ORE COMMENTS ON THE DULLES REPORT

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CIA-RDP86B00269R000500030016-6
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December 15, 2016
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March 3, 2003
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16
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February 14, 1949
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agIFo Approved For Remise 2003/OIOPCISEGU100269RO 500030016-6 114 February 19119 MEMORANDUM FOR THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE SUBJECT : ORE Comments on the Dulles Report REFERENCE: Memorandum, 26 January 1949, from Deputy Director 1. Attached hereto, in accordance with the request contained in reference memorandum, are the ORE comments on the Dulles Report. 2. ORE's comments are organized in two sections as follows: a. Section I, General Statement, contains three parts, treating ORE objectives in reviewing the report, the ORE reaction to the report as a whole, and a summary of ORE recommendations made in Section II. be Section II contains comments on those specific conclusions and recommendations in the report which affect ORE. Assistant Director Reports and Estimates Approved For Releas 2993/ RDP86B00269R000500030016-6 ny, 25X1 C~opY~t~ Approved For ReleNKe 2003/03MpC LiB00269R00GA0030016-6 ~n-z rya OFFICE OF REPORTS AND ESTIMATES _QOMMENTS on the DULLES COMMITTEE REPORT TO THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL ON THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY AND NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR INTELLIGENCE TOP SECRET - ~s ~ Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B0026 050003001,-6 Approved For Rele 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R000030016-6 TOP SECRET 1. GENERAL STATEMENT The Objectives of ORE in Reviewing the Dulles Reports Yn reviewing the Dulles Report, the Office of Reports and Estimates has as its basic objective, not self-justification or the denial of admitted shortcomings, but a genuinely constructive effort to shed the light of practical working experience upon the problem of improving the produc- tion of the intelligence upon which United States policy should be based. ORE has, therefore, proceeded to examine the recommendations con- tained in the Dulles Report,, has pointed out certain impractical aspects, and has indicated how the recommendations might be most effectively implemented. ORE considers that its ultimate acquaintance with the actual problems involved in the production of national intelligence enable it, with the help of the detached perspective of the Dulles Report, to sug- gestt concrete means for carrying out the principles underlying the Report. ORE Reaction to the Report as a Whole. The Dulles Report is an admirable effort to re-direct CIA to fundamen- tals and first principles in the production of national intelligence; it pro- poses in effect a return to the coiacepts developed at the close of the war during two years of earnest and intense discussion among the most exper_ fenced intelligence personnel in Washington. The observations of the Committee appear accurate, and its objectives are sound; but its conclu- sions are in many respects faulty, and the recommendations for their attainment are in many cases impracticable. Although the proposals bearing on this Office lack, perhaps by intent, both precision and detail, ORE believes that sound administration of the suggested organization, combined with strong NSC direction to the 1AC agencies to make their facilities available to Ceti., could bring about improved intelligence production,. Mice Report g s greatest weakness stems from the Co mitteel's restricted concept of the extent to which the departmental intelligence activities needed to be investigated in order to appraise their relationship to the operations of CI . Although the Committee claimed to appreciate the danger of consider- t.ng CIA activities alone and frankly stated that some correctives were needed outside CM, specific recommendations were addressed only to C. and an TOP SECRET , ,2 $Z/ Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : tr_r Approved For Rele 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R000030016-6 TOP SECRET indefensible share of responsibility for Ch.'s admitted. shortcomings was attributed to the Director. The resulting Report contains many acute observations but it also embodies recommendations Which could not by themselves bring about the desired results. 3. Summary of ORE Recommendations. On the basis of the datailed comments (to be found in Section II) on the conclusions and recommendations of the. ulies Report, ORE makes the following summary recommendations. (1) NSCID #1 and NSCID #3 should be revised to: (a) redefine CIA's intelligence production responsibilities as -et forth In Section II, paragraph 1 b; (b) define those intelligence categories, in fields of common interest, which should be produced centrally by CIA: (c) (d) clarify and define departmental intelligence responsibilities to CI ; require departmental intelligence agencies to grant priority to the production of intelligence required by CIA; and clarify IAC coordination procedures on CIA estimates as recommended in Section Il, paragraph 4 Reorganization of ORE may be required to provide for the pro- duction of national intelligence