INTENSIFIED COLLECTION AGAINST LOGISTICS NETWORKS SUPPORTING COMMUNIST ACTIVITY IN SOUTH VIETNAM

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80R01720R001300120013-7
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RIPPUB
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T
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
October 4, 2004
Sequence Number: 
13
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 18, 1968
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80R01720R001300120013-7.pdf665.6 KB
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? Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP80RO172OR001300120013-7 Top Secret Intensified Collection Against Logistics Networks Supporting Communist Activity in South Vietnam 25X1 Top Secret r). 18 Jul/i%8 Approved For Release 2004/10/12: CIA-RD,,Pp3 72910013001 25X1 25X1 25X1 ' Approved For CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY WASHINGTON, D. C. 2O5O5 MEMORANDUM FOR: Dr. Henry A. Kissinger Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs SUBJECT Intensified Collection Program Tar- geted Against the Logistics Network Used by North Vietnam to Support Com- munist Activity in South Vietnam. 1. The Problem. On 16 June 1969, you were given a joint CIA-DIA briefing on the Washington intelligence community's knowledge and analysis of the logistics net- work used by North Vietnam to support Communist activity in South Vietnam. At the close of that 16 June brief- ing, you asked me to inventory the U.S. Government's present collection efforts in this sphere and submit a paper outlining steps that would improve the quan- tity and/or quality of intelligence collected on this topic. In particular, you requested a list of courses of action that could: a. Improve our detailed knowledge of the na- ture and quantities of supplies moving into II Corps and III Corps via the southward extension of the Laotian route complex--the "Ho Chi Minh Trail"--particularly from Route 922 (the cutoff to A Shau) through Base Area 701 and southward along the Cambodian border. b. Improve our detailed knowledge of the na- ture and quantities of supplies sent to support the North Vietnamese Army/Viet Gong (NVA/VC) ef- fort (particularly in IV Corps, III Corps, and lower II Corps) via Cambodia--i.e., supplies that did not transit Laos but, instead, came into Cam- bodia by water transport (either through the port of Sihanoukville or over the beaches in the Gulf of Siam) and moved northeastward to their Commu- nist end-users in South Vietnam via roads and trails located in Cambodian territory. 25X1 I TOP SECRET 25X1 25X1 25X1 TROP SECRET Approved For ease 2004110112 C, Help clarify and quantify--both in tonnage and percentage terms--the respective or relative contribution made to the NVA/VC logistic support structure by "the Laotian route system" and "the Cambodian route system." 2. It was my understanding that the initial re- sponse to your request should include a list of tech- nically feasible new collection activities, or inten- sifications of current collection activities, framed without inhibiting reference (in this initial cut) to cost factors, current political strictures on certain forms of activity and/or activities in certain areas, or questions of priority allocation of scarce, long- lead time assets (e.g., COMINT collection platforms). 3. The Response. To comply with your request, I have convened an ad hoc interagency task force whose membership includes representatives of the Defense In- telligence Agency, the National Security Agency, the Defense Communications Planning Group, the Special As- sistant to the Chairman, JCS for Counterinsurgency and Special Activities (SACSA), the Director for Reconnais- sance (JCS/J-3), the Director of Operations for the United States Air Force's Deputy Chief of Staff/Plans and Operations, the Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelli- gence, United States Air Force, and both the analysis and collection components of this Agency. After we had carefully reviewed in joint discussion all aspects of the problem you posed, I asked each of my associates to submit in writing an analysis of new collection pro- cedures or improvements in existing procedures that could be effected in those areas that fell within his office's primary jurisdiction or field of special technical competence. 4. This memorandum and its two annexes embodies a melding of all of these inputs, circulated in draft to all members of the task force and reviewed by us all in joint session. One of the two annexes to this memorandum inventories our current collection assets and procedures; the other outlines.in some detail a series of action recommendations summarized in para- graph 6 below. The tripartite package of this memo- randum and its annexes reflects the coordinated and agreed views of the entire task force. 