STAFF NOTES: MIDDLE EAST AFRICA SOUTH ASIA

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 18, 2001
Sequence Number: 
40
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
February 27, 1975
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4.pdf341.39 KB
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Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 State Dept. declassification & release instructions on file E 0. ~ K w C02 CO CD mo Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 Approved For gglepgpgpo O/f*4,j J Q9@ egQP10040-4 Warning Notice Sensitive Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions Classified by 005827 Exempt from general declassification schedule o" 0. 11652, exemption categcry: ? 5B (1), (2), and (3) Automatically declassified on: Date Impossible to Determine Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 SECRET This publication is prepared for regional specialists in the Washington com- munity by the Middle East - Africa Division, Office of Current Intelligence, with occasional contributions from other offices within the Directorate of Intelligence. Comments and queries are welcome. They should be directed to the authors of the individual articles. South Yemen: Unsuccessful Efforts to Establish Relations in Persian- Gulf ? .. . . . . . . . . . 1 Zaire-Angola: Mobutu May Cutback Assistance to FNLA . . . . . - . . . . . . .. . ? : . . . . 3 Africa: Franco-African Summit Set for Next Week in Bangui 4 South Asia: Afghans Join Indians in Criticizing US Arms Policy 5 Feb 27, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 SECRET South Yemen Unsuccessful Efforto to Establish Relations in Persian GuZf South Yemen appears to have had little success in its efforts to gain diplomatic recognition from the Arab states of the Persian Gulf. South Yemeni Foreign Minister Muhammad Muti's most recent visit to the area took him to Bahrain and Qatar in mid-February. acre the question of diplomatic recognition under the Bahrain government told Muti it would consideration,,but it has no intention of doing so, at least until such a move is approved by Saudi King Faysal. R W Qatar s response was more negative. Qatar! Sheikh Khalifa reportedly told Muti bluntly that South Yemen must first settle its relations with Saudi Arabia before Qatar will consider the question of diplomatic ties. The South Yemenis have claimed that Foreign Minister Muti was to have visited the United Arab Emirates (UAE) last month to establish relations,, but the visit has been postponed, and there are 'r indications when such a trip will actually occur, According to the US embassy in Abu Dhabi, capite,'. of the UAE, there presently is little chance that i:ala- tions will be established between Aden and Abu 1';habi. The South Yemenis have had their only diplomatic success with Kuwait. Although the conservative Kuwaitis disapprove of the'leftist South.Yemeni regime, they have dealt with Aden in the belief that the way to bring about a change in its policies is by offer- ing economic assistance and then imposing political conditions for the continuation of the assistance. Nonetheless, the South Yemenis have still had some bad moments with the Kuwaitis. When Muti visited Kuwait late last year, he was sharply criticized by Emir al-Sabah and told that Kuwait will make no .further diplomatic efforts on behalf of Aden in the Gulf until the South Yemenis have proved they are willing to change their Marxist policies. (Continued) Feb 27, 1975 1 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 SECRET South Yemen's motivation in seeking ties with the Persian Gulf states is 'twofold. Aden, which is hard pressed economically, has combined its negotia- tions for diplomatic relations with requests for large amounts of financial assistance. The South Yemeni move reportedly is also in response to pressure from the Soviet Union, its major benefactor, which also hopes to establish diplomatic ties with the Gulf states. Except for relatively independent-minded Kuwait, the Arab states in the Gulf will probably continue to look to Saudi Arabia for guidance on their policy toward South Yemen. The Saudis, who are conducting their own joint effort with Egypt to moderate South Yemen's Marxist regime, do not appear to be in a hurry to establish ties with Aden. Therefore, Aden will probably continue to be without diplomatic ties to the Gulf states for some time. (SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM) (143-7228) Feb 27, 1975 2 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 SECRET Zaire-Angola Mobutu May Cutback Aooiatance to FNLA Zairian Presi- den recently informed-Holden Roberto, leader of the National Front for the Liberation of Angola, that Zaire may be unable to continue its support for the National Front beyond this month because of severe economic problems. The Zairian government has been the National Front's most important backer for the past decade. Any curtailment of assistance at this tier, particularly of funds for food-and logistical support, could