ANALYSIS OF WORLD TANK SHIP FLEETS

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CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9
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RIPPUB
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C
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38
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November 9, 2016
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February 18, 1999
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5
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Publication Date: 
October 1, 1952
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 1999/09/1 -RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 25X1 A2g ra Country: International Subject: Analysis of World Tank Ship Fleets g This tDn4 YlSfl$a ti4 t info :C' n , ~ r a, only is sn ;;v ` , iY of Iwo-B report. Place Acquired: - - Date Acquired: Date of Info : 1 Oct 52 Source: Documentary [Available on loan from CIA library is a photostatic copy of Analysis of World Tank Shi Fleets; Sun Oil Company; 1 October 1952; 3 pp Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423 ANALYSIS Cr WORLD TANK SHIP FLEETS October 1, 1952 STATISTICAL R? SEARCH DIVISION SUN OIL COMPANY PHIL .DELPH A P" "A I,ebruar7 23, 1953 00,11Y is L, e f e t } rest of ;~ ? rrattt ~issemi- This unevaNeteJ information for renrt. 25X1A2g Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005:-9 CPYRGHT Analysis Of World Tank Ship Fleets OCTOBER 1, 1952 STATISTICAL RESEARCH DIVISION SUN OIL COMPANY PHILADELPHIA, PENNA. February 23, 1953 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 ?CPYRGHT The basic data for this analysis came principally from two sources. Particulars of tank ships in existence were furnish?d y the Division of Ship Statistics of the United States Maritime dministration, while those for vessels under construction or on rder were supplied by the Transportation Coordination Department f Standard Oil Company (New Jersey). Without the gracious ooperation extended by both organizations, this study could not iave been prepared. As in the past, the Tabulating Division of the Sun Oi ompany prepared the basic tabulations from which the finished ables were constructed. The saving in effort thus effected, con; ributed materially to the amount of statistical detail which it as possible to incorporate in the tables. To the staff of the Statistical Research Division fel he tasks of planning the statistical presentation and preparing he analysis of the data. Both phases were under the general upervision of Mr. J. Hunter McDowell of that Division. Joseph T. Wilson, Jr., Manager, Statistical Research Div Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 31> 1POI YRCNT_-_C CPYRGHT From an examination of the particulars of the existing tank ship fleet as well as those for tank ships under construction, together with relevant historical comparisons, the more important findings Would appear to be: 1) Both in the number of vessels and in their average size and speed the present world fleet has shown significant gains since 191+5, 2) The average vessel presently under construction materially exceeds in size and speed not only the average tanker in existence, but also the norms for ships under construction or on order as recently as in 1950. Moreover, the unpre- cedented number of tankers in the present peace time building program will increase the carrying capacity of the 1957 world fleet by 56.3% with no losses or by 39.5% if all vessels over twenty years of age are deleted. These extremes repre- sent average annual increases of 9.3% and 6.9%, respectively. 3) From the immediate postwar situation wherein nearly 60% of the world's carrying capacity was under United States registry, our relative portion has successively declined to its present position of just under 30%. Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 CPYRGHT -2 CPYRGHT 4) The United States' position will undoubtedly evidence a further decline during the next five years, since building programs of the other major fleet owners far surpass that of this country. Present indications are that at the end of 1957 our portion of the world tank ship fleet will not exceed 22%, 5) As a consequence of the practice adhered to by many United States owners of placing vessels under friendly foreign registry, this country controls a considerably greater portion of the world fleet than is indicated by flag statistics, On October 1, 1952 for example, United States flag vessels represented 2904% of the capacity of the world, whereas our control extended to 44.1%. Neverthe- less, the trends indicated in points 3 and 4 are unmistakably in evidence whether our position be judged by flag or by control. na ng from accelerated building programs in the War period, age distributions of the major flags of the world and of individual fleet owners reflect a heavy concentration of tonnage con- structed during the period 1942 through 1945. This unbalanced condition will have a profound effect on the timing of tanker replacements for many years to come, Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 -3- CPYRGHT ANALYSIS CPYRGH (2,000 gross tons and greater) totalled 2,292 vessels. In sheer On October 1, 1952 the World fleet of ocean-going tank ships WORLD INVENTORY By equating the world fleet to an equivalent number of T2-SE-Al vess is on the basis of 16,765 deadweight tons and a speed of 14.5 knots., the speeds are taken into account as well as greater physical capacity. On October 1st, 1952 the aggregate deadweight of the world fleet was 31,318,300 tons. From April 1951 this was a gain of 3,063,200 tons (10.8%), and from September 1945 an increase of 7,402,000 (30.9%). Of ven greater import are the changes in the world fleet if increases In materially through the years, but also the speed at which they cruis a fleet of vessels. Not only has the average size of tank ships groin postwar date of September 1, .1945 and a gain of 161 since April 1, 1 the most recent prior date of comparable data extending back to 1900 Physical numbers, however, are a poor yardstick for measur numbers this represents an increase of 381 ships since the -October 1st carrying capacity was 1,726.8 T-2's. This compares to as o April 1, 1951 and 1,2 .5 in September of 1945, for per- centage gains of 11.8 and 36.6, respectively. Significantly, the actual gain in T-2 equivalents in the last 18 months, 182.7, matched I the carrying capacity of the entire world fleet in 1920, and the 4623 -2 increase since the end of World War II nearly equalled the magni-' ude of the world's tankers as recently as the beginning of 1930. Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 -4- CPYRGHT While aggregates emphasize the phenomenal growth in over-'. all carrying capacity, averages point out equally important trends in the constitution of the tanker fleet. In October, the average deadweight of the world fleet was nearly 13,700 tons. Comparisons with earlier periods show an average capacity of about 1.3,250 tons in April 1951 and 12,500 tons immediately postwar. Thus, in a period of only slightly more than seven years the average tanker has in- creased in size by nearly 10%. In average speed a similar steady rise has been in evidence. When weighted by deadweight tonnage the world fleet of September 1945 veraged 12.8 knots. By April. 1951 this average had risen to 13.3 knots and still further to 13.4 knots on October lst, Again, in th e period of approximately seven years there has occurred a rise of about 4 1/2% in the speed of the average tanker. LAG OF REGISTRY The n e a-es con nue to noict its ran as e arge single country of registration for tank ships, although our positio declined in both absolute terms and in percentage of the world fleet On October 1st, 1952 29.4% of the total carrying capacity (based on! T-2 equivalents) was under the United States flag. By comparison, however, in April 1951 this was 33.0%, and at the end of the War, 5S.8%. We emerged from hostilities with a domestic fleet which was the equva- lent of 756.2 T-2's, Primarily through foreign sales of wartime bu It T2-SE-Al vessels, our fleet had declined to 510.0 T-2 equ1 ivalents bye April 1, 1951, and slightly further to 508.3 in October of 1952. This represents an overall decline of nearly one-third in the carrying capacity of the United States tanker fleet between 1945 and 1952. Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 'PYRG portion of the actual increment has accrued to countries evidenced phenomenal relative growth since 1945, by far the greatest -5- Obviously, where one country has declined as a per cent of! the world total, others must have advanced correspondingly- While several smaller owners such as Honduras, Liberia, and Yugoslavia havl large fleets at that time. For example, Empire's tanker fleet was the equivalent 1501% of the world. By October to 340.5 T-2 equivalents and it Positionally, Britain striking has been the already ownl1ng in September of 1945 the Bri~tis of 190.8 T-2's and represented 1952 Britain's fleet had grown 78.5% accounted for 19.7; of the world total. was second in size on both dates. Even more development of the Norwegian fleet. At the end of the War this country was third in size with 105.7 T-2 equivalents pr 8.4% of the world fleet. Since that time Norway's fleet, although st..ll third, grew to nearl 2 1/'2 ti y mes this size, and its fleet of 2 equivalents represented 14.9% of the October 1st world total. While flag of registration has tradit1 ona11ZT haan +-I,- States owners, of placing all. or a portion of their fleets under a ~Q by which relative changes of countries' fleets are gauged, this measux'e has certain inherent imperfections and limitations. These are a con sequence of the fairly widespread practice, particularly among United', friendly foreign flag. Consequently, a considerable additional portion of the world fleet can be considered as being effectively under United States control since it is owned either by United States nationals or by subsidiaries of domestic corporations. To illustrate, in October of 1952 there was a total of 761.0 T-2 equivalents either owned or conl trolled by the United States, this being 44.1% of the entire world fleet, Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 CPYRGHT Earlier comparisons reveal 755,9 T-2's as of April 1, 1951 for 4900%~ of the world fleet of 19544.1 T-2's, and 704.2 of a total of 1,9352,3 (52.1%) on September 1, 1949. Thus, while effective control as opposed to a flag criterion yields considerably greater carrying capacities tnd percentages, there is no change in the direction of the movement of he RIYCates' portion of the world fleet. Specifically, despite th absolute growth of 56,8 T-2 equivalents under United States control between September 1949 and October 1952, our portion of the world's tank ships declined 8 percentage points. 3PEED AND DEADWEIGHT TONNAGE While the continuing increases in tanker speeds and sizes ent of 232.1 T-2's, or 13.4% of the world total. The growth trend i mphasized by the change that has taken place since January 1, 1949, f the world fleet was found in the 14 to 15 knot speed group and the 6,000 to 17,000 deadweight tonnage group, in which category falls th 2-SE-Al. Also on this date, there were in service 149 tankers which ere both faster and larger than the T-2, this group being the equiva ere referred to under "World Inventory", details of this growth desel F v pecific mention. In October 1952, nearly 30% of the carrying capacity at which time there were only 60 of these large, fast vessels a ggr`e - ating the equivalent of 79.2 T-2's or 6.2% of the then world fleet. hus in this 45 month i d er h feet,represented by these large ships more than doubled, and their e uivalent in terms of T-2's nearly trebled. p o , w ile the carrying capacity of the wor d ncreased only slightly more than one-third, the portion of the world Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R00080054000~~YRGHT Significant differences are noted in the speed comparison, of the world fleet by flags. Al! United States tankers averaged 14. knots on October 1, although with the exclusion of government owned vessels the average for the private sector alone was only 14.2 knots This, however., was the fastest average speed among the major flags, faith PYRGHT vessels under United States control was 14.4 knots, although once agin with the exclusion of those owned by the Military and the Maritime Ad- Panama, Norway and the British Empire following in that order with average speeds of 13,6, 1302 and 12.5 knots. The average speed of a ministration this drops to 141. That portion of the U. S. controlled fleet under Panamanian registry, however, averaged 14?5 knots, Indic L- ing that this flag has been chosen by a considerable number of the owners of faster vessels. Since September 1945 all major flags have' contributed to the world increase in speeds. The rise., however, has been uneven, led by Panama, up 205 knots, followed by the British Empire and Norway, both faster by slightly more than one knot, and t e United States, up 009 knot. Turning to average deadweight tonnages, the same kind of disparity- is noted with respect to the present composition by flags, and the rates of increase since 1945. Among the four major tanker wning countries, the October 1, 