NORTH KOREAN PAYMENTS PROBLEM WITH THE WEST

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
October 19, 2004
Sequence Number: 
21
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 3, 1975
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9.pdf263.17 KB
Body: 
25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 SUBJECT North Korean Payments Problem with the West The attached article is forwarded in response to your request of 30 May for information on North Korea's debt situation. Any comments and questions may be directed to F 25X1 Distribution: S.08004 Orig & 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - OER/C/CH: (3 June 7 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/28 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 Approved For Release 2004/10/28 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 North Korea: Payments Problem in the West Over the past five years North Korea has directed an increasing share of its foreign trade to the non-Communist countries. Since early 1970, the North Koreans have signed contracts with firms in Japan and Western Europe for nearly 5600 million worth of industrial plants and related equipment. Credit financing for these capital imports, as well as for record grain imports from France, Canada, and Argentina, permitted North Korea to run a trade deficit with the non-Communist countries of $165 million in 1973. In 1974 an estimated $545 million trade deficit with the West led to severe payment difficulties for P'yongyang. A surge of deliveries of equipment under previous contracts and high world prices pushed up North Korea's import costs while repayments or. credits from earlier years were falling due. On the export 3ide,recession in the West weakened demand for North Korean goods. Pyongyang withheld sales of nonferrous metals, a major export earner, when prices were at peak levels in early 1974 only to see prices tumble later in the year. The North Koreans have also claimed that their port expansion program disrupted export deliveries as well as adding to their, costs. In the second half of 1974 P'yongyang began defaulting on a large number of Western letters of credit and loans. By early 1975 the situation had become critical. The amount that North Korea is in arrears is difficult to pin down but at present it probably totals $200-300 million. Banks and firms in Japan, France and the United Kingdom are the major creditors. (One interesting note is that Soviet-owned banks in Western Europe probably hold a sizable portion of these debts.) North Korea is the first case of default by a Communist country in the West and its credit rating is at a low ebb. A Swiss bank recently ranked North Korea as only a somewhat better credit risk than Chile or Uppei. Volta. France, West Germany, Japan and Austria have suspended government guarantees for further credits. Purchases of helicopters and a radar complex from French firms have been held up by 25X 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/28: CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 25X1 I the credit suspension. Even more serious, several firms have stopped production of equipment under existing North Korean contracts and have halted further deliveries until the payments problem is resolved. The loss of access to Japan Export-Import Bank financing announced in late May, was a major blow to Pyongyang since application for plant credits totalling $50 million were pending. Japan was North Korea's largest trading partner in 1974. North Korean trade organizations in Japan had lobbied hard to prevent banks and firms from officially notifying the Japanese government of the defaults and precipitating the credit cut off. At the same time, many small Japanese firms faced bankruptcy due to failure to receive payment for goods sold to North Korea. Seoul was also pressuring Tokyo to deny EX-IM credits to North Korea. 25X1 125X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/28 :-CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 25X1 25X1'( 25X1 its lagging export earnings. Western blinks an firms, once burned, will remain cautious in ex.,ending credit. As a result, P'yongyang will find it harder to pursue its ambitious goals for rapid industrializ,L on through the acquisition of Western technology. 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/28 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 Approved For Release 2004/10/28 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 25X1 North Korea: Foreign T'raee, 1973 and 1974 l/ (Million US $) Exports 1973 Imports Balance Exports 1.974 ` Imports Ba lan ce Total 490 805 -315 545 1,1)5 - 050 Non-Communist 120 285 -165 190 735 -5 45 Developed 110 250 -140 170 695 -5 25 Western Europe 35 135 -100 60 335 -2 75 Japan 70 105 - 35 105 265 -1 60 Canada Negl. 10 - 10 Negi. 55 - 55 Australia .... Negl. ... Negl. 13.0 = 40 Hong Kong 5 Negl. 5 5 N.egi. 5 Less Developed Countries 10 35 -25 20 40 - 20 Communist 370 520 -150 355 460 -1 05 USSR 180 300 -120 140 195 - 55 China 115 135 - 20 125 160 -' 35 Eastern Europe 55 65 - 10 65 80 - 15 Other 20 20 ... 25 25 . .. 1. Data have been rounded to the nearest $5 million and have been adjusted to show North Korean exports f.o.b. and imports c.i.f. 2. Preliminary Approved For Release 2004/10/28 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/28 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 ___. 25X1 A TRANSMITTAL SLIP DATE 4 June 1975 TO: CRS via St/P ROOM NO. BUILDING I Hqs. REMARKS: Enclosed is a corrected copy of the foreign trade table for S.08004, North Korean Payments Problem with the West. FROM: OER/C/CH RQO [I~ BUILOINQ_~ S FORM FEB 55'241 REPLACESFO'M 36-8 WHICH MAY E tISED, 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/28 CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/28 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600050021-9 North,Korea: Foreign Tratle, 1973 and 1974 l/ (Mil lion US $) 1973 Exports Im orts talante EX orts 1974 2/' Imports Total' 490 805 -315 590 1,255 -6 65 Non-Communist 120 285 -165 190 ; 735 Developed 1.10 250 -140 170 ! 695 Western Europe 35 135 --100 60 335 -2 75 Japan 70 105 -- 35 105 265 -1 60 Canada Negl.j 10 10 Negl. 55 - 55 Australia Negl. ... Neg?. 140 - 40 Hong Kong 5I Negl; 5 5 N.egl. Less Developed Countries 10 35 -25 20 !40 - 20 Communist 370 520 -150 .400 520 -1 20 USSR 18'0 300 -120 185 255 - 70 China 115. , 135 - 20 125 160 35 Eastern Europe 55 65 - 10 65 80 - 15 ,Other 20 20 ... 25 ,25 1. Data have been rounded to the nearest $5 million and have been adjusted to show North Korean exports f.o.b. and imports c.i.f. 2. Preliminary: Approved For Release 200.4/10/2$.:.cIA-RDP8.6T00608R00060d050021_-9