THE ECONOMY OF SOUTH VIETNAM

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1
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March 1, 1973
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~L ?'z/ 4L.L''r Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP~'~d8~511iF'5Q~~~0~09 ~1 Confidential DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGEN( E Intelligence Handbook The Econo~iy of South Vietsiam iron ~ iaential ER H 73-1 March 1973 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001 ~~`10(~~9-195 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Classified by 015319 Exempt from genorol declassification schodulo of E.O, 11652 exemption catogory 58(12,(2),(3) Automatically declassified on Date Impossible fo Doformine Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 200~~'~~?~I~~T00875R001500200009-1 CONTENTS Page Introduction 1 Discussion 1 General 1 Population and Labor Force . 4 Land and Resource Base . 7 Transportation . 8 Domestic Trade and Finance 11 Domestic Trade 11 The Financial System 11 Agriculture 12 Industry 15 Government Finance 16 Foreign Trade and Aid 19 1. Labor Force, 1972 7 2. Output of Selected Agricultural Products 13 3. Output of Selected Industrial Products 16 Figures 1. Gross National Product . 2 2. Population 5 3. Administrative Divisions and Military Regions . 6 4. Land Use, 1972. . 8 5. Land Utilization and Vegetation . 9 6. Production, Exports, and Imports of Milled Rice ;4 7. Yanmar Agricultural Machinery Plant in Bien Hoa Industrial Park and Yanmar Machinery for Sale in Ban Me Thuot, Darlac Province 17 8. Government Budget 18 9. Value of Foreign Trade 20 10. Composition of Imports 21 Approved For Release 200~~i~E14I~~1~'d~5T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 mouth Vietnam Railroad Road Z6 60 76 Milse Z6 60 76 Kflomelore 501 ~~rove or a ease Approved For Release 2000~~~F~i1~~~00875R001500200009-1 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directora?e of Intelligence March 1973 INTELLIGENCE HANDBOOK THE ECONOMY OF SOUTH VIETNAM INTRODUCTION 1. This handbook is designed to serve as a reference for basic economic information on South Vietnam and complements one recently published on North Vietnam.l For easy comparison, some basic economic data for both countries are presented on the last page of this handbook. Most of the data included in this handbook are unclassified and are based on information released by the South Vietnamese government and the various US government agencies represented in South Vietnam. Estimates were made in instances where data were unavailable or incomplete. 2. Witll a per capita gross national product (GNP) of about US $120, South Vietnam ranks above other countries of Indochina but significantly below most other less developed countries of Southeast and East Asia. Despite wartime destruction and disruption, South Vietnam's GNP has grown at a respectable rate since 1964. In large part, this has been the result of the growth of government services and construction associated with military activities. Agricultural production declined during the peak war years of 1965-68, while industrial output continued to expand until 1968, 1. Sce CIA ER H 72-2, The Economy of North Vietnam, December 1972, CONFIDENTIAL/NO POREiCN DISSEM. Note: Comments and ueries re ardin this publication are welcomed. They may be directed the Office of Economic Research, 25X1 A Code 143, Extension 6202. Approved For Release 2000~~~F~i~~~T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 200x:I~~$~ip'Ip~~00875R001500200009-1 when plant damage from the enemy's Tet offensive caused a sharp decline. During 1969-71, there was substantial recovery and growth in both agriculture and industry, but the North Vietnamese offensive brougl-,t growth to a Halt in 1972. 3. As a result of the rapid expansion of government expenditures, the services sector of the economy currently accounts for more than half of national output in what is basically an agricultural country (see Figure 1). Agriculture, including fishing and for- estry, contributes only about one-third to national output, althuuglt it employs more than 60% of the labor force. In- dustry runs a poor third, accounting for an estimated 12% of GNP and about 5% of the labor force. 