5X1 Approved For R~m %.OIJL 25X1 25X1 25X1 5. General Considerations. Certain general con- siderations and certain aspects of the over-all prob- lem you posed have directly or indirectly affected all of our action recommendations and constitute, collec- tively, the context within which these recommendations were framed: a. Proving Negatives. Part of the complexity of the problem of analyzing the current utiliza- tion of the Vietnamese Communists' total logis- tic structure--and a good deal of the debate over the current relative roles of the Cambodian and the Laotian route systems--derives from a lack of adequate data on whether supplies are moving in any appreciable quantity, or moving at all, over certain portions of the Laos trail system below Route 922 or over certain portions of the Cambodian system opposite northern III Corps and southern II Corps. In Cambodia, for example, we have low-level agent reports of supply movements over road and trail segments that photography in- dicates are impassable or not utilized by any traffic at all. In Laos, evidence we do have on the operations and utilization of some segments of the Laotian route network suggests the pre- sumptive inference that supplies are moving over other segments of the Laotian route. We have little or no evidence of actual movement over these other segments, but this absence of evi- dence is hard to evaluate since the segments over which there is little to no evidence of actual movement are ones receiving.a degree of collec- tion effort appreciably less than that devoted to the segments over which we do have evidence of movement. One of the principal tasks of an integrated, expanded collection effort will be to clarify and enhance our knowledge of which segments of both route systems are not now being used. Negatives, however, are hard and tricky things to prove, particularly in short time spans. b. Seasonal Factors: The evidence we do have in hand an the ev entiary record developed over the past years demonstrates conclusively that the Communists' use pattern of their log- istic system in Laos generally shows a cyclic pattern keyed to the seasonal rhythms of Indo- china's monsoonal climate. The Cambodian Approved For Rel 25X1 TOP SECRET Approved For pattern is less clear. Throughout both systems, the dry season is the period of maximum use, i.e., during the dry season the enemy attempts a logis- tics through-put to support the dry season opera- tions in SVN, while at the same time building large logistics stockpiles in southern Laos for eventual movement to SVN during the wet season (the Southwest Monsoon). The rains have come in both Cambodia and Laos. Our increased collection efforts will hence be initiated at a time of di- minished enemy activity, a fact that is certain to affect adversely the conclusiveness of the early returns from some collection programs aug- mented in the near future. c. Technical vs Human Collection. Two general types of collection assets can be brought to bear on the problem here considered: technical (e.g., sensors, communications intercept platforms, and photography) and human (e.g., singleton agents, informant nets, roadwatch teams and raiding par- ties). Although the action program outlined, be-, low recommends an intensification of effort in both the human and the technical fields, we be- lieve the weight of our immediate effort should be placed in the technical area. (1) The portions of south Laos and northeast- ern Cambodia against which much of our augmented effort will be initially targeted constitute an ex- tremely hostile environment in which enemy pres- ence is pervasive and in which the enemy reacts sharply and forcefully to any intrusion. In these sparsely populated regions, there is little in- digenous population we can use for cover or through which we can work. Friendly personnel, teams, or units inserted into these areas find movement dif- ficult, must perforce devote much of their time and effort to simply staying alive, and can devote only a fraction of their attention to collecting meaninful intelligence. Because of these circum- stances, the recruitment, training, insertion, sup- port, and exfiltration of such teams or units be- comes a very elaborate, complex process. In short, the intelligence return on human collection in these areas is small in terms of the effort in- vestment required. Approved For .F Ts e4K 1f : - 01720R001300120013-7 4 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP80RO172OR001300120013-7 (2) At the present time, there is a human effort being mounted in portions of south Laos through CIA-controlled roadwatch teams (see An- nex I for details). MACV/SOG also operates in Cambodia. These teams constitute military as- sets which collect some intelligence but have au- thorized (and valid) missions other than the col- lection of information on the enemy's movement of supplies. reams also harass and attack identified enemy targets (e.g., moving trucks or convoys) which might otherwise miss be- ing taken under fire. (3) Technical collection procedures have their own complexities and problems, but the in- telligence return on effort invested is consid- erably greater than is the case with human assets operating in a hostile environment. Sensors, for example, are one of the best methods of establish- ing whether or not there is movement over partic- ular route or trail segments and of pinpointing specific target areas for further investigation by human assets. (4) The optimum technical/human assets mix does not exclude human collection activity but does attempt to concentrate it in areas where the probable return makes the necessary investment effort worthwhile. In certain areas--e.g., where terrain, foliage, or weather diminishes the util- ity of photography and lack of radio communica- tions hampers the acquisition of intercept data-- the human collection contribution becomes an es- sential link in the obtaining of complete informa- tion. Sensors can tell us whether there is move- ment, can frequently indicate direction and pro- vide a rough order of magnitude of quantitative truck flow; but cannot furnish cargo descriptions as human collectors can. Thus, while we believe the mix should be weighted in favor of techni- cal collection, we nonetheless recommend some augmentation