CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000300220001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 16, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 24, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Remise 20S OR: C&EGR.ETAoQD 0022028)(
24 July 1951
opyNo. s- q
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
OCCUMENTNQ.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
f' DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: H 0-
DATE- O '0 REVIEWER: F
Office of Current, Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
State Department review completed
TOP SECRET
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
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French and British cool toward UN trade talks.with USSR (page
SOUTH ASIA
3. Hindu-Moslem disorders may threaten peace in South Asia (page 4).
EASTERN EUROPE
Comment on Polish anniversary ceremonies (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
New restrictions placed on entry of East Germans into West, Berlin
(page).
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ritish cool
and
tal
The UK representative on the Control
Committee for East-West trade is strongly
opposed to holding a 20 August meeting of
the Economic Commission for Europe, to
which the USSR has accepted an invitation. The UK representative
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termed the Soviet acceptance a "clever propaganda device" calculated
to provide the opportunity for dangling prospects of better living con-
ditions before the Western European countries at a time when the UK
balance of payments situation is deteriorating and export controls
against the Soviet bloc are being tightened,
The French representative has Indicated
that his country would "keep in close touch" with the British on this
matter.
Comment, The UK's vigorous opposition
stems both from its recognition of the futility of any effort to expand
East-West trade while the US position remains unchanged and from
the government's fear that the dissident Bevan group would eagerly
exploit the anticipated Soviet propaganda,
French cooperation with US East-West
trade control policies has been more willing In the past year,
Recently, France has resisted strong Polish demands for molybdenum
and nickel, and has agreed only tens tively to give the Poles a limited
quantity of aluminum in an effort to obtain desperately needed coal,
Some French Government economists will be strongly tempted, however,
to encourage increased imports of food and raw materials from the East,
They would consider these as complementary to a larger volume of US-
financed imports of consumer goods, an anti.-inflationary measure now
advocated by some French officials.
SOUTH ASIA
Hindu-Moslem disorders ma threaten peace in South Asia.
Hindu-Moslem riots, rather than Indian
and Pakistani military movements near
Kashmir, constitute the greatest potential
threat to peace in South Asia, according
to the US Embassies in New Delhi and
Karachi. Both embassies feel that
communal disorders would spread rapidly
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and would be difficult to control.Once .they had begun.
Comment.; To date there has been little
evidence that Hindu-Moslem riots were likely to occur as a result9f
Indo-Pakistani friction. over Kashmir. Early in 1950, . during a period
of tension resulting from economic warfare, communal rioting broke
out on a; considerable scale. ~t was quickly and energetically suppressed,
however, when both governments recognized how quickly it could lead to
warp
EASTERN EUROPE
Comment on Polish anniversary ceremonies-
For the first time, the Polish National
holiday ceremonies on 22 July were attended by many of the highest
ranking Orbit notables. The presence of Zhukov and Molotov and the
tenor of the latter's speech suggest that the occasion was used as a
preliminary justification to Poland for new Soviet moves favoring East
Germany0.
Commemorating the occasion in a public
address, Molotov stressed the benefits Poland has gained from its
friendly post-war relationship with East Germany and particularly the
USSR. He pointed out that these friendships enabled Poland to avoid
fviiowi the deviationist path of Yugoslavia or reverting to its dis-
astrous pre-war policy of playing Teuton against Slav. Molotov's
reference to Yugoslavia ~-ppeasto be more a warning. to the Poles of
what a Satellite should not do than a threat to Yugoslavia.
Zhukov's appearance in Warsaw, his first
outside the USSR since 1946, may be connected with the USSR.' s new
effort to stress peaceful cooperation with the West. During the last
war Zhukov achieved much prominence and popularity in Russia, and
An the immediate postwar period he was on good terms with the Western
commanders in Berlin. Later the Kremlin relegated him to the
obscurity of a comparatively unimportant military command in the
interior of the USSR.
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WESTERN. EUROPE.
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New restrictions placed on entry of East Germans Into West Berlin;
The East German Minister of Interior has
ordered that, effective immediately, all
motor vehicles traveling between East
Germany and East Berlin are forbidden to
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transit West Berlin en route.
Indications were also received that, after
20 July, international passes-will be required for East German residents
desiring to enter West Berlin, Local US officials state that these
restrictions may be preliminary to the Communists' World Youth Fes-
tival scheduled to be held from 5-19 August in East Berlin.
Comment.- These latest restrictions suggest
that the planners of %h forthcoming World Youth Festival are anxious
to prevent a repetition of events at the 1950 Berlin Youth Bally, when
large numbers of East German participants visited West Berlin despite
Soviet efforts to prevent their exposure to Western influence.
Moreover, British officials reportedly
believe that the new restrictions on motor fravel may be a further Soviet
attempt to combat the smuggling of illegal. goods into West Berlin.. The
USSR cited such smuggling as the reason for their current restrictions
against West Berli.n? s exports.
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