CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001100280001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 5, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 30, 1953
• Content Type: REPORT

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004/0 /~P~~~'~975Q~
30 April 1953
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DnGt1MENT N0.
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Cl.r"^,S`~. c,1A.r1cEi~ TC~; 'f;~
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
State Dept. review completed
R'
TUP SECRET
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SUMMARY.
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GENERAL
1~ British and Italian Foreign Offices analyze Pravda article (page 3).
SOVIET UNION
SOUTHEAST ASIA
Cambodian uprising against French reportedly hinges on King's
decision (page 5).
Laotian leaders do not fear "Free Laos" Government (page 5).
NEAR EAST -AFRICA
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Britain protests Egyptian attacks on army vehicles in the Suez zone
(page 6).
7. Israeli terrorists may be trying to precipitate war with. Arabs
(P~e 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Italian Political Adviser foresees all Trieste under Italian
jurisdiction (page 8).
GJ/~ I
, rent ear ustrian views on treaty may un ercu es age .
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GENERAL
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1. British and Italian Foreign Offices analyze Pravda articled
t k
on Germany, but considers its attitude on Austria less cleans es al s
The Italian Foreign Ministry also feels. that
the USSR does not desire an over-all negotiated settlement but may be
willing to pay some price for a relaxation of international tension and a
slackening of the Western defense build-up. In the Foreign Ministry's
opinion, the effects of each concession, such as the exchange of Korean
prisoners of war9 will be carefully appraised by the Kremlin to estimate
how much more must be given to achieve its purpose.
ers. e
oreign Office sees no indication whatsoever that Moscow h
The British Foreign Office assesses the
Fravda .article on Eisenhower's speech as'
being primarily designed to continue propa-
ganda warfare, while at the same time
"lowering the international temperature."
It believes that the Soviet Union has kept
the door open, but is in no hurry for genuine
negotiations on substantive matt Th
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
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3' Cambodian uprising against French reportedly hinges on King's decision:
demands for greater autonomy are not met before 7 May. De Langlade
believes that the immediate return of the King, who is now in Tokyo, plus
the granting of some concessions is imperative.
Meanwhile, the King has informed French
Ambassador Dejean in Tokyo that he does not want to return to his country
"'empty-hand~d" and may remain indefinitely in Tokyo. Dejean and Japa-
nese sources, however9 believe that the King is not fostering open rebellion.
Comment: The King is apparently seizing on
France's present difficulties in aos to press his demands. He bitterly
resents the failure of the French to make concessions in appreciation of
his past cooperation.
There is immediate danger that Cambodian
loyal and dissident forces will join in armed
revolt against the French if the King orders
it, according to General de Langlade9 the local
French commander. De Langlade states that
the King's recent public criticism of the .French
has made him a national hero, and that his sup-
porters have been asked to rise if the King's
While it is probably true that the King is not
yet actively fostering rebellion9 mounting Cambodian resentment may
get beyond his control.
4. .Laotian leaders do not fear "Free Laos" Government:
tnaiiYerent to the implications of the Viet
Minh invasion
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Their leaders believe .they can make peace
w .t i a ~ ree Laos puppe government under Viet Minh control.
Commento Most of the leaders. of the present
French-sponsared Laotian .Government were at one- time members of an
anti-French rebel government9 and could probably adjust to such a role
again. The recent frustration by the French of Laotian efforts to bring
their case to the United Nations is likely to encourage accommodation to
the Viet Minha particularly if the French defense of the country proves
ineffectual.
6. Britain protests Egyptian attacks on army vehicles in the Suez zone:
British Ambassador Stevenson in Cairo has
complained to General Nagib about the "almost
daily" attacks by Egyptian civilians on British
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military vehicles in the Suez Canal zone. A British noncommissioned
officer was reportedly .killed and another wounded as the Ang1o~~Egyptian
talks were opening on 27 April.
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Nagib denied that Egyptian authorities have
any connection -with these incidents. Foreign Minister- Fawzi indicated
to Ambassador Gaffery that opponents of the Nagib regime are probably
responsible.
Gommento These incidents may jeopardize
the success of the Anglo-Egyptian defense talks, which, according to
both British and Egyptian officials9 opened in a friendly atmosphere.
Censorship has suppressed reports of more
than 50 attacks involving the theft of British vehicles and small arms
which have occurred since Januarys 20 of which took place in April.
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7. Israeli terrorists may be trying to precipitate war with Arabs;
American Consul General Tyler reports that
an Israeli investigation of the fighting in
Jerusalem on 22 April indicates that an
Israeli terrorist gang may be endeavoring
o prectpi a e war a ween the two countries. Tyler comments that
this gang may have been responsible for hitherto unexplained murders
blamed on Arabs.
Gommento Young Israeli terrorists are the
successors to the undergroun~c organizations which helped create the
country. These elements have been pressing for expansion of Israel
and may have been encouraged to carry on their activities by th.e govern-
ment's readiness. to blame the Arabs for recent border incidents.
Tyler considers the present situation "the
most grimly serious threat to peace since the armistice was signed"
in 1949,
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WESTERN EUROPE
8. Italian Political Adviser foresees all Trieste under Italian jurisdiction:
The Italian Political Adviser in Trieste con-
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i
on
greatly of late in favor of actual format
of a Free. Territory of Trieste as provided
by the Italian Peace Treaty of 1947. Such a move9 he told American
and British officials in Trieste9 would get the Yugoslavs out of Zone B,
and in view of the "trend of international events" would result in the
return to Italy in the "not distant future" of the entire territory.
Comment: The Italian Political Adviser's
suggestion is completely unrea istic since the Yugoslavs now hold Zone
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10. French fear Austrian views on treaty may undercut Westo
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notifying Moscow of the West's willingness to withdraw the abbreviated
treaty draft.
The French Foreign Ministry has informed
the American Embassy in Paris that it still
considers it inadvisable to call afour-power
meeting on the Aus?rian treaty without f first
The Foreign Ministry furthermore fears that
should Western insistence on revision of the long treaty draft delay its
conclusion, the Austrians might place the West in a difficult position
by advising the Russians that they are prepared to accept the- long draft
without revision..
The French consider that ultimately the West
will probably have to accept Article 35 of the long treaty which provides
for considerable economic advantages to the USSR.
Commento While it seems unlikely that the
Austrians would deliberately attempt to embarrass the West in an effort
to obtain a, treaty, Western differences over possible terms fora settle-
ment are probably already well known to the Russians and would be ex-
ploited by them if they were prepared to terminate the Austrian occupa-
tion.
Although the Austrian Government is ready
to accept the long treatya it has publicly maintained that the question of
its acceptability is a question for the Austrian Parliament to decide.
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