of roadwatch surveillance in cer- tain areas (e.g., south of Route 922) despite the serious operational problems involved. TOP SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP80RO172OR001300120013-7 25X1 25X1 Approved For I-P P/II IIa/"LII d. Collation and Analysis Requirements. Though we have concentrated on inventorying col- lection assets and devising an integrated au- mented collection effort, it should be noted that the additional yield of raw information provided by the new or intensified collection programs will have to be supported with addi- tional collation and comprehensive analysis if the full benefits of the augmented effort are to be obtained. Raw data requires processing before it becomes finished intelligence, mean- ingful and usable at the national policy level. The task force did not attempt to develop de- tailed recommendations in this field, but was in unamimous agreement that at least so long as there were major unresolved or disputed questions (e.g., "Laos vs Cambodia"), the col- lation and analysis should be carried out as a cooperative community effort. e.. Lead Times and Anticipated Results. The rate at which the augmented collection program, outlined below, will begin to produce meaningful results -(in terms of added intelligence) will vary among the program's several components. The speed with which we begin to receive mean- ingful data will also be influenced by whether the early returns on debated segments of the enemy's route system are positive or negative and, also, by what the Communists themselves opt to do in the logistic support field during the current rainy season. Sensors implanted along suspect route segments, for example, should begin pro- ducing meaningful data almost immediately if these route segments are, in fact, being used for significant supply movements. On the other hand, if the route segments are not in use, it will take considerably longer for us to be con- fident that this "negative" has been proved. Some components of the augmented program--those which involve re-orienting or re-targeting ac- tivities already in operation--can be put' into operation almost at once and should begin yield- ing significant returns in the very near future.. .Re-orientation of SIGINT_platforms has been initiated ih the,hoge that-some information Approved For P,e a g3/ t 25X1 25X1 Approved FIB SEGRAI leading to answers to your questions can soon begin to flow in.. Other components of our re- commended augmented effort will take more time to get under way. It will require from 60 to 90 days from the time the policy decision to proceed is made for some segments of our recom- mended program to get into full operation and longer for others. Even under the best of cir- cumstances, our augmented program will not de- finitively answer all our outstanding questions, but it should help to clarify most of them over the next few months. f. Intelligence Collection vs Reaction and Interdiction. The primary o ject o the augmente col ection program outlined below, is to generate more and better intelligence on the Vietnamese Communists' logistic support system through which Hanoi aids and abets the Communist- directed struggle in South Vietnam. If success- ful, this collection program will not only pro- duce strategic information on the totality of this logistic support system and the respective importance of the system's several components, it will also develop or identify lucrative tac- tical targets for allied interdiction and reac- tion strikes. Although the task force has de- voted its efforts to developing a collection program not an interdiction program, we believe the program adopted should consciously maximize interdiction possibilities and, further, that in certain contexts, controlled interdiction can be used as one effective means of producing addi- tional intelligence. For example, in determin- ing the mix of human and technical assets tar- geted against a given geographic area, it should be constantly borne in mind that the insertion of ground teams into that area either precludes the possibility of interdiction strikes or, at best, raises thorny, complex problems of coor- dination, clearance, and control. At the other end of the scale, if, say, a presumptively serving a particular route segment is identified, a strike on the landlines may force our adversaries to resort to interceptable radio communications. Approved For R 25X1 X1 Approved Far F~ s 6. Recommended Augmented Collection Program. We have framed two sets of recommendations for augmented collection efforts. One is keyed to improving our knowledge of what does, or does not, move over the "Laos system" south of Route 922. The other is keyed to improving our knowledge of what does, or does not, move over the "Cambodian system." Each of the two sets of recommendations is further broken down into the two spheres of technical and human collection. Our recommendations are summarized below and outlined in further detail in this memorandum's Annex II. as South Laos - Northeastern Cambodia (1) Technical Collection (a) COMINT/ARDF: Support should be given to increased emphasis on,collection from the area south of Route 922, including a southward deployment of collection platforms over southern Laos. (b) Sensors: More extensive sensor cov- erage of routes south of Route 922 is required if sensor detections are to yield accurate re- flections of truck movements on these roads and in northeast Cambodia. (c) Aerial Reconnaissance: There should be an increase in-the frequency of aerial high and low altitude reconnaissance