TRENDS IN COMMUNIST PROPAGANDA

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CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0
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30
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November 17, 2016
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April 7, 1999
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46
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November 15, 1972
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2000/08/09 :CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046~~nfide~tial FBIS TRENDS in Communist Propa~a~nda Confidential 15 NOVEMBER 1972 (VOL. XXIII, NO. 46) 000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 :CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 ~ON~'~C1))~;N'~CAL Thi, propaganda analysis report is based exclusively on material carried in foreign broadcast and press media. It is published by FBIS without coordination with other U.S. Government components. NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION Unauthorized disc!~sure AubJect m criminal aunetions Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : C~~~~'~~000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBJS 'Z'RENDp :L 5 NOVEMBER lg'( 2 CONTENTS Topics and Events Ci,ven Mayor Attbntion . . . . . i INDOCHINA DRV Agrees to Private Meeting, Urges Signing of Peace Accord l Peking Fetes Le Duc Tho, Marks Time on Vietnam Settlement. 7 8rezhnb!~ cans for Removal of Obstacles "Created by U.S. Side" . g Hanoi Routinely Protests U.S. Strikes in North Vietnam U S ELECTION ll . . Soviet Bloc Views Election Returns as Mandate for Detente. . lg Yugoslav Commentators Exh~.bit Caution on Policy Implications . . l5 Peking Provides Straightforward Report on Election Results . . 16 Single Cuban Commentary Disparages U.5. "Electoral Farce". . . ~~ GERMANY 8rezhnev Warmly Praises Bonn But Notes Limits on Cooperation ~ . . USSR INTERNAL AFFAIRS Brezhnev b:inicult Continues in Face of Policy Setbacks . ~ . ~g 2l Journal Reveals Purge of Social Research Institute . . . . . . . 22 CHINA Campaign for a Quality Educational System Gains Momentum . ~ . . 24 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 :CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 ~'?>:Zt OF~'ICLAL, U13E ON~L,Y FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 TOPICS AND EVENTS GIVEN MAJOR A'PTENTI.ON h - l2 NOVEMBER 1912 Moscow (2480 itemel Peking (1482 items) October Revolution (11%) 39% Indochina (52%) 33% Anniversary [Vietnam (38%) 14%J Inr..ernational Working (2%) 13% [Cambodian National (--) 12%J Yuuth Conference Moscow i.n Day Domestic Issues (25%) 30% Indochina (139;) 5X U:1GA Session (3%) 6% f Vietnam (1.2~) 43;] Albanian Military (--) 6% U.S. El.ect.i.ons (--) 3~ Delegation in PRC China (4X) 2% Malagasy-PRC Diplomatic (1%) 6% Relations October Revolution (--) 3% Anniversary These statistics are based on the voicecast commentary output of the Moscow and Peking domestic and international radio services. The term "commentary" is used to denote the lengthy item-radio talk, speech, press article or editorial, gavern- ment or party statement, or diplomatic note. Items of extensive reportage are counted as commentaries. Figures In parentheses indicate volume of comment during the preceding week. Topics and ~svents given maJor attention in terms of volume are not always dlscussel in the body of the Trends. gome may have peen covered fu prior issUP.s; in othrr cases the propaganda content may be routir.~e or of minor slgniflcance. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 :CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONI~'ZDENTZAL FBZS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 INDOCWINA Hanoi's 14 November announcement of Le Duc Tho'e departure that day for ?aris, where he would loin Xuan Thuy in a private meeting proposed "recently" by the U.S. side, came against the background of persistent DRV complaints about the U.S. failure to sign the peace accord. While Hanoi has explicitly charged on at least one occasion that the United States was attempting to renoge on the peace terms. the main thrust of the propaganda is that the text has been agreed to and should stand. Consistent with this pattern, the announcement of Tho's departure for Paris skirted the question of substantive changes when it said vaguely that the forthcoming meeting was to take caYe of the question of signing the agreement. Hanoi media have continued generally to avoid discussion of specific issues in contention. However, following the 8 November NHAN DAN editorial which raised the question of the release of political prisoners, an editorial in the paper on the 10th observed that President Thieu wants the United States to continue the war and opposes the formation of a three-segment administrative structure in the South as well as unification of Vietnam. Peking announced Le Duc Tho's arrival there on the 14th on his way to Paris. Thu had "a very cordial and friendly conversation" with Chou En-lai at a. meeting also attended by VWP Politburo member Hoang Van Hoan, a figure long associated with Sino-Vietnamese and international communist relations. Since the airing of a spate of authoritative comment around the turn of the month pressing for prompt signing of the peace accord, Peking has been marking time on the question of a Vietnam settlement. Brezhnev, in brief comments in a 13 November speech. went beyond earlier remarks by Kosygin and Mazurov when he blamed the "American aide" for placing "obstacles" in the way of the peace agreement. Brezhnev also repeated a pro forma pledge of "active support" for the Vietnamese struggle but coupled it with an emphatic assertion that the USSR ?aili "strive to facilitate the ending of the war." TASS promptly on the 14th carried Hanoi's announcement that Le Duc Tho had left for Paris and reported that the Wh1te House had confirmed that Kissinger would meet with Tho. DRV AGREES TO PRIVATE NE~'cTING. UtGES SIGNING OF PEACE ACCORD The announcement of Le Duc Tho's departure for Paris on the 14th was coLC:~.ed in language compatible with Hanoi's public position Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 I;ONFLDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 that the United States should promptly sign the agreed text of the peace accord. Thus, the announcement said that the U.S. side had proposed another private meeting "to solve the question of signing the agreement" (giai quyet viec ky ket hiep dinh). It suggASte~l that the agreement should stand as is when it added that the Vietnamese are warmly responding to and the world's people are actively supporting L?he DRV's 26 October statement and are vigo4ously demar:ding that the United States "strictly abide by the terms agreed upon [giu dung nhung dieu da thoa thuan] and sign the agreement immediately." On the other hand, the announcement's concluding passage could be read as implying that there would be further negotiating. It warned that if the U.S. side continues to seek ways to prolong the negotiations and delay the signing snd to carry on the war, the Vietnamese people are determined to pursue and step up the fight "until genuine independence, freedom, and peace are achieved." While acknowledging that Kissinger and the President had said there were issues that needed to be discussed and settled before the agreement is signed, prior to the announcement that Le Duc Tho was en route to Paris Hanoi had generally avoided directly broaching the question of an actual resumpt?Ion of the private talks. Thus, although Hanoi had i-riefly mentioned Xuan Thuy's 4 November interview with the New York TIMES' Flora Lew1s, it did not acknowledge his reported assertion that the DRV was not creating any difficulties about a further meeting but that if after another final round of talks the United States agrees and then proposes more changes, it would be very difficult. Hanoi media similarly ignored Thuy's remarks on renewed private meetings in his 10 November AFP interview. 