4. Tlie years of war have badly distorted resource allocation in Soutli Vietnam's economy, but have also brought some important new assets. Tlie growth of the private sector was buffeted by changing security conditions and con- Figure 1 Gross National Product ~s~2 bers of prime-age males into the armed forces. Exports were nearly wiped out, and dependence on imports increased greatly. The country shifted from a surplus to a large deficit in food. A greatly increased urban population lead to be supported largely through imports, which in turn created an appetite for modern imported consumer goods. Because of the availability of relatively cheap imports, manufacturing became largely a matter of processing imported raw materials. On t11e other hand, gains to the economy included large-scale training of the population in new skills and a fairly elaborate infrastructure in the form of ports, airfields, and roads. Moreover, most of South Vietnam's productive facilities came through the war with little damage. 5. The war also had a dramatic impact on monetary developments. During 1965-72, consumer prices in Saigon increased nearly 900% and the money supply more than 600%. The growth of demand, fed by massive defense spending, greatly outstripped the productive capabilities of the South Vietnamese economy. Even with large-scale foreign aid, there were many goods and services for which the increase in demand could not be met by imports. As a result, inflationary pressures were severe, alt}totiglt not nearly so severe as in South Korea during the Korean War. Approved For Release 2000~A~1'~:~~~~I~~T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 CrJNFIDENTIAL 6. Although many of these pressures are still present, there has been a significant slowdown in the rate of price increases since 1970. This has been due in large part to various economic reforms, including the adoption of realistic-and fairly flexible-exchange rates and higher interest rates and the relaxation of controls on domestic and foreign trade. Compared with annual increases ranging from 30% to 55% during 1965-70, consumer prices rose 14% in 197 ] and 24% in 1972.2 Although the 1972 performance shows some deterioration, it nonetheless should be considered quite good in view of the many supply disruptions caused by the offensive and the increasing cost of imports with successive devaluations and higher world market prices. 7. Inflation and certain government policy decisions have effected a major redistribution of income in Sout}> Vietnam since 1965. The real incomes of some groups have declined substantially. Military personnel and civil servants, who once were the top salary earners, have fallen well behind their counterparts in the private (non-agricultural) sector, and they have suffered an absolute decline in real income in recent years as their wages failed to keep pace with rising prices. Income from other family members helped to offset the decline for several years, but opportunities for increased Family employment have diminished with the withdrawal of US forces. While urban households in general have either held their own or suffered a decline in real income, the income of fanners, at least in the Mekong Delta, has risen substantially since 1969. Farmers leave benefited from rising yields, low fertilizer prices, generally good procurement prices, and a near absence of taxation. There are, of course, thousands of rural inhabitants who, as refugees, have not shared in this relative prosperity. 8. Despite the upheavals and distortions caused by the war, South Vieti:am has potential for rapid private sector growth. The basic questions are how to expand production, stimulate exports, and reduce dependence on imports without severely depressing per capita private consumption. In the past year or so the government has begun to cope with some of these issues by offering general incentives such as devaluations, an attractive investment law, tax reform, and broad planning guidance to private-sector interests. The governnent, however, probably will continue to be heavily involved in many activities usually reserved For the private sector. Some investment projects will be too large for private interests to undertake, and there is considerable prejudice against the ethnic Chinese community, the largest and most dynamic element in the private sector. 9. For the foreseeable future, South Vietnam will be heavily dependent on foreign capital (principally in the form of official aid) to sustain its present living standards. Some 95"l0 ~f its iml;orts in 1972 were 2. Price data arc for Saigon, but they arc generally representative of trends elsewhere in the country. CGNFIDENTTAL Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09d~4y~~~875R001500200009-1 financed either by US payments for local transactions or by outright US assistance. Other countries have shown a growing interest in providing economic support to South Vietnam, but there is likely to be an enormous gap between their support and South Vietnam's requirements. Population and Labor Force 10. South Vietnam has never had a national census. Sample surveys over the years indicate that the population is about 19 million and has been growing about 3% annually. Probably about three-fourths of the population is below the age of 40, and females slightly outnumber males. 