sufficient to yield enough interpretable photography to make judgments on probable levels of enemy activity. (d) Current plans for tapping II may yield useful information on ogis i- cal activity there. Failing this, all possible landlines should be located and destroyed, thereby forcing the use of radio communications. (2) Human Collection (a) Roadwatch and Agent Operations: In Laos, we visualize the launching of more road- watch teams to high priority target areas when their chances of survivability are good. Addi- tionally, we would attempt the expansion of our -8- Approved For Pfe 8410 ?2r` IA-RDP80R 1720R001300120013-7 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved FoQ - I : CI RDrf3O ~01720R001300120013-7 2664, 16, agent efforts in critical areas, and increase the use of reconnaissance/action teams. In northeast Cambodia, an expansion of our on-going operation to recruit additional unilateral agents should be attempted. (b) MACSOG: For an initial test period of 90 days, approximately 50 percent of the operations should be assigned the primary mission of collecting information on enemy movement of logistical materials and at- tempt to provide continuous reporting from the area of operations. During this period, these teams should exercise their tar- get acquisition/exploitation capabilities only when a particularly lucrative target is acquired or when the team is already compromised or com- promise is imminent. (c) Visual Reconnaissance: An increase in night sorties, with appropriate night vision devices, flown south of Route 922 area of Laos is recommended. (d) Document Collection: It is recommended that a ground attack be mounted against one or several of the military way stations (Binh Tram) in Laos in order to disrupt the system, at least temporarily, and to collect intelligence infor- mation in the form of documents. a. Cambodia (1) Technical Collection (a) COMINT: An expanded COMINT collec- tion program to include monitoring of suspected Chinese arms ships to Sihanoukville is recom- mended. (b) Sensors: Sensor strings should be placed in Cambodia contiguous to the South Viet- namese border to measure the activity level on routes off the main Cambodian supply roads leading toward South Vietnam or toward known base camps. Approved For R e STe RS2[ IA-RDP80R 17208001300120013-7 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved Fdr (c) Aerial Photography: Existing aerial reconnaissance programs--E ~-should be expanded to insure enoug in- terpretable photography of these target areas to permit meaningful judgments regarding the use and probable levels of activity of the logistical systems. ment of logistical materials through the (2) Human Collection ('a) Agent Operations: There should be an expansion of the current agent Operations against Cambodian involvement in the enemy logistical system, to include information on official Cam- bodian complicity, the quantifications and iden- tifications of arms deliveries to and through Sihanoukville, and information~regarding Commu- nist supply channels through Stung Treng and Ratanikiri provinces. (b) MACSOG: For an initial test period of 90 days, approximately 50 percent of the 0 I lassets should be assigned a primary mission o collecting information on enemy move- area of operations while, at the same time, continuing to respond to the requirements of our ground commanders in South Vietnam for ground reconnaissance information. The present require- ment to avoid engagement with the enemy except when it is deemed desirable to attempt to cap- ture enemy personnel from small, isolated groups should be continued. 7. Suggested Follow-Up Action. The recommenda- tions outlined above constitute, in effect, a cata- logue of technically feasible actions that should be taken to improve our intelligence on the Vietnam- ese Communists' logistic support system. With the exception of NSA's COMINT portion, they do not con- stitute an actual action program since, per our in- structions, they were framed without reference to current policy restrictions on activities in certain areas (e.g, Cambodia) and without attempting to re- solve problems of conflicting priorities competing for scarce, long-lead time-collection assets. Once the necessary policy decisions on ground rules and Approved F9 RDPSQR01 720R001 300120 25X1 25X1 25X1 priorities are made, the list of approved actions will have to be translated into a specific series of opera- tional plans, a process that will require further work (although the Air Staff, DCPG, and the CIA's Clandes- tine Service have already done a considerable amount of thorough, detailed planning). This process will also require consultation with our military and ci- vilian colleagues in the field who will have to handle the actual execution of any plans or programs approved in Washington. If you so desire, our ad hoc task force can carry on the work reflected in this memorandum and pinpoint the policy decisions that will have to be made on rules of engagement, costs, and asset allocation in light of overall collection priorities. Once the necessary policy guidance is obtained, we can then develop an implementing paper for field consid- eration and Washington approval. George A. Carver, Jr. Special Assistant for Vietnamese Affairs Annex I - Current Collection Operations Annex II - Recommended Augmented Collection Program Approved For, 01720R001300120013-7 25X1 25X1 1 ;25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP80RO172OR001300120013-7 Next 11 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP80RO172OR001300120013-7