1952 fleet of the United States ranked irst in average size, 15,360 deadweight tons, Panamanian vessels with n average of 15,190 tons were second, followed by Norway and the I 3ritish Empire, 14,850 tons and 12,520 tons, respectively. An entirely 1afferent picture is obtained, however, in the increases in average eadweights from September 1, 1945. Among these same four countries) Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 -8- the United States showed the smallest gain, only 4+%. In this period' the average tonnage of Norwegian tankers rose nearly 16%, that of the British Empire 22%, while the Panamanian increase was in excess of 33%. All privately owned tankers under the United States flag avera e 15,770 deadweight tons on October 1st, while all United States con- pWd vessels excluding those owned by the Government were slightl smaller, 15,560 tons on the average. Of the four earlier mentioned countries, only the fleet of the British Empire was exceeded by the world average of 13,660 deadweight tons. In no other facet of fleet characteristics will tanker owners and builders be confronted by a more perplexing problem than is revealed by an age analysis. Obviously, the magnitude of the capital outlay required for the purchase of a modern tanker requires consider- able planning and foresight on the part of prospective owners. More over, successive cycles of a dearth of contracts followed by periods in which orders greatly exceed the capacity of existing ways seriously affect the shipbuilding industry and to a lesser extent the economies of shipbuilding countries. Assuming a twenty year life for tankers, the most desirabl age distribution would be one in which approximately 5% of carrying capacity needs replacement each year. This, of courses would be 4% annually if a life span of 25 years were assumed to be normal. Under either assumption, any allowance for growth would obviously impart a upward adjustment to replacement capacity based strictly on fleet retirements. Naturally, individual operators seldom own enough vessels to balance their fleets on an annual basis. But, if in the aggregatq Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 each country's fleet were so constituted, the problem -)f uneven replacement would not now be facing tanker owning nations. Looking at the present world fleet, it is apparent that as a result of wartime building, wide discrepancies exist between the actual age distribution and any reasonably well balanced pattern. Using twenty years as an ~X_ RY Hhe optimum T-2 capacity for each of the last twenty years would be 5% of the world total of 1,726.8 or approximately 86 T-2's. Pre- sently, there exist 672 T-2 equivalents constructed in 1943, 1944, and 1945, an excess of approximately 414 T-2 equivalents over normal re- placement in these three years combined. Perspective on the magnitude of the problem is afforded by the realization that 414 T-2 equivalents are iearl,T ..-..e-fourth of the present world total. When applied to the United States fleet, a similar com- putation discloses an even greater relative imbalance. Our present fleet of 508.3 T-2 equivalents would represent on a balanced twenty year pattern an annual carrying capacity of approximately 25 1/2 T-2 On this basis, the four year period from 1942 through 1945 should account for about 102 T-2 equivalents, whereas in the actual fleet, vessels built during these years aggregate nearly 405 T-21s. Thus, in this span normal replacement is exceeded by approximately 303 T-2 's, or just under 60% of our existing total fleet. Substantially the same result is obtained if only the private sector of the United States fleet is examined. Of the present total of y9a?3 T-2 equivalents, about 311-were built in the years 1942 through 1945. This number exceeds the normal four year replacement expectation of nearly 80 T-2's by about 231, equivalent to some 58% of the October lst fleet. Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 "Block obsolescence", by which term this situation is oft'n described, will perforce occupy the attention of tank ship owners for any years to come. Moreover, as the age of large portions of present fleets approaches twenty years, the greater is the need, for a caref lly onsidered replacement program. PYRGHT By the end of 1952 all tankers built in 1932 or earlier ears exceeded twenty years of age. Of the world fleet, 204.1 T-2 quivalents or 11.8% of total carrying capacity fell in this categoy. mong the major flags approximately this same portion applied to bosh he British Empire and Norway (11.5% and 10.1% respectively). United tates and Panama, however, departed materially from the world ex- erience. In the latter country 17.1% of the fleet, the equivalents f 28.3 T-2's, was in this older group. In sharp contrast, only 2.