11. Almost two-thirds of the population lives in the flat southern half of the country. Most of the remainder is concentrated along the narrow coastal strip running from north of Saigon to the Demilitarized Zone (see Figures 2 and 3). Saigon is the largest urban center, with a population estimated at about 3 million for tlt~ entire metropolitan area. Witll more than 400,000 persons, Da Nang is the second largest city, and there are several cities throughout the country with populations of roughly 200,000. 12. Although the population is still predominantly rural, there has been a fairly large migration from rural to urban areas since 1964. This movement stemmed largely from the intensification of military operations in the countryside and the job opportunities created by the US military buildup. In addition, the expansion of the armed forces was accompanied by a flow of military dependents to the cities. As a result, a larger share of the population is located in urban areas than is true for most other less developed countries. 13. The largest movements of people in South Vietnam leave involved those driven from their homes by the fighting. Since the war began, more than 7 million Vietnamese have been refugees at one time or another. In 1972 alone, more than a million persons became refugees, and more than half of these still are in government camps waiting to be returned to their villages cr to be resettled elsewhere. 14. These large-scale population movements make it particularly difficult to trace changes in the labor force in recent years. Currently, the labor force is estimated aY about 7 million people, with employment grouped as shown in Table 1. Tlie major shift has been the increase in military and civilian government employment, which I~as roughly doubled since 1964. Manning the fourth largest army in the world caused a considerable drain on the agricultural labor force and a tight labor market in general. Labor participation rates have increased for women, the young, and the aged, but this has tended to reduce ttte productivity of the civilian labor force. The Approved For Release 2000~A~~j~I~~:~~~T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/O~UNF~DENTIAL 08758001500200009-1 Population Persene per squero mile 0 50 250 b00 760 0 10 , ;~:=183 2B0 Persona per squero kllomeler 1968 eefimafad cenaut V Deo Phu puoc Approved For Release 200~1~~I~~'~'~T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/~h'~'~ II~f~~~00875R001500200009-1 p~Dac I~h~ DOO~CI Kien~ ~inng llue: Thua Thicn Tay Ninh An xuycn Ba Xuycn W_ tau ghia 61nh Duon~ Vinh 6inh Phuoc Long Phuoc Tuy , Binh Tuy "61m Thuan Binh Dinh Khonh Hoa Ninh Tltuan Phu Ycn Administrative Divisions and Military Regions --~~~~- Military rogion boundary Provinco boundary 11u0 Autonomous municipality :Yynp_Ilu Approved For Release 2000/Ol~,~,~~T~0875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 CONFIDENTIAL Labor Force, 1972 Million Persons Percent of Total Total 7.0 100 Government sector 1.4 20 Military 1.1 16 Civilian 0.3 4 US sector 0.1 1 Private sector 5.5 ~~ Agriculture 4,0 58 Forestry and fishing 0,4 6 Manufact!~ring and construction 0,4 6 Commerce 0,3 4 Domestic servants 0,1 1 Other 0.3 4 labor market has eased somewhat during the past two years with the accelerated US withdrawal Although the resulting unemployment has caused problems in some urban areas, these have been minimized by a number of factors, including assistance from the traditionally strong family system and the fact that more than half of the jobs created by the US presence have been ltcld by women, many of whom have again dropped out of the labor force. Ladd and Resource Base 15. South Vietnam, with an area of about 66,000 square miles, is about 700 miles long and ranges in width from about 40 miles in the north to 120 miles in the south. Most of the northern two-thirds of the country consists of sparsely popu- lated mountains and hills, while the southern third is a densely populated flat plan: consisting of the Dong Nai and Mekong River Deltas. 501031 2-73 16. South Vietnam's major natural resource. is relatively abundant and fertile farmland. At present, only about 60% of the arable land-about 15% of the country's surface area-is under cultivation. Hardwood and pine Approved For Release 2000/~F~i~[~00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/0~~4~~~~;p~.