JPRS ID: 10331 NEAR EAST/NORTH AFRICA REPORT

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 FUR OFFIC'IAL l1SE ONLY JPRS L/ 10331 18 February 1982 Near East North Africa Re ort p (FOUO 7/82) Fg~$ ~OREIGN BROADCAST INFORMATION SERVICE FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R440500030040-9 NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and books, but also from news agency _ transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources are transcribed or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets . are rupplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the - last line of a brief, indicate how the original information was ~ processed. Where no processing indicator is given, the infor- ma.tion was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phonztically or transliterate~d are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- - tion mark and enclosed in parenthe.ses were not clear in the origina.l but have been supplied as appropriate in context. Other L~nattributed parenthetical notes with in the body of an item oY�iginate with the source. Times within items are as _ given by source. The content:, of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Government. COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGIJLATIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQU'LRE THAT DISSEMINATIOtv OF THIS PUBLICATION BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE 0?~iLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504030040-9 FUR OFFICL4L I~SE ONLY JPRS L/10331 _ 18 February Yg32 - NEAR EAST/NORTH AFRICA REPORT (FOUO 7/82) CONTENTS EGYPT Excerpts From Book of Prominent Leftist Lutfi al-Khuli (,AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, various dates) 1 I RAQ Iran's November Offensive Discussed - (Kamal Hasan Bukhayt; AL-WATAN AL--'ARABI, 18-24 Dec 81)..... 52 - a- [III - NE & A- 121 FOUO] FOR OFFi~IAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R440500030040-9 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY EGYPT EXCERPTS FROM BOOK OF PROMINENT LEFTIST LUTFI AL-KHULI Paris AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI in Arabic 16-22, ~3-29 Oct, 5, 6-12, 13-19 Nov 8~:. [Article: "Chapter From Lutfi al-Khuli`s New Book: 'A1-Sadat Political School and Egyptian Left'; A1-Sadat: Those With Him and Those Against Him"] [16-22 Oct 81, pp 48-50, SS-56] [Text] AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI will, as of this issue, publish in series a chapter of Lutfi al-Khuli's new book which will be publiehed shortly under the title of "A1- Sadat Political School And The Egyptian Left." In this chapter, the author answers a large iiumber of perplexing questions that continued to accompany al-Sadat from _ the time he assumed power in Egypt after President Jamal. 'Abd al-Nasir's death to the time when all political forces with their various inclinatians, united against his domestic, Arab and internationa? policies and the time when he f inally fell with the bullets of a fedayeen [commando] group of the Egyptian army. � The series deal in succession with al-Sadat's tactics in insuring his assumption of power with the unanimous consent of all the national and progressive forces in 1970, with his managing to gain exclusive control of power -in the face of the early opposition forces whtch pref erred to confront him from within their positions in the regime's bureaucratic agencies, without the participation of the masses. This is what became known as the so-called "centers of power" which were headed at the - time by 'Ali Sabri, the vice president of the republic, in his capac ity as the "head of the ruli:.~ *Tasirist group." The series also deal with the causes and motives for al-Sadat's manipulation of Egypt's policy from the July 1952 rev~luti~n, from the Nasirist line, from pan-Arabism, from the Qalestinian issue and from the position of nonalignment to what became known as the May or al-Sadat revolution, = to the open-door'economic policy, to alignment with the United States, to antagoniz- ing the Arab national movement and to concluding peace with the Israeli enemy. Lutfi al-I!huli--by observing and analyzing a number of events to which he himself was a witness or in which he was a participant, events most of which are revealed for the first time--foll~ws carefully the movement of events in Egypt from the early 1970's to answer. the big question c~ncerning the emergence of the new, harmonious and fundamental national opposition force from its posit3nns in the socio-political street against al-Sadat regime. This emergence led ta intensifying the comprehensive confrontation between the two sides in a manner which made the pol.~.tical observers record the confrontation very carefully, e~pecially in the wake - of the large-scale campaign of arrests launched at the beginning of last September. 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500030040-9 t'U[t L/1'f 1V1HL UJL V~~1+1 This is the "extrsardinary" event which led to the estrangement between the regime and all the vital forces in the Egyptian society. This 3s also the ~vent which opened the door to numerous expectations, the most promi..ant being the comparison oetween al-Sadat regime in Egypt and the shah's regime in Iran. Lutf i al-Khuli, who is known for his national and progressive political activity throughout the past quarter century, had concentrated, with the aid of the editorial staff of AL-TALI'AH magazine wh~se chief editor he was from 1g55 to 1977, on studying al-Sadat's political steps with all their details and dimensions and studying what al-Sadat had told him conf identially in the numerous meetings be- twesn the two men whiciz continued until 1975. In dealing with "al-Sadat - phenomenon," al-Khuli has employed the instruments of objective analysis as a researcher in a political labaratory and has ended up crystallizing the concepts, gbals, and technology of what he calls "al-Sadat political school" and its move- ment which constitutes a retrogression from the march of Egypt's national and pan- ' Arab history. In this study, al-Khuli had expected a1=Sadat to embark after the October war on concluding a separa*.e peace with Israel under the auspices and ~ support of the United States. This expectation came a full S years before the pcace was concluded. In the same method and inside the political laboratory, al-Khuli has also dealt with the phenomenon of the comprehensive opposition to al-Sadat regime--opposition launched at the outset by the leftist forces with their various intellectual sources. Lutfi al-Khuli was the chief edii:or of the Egyptian .~L-TALI'AH magazine which al- Sadat shut down in 1977 in the wake of the well-known popular uprising which covered all of Egypt on 18-19 January of that year. He is a member of the Central , Secretariat of the National Progressive Unionist Grouping Party and a member of the 100-man committee of the National Coalition Front. Last March, i~e was elected a member of tti~e Journalists Union Council and k~eaded the committee to defend the press and unicnist liberties. He was banned from writing and publising in AL- AHRAM as of 1976 even though he is a mem5er of ~he Editorial Council, a political commentator and the man who founded the paper's Opinion Page in 1962. President al-Sadat ordered his arrest as part of the campaign which he had launche3 against his opponents a month before his assassination. But al-Rhuli escaped arrest be- cause he happened to be abroad at the time for heart freatment. A1-Khuli has been arrested morE than once and he has written numerous political and literary books. When President Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir died in September 1970, the part of the regime flo3ting on the ~urface of the Egyptian arena consisted of a number of "legitimate institutions in which the main positions were held by personalities that had been always eager"to declare their full abidance by the July 195~ revolution with i~ts - Nasirist concept and course that were e~.~~�bodied in the 1962 National Action Charter and the 30 March 1968 program. None of those personalities had been known to hold an~opinion or a position, stated or implied, conflicting with the position or opinion of Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir until the time of his death. If it so happened that one of them declared a posi- - tion on an issue before 'Abd a1-Nasir had made his decision on the issue (and this rarely happened), then the individual involved quickly changed that position to make it compatible with the opinion on which the "chief" had decided. 2 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R440500030040-9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY It so happ~ned thar_ when Washington declared in 1970 the so-called "Rogers initia- tive" to solve trz Middle East crisis, '?.bd al-Nasir had been preparing to visit th~_ Soviet Union. He preferred at the time to delay declaring his i~osition toward tk~e initiative until after the end of the visit. But Anwar al-Sadat, the then vice president, hastened--in the face of urgent questions raised during meetings of the Socialist TJnion--~;.