JPRS ID: 10281 JAPAN REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: JPRS
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00850R000500020050-9
• Release Decision: RIF
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 67
• Document Creation Date: November 1, 2016
• Sequence Number: 50
• Content Type: REPORTS

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JPRS L/ 10~81 -
26 January 1982
Ja an Qe ort
~ ~
CFOUO 4/82)
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JPRS L/10281
26 January 1982
~ JAPAN REPORT
(FOUO 4/82)
CONTENTS
POLITICAL A1~TD SOCIOLOGICAL
New i~olitical Leaders Viewed
(THE Jd~PAN TIMES, 17 Dec 81) 1
Fiscal 1982 Budget Draft
(MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 30 Dec 81) 4
Suzuki Totters on BudgPt Compilation
, (Takehiko Takahashi; MAINj~HI DAILY NEWS, 30 Dec 81)....... 7
~ Review of Suzuki's Political Activity
(Teruo Tsutsumi; THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 29 Dec 81).... 9
_I
I lgg2: Crucial Year f~r Suzuki
~ (MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 3 Jan 82) 11
i
- Suzuki: Defense Budget Will Have Popular Support
(MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 3fl Dec Rl.) 13
' Administration Destroyed by Its Creator
(Takehiko Takahashi; MAIi1ICHI DAILY NEWS, 6 3~�.n 82) . 14
, Upcoming Japan-USSR Talks Viewed
(Editorial; TOKYO SHIMBCIN, 12 Dec 81) 16
Popularity of Suzuki Cabinet Increases
(ASAHI EVENING NEWS, 12 Dec 81) 18
Current Status of Relations With United States Discussed
- (Fuji Kamiya; NIHON KEIZAI SHIMBUN, 11 Dec 81; SEIRON,
Dec 81) 20
. Response to U.S. Criticism
Differences in Decisionmaking
_ a - [III - ASIA - 111 FOUO]
,
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Asukata Reelected as JSP Chairman
- (Editorial; ASAHI EVENING NEWS, 25 Dec 81) 23
LDP's Diplomacy Feud
(Rai.suke Honda; THE DAILY YOMIURI, 18 Dec 81) 25
� Storm Over LDP Veep Ch~ice
(Raisuke Honda; THE DAILY YOMIURI, 11 Dec 81) 27
~
Voting System Is i,n Need of Ck,ange
(Yuji Koidp; THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 22 Dec 81)........ 29
Impact of Lockheed Trial
(Takuo Hayashi; MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 27 Dec 81)............ 31
Suzuki Prods Polyan~kii on Northern Isles Issue
~ (THE DAILY YOMIURI, 7 Jan 82) 33
Politics of 'Harmony'
(MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 4 Jan 82) 34
Japan To Defend Itself, Suzuki Says ,
(THE DAILY YOMIURI, 1 Jan 82) 36
Government Defense Plans: A Leap in the Dark
(THE DAILY YOMIURI, 30 Dec 81) 37
MILITARY
M-~ssive Defense Buildup Planned
(THE DAILY YOMIURI, 31 Dec 81) 38
'ASAHI' Editor on Defense Budget Increase
(ASAHI EVENING NEWS, 30 Dec 81) 39
_ Security of Sea-Lanes Needed for Survival of Japan
(THE DAILY YOMIURI, various dates) 41
Safe Sea-Lanes Vital, by Finn Sollie
Safety of Sea-Lanes, by Yoshiya Ariyoshi
Protection Discussed, by Osamu Kaihara
SCIENCE AND TECHNOIAGY
R&D Strategy of Intelligent Robot Makets Discusseci
(Hirano; NIKKEI SANGYO SHIMBUN, 10-14, 17-19 Nov 81)....... 48
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POLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL
NEW POLITICAL LEADERS VIEWED
- OW180955 Tokyo THE JAPAN TIMES in Eng.Lish 17 Dec 81 p 12
[Kinoru Shimizu's "Politics Today--and Tomorrow" column: "Competition Among
Pde~ L~eaders to the Fore"]
[Text] A senior Dietman of the Liberal-Democratic Party (LDP) and one-zime
foreign minister says the "one point of interest in future LDP cievelopr~er.ta is
to what extent the so-called new leaders, whom Prime Minister Zenk~ 5uzuki
cleverly 'manipulated' in hi~ recent reshuifle, will be able to baost their
political strength in the months ahead." He nre~icted that there wouJ.d appear
- differences in strength among the new leaders during the next year or so.
In the new setup created by Prime Minister Suzuki, the new leaders were given
im~portant posts in the cabiner and party executive.
Suzuki had lonQ considered it one of his duties to "foster" the new leaders.
And in his reshuffle of cabinet and party posts on 30 November, he put his
plan into effect.
Y
Though there are more than a dozen younger politicians who are called "new leaders,"
Suzuki had in mind only six of them--Kiichi Miyazawa and Rokusuke Tanaka of
the Suzuki fac*ion, Noboru Takeshita of the Tanaka �action, Shint~ro Abe of the
Fukuda faction, Ichiro Nakagawa of the Nakagawa faction, and Michio Watanab~ who
has no factional aCfiliation.
In the new Suzuki administration, Miyazawa was retained as chief cabinet secretary,
Tanaka was made chairman of the LDP Policy Affairs Research Council, Takeshita
was named senior deputy secretary-general and Abe was appointed international
trade and industry minister, while Nakagawa and Watanabe were retained in their
respective posts of director general of th e Science and Technology Agency and
finance minister.