~5~T~0875R001500200009-1 forests, which make up one-third of the land area, as shown in Figure 4, also represent a largely untapped resource with significant potential. South Vietnam's metal and mineral resources are relatively unexplored. The only minerals being ex- ploited commercially are limestone, silica sand, clay, and salt. Recent surveys leave indicated a potential for offshore oil reserves, but test drilling has been delayed by the uncertain political and military situation. Land Use 1972 17. Security conditions have affected the exploitation of other poten- tially valuable resources as well. This is especially tn;e for farming, forestry, rubber production, and, to a lesser extent, for fishing. The escalation of the war in 1965 caused a decline in cultivated area of about one-]lalf million hectares (more than 15% of the total cultivated area shown in Figure 5) during 1965-67, but some of this land hay since been brought back into cultivation. The primary development i;l land use in recent years leas been the increased amount of double-cropping with both rice and vegetables. This has been made possible by the fairly widespread introduction of small water pumps that enable farmers to irrigate their plots in the dry season. Most of the large-scale water control systems in existence prior to the war have either been damaged or neglected. Although constructiun of new systems is under way in some areas (both for irrigation and to prevent salt water intrusion), South Vietnam is far behind many other Southeast Asian countries in terms of the amount of cultivated land subject to water control. Transport ~tion 18. The mainstay of the transportation system is the 12,500-mile road network. The basic network was developed under the French and extended and rehabilitated with US aid. Highways provide access to more regions of the country than any other mode and carry most of the freight moved by the transport system. Data are not available on tonnage carried by motor carriers, but the increased ;use made of the road network is reflected in truck registrations, which climbed from 37,000 in 1966 to 90,000 in 1970. 19. The basic Highway network is generally laid out in a nortl;-south pattern centered on Saigon; the major port and hub of economic activity. From the standpoint of commerce and the number of people served, the most important roads are Routes 1 and 4, which link Saigon with the northern part of the country and the Meko;tg Delta, respectively. Although Approved For Release 20001'F~i~[~F~00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 CONFIDENTIAL I~~nd Utilization and Vegetation CULTIVATED AREAS Rico ,.~ Tree crops, chiefly rubber e Vegetable crops NONCULTIVATED AREAS +"~` Forest Q Grassland Marshes and other inundated vogetation Mangrove 1t'Dao Phu puoc Approved For Release 2000/0~/~~.bT1~D875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 CONFIDENTIAL the road network is an important asset for future economic development, the cost of maintaining it will be quite High. 20. The railroad system in South Vietnam was built by the French during the colonial period and consists primarily of one line paralleling Route 1 along the coast. Before World War II the system linked Saigon and Hanoi and also connected with the Chinese rail network. Currently consisting of 780 miles of meter-gauge single-track lines, only about half of the main rail network is available for service because of war damage. This system, which has no international connections or electrified lines, is operated by the government-owned South Vietnam National Railway. During 1965-71, use of th~~ rail system declined from 127 million metric ton-kilometers to only ~8 million ton-kilometers. 21. The Vietnamese ~ lave always made extensive use of natural waterways and man-made canals, most of which were built by the French during 191 ~-30. South Vietnam has almost 3,000 miles of navigable inland waterways, 80% of which are located in the Mekong Delta. Water transport declined during the peak war years because of insecurity and lack of canal maintenance. Improved security in the past three years, however, has permitted increased use of waterways, and it is likely that waterways will once again become the chief means of transporting produce, especially rice, out of the Delta. 22. South Vietnam's long coastline and good Harbors in the northern half of the country give it an excellent natural base: for expansion of coastal and ocean-going shipping. During the late 19FOs, ports underwent rapid development as a result of growing military logistical requirements. In 1959, South Vietnam had one major port, Saigon, with a rated capacity of 8,400 tons per day. The only other port of any size was Da Nang, which was rated at 2,000 tons per day. By 1972, Saigon's daily capacity lead climbed to 14,800 tons and Da Nang's to 12,250 tons, and new facilities had been built at Cam Ranh Bay (6,700 tons per day), Qui Nhon (6,300 tons per day), Vung Tau (2,550 tons per day), and Vung Ro near Nha Trang (2,000 tons per day). The capacities of all ports except Saigon are being reduced to some extent by the removal of some of the portable piers and other structures erected by US forces. 