CANADIAN DEFENSE COLLEGE PRESENTATION

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86B00985R000400030019-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 6, 2004
• Sequence Number: 19
• Publication Date: March 26, 1975
• Content Type: MFR

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Memo #96C3/26
26 March 1975
MEMORANDUM FOR THE RECORD
Subj: Canadian Defense College Presentation
1. I gave a presentation on "Threat Analysis" to the
Canadian Defense College on 25 March.
2. The college which is the Canadian senior school is
located in Old Fort Frontenac in Kingston, Ontario. The
student body consists of 28 COL/CAPT equivalents (half
military, half civilian). In addition. to Canadian officials,
there were three U.S. military officers, one USIA represen-
tative, plus students from the UK and Australia. The college
has a small staff and no resident faculty. They spend four
of their 11 month course in travel, with the remainder of
the time devoted to lectures such as mine.
3. Admiral Zumwalt was scheduled to lecture the day before
me, but had to cancel because of illness. The Soviet Naval
Attache in Ottowa followed my lecture with a presentation
on "Why disarmament is necessary". Sorry I had to miss
this one.
4. The Canadians were wonderful hosts. All travel and
accomodation arrangements were expertly handled. I found
the post-lecture period of questions and discussion
stimulating. The students were well into their strategic
curriculum and demonstrated a good understanding of disarma-
ment, SALT, naval balances, etc.
5. I hope to have the opportunity to return to Kingston
some day.
Copy to:
OP-96 l%f
Director, OSR, CIA
CDR ILO
STATINTL
STATINTL
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STATINTL
MEMORANDUM FOR:
OPR - 3E63
The DDI approved this one--John is presently
assigned to the US Navy System Analysis Division,
Naval operations. The Conanandant, Canadian Nat-
ional Defense College requestedStT&lJN &ntation.
3 April 1975
(DATE)
FORM
MAY BEMUS10-101
AUGN 54 101 WHICH REPLACES
ED.
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 $-MIr1TSTRATIVE-INTERNAL USE (( `TLV
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27 December 1974
MEMORANDUM FOR: Associate Deputy Director for,
Intelligence
SUBJECT Request to Give Lecture at the
Canadian National, Defence.College
I. I request approval to give a lecture on
".threat analysis" to the Canadian National Defence
College on 25 March ;1975. The Commandant. of the
Loilege invited me to give this lecture:iri-a letter
addressed to my supervisor.in the Navy's System
Analysis-Division (OP-96). A copy of that letter
shaping of Navy's programs. The lecture will be
of threat analysis has played a major part in the
cruise missi e defenses and show how the application
with.specifi.c Navy-program decisions in ASW and
UIJL.uuu.Ge zne programs ana weapon _ systemns...currently
system Analysis Division, uses intelligence data to'
2. I propose to address threat analyis as
a consumer of-intelligence and describe how?Navv's
.given at'the Secret level, without any need-to
to this audience or No Foreign Dissemination.
rely on material which is sensitive to disclosure
to go into this during my lecture. The lecture
of the Canadian Defence College, but see no reason
3. I propose to make my affiliation with the'
Agency known to the Commandant and administration
STAT
ADMINISTRATIVE-INTERNAL USE ONLY
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analysis. A draft copy of my lecture will be
in systems analysis and the various tools of threat
analysis such as net assessments and input/output
in OP-96 and will-consist primarily of a tutorial
will be built upon my current duties.and experience
CIA Exchange. Officer
Office of. the Chief of"
Naval Operations . (OP-96)
.`-Invitation from Commandant
of`Canadian National Defence
:
;.College
STATINTL
-2-
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 ADMINISTRATIVE-INTERNAL USE nNLY
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SUBJECT: -Request to Give Lecture at the
Canadian National Defence College
ef, Cover and Commercial Staff
STATINTL.
