INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROGRESS REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140018-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 4, 2002
• Sequence Number: 18
• Publication Date: October 29, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

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INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
PROGRESS REPORT
PROJECTS COMPLETED
S-E-C-R-E-T
SECURITY INFORMATION
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
1. SE-11i: Soviet Capabilities for a Military Attack on the US
Before July 1952. Published 23 October 1951.
2. SE-16: The Strength and Capability of Soviet Bloc Forces to
Conduct Military
12 October 1951 Operations Against NATO. Published
3. SE-17: The Current Outlook in Pakistan. Published 22 October
1951.
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Published 15 October
PROJECTS IN PROCESS
A. Intelligence Estimates
5. NIE-29/2: Review of NIE-29: "Probabilit of an Attack on
Yugoslavia in 1951"
Priority:* Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Mid-November
Status: Initiated by ONE and authorized by DCI
on 5 September. All contributions have been received.
A draft is being prepared in O/NE.
6. NIE-33: Soviet Control of the European Satellites and Their
Contribution to Soviet Power
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date.of Publication: 5 November
0 * Priorities used in decreasing order of urgency
are: Crash, Urgent, High, Routine and Deferred.
S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-PR-19
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S-E-C-R-E-T
SECURITY INFORMATION
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
Status: Scheduled by ONE in early April (See item 6,
IAC-D-1, dated 1 November 1950). Draft estimate is
now before the IAC.
7. NM-40: Potential Military, Economic, and Scientific Accretions
to the USSR Resulting from the Acquisition of Western
Europe before Mid-1952
Pri_ ority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Scheduled by O/NE in late May (See IAC-D-l,
item 14). Awaiting contributions which are due on
17 November.
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8. NIE-42: The Current Situation in Albania with Particular
Reference to Greek Yugoslav and Italian Interests
and Pretensions
Priori: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Mid-November
Status: Initiated by ONE and authorized by the DCI
in early August. Contributions have been received
and a revised draft is under consideration in O/NE.
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9. x-43: The Strategic Importance of the Far East to the USSR
and Communist China
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: 5 November
Status: Initiated by G-2 at request of General
Ridgway and authorized by the IAC on 23 August.
Text was circulated to the IAC on 24 October for
their consideration. At the request of Air Force,
estimate is being reconsidered by the IAC representa-
tives.
S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
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S-E-C-R-E-T
SECURITY INFORMATION
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
10. NIE-45:. Likelihood of a Soviet Attempt to Promote a Broad
Relaxation of Tensions
Priority: High
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Initiated by O/NE and authorized by the DCI
on 29 August. A draft is being prepared by the
Department of State.
11. NIE-46: Current Outlook in Iran
Priority: Deferred
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: A review of NIE-6 was directed by the IAC
on 10 September (See item 8 of IAC-M-44). Contribu-
tions were received but further work has been deferred
pending the outcome of current negotiations.
12. NIE-47: Communist Intentions and Capabilities in Asia
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
13. NIE-48: Likelihood of the USSR Deliberately Initiating War
during 1952
Priority: High
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Authorized by the IAC on 27 September at
request of G-2. Contributions from the IAC agencies
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S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
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SECURITY' INFORMATION
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
certain CIA offices, and the IAC Watch Committee have
requested by 1 November on a capability to contribute
basis.
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14. NIE-49: Strategic Importance of Sweden
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
15. NIE-50: Current Political and Economic Situation in Eastern
Germany
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
16. NIE-51: Possibility of a Change of Regime in Yugoslavia and
Its Effects
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Scheduled by the IAC on 11 October at the request
of G-2. Terms of reference are being prepared in 0/NE.
Proposal for combining this estimate with NIE-29/2 being
informally explored.
17. NIE-52: Probable Future Orientation of Japan
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Initiated by 0/NE and authorized by the DCI on
11 October. Awaiting contributions. Internal CIA con-
tributions are due on 9 November, the contribution of
the Defense agencies on 19 November, and that of the De-
partment of State on 17 December.
S-E-C-R-E-T
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SECURITX INFORMATION
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
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18. NIE-53: Soviet Intentions Toward Germany
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Initiated by ONE and authorized by the DCI
on 111 October. Awaiting State draft tentatively due
on 7 November,
20. NIE-55;
Communist Capabilities and Intentions in Korea
Priority: High
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Authorized by the IAC on 18 October at the
request of the State Department. Draft terms of
reference are now before the IAC representatives.
21. NIE-56: Potential Insecurit of Foreign Areas of Strategic
Importance to the US: Far East
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: A series of estimates to cover this subject
by areas was authorized by the IAC on 11 October, at
the request of G-2. Economic Intelligence Committee
(EIC) has under consideration economic aspects of
this estimate. Draft terms of reference are being
considered in ONE.
S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
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S-E-C-R-E-T
SECURITY INFORMATION
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
22. NIE-57: Probable Developments in the West German Situation
Priority: High
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Initiated by 0/NE and authorized by the DCI
on 2 October. Draft terms of reference were circu-
lated to the IAC agencies for consideration on
31 October.
B. Other Items of Concern to the Committee
23. Biographic Intelligence
Problem: To develop the most effective biographic facilities
for the intelligence community.
Status: No significant change since last report. This item
will not be carried in future reports unless develop-
ments warrant bringing it to the attention of the IAC.
24. Requirements
Problem: To develop as necessary adequate arrangements for pro-
viding coordinated requirements by priority for the
several collection units.
Status: No significant change since last report. This item
will not be carried in future reports unless develop-
ments warrant bringing it to the attention of the IAC.
25. List of Indicators of Soviet Intentions to Initiate General War.
IAC-D-33, D-33 1, M-43)
Problem: To establish an agreed check list of the most signi-
ficant indicators of Soviet intentions to initiate
general war.
Status: Scheduled by the IAC on 30 August at the request of
G-2. Report of the ad hoc committee is scheduled for
consideration at the IAC meeting on November 1.
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S -E -C -R-E -T
IAC-PR-19
29 October 1951
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or.
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S-E-C-R-E-T
SECURITY INFORMATION
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29 October 1951
S -E -C-R-E -T
IAC-PR-19
7 29 October 1951
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