23. The merchant fleet of South Vietnam is~ small, consisting of six freighters of more than 1,000 deadweight tons. Coastal shipping expanded considerably (with the use of leased vessels) when the railroad and roads were interdicted in the northern part of the country. Improved security and expansion of facilities in the northern ports for ocean-going vessels, however, have resulted in a decline in coastal shipping since 1969. Approved For Rele~s?~~r~l~-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 CONFIDENTIAL 24. War requirements spurred development of air transport. South Vietnam's civil air service now includes both domestic and international operations by the national airline-Air Vietnam-and by nine foreign carriers. Air 'vietnam connects Saigon with 23 other cities in South Vietnam. There are over 140 weekly ciomcstic flights of DC-3s and DC-4s, ranging from two to more than 20 flights per week between individual cities. Air Vietnam also has routes extending to Laos, Cambodia, Taiwan, Japan, the Philippines, Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong, and Thailand. Its aircraft inventory consists of three Boeing 727s, two DC-6s, 16 DC-3s and DC-4s, and four smaller planes. Domestic Trade and Finance 25. Despite war disruptions, the free market distribution system in South Vietnam has continued to function relatively effectively. The major effect of hostilities has been the periodic shortage of basic commodities as a result of temporary road interdiction. However, some traditional market patterns have changed because of the war. Rice marketing, for example, is now handled partly by the government, which sets the prices of imported rice and distributes it and frequently purchases domestic rice in the Mekong Delta for shipment to the northern rice-deficit provinces. The government also attempts to influence domestic trade by maintaining price controls on almost all commodities. These controls arc difficult to administer, and prices vary widely from permissible limits. In addition, the government periodically attempts to control the flow of goods throughout the country-and thus limit Communist supply sources-by its operation of control checkpoints on reads and waterways. The Fi~tn~rcial System 26. South Vietnam's financial system is still relatively small and immature, but its operations and efficiency have bec:~ much enlarged and improved by recent reforms. The banking system consists of the National Bank of Vietnam (the central bank), several commercial banks (the largest of which is govcrnmcnt-owned), and several public credit institutions. The major institutional sources of credit arc the commercial banks; noninsti- tutional I~:nders (such as moneylenders, pawnshops, informal credit pools, employers, landlords, friends, and relatives) still provide a major share (probably more than half) of the credit to the private sector. 27. The organized financial system is only just beginning to play an influential role in the economy. Until a few years ago there were virtually no institutional sources of credit in rural areas. Now, private rural banks COr l F ~F~'TiAT . 5T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000i'09i'1 F~DP8 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 CONFIDI;I'~1TIAL (approximately half of their capital provided by the govcrnmcr.l) arc springing up throughout the country. Combined with the provincial branches of the government's Agricultural Development Bank, the organized financial system is providing agrowing-although still small-share of the credit needs of the rural population. 28. Two other recent developments also have contributed to the improvement in South Vietnam's financi~il system. They arc the increasing size and activity of public credit institutions and interest rate reform. With incrcascd funds and more vigorous leadership, development lending institu- tions sharply incrcascd investment loan authorizations in 1972 despite great uncertainty resulting from the offensive. The increase in hostilities did, however, cause the postponement of the spending of most of these authorized funds. 