FOIA
ARGENTINA-CHILE: BEAGLE CHANNEL DISPUTE (Sanitized)
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP80T00634A000500010028-1
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
3
Document Creation Date:
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date:
November 2, 2004
Sequence Number:
28
Case Number:
Publication Date:
December 11, 1978
Content Type:
MEMO
File:
| Attachment | Size |
|---|---|
 CIA-RDP80T00634A000500010028-1.pdf | 71.02 KB |
Body:
SECRET
Approved For ReleaLe 9004119109 - - . 0500010028-1
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
NATIONAL FOREIGN ASSESSMENT CENTER
11 December 1978
MEMORANDUM.
ARGENTINA-CHILE: BEAGLE CHANNEL DISPUTE
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will make the necessary concessions to defuse the Beagle
Channel crisis, or that the Foreign Ministers' meeting
tomorrow will either avert or delay an Argentine militar
Prospects continue to be poor that Argentina or Chile
If the Foreign Ministers' meeting fails, the most
probable Argentine military initiative. will be to occupy.
Evout and Barnavelt island:,, which are probably uninhabited,
and perhaps part of the sparsely inhabited Cape Horn island.
This limited action would give the Argentines the land-
based territory they seek to guarantee their claim to mari-
time control of. the South Atlantic without a major loss
of life. This move would also place the burden of any
military escalation on the Chileans. In such a case, the
Chileans might limit themselves to a diplomatic response.
This memorandum was prepared by the Latin America
Division of the Office of Regional and Political Analysis.
It was requested by the Assistant Secretary of State,
Bureau of Inter-American Affairs. Questions, and
may be addressed to
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` RP-M-78-10481
Approved For Release 2004/12/02: CIA-RDP8011
SECRET
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Approved For Release 2004/12/02 : CIA-RDP80T00634A000500010028-1
Our best evidence suggests that'the Argentines do not
wish to initiate a major conflict. They are ready to do
so, however, and might attempt large-scale actions along
the 2000-mile border if the conflict widens.
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Approved For Release 2004/12/02 : CIA-RDP80T00634A000500010028-1
25X1 Approved For Release 2004/12/02 : CIA-RDP80T00634A000500010028-1
Approved For Release 2004/12/02 : CIA-RDP80T00634A000500010028-1
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