'phis accords with Hanoi's long-standing propaganda practice of freq-iently failing to publicize in its official media issues which Vietnamese communist spokesmen have discussed with foreign journalists. Also consistent with Hanoi's long-standing cursory treatment of the Paris plenary sessions, its accounts of the sessions in the three weeks since the 26 October release of the draft peace accord have t~~tally ignored the GVN delegate's lengthy sta~:e- ments, which have raised such questions as the details of e~. cease-fire, the status of the demilitarized zone and contineied presence of North Vietnamese troops in the South, gnd the question of political power in South Vietnam. Hanoi's concern to avoid substantive details end the tssue of further negotia- tions was also illustrated by the fact that its domestic media ignored the 10-12 November trip of Kissinger's deputy, General Haig, to Saigon to see President Thieu. A Hanoi English-languabe CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMEER 1972 broadcast did refer to Haig'e arrival in passing, saying that it coincided with the delivery of more large shipments of U.S. military materiel to Saigon. NF~MI DAN EDITORIALS Hanoi's most noteworthy comment since Ito 26 October release of the summary of the peace agreement appeared in a serieb of four editorials in the party organ NHAN DAN from 8 through 11 November which raised sensitive substantive issues and sharply attacked Thieu. The timing suggests that Hanoi may have wanted to wait rntil after the U.S. election to engage in substantive discussion on an authoritative level. The absence of substantial, authoritative comment pines the 11th may be related to the timing of Hanoi's decision regarding Le Duc Tho's return to Paris and another round of private talks with Kissinger. The NHAN DAN editorial of 8 November, in attacking Thieu's stepped-up "political persecution," notably stressed that the peace agreement clearly provides for the release of political as well as military prisoners.* The editorial charged the United States with "deliberately delaying" the signing of the agreement and even attempting "to renege on the teams j.t agreed to." The editorial in the paper on the 9th com+,~lained of the U.S. dispatch of massive military supplies to Srsigon, calling this and Thieu's "persecution policy" illegal acts. Instead of repeating the charge that the United States was going back on t_he aRreen;snt, that editorial suggested three possible reasons fu~ accelerated U.S. military shipments to T.h~eu: 1) the United States wants not a political solution but a continuation of the war; 2) it wants to create better conditiane for negotiating from a position of strength and for demanding changes in the agreed peace accord; or 3) it wants to strenslthen Thieu militarily so that he c.3n resist the PLAF and suppress those who apprcve of nationa~ concord. * The editorial is discussed in the 8 November 1972 TRENDS, pages 1-3. As noted above, HRUOi media have not carried Xuan Thuy's 10 November AFP interview in which he reportedly said that Hanoi believes the two aides should free prisoners at the same time, but that to show its good will it had accepted the U.S. view that the foreign military and civilian prisoners wi?1 be freed within two months and the South Vietnamese civilians within three months "ar.cording to the dispositions agreed on between the two South Vietnamese parties." Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 The N~AN LAN editorial of the 10th--entitled "The Obstacles to be Removed"--said that the first obstacle ;.s the apparent U.S. intention to prolong the war through Vletnamization and that the second is "top traitor Thieu." Echoing the editorial of the 9th and earlier. propaganda, 1t ridiculed the notion that the arms buildup was part of the preparations for a cease-fire. In this connection, it quoted Secretary Rogers ae saying 1n his Meet the Press TV interview on the 5th Chat the sending of Aupplies to Thieu is an effort to assure Saigon that it would have the necessary weapons and other war n~ateri.el in case a peace agreement could not be rtal,.zed. In discussing the need for Thieu to be removed, the editorial broached some of hie specif is ob~ectiona to the peace agreement. Without mentioning a cease-fire, it said that he opposes an end r_o U.S. military involvement--that is, that he wants the United Staten to continue the war in South Vietnam and to bomb and b:..ockade North Vietnam. The editorial added that Thieu opposes national concord, and specifically the formatior. of a three- aegment admi.nistratlve structure in South Vietnam, and that he opposes "our compatriots' aspirations for national unification because he brazenly considers the southern and northern parts of our nation as two separate countries." A 14 November Saigon broadcast on General Kaig's visit indicated that the GVN continues to oppose the proposed three-segment administrative structure and would not be mollified by a change in the Vietnamese term used in this regard. Citing the views of "authorit2tive and most reliable Independence Palace sources," the broadcast charged that the North Vietnamese intend to impose a three-segment government ("chanh phu") described as an administrative ("hanh chanh") structure. The Vie~:~amese word used for "administrative" in Hanoi's 26 October summary of. the agreement was "ch#aAh quyen," a term which can also be used to mean "government." The term "hanh chanh" which the Saigon broadcast used is a less ambiguous term for adt;iniatratian and does not connote government or power. According to Western press reports, Kissinger in remarks to foreign newsmen on 4 November indicated that in the peace agreement the United Staten wishes to use the least vague of three Vietnamese terms to describe the administrative structure.* The editorial on the 10th said that Thieu not only wanted to replace "many importan~ articles" in the approved agreement with his "insolent demands" but even wat;ted "to pose the problem * See the 1. November 1972 TRENDS, page i, for a discussion of the various Vietnamese terms. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 concerning the negotiating procedures." The paper stopped e~Paort of explicitly mentioninK Saigon's desire to participate in final negotirticiny and to si~tn the peace agreement. ;but it went on to declare t?liai rather than 1ifrenziedly" opposing the agreement, Thieu should realize that "he is lucky to survive" under the terms of the agreement. 1t conclud~u by posing the qu~etion whether the Nixon Administration wants to choose peace or to choose Thieu and thereby continue the Vietramiza`ion plan. The FHAN DAN editorial of the 11th pursued the issue of Thieu as an obstacle to an agreement, particularly noting opposition to him in circles from which the third segment of the proposed administrative structure presumably would be drawn. It observed that the forces which oppose Thieu at home and abroad are interested in solving South Viernam's internal problems in a spirit of national reconciliation and concord. In the course of reiterating that the peace agreement takes into account the actual situPtion in the South--where there are two adminiatrd- tions, two armies, and three polit:Lcal forces--the editorial used language that differed from Hanoi's summary of the peace agreement in regard t~ ele~:tions. Point four of the summary had explained that the administrative structure, called the National Council of National Reconciliati~~r~ and Concord, "will be set up to promote tha implementation of the signed agree?nen*_e by the PRG and the Saigon government and to organize general eta.:tions." The editorial on the 11th said that the administrative structure would advance toward free and democrat?c elections "to elect the organs of power in the South," but it still left ambiguous whether the elections would be for executive or legislative organs or both. Past communist proposals have indicated that general elections meant elections for an assembly t~ work out a new c~nstituticn, while allied proposals have called for presidential electioi~s.