29. The interest rate reform in late 1970, which approximately doubled both lending and deposit interest rates, was a major factor in the relative economic stability in both 1971 and 1972. lay making interest rates more accurately reflect inflation and real risk, the banking system was able to attract a muc}t larger share of people's money incomes. Tltis slowed the rate of growth of tnoncy supply, reduced speculative consumer purchases, and improved popular attitudes toward the banking system. During the 1972 Communist offensive, for example, savings and time deposits rose substan- tially. Agriculture 30. Agriculture is the major economic activity in South Vichtam and supplies nearly all of the country's exports. Most resources arc devoted to rice production, alth~~igh in recent years increasing emphasis has been given to other crops-particularly vegetables-and to livestock production. Fishing and forestry combine to make up about 15% of the total value of agricultural output, a share likely to rise fairly rapidly with the increasing development of these resources for the export market. 31. Decreases in cultivated area and dislocation of the farm labor force resulted in a decline in agricultural production of about 12~"o duriny~ the peak war years. Starting in 1969, }towcver, i-nprovements in security, adoption of new technology, and generally favorable price inc?ntives for farmers brought about a rapid recovery. By 1970, output Itad surpassed the 1963-64 level, with annual growth averaging about 9%n during 1969-71. Production probably did not increase at all in 1972 because of disruption from the enemy offensive and bad weather. Approved For Release 200~~~I~~~'~T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 CONhLDEN TIAL 32. Iticc is grown in all 44 provinces and ~~n rouZ;hly $0"/r~ of the cultivated urea of South Viehrun. Most crops (sec Table 2) arc raised on small family I'urms. Unly a few crops such as rubber, lcu, and col'1'ec arc grown conurercially on plantations, many of which have been damaged or Output of Selected Agricultural Products 1964 19G~4 1969 Tkvusrrud Mclrlr Tvns 1970 1971 Coff'cc C 3 3 4 4 4 orn F it 4G 32 31 31 34 ru s M i 526 420 440 473 498 an oc P t 289 260 234 216 270 eanu s Rl " 3G 32 34 32 37 cc (paddy) R bb 5,327 4,688 4,366 5,115 5,715 u er S 74 34 28 33 38 ugar cane S 1,055 426 321 336 340 weet potatoes T 301 '135 226 220 230 ca 5 5 5 5 G Tobacco V 7 8 8 8 y egetables 108 193 235 Milllo-r N t 21 g 244 Coconuts 141 111 u s 98 118 125 a. for crop year ending 31 May of years shown. abandoned during fire war. The Mekong Delta products three-fourths of the annual rice output, and the major harvest occurs during December-January. Most of the country north of Saigon produces less rice than it consumes and consalucntly relies on imports from the Delta or outside sources. Prior to 1965, South Vietnam exported rice, but has since had to import large quantities each year (see Figure 6). During 1965-69, production generally declined, and the rapid gains since then have not been sufficient to meet increased consumption requirements.3 3. The wide fluctuations in rice availability indicated by Figure 6 arc largely the result of sizable changes in government stock levels, which, for example, reached a record high level in 1968. Approved For Release 200U7U9/~~D~~~5T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/~,~~I;C~~I~,~~~TL00875R001500200009-1 Thousond Motrlc Tona 4000 Flgura d Production, Exports, and Imports of Milled Ripe 0 1960 61 62 83 84 65 66 67 68 89 70 71 72 ?For crop your ondlnp !n your shown. For oxomplo, 1877 production Is for fho 1871/7? crop yoor ondlnp 31 May 1872. arse 7 77 Exports ~ '-"" """~ _' .~ "~~ Imports .~ ,./ Production" 33. Although farming in many areas is still carried on by traditional methods, changes in production practices since 19(,8 have lifted many farmers out of subsistence farming and allowed them to produce a surplus. The introduction of high-yiclr? rice varieties in 19~r3 was the turning point. The new seed required mor-; inputs such as frrti:'~rer, pesticide, and wafer control mechanisms, all of which were available at reasonable rust. -Chr increasal return from these v;lrictics-resulting from generally higher paddy prices and yields-permitted substantial modernization in agriculture. Iligh- yicld rice is now grown oft about one-fourth of the riceland and has barn largely responsible for pushing average yields from the }err-war level of about 2.0 tons per hectare to the current ''.5 tons per hectare. Water pumps have Approved For Release 200~~~1~~~5T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 CONI~'IIJL;NTIA~, permitted a much t,r~;alcr amount of irrigation and thus double cropping; and tractors and rololilla?s plow I'iclds earlier, more efl'icicnlly, and rttore dtaiply than water buffalo. 