estimates, as distinguished from central research in intelligence fields of common concern. Such reorganization should not be attempted. however, until the action in paragraph (1) above has been completed. ORE should not be divided into t vo separate C Offices for the purpose of separating the two types of intelligence pro- duction unless the need for such action is proved and demonstrated. (3) ORE agrees that ICAPS should be responsible solely to CIA and not to the department agencies its members are supposed to represent. It strongly recommends, however., that ICAPS should not be reconstituted TOP SECRET z r fi c Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R000500030016-6 Approved For Rb. se 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP8613002691 0500030016-6 TOP SECRET along the lines suggested in the Report, but shoe' be replaced by a working staff acting for a Council, composed of the DCI and his Assistant Directors, and established to deal with intelligence problems of concern to two or more, offices of CIA. The Assistant Directors concerned should attend all meetings of the IAC standing committee, (4) ORE has no desire to operate the CIA library nor to assume the functions of the Foreign Documents Branch, as long as such ser- vices continue to be conducted in support of ORE. It is recommended, therefore, that these two functions remain where they are or be merged as a library service within OCD. (5) ORE regards as one of its major responsibilities the furnishing of specific and long-range guidance to 00 and OSO collection facilities, through the development of coordinated interdepartmental requirements for information. It recommends that this function should not be decen- tralized to 00 and OSO. (6) ORE direct working-level relations with NSC9 JCS, and the State Department Policy Planning Staff should be authorized in order () to enable ORE to receive the guidance necessary for its production effort, and (b) to give more direct and effective intelligence support to policy and operational levels. TOP SECRET '/ ! rfd Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R000500030016-6 I / Approved For'1ease 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B002600500030016-6 TOP SECRET ORE COMMENTS ON SPECIFIC DULLES REPORT CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS I. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter V (1). In the C c aural Intelligence Agency there has been confusion between a Espons o rp o cing coordinated national intellig ce estimates and responsibilitLfor miscellaneous research and retort- ing activities. The various reports studies and summaries which are not national intelligence or recognized services of com rnon concern slshoulc be disconinued. .~ .~ a. These two points have been considered together as they are part of t:n~ same problem. b. ORE believes that what the Dulles Committee describes as "con- fusion" has resulted from CIA's recognition of Its threefold responsibilities as the producer of national estimates, as the intelligence facility of the NSC, and as the agency responsible for performing services of common concern. The Committee has failed to recognize the gap that exists between CIA's explicit responsibilities, as set forth in NSCID #3, and CIA's implicit respon- llltts as the Intelligence facility of the NSC. Moreover, NSCID #3 is so rigid with respect to CIA s production responsibilities and so flexible with respect to those of the departmental intelligence agencies that its usefulness as a working document is seriously impaired. The Committee's conclusion is made on the basis of a dangerously limited view of CIA's responsibilities for intelligence production. Such responsibilities should be considered not colely in terms of the production. of "coordinated national inte ence esiihates and "intelli ence in fields of common interest"" but also in terms'- of CIA s role as the intelligence facility of the President, the National Security Corm cil and such agencies as may be designated by them. c. CIA intelligence production responsibilities should include the following, and NSCID #l and NSCID #3 should be modified accordingly to include a revised :od more appropriate definition of national intelligence: fl TOP SECRET , _ 8 v Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R00050003001 CQ6 Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter VI (4). Approved For elease 200 11gE@IA P86B00269 00500030016-6 (1) To produce intelligence required to reduce to a minimum the element of surprise in foreign situations and developments which affect U national security. (2) To produce coordinated intelligence estimates required for national planning, policy and operational decisions. (3) To produce intelligence required to support those agencies designated by the NSC to receive it. (4) To produce intelligence in fields of common interest to CIA and the departmental intelligence agencies, including economic and scientific intelligence. (5) To produce intelligence required for CIA estimates not normal to any departmental responsibilities. d. It should be noted that paragraph c (2) above is the only category of intelligence which conforms to the definition of national intelligence in NSCID #3. 2. