[REGULATION IN RELATION TO THE COMMAND SUBORDINATION OF THE OFFICE OF NATIONAL ESTIMATES TO THE DCI]

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80M01048A001500040006-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 27, 2012
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: October 1, 1965
• Content Type: STUDY

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T
1 October 1965
STAT
STAT
PROBLEM
To ensure proper command subordination of the Office of
National Estimates (ONE) in relation to a regulation to make
specific the subordination of the Board of National Estimates (the
Board) to the DCI.
FACTS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM
1. There is no Agency regulation that specifies the command
subordination of the Board. The approved organization chart of the
Agency fig. 1 (TAB A), depicts the Board at the level of the
DCI, connected by broken lines to both the DCI and 017,. DCID 1/1
makes it clear that the Board is the mechanism for coordinating and
producing NIE`s for USIB action. However, the only organizational
reference in Agency regulations (other than in charts) is in
Estimates (now titled Director of National Estimates) shall "sit
as chairman of the Board of National Estimates." That regulation
also states that he "is charged with the production of National
Intelligence Estimates." There are two references to the chairman
of the Board of National Estimates in bud relate to
coordination of national policy papers within CIA.
2. In effect ONE serves as the staff for the Board, the
chairman of which is also director of the staff. Traditionally
which states that the Assistant Director for National
STAT
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?
the DCI's have considered that the Board reports directly to them,
and appointments to the Board have been approved personally by the
DCI. ONE has nevertheless been housed in the DDI complex. Its
first T/0 in January 1951 included provisions for the Board, which
has functioned physically in the ONE area from the beginning
receiving both administrative and intelligence support from that
office.
3. A proposed ONE organization chart, designated
fig. 16a (TAB B), shows the Board as a subordinate part of the
office. This constitutes a change from the present chart,
fig. 12 (TAB C), in which the Board appears in the same box with
its own chairman.
4. ONE is a small office, with a T/O of ^ including the
Board (currently nine officers with three secretaries). Most of
the present Estimates Staff of E]officers were recruited from
other DDI offices. Although the Estimates Staff experienced
approximately 80% turnover of professional employees from 195+ to
1962, it now has a low attrition rate. It lost only one professional
employee in FY 1965. One reason for this stability is the high
grade structure. Over 50% of the office (exclusive of the Board)
are GS-12 or above.
STAT
STAT
50X1
50X1
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1* 0
The average grade is GS-12, as compared with the DDI average of
GS. 9.5. Further contributing to this continuity of personnel is a
combination of job satisfaction and high level of professionalism
that reduces unsatisfactory performance. In view of this the
office should not experience any major difficulty in personnel
recruiting.
5. The office is virtually self-contained from an administrative
point of view. It has a GS-16 executive officer, a GS-12 administra-
tive officer, and approximately ^ administrative, support and
clerical personnel not involved directly in support of estimate
production.
7. There is a continuing difference between the Director of
National Estimates and past and present DDI's concerning the extent
of ONE's subordination to the DDI. To date the Director of National
Estimates has maintained an independent channel to the DCI in
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STAT
estimative matters and NIE production for USIB. It is pertinent to
note that under _ the DDT "in his capacity as alternate CIA
member of the United States Intelligence Board . . . is responsible
for developing a coordinated CIA position on USIB.matters . . ."
DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS.
1. The Board should not be incorporated into ONE as a
subordinate element. It should be independent, reporting directly
to the DCI. Its role should be clarified by a regulation stating
its mission as set forth in DCID 1/1, accompanied by a statement
of its direct subordination to the DCI. This would entail
disapproval of so much of propose fig. 16a (TAB B), as
displays the Board as subordinate to the DDI within ONE.
2. The advantages of retaining ONE in the DDI complex are:
(a) easy access to the offices making major contributions to draft
estimates; (b) personnel recruitment; (c) directorate-level
supervision over the fiscal affairs of ONE and of the Board. ONE
has provided the Board both administrative and intelligence staff
support over the years. However, the merger of ONE, OCI, and ORR -
which has been proposed by the DDI - would materially alter this
present support machinery, necessitating alternative arrangements
for ensuring equivalent support. From a technical point of view the
DDI would retain the capability to provide support for the Board.
STAT
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From a management point of view the Board and its chairman should
have a staff of their own, and under their direct control and
guidance. Thus the alternatives appear to be: (a) merger of ONE,
with the other DDI analytical offices, and new arrangements for
providing the Board with the support previously given by ONE; or,
(b) continuation of ONE in its present form, directly subordinated
to the Board, and assigned to the Office of the DCI.
3. Continuation of ONE in its present form, and its direct
subordination to the Board in the Office of the DCI is the better
of the alternatives. The consolidation of the Board and ONE, and
transfer to the Office of the DCI should not cause undue management
burdens at that level in view of the creation of the post of
Executive Director-Comptroller and the formation of BPAM.
-5-
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It is therefore recommended that:
1. The Deputy Director for Support be instructed to:
a. Draft a regulation that (1) provides for the
subordination of the Board of National Estimates to the
DCI; (2) describes the Board's mission in accordance
with DCID 1/1; (3) assigns the Office of National
Estimates to the Office of the DCI, subordinate to the
Board of National Estimates and under the direction of
the Board's chairman;
c. Make the appropriate adjustment to
which includes ONE among.the responsibilities of the
DDI.
STAT
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TION TOP AND BOTTOM
SENDER WILL CHECK CLASSI
UNCLASSIFIED SECRET
SIDENTIAL
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
OFFICIAL ROUTING SLIP
TO
NAME AND ADDRESS
DATE
INITIALS
I
Executive Director
2
3
4
5
6
ACTION
DIRECT REPLY
PREPARE REPLY
APPROVAL
DISPATCH
RECOMMENDATION
COMMENT
FILE
RETURN
CONCURRENCE
INFORMATION
SIGNATURE
Remarks :
Pursuant to your request, the attached
study sets forth my views and recommendations
on the command subordination of the Office of
National Estimates in relation to the specific
subordination of the Board of National Estimates
to the DCI.
FOLD HERE TO RETURN TO SENDER
FROM: NAME, ADDRESS AND PHONE NO.
DATE
Inspector General
UNCLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL
SECRET
FORM NO. 2~)7 Use previous editions
9_61 J) 1
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U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1961 0-587282
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
RESEARCH STAFF
DEPUTY DIRECTOR
FOR INTELLIGENCE
OFFICE OF
NATIONAL ESTIMATES
COLLECTION
GUIDANCE STAFF
I
INSPECTOR GENERAL
DEPUTY DIRECTOR
FOR PLANS
OFFICE OF
CENTRAL REFERENCE
OFFICE OF
RESEARCH AND REPORTS
H- .1
KOFFICE OF
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
OFFICE OF
OPERATIONS
OFFICE OF
BASIC INTELLIGENCE
NATIONAL PHOTOGRAPHIC
INTERPRETATION CENTER
I GENERAL COUNSEL
SCIENCE AND
TECHNOLOGY
OFFICE OF ELINT
OFFICE OF RESEARCH
AND DEVELOPMENT
OFFICE OF
SCIENTIFIC INTELLIGENCE
FOREIGN MISSILE
AND SPACE ANALYSIS
CENTER
DEPUTY DIRECTOR
FOR SUPPORT
MEDICAL STAFF
ASSISTANT
OFFICE OF
1 TRAINING
7]
i
OFFICE OF
FINANCE
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DEPUTY TD DCI FOR NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE
PROGRAMS EVALUATION
OFFICE OF BUDGET. PROGRAM ANALYSIS.
AND MANPOWER
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ESTIMATES
STAFF
SUPPORT
STAFF
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DIRECTOR
OF
NATIONAL EMU=
3OJ3D OF
NATICMAL ES_Ti4rS
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OFFICE OF NATIONAL ESTIMATES
ASSISTANT DIRECTOR
FOR
NATIONAL ESTIMATES
BOARD OF
NATIONAL ESTIMATES
ESTIMATES
STAFF
SUPPORT
STAFF
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