34. Another significant warlinte development was the tuloplion in March 1970 of a r?udical land reform program to give tenant f,u?mcrs rind , squatters free tills to the laud Iltey ,ire cultivating, Within three years, ownership of about one million hcclares (or? more than one-third of the total cultivated area) was to be lransl'crrcd at government expense to plots than ? SOO,000 farm I'ar~tilics. 13y the Intl of 1972, new titles has) been issued for about 700,000 hectares and applications had been approval I'or an :ulditional 225,000 hcclares. Industry 35. South Vietnam has a very small industrial scclorwith virtually no heavy industry. Manufacturing consists primarily of small-scale consumer industr?ics proccssi~~e imported raw materials and some local agricultural products. Dour industries-foodstuffs, beverages, tobacco, and textiles- account for about 70'%~ of manufacturing output, and a handful of firms produce the lion's share. The remainder consists mainly of paper and paper products, piustics and other chemicals, cement, glass, and the output of a variety ol'smaller industries and handicraft enterprises. Almost all non-handi- craft industry is concentrated in the Saigon metropolitan arcs because of the availability of power, the large market, and greater security, Most of the large firms arc owned by the. government or by local Chinese businessmen. Table 3 presents output from the most important branches of industry in recent years. 3C. With the exception of 19G>3, when some nrt~nufacturing facilities were danriged during the Tet ol'fcnsivc, industry has grown at a fairly rapid rate throughout the war. Manufacturing and electric power output combined rose at an average annual rate of about 8'y, during 1965-71, and construction activity (including US construction) probably grew somewhat more rapidly. The 1972 aumy offensive, however, Icd to a substantial declcne in industrial output. Uncertainty over security conditions caused a decimc in demand for durable goods and forced production cut)xtcks in most large firms and closurr of many small ones. Increased local procurement by Vietnamese and US military forces was the only thing that kept some firms in operation. 37. During 1970-71, security and economic conditions stabilized sufficiattly to attract a number of inquiries from p, ate foreign investors. The government approved about a dozen proposals from foreign business- men-mostly Japanese-to invest jointly with Vietnamese partners in assembly plants for farm machinery, radio and television sets, light tntcke, Approved For Release 200'0109~~4I~1~-~5T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/Og/14 ? A-RDP85T00875R001500200009-1 GONY~ ~)1?,N'1.'1AL Output of Selected Induvlrlnl 1'roducls cu?r?rvdlty 1964 19h8 lif!lllr~r 19(,9 r l,ht~rs 1970 1971 Iiccr r)5.7 119.4 134.2 148,7 14C, ~) Soft drinks 54.3 92.3 77rvu.rarrd 120.4 Metrlt~ 7brrs 125.7 118.5 Cement 75.3 144.' 247.2 285.8 263.3 Cigarettes G.I 10.3 10.5 r).7 12.2 Cotton yarn 7.8 5.0 7.G 11.7 13.4 Class bottles Pnpcr and 1 I.0 10.1 IG.S 18.8 20.8 paperboard 18.2 19.6 33.2 42.8 48.5 Itc(ined sugar SG.4 ~?_ 9G.I Mllllvn /.in 108.4 rar Mrtcrs 1 15.5 202.1 Cotton fabric 51.7 28.5 50.4 58.0 (,4.1 Million Kilowatt llvrtrs Clectric power 4G9.G 715.2 1,045.4 1,134.2 1,342.8 and sewint; machines. To date, rntly a few of these, such as the Yanmar agriculturrl machinery plant shown in I~igurc 7, have come to fruition. Domestic investors have continued to plan for new enterprises or the expansion of existing ones, but security and business conditions in 1972 stopped most of than from going beyond the planning stage. Government Finance 38. Government expenditures in South Vietnam have risen rapidly since 19G5, reflecting the radically increased domestic costs of goods and services, larger defense expenditures, and expansion of the civil service. Spending by the government in 1972 arnountcd to about 3G5 billion piasters, or almost seven times the 1965 level (sec ~iguro 8). The budget planned for 1973 calls for an increase in spending Icvcls of nearly 20~Io in current prices over those of 1972. The most outstanding characteristic of the Approved For Release 2004j~~~,5T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/Q9~1~~;,I I~.AJ~-Rr~,~PI~5~00875R001500200009-1 ~ :.,,,tr _. Via.,; .~. ._ _ _ . Fleur. Y Y mer A Nculturai. Machine Plant In_the Blen Hor_Industriel park Yanmar Machinery for Ssle irr Ban Me Thuot~ Dsrlac Province Approved For Release 2006)6~i~II3~Fi~i@~T00875R001500200009-1 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 ;CIA-~pP 008758001500200009-1 C+rJNI~ IllI;N'.L'~~~~ Governmont Budget" 1973 Plon "Hcalduel. Flnonced prlmerlly by ~rorrowinp from fho Noflonel0anl:. "'Ineludoa cuxfome dufloa end olhar Impo;1 faxoa, counforperl lunda ponerefed by US?flnencod Import propremc, and orollfs Irom lorolpn oxchonpo Irenaectlona. A moor rasull of fho Novemb