~ declare Egypt's rej ection of the initiative, replying on the general line followed by 'Abd al-Nasir in his relationship with the United States. But as soon as 'Abd al-Nasir decid~ed to approve the initiative, Anwar al-Sadat changed his position, continuing the p2rformance of his duties as vice president. At the top of the institutions left hy 'Abd al-Nasir's regime emerged the "presiden- tial institution, which, upon the death of the "chief," belonged temporarily to al-Sadat in accordance with Article 110 of the constitation in t~is capacity as the sole vice president. Since his sudden appointment to the position on 10 December 1969 until a new president was to be elected within a period of no more than 60 days. , Under the canopy of the presidential institution lied the leadership of the Arab Socialist Union, the sole political organization ruling the country. This leader- ~hip was embodied in the Supreme Executive Committee formed of Husayn al-Shaf i'i, 'Ali Sabri, 'Abd al-~iuhsin Abu al-Nur, Dr Mahmud Fawzi, Dr Labib Shuqayr, Diya' Dawud and Kamal Ramzi Istaynu, in addition to Anwar al-Sadat who succeeded 'Abd al-Nasir to the chairmanship of the committee and the chairmanship of the Counc~l of Ministers (the executi.ve authority) after 'Abd al Tlasir's death. Within the framework of the Arab Socialist Union leadership, the union's organiza- tions in each of the two governorates of Cairo and al-Cizah in particular occupied a special place because of their "massive popular membership" which w~s r~latively. active and effective on the Egyptian political arena in comparison to the Socialist Union organizations in the other gover.norates. 'Abd al-Ma~id Farid, the secretary general of the presidency, was in charge of the Cairo organization while Farid 'Abd al-Karim was in charge of al-Cizah organization. The People's Assembly (the legislative authority) emerged within these in~titutions. All its members belonged to the Arab Socialist Union and its speaker was Dr Labib Shuqayr. The "armed forces i.nstitution," if we may use the phrase, came under the direct con- trol of the late President Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir after it had been purged of the elements produced by the conditions and complications of its defeat on the hands of Israel while under the command of Field Marshal 'Abd al-Hakim 'Amir who pre- ferred to commit suicide after his abortive coup attempt. 'Abd al-Nasir had focused ~he greater part of his time and his efforts on rebuilding the armed farces and preparing them, with massive aid from the Soviet Union, to "restore what Israel had usurped by force," assisted by Lt Gen Muhammad Fawzi, the minister of war and the general commander, and by Lt Gen Muhammad Sadiq, the chief of staff. tieirs of Becision In addition to all this, a number of personalities that had gained an influential position in making and implementing the political decision held important posi- tions in the structure of the regime as a result of their presence within the 3 narrow circle of trust surrounding the late President Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir. Foremost 3 _ FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500030040-9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY among those personalities were: Dr 'Aziz Sidqi, the deputy prime minister and minister of industry; Mahmud Riyad, the deputy prime minister and minister of foreign affairs; Muhammad Hasanayn Haykal who held the position of minister of information in addition to that of chief editor of AL-AHRAM; Atnin Hi+.waydi, the minister of state; Muhammad Fa'iq, the mi.nister of state for foreign affairs; Sami Sharaf; the minister of state for presidential affairs who also held the position of director of the late president's off ice for long years; Muhammad Hafiz - Isma'il, the chief of intelligence who replaced Salah Nasr who had held the posi- tion for long years and who had been relieved from this position after participating with Field Marshal 'Amir and Shams Badran, the minister of war during the 1967 war, :in the coup attempt in the armed forces; and Maj Gen al-Laythi Nasif;, the commander of the republicar., guard which had turned into a military force, with resources exceeding its traditional f:uiction as a mere guarc? force, and into a force trained to confront and fight any coup attempt. The "judiciary authority" retreated to a corner of the society after the fe.~.~::-~~,us battle which had taken place between itself and the leadership of the Arab Socialist Union over the so-called po~iticization of the judiciary and its transformation ~rom an "authority" to a popular "utility" as a result ot the statements made and position taken in the wake of the defPat by the Executive Council of the Judges Club, headed at the time by Counselor Mumtaz Nassar who was also the deputy chair- man of the Appellate Court, or. the need to amend or abolish the laws restricting the liberties. The statements and positions also condemned a number of ineasures and actions taken by the security authorities which undermined the rights and liberties of the citizens. The battle was managed on the side of the Socialist Uni.on by 'Ali Sabri, the then union's secretary general, tlie NluhaBUnad Abu Nasir, the [minister] of justice at the time. Because the battle intensified to the degree of an actual strike by the judiciary--something which threatened the regime's stability and prestige in the wake of a terrible national defeat--the late President 'Abd al-Nasir formed a committee under the chairmanship of Anwar al-Sadat to examine = the tense situation and to propose decisive solutions for it. The committee ended by rec~mmending the dismissal of nearly 200 judges in~the general prosecution ori the grounds of the3r disloyalty to the regime, according to the regime's general political and social criteria. President Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir approved the recom- mendation and issued s law implementing them on 31 August 1969. This is the law which the majority of the country's intellectuals called the "~udiciary massacre" to reflect the dark shadows which it cast over the "regime's democracy." It seemed from observing the movement of the visible events in the period following 'Abd al-Nasir's death and unti]. May 1971 that the "regime's heirs" had clung to unity and solidarity and had overcome the differences within the.ir ranks on the one hand and had fought, on the other hand, any endeavor to expand the "inheritance circle" including them by adding to it other outside elements. They declared their ~ firm resolution to enact the rules of the regime's legitimacy, as stated by the ~ existing constitution, in the transfer of power to a new president and ~ new govern- ment within the framework of the "Nasirist regime" without any change and through a collective leadership that continues the march "on the path of the immortal leader Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir, relying on the Arab Socialist Union organization and the Peopl~'s Assembly and adhering to the slogan of "no voice above the v~~ice. ~f the battle ur.til all the traces of the 1967 aggression are eliminated." Th~y all condemned, in one form or another, all the voices that had risen at home and abroad to speak about either the presence of conflicts among the "legitimate heirs" or ' 4 _i ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY about the presence of 3 terrible vacuum in the wake of the absence of 'Abd al- Nasir with his leadership and his historical weight--a vacuum which the "legitimate" heirs could not f ill by themselves. As soon as 'Abd al-Nasir was laid to rest in his grave,. the Socialist Union hastened to declare the organizational steps for the transfer of power from Anwar al-Sadat, the i~terim president, to a constitutionally elected president. It was decided to bring up t.he issue of nomination of the new presldent before the Supreme Executive Committee on 3 October 1970, to summon the People's Assembly tu an extraordinary session on 7 October to ratify the nomination and to conduct a referendum on ttie president of the republic on 15 October so that the People`5 - Assembly may, if the rasult of the ref erendum is positive, meet on 17 Ociober 1970 in order, that the president may take the oath of ofFice beicre it. This is why a general impression was left in the country that the "collective" lead.ership which had inherited 'Abd al-Nasir's ragime was united." This imprESSion was helped by the consideraY,ly quick tempo of the transfer of power and by the u~ianimous consent on a single candidate �o r the presidency, n~me'_y Anwar al-Sadat who was projected to the masses as the only man among the Revolution Command Council members selected by Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir as his sole vice president under the terrible conditions prevailing after the 1967 defeat. The Socialist Union _ agencies, especially the organizations of the Cairo and Alexandria Governorates, organized dozens of "popular processions" to the residence of the sole candidate in al-Tahirah Palace to declare their absolute support for him as the succes:~or of Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir, as leader of the procession and as head of the state. Image and Reality Before the sun of 1970 had set, the new regime established itself atop the society in the form of a"Nasirist regime" not different in form, in slogans or in persons � from the regime existing until 28 September 1970, except for the absence of the person of Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir by reason of death. At the presidential office and in the Socialist Union leadership, Anwar al-Sadat settled down as president and declared that his program is the same pragram which 'Abd al-Nasir included in his proclamation of 30 March 1968. 'Aii Sabri and Husayn al-Shafi`i became his vice presidents and the Socialist Union Supr~~me Executive Committee remained as it had been previously without any change even thuugh one of its members, namely, 'Abd al-Muhsin Abu 3i-1V~~r, b~came secretary general instead of 'Ali Sabri. The People's Assemhly maintained its previous condition under the speakership of Dr Labib Shuqayr. Dr Mahmud Fawzi, President Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir's assistant until the president's death, bPCame prim~ minis- ter and selected his cabinet members from among the personalities which held the main positions in the regime after the ].967 def eat, excluding Muha~mmad Hasanayn I~ayka~., who by his own choice, preferreri to leave the Ministry of Informatian to devote h~s t{me to his original work as ch~ef editor of AL-AHRAM. Thus, the image floating on the surface of society seemed calm and stable, com- bining in harmony all the so-called "legitimate heirs" of Jamal ~Abd al-Nasir. 