and degree of support which the Palestinians should receive. On It flay, the day of Rosygitt's departure for Libya, Tripoli's ARAII Ri:VoLlltloN UM S' AGL.4GY (ARUA) underlined Libya's long- conflrnred position on Palestinian goes tons In reporting that the previous evening I'ritse Minister Jallud had received a delegation of the Popular Front for the Liberation of I'aleatine/General Co and (PF'LP/Gc), led by Ahmad fibril, PrLP/GL general secretary. This group is one of the "rejectionist front" factions in the PLo that reject the notion of a negotiate,] settlement with Israel. Reflecting the hardline policy of the tejectionists, the AREA repott stated that the two sides held "identical" points of view on th3 Palestinian iq"awe as well as on the "firms rejection of the direct negotiations conference at Geneva ai"ed at authoria.ing suspicious plots." After Yosygin's visit, there were indications frog Tripoli ncdia that Libya continues to advocate a military solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict and to support the radical factions within the PLO. Jallud. for exanple, in a speech on the 15th before the "Uation.l Seminar To ,upport the Palestinian Arab Revolution." held i')-lg .fay in Tripoli, urge the Palestinians to forty a "revolutionary government" that would define a clear way to liberate iatestine--by force--and indicated that the goverment could be had in Libya. As reported by MO,% on the 16th, Jallud also sought to distinguish between creation of a Palestinian state, on the one hand. and a Palestinian revolutionary government on the other, asserting that the former would result from an international decision and the later iron a Palestinian decision. Jallud said that the conflict with Israel "cannot be settled by a conference, a third party,, or the Vnitcd Nations," and that he had been una-,le to 6teterftine what heads of state meant by the expression "legiti=ate national rig, i of the Palestinians." He added that "force alone can Impart a avi .t to this.'" Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8 Approved For Release I 999/09/2WirvdVAr P86T00608 b1 '0023-8 21 HA l_~ S iilLATCltA1 Perhaps partly to offset the lack o'~ accord on key ittl.ATI(Y s Arab-1sraell, issues, a pronounced emphasis on expanding and improving bilateral relations was evident In the publicity, dinner speeches, and final couniques for both visits. In the case of Tunisia, the etophasia seeped essentially pro forr4a, and the agreements signed or discussed appeared of minor importance. Ai noted in the tnviet-Tunisian cf Mmunigi-e, (or eitanple, a program for cultural and scientific cooperation tot l91-16 was signed; and both Aides called tot regular relations at all levels and or political consultations to further mutual cooperation. In the case of Libya, however, the ftutual emphasis on expanding and improving bilatetal relations-while also enco;passing routine aspects--was notable for the strong hints that increased military cooperation between the two countries had been at least considered. .lallud in his dinner speech on the 12th, for e*as:ple, in tearks carried by 14Vt5TIYA and PRAVDA on the lfth and by ARNA on the 13th, expressed his conviction that #Kosygin's visit would lend to .'concrete acts to strengthen mutual cooperation in various fields, in particular econo=mic, cultural, technical, military, and others.'. Thanking the I1SsA for the econot!!ic and nilitaty aid presently being given, .lallud said that "possibilities exist for further development of this assistance." Additionally, Tripoli's "Voice of the Arab llc ?eland" on the 13th broadcast to -arl.s by Kosyr.in, during a side trip to fenghani on the llith, that his visit to Libya sought to develop and strengthen Soviet-Libyan cc*operatien "in the political, economic, and military f ie:ds."' And AR;cA, repotting on the 15th the signing of agrecr.ents on ncene??ic, technical, and cultural matters, noted that l.ihyan lr:a detc' taiYS aeith t'o c cin 1+a4 coveted "all f iolsle." There were no indicatietss, i-m=-uever, of vbbethet 4h' tsev ?i rFg~r,ehtfi on Dilitvey coo.tetatlon vote in fact achieved during Fosygita's talks wit,, the Lib attc. In line vitia )Gos,.1119t a TIC #=attic to 'h#s~ t r?c'4'r~A ++? 4w , ih Ectfiref ~Aa~s4 ~ ~-. ~t 4 K~#e1s t "t to 1v5tfr0 wt nt i1.e,; s #r 3; ?~zs Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170023-8