seriously undercut the National Front's political activities. The Front has been establishing itself as a major political force in northern Angola. it also has ambitious plans to resettle in Angola close to half a-million Angolan refugees currently living in Zaire,in'time to vote for National Front candidates in the elections for a constituent assembly to be held sometime before independence next November. Mobutu probably will continue some assistance to the Front, although it may be significantly less than in the past. The Zairian leader distrusts the leftist Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola--the Front's chief rival in Angola's transi- tional government. Mobutu's support for Roberto's group is motivated in part by his desire to ensure continued Zairian access to Angolan rail and port facilities. Roberto may be able partially to offset a cutback by Mobutu with increased Chinese assistance, although not immediately. Roberto told Mobutu that he is planning to visit Peking in late March to discuss Chinese aid. Roberto obtained modest Chinese support-mainly small arms and training-as a result of a visit to Peking last year. (SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM) (143-4380) Feb 27, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/04 eP86T00608R000400010040-4 Africa Franco-African Summit Set for Next Week in Bangui The Central African Republic plays host next week to a Franco-African summit conference that will discuss 'France's'.ties with its former colonies in black Africa. A French "dialogue" mission led by Minister of Cooperation Pierre Abelin recently visited French- speaking Africa in preparation for the meeting. French President Giscard d'Estaing and eight to ten African chiefs of state are expected to attend. However, several African leaders who have had dif- ferences with Paris in recent years--including Presi- dents Ahidjo of Cameroon and Ould Daddah of Mauri- ,tania--do not plan to participate. The last Franco-African summit was held in Paris in November. 1973 by the late president Pompidou. During his last two years, Pompidou presided over major modifications in Franco-African relations, in- cluding the revision of the rules of the franc zone and the renegotiation of the basic cooperation accords signed at independence. In loosening the traditionally close ties that bound France to its former colonies, Pompidou was reacting to African pressures for greater national control. in Bangui, leaders of the poorer Francophone countries will want assurances of France's continued interest. They are uneasy over the direction of French cooperation policy under Giscard. His Prag- matic African policy gives emphasis to expanding French influence in non-French speaking Africa where scarce raw materials and lucrative commercial oppor- tunities are available. Although Giscard also seeks to remain close to French-speaking African countries where French economic and cultural interests are most important, i.he poorer Francophone countries realize that French aid is being reoriented to countries of priority interest. (CONFIDENTIAL) (143-4380) Feb 27, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4 SECRET South Asia Afghans Join Indians in Criticizing US Arms Policy Afghanistan has joined India in registering a relatively restrained protest against the recent US decision to lift the ban on arnis sales to Pakis- tan. In a statement issued on February 25, the Afghan government said the US decision has caused "anxiety and uneasiness" in Afghanistan at a time when "the Pakistani military are acting against the Pushtun and Baluch peoples"--the inhabitants of Pakistan's frontier provinces near the Afghan border. The Afghan statement comes as no surprise. Kabul has long been squabbling with Islamabad over the status of Pakistan's frontier provinces and, in the process, has drawn closer to New Delhi. The US embassy in Kabul describes the Afghan statement as "relatively tame" given the further deterioration this month in Afghanistan's relations with Pakistan, brought on by Pakistani Prime Minister Bhutto's new crackdown against his Afghan-supported opponents in the frontier region. The Afghans seem unlikely to criticize the US very strongly for the decision on arms. Despite their dependence on Soviet military and economic assistance, they value good relations with the US. President Daoud is anxious to continue receiving US economic aid and to maintain his credentials as an Afghan nationalist not under total Soviet domination. 25X1C In India, where most official statements on the US decision have been fairly moderate so far Prime minister Gan ii is not inclined to support an anti-US campaign over the arms issue. Mrs. 25X1C Gandhi does not want to jeopar ize n is s chances for possible US investment and is even contemplating relaxing some of the restrictions that have discouraged Western investors in the past. (SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM) (143-6062) Feb 27, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010040-4