INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROGRESS REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140014-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 4, 2002
• Sequence Number: 14
• Publication Date: July 2, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

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2 July 1951
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
PROGRESS REPORT
1. SE-7: Probable Soviet Reaction to the Inclusion of Greece and
Turkey in Western Defense Agreements. Published 15 June
1951.
25X1 2.
3. Psychological Intelligence Support. An O/IC memorandum of 21
June 1951 has been discussed interdepartmentally. Individual
problems still require attention.
CANCELLED
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4. NIE-28: Likely Soviet Tactics in a Prospective CFM
5. NIE-38: Prospect of Increased Soviet Activity in the
Spitzbergen Area
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A. Intelligence Estimates
NIE-23: India's Position in the East-West Conflict
Priority:* Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Late July
Status: Scheduled in January on the initiative of the National
Estimates Board. Terms of reference were circulated on 27 March.
All contributions were received by 30 April. A Staff draft was
discussed by the Board on 25 June and is now being revised.
Note: Priorities used in decreasing order of urgency, are:
Crash, Urgent, High, Routine and Deferred.
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7. NIE-25: Probable Soviet Courses of Action to Mid-1952
Priority Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Late July
Status: Originally begun in January as a revision of NIE-3.
The most recent has been forwarded to the IAC representatives
and a meeting is scheduled for 9 July.
8. NIE-31: Capability of the USSR for a Clandestine Attack on the
United States with Weapons of Mass Destruction
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Late July
Status: Scheduled on 2 April at the request of ONI. An O/SI
preliminary draft is being revised on the basis of a series
of discussions with representatives of AEC, Bureaus of Animal
Industry and Plant Entomology (Dept. of Agriculture), Customs
Bureau, the Coast Guard, Chemical Corps (US Army), Civil
Defense, FBI, GSA, and Public Health Service.
9. NIE-32: Effects of Operations in Korea on Communist China
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Early July
Status: Scheduled on 15 February at the suggestion of the
Office of National Estimates. A draft estimate will be con-
sidered at the next IAC meeting.
10. NIE-33: European Satellite Power Complex
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Scheduled by the National Estimates Board on 2 April.
Terms of reference were circulated on 13 April. A meeting of
the IAC representatives was held on 18 April. Contributions
by State, Army (coordinating Defense), and the Office of
Research and Reports are due by 15 July-
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11. NIE-34: Position of Spain in the East-West Conflict
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Scheduled on 5 April at the suggestion of the Air
Force. IAC representatives reviewed terms of reference on
16 May. Contributions were all in by 7 June. At a meeting
on 26 June, the agencies agreed to make supplementary contri-
butions.
12. NIE-35: Indochina: Current Situation and Probable Developments
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Early July
Status: Scheduled on 26 April at the request of G-2. Terms
of reference were circulated on 2 May, and the IAC represen-
tatives met on 7 May. Contributions have all been received.
A draft was distributed to the Board on 22 June, was discussed
on 28 June, and is now being revised.
13. NIE-36: Burma: Prospects for Survival of the Present Regime
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Late July
Status: Scheduled on 26 April at the request of the State
Department. On 5 May, the National Estimates Board approved
terms of reference. The IAC rapresentatiyee reviewed them on
10 May. Contributions were received by 22 May. Staff is
drafting.
14. NIE-37: Likelihood of a Soviet Invasion of Japan during 1951
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Scheduled on 10 May at the request of G-2. The terms
of reference were circulated to the IAC agencies on 22 May.
The IAC representatives met on 25 May and the terms were referred
to the Joint Staff for guidance in matters of operational nature.
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15. NIE-39: Psychological Impact of a Strategic Air Offensive Against
the USSR ?
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Pursuant to a request in early June by the Department
of State, terms of reference were distributed to the IAC'?
agencies on. 21 June and discussed at a meeting on 26 June.
Contributions are due on 20 July.
16. NIE-440: Strategic Effects of a Soviet Acquisition of Western
Europe and the Near East before 1953
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Draft terms of reference were sent to the IAC agencies
on 5 June and discussed at meetings held on hand 19 June. Staff is re-
vising them in accordance with this discussion.
17. SE-8: Possible Communist Objectives in Suggesting a Cease Fire
in Korea
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Early July
Status: On the recommendation of the National Estimates Board
this proposed Special Estimate, following discussion by the
IAC representatives on 2 and 3 July, will be placed on the
agenda of the IAC meeting scheduled for 5 July.
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20. Requirements
Problem: To develop adequate arrangements for providing coor-
dinated requirements by priority for the various col-
lection units.
Status: There is no change reported in the handling of JCS paper
SSM 6 -51.
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Cases recently brought to the attention of the Office
of Intelligence Coordination in CIA and the status of the cases
is as follows:
a. General Bolling's request for collection re-
garding Spitzbergen -- G-2 is re-examining this request.
b. General Bolling's request for coordinated
collection program regarding detection of logistical
implications of Soviet preparation for an attack on
Western Europe -- the collection agencies are studying
this question.
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