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter V (2). The provisions of the National Securit Act for the production of national intelligence estimates, as inter reted by the National Security Council Intelligence-Directives are sound but have not been effectively carried out. a. ORE concurs in the assertion that the provisions of the National Security Act for the production of national intelligence estimates are sound, but does not concur in the statement that these provisions are adequately interpreted by the NSCID's, particularly in NSCID #1 and NSCID #3. b. ORE has taken this position for reasons cited in paragraph 1 b and -c above, and for the following additional reasons: (1) - The directives do not provide for adequate treatment of the matter of priority within the departmental intelligence agencies with respect to their support of CIA. Consequently, CIA is unable to make optimum use of departmental intelligence and cannot depend upon timely departmental action in meeting CIA commitments and deadlines. TOP SECRET z 1fo Approved For Release 200 / /1 I P86B00269R000500030016; Approved For*lease 200 W1 & P86B0026*000500030016-6 (2) The directives do not adequately allocate production responsibilities and do not define intelligence fields of common concern. 3. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter V (3) There should be created in the Central Intelligence Agency _ _ a sma Estimates Division w is won w u and review the specialized intelligence pr Mt R 19 e r e a e ivies in order to Aregw e coordinated national Intelligence st mates. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter VI (1) In addition to the Estimates Division recommended in the previous Chapter, there should be created out of the present Office of ReportsEstimates a'Itesearc_an Re orts Divi- sion to accomplish central research in and coordinated r ac- tion of Intelligence in fields of common interests. The staff this Division should include sufficient re resentation from the state Department and Services to Insure that their needs are adequately met. a. These two recommendations have been considered to- gether inasmuch as they are part of the same problem. ,, Partially because the Report is vague concerning the details of the proposed reorganization, opinion is divided in ORE on the necessity or desirability of a drastic internal reorganization now. However, if the Committee's recommendation means that the Estimates Division is to be large enough to provide its own relatively high level research support, the recommendation is workable and might result In simplification of the process of producing estimates. Similarly, the proposed Research and Reports Division, including a basic economic research unit as well as the present Tap Branch and such other facilities as might be determined to belong there, could profitably operate aart from the Estimates Division. It must be pointed out, how- ever, that these recommendations are made within the framework pp C E o Approved For Release 2003/03/12ECIA RDP86B00269R0005000300 6 6l "2C.cwd- Approved Forfease 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B002600500030016-6 TOP SECRET of the entire Report. It would be highly inadvisable to separate the present ORE functions without making sure that correspond- ing changes will be brought about in the functions and facilities of thP devartmental intelligence agencies, particularly in their relationships to CIA. It should also be recognised that decentrali- tiem of intelligence production responsibilities, as recommended In the Report, necessarily Involves substantial problems of co- ordination, flow, routing, and priorities of access to source materials and raises the potential danger of an even greater duplication of effort than now exists. A. ORE therefore believes that these recommendations are premature. Their implementation should be seriously con- sidered only after NSCU) #1 and NSCII) #3 have been revised and the subsequent effect reviewed. 4. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter V (4) Under the leadership of these estimates s approeal by the reconstituted bnce Advisory Committee whose snem- rs 1 oulcfiassnme co ec vie es Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter V (5) ___,_ML, a d be made in these arra ements for the handl of crisis situations ho;7co___o_r'dtnat&d a es a re- _uired without delay. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter V (6) Coordinated Intelligence estimates produced in in or-Mr- ec ive, be recogn ed as estimates available to the policy makers. a. These three recommendations have been considered to- get&,r as parts of the same problem. b. ORE cinnot agree with the view that members of the IAC should assume collective responsibility for CIA estimates. it is considered that the main question is what sort of estimate should emerge from the national intelligence structure. Those TOP SECRET 6 Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R0005000306-4~6 `2 /,F 11-17 / Approved For lease 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B002600500030016-6 TOP SECRET who developed the original concept of a central intelligence group had clearly In mind the ever-present factor of departmental bias as well as the shortcomings of joint intelligence, which often produces esti- mates so watered down in the process of reaching agreement as to be valueless. CIA estimates can be free from such faults only if they are produced with full cognizance of departmental views but without subservience to departmental prejudices. IAC