* After an impas3loned declaratior. on the need for Thieu to resign or be ?cemoved, the editorial of the 11th assumed a notably conciliatory tone: It said that "because of different social and individual circumstances, there can be different paths of opposing the Americans and Thieu. Although there remai:~ soae disagreements and misunderstandings, all forces loving the country and freedcm can discuss together how beat to serve the '` See the TRENDS of 1 November 1972, page 8. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVF ~lBER 1972 Fatherland and the compatriots." A similar tack was taken in a Hanoi radio commentary on the 8th which denigrated Thieu and his career at length. It said that in the Saigon army there also are a number of high-ranking ,off ices who, for one reason or anot.~er, have attained thei~~~ presrnt position by the same path se Thieu. "Nevertheless,' it added, "the differen.:e is Chat these persons d~ not call themselves leaders rr politicians, end they do not show that they follow the Americans to the end or appose by one way or another the nation to the end. They do accept national reconciliation and concord so that peace may be ~eestabllsY~ed." THE FRONT PRG media have continued to echo Hanoi's attacks on the United States for t?_iling to si~a the peac= a.greemenc, and Liberation Radix on the 10th began broad- casting speec!~es deliverer at the 1-2 November conference of the NFLSV Central Committee Presidium and The. Fxc~cutive Committee of the Vietnam Alliance.* Li.beratiun Radio reported that NFLSV Chairman Nguyen Huu Tho, in his opening speech, welcomed the draft agreement as a "sensible and reasonable solution consistent with the realities in South Vietnam." He declared that "if the U.S. Government clearly understands the situation and truly wants to end the war honorably, the solution for peace is available." In line with the Hanoi comment cited above, Tho went on to score *_he United States for delaying *_he signing of the agreement by demanding changes and prolonging the negc.~tiations and the war. Stressing the importance of national concord at this puncture, he called upon the Front and the Alliance to "strengthen their contacts and broaden their consultations wi*_h all forces, political and religious organizations; and individuals i:~side and outside the country, including those in the Saigon army and administration who want peace and national concord." Other reports delivered at the conference and broadcast by Liberation Radio included a statement by PRG Defense Minister Tram Nam Trung in which he lauded the communist offensive and claimed ghat the expanded "liberated areas" have "formed firm and steady base areas and springboards for offensives" and have "provided sufficient human and material resources for developing the offensive posture in order to win total victory for the revolution." * nitinl reports on the conference are discussed~in the A November 1972 TRENDS, pages 5-6. ? CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 ^EKING FETES LE DUC THO. MARKS TIME ON VIETNAM SETTI.EP'tENT P~!:;,ng gave a standard welcome to Le Duc Tho during hie 14-15 November stopover en route to Paris, reporting in stock terms that he had "a very cordial and friendly conversation" with Chou En-lai and Vice Premier Li Hsien-riF,n and was honored at a banquet hosted by Li. There was no deacrir;.ion of the .:tmoephere at the banquet nor any mention of speeches. This is consistent with the pattern followed at the time of Tho's four stopovers from June to September. However, during Tho's last visit on 15-16 October--after the peace accord had been negotiated--NCNA reported on the remarks made at the banquet, which was then hoete,i by Chou and occasioned toasts to growing Sino-Vietnamese unity. L1 greeted Tho at the airport on his arrival and saw him off on his way to Paris via Moscow. NCNA also noted the presence at the airport of Soviet Ambassador Tolstikov when Tho departed. DRV OFFICIALS In addition to Tho's standard stopover, the IN PEKING presence of other DRV officials in Peking indicate that consultations have been underway on such subjects as Chinese aid to Vietnam and Peking's role in a settlement. Among those reported present during Tho's activities in Peking was North Vietnamese Politburo member Hoang Van Hoan, who NCNA disclosed is "now in Peking." Hoan, who led the DRV mission in Peking from 1950 to 1957, has long played a mayor role in international communist relations, and he apparently spent considerable time in China in late 1969 during the period of improving Sino-Vietnamese relations and the opening of Sino-Soviet talks in Peking. Hoare made a two-day layover in Peking in late May as he was returning from the funeral of the Mongolian president. There was no announcement on his arrival in Peking on the present visit; he last appeared in Hanoi on 3 September. Peking announced on 15 November that a DRV economic delegation led by Politburo member and Vice Premier Le Thanh Nghi arrived by plane that afternoon, hard on the heels of Tho's departure that morning. Earlier on the same day Hanoi reported the departure of the delegation for "a number of socialist countries" to negotiate agreements on "economic and military aid for 1973." The DRV's annual aid agreements with the communist countries have customarily been signed by such a touring delegation over the years, though last year's accords were atypically signed in Hanoi by delegations visiting from the donor countries. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONF:I:DENTIAL FBIS TRENDS l5 NOVEMBER 1972 Preparations for the Nghi delegation's visit to the PRC had been made by DRV Vice Minister of Foreign Trade Ly Ban, who arrived in Peking on 7 October as head of an "experts delegation" to "discuss" Chinese economic and military assistance for 1973. Ban had negotiated the supplementary aid agreement signed with the Chinese on 28 June in the course of a protracted stay in China. VIETNAM SETTLEMENT Peking has reverted to a low posture on Vietnam after winding down its major campaign to pressure the United Staten to sign the draft agreement disclosed by Hanoi on 26 October. Reflecting what may have been Chirese concern to have a settlement firmed up before the U.S. Presidential election, Peking issued four authoritative pronouncements in the five days up to 3 November, but since that time there has been no significant Chinese comment. Recent Chinese leaders' speeches have virtually ignored Vietnam, the sole exception being a passing reference to the Indochinese conflict by Politburo alternate member Li Te-sheng during a 11 November rally for the visiting Albanian defence minister. Peking's current coveraga.of Vietnam developments has had a time-marking quality, consisting largely of replays of Vietnamese and other foreign comment that has been carefully edited to sidestep sensitive issues concerning a settlement and to muffle criticism of the Nixon A.iminlstr~~tion and its intentions, Peking carried the text of Hanoi's announcement on Tho's return to Paris for further negotiations. typifying Peking's discreet ap~:~~oa:.h, NCNA avoided any reference to the substance of the Vietnam draft agremeent in reporting the 8 November KHAN DAN editorial that had marked Hanoi's first discussion ~~f any of the datails of the accord. NCNA duly repeated NHAN DAN's charges against the Thieu government's alleged persecution of prisoners in the South, but the account omitted those passages connecting a prisoner release with the announced agre~nent. NCNA also muted NHAN DAN's charge that the Thieu.government's persecution of prisoners together with the recently increased tempo of U.S. deliveries of war materiel to South Vietnam were "threatening" the agreement. Peking's divergence from its Vietnamese allies in dealing with the United States was pointed up by the NCNA account of a 10 November NHAN DAN editorial on obstacles to a peace agreement. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTLAL FHIS TRENDB is NovEMS1vR 1972 NCNA omitted a charge of U.B. "treachery" in delaying the signing of the agreement ae well as the claim Chat Washington actually welcomes the Thieu regime's opposition to the draft accord. Though the NCNA version cited N1~AN DAN's criticism of recent remarks on Vietnam by Secretary Rogers, it deleted the editorial's other charges against the Nixon Administration by name. An NCNA replay of a 9 November PRd Foreign Min_ try spokesman statement protesting U.S. arms shipments to South Vietnam omitted a paragraph that harshly criticized the President by name and also excised the spokesman's charge that the Nixon Administration is engaging in a ">eace hoax." In addition, Peking's treatment of the NHAN T!AN editorial on the 10th ae well ae one on the 9th concerning U.3. arms shipments was measurably more moderate eon~:erning ch~~ Thieu government. NCNA deleted all but one of the 9 November editorial's references to the Thieu "puppet" reg!.me, substituting the neutral term "Thieu administration," and it excised the demand in NHAN DAN on the 10th that Thieu be "eliminated" to insure successful enactment of the draft agreement. BREZI#VE1/ CANS FOR REMdVAL OF OBSTACLES ~~CREATEA BY U ~ S ~ S I DE~~ Brezhnev's comments on Vietnam in his 13 November boeech at the dinner for the vieitin~; Bulgarian delegation conveyed a sense of urgency regarding Che t1.S.-DRV peace agreement. The Soviet leader asserted that the attention of world public opinion is "riveted" to the question of a Vietnam settlement and that the people of the world demand that "the obstacles created by the American aide, literally on the eve of signing an agreement," be removed and the war ended "at the earliest time." Kosygin on 27 October had expressed hope that "continued talks" would lead to agreement "soon." And Mazurov on 6 November, noting that, the agreement "was not signed on the date fixed," called~tor its signing "as sown as possible." Neither explicitly ca8tigated the United Sta~`,es for the delay in signing as Brezhnev did on the 13th. brezhr.~v repeated a pro forma pledge of "active oupport'' for the "duet cause" of the Vietnamese fighting "U.S. aggression," but he coupled it with an emphatic assertion that the Soviet Union will "strive to facilitate the ending of the war and will welcome the restoration of peace in Indochina.". When this happens, he concluded, "the world will sigh with relief and the international horizon on the whole clear up noticeably." Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDGI 15 NOVEMBER 1972 The day before Brezhnev'e speech, a RED STAR artic]9 by military observer Col. A. Leontyev speculated that U.S. procrastination may "jeopardize the agreement al Cady reached" and "indefinitely prolong the war." This line had been broached as early ae 2 November in an IZVESTIYA article by Matveyev, who warned that the "serious situation" created by the U.S. attitude on the peace accord "jeopardizes what has been achieved" and demanded that the United States not "prolong the bloodshed in Vietnam." Leontyev went beyond Matveyev, however, when he forestullyi condemned the United States for making one more attempt to break the will of the Vietnamese people in order to then start "another round of 'exhausting talks' and Cry to wr~eet conceseion~ in favor of the Saigon regime." Leontyev echo other propaganda when he said the United States had delayed the signing to gain Clue far the dispatch of weapocts and ammunition to the Saigon regime. He observed that this "can only place a mine under the still unsigned agreement." A foreign-language radio commentary on 13 November echoed Mayevskiy in the 2 November PRAVDA when it said that the Americans are delivering arms to Saigon because they .intend to "preserve and consolidate the Saigon army's military potential for a guerrilla war if and when the American forces ever get out of South Vietnam." TASS on 14 November reported Le Duc Tho's departure from Hanoi for Paris to attend a private meeting with the?American aide "with the object of settling the issue of signing an agreement to end the war." On the 12th TASS had briefly cited the New York TIMES for the speculation that Kissinger was to return to Paris to "resume talks about an agreement on ending the war." The same TASS item also cited a report in the French newspaper FRANCE-SOIR that the South Vietnamese authorities have no more objections to the terms of a cease-fire agreement. On the 14th TASS duly reported the White House announcement that Kissinger would meet with Le Duc Tho in Paris, adding that the White House press secretary also said the United States was satisfied with the course of the Calks. Moscow media on the?13th.reported briefly on General Haig's visits to Saigon. Phnom Penh, and Seoul, speculating that,hia talks concerned the U.S.-DRV agreement. A Moscow domestic service commentary on the 10th cited s>eculation that Haig'e trip was designed to gain time to arm the Saigon regime as well as to "confirm" the U.S. argument that.the U.S. delay in signing the accord has been due ?~~ Saigon's disagreement. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFZDENTZAL FHZS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 WANOI FtOIlTINELY PkOTESTS U.S. STRIKES kN NORTW VIETNAM Routine daily statements by the DRV Foreign Ministry spokesman have continued to protest strikes by B-52's and other U.S. planes over the North, as well as she111ng of coastal areas by U.S. warships. The statements claim in standard fashion that the United States is bombing civilian installations, citing several villages and state farms ae well ab a church as targets. Several statements have gpecif ically charged that such actions g1~~e the lie to the United States' "allegations Chat it is ending its military involvemarc and that it longs for a fair and honorable peace for everyone." Hanoi claimed to have downed `LO more planes during the past week, including an F-111 on the 7th, for a total of 4,042, and to have oet ablaze two U.S. warships. Quoting from the spokesman's statements as well as from Western and Saigon press reports, a Hanoi radio commentary on 14 November condemned recently intensif ied U.S. air activity over both North and South Vietnam, and particularly the increase in B-52 "extermination bombings." The commentary charged that such an escalation, carried out in a frantic attempt to salvage the Vi.ei~iamization policy, only reveals the Nixon Administration's "warlike and barbarous nature" and, together with its "breach of faith" in not signing the peace agreement, exposes the reality i~ehind all_agen Administration efforts to deceive the world's people into believing peace is at hand. Clairt~ir~,~ that the Vietnamese struggle enjoys undin!inished world public support, the commentary expressed Vietnamese resolv~s.to defeat the "U.S. aggressors" in both the North and South and cited as proof the achievements of the armed forces and people in the North in downing U.S. planes, including the B-52 "trump cards." U.S. "war crimeA" in the North during October were cited. in a communique issued by the DRV War Crimes Commission on 6 November.. Stressing that these actions were carried out .while the United States was professing "good will" and "peace," the communi.