CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000600450001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 30, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 16, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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16 April 1952
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Copy o. 52
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DIA and DOS review(s)
completed.
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN oo`
DOCUMENT NO. a
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
! 1 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS Qy
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HR 70-
. REVIEWER: -
DATED '--T
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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F-Office of Current Intelligence
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Approves
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SUMMARY
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FAR EAST
3. Viet Minh division survives concentrated French assault (page 4).
SOUTH ASIA
4. Future of Kashmir negotiations still undecided (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Shah still unwilling to remove Prime Minister Mossadeq (page 5).
LA TIN .AMERICA
8. American Embassy predicts copper strike in Chile (page 7
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FAR EAST
3. Viet Minh division survives concentrated.. French assault:
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The Assistant US Army Attache in Hanoi
reports that the Viet Minh 320th Division,
which has been the target of a major clearing
operation by the bulk of French mobile ground
forces and aircraft in Tonkin over the past several weeks, is still in .
"fairly good condition:' A new operation against this division is scheduled
to start soon.
Comment: As late as 13 April, American
officials in Saigon were led to believe, on the basis of casualty figures
supplied by the French Army, that "the 320th's capabilities as an entire
unit have been reduced to practically zero for several months to come."
Reports from French sources on this campaign
follow a previously noted pattern -- highly optimistic and misleading
claims during the progress of an operation, followed by far more moderate
estimates of the significance of the concluded operation.
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SOUTH ASIA
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The Pakistani Government has informed
United Nations Representative Graham that
it desires to see his full report on the Kashmir
situation before committing itself to continuing
negotiations. The government also desires
clarification of the part to be played in the
negotiations by Admiral Nimitz, plebiscite
administrator -designate.
Comment: The Pakistani Government can do
little to influence decisions in its favor except
to display belligerency or hesitancy from time
to time. It cannot long refuse to participate in further discussions without
endangering its prestige and security, and it may be expected to acquiesce
in the relatively near future.
The Indian Government is not likely to reverse
its earlier agreement to the resumption of talks. It has left itself an
avenue of escape, however, by raising the possibility of delaying the
eventual plebiscite by refusing to apppint Admiral Nimitz as plebiscite
administrator on the grounds that his impartiality would be open to question.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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Removal of the Mossadeq government, the Shah
told the American Ambassador on 13 April,
might come about by its own resignation, by
Majlis action, or by intervention of the Crown.
e added, owever, a the time was not yet ripe for the Crown to act.
4. Future of Kashmir negotiations still undecided:
5. Shah still unwilling to remove Prime Minister Mossadeq:
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The Shah said that the present government's
popularity was decreasing while his was increasing, and predicted that
Mossadeq would retire when his government was thoroughly discredited.
He hoped that it would be replaced by one more friendly toward the West
and that the United States would then assist Iran.
Comment: Mossadeq has been meeting with
the newly- elected Majlis diput- ies to explain his economic and financial
program and learn their reactions. In contrast, the Shah recently re-
fused to advise a group of deputies who called for instructions.
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LATIN AMERICA
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American Embassy predicts copper strike in Chile:
already marginal operation at Portrerillos, and would put the larger but
more economical operation at Chuquicamata in the red. He adds that
the company can increase wages only if it receives a more favorable ex-
change rate.
With regard to the copper strike threatened
for 25 April in Chile, an Anaconda official has
stated that the slightest increase in operating
costs would force his company to shut., down the
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The US Embassy comments that "the uncompro-
mising position of management, when coupled with the equally unc ampromis-
ing position of copper labor," makes an industry-wide copper strike inevitable
unless the Chilean Government agrees to issue a new copper exchange decree.
This appears unlikely, since a similar decree was declared unconstitutional
last year.
Comment: The president of the Chilean Copper
Workers Confederation earl er this month regarded a copper strike at the
Anaconda and Braden mines as inevitable. Anaconda's Chuquicamata and
Portrerillos mines produced about 160,000 and 40,000 metric tons respectively
in 1951.
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