5 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY t~t deep inside, the conditions were the complete reverse of the outwardly image. Latent conflicts stirred in various forms among nurierous axes, entangled by in*rinsic and objective complications, within the circle of t?1e so-called legit~mate heirs. These are the conflicts which Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir used to - settle or suppress with deterrar.t and restraining measures which reached the point of punishment at times. With the disappearance of.'Abd al-Nasir, the con- flicts revived but with caution dictated by the sudden death of the "chi~f" which took all concerned by surprise and without their being prepared on the one hand and without the heirs having the experience, on the other hand, to exercise power directly and not through or under the sY~adow of the "teacher." Each axis, and at - times onE part of the axis acting against the other parts, tried to gain tiune and supporters in an effort to gain sole contral of power. The phrase "~he others" was not confined at the time to the numerous axes within the circle of the Iegitimate heirs but extended to include the historical le~ders of the July revolution who, in the name of national unity and of f illi.ng the vacuum left by the absence of the revolution leader, tried ro~participate in power. The phrase also extended to the movements of the ri~htist and leftist forces in society witk~ their various currents and their efforts to push the post-'abd al-Nasir regime in their direction. Foremost among the axes involved in de~:p conflict was the so-calLed Presidential Advisory Committee which the president had formed after the 1967 def eat and after foiling the coup attempt led by Marshal 'Abd al-Hakim 'Amir. 'Abd al-Nasir relied on this committee in running the country's internal affairs and in supervi:sing the activities of the Council of Ministers, which the presi.dent himself headed, in accordance with the instructions he issued. The president thiis began to relieve ~ himself gradually from the burdens of internal executive action and its daily details and to devote the major part of his efforts and time to rebuild the armed forces and to manage the international diplomatic battle against Israel and the United States of America. This coimmittee, shrouded in secrecy, consisted of Sha'rawi Jum'ah, the minister of interior; Amin Huwaydi, who held the position of minister of war, of chairman of the general intelligence and of;minister of state; Muhammad Fa'iq, the minister of state for foreign affairs; and Sami ~haraf, t.`.ie president's information secretary and the minister of state. 'Abd al-Nasir used to surpise the committee every now and then by includ~ng Muhammad Hasanayn Haykal, ~ the minister of information and chief editor of AL-AHRAM, in its activities. Another axis was developing within the leadership of the Socialist Union (6 mil.lion registered members) and o~ its main and assisting organi2ations, such as ' the People's Assembly, the trade unions, the press and the information media. This axis was developing under the leadership of 'Ali Sabri and wa~ gaining its weight from its actual ruling power in each of the Supreme. Committee and the Central Committee. Prominent members of this axis included Sha`r~wi Jum'ah (who used to take part in the meetings of the Supreme Executive CommiCtee in a special. capacity even though he was not a member of this committee), `Abd al-Muhsin Abu al-Nur, Dr Lab~b Shuqayr, Diya' al-Din Dawud, 'Abd al-Majid Farid and Hafiz Badawi. This axis exercised its power by organizing popular demonstrations under slogans which it determined for those demonstrations and by having the "required decisions" issued without much difficulty by the various leadership bodies of the political organization. 6 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500034040-9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ORLY Parallel to this axis, another axis, imluding the leadership of the so-called Vanguard Organization, was formed. This axis was closest in structure to the formula of a socialist party with secret cells entrusted to exert efforts to guide and lead the Socialist Union from within by way of a"trained socialist cadre," on the grounds that the Union--a vast and broad alliance co~prised of the people's - working forces, including the nat~onal capitalism, was a slow-moving body. This is how the idea emerged on the need to form the Vanguard Organization so that it may lead the Socialist Union slowly but suraly through the complex phase of transftirma- tion into socialism. 'Abd al-Nasir had called secretly for formation of the Van- guard Organization in the mid~-1960's so that it may include the socialist elements from the various currents which accepted the National Action Charter as a course and as a central starting point in the phase of transformation which 'Abd al-Nasir had est~nated in 1962 would require 10 years, ending in 1971-72. Thus, membership of the Vanguard Organization was opened to the leftist Nasirists and the communists who had dissolved their independent and undergxound organizations in the mid--1960's and joined membership of the Socialist Union individually. 'Abd al-Nasir himself continued to supervise with enthusiasm the formation and management of the Vanguard Organization, assisted by 'Ali Sabri, Atimad Fu'ad and Muhammad Hasanayn Haykal. But 'Abd al-Nasir's enthusiasm turned quickly lukewarm as a result of domestic and external conditions, especially~because of the efforts demanded by the process of rebuilding the ariued forces in the wake of the 1967 defeat. However, 'Abd al-Nasir continued to maintain the Vanguard Organization as a source of information on the tendencies and movements of society's socialist forces at1 as an agency entrusted with "revolutionary" tasks in confronting the "conservative forces" in the regime and in society whenever the need arose to deter those forces. This was done in such a mai~ner to make it seem as if it emanated from the popular base below and not as mere administrative measures imposed "from above." Upon 'Abd al-Nasir's death, 'Ali Sabri, Ahmad F`u'ad and Muhammad Hasanayn Haykal had been removed or had set themselves apart from the Vanguard Organization leadership which was concentra.~ed in a central secretariat controlled fundamentally by Shar'rawi Jum'ah, Sami Sharaf, Muhammad Fa'iq and Hilmi al-Sa'id, the economic advisor to the president, assisted by two or three Marxist elements, such as Ahmad Hamrush and Mahmud Amin al-'Alim. But the most dangerous axis was embodie~d in the Military Committee to rebuild the a nned forces and to prepare them in the relatively long range to lau~ch a compre- hensive war of reprisal against Israel and prepare them in the short run, not exceeding 1972, to implement the "Granite" pYan calling for crossing canal, storming the Bar-lev line and proceeding forward in the Sinai to control the passes. ''Abd al-Nasir focused his energies in this co~nittee, assisted by Gen Muhammad Fa zi, the minister of war, and Lt Gen Muhammad Sadiq who succeeded Gen 'Abd al- _ Mun'im Riyad to tt:e post of chief of staff after the latter's martyrdom, in addi- tion to a limited number of commanders of the armed forces. In addition to this axis, there rose the Republican Guard axis whose forces had been strengthened to the point of being able to launch offensive warf are, thus exceeding the lines of a conventional guard force. 'Abd al--Nasir supervised this axis through Sami Sharaf, the presidential secretary for information and the minis- ter of state~ and Maj Gen al-Laythi Nasif, the guard commander. 7 FOR OFFICiAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 FOR OFFICIAL ~TSE ONLY It can be said that there were two other axes, each of them revolving fundamentally around a distinguished personality which ~:ad gained special weight as a result of special talents which it employed intelligently or as a result of holding important positions within the narrow circle of trust surrounding Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir, thus becoming able to kn.ow the regime's secrets and to participate partially or com- pletely in making the political decisions. The first pessonality was embodied in Anwar al-Sadat who had been selected by Jamal 'Abd al-rlasir from among all members of the July Revolution Command Council as his sole vice president on 20 December 1969 on a sudden decision which had the impact of lightning on everybody. This decision continued to be hard to understand or accept by the other axes. However, those axes agreed on assessing this decision as one which led to forcing an "intruding" element on the relations of each of them with the president who had started experiencing severe physical, psychological and n~~rvc~us pains as a result of a degenerating heart disease and of diabetes in his exhausted body and as a result of the interaction of these ailments with the pressures of the defeat and of the abortive coup attempt led by 'Abd al-Hakim 'Amir, 'Abd al-Nasir's lif elong friend and comrade in struggle. The coup culminated with 'Amir`s suicide and with the trial of his partners who had occupied sensitive posi- tions and had enjoyed the "chief's" trust, such as Shams Badran, the minister of war, and Salan Nasr, the director of intelligence. Thus, al-Sadat moved suddenly, and in less than one year 6efore 'Abd al-Nasir's death, from the rear and dark positions in the regime to the spotlights of the for- ward positions and he came to be trusted by the "chief" with official or popular . positions which, by their nature, had been