CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001300420001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 30, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 30, 1953
• Content Type: REPORT

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30 October 1953
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
4 2
DOCUMENT No.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. fk
Cl DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: Grt D 0 9
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE: REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
DIA and DOS review(s)
TOP SECRET
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SUMMARY
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FAR EAST
W4Communists sending large quantities of materials to North Korea
(page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
Viet Minh reportedly to attack northern apex of Tonkin delta
(page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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7. Iraq renews request for US miUtary aid (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
Soviet diplomat sets forth policy on Austria (page 7).
Adenauer dashes hopes for early Saar settlement (page 8).
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FAR EAST
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4. Communists sending large quantities of materials to North Korea:
in Korea, told Ambassador Dean on 28
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October that a huge quantity of construction materials had been
observed coming into North Korea, and that enormous efforts
were being made to aid the economy.
I Isaid the Communists
apparently want to show that they can rebuild the north before
the United States can rebuild the south. He believes further
that the Communists want a political conference for propaganda
purposes to cover their frantic rehabilitation efforts.
Comment: Reports from an NNSC
team state that Communist rail shipments into North Korea have
been stepped up, indicating that Moscow may have begun to imple-
ment its billion-ruble aid program for North Korean reconstruction.
Members of the neutral nations teams are permitted to make only
limited inspections and have not been able to determine whether the
materials arriving thus far are for military purposes or industrial
rehabilitation.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Viet Minh reporte
dly to attack northern
apex of T
onkin delta:
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The Viet Mi
Vinh Yen- Ph
nh is planni
uc Yen are
ng to attack the
a at the northern
apex of the T
onkin delt
a,
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As of 27 Oct
ober, one
small unit of the
312th Division had
a rea
y moved towa
rd the area
, and the 308th
Division has reportedly moved southward from its summer quarters
at Thai Nguyen. 25X1
have predicted a major enemy attack from the north and anticipate
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that it might begin between 7 and 14 November.
Vinh Yen, located near the enemy head-
quarters, is often described as the gateway to Hanoi. It was the
scene of the largest battle of the Indochina war in January 1950,
when the French threw back a strong Viet Minh frontal assault.
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Comment:
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7. Iraq renews request for US military aid:
Berry, is just as eager as its predecessor for favorable American
action. The new Iraqi chief of staff has expressed the same hope to
the US military attache.
Iraqi prime minister Jamali has inquired
about the American attitude toward Iraq's
22 March request for a military grant.
His government, Jamali told US ambassador
Comment. Jamali favors planning with
the United States for the defense' of the Middle East. Iraq wants to
carry out a four-year army expansion program, under which the army
would serve as a British corps in the event of war, with the mission
of defending the northern and eastern frontiers of Iraq.
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8. Communist connection with Mau Mau suggested:
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there is a loosely organized group of card-
carrying Communists in Kenya who receive
instructions and :help from Communist groups in London, Bombay and
Johannesburg.
A mimeographed Mau Mau leaflet, The Red
Flag, which has been found in many parts of the Kikuyu reserve, faith-
fu ley parrots the Communist Party line. It has already been proscribed
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before the end of the current emergency, there will be more than enough
evidence to prove that both local and foreign Communists are actively
supporting the Mau Mau.
Comment: This leaflet is the first evidence
of direct Communist influencein Mau Mau. Previously known Communist
interest had been limited to propaganda and to overt legal aid in connec-
tion with the Kenyatta trial.
WESTERN EUROPE
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Soviet diplomat sets forth policy on Austria:
Foreign Minister Gruber has reported that
at a dinner given by Soviet high commissioner
Ilichev on 27 October, the latter said that the
USSR favored Austrian participation to treaty
negotiations, on the assumption that Austria would "play a good part" in
them. According to Gruber, the Austrians are attempting to work out a
communique with the Russians. Austrian officials believe that the Soviet
reply on Lugano will be merely a further discussion of the agenda and
that the Austrian question can not be settled separately from the German
problem.
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Another Soviet official said that the
problem of German assets could not be settled prior to a treaty
and discounted the prospect of increased Soviet-Austrian trade
at this time.
'Comment'. The Soviet approach may
foreshadow an attempt to commit Austria in advance to the Soviet
version of a treaty.
Austrian officials have had some hopes
of negotiating the return of Soviet-held German assets prior to a
treaty. In negotiations for a trade treaty with the Soviet Union, the
Austrians have often insisted that exports from the Soviet-held
enterprises be included as Austrian exports.
10. Adenauer dashes hopes for early Saar settlement'.
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Chancellor Adenauer told Ambassador
Conant on 27 October that he did not
believe his government could reach an
agreement with France on the Saar within
the next two months. He will nevertheless resume his preliminary
talks with French ambassador Francois-Poncet on 3 November, and
he expects to talk with Foreign Minister Bidault on 26 November in
The Hague.
Comment'. Accumulating evidence
suggests that Adenauer believes is bargaining position on the
Saar improves with time and that he may seek American and
British mediation to moderate French terms.
Meanwhile the minor coalition parties
in Bonn are becoming more vocal in their opposition to the French-
German agreement in principle for "Europeanizing" the Saar.
Adenauer, however, can probably secure Bundestag support for
such an arrangement if it is reviewable in five to ten years.
Ambassador Dillon in Paris believes
that even if a Saar agreement were reached before the mid-December
presidential election, the French National Assembly could hardly
commence debate on the EDC before late Tanuary.
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