review of CIA drafts should undertake to eliminate minor or apparent differences but not to gloss over divergences of unformed opinion. The resultant esti- mate must be essentially that of CIA and not that of the IAC collectively. Any statements of dissent should be limited to substantial and well- defined issues, as the directt ves now provide. Moreover, these directives should be further modified to restrict dissent to the field of responsibility of the dissenting agency. (For example, ONI has an terest In political matters but is not responsible for estimates in that field, and CIA should not be required to publish a dissent by ONI on purely political matters if OIR concurs In the CIA position.) The logic of OR.E's contention is simply that, just as a dissenting mem- ber of the TAC cannot be expected to share in the responsibility for a CIA estimate in which he dissents, so, by extension, CIA has sole responsibility for its estimates, even when IAC concurrence is complete, and does not share this responsibility collectively with the members of the IAC. Concurrence should fortify the estimate; it should not create an artificial responsibility. The Dulles Report does not reflect a clear understanding of this vital aspect of the coordination theory. To the Committee, "national" intelligence is merely "coordinated" intelligence, and coordinated intelligence is joint intelligence, at the mercy of departmental bias. p, Although the Report favors the method of preparing drafts in an ad hoc committee, the experience of ORE (including the example of "Project 50", cited by the Committee), shows that this procedure is time-consuming and inef#icieit. ORE believes that coordination pro- cedures will be effective only if its own estimates personnel produce the initial draft as a basis for discussion with a permanent, full-time, substantively competent IAC committee, prior to the submittal of the to the estimates to the Director for IAC action. d. ORE agrees that there must be effective means for handling crisis situations. In the light of past experience, some modification of the present DCI 3/1 procedures may now be necessary. p. ORE believes that its estimates must earn their distinction as the most authoritative intelligence available to the policy-makers. It is, however, recommended that the NSC enjoin the policy makers to give CIA such guidance in matters pertaining to national policy that CIA intelligence support will be more directly responsive to their needs. _JOP SECRET Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R0005000300 6- fe Approved For (ease 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B002600500030016-6 TOP SECRET 5. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter VI (2). The C o o r d i n a t i o n Division ( r e c o n s t i t u t e d I n t e r d e p a r t m e n t a l Coor- stud the acf s the Researc an i on and for nS2mmg those services of common concern which should be performed centrally y. A. ORE believes that a revised draft of NSCID #3 should determine the actual scope of Intelligence production in fields of common concern and that this should be done whether or not the proposed reorganization of ORE is adopted. ORE recommends that this Office be given the respon- sibility, in collaboration with the IAC Standing Committee, for re-drafting NSCID #3 for these purposes. J Further comments on the ORE concept of the reconstituted ICAPS function are included in 7 below. 6. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter VI (3). T me r r of es consider att her du eparatic n the Central Intelligence Agency the need for such summaries of the licat of indivi summaries and deoartmar o prepare existence a r cap- abuff-190 a. ORE does not concur in this recommendation or Its implications. In referring to CIA current intelligence publications as "essentially political summaries," the Report properly indicates that those publica- tions are based to a considerable degree on State DepartnnEnt materials. However, a major cause for this preponderance of State Department materials is that Army and Navy do not, as State does, make their highest level intelligence and operational materials available to CIA . A strong NSC directive is required to remedy this situation. Concerning the problem of duplication, ORE believes that such duplication is more apparent than real. Each of the departmental agencies produces periodic summaries which are designed for a specific audience, and no one of those publications could meet the needs of the other audiences. (Even the State Department summaries are specialized; they are diplomatic summaries for readers with an intimate knowledge of diplomatic o`peraffans.) CIA current intel- ligence publications are the only ones designed primarily for the President and the NSC. ORE believes that only CIA has the perspective and the freedom from bias necessary for proper performance of this delicate and significant function. TOR SECRET Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R000500030t 1i=6,4(" 16 Approved For`'R+Iease 20(3(9#I1gE@-"P86B002600500030016-6 b. The President and the members of the NSC have repeatedly ex- pressed their approval of the CIA Daily and Weekly Summaries. Although the Report makes no specific recommendation concerning the CIA monthly "Review of the World Situation", the publication has been well received, insofar as ORE has been able to ascertain. 7. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter IV (7). The ICAPS should be reconstituted as a staff re s sibIe onl to the Director of Central Intelligence with the task of deve pping~alans _for the coordination of Intel ence activities. _., ORE does not concur in the recommendation that in its reconstituted form ICAPS or the proposed "Coordination Division" should function as recommended in the report. b. ORE recommends that ICAPS be replaced by a council of Assistant Directors which will advise the Director on matters of intelligence policy and and interdepartmental coordination, and which will prepare drafts of NSCID's and 1)CI's to implement such proposals. c. The council of Assistant Directors wider the ORE proposal would require a Secretariat to formulate agenda,circulate drafts of papers, arrange and schedule meetings, record conclusions reached,and cause approved plans, policies and directives to be promulgated. 4., Under this proposal, the DCI would be represented on the IAC Standing Committee by the AD or AD's concerned with the problems under discussion. 8. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter IV (8). The esgonsibilities of the OCD with respect to the coordination of collect Qn re uirements a ue `aa'c~`t ie d ems' of intelligence should be carried out under the new Coordination Dives onijs subiect to future determination of the extent to which individual offices m conduct their own dissemination. a. ORE does not agree that the OCD function is appropriate in any sense to its concept of the working staff function recommended for the reconstituted ICAPS in paragraph 9 above. -10- TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R000500030 6-6,z/ kd Approved For'Iease 2O J I j P86BOO26W000500030016-6 9. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter VII (4). The Foreign Documents Branch should be made part of the proposed Research and Reports' __ 6ne s .crea_e' a. Because the FDB function is basically a "source exploitation facility',"involving a substantial library and reference function, ORE considers that FDB should remain in 00 or be attached to the CIA library. The library should 3n turn remain in OCD as a central ser- vice to all CIA components. 10. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter XI (5). There 'should be effective coordination between the work of the IC .0~.1..11.I.Mf1.0 rRIAMO-MR.[R..RW+'Y.1 .r.ll~rr~i-- in the field of militar estimates and that of the CIA and LAC in the field of national estimates. a. ORE believes that intelligence production can be effectively coordinated only at the working level and that ORE representation to the NSC as well as the JIC is necessary. b. It is strongly recommended., therefore, that the ORE have the responsibility for conducting working-level liaison on substantive intelligence matters with NSC and JIC. 11. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter XII (1). The State Department, to which the NSC has assigned dominant interest in the collection, and r e io_ n o o i Ica cdlfilr ai- and sociological intelligence s iii itself ade ely to meet the eai ima e r eu ements o e an o er igenceencles for suc _ ence. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter XII (2). The s, i e 0 d- c _e s t ent search and Yntelli ence ;Sttt#t d!,es not now have sufficient rsalo.alym a.xresa- M.un~ .current knowledge of depa,ri:ment erat ons an po icies o furnish, on behalf o the Deoar nth asicc estimates which be rectuired by thud the Servicee jntgYliM ea cies - 11 -- T p gEC ~ ~ / rw Approved For Release 2003/93/12 IAR-RETDP86B00269R000500030018-6~ o / / Approved For lease 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B0026100500030016-6 TOP SECRET at. These two conclusions and recommendations have been con- sidered together as being separate parts of the same problem. b. ORE concurs in each statement. (1) As long as the intelli- gence facilities of the Department of State are inadequate to meet CIA deadlines and CIA specifications for intelligence production, CIA has no alternative but to produce its own political, cultural and sociological intelligence. (2) As long as OIR is denied access to needed information which is available in the Department, ORE can- not risk the assumption that OIR intelligence production is complete and accurate. 12. Conclusion and Recommendation - Chapter XII (3). The liaison between the State Department and the Central Intelli- ence Agengy should Ve c oser an t on a continuing s e- ive basis. a. ORE concurs. Authorization should be granted ORE to main- tain effective liaison with political and operational levels in the Depart- ment of State in addition to the liaison presently authorized with OIR. It is particularly important that ORE have effective working relations with the Department I's Policy Planning Staff in order to coordinate intelligence production requirements. ORE intelligence production plans should be in phase with the policy planning of the Department. The present arrangement, authorizing ORE to deal only with the Office of Special Assistant for Intelligence, prevents CIA from receiving guidance from the State Department policy level. - 12 .. Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP861300269R00 5 0'03 016 6` r TOP SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R000500030016-6 Approved For Release 2003/03/12 : CIA-RDP86B00269R000500030016-6