~% If the fleet capacity under the United States flag was built prior too 933. The 14.7 T-2 equivalents so represented were all privately owned, owever, and if measured against the total private fleet the portion ecomes 3.7%. A further breakdown of the United States private fleet in xcess of twenty years of age discloses only one T-2 equivalent owned 1 y a non-oil company. Thus, less than one per cent of the privately wned non-oil fleet was in this older group, as compared to five per, ent of the carrying capacity owned by oil companies. For the purpose f this analysis, an oil company is defined as an enterprise which tself engages or whose parent concern engages in some phase of the ii business other than that of the ocean transportation of oil. Co ersely, a non-oil company is described as one whose sole petroleum ctivity is that of transporting crude oil or products by tank ships Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Further insight on the age composition of the principal fleets is afforded by an examination of average ages weighted by T-2I equivalents. All tank ships of the world averaged 9 years and 5 months of age as of October 1, 1952. Those of the British Empire and Panami were slightly older, 9 years 6 months, and 9 years 11 months respectively, wPhi~e 'Norwegian fleets were considerably younger, averaging only 7 years and 5 months. All United States flag tankers averaged 9 years and 3 months of age, while for the privately owned sector the age was 9 years and months. The earlier mentioned differences between the ages of oil and non-oil company owned fleets is also apparent in the averages. Oil company vessels were 9 1/2 years old on the average, slightly in excess of the world figure, while all non-oil company owned vessels were just under 9 years in average age. A comparison of the October lst average ages with those of April 1, 1951 provides an indication of the balance between flag trans- fers and fleet losses and replacements. In this 18 month period they average age of the world fleet increased 4 months. Changes in the major fleets were +15 months for the United States, -1 month for the; British Empire, -15 months for Norway and +21 months for Panama. Another interesting aspect of the age composition of tanker fleets relates to the portion built since the War. Overall, just under 1/3 of the October 1st world fleet was constructed in 19+6 or subsequent years. Comparative figures for the major tanker owning countries show Norway far in the lead with 60 1/2% of its carrying capacity built since the War. The British Empire and Panama both had slightly more than 1/3 of their fleets in this newer age grouping, while the United States had only about 6 1/2%. A further breakdown Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 of this latter figure discloses that oil companies had slightly in excess of 9% of their carrying capacity in postwar built vessels, com- pared to less than 1% for the non-oil group. OWNERSHIP OF UNITED STATES PRIVATELY OWNED FLEET On October 1st the United States privately owned fleet of rPYRGHT 428 tank ships aggregated 395.3 T-2 equivalents. Of these, 272.2 or 68.9% were owned by oil companies, while the remainder, 123.1 (31.1%), was owned by carriers which did not participate in any other phase Lf the oil business than that of ocean transportation. These percenta es show a slight gain in favor of the non-oil carriers when compared t September 1, 1949, at which time the split was 69.7% to 30.3%. During this same interval the change in the carrying capacity of the entire private fleet was lower by 1/2 of a T-2. In October 1952 individual owners of five or more tankers numbered 14 in the oil group and 10 in the non-oil, for a total of 4 Of these, the largest in terms of parent organizations, was Standard Oil Company (New Jersey) with 57.4 T-2's amounting to 14+.5% of the private fleet, 11.3% of the total U. S. fleet, and 3.3% of the world. The second largest owner was Gulf Oil Corporation with 8.1% of the private fleet and correspondingly smaller percentages of the total United States and world tank ships. Third in rank, and first among; the non-oil group, was National Bulk Carriers Incorporated with about six per cent of the private United States carrying capacity. Among the 24 owners of five or more tankers, average fleet speeds were grouped rather closely around the overall mean of 14.2 knots, although the range of the averages was between 12.8 and 15.6 knots. Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 In average age considerably more diversification is notice- able, with the youngest company fleet being 7 1/2 years old and the oldest 14 1/2 years. As mentioned earlier, oil company owned vessel were on the average slightly faster and older than those owned by no oil interests. PYRGHT OIL COMPANY, NON-OIL COMPANY AND GOVERNMENT OWNERSHIP OF,THE WORLD FLEET. Throughout the world, 32.9% of tank ship carrying capacity; was owned on October 1st by corporations whose other activities were such that they were numbered among the oil companies. Also on that date 55.4% of the world's capacity was owned by non-oil companies, and 11.7% by various governments. Considerable change in this compositiop is noticeable from January 1, 1949 at which time the oil group owned 47.1%, non-oil interests 36.9% and governments 16.0%. In this same ?me period there has also occurred a pronounced decline in the portion of the world fleet owned by United States oil companies. In January of i 1949 this was 33.1% and in October of 1952 only 25.6%. As of October 1st, the average speed of all oil company vessels was 13.5 knots, nearly 1/2 knot faster than the 13.1 knots recorded for non-oil company ships. Government owned vessels were considerably faster, 14.4 knots, although with the exclusion of the extremely fast (16.2 knots) United States Military fleet and the few vessels owned by the Maritime Administration, this average drops to 12.7 knots. NEW CONSTRUCTION As of October 1, 1952 there were under construction or on order throughout the world 753 tank ships aggregating nearly 15 1/2 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 illion deadweight tons, the equivalent of 973 T-21s. In carrying apacity, therefore, October construction was 56.3% of the existing fleet. Some idea of the magnitude of this volume can be gained from the ob-' ervation that it exceeded by a comfortable margin the entire world feet of January 1, 1944. Further evidence is afforded by compariso s PYRGHT ith earlier dates. The construction program in October of 1948 was my 34.2% of the smaller fleet then existing, while September 1949 onstruction was only 27.2% of the world fleet of that date. The size of the average vessel under construction or on ordr n October 1st was about 20,600 deadweight tons compared to the existing average of 13,700 tons, and its speed was 15.3 knots compared to the 3.4 knot average of the existing fleet. The United Kingdom was by far the leading country of con- truction on October lst, with 351.4 T-2 equivalents or about 36% of orid total. Sweden was the second largest constructor with 140.7 4 1/2% of the total, while the United States was third with 105.1 T- or somewhat less than 11%. Again, by intended flag of registry, thej nited Kingdom was foremost with 249.9 T-2 equivalents amounting to 2 f the world total. Only slightly behind was Norway with 214.5 T-2 quivalents for 22%, and in third rank was Panama for whom 131.5 T-2'J ere being built (13 1/2%). The United States was fourth with 51.3 TT2 quivalents amounting to about 5 1/4% of the world total. In size and speed of vessel under construction the United tates was among the leaders. The 58 vessels being built in this cou veraged 27,200 tons at 16.2 knots while the 32 tankers for United St egiatry had an average deadweight tonnage of 23,800 and average spee f 16.3 knots. Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 -15- As presently constituted the October 1, 1952 construction program will be substantially completed by the end of 1957. Obviously 9 future interflag transfers and scrappage and other losses will have great bearing on the g prospective size of the major fleets of the wor1G1. If, however, certain assumptions are made, the following tabulation sGR G Tovide reasonable' limits within which 1957 fleets will fall, In this compilation it has been assumed that there will be no interfl.g transfers nor any deliveries prior to the end of 1957 of vessels not now on order. The major fleets are then shown on two bases, first wi h no scrappage or losses, then with full deletion of all vessels over twenty years of age? 10-1- 2 C 12-31-5 Fleet Per Cent Chan 3 ge Flag 5 onstruction No Full 10-1-52 to 12- 1- 7 Fleet Program Scrappage No Scrappage FuJ': Scrap 1 page United States 508.3 51..3 530.4 +10.1% + 41 .3% British Empire 340.5 263 ~ 3 540.8 +77.3 +58 8 Norway 258,3 214,.5 423.7 +83.0 +64! . 