Important Posts
All of these, except Takeshita, had held important posts ever since the Suzuki
administration was inaugurated in July last year, Abe haviiig been chaircnan :~f
the Policy Aff airs Research Council and Tanaka international trade and industry
minister and according to the prim e minister, they had amply fulfilled his
expectations.
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Suzuki says that in order to ensure the longet~ity and stability of the LDP
administration, efforts must be made to cultivate men of talent capabie of
carrying on th e administration in the next generation.
~ However, most observers think that his aim in giving key posi~ions to these
young leaders was to improve his chances of getting reelected as president
of the LDP. Being relatively young and ener~getic, they might possibly move
in a direction unfavorable to the Suzuki administration if they were not
given important posts and were left to their own resources.
If appcintec~ to important posts in the cabinet and party, however, they would
not be free to act as they pleased and furthermore, there would be a definite
plus factor in that ~heir enterprise and industry would ultimately contribute
to the achievements of th e Suzuki administration.
Very Hard Work
In a talk with reporters, the prime minister said he planned to work these
politicians very hard. He added with a smile that he expected there wauld
be some compet~tion among them as they had been given positions of eq;al
im~ortance in the recent reshuffle. "Who will be chosen from among them as
a ca?:3idate for the LDP presidency will depend on the efforts of each individual,"
he said.
Fully aware of Suzuki's intentions, Finance Minister Watar~abe, one of the new
leaders, made the following amusing comments in a magazine interview: "We new
leaders are like spirited racehorses. After. being qualified to take part in
i:he .race, we line up at the starting line. And thez~ with a carrot dangling
in front of our noses, we are told to run. The horses run with all their might,
but run as the:v may, they never catch up with the carrot. Soe~~a of r_hem collapse
from exhaustion and are thus conveniently weeded out by natural selection."
The new l~aders first began to attract attention in August 1977 when a policy
grou~ called the group for stud'~es on free society (jiyu shakai kenkyukai) was
formed by some leading businessmen and 11 promising LDP politicians. One of
th e aims of this new group was to reform the political admi.nistration being
conducted by the influential politicians of thP day, in an attempt ta check the
decline of the LDP which had been in evidence for some time.
In addition to the six new leaders already mentioned, members of the group included
Ganri Yamashita, former director general of the defense agency, former
education ministar Toshiki Kaifu and former Zabor minister Takao Fujinami. These
politicians, together with presen~ transport minister Tokusaburo Kosaka, who was
- invited to join the group but refused, became known from that tin~ as tY:e
new leaders.
~ The six new leaders whom Suzuki has taken under his wing have already begun to
compete with one another with a view to becom3.ng candidates in next autumn's
Fresidential el~ction. Oddly enough, these six men fal]. into three sets of
rival relationships--Abe vs Takeshita, Miyazawa vs Tanaka, and Watanabe vs Nakagawa.
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'Ich.iroku War'
' Tl~c~ f iercest of these rivalries is that between Miyazawa and Tanaka who bot;z
belong to the Suzuki faction. One of Suzuki's biggest heac~aches in his recent
reshufFle was deciding how to treat these two politicians. Relations between
them are so bad as to earn the name "Ichiroku war," taking one character each
from their first names.
At Eirst, Suzuki ttiought of appointing chief cabinet secretary Miyazawa to
the post of chairman of the Policy Affairs Research Council, in order to give
him some experience in handling party affairs.
- According to LDP custom, for a man to quality as a candidate for the premiership,
he should liave had experience in the key cabinet posts of foreign affairs,
finance or defense as well as in one of the three top party posts. Accordingly,
Suzuki considered giving t~[iyazawa his f irst party post.
However, Rokusuke Tanaka got to work on Suzuki with the support of the younger
lliet members of the Suzuki faction, requesting that if he ~ould not keep his
position of internation~~l trade and industry minister, he should be given that
o,`. chairman of the Policy Affairs Research Council.
Rokusuke 'Canaka, an active politician, also sought the cooperation of former
Prinie rtinister Kakuei Tanaka who wields a great deal of influence in the LDP. The
- latter was favorably disposed toward Rokusuke Tanaka on account of his friendship
with the late Prime rtinister Masayoshi Ohira, but he was not on very good terms
with rtiyazawa .
Political Pressure
In the end Suzuki bowed to the political pressure applied by Rokusuice Tanaka and
gave him the job of chairman of the Policy Affairs Research Council. Miyazawa
was naturally displeased w ith this appointment, and relations between the two
men are reported to have grown even worse in recent days.
According to observers, Abe wtio became international trade and industry minister,
Watanabe who was retained in th e post of finance minister, and Tanaka, chairman
of tl~e LDP Policy ~ffairs Research Council, have the responsible task of tackling
tlle d.iff.icult prol~.tems concerning national finance administration, trade friction
and deCenSC. Any mishandli.ng ot these issues would immediately prove prejudical
to thcir {~olitica l. }~os i tion.
11.1 tiiough Abe's ai~les are hoping that his new post will give him a chance to increase
liis political strength, tlie situati~n does not warrant any such optimism. As
I~'inance Minister Watanabe said in his remarks quoted above, a number of the new
- leade.rs may well Call by the wayside. Meanwhile, Yamashita, former director
general of. the defense agency, and transport minister Kosaka are aiming to take
part in th is competition among the new 1~.eaders. Thus the new-leader contest is
l:ikely to gr.ow in intensity and attract a great deal of interest in the coming months.
COPYRIG1iT: THE JAPAN TIMES 1981
C;SO: