CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000200250001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 21, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 17, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

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17 May 1951
Copy oa
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
[- DECLASSIFIED
CLASS, CH,^ NOECD TC? TS
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTN. f ~R I
DATE
.Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
DOS review(s) completed.
05-
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SUMMARY
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FAR. EAST.
2. ' De Lattre again . e ibis antagonism toward S, econom c-aid to Indo-
china (page 3).
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NEAR. EAST
Pakistan will send troops to Korea if US supports it against India
and Afghanistan (page. 5).
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ayj 4. --
EASTERN EUROPE
J5. Tito seeks tanks and artillery from the West (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
Peoples s Party exploits Communist support of Socialists (page 6).
Austrian export control effort assessed (page 7).
De Gaulle". s ourse expected to aid Communists in 17 June
elections age 7).
LATIN AMERICA
10. Military junta ousts Bolivil President (page 8).
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FAR EAST
De Lattre again exhibits antagonism toward US economic aid to Indo-
china:
a truly National Army is intelligent and beneficial, De Lattre has,
however, evidenced in creased determination to exclude ttforeign"
(i0 eo , American) influence from French-Viet relations. De Lattre
US Minister Heath in Saigon reports that,
while General de Lattret s "appatent new
policy" of respecting Vietnamese aspira-
tions and his support for the creation of
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 isparticulariy suspicious of the E.CA,program, .and any mention of
US economic. aid. In. Indochina in the leading. French* language news-
paper (which is controlled by the French .High Commissariat) is now
strictly prohibited, The first unpleasant public incident between
Heath and De. Lattre took place. recently when the general,, in. the
presence of several other officials, told Heath there would be more
housing for US military aid personnel in Saigon "if you would get rid
of some of your ECA men and your American missionaries. 11
Comment; Thedeveloping ECA program
inn :Indochina has already evoked enthusiastic response from. the Viet-
namese in those areas where it has been applied and promises in the
future to be a vial. factor in undermining the prestige and influence
of Ho Chi Minh's movement, De Lattre?s previous criticisms of ECA
have .been. interpreted as resul:i~g from temporary pique, but it now
appears that he actually possesses a deep-seated antagonism toward
US economic aide
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NEAR.. EAST
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Pakistan will send troops to Korea if US supports itgainst India and
affix.
Prime Minister. Liaquat All Khan. of Pakistan
has assured the US.Ambas.sador in Karachi
of his government's willingness to provide
one division of troops for service in Korea
if the US is prepared to. support Pakistan against. India, in the matter
of Kashmir and against Afghanistan An the matter of Pushtoonnistan.
The Prime Minister stated that the US.. should commit.itself to his
country's support just as it asked Pakistan to make a decision that,
in his opinion, would constitute an irrevocable tie- to the West.
EASTERN EUROPE
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5. Tito seeks tanks and artillery from the West
Germany that the talks are based on arms requirement lists submitted
by Yugoslavia to the, US and UK. The lists include lightand medium
artillery, tanks, and other items. The Department can find no evidence
that the Yugoslav decision to inform the US and UK of Yugoslav military
requirements was based on an estimate that hostilities are imminent.
In reply to a query regarding Yugoslav arms
aid talks in Washington between the US, UK
and France, the Department of State has
informed the US High Commissioner in
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WESTERN EUROPE
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7.,. People?s Party exploits Communist support of Socialists:
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US High Commissioner Donnelly in Vienna
states that the Communist decision to support
Socialist candidate Koerner in the run-off
presidential election on 27 May represents
the most skillful Communist effort to date
to drive a wedge between the Serialist Party
and its coalition partner, the conservative
People?s Party., The Socialist Party re-
sponded to the Communist maneuver by instructing its officials to re-
ject every Communist offer of cooperation in the Koerner campaign.
Nevertheless, the People's Party press is playing up the "Marxist
danger" and has termed the Communist decision a "momentous clari-
ficationn9 " intimating that the Socialists deliberately chose a candidate
who was acceptable to the Communists.
Comment: The People's Party, although
well aware that the Socialists do not want Communist support, is un-
willing to abandon a propaganda theme that has been effective in the
past. Communist support cannot elect. Koerner, if, as expected,
People?s Party candidate Gleisner picks up the large minor party
vote that went to the rightist candidate in the 6 May presidential elec-
tion. However, the strain put upon the present coalitionOovernment
will be very great
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Austrian_ export control effort assessed.
limitations imposed -by the Soviet occupation,. has gone. as.far. as
possible in thwarting Soviet economic penetration of Austria and in
denying the USSR strategic materials. The Austrians must be circum-
spect in their efforts to control this trade because of the ever-present
possibility of Soviet retaliation, which could result either in the par-
tition of Austria or in restrictions upon shipments from the Soviet
zone to other parts of Austria Only a small number of items subject
to embargo are produced in Austria,' but the USSR would retaliate im-
mediately if the action were taken to control transit shipments origi-
nating in other Western countries, and furthermore, the Austrian
Government has no controls over the exports of the Soviet authorities
and plants. In matters of trade, Austria has been conceding to Eastern
Europe only what has been necessary to obtain essential Austrian im-
ports (principally coal) and to maintain the Eastern markets for Austrian
goods that do not sell in the West. US officials declare that the con-U
tinued orientation of Austria's trade toward the West will gradually
further curtail Austria's dependence upon the East for raw materials
and markets,
US Legation and ECA officials in Austria
report the Austrian Government is co-
operating. effectively with the US in con-
trolling East-West trade and,. given the
Comment, Although the Austrian Government
doubtless tries to control trade with the East, its ability to do so is
limited because of the predominance of Soviet influence in Austrian
Soviet firms not only produce large quantities of 1-B items in Austria,
but Soviet-controlled shipping companiev, in Viennft are actively en-
gaged in buyT.ng up required items throughout Western Europe and
sending them East
9. De Gaulle?s ~ourse expected to aid Communists in 17 June elections:
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As the French electoral campaign opens,
the comparative apathy of the electorate
promises to hurt all parties except the
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Communists. The Right, however, is expected to. show "substantial
gains, 11. presumably at the expense of the Center. If all non-Communist
parties formed electoral alliances,. they could obtain ..the majorities
necessary to eliminate. Communist representation,- but De Gaulle has
ruled out this possibility by refusing. to allow his party's candidates
to affiliate. with other parties. Since this decision will actually reduce
the number of seats De Gaulle can expect, to win,. he is evidently more
anxious to undermine the strength of the Center than to decrease Com-
munist representation.. Both the Gaullists and the Communists, by
ignoring the Center in their respective campaigns, hope to attract
those middle-of-the-road elements which could be expected to vote
for one extreme in protest agai bst the other.
Comment: A gradual trend toward the Right
in French politics has been observed since 19479 and De Gaulle's
Rally of the French People can be expected to become a major party
in the next Assembly at the expense principally of the centrist Popular
Republicans. The Communist Party, whose strength has shown little
or no decline in Assembly by-elections, is likely to benefit from the
growing inflation. Electoral reform was intended to reduce Communist
representation sharply, but its effect has been largely counterbalanced
by De Gaulle' s 'njunction against electoral alliances.
LATIN AMERICA
100 Military junta
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Defenses
ousts Bolivian President.
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President Urriolagoitia has left Bolivia
following the military coup of 15 May, and
a military junta has installed General
Bailiviann as President and Minister of
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Comment- It has been expected that a mili-
tary junta would take. over the. Bolivian Government. in order to counter
the anticipated revolutionary activity of the Nationalist Revolutionary
Movement. Additional. incentives for effecting the coup at this time
were probably- (a) the increasing public. comment, in favor of permitting
the Nationalist Revolutionary Movement to. assume. power,. and (b) the
return from exile of a7`MNR._labor leader who directed the violent
strikes at Catavi in 1949 and who, the junta fears, may again incite
- violence among the minerse The junta is expected to attempt to main-
tain the normal. flow of tin to the US.
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