CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001000160001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 30, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 20, 1953
• Content Type: REPORT

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20 January 1953
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
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FA]R EAST
5. Troop strength in South China may have been reduced (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Mossadeq reportedly optimistic over oil settlement (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Icelandic Foreign Minister postpones negotiations on military
facilities (page 6).
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FAR EAST
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5. Troop strength in South China may have been reduced:
The American Consul General at Hong
Kong believes that many Chinese Com-
munist troop movements in South China
coastal areas are intended to conceal a
lack of strength further inland. He cite,-
apparently unnecessary movements of troops along the border of
Hong Kong and Macao as evidence of some sort of deceptive plan,
Comment,- There are indications that
Chinese Communist troop siren gth along the South China coast
has been greatly reduced in recent months. At least three of the
armies stationed in Kwangtung and Fukien Provinces in earl
1952 have recently been reported in Korea.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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6. Mossadeq reportedly optimistic over oil settlement'.
that he was disturbed by internal. political squabbling.
Minister of Court Ala told Ambassador
Henderson on 18 January that Prime
Minister Mossadeq was optimistic over
progress toward an oil settlement, but
Ala stated that the Shah's relations with
Mossadeq have improved and that the Shah believes an oil settle-
ment with him would have more authority than one with another
Prime Minister.
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Comment: It is unlikely that an oil
settlement will soon be reac a Mossadeq's distrust of the
British and of his political opposition will lead him to a minute
examination of plans to end the dispute lest they appear to con-
tain concessions which could be used against him.
WESTERN EUROPE
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7. Icelandic Foreign Minister postpones negotiations on military
facilities:
general elections in June. He is convinced that any pre-election
concessions would "materially'" strengthen the Communist Party.
The Icelandic Foreign Minister has
concluded that it would be unwise to
grant the United States request for
additional military facilities before the
American Minister Lawson believes
that any further protests by him would avail little and that a
last resort approach through NATO is "decidedly questionable. 17
Comment; The Communists, who
control about 20 percent of t ee electorate, consistently try to
exploit the widespread xenophobia of the Icelanders. Communist
influence and strength is furthered by the fact that the Social
Democrats enjoy little support from labor.
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