~ve charged that they included "some 7,200 tactical plane sorties, some 710 B-52 sorties, and nearly 1,500 reconnaissance sorties." Making no distinction between actions in the last week of October--when the bombing halt north of the 20th .parallel went into effect--and the rest of the month the communique claimed that the raids had hit "22 provinces, six cities, 20 provl-lcial capitals, and a very large number of populous townships, hamlets, and villages." The communique highlighted raids on Hanoi Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS ' 15 NOVEMBER 1972 (including the 11 October raid which destroyed the French diplomatic mission), Haiphong, and Vinh, as well ae on some of the provincial capitals. It claimed that the H-52 ~trike~-- which it argued were mostly coti~ducted at right in order to maximize :ivilian casualties--had hit aree~? from Nghe An to the Vinh Linh zone in 236 missions. In r;:epanse to these attacks, the communique claimed that 67 U.S. planes were downed during October. includi-~g three B-Gl's, and that U.S. warships were set on fire l3 times. Specific praise for the "compatriots and combatants" of the Fourth Military Region in the face of "the U.S. aggressors' current war of aggression" appeared in a QUAN DOI NHAN DAN editorial of 13 November. Arguing that the region is regarded by the United States ae "a key target for extremely savage and massive extermination bombardment," which it carries out "in hope of undermining our people's fighting determination and interdicting the flow of support and assistance from our rear bees to the frontline," the editorial claimed that the ars-ed forces and people have nevertheless managed .to maintain uninterrupted communications, to fight well, and to contin~~e production. It stressed that they will continue to carry out their "fraternal" and "intern~stionalist" duties against the "U.S. aggressors," and it closed with a pledge to continue the struggle in the spirit of "President Ho's sacred testament and the appeal containbd in cur government's 26 October statement" on the peace accord until the United States is totally defeated. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 U, S, ELECTIONS SOVIET BLOC VIEWS ELECTION RETI~NS AS MANDATE FOR DETENTE President Nixon's landslide ra-election was generally welcomed. in Moscow and in East European capitals as a vote for interrational detente. Accompanying the official messages of congratu:.ations that noted with satisfaction the recent improvement in East-West relations, press and radio commentaries saw the landslide as offering broad prospects for further relaxation of international tensions. Consistent with the Fie-election comment, the post- mortems on the election attributed the President's overwhelming victory largely to the favorable impact on American voters of the Administration's moves toward improved relations with the Soviet Union and other communist countries. Speaking in this vein at a Kremlin reception on the 13th for visiting Bulgarian leader Zhivkov, Brezhnev credited the recent improvement in U.S.-Soviet relations with having changes the tenor of the U.S. election campaign .from the rhetoric of "a.ausrter century .of cold war" to "appeals for a peace-loving, realistic foreign policy." MOSCOW COMMENT Setting the pattern for Soviet commentaries, a TASS dispatch by Igor Orlov, broadcast by Moscow radio in English on the 8th, stated that certain changes in U.S. foreign policy "linked with the relaxation of international tension" had played a "big part" in the Nixon landslide. "The President put to his credit, specifi.cally," Or1ov explained, "the improvement of Soviet-American relations which found expression in a number of important agreements between the USSR and the UniCed States which promote the general strengthening of international security." ~:nother mayor factor influencing the American voter, Orlov maintained, was the emergence of the outlines of a Vietnam settlement on the eve of the election. While noting that Washington had failed to sign the Paris accord, Orlov declared that its very existence had influenced the voters, who "believed that the U.S. Government would fulfil the commitments undertaken and would sign the agreement, as H. Kissinger asserted, at the earliest time." By contrast, Senator McGovern's inability to exploit the Vietnam issue was explained on grounds that he "could offer the electors only statements which, in the course of the election campaign, were only modified." Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CON~tDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 While giving foreign policy issues mayor credit for the outcome of the presidential race, Orlov contended that the :;ongressional races were decided on domestic issues and by the stress played on them by Democratic party candidates. This, he said, was why the Repub]~can party had filed to gain majorities in the House and Senate. The treatment of the election results as a mandate for peace became a staple of subsequent Soviet commentaries. A 10 November PRAVDA dispatch from Washington typically observed that "the election has shown that the vapt majority of the electorate-- irrespective of whether it voted for the Republicans or Democrats-- advocates a relaxation of international tension and cooperation between states with different social systems." Calling the state of U.S.-Soviet relations an "essential baromet:r" by which Americans fudge their gov~srnment's policies, an I2VESTIYA article nn the 10th by V. Matveyev stressed the beneficial impact ~f the Moscow summit on the election: "For the first time :in the whole ~~ostwar period a candidate for the U.S. presider^_y, striving?for re-election, has been able to present voters not with one but with a number of important Soviet-American tigreements on limiting strategic arms, trade, protection of the environment, and other questions." Matveyev went on to urge the Administration "not to betray these hopes and aspirations of ordinary Americans for a direction of the efforts of the country and nation toward peaceisl, creative aims both in the international arena and in the United States itself, including the speediest end to i?he war in Vietnam." While focusing mainly on the positive foreign policy aspects of the election, Soviet comment also took note of negative domestic features. Such phenomena as voter apathy, the costs of campaigning, and the role of "monopoly capital" were singled out as typical features of the U.S. political pr~,cess. A PRAVDA commentary on the 10th, for example, dismisp:.a the differences between the mayor parties in standard, traditi~na.l terms, charging that both parties sought mainly "to convince the electorate that i;: 'has the opportunity to choose' when in fact real power remains in the hands of the powerful of this world." EAST EUROPEAN CG~h`1EP~lT The movement toward detente in foreign policy was similarly emphasized as the telling factor in the election by Moscow's Eaet European allies. The Warsaw daily GLOS P)EiACY, for example, commented on the 10th that the Nixon landslide stemmed largely from the opening of a "meaningful dialog" between Washington and the communist countries, Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTLAL FBLS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 and it expressed hope that the maeslve vote of confidence in the President would lead to further development of the "constructive" elements in U.S. foreign policy. Romanian, Hungarian, and Bulgarian commentaries viewed the election in much the same terms, with the Romanians using the occasion to draw attention to the "ascending evolution" of relations between Washington and Bucharest and to stress again the importance of good relations among "all" socialist countries and "all" states irrespective of social systems. The progress toward a settlement of the Vietnam war was also seen in Bulgarian, Hungarian, Czechoslovak, and Romanian commentaries ae a mayor factor influencing the outcome of the election. A 9 November commentary in Prague's RUDE PRAVO bluntly asserted that "it became one of the main causes of McGovern's defeat when President Nixon pulled the rug from under his feet by the latest negotiationA of Henry Kissinger and the promises of ending the war." This sentiment was echoed in a commentary on the 9th in Sofia's ZEI~DELSKO ZNAME, which went on to interpret the elaceion results as a "mandate" for immediate cessation of the Vietnam war on the basis of the draft U.S.