previously the monopoly of this or that axis. He came to have a hand or a finger in every place and replaced the "chief" in running the country's affairs whenever the latter was on work or treatment trips abroad, including the duties of heading the state, the Socialist Union and the Military Committee. The Vanguard Organization's leadership committee was the only axis which al-Sadat could n~t penetrate. A1-Sadat had pa:ticipated in the Vanguard Organiz~tion at the outse~ but he soon tound hfmself excluded from it when he and other prominent figures of the regime were ~�ousted silently from the organ- ization upon its reorganization in the wake of the defeat. A1-Sadat wasted no time or effort from the moment he entered the circle of power when he was appointed v~ce president. Quietly and silently, he began to form a ~ "socio-po~ttical" base upon which to rely inside and oatside ttae regime in con- frvnting all the other axes which considered hi.m an intruding e~ement to be rid af or reduced to minimum size as soon as possible. In the SociRlist Union, al-Sadat took charge of the Political and Foreign Relations Committee. In this capacity, he proceeded actively to hold periodic organizational meetings in the various governorates of the republic and formed the so-called "political club at the central headquarters of the Sor_ialist Union in Cairo" where he met weekly with members of the Socialist Union and with its committee officers to answer, in the name of 'Abd al-Nasir, whatever questions he raised, after reaching agreement with 'Abd al-Nasir on the broad lines of the answers. In this regard, al-Sadat was able, without clamor, to rally behind him leadership elements of the political organiaation tied by interests to the baurgeoisie despite the socialist slogans they were raising. This is in addition to rallying some liberal elements which had become upset with the sequestration n?easures and with the re- strictions imposed by the "regime's leftist axes." 8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504030040-9 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY In the government agencies, al-Sadat was able to win over to his side the elements hostile to the "regime's leftist axes" which held i.mportant positions in the power structure, such as Maj Gen Ahmad Isma'il who had been the field commander of the Suez front and who reaped 'Abd al-Nasir's wrath in the wake of thP IsraPli raid on the front's modern radar at the end of 1g68 (Isma'il later became the minister of war and the general commander of the armed forces during the October 1973 war); Maj Gen Muhammad Sadiq, who was occupyiz~g the position of chief of staff of the armed forces (.later became minister of war before being dismissed by al-Sadat prior to the October war); and Maj Gen Kamal Hasan 'Ali who later became minister of war and minister of foreign affairs. A1-Sadat infiltrated the People's Assembly also and was able to form secretly within it groups loya? to him, led by Hafiz Badawi and Mahmud Abu Wafiyah in Lower ~gypt and by Ahmad 'Abd al-Akhir and Yusuf Makkawi in Upper Egypt. Al-Sada~ also proceeded to strengtlien his relations with and to spread his protection over groups of the new class er.gaged in the sphere of contracting, wholesale tr_ade and agricultur.al. investment, such as 'Uthman and Ahmad 'Uthman, Muhammad Shahin and others. Thus, when 'Abd al-Nas~r disappeared and the wheel of the stru~gle f or power turned, al-Sadat's personality seemed to appear tonely and with no sLpporter on the national political arena. But behind the scenes, the arena was crowded with groups, eager ta conceal their identity to the last moment, which supported him strongly. The second personality was Muhammad Hasanayn Haykal, the journalist, as he likes to - describe himself always. But all the Egyptian, Arab and foreign observers and politicians who had close contact with 'Abd al-Nasir's regime were unanimous in describing him as the "regime's number two man" who holds no off icial positions and who doesn't sePk them so thst he may not become a party to the ongoing struggle and may not reduce his weight to the size of the position he holds. There are con- flicting opinions and positions on Muhaimnad Hasanayn Haykal's rise [background]. But his opponents agree with his friends ;.hat t~e is "the most cap~ble and brilliant in the sphere of the Egyptian and Arab press and that, if Haykal has benefited from his closeness to 'Abd al-Nasir, then 'ASd al-Nasir benefited in return from Haykal's journalistic professionalism and intelligence. Haykal had started his journali~tic life in Muhammad al-Ta~i'i school in AK1iIk SA'AH and then moved to the ri,~htist school of AKHBAR. AL-YAWM (j~Iustafa and 'Ali_ Amin) before rebelling against it in the wake of the July revolution and becoming-- with visible and invisibl.e support rrom 'Abd al-Nasir with wham Haykal's pen and experier.ce were intrinsically and objectively tied--chief editor of AL-AHRAM ir I956. Haykal developed this paper from a distinctively local newspaper with a daily circulation of 60,()00 copies to a paper with a weighty influence at the l.~cal, Arab ancl international lE>_vels and with a daily circulation of ~nore than one-half mi.llion coPies. Ilaykal became not only 'Abd al-~lasir's closest adviser and confidant but also the "daily debator" accepted by 'Abd al-Nasir without any formality or sensitivity. With his famous weekly article which he used to write under the title of "rrankly Speaking," which was quoted profusel~~ by all the international wire serives and in which t~e revealed and analyzed the direction o.f the wind in the movement and 9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500034040-9 FOR ~JFFICIAL USE ONLY thought of the regime led hy Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir with his Arab and international weight, and with his rebuilding of AL-AHRAM Establishment to make it the most - advanced and serious information agency in Egypt, the Arab homeland and the Middle East area--an establishment that includes political, economic, cultural and journalistic research centers and specialized ma;;azines and an establi.shment crowded with prof essional, intellectual and political capabilities from the various inclin- ations, beginning with the liberal right and ending with the Marxist left--with - all this, Haykal, as an individual and as an institution, was able to attiain an independent and strong position inside the regime and in society vis-a-vis the other axes, with whom his relations ranged from the relations of a truce to the relations of secret and open conflicts. The formula which governed Haykal's movement, and which was accepted by 'Abd al-Nasir, was that of abidance by absolute support for 'Abd al-Nasir with relative freedom in criticizing the regime, its institutions and its leaderships. The implementation of this formula left all the local, Arab and internat ional political sources with the impression that Muhammad Hasanayn Aaykal did actually represent the position of the "number two man" in the regime without being involved in assuming an open official responsibility. Perhaps this is what motivated 'Abd al- Nasir at the beginning of 1970, according to what many obs ervers find most likely, to appoint Haykal as the minister in charge of information, despite Haykal's objection, while retain.ing his position as chief editor of AL-AHRAM. Outwardly, all tYiese axes stood united and shoulder to shoulder under the banner of "completing 'Abd al-Nasir's procession with its political, social and economic dimensions, especially in whatever pertains to continuing the process of the socialist transformation of society while purging the process of the negative aspects caused by the 1967 def eat, waging the battle against Israel to erace the traces of the 1967 aggression and realizing the Palestinian people's legitimate rights through building the unity of Arab action and through alliance witti the Soviet Union," But under the surface, conflicts ~~ere raging by varying degrees among the various axes and even within each axis, as revealed at the end of 1971 by the investigations in the case known as the plot of the centers of power" against - "al-Sadat's legitimate authority." it was proven then that there had been no trust and no un~.ty of thought or of action, not even at th ~ tactical levels, among the axes which had been in agreement on not enabling ai-Sadat to attain permanent power, or at least not to attain sole control of power. The crisis of trust among those axes reached the point where they were watching each other's movements, spying on each other and recording~ the telephone calls exchdnged by members of the same axes to use them as future incriminating evidence when one axies, or a part of an axis, gains the power. These are the recordings which fell in al-Sadat�s hands and which he used against those who had recorded them. Initially, the struggle crystallized between two main f igures: 'Ali Sa}>ri and Anwar al-Sadat. 