0 Panama :165 3 131.5 264.8 +79.6 +60 ? .2 L Total Wor'Ld .l726.8 972.8 2,409.4 +56.3 +391 .5 Under either' scrappage assumption, and with full allowance for a wide margin of error in the no transfer assumption, two observat!onIs seem warranted. First, the future rate of growth of the United States tanker fleet will be far outstripped by that of other major owners, and second, the British fleet will. surpass the United States in carrying capacity by the end of 1957? Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 CPYRGHT STATISTICAL TABULATIONS Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 INDEX OF STATISTICAL TABULATIONS Title World Tank Ship Fleet, Actual and T2-SE-Al Equivalents as of October 1, 1952 Changes to October 1, 1952 in World Tank PSYR ~eet from April 1, 1951 and September Speed and Deadweight Tonnage Groups of World Tank Ship Fleet as of October 1, 1952 3 Analysis of Age Distribution of Actual World Tank Ship Fleet as of October 1, 1952 T2-SE-A1 Equivalent Analysis of Age Distribution of World Tank Ship Fleet as of October 1, 1952 Cumulative T2-SE-Al Equivalent Analysis of Age Distribution of World Tank Ship Fleet as of October 1, 1952 Cumulative Fercentage T2-SE-Al Analysis of Age Distribution of World Tank Ship Fleet as of October 1, 1952 Analysis of United States Flag Privately Owned Tank Ship Fleet as of October 1, 1952 8 Analysis of Ownership Within Flags of the Actual World Tank Ship Fleet as of October 1, 1952 Analysis of Ownership Within Flags of the World T2-SE-Al Equivalent Tank Ship Fleet as of October 1, 1952 Tank Ships Under Construction or on Order as of October 1, 1952 11 Speed and Deadweight Tonnage Groups of Tank Ships Under Construction or on Order as of 12 October 1, 1952 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 CPYRGHT WORLD TANK SHIP FLEET, ACTUAL AND T2-SE-A1 EQUIVALENTS AS OF OCTOBER 1, 1952 Ocean-Going Vessels 2,000 Gross Tons and Over alents 2 Al E i v -SE- qu T Average Speed No. D.W.T. AWorl dr W ESTERN HEMISPHERE United States 550 5,284,400 8,446,400 14.6K 508.3 8,521,600 29.4 1 Government 122 1,090,900 1,695,400 16.2 113.0 1,894,400 6.5; 1 U.S.M.A. 4 29,100 46,700 10.5 4 2.0 33,500 0. 41 860 900 6 0 1 1 Military 118 1,061,800 1,648,700 16. . , , . : 11 Private 428 4,193,500 6,751,000 14.2 395.3 6,627,200 22.9; Oil Companies 288 2,856,500 4,624,900 14.3 272.2 4,563,400 15.8; Non-Oil Companies 140 1,337,000 2,126,100 14.1 123.1 2,063,800 7.1; Panama 194 1,881,100 2,946,000 13.6 165.3 2,771,300 9.6 U. S. Citizen 119 1,285,600 2,031,900 14.5 121.3 2,033,600 7.01 15 131,500 201,000 14.2 11.8 197,900 0.711 Others: Argentina 38 324,600 441,500 13.2 24.0 402,400 1.4 Brazil 9 88,500 133,800 14.0 7.7 129,100 0.4, Costa Rica 1 7,100 10,300 10.0 0.4 6,700 0.0 8 Honduras 12 145,900 229,500 14.2 13.4 224,600 0. ! Mexico 20 123,300 186,900 10.7 8.3 139,100 0.5 Peru 1 2,800 4,300 10.0 0.2 3,400 0.0 Uruguay 2 20,400 33,200 14.5 2.0 33,500 0.1 Venezuela 110 200 152.6000 .9.5 _ 1.44_.509 0k __ Sub-Total Others 1115 22,800 1,192,100 12.6 62.0 1,039,400 3.61 E UROPE Countries A E C 249 10,814,400 1 16,250,400 12.8 853.0 14,300,500 49.4 ! . . . Belgium , 8 69,100 100,500 12.3 5.1 85,500 0.3 Denmark 31 298,000 460,200 13.3 25.1 420,800 1.4 France 89 836,600 1,257,100 13.0 67.4 1,129,900 3.9 Germany 14 io6,500 161,900 10.3 6.9 115,700 o.4 Greece 13 105,200 166,200 13.3 9.1 152,500 0.51 Ital 92 725,500 1,119,300 12.6 58.0 972,400 3.4 ! y Netherlands 108 616,200 879,900 11.9 43.2 724,200 2.5 Norwa 321 3,130,700 4,767,100 13.2 258.3 4,330,400 14.9 y al Portu 6 56,800 84,100 13.7 4.7 78,800 0.3, g Sweden 55 532,600 817,600 13.7 46.1 772,900 2.7 Switzerland 2 14,300 22,400 10.6 1.0 16,800 0.1~ Turke 3 21,400 34,700 12.7 1.8 30,200 0.1 ' y United Kingdom 507 4,301,500 6,379,400 12.4 326.3 5,470,400 18.9 Others: i I 0 land Fi 7 53,600 78,500 10.3 .2 3.3 55,300 n land P 2 14,600 21,300 10.9 0.9 15,100 0.0 o Spain R U S S 24 146,900 19 125,500 203,200 11.5 183,800 11.1 9.6 161,000 8.4 140,800 0.1 . . . . 