-DRV agreement. Some assessments of the election by hardline elements in East Europe were charactezistically more blunt and less charitable Coward the United States. An 8 November commentary in Prague's MLADA FRONTA, for example, accused the President of demagogy, arguing that he had deviously manipulated the "certain detente" in international relations "in a masterly way" and had "prevented peace in Indochina to this very day." It likewise described the average American as "a conservative who is~afraid of new things and of unrest and who prefers slight progress to any and all radicalism." An 8 November commentary on the East Berlir_ domestic service also belabored the phenomenon of voter apathy and other alleged deficiencies in the U.S. electoral system. ''~'UGt~SIAV OOMr~NT4TORS DaiIBIT CAUTION ON POLICY IMPLICATIONS Belgrade comment oa the U.S. election outcome was cautious and circumsppr_~ :,n is policy implications. An 8 November domestic service commentary on Belgrade radio displaye.~l anxiety about the prospects for peace when it expresse3 hope that events would disprove the judgments of President Nixon's critics who "darkl- predict that the President, who cannot be elected for a third time, and who at heart has always been a rightist and conservative, will now finally show his true face and drop the mask of a peacemalc~r." Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTLAL FBLS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 Taking a more balanced stance in POLITIKA on the 9th, Dusan Simic saw the election as a vote for "stability and certainty" in U.S. foreign policy instead of for the "attractive uncertainties offered by George McGovern." Simic saw the favorable reaction to the Nixon landslide "in the big, world centers" as evidence of the extent~to which the President had "progressed, within a relatively short time, from his former reputation of an ex~anplary cold war fighter to the statue of a statesman sufficiently acceptable not only to American voters but also to a majority of external factors on which world peace and the position of the United States as a world power depend." After noting the Administration's mayor foreign policy successes--in achieving a "more peaceful and stable" world "without sacrificing any U.S. vital interests"--and praising the President for "extraordinary skill" in dealing with former adversaries in the world arena, Simic observed that "even more skill" would be required in the future "for turning promises into action and announcements into facts:'.' PEKING PROVIDES STRAIGHTFORWARD REPORT ON ELECTION RESULTS Peking provided a single, purely factual report on the elution results, an NCNA report on 8 November noting the popular and electoral vote totals and explaining the presidential electoral system. There was no mention of races other than the presidential one. Peking's only other discussion of the election, a 24 August NCNA account of the Democratic and Republican conventions, had contained some polemical elements in referring to the two mayor "bourgeois" parties and mentioning antiwar demonstrations during both conventions. Other Chinese coverage prior to the election consisted of replays of foreign--mainly North Vietnamese--comment on the President's statements on Vietnam. Typifying Peking's restraint, an NCNA account on 3 November of the President's speech the previous day faile.~ to mention that it was an election address. Peking's straightforward, noncommittal report nn the Election is consistent with the new atmosphere surrounding Sino-U.S. relations and the continuing Chinese restraint in d~scuasing U.S. internal affairs. Implicit in Peking's approach i~as been a recognition that the PRC must deal with the powers that be in Washington, and the election totals told their own story in this cor.'-~:ct. In contrast to the nonco?ittal approach this time, Peking had reacted in polemical terms to the 1968 presidential election 'as "an out-and- out diabolic fraud of the monopoly capitalist class to fool the Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 American ueople." At the same time, however, Peking had signaled its intertst in probing possibilities of a reorientation of U.S. foreign policy under the new President which would reduce the area of Sino-U.S. conflict. Thus, 1n Peking's sole comment on the President-elect's campaign statements, NCNA said he was elected after calling for a reduction of coamnitments in areas where the United States was overextended and emphasis on priority areas such as Europe. Later in November 1968 Feking reinforced that signal by issuing an official statement that expressed readiness to resume the Warsaw talks with representatives of the incoming Administration in order to seek agreement on the five principles of peaceful coexistence--the principles eventually incorporated into the Shanghai communique on President Nixon's visit to China this February. SINGLE CLAN COM~NTARY DISPARAGES U.S. "ELECTORAL FARCE" The sole monitored Cuban commentary on the election outcome, in an 8 November Havana broadcast to Latin America, emphasised the "coatradiction" inherent in the President's re-election while his party lost out in its effort to gain control of Congress. This revealed, the commentary said, "the nature of the U.S. electoral farce." The commentary fell back on the stock communist portrayal of the two mayor American political parties as indistinguishable "tools of the oligarchy" whose candidates run on identical platforms offering the voters no real choice. Election outcomes, in this portrayal, are determined by "propaganda, the electoral machinery, and the candidates' promises." Not even this kind of potboiler was broadcast in the Cuban domestic service. Nor has any judgment been rendered so far by the leading Cuban commentators who speak on Havana television and set the line for substantive Cuban reactions to mayor developments, or by the freewheeling Guido Garcia Inclan who tends to reflect Fidel Castro's personal views. In contrast to t:he hankneyed post-election brwidcast dismissing the results of any U.S. election as meaningless anc~ thus in effect abstaining from comment, Castro on 26 July had publicly asserted ' his view of the Democratic Party as the lesser o.E evils and noted approvingl~? that "one of the candidates" for the presidency was said to favor lifting of the economic "blockade" of Cuba; Castro ' described the Republican Party as having "the worst pas~tion and . the most criminal, the most reactionary, and the most warmongering." Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDLNT_rAi, FIiZ5 ~1tENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 Cuban commentators sail litL?1e about the election campaign while it was in progress until the final week, when a rash of comment accused the President of exploiting aspirations for an end to the Vietnam war for crass political purposes, picturing a settlement as imminent and then reneging by failing to meet Hanoi's 31 October "deadline" for signing. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 GERMANY BRE~INEV WARMLY PRAISES BONN BUf NOTES LIMITS ON COOPERATION Brezhnev uses' his 13 November speech at the Kremlin dinner for vleiti.:~ Bulgarian leader Zhivkov to warmly welcome the "ascending line" of developing relations between the USSR an6 the FRG, crediting 1t to the establishment of "mutual trust" b~stween the two countries on the basis of Bonn's adoption of a "realistic" policy toward present-day Europe. At the same time, speaking Eive days after the initialing of the FRG-GDR basic treaty {n Bonn, he seconded the East German insistence on a definitive recognition of the ideological dividing line between West Germany and the Soviet bloc. Serving ~.n part as support for Moscow's East German ally, Brezhnev's stress on the "absolute" ideological gulf between Moscow and Bonn also seemed directed in part at the West German electorate, which will vote for a new parliament on 19 November. His remarks seemed calculated to undercut charges by the opposition CDU/CSU parties that the ruling Social Democrats have moved too far to the left in cooperating with the communists and have given too much away in negotiAting the Ostpolitik treaties. While clearly acknowledging Moscow's hopes for the election outcome by lauding the policies of Chancellor Brandt's SPD/FDP coalition, Brezhnev expressed in strong terms the basic stand applied by the GDR to .r.elations between the two German states: "We have no cooperation with the West German Social Democ~ata on questions of ideology," Brezhnav said, "nor can there be such cooperation. Everyone knows that ideologically we stand on absolutely different platforms." CARROT AND STICr. Without naming the CDU/~~U, Brezhnev denounced those forces, "still extant and very active in West Germany today," which "cannot stomach a relaxation ,and the consolidation of European peace." After listing the various Ostpolitik agreements reached by Bonn ae constituting "a ~~ictory for all of Europe," Brezhnev went on, again with an eye tc~ the West German electorate, to bestow unusually warm praise on the Brandt-Scheel government: "As for the FRG. objective people ca~ot but see that it is precisely now, whan it has taken the path ~f a more realistic policy, its voice is heeded with greater atteltion everywhere itt the world." Approved For Release 2000/08/09 :? CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 NOVEMBER 1972 Where Brezhnev held out to the Weat Germans the promise of greater international prestige deriving from pursuit of the Ostpolitik, East German propaganda leveled what amounted to a blunt warning that the fate of the detente between Wear. Germany and the Soviet bloc hinged on a victory for Brandt's coalition. An ADN commentary on the 8th, entitled "There Ie No Better Treaty," informed Opposition leaders Bartel and Strauss that "they would be very much mistaken if they believed that.. in the event of a CDC/CSU takeover of the government they could conclude a 'better' treaty with the GDR." Citing "circles" of the SED Politburo and the GDR Council of Ministers as i.ta sources, the commentary declared that in initialing the treaty with the FRG, the GDR had acted on the premise that the present coalition would be in a position after the FRG elections "to continue the policy of establishing peaceful, businesslike relations with the Eastern countries ." PEKING ON TREATY The Peking NCNA's international aeririce oa 13 November carried a brief, straightforward report noting that the FRG and GDR had initialled their basic treaty on the 8th and that it would be signed after the 19 November elections and then ratified by the two German states. The NCNA account pointedly included a paragraph on the conclusion of two weeks of negotiations by the Big Four ambassadors on the 5th and the four powers' 9 November declaration "affirming that their 'rights and responsibilitics' for Germany will be maintained." Neither East Berlin nor Moscow has reacted to the speech by PRC Foreign Minister Chi Peng-fei, at an 11 October Peking banquet for visiting FRG Foreiga Minister Scheel, in which he described the relationship between the two German states as "an abnormal situation." Chi said the Chinese "have always held that a fair and reasonable solution to the German question should be sought on the basis of respecting the interests and desires of the people of the two German states," stopping short of any reference to the role of the Big Four. He recalled that "as early as 1955" Mao had issued a proclamation ending the state of war with "Germany." CONFIDENTIAL i Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CONFIDL~NTIAL FBIS TRENDS 15 YJOV~IBER 1972 USSR INTERNAL AFFAIRS BRfcD~NEV MINICULT CONTINUES IN FACE OF POLICY SETBACKS The steady if not overly conspicuous growth of the Brezhnev minicult in familiar and unfamiliar places suggests that Brezhnev has suffered no lose of influence as a result of this year's agricultural difficulties and the setback in the Middle East. In addition to continuing references to his wartime accomplishments, Brezhnev has recently won praise for inspiring and organizing the successful virgin land harvest and for keeping the populace supplied with food despite the drought--kith no public mention of the purchase of foreig-~ grain, however. At the same tip^e, he has been honored by the publlcatiotc of the third volume of his speeches and of a new collection ~f his fore'gn policy addresses. A lengthy review of the third Brezhnev volume appeared in PRAVDA on 1 November, and it was later reprinted in the regional papers. Brezhnev's visit to the virgin lands in late August and early September--well-publicized in the press, films, and televieion~- has been applauded by numerous virgin land officials for its inspirational effects. On 14 October, the day the Kazakh harvest successes were announced in KAZAKHSTANSKAYA PRAVDA, the Kazakh leaders praised the Central Committee and Brezhnev "personally" for their "constant concern" about Kazakh agriculture, and a PRAVDA article by Kazakh First Secretary Kunayev praised the instructlons and advice given by Brezhnev during hie visit. Likewise, when the Altay successes were announced on 2I October, Altay leaders praised Brezhnev's advice and instructions in articles in PRAVDA, IZVESTIYA, SOVIET RUSSIA, RURAL LIFE and KOMSOMOLSKAYA PRAVDA. Altay First Secretary A.V. Georgiyev was especially solicitous, lauding Brezhnev's "brilliant" Altay speech and "splendid knowledge" of industry and agriculture in the 13 September SOVIET RUSSIA and his "deep knowled~ a" of local affairs in the 21 Octobe- PRAVDA. According to the 25 October LItERARY GAZETTE, Georgiyev also attributed to Brezhnev "the strategy and tactics for the harvest" and the accelerated deliveries of agricultural equipment to the Altay harvesters. Articles designed to convince the publi~:: of the adequacy of the food supply have also given Brezhnev much of the credit. A 23 September TRUD article disclosed that Brezhnev had said in Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 CCINFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS ].5 NOVEMBER 1972 his 31 August Novosibirsk speech tI~at "everything Che Politburo is doing this year is aimed, in the final analysis, at ensuring that the rhythm of life and the level of supply of the populaticn of our country will not be worse but better than last year." SOVIET RUSSIn on ?. November published a kolkhoznik's letter addressed personally to Brezhnev lauding the regime's agricultural policies for successfully supplying the country despite the disastrous weather. The letter noted that even though the drought was worse than. that of 1921, which caused widespread famine, this year "our kolkhozniks are li.