'Ali Sabri considered himself, objectively and subjectively, the person more strongly entitled and the fitter to succ:eed Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir to pnwer and viewed al-Sadat as an intruding element on the revolution and the Na:;irist experience--an element belonging to the counterr evolution which seeks ulti~ately to liquidate Nasirism. Sabri also believed ttiat if "misfortune" had led a: -Sadat to the position of vice president which he occupied until the death 10 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500030040-9 FOR OFFICIAI. USE ONLY of 'Abd al-Nasir, this did not require the Nasirists to submit to the outwardly formalities of legitimacy without its essence, else such submission would mean the end of all the Nasirists. But the other axes, excluding Haykal's axis which pre- ferred to take the position of outwardly neutrality while harboring in fact hostility to 'Ali Sabri, agreed tliat it was impossible to practically separate the formaltties of legitimacy from its content, else rightist or leftis~ f igures more . dangerous than al-Sadat would be afile to exploit the separation gap and sneak through it to seize power. Moreover, those axes had never at ar~y time truly wel- comed the transf er of power to 'AIi Sabri because they were filled with doubts re- garding his intentions and position toward them. They pref erred Anwar al-Sadat who seemed to them to be weak and to be courting their friendship and their participation in the power. Consequently, they were confident that the foreseeable future would ultimately move in the direction of their gaining the sole contrel of power, especially since they were in full control of all of the regime's main political, information and security agencies, in addition to their success in establishing an alliance with Lt Gen Mufiammad Fawzi, the minister of war and the general commander of the armed forces, who seemed to be the strongman of the mili- tary axis. As for al-Sadat, he used the tactic of the "weak and isolated chief" who would have no power and no authority without the support and participation of all the axes, excluding the axis of 'Ali Sabri. Al-Sadat had shown his personal dissatis- faction with dealing with 'Ali Sabri because of the latter's personal ambitions . and of his dictatorial tendency which destroys the spirit of collective action which he, al-Sadat, wanted to prevatl in the relations among tfie officers of the new regime as a single family. Despite this, al-Sadat did not object to meeting the demand of those axes for the appointment of 'Ali Sabri as vice president, just as a gesture of honoring him and ~~ithout giving him any powers, exactly like Husayn al-Sahfi'i. A1-Sadat was thus able,from the first moments to isolate 'Ali Sabri, the thinking and planning m~nd behind the opposing axes, and to paralyze Sabri's ability to move and maneuver. In his movement on the stage of the events, al-Sadat was careful.to appear as if he was an indiv idual by himself and a limb cut from a tree, without supporters and _ without any force behind him. He was able to conceal his real r~lations with many of the regime's pockets and forces, such as Mamduh Salim wh~~ was at the time the Governor of Alexandria and one of the most outstanding political security men serving under Sha'rawi Jum'ah, the minister of interior; Ma~ Gen Muhammad Sadiq, the chief of staff of the armed forces and the most prominent member of the Military Committee; and Maj Gen al-Laythi Nasif, the republican guard commander. Sami Sharaf, the director of the president's office, the minister of state and the man with influence in more than one axis, had continued to be conf ident of his sole control over the republican guard until he was shocked by the reality when he was arrested by Maj Gen al-Laythi Nasif personally on the night of 14 May 1971. A1-Sadat was not content with this but proceeded to create the first of his political electric shocks, which have become one of the characteristics of his political movement, when he arranged, with the support of the otfi er axis, an almost public confrontation between "Haykal's axis" and "'Ali Sabri's axis," at a meeting of the Socialist Union's Supreme Executive C~mmittee. 11 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500034040-9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Dr LaUib Shuqayr, the People's Assembly speaker and ~nember of the Executive Committee, had reviewed at one of the committee's me~atings an article which Haykal had written in AL-AHRAM under the title of "'Abd al-1lasir Is No Myth" and in~~which he had criticized some people (~neaning 'Ali Sabri ar~d the other axes allied with _ him) for defying !Abd al-Nasir as if he were a god and for instating themselves as priests in his temple who are solely entitled to decide who is Nasirist and who is not. Haykal stressed in fiis article that 'Abd al-Nasir is a historical leader produced by the popular struggle which~had realized accomplishments under his leadership and that, consequently, 'Abd al--Nasir, with fiis intellectual thought and his heroic struggle, is the puiilic property of all the people, without any need for distinguished middlemei~. Dr Shuqayr concluded his review by charging Haykal with demeaning and debasing the status of the immortal leader and of the Socialist Union and by dema.nding that Haykal be tried politically. The trial demand was one of the links in the chain of the ferocious struggle among the axes for power. Through this demand, the Socia~.ist IInion leadership axis sought to realize more than one goal. Tfie f irst goal was to entrench its position vis-a-vis the other axes, even the axes allied with it, as a ma~or force in the regime and in society with the right to level charges, to try and to convict. The second goal was to release a test balloon in order to find out the dimensions of the strength of each axis, especially of al-Sadat axis, in comparison with the strength of the Socialist Union leadership axis. The third go.al was to int imidate whoever contemplates, be he an individual or an a$is, adopting a vacillating, neutral or opposing position toward the "legitimate heirs of 'Abd al-Nasir." The fourth goal was to destroy the Haykal axis and to gain control over the sophistic.ated information outf it (AL-AHRAM) with its eff ective influence. A1-Sadat hac*ened to respond to the demand without any discussion. Iii the Executive Committee's subsequent session which was set for the tria? and in which the members were scheduled to discuss among thecaselves in detail the cfiarges made against Haykal and to issue their verdict, al--Sadat surprised all those present by inviting Haykal to attend the session and to defend himself on the grounds that i~ is illegal to try a def endant in his a6sence, especially since the defendant was o:~e of the closest people to 'Abd al-Nasir and since the charge was that of debasing the status of 'Abd al-Nasir himself. - Haykal defended his views of and his position toward 'Abd al-Nasir, living and dead and man and leader, with a strong logic supported by documents and proven events witnessed by some of the committee m~bers themselves. One of the proofs cited was a personal wish by 'Abc~ al-Nasir--a wish reflecting his confidence in the defendant--that Haykal write his biography if he was to be assassinated or when he died. Haykal was able to win over to his side significant number of the mem- _ bers, led by Dr Mahmud Fawzi whohad always enjoyed the respect of the overwhelming majority of the regime's "legitimate heirs." A1-Sadat took the position of a - neutral judge and recommended, with the approval of the ma,jority of the committee and the silence of its minority, that the trial dossier be closed without a sen- tence and that Che case be considered as if it had never existed. Thus, al-Sadat realized more than one goal from his ~irst electric shock within the framework of this trial. The first goal was that of aborting all the ob.jectives planned by the axis of the Socialist Union leadership, and by 'Ali Sabri in par- ticular, through conducting this trial, The second goal was that of appearing as 12 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500034040-9 FOR OFFICIA~, USE ONLY the fair and neutral judge who is eager to investigate objectively and in the pres~nce of the defedant the charges made by the parties to the regime against each other, all on the 6asis of the principle of the single family and of collective leadership. The third goal was that of creating a split between 'Ali Sabri's axis and the other axes all~zd with it and of sowing the seeds of doubt among their ranks regarding the soundness of tfie tactics of 'Ali Sabri's axis and of its hasty decisions in leading the struggle for power. The fourth goal was that of driving Haykal's axis from the position of neutrality to the position of actual alliance with al-Sadat axis and of encouraging the otner elements and forces in the regime vacillating because of their fear of the might and influence of the axes controlling the regime's main political, information and security agencies to move to the positions of supporting al-Sadat axis after having proven its ability to give Haykal's axis actual protection. Thus, the struggle among the axes went on in the form of attack and retreat and of - below-the-bett blows exchanged within the closed walls at tfie top of the regime's struct~ire. But upon the disappearance of 'Abd al-Nasir and because of it, the Egyptian arena was broader and more complex than the ability of any of those axes, whether individually or in partial alliance with others, to absorb and control the various and conflicting socio-political forces surging on the arena and pene- trating, by varying degrees, the walls of power through the movement of the struggle of the axes and the calculations of each of them. Each of those forces proceeded from the various positions it occupied in the society's and the state's class structure after 18 years of the revolution's victories and defeats to try, with relative i:idependence, to assert its positions, to secure its interests and to exert pressure in order to exercise its right to participate in power, presenting directly or indirectly its conditions for allying - itself with this or that axis. The common denominator in those conditions, what- ever the nature of the political or social forces presenting them, w~s that of democracy and of putting an end to the security agencies' violations of human r ights . The first movement by those forces came from the group of surviving leaders of the = July revolution who had disagreed with 'Abd al-Nasir for various reasons and who had been ousted from the regime's power circle. But cetitacts had been resumed between