MINUTES OF MEETING HELD IN DIRECTORS CONFERENCE ROOM, ADMIN BUILD CIA, AT 1045 14 SEPTEMBER 1954

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85S00362R000200050014-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 25, 2002
• Sequence Number: 14
• Publication Date: September 14, 1954
• Content Type: MIN

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IAC-M-169
14 September 1954
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Minutes of Meeting Held in Director's
Conference Room, Administration Building
Central Intelligence Agency, at 1045 14 September 1954
Director of Central Intelligence
Allen W. Dulles
Presiding
MEMBERS PRESENT
Mr. W. Park Armstrong, Special Assistant for Intelligence,
Department of State
Major General John M. Willems, acting for Assistant Chief of Staff,
G-2, Department of the Army
Rear Admiral Carl F. Espe, Director of Naval Intelligence,
Department of the Navy
Major General John A. Samford, Director of Intelligence, Headquarters,
United States Air Force
Rear Admiral Edwin T. Layton, Deputy Director for . ntelligence,
The Joint Staff
Mr. Harry S. Traynor, Atomic Energy Commission
Representative to the IAC
Mr. Ralph R. Roach, acting for Assistant to the Director,
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Lieutenant General Charles P. Cabell, Central Intelligence Agency
Mr. Robert Amory, Jr., Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. H. Marshall Chadwell, Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. Otto E. Guthe, Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
IAC-M-169
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Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Mr. Harald Jacobson, Department of State
Mr. Howard Furnas, Department of State
Mr. E. W. Doherty, Department of State
Mr. Boris H. Klosson, Department of State
Mr. John C. Guthrie, Department of State
Lieutenant Colonel Vasco J. Fenili, Department of the Army
Lieutenant Colonel James G. Martin, Department of the Army
Captain Bruce E. Wiggin, Department of the Navy
Colonel P. D. Wynne, Jr., United States Air Force!
Lieutenant Colonel Clyde C. Wooten, United States Air Force
Major Van A. Woods, Jr., United States Air Force
Major John F. Alltms,: Jnited States Air Force
Mr. Jonathan H. Gilmore, United States Air Force
Captain Poyntell C. Staley, USN, The Joint Staff
? Captain Ralph M. Metcalf, USN, The Joint Staff
Captain Carlyle Ingram, USN, The Joint Staff
Colonel Robert Totten, USAF, The Joint Staff
Colonel Ralph H. Wade, USAF, The Joint Staff
Mr. Charles H. Reichardt, Atomic Energy Commission
Mr. M. W. Kuhrtz, Federal Bureau of Investigation
25X1 National Security Agency
IAC-M-169
14 September 1954
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,Ap removal of Minutes
(IAC-M-166, 4 September 1954;
IAC-M-167, 7 September 1954)
1. Approved.
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Proposed Estimate on
Current Trends in South
Vietnam
3. Mr. Dulles noted the urgent need for bringing to the
attention of the policy makers the rapidly deteriorating situation
in South Vietnam which might well result in the early loss of that
area unless prompt action is taken. He indicated that he had earlier
briefed the NSC on certain aspects of the situation but thought it
highly desirable to prepare a memorandum on the subject, preferably
one presenting a coordinated IAC position.
Mr. Dulles then read a brief draft on the subject, copies
of which were circulated. It was agreed that the representatives
would meet later in the day to consider the draft and that if possible,
an agreed paper would be issued by night or the next day. It was
anticipated that coordination could be completed without another
meeting of the committee.
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14 September 1954
Probable Warning-Soviet
Attack on the US Through Mid-1957
(SNIE 11-8-54)
4. Approved as amended.
General Cabell presented for consideration a paragraph
developing the fact that advance warning must be considered in the
light of the purpose of that warning. It was agreed that this was a
matter of considerable importance but that it would be more
appropriate to refer it to the NSC subcommittee for which SNIE 11-8-54
is being prepared than to include it in the estimate.
,Soviet-gapabilities and Probable
Soviet Courses of'Action Through
Mid-1959
(NIE
5. Approved as amended subject to
a. A footnote to the first sentence of paragraph 9 by
the Army member, concurred in by the Air Force member:
b. Further study of Tables 5 and 6 concerning Soviet
long-range aircraft by the Navy member in consultation with the
Air Force member, and some modification of the title of Table 6
to conform to a suggestion of the Joint Staff member. It was
agreed that the matter should?be resolved within two weeks, and,
if the Navy member did not then concur in the tables, a footnote
should be added to that effect and the paper published.
Proposed DCID-15/1
Production ' and 'Coordination
of Foreign 'Economic Intelligence
(LAC-D-22/3 Revised, 3 -September 1954)
6. Approved as amended.
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Prol~ble Developments in Taiwan
7. Approved as amended subject to checking of the figure
625, 000 men" in paragraph 35.
(NIE 43-54)
Third Annual Progress Report
to the IAC of the' Economic
Intelligence Committee
(J-AC-D-22/4, 7 September 1954)
8. Noted.
Release of NIE 71-54
"Probable Developments in
North Africa" to Foreign
Governments
9. It was agreed not to release this estimate to foreign
governments.
Release of NIE 36-54
"Probable Developments in the
Arab States" to Foreign
Governments
10. It was agreed not to release this estimate to foreign
governments.
Adjournment: 1330
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Secretary
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14 September 1954
Secretary's Note
Estimates has recommended that
foreign government. This matter will not be referred to the IAC for
formal action except at the request of a member.
not be released to any
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14 September 1954
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