~~ing their normal life" and are "fully supplied " with grain and vegetables, "thanks to the concern of the party and government for the people's welfare." The letter was reprinted in other central and local papers and was even cited by Mazurov in his 6 November October Revolution anniversary address. Brezhnev also received credit for the urban food supply from Leningrad First Secretary G.V. Romanov. In a local speech published in the 25 October LENINGRADSKAYA PRAVDA, Romanov declared that the Central Committee, the Politburo, ant Brezhnev "personally"-were "dcirg everything necessary to supply the Soviet people with enough of all food products and consumer goods" and that the Central Committee and Brezhnev "personally" were taking "a constant interest in bow Leningraders are being supplied with food products," wish th~~ result that "a quite wide selection of milk and meat products" was available in Leningrad stores. JOURNAL REVEALS PURGE OF SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE In the wake of the replacement of liberal A.M. Rumyantsev as director of the Institute for Concrete Social Research, its parent body, the USSR Academy of Sciences Presidium, has sharply criticized. the institute's work, ordered a reorganization, and redefined its tasks in more orthodox terms.* These disclosures were made ir. a report on a recent presidium meeting publfshed in the October issue of the HERALD OF THE USSR ACADEMY OF SCIENCES. Although the date was not ~;'ven, the meeting apparen~ly occurred shortly after the identification of conservative M.N. Rutke~?ich as institute di:~ctor in the 16 May PRAVDA, since the Octobex HERALD was already set in type on 19 August. * For background see the TRENDS of 24 May 1972, pages 38-40. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CI~~~Q~>~75R000300~~4~~ND8 lS NOVEMBER 1972 During R~:myanteev's tenure as director frog: ?.96A to 1971 more orthodo~- social scientists, including Rutkevich~ repeatedly warned against attempts to separate concrete social research from historical materialism and against the copying of bourgeois sociology. The decree adopted by the recent presidium session defined the institute's "main Ceske" ae analysis--"on the basis of dialectical and historical materialism" and the "theory of scientific communism"--of social relationships, social structure, and social planning, improve- ment of the management of social processes, cultural construction, and communist education of the workers, and criticism of bourgeois sociological theories. The presidium complained that "many" of the institute's workers were "carried away by study of questions not within the competence" of the institute and that "its leadership did not take the necessary steps to ensure the high ideological-theoretical level of all publications." It criticized the institute's structure, operations, and personnel policies and decreed a "number of organizational measures" co eliminate the shortcomings. The institute was renamed the "Institute of Sociological Research." Another institute in a politically sensitive field was also recently censured for ideological errors. The August QUESTIONS OF HISTORY published a decree of the History Division of the USSR Academy of Sciences attacking the Institute of History of the USSR for publi-~hing works mieintet~preting the 1917 revolution. Most harshly assai~ed wire the writings of the institute's director P.V. Volobuyev, who "mistakerly" asserted that after the February 19?.7 revolution the proletariat was not prepared to be the leader of :new revolution--despite Lenin's assertions to the contrary. Thn decree declared that "bourgeois ideologists strive in every way to play down the role of the working class as the predominant force in the revolution" and use ouch views in the ideological struggle. Despite criticism of the books at a March 1972 meeting at the institute, workers of the institute attempted not only to defend the authors of the mistaken works "but even to depict them se 'innovators' and expressers of a 'new,' 'progressive' trend in science." The decree ordered "a strengthening of the leadership" of the institute's sector dealing with the te~arist pEriod. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 ~~,~~,T~00875R0003~,~g~0~~~ 15 Nov~tE~R 1972 CHINA CANpAIGN FOR A OIIAI.ITY EDUCATIONAL SYSTF~'I GAINS MOMENTt,N~1 Peking has taken several steps to speed the reconstruction of its once decimated educational system by encouraging further. relaxation of politically charged reforms undertaken during the cultural revolution. Etecent commentaries have used notably frank language to put officials connected with the educational system on notice thai, wh~'e the ideal graduate is still one who is both "Red" and expert, emphasis is definitely to be placed on the latter. Chengtu radio on 11 November, for example, castigated "swindlers from the left" who emerged during the cultural revolution and tempered with Me,o's educational line by "shouting that politics could squeeze out everything," creating s situation 1n which teachers and students were ai'raid to "talk about teaching or persist in rational sys+.ems of teaching." These same "swindlers" were specifically condemned for holding that "if politico and ideology are good, professional work is bound to be good" in an attempt to "corrupt the young people" and turn tnem into "political parrots who could only come out with political slogans but lacked actual knowledge." A similar denigration of cultural revolution attempts to i.;~.~ure the political reliability of students as they passed through tht educs.- tional system was contained in an article on training revolutionary Successors broadcast by Radio Peking on 17 October which lashed out at "swindlers" for using "ultraleftist words" in an attempt to "make a fool of the broad masses of cadres, youths, and people" and turn them into "blind, muddleheaded revolutionaries." A radio Peking broadcast on the previous day attacked those who "peddled such trash as 'it is no use to study'...in a vain attempt to turn the youths into political imbeciles who cannot work, plow the fields, or fight a war." Peking's current concern for quality education appears motivated in part by a need to ~~vercome the problem of yout;iful workers who cannot do e. satisfactory fob on the production 11:~e because they have failed to "master techniques." This problem wss candidly discussed in an article in RED FLAG No. 10, broadcast by Radio Peking on 20 October, which was critical of young factory workers who "have onesidedly set the study of politics against that of techniques." Spelling out some of the problems produced by young workers with inadequate technical knowledge, RED FLAG complained that sane manufactured products are "dunk" and that Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0 Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-F~~~~j8t7~R000300050~~f~'1'ItIuNUtJ .L5 NOVi11MJliLA 19`l~ industrial accidents have resulted from tho :I.mproper use of factory equipment. 'i'o overcome these shorteomi.nge, young workers were firmly urged not to be "content w.L:h hall'-halted knowledge" and reminded that "to inherit skills from veteran workers, it is necessary to go through tempering and. serious study." Driving the lesson home, RED P'LA(} argued that "since techniques are a science, and since science is true knowledge, one cannot master it without painstaking efforts." Judging by a 9 November Changchun commentary written by the party branch of a local "7 May" school, calla for improving the quality of education have won enthusiastic response from local teachers. ~o deepen this initial enthusiasm, however, efforts are underway t;o help teachers distinguish more clearly between correct and erroneous educational tines. Indicating that some study of classical litera- ture now falls within the correct line, the article revealed that Changchun dducators are now teaching once forbidden writings by Mencius as part of the drive to strengthen the teaching of basic knowledge. Local students were said to be able to make an "oral and written translation of a chapter of classical. literature," ana it was claimed that those students who had been "influenced by the anarchist trend of thought" have overcome their ideological shortcomings. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050046-0