those leaders and 'Abd al-Nasir in the wake of the 1967 war and of the _ terrible defeat it produced. The contacts were intensified during the last months of 'Abd al-Nasir's life with `Abd al-Latif Baghdadi who, along with his colleagues Kamal al-Din Husayn and Zakariya Muhyi al-Din, preaented 3 memorandum to Anwar al-Sadat, in his capacity as the interim president, proposing re-formation of the Revolution Command Council under al-Sadat's chairmanship and suggesting that th~ council assume the task of calling on the penple to elect a constituent assembl} to draw up for the country a constitution def ining the quality and course of the new regime on a democratic basis and in accordance with the principles of the July revolution. Ultimately, the new president of the republic was to be elected on the basis of this constitution to take power over from the Revolution Commar.d Council. Of the surviving members of the Revolution Command Council, Husayn al-Shaf i'i, who was a participant in the regime, Hasan Ibrahim, who had abandoned political life 13 FOR OFFiCIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030044-9 ~'OR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY [or cummcrclal business, and Khalid Muhyi al-Din, who had re~ected the idea al- together as constituting a deviation from the legitimacy of the existing regime which he respects, declined to sign the memorandum. This movement caused strong confusion to the calcula~i~~n~ of all the axes. This confusion was further intensified by what was known about the dialogue between Jamal 'Atid al-Nasir and 'Afid al-Latif Baghdadi--a dialogue which had almost achieved specific results. 'Abd al-Nasir himself had made references to this dialogue at the meetings of the Socialist Union ~xecutive Coffinittee in the wake of the defeat. To deal with the regimeFS shortcomings and gaps--shortc~~mings and gaps revealed by the 1967 war--'Abd al-Nasir brought up the idea of the formation of an opposition party from the sons of the July revolution inside and outside the Socialist Union to represent the "other opinion." 'Abd al-Nasir nominated for the purpose 'Abd al-Latif Baghdadi and Ramal al-Din Husayn for being always frank in their opposition without afiandoning the principles of the July revoluti~n or involving themselves in any coup attempt against the revolution. When the Executive Committee opposed 'Abd al-Nasir's proposal almost unanimously on the grounds that the country was not yet ready to put it into implementation, not to mention its perils to national unity in confronting the defeat and preparing the army and the society for the war of revenge against Israel, 'Abd al-Nasir shelved his proposal. But he continued his contacts and dialogue with Baghdadi on the possi- - bilities of cooperation between them. Reliable information, confirmed by Muhammad Husanayn Haykal, had asserted that 'Abd al--Nasir was about to appoint 'Abd al-Latif Baghdadi to the pasition of vice president in charge of managing the domestic front - and preparing it for the war while the president devoted his efforts to the process of rebuilding the armed forces as quickly as possible. But death snatched 'Abd al-Nasir before he could issue his decision. The axes of the Advisory Presidential Committee, or the Socialist Union leadership and of the Vanguard Organization leadership hastened to stage a counter-movement under the "banner of legitimacy" to foil the endeavor of "tfiose who disagreed with 'Abd al-Nasir when alive and who want to usurp power from the revolution's legi- timate institutions after his death." The members of those axes rallied behind Anwar al-Sadat as interim president and as sole candidate for tha presidency in enactment of the constitution. They shelved their doubts about one another and their hidden conflicts with one another, considering that restoration of the Revolution.Command Council represented the i~inent and urgent danger that would deny the P1weak al-Sadat who is isolated from the regime's main agencies" the position of president of the republic. As for al-Sadat axis, it exploited the movement of the Revolution Command Council group to whip the other axes into speeding up the steps for nominating and elect- ing him a constitutional president of the republic. While declaring his rejection of the proposals of Baghdadi and his colleagues, al-Sadat did not sever his con- tacts with them but proceeded to manage the dialogue with 'Abd al-Latif Baghdadi - for future cooperation between them after election of al-Sadat to the presidency. There was another force with weight in the regime and in society. This force was - embodied in the group of nationalist technocrats and managers who grew up and developed in the process of the large--scale industrialization of the counrry and of building the public sector as leader of the development plan and as the base of Egypt's economic independence in the Nasirist esperiment. Leading this group, 14 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504030040-9 (~OR OFFICIAL USF. ONI.Y which owed its expertise and its distinguished positions to the July revolution, was Dr 'Aziz Sidqi who had been entrusted by Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir with setting up and managing the Afinistry of Economy and with building the public sector from _ 1956 until 'Abd al-Nasir's death in 1970, excePt for aae year during which Sidqi held the position of the president's adviser for industry. Dr 'Aziz Sidqi expressed the strength of this force when he underlined his support for the legitimacy represented by Anwar al-Sadat on the grouads of al-Sadat's declaration of his abidance by the July revolution and by the 30 March program, especially its democratic dimensions, which 'Abd a1-Nasir had proclaimed in order to deal with the negative practices of the regime and to put an end to the violations committed against the citizens' rights and liberties. This constituted a direct reference by 'Aziz Sidqi against the axis of 'Ali Sabri wit'~ whom he had been in constant disagreement from the days of 'Abd al-Nasir. Sidqi also stated his opposition to the attempts of those "who rebelled against 'Abd al-Nasir while alive to return to power after his death." This was a reference against the movement of 'Abd al-Latif Baghdadi and his colleagues. 'Aziz Sidqi concentrated on protecting the gains of the engineers, managers and wo4kers who built the public sector and referred to their right to share the power in ~..rder to guarantee the continuity of the path chosen by 'Abd al-Nasir for planned development under the leadership of the public sector. At that der_isive moment, this force elected to stand in the midst of the struggle with al-Sadat axis against the other axes because it doubted its own ability to _ act individually and independently on the one hand and because, on the other hand, ir do~lbted that it could perform its econo-political role if power were con- - trolled by 'Ali Sabri and the axes allied with him in view of what it had suffered - from the bureaucratic and punitive security practiCes of these axes--practices from which this force had been saved by nothing other than the direct intervention of 'Abd al-Nasir. All this at a time when this force viewed al-Sadat as a solitary and powerless personality which needed ties with partners to share the power with him without the complexes of past experiences and without the fear of any of the partners pouncing, after lurking silently, on the presidency or on the public sector's leadership of the national economy--the mainstay of the political power in society. But all these struggles, with their varying degrees and levels and with their various faces, continued to be governed essentially by the relations and conflicts of the forces with which society was throbbing and by the degree of each for.:e's qualitative and quantit~ive capabilities, its organizational resources and its means of movement ~midst the masses. [23-29 Oct 81, p~ SO-53] [Text] The true dimensions of the events being witnessed by Egypt at present cannot be understood without a calm reading of the recent history. Lutfi al-Khuli, who has been known for his progressive national political activity as well as for his journalistic activity in the past quarter century, has written a book which will be published under the title of "A1-Sadat Political School, And The Egyptian Left." Before al-Khuli presented his book for printing, AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI acquired from him the copyright to a chapter of the book which is tantamount to an observation from within of the circumstances which ca~.rried Anwar al-Sadat to 15 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500030040-9 FOR OFHICIAL USE Y power from the time of Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir's death and until all the political forces with their various inclinations united against al-Sadat's domestic, Arab and international policies and until he fell finally with the bullers of a f edayeen [commando] group of the Egyptian army. In the first part (previous edition), al-Khuli dEalt with what he called "the war of the axes" which carried al-Sadat from the shadows to the top of the Advisory Presidential Coimmittee, the Socialist Union leadership, the Vanguar.d Organization leadership, the Military Comanittee and the republican guard. A1-Khuli also dealt with how the struggle crystallized between Anwar al-Sadat and 'Ali Sabri through the trial of Muhamma.d Hasanayn Haykal, all within the framework of the political forces ruling Egypt and the framework of their capabilities and conflicCs. In this part of the series, Lutfi al-Khuli defines what he calls the "rightist lines" and the "Ieftist lines," the eruption of struggle between the "centers of power" after 'Abd al-Nasir's absence and al-Sadat calculations in that phase. It can be said that upon 'Abd