2 14 200 21 700 11.5 1.0 16BQQ_ Qal ' Yugoslavia Sub-Total 54 354,800 508,500 11.1 23.2 389,000 1.4 1,303 11,169,200 16,758,900 12.7 876.2 14,689,500 50. CHINA 4 27,000 40,400 10.2 1.7 28,500 0." INDIA 1 3,300 5,400 8.0 0.2 3,400 0. INDONESIA 1 2,800 3,800 10.0 0.2 3,300 0. JAPAN 44 400,800 597,200 13.3 32.7 548,200 1. LIBERIA 56 666,600 1,087,600 14.8 66.2 1,109,800 3. NEW ZEALAND 1 3,100 4,500 11.0 0.2 3,300 0. PAKISTAN 2 9,400 15,000 9.7 0.6 10,100 0.( MISCELLANEOUS BRITISH COLONIES 3 15,100 20,000 16.7 1.4 2.500 0. TOTAL WORLD 2,292 20,417,100 31,318,300 13.4 1,726.8 28,949,800 100.0 TOTAL BRITISH EMPIRE 529 4,463,900 6,625,300 12.5 340.5 5,708,600 19.' TOTAL UNITED STATES 44 7 CONTROL, ALL FLAGS 839 8,096,300 12,852,600 14.4 . Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000800540005-9 CPYRGHT CHANGES TO OCTOBER 1, 1952 IN WORLD TANK SHIP FLEET FROM APRIL 1, 1951 AND SEPTEMBER 1, 1945 Ocean-Going Vessels 2,000 Gross Tons and Over Increase or Decrease t o Octob er 1. 1952 frome April 1, 1951 Se tember 1, 1945 Actual T2-SE-Al Actual T2-SE- A1 Flag Equivalents Num- Deadweight Actual Per Cen Num- Deadweight Actual Per Cent ber Tonnage ber Tonnage WESTERN HEMISPHERE United States - 10 - 74,400 - 1.7 - 0.3 -357 -4,932,743 -247.9 - 32.81 Government 0 0 0 0 -524 -8,032,524 -448.6 - 80.0; U.S.M.A. - 3 - 12,000 - 0.5 - 20.0 -536 -7,993,824 -458.9 - 99.6, Military + 3 + 12,000 + 0.5 + 0.5 + 12 - 38,700 + 10.3 + 10.21 Private - 10 - 74,400 - 1.7 - 0.4 +167 +3,099,781 +200.7 + 103.1 Oil Companies - 6 - 25,000 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 80 +1,701,225 +117.6 + 76.1 Non-Oil Companies - 4 - 49,400 - 1.9 - 1.5 + 87 +1,398,556 + 83.1 + 207.8 Panama + 13 + 158,500 + 6.3 + 4.0 +122 +2,126,110 +127.9 + 342.0 ' U. S. Citizen - 17 - 217,300 - 12.9 - 9.6 - - - - Canada (a) - 6 - 36,800 - 1.8 - 13.2 - - - - Others: Argentina + 3 + 89,500 + 5.6 + 30.4 + 14 + 230,282 + 14.1 + 142.4; Brazil + 4 + 82,700 + 5.2 +208.0 + 3 + 3,242 + 5.6 + 266.7, Chile - 2 - 9,600 - 0.4 -100.0 - 2 - 9,662 - 0.4 - 100.0 Costa Rica + 1 + 10,300 + 0.4 - + 1 + 10,300 + 0.4 Honduras 0 - 9,300 - 1.0 - 6.9 + 11 + 218,365 + 12.9 +2,580.0 Mexico 0 0 0 0 + 10 + 93,611 + 4.2 + 102.4 Peru 0 0 0 0 - - - - Philippine Island 0 0 0 0 - 1 - 9,112 - 0.5 - 100.01 Uruguay 0 4 600 + 0.1 + 5.3 + 1 + 22,500 + 1.5 + 300-01 Venezuela 0 + 6,200 + 0. + 5.3 + 13 + 65,500 + 2.5 + 1.4 Sub-Total Others + + 170,400 + 10.2 + 19.7 + 50 + 705,026 + 40.3 + 1 TOTAL WESTERN HEMISPHERE (a) + 3 + 217,700 + 13.0 + 1.8 -185 -2,101,607 - 79.7 - 9.6 EUROPE E. C. A. Countries +119 +2,218,700 +132.9 + 18.5 - - - - Belgium 0 0 0 0 + 4 + 58,665 + 3.2 + 168.4 Denmark + 6 + 98,700 + 5.9 + 30.7 + 27 + 399,790 + 21.9 + 684.4 France + 15 + 269,100 + 15.5 + 29.9 + 74 +1,094,994 + 59.8 +- 786.8 Germany + 4 + 28,300 + 0.9 + 15.0 - 26 - 326,823 - 17.6 - 71.81 Greece + 2 + 17,800 + 0.8 + 9.6 + 9 + 138,876 + 8.0 + 727.31 Italy + 16 + 221,800 + 11.8 + 25.5 + 70 + 940,177 + 50.3 + 653.21 Netherlands 0 - 7,600 - 0.3 - 0.7 + 43 + 428,6311 + 22.7 + 110.7; Norway + 32 + 706,100 + 43.7 + 20.4 +156 +2,651,829 +152.6 + 144.4; Portugal + 1 + 31,900 + 2.0 + 71.4 + 4 + 71,077 + 4.1 + 683.31 Sweden + 15 + 253,000 + 14.9 + 47.8 + 18 + 322,366 + 19.7 + 74.6: Switzerland 0 0 0 0 + 2 + 22,400 + 1.0 - Turkey - 1 - 9,000 - 0.6 - 25.0 + 2 + 25,700 + 1.3 + 260.0 United Kingdom (a) + 29 + 608,600 + 38.3 + 13.3 - Others: Finland + 1 + 11,000 + 0.5 + 17.9 + 7 + 78,500 + 3.3 - Poland -F 1 + 12,000 00 6 + 0.4 0 8 + 80.0 1 + 2 4 + 21,300 6 2 + 0.9 2 6 1 Spain + 2 + 1 ,9 + . + 9. + + 5 ,35 + . + 37. U.S.S.R. 0 + 14,100 + 0.8 + 10.5 - 3 62,611 - 3.9 - 31.71 Yugoslavia 0 + 8,300 + 0 . 4 66.7_ + 1 1 8 400 + 0. + 900.0 Sub-Total Others + 4 + 2 00 + 2. + 14.3 + 11 + 107,94f + + 19.6 TOTAL EUROPE (a) +123 +2,2 1,000 +135. + 1 .3 - -. - - CHINA - 3 - 37,300 - 2.3 - 57.5 + 4 + 40,400 + 1.7 INDIA (a) 0 0 0 0 - - - INDONESIA 0 8 0 00 166 0 11 0 0 7 0 + 1 19 + 3,800 - 98 9 + 0.2 6 6 - - 16 8 JAPAN LIBERIA + + 27 + ,9 + 414,900 + . + 23.9 + 5 . + 56.5 - + 56 , 33 +1,087,600 . - + 66.2 . - NEW ZEALAND (a) 0 0 0 0 - - - - PAKISTAN (a) 0 0 0 0 - - - - MISCELLANEOUS BRITISH COLONIES (a) + 3 + 20,000 + 1.4 - - - - - TOTAL WORLD +161 +3,063,200 +182.7 + 11.8 +381 +7,401,981 +462.3 + 36.6, TOTAL BRITISH EMPIRE + 26 + 591,800 + 37.9 + 12.5 +130 +2,535,091 +149.7 + 78.5; TOTAL U.S. CONTROL, ALL FLAGS - 4 + 45,900 + 5.1 + 0.7 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. (a) In 1945, Canada, India, New Zealand, Pakistan and other British colonies were included with United Kingdom. N.A. 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