CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001400310001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 25, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 23, 1954
• Content Type: REPORT

23 ~a~a~~?y 1954
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
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FAR EAST
2. Communist planes attack UN aircraft off west Korean coast (page 3).
3. Large number of armored vehicles sighted in Canton area (page 4).
NEAR EAST -AFRICA
4. Comment on stalemate in Soviet-Iranian border and financial talks
(page 4).
5. ~Ienderson says supplementary financial aid to Iran will promote oil
settlement (page 5).
6. Iranian government reportedly suspends balloting in five districts
(page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
7. East German government fears antiregime demonstrations during
conference- (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. French government may change position on EDC (page 7).
LATIN AMERICA
9. New threat seen to American-Chilean copper negotiations (page 7).
10. Peru reportedly may not attend Caracas conference (page 8).
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FAR EAST
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2. Communist planes attack UN aircraft off west Korean coasto
On 22 January, 35 MIG-15'sg assumed to
be Chinese, attacked a UN air patrol over
Korea BayA approximately 40 miles south-
west of Chongju. One MIG-15 apparently
was downed.
Commento Communist sensitivity to UN
patrol action off the west coast has increased during the last few
months, and on 30 December a. UN jet fighter was fired on in approxi-
mately the same area.
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While the 22 January attack apparently
occurred outside the air space defined in the truce agreement, the
Communists could charge that the UN Command was violating the
agreement by flying over small islands in this area.
3. Large number of armored vehicles sighted in Canton areao
and their armament appeared to be a six-poundero Also parked on the
dock were four otherwise unidentified six-wheeled armored cars.
the B ttish Bren gun carriere an open armored reconnaissance vehicle,
AO merchant marine officer told
the US army liaison officer at Hong Kong
that he saw 72 "light tanks" parked on the
Whampoa docks near Canton in South China
on 27 December. These tanks looked like
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Canton.
seven 30-ton armored
vehicles at Canton on 7 December. The vehicles were not further de-
scribed but were said to belong to a public security unit located at
Commento This is the first reliable report
of substantial numbers of armored vehicles in South China. Their pres-
enc~ at Canton suggests that an armored unit may have moved into the
vicinity recently or that a new armored unit is being formed in the area.
NEAR EAST -AFRICA
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4. Comment on stalemate in Soviet-Iranian border and f financial talks o
Soviet-Iranian talks on border and financial
problems have been temporarily suspended to allow the Soviet delega-
tion to obtain instructions from Moscow, according to the chief of the
Iranian delegation. The Soviet ambassador left for Moscow on 21 Janu-
ary, apparently for consultation.
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The liaison officer also reported
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tates that the Iranian delegation asserted that
it will not resume the talks until the USSR is ready to discuss them.
Soviet delegation apparently has declined to discuss the latter.
talks would deal alternately with border and financial issues9 the
Although it was originally agreed that the
financial concessions to the present Iranian government.
It is unlikely that the USSR will make any significant border or
Iran reportedly was prepared to make
claims. for $389000,000 and to ask for a revision of the border which
would return to Iran some areas now claimed by the Soviet Union.
5. Henderson says supplementary financial aid to Iran will promote oil
settlement?
more favorable to the success of oil negotiations and the durability of
any resulting agreement.
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Ambassador Henderson believes, and
British charge Wright concurs9 that ex-
tension of supplementary emergency finan-
cial aid to Iran would produce an atmosphere
Henderson points out that if a settlement
were reached with Britain while the United States was refusing assist-
ance to Iran, it would be an invitation to Iranian demagogues to contend
that an agreement had been signed only under economic duress.
Commento Since the beginning of the ail
dispute with Britain9 many Iranians have maintained that the United
States was withholding aid in-order to force an agreement.
6. Iranian government reported~.y suspends balloting in five districtso
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~ the Iranian government
has been obliged to suspend balloting in five
constituencies involving seven Ma,jlis seats.
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The suspensions are explained on the grounds
of "procedural irregularitieso' The real reasons appear to be resistance
to government attempts to rig the elections, indecision concerning candi-
dates to be supported9 and conflicting political deals made by government-
sponsored candidates without Tehran's knowledge.
Commento The necessity of suspending
balloting so early in the election period suggests that the government
will not get a friendly Majlis as soon as it had expected. On the basis
of this initial reaction, the elections will probably be drawn out, and
the government may have to resort to even more obvious intervention
in order to ensure the election of its candidates.
EASTERN EUROPE
7. East German government fears antiregime demonstrations during
conferenceo
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have been strengthened,
Precautions ordered by the East German
authorities provide new evidence that they
are concerned over possible antiregime
demonstrations during the Berlin four-power
conference. Police forces in East Berlin
and special patrols have been set up.
SED investigation of "enemy activities"
designed to disrupt the conference has revealed open discussion of
strike and demonstration plans in East Berlin factoriesg as well as
"invitations" to nearby villagers to demonstrate against the regime
during the conference.
Comment: The East German government
is facing an increasingly di ic~ult problem in the attempt to achieve a
peaceful atmosphere in East Berlin while maintaining adequate police
precautions against disorders. Antiregime demonstrations would
seriously weaken the Soviet argument that a provisional all-German
government must include representatives of the East German regime.
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WESTERN EUROPE
8. French government may change position on EDC o
According to Defense Minister Pleven's
executive secretary, Premier Laniel is
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more palatable to the ex-Gaullists as a
preliminary to Assembly debate. The premier is at present dis-
cussing with the ex-Gaullist ministers in his cabinet recent public
statements by Pleven calling for less centralization of power in the
EDC Commissariat and for a transition period iii the implementation
of the treaty.
Commento Laniel has publicly stated his
intention to bring EDC before-' t~ he National Assembly as its first order
of business after the Berlin talks. A bid for ex-Gaullist support along
the lines reported9 however, would probably, as in the past9 weaken
Assembly backing for EDC and lead to new demands far changes in the
treaty.
LATIN AMERICA
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9. New threat seen to American-Chilean copper negotiati?nso
owned copper companies. Even if satisfactory legislation is presented9
the congress may fail9 as it did in 19519 to act on it.
The American embassy in Santiago reports
that the Chile~.n government may submit
new copper legislation to congress contain-
ing provisions unsatisfactory to the American-
the Chilean foreign minister recently claimed to have
receivec assurances that the United States will buy Chile?s stockpile of
copper as soon as legislation is presented to the Chilean congress.
Comment: In the prolonged negotiations.
with Chile regarding the possible purchase of its 100,000mton stockpile
of copper9 the United States has insisted on new Chilean legislation
defining the status of the American companies.
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Any new delay in the negotiations would be
almost certain to cause further deterioration in Chile's already pre-
carious economic and political situation.. President Ibanez still insists
that the copper will not be sold to the Orbit, but many Chileansn in-
eluding the president of the Chamber of Deputies, who recently returned
from Moscow, are now pushing for such sales.
10. Peru reportedly may not attend Caracas conferenceo
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refuse to attend, according to the American embassy in Lima.
Unless a solution for the Haya de la Torre
case can be found prior to the opening in
Caracas on 1 March of the Tenth Inter-
American Conference, Peru will probably
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Comments
Peru's refusal to date to grant Haya de la
Torre asafe-conduct and thereby end his five-year asylum in the
Colombian embassy in Lima has been motivated primarily by the
ruling families' bitter hatred of the Peruvian opposition leader.
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