al-Nasir's death, the social struggle movement crystallized at the popular level between two main axes: An axis to the right of the regime and another to its left. Each axis consisted of a number of forces with varying social and intellectual roots. But upon the death of the historical personality which had played the d ecisive role in def ining society's course throughout 18 years, those forces agreed upon a minimum limit of "general political concord" which governed their movement vis-a-vis the other axis. The rightist axis combined the ciholesale merchants, the contractors, the rich farmers and the upper segment of the bureaucrats which were called at the end of 'Abd al-Nasir's era "the new class" at times and the "reactionary party" at others. Those forces had, especial].y in the wake of the 1967 defeat and through exploiting their positions in the state and in some public sector organizations and through their mostly parasitic practices, acc unulated a capital exceeding the needs of their luxurious lifestyles and one which they wanted to exploit in private and independent investment free of nationalization and sequestration, of the restric- - tions of the state laws and of the domination of the public sector. The right was strengthened when it was joined by the prominent military bureaucrats who had _ been ousted from their distinguished positions in the large-scale purging opera- tions necessitated by the need to liquidate the elements loyal to the abortive coup attempt led by Marshal 'Abd al-Hakim 'Amir and the elements which formed an obstacle in the face of the steps to rebuild the armed forces technically and socially in the wake of the 1967 defeat. It was natural that the rightist axis would be also joined by the old capitalist elements which had been harmed by the nationalization and sequestration decisions and which had been lurking in active exploitative pockets in society which they had concealed under such perfectly camouflaged masks that they had been raising Che slogan of socialism and "had been joining the Socialist Union membership enthusiastically." This is in addition to the "protection shields" which those capitalists had created through marriage relationships with ma.ny elements of the f irst and second ranks of the July revolu- tion. This rightist axis with its numerous forces was able to attract various groups of intellectuals with li6eral inclinations who had continued to undermine all the positive accomplishments of the Nasirist experiment by exploiting the 16 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500034440-9 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY intelligence and security agencies' restrictions on and violations of some human rights. The 1967 defeat, which had created in all the classes a deep wound bleeding sweeping anger at an~i comprehensive criticism of the negative practices of the regime, gave those liberal intellectuals the opportunity to speak with a loud voice which had its tangibl~ impact in society. The right, with its growing parasitic nucleus, had a finger in political formula- tions of various kinds and at various levels. In addition to the underground organizations of the Muslim Brotherhood, there was~~.a number of political islands lying hidden under the skin of the government, information, People's Assembly, Socialist Union and even the Vanguard Organization agencies, especially in the rural areas and in the small towns (such as the information groups, led by Musa Sabri, Anis Mansur, Muha~ad 'Abd al-.Tawad, Saf iyah al-Muhandis and Himmat Mustafa, and the ralitical groups, most proaiinent of which were 'Abd al-Qadir Hatim group, the Upper Egypt deputies group led by Ahmad 'Abd al-Akhir and Yus!if Ma.kkawi and che delta [Lower Egypt] deputies group, led by Ahmad al-Qasabi, MuhaL~nnad Shahin, Hamid Mahmud and Mahmud Abu Wafiyah). This is in addition to the contr~acting and land speculation sector ('Uthman Alunad 'Uthman), the chambers of commerce, the social a~.4 arh?~tic clubs, the writers and women's federations and a number of professional unions. The "general political concord" of the rightist forces crystallized in five funda- mental lines: First, to block tiie path practically in the face of continuation of 'Abd al-Nasir's march after his death while raising, at the same time, the slogan of "continuing on 'Abd al-Nasir's path" so that all the forces resisting the attempts for the seizure of power by those who consider themselves the heirs of 'Abd al-Nasir or leaders of the July revolution, whether individually, allied with each other or in alliance with the leftist forces, may join ranks safely under the canopy of this slogan. Second, to exploit religion in instigating a campaign against 6he Nasirist experi- ment on the pretext that it is an atheist Nlarxist socialist" experiment which has plundered the people's property under th: name of nationalization and seques- tration and which has violated the peopl e's dignity and liberties and the sources of livelihood that God has given them and under the pretext that correcting those - conditions was no*_ dictated by religion alone but also by the spirit of belief in the Jul.y revolution--a spirit completely lacking since the early 1960's and since proclamation of the National Action Charter. Third, to act under the banner of democracy and of guaranteeing liberties and tl~e supremacy of the law to enable the rightist forces to gather and organize their scattered lines and to inf iltrate into t he main positions of power, exploiting in this the masses' urgent demands for democracy--demands which had not yet ~ crystallized in specific formulas even though they had been vacillating between developing the Socialist Union to become a progressive national alliance compris- ing certain political forces and currents, and not ~ust a mere i~essel for the quantitative gathering of citizens, and abolishing the oneness of the Socialist Union as a political organization and replacing it by the multi-party system. - The rightist forces were inclined, with some reser.vation, c.oward the latter 17 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 FOR OFFICIAI, L1SE ONLY option so that they may act compatibly with their pressures for releasing the freedom of the private sector to independ.ent investment and to unlimited growth and fox putting an end to the public sector's leadership role in developing the national economy. ~ Fourth, to open the door before foreign and Arab capital to invest in the country without restrictions and to give this capital incentives to participate with the private Egyptian capital on the grounds that this is likely to make it possible for the country to overcome its economic crisis and ~ts technological backwardness emanating from the so-called period of economic and political isolatic~ci to which the Nasirist experiment, with its atheist communist di.mension, had led, especially with its comprehensive development plans and the inevitability of the socialist solution. This is in addition to exploiting the fundamentai changes occurring in the Arab world as a result of ~he accumulation of oil revenues 3n the regitnes described by the Nasirists as reactionary at times�:.and as conservative at others--regimes with which Egypt's relations had ranged from open hostility to silent alienation. Fi�th, to make the political and intellectual preparations to put an end to the continuation of the Arab-Is~.caeli conflict, the main economic, military and human burden of which falls on the shoulders of Egypt when Egypt has no direct interest in this conflict and when it is pushed to contribute the ma3or share under the pressure of the Arab countries generally and of the Palestinians in particular just for the sake of helping. This burden turned Egypt from the richest Arab country at the outset of the conflict to the poorest one in the wake of the 1967 d~feat. Now that the attempts to settle the conflict with the force of arms, whose source has been the atheist Soviet Union, have failed, reason dictates the need to look for a non-military solution with Israel by way of the United States which supplied Israel with all the means of strength and protection that made Israel always the stronger party in the conflict with the Arabs. This is scmethi.ng which necessitated reconsidering Egypt's international relations to reduce the ties with the Soviet Union as much as possible and to resume building strong bridges with the United States, especially with the disappearance of 'Abd al-Nasir who had poisoned the walls of friendship with the United States. This is insofar as the rightist axis, which gathered its old and new remn.ants in a minimal degree of organ~zation over a specific program and whiEh started to move rapidly and flexibly, wagering all its strength on deciding the power struggle in favor of al-Sadat, is crncerned. As for the leftist axis, it c~mprised the largest number of the productive working forces. The Nasirist experiment had destroyed many of the shackles of exploita- tion and repression from which these forces had been suffering in the pre-July 1962 society--a society described as the "one-half percent society." As a conse- quence, millions of citizens converged on the political and social action arena �or the first time. In addition to the right of work and of safety from the tyranny and exploitation of capitalism, the Nasirist legislation had guaranteed these forces positions with influential quantitative weight in the political organization (Socialist Union), the People's Assembly (legislative authority) and in other popular councils. The fundamental option~ of the Nasirist experiment, especially in the 1~60's, Urought about the birth of new qualitative groups with a revolutionary spirit on the political and social action arena which was filled 18 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R400504030040-9 