STATINTL
APPROVED On the condition tha Ibe clearly identified as--'
- to cover cb ecti . Subject. i an overt wiployee, se t a -an Agency a an
officer with the `avy. le will lecture from a foxy perspective and will cot f#n#.kr*w1edg
of his Agercy n to the Co ani nt and ad 1nistration of the Canadian Defence
Cunene i-n1s;ss lds contrary visas
. T
2. Subject should clear his l e c t u r e e material in advance with the vy, presu aWl `T
through his supervisor Adriral Holcomb.
ADMINISTRATIVE-INTERNAL USE ONLY
an overt CIA employee in accordance with Mr.s .m.emorandum:-.-1
of 2 .January 1975:
STATINTLAssociate Deputy Director for
Intelligence
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OS 50295
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May I first introduce myself to you as Commandant of the National.
Defence College of Canada, located at Kingston, Ontario. I am writing to
ask_ you, if you would permit a member of your Division to address
Course XXVIII at the College.
NDC 1973-4/1
The National Defence College is a similar institution to the"National.
subjects.
claim a larger. share of our 47 week course than is devoted to purely military',,
over the 28 years of our life, studies in non-military fields have come to--.
nificantly affect. Canada's external and defence policies. - In the;programme:
those issues of national and international concern which determine or.sig
them to study together, in the atmosphere of an advanced graduate school,
The. College helps to prepare --senior military ,officers -and 'government
officials for appointment to positions of-higher responsibility by' enabling
of studies emphasis is laid as much on political,. economic: and,
and industry, as well as from the sea, land and air forces. ...Of-_the 37:mem-
from several federal government departments, provincial government, academe
considerations as on those of a military nature. The course members are at
States and one from Australia; the others are all Canadians. :
bets-on Course XXVIII, four'are.from Great Britain,:-four from the United
regional studies so as to better understand the major issues and challenges
in the world today. By.assessing likely trends and possible dangers'in
international affairs and by assessing our own national scene in this per-
spective, our last term seeks to throw new light on Canadian foreign and
defence policies.
major countries and regions of the world to gain a better understanding of
their strengths and weaknesses, how they are likely to develop in the fore-
seeable future and how they are likely to behave internationally... Towards
the end of the course we'bring together all of the separate national and
Each year the course opens with introductory studies on-the main areas'.
of governmental, political, industrial, economic. and military affairs in
Canada. For most of the balance of the year we turn our attention to the
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renamed the Royal College of. Defence Studies). in great Britain. However,
 the speakers as well, come to the, fore. ...
free discussion-that the real interests of the course members, and often of
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STATINTL
To address Course XXVIII on the subject of "Threat Analysis", 1 have
in mind Mr. who has been recommended by our Defence Liaison
Staff in Washington. The lecture is one of a series dealing with strategic
and military subjects and it is scheduled for 10 o'clock on the morning of
25 March 1975. To put the lecture into context with the remainder of the
study, I enclose a draft programme for the Strategic Study.
STATINTL
The College has a privileged plat.orm and all course members are
security cleared to Top Secret. Thus I I may speak freely in the
knowledge that anything he says will not be repeated outside the College or
to any later speaker here.
Lectures normally start at 10 a.m. and run for approximately 1+5
minutes after which there is a short coffee break followed by.a discussion
period which lasts -approximately 11-2 hours It- is durinl' tlh#.; period. of very
Should be able to come to the College -me -shall i of course,
meet all his travelling and other reasonable expenses. Weeare prepared to
cc.nrt n :staff car to meet him in Montreal. Toronto, Syracuse, or Watertown..
make the- detailed arrangements for. the visit when you advise us he will. be -
able to accept :and he is.in a position to give; ass his travel plans.-and.
arr a:igemen ts.....
We offer him an interested.and challenging audience .and a"worthwhile
forum. Further, h e cube .assured of a very 'warm welcome. I hope you will
be able to let Mr II accept. our invitation and I. look orward.-to hear-
Ing -from you - at, your convenience,
STATINTL
= Faith f'ul
_ Major-General .
Commandant National Defence College
En c,.
Rear. Admiral M: 'Stacer Holcomb
Navy Programs Planning Office
The Pentagon
Washington, D.C. 20301, U.S.A.
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Systems Analys-is Division
Ops96