STAFF NOTES: MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA, SOUTH ASIA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000400010014-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 29, 2005
• Sequence Number: 14
• Publication Date: January 21, 1975
• Content Type: REPORT

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flop ecret
Middle East
Africa
South Asia
State Department review completed
NSA review completed
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Top Secret 25X1
1.27
-January 21, 1975
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MIDDLE EAST - AFRICA - SOUTH ASIA
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C0N1'EN7'S
Israel: Emigration Arouses Concern
Angola: Reactions to Decolonization Accord . 3
Pakistan: Islamabad Emphasizes Ties with PLO . 5
Jan 21, 1975
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Israel
Emigration Arouses Concern
Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics recently
estimated that 15,000 to 20,000 Israelis emigrated
last year. This is roughly double: the estimated
average rate of the last seven years. The highest
previous total, about 11,000, occurred in 1966,
when unemployment reached 10 percent, and in 1973.
Approximately 32,000 new imamigrants arrived in
Israel last year, 46' percent fewer than in 1973.
The drop in new arrivals coupled with increased
emigration resulted in a net migrant growth of only
12,000 to 17,000. Th.s is well. below what the gov-
ernment considers necessary foa: the Jewish population
to keep pace with the growth i,.a the number of Arabs
in Israel. Net immigration accounted for 39 percent
of Jewish population growth in Israel in the 12
months ending last August.
The Bureau's estimate has aroused intense concern
in Israel. Even before the latest figures were
announced, Jewish Agency Chairman Pinhas Sapir warned
that the emigration problem is particularly serious
because it involves not only recent arrivals bit also
first, second, and third generation Israelis. Sapir
is directing a major campaign to attract more Jewish
immigrants, particularly from western countries.
Citing the Bureau's figures, one of Israel's
leading press commentator; noted last week that
Israelis are now openly discussing emigration. He
claimed that more young, better educated Israelis are
leaving. He attributed the high emigration to
anxieties about Israel's security, as well as to social
and economic discontent. Another Bureau report, for
instance, indicates that Israel's consumer price index
rose 56.2 percent last year, more than double the 1973
figure. Food prices alone jumped 82.6 percent. Wage
adjustments only partially offset these increases.
The US embassy in Tel Aviv comments that despite
difficulties in making reliable estimates on the
(Continued)
Jan 2]., 1975 1
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number of Jews permanently leaving Israel, the magni-
tude of the 1974 estimate is likely further to erode
public morale and will be read as a clear set-back
to Israel's efforts to attract more immigrants from
the West and the Soviet Union.
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Angola
Reactions bo Decolonization Accord
According to the US consul general in Luanda,
the local reaction to the accord signed in Portugal
last week establishing a transitional government for
Angola is mixed. Angola appears calm with both blacks
and whites relieved that the Portuguese and the
nationalists have finally taken a meaningful step
toward independence. Nevertheless, both races have
some serious reservations about the future.
As might be expected, Angola's blaw%.s look
forward eagerly to independence, and they expect an
orderly transition period. Politically aware blacks,
however, are concerned that the liberation groups will
not be abl;= to compromise their longstanding riva.:ries
after independence is achieved.
The vast majority of the 500,000 whites, whose
futures are invested in Angola, appear at this time
determined to remain. They are apprehensive about
black rule, however, and will be looking to the transi-
tional government to prove it intends to honor the
guarantees to their lives and property extended in the
accord. If the government fails to do this and white
interests are harmed in the months ahead, the govern-
ment is likely to face a mass exodus of whites that
will deprive it of sorely needed skills and knowledge.
The provision of the accord that most concerns
the whites is the planned withdrawal of Portuguese
troops. Although Portugal is obliged to withdraw
almost half its troops by April, 24,000 troops are to
remain in the territory throughout the transition period.
Total Portuguese withdrawal is not scheduled to be
accomplished until February 1976.
The territory's religious leaders believe the lib-
eration groups will cooperate during the transition,
but are alarmed over the Marxist ideology expressed
(Continued)
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by the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola.
The religious leaders intend to use their influence
to counteract that ideology.
The Portuguese military appears pleased that it
has seen the territory through a difficult time. The
accord should be a miich-needed boost to its morale.
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Pakistan
I-sZamabad Emphasizes Ties with PLO
Pakistan is trying to demonstrate, particularly
to its Arab friends, that its support for the
Palestine Liberation organization has been greater
than that provided by neighboring India.
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Both Pakistan and India are anxious to please
the Arabs by demonstrating adherence to the Arab
position on the PLO. The maintenance of strong ties
with the Arab world has been a major foreign policy
objective of the Bhutto government, which has obtained
substantial Arab financial help.
India, for its part, is insisting that it has
recognized the PLO "all along." New Delhi wants to
keep the Arab states from strongly backing Muslim
Pakistan in its disputes with India. It also wants
to increase economic ties with the Arabs.
The Indians, however, have not been willing to
go as far as the Pakistanis in siding with the Arabs;
they believe this would be inconsistent with India's
status as a major regional power. New Delhi, for
example, has not acceded to Arab requests that it
close the Israeli consulate in Bombay. The India gov-
ernment has also told the US embassy that the PLO
mission in New Delhi will be granted only partial 25X1
diplomatic privileges.
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