FOR OFFIC'IAL USE ONLY by the production forces with their enormous numbers of millions. These new qualitative groups were embodied in the small farmers who benef ited from the agrarian reform, the public sector workers and nationalist technocrats whose fate was tied to the sector and the intellectuals who rose from poor labor and peasant - roots, who benefited from free college education on the one hand and from the spread of the socialist thought platforms on the other, in the wake of proclama- - tion of the National Action Charter and who started to spread in the various spheres, beginning with the village school and ending in the nuclear reactors, the state's civil service apparatus and the armed forces. The leftist forces ha~l emerged in numerous positions of control in society and had been concentrated mainly in the cooperative associations, the rural youth centers, the information and culture agency, the labor unions, the Socialist Union's bases and some of its central or leadership structures, such as the Central Committee, the Youth Organization and th2 Socialist Studies Center, and in the secret Vanguard Organization. Those forces had also stormed the army bases when many university graduates from among the sons of peasants and workers were conscripted in the army both as soldiers and as officers. It can be said that upon 'Abd al-Nasir's death, the phrase "leftist forces" was embodied generally in two distinctive currents, even though one of them had always moved under the banner of 'Abd al-Nasir and acted under his leadership. ThP f irst current was the Nasirist left which was formed amidst the Nasirist experiment and its successive phases, beginning with the phase of "cooperative _ socialism" in the 1950's, to scientific socialism with its oc~m Arab quality and as defined by the National Action Charter in the 1960's and ending with "Arab socialism." The Nasirist left proceeded, out of necessity at the outset, from - positions hostile to the Marxist thought and the Egyptian communist movement. But in the mid-1960's, this ]eft reached the point of co-existing with the Marxist thought and the cemmunists by defining the points of agreement on the~issues of - the inevitability of the socialist solution, of c].ass struggle, of planned economic and social development, of liquidating the reAmants of capitalism and _ of parasitism, of bolstering the political and economic independence, of Arab nationalism and the issue of liberating the Arab homeland from imperialism, neo- colonialism and Zionism and rebuilding its unity. The points of disagreement continued to revalve over the issue of democracy and of formulating it in a class alliance of the people's working forces consisting of the workers and the farmers instead of the superficial quantitative alliance between individiaul citizens in a flabby bureaucratic political organization dominated by the thought and interests of the petit bourgeoisie under false slogans of socialism. The points of disagreement also involved theissue of the need for the alliance to be led by a vanguard socialist party that is public [legal] and that has set features and a set program to offer the masses and a party whose movement is subject to the control of the organized masses. This is in addition to the independence of the unionist and student movement and of the popular organizations and their initia- tives and to releasing the freedom of expression and of dialogue for all the national and progressive forces. The second current is the Marxist leftist current which is older than the Nasirist left and whose history dates back to the second decade of the 20th century. This current adhered to the Leninist-Marxist philosophy in its ideas and in its 19 " FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500030040-9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY movement to change the conditions in Egypt in favor of the worki.iig class and its allies, the farmers and the revolutionary intellectuals." The Marxist-Leninist philosophy, with its international strength, es~ecially in t he wake of the Soviet revolution's victory in 1917, had begun to invade the minds of the "intellectuals rebelling against the shackles of colonialism, backwardness, social oppression and political repr~~ssion in the Arab countries" and had begun to transfarm them from "utopians" to "scientific people" and from "adventurers" into "revolution- aries." But the predominant characteristic of those intellectuals cantinued, for a long time and until just before the inception of the July revolution, to be governed on ~he one hand by their petit bourgeois roots and by the weighty posi- tions which the intellectual elements--some of them Egyptianized foreigners of Jew- ish origins--held in leading the Marxist movement. Historically, those elements contributed the major effort in transmitting and translating the Marxist-Leninist thoughr. into Arabic. On the other hand, the participation of the urban and rural working class in this current's organizations was weak. Thirdly, this current did not have the ability necessary to develop a formula of Leninist Marxism _ acceptable to the Egyptian reality and a formula to which the massps could respond, whether in terms of the language of address or in terms of the movement's tactics and strategy. Fourthly, the constant campaign of violent repression launched against the underground marxist organizations by colonialism and by the secular and religious reactionaries had been intensified on the grounds that the organiza- tions were illegal and constituted a form of atheism. Finally, there were the widespread and blind accusations ~f.lackeyhood among the members of the Marxist movement and organizations whenever disagre~nent of opinion among them intensified. Theq resorted to these accusations instead of solving their disagreement through dialogue within the organizational principle known as the prir,ciple of democratic centralism. All these factors combined with the difficult circumstances of underground action and with the complex and backward economic, political and social conditions to obstruct crystallization of the class struggle in a healthy manner and to cause the phenomenon of fragmentation and of d~vision to dominate the Marxist left at the outset of the 1950's and to turn this left into a mere force of expression" instigating, inciting and encouraging the crushed masses to"bring about change - with the ideas which this left was offering instead of being a"political force" with quantitative and qualitative influence and with weight in the process of change iteelf. As a result of these conditions and even though one of the numerous Marxist organ- izations with which the movement abounded, namely the organization known by the name of the Democratic National Liberation Movement [DNLM], had firm relations with the leadership of the Free Officers Organization before it set off the July 1952 revolution, this organization was not able to maintain and develop those relations and to take an actual part in power. On the contrary, that relation- ship was quickly destroyed before the end of the first year ofthe Free Officers' assumpCion of power. The Free Officers sent the leaders of the DNLM and ma~}y of its cadres, along with the leaders and cadres of the other organizations, to iail, excluding a number of pexsonalities who were tied to 'Abd al-Nasir by personal friendship or who had come to occupy positions in the structure of the new authority and who had come to put their loyalty to the authority over their ].oyalty to the DNLM which had embarked on a struggle against the authority. 20 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R004500030040-9 HOR OFFI('IAL USE ONLY The tragic dimensions of this situation become evident when we know that the Free Off icers Organization's relationship with the DNLM defore the revolution was supervised by Jamal 'Abd al-Nasir personally on the one hand and, on the other hand, by Ahmad Fu'ad al-Qadi who became chairman of the Board of Directors of the Bank of Egypt throughout 'Abd al-Nasir's era and who continued to hold the position during al-Sadat's era, and by Ahmad Hamrush, the officer who became - the ct~ief editor of the first magazine issued by the Free Officers and known by the name of AL-TAHRIR and then of ROSE AL-YUSUF in which he continued to write during al-Sadat's era. A1-Qadi and Hamrush supervised that relationship by virtue of their being in charge of the army section of the DNLM. This is in addition to the presence of two original members in the Revolution Co~and Council who were close to the DNLM, namely Yusuf Siddiq who commanded the f irst c~nfrontation force which seized the headquarters of the royalist regime`s chief of staff, and Khalid Muhyi al-Din. The first was relieved before the end of the first year of the revolution and the second was cotnpelled to resign because of the events of March 1954 concerning the nature of the democratic national authority which the revolu- tion was to set up in place of the defunct regime. The truth is that the 1952 revolution, which took the form of a"military coup" and on the strength of an armed national political organization which had entrenched itself among the armed furces' ranks under the name of the Free Officers, came as a surprise to all the political forces and parties at the time ~~ven though everybody had known before 23 July 1952 of the presence of the Free Officers Organization, had read the secret pamphlets which the organization had been issuing and had supported strongly the organization's inclinations which were hostile to "colonialism, the royal palace, feudalism and the exploitative capitalism" and even though relations of varying degrees had been established before the eve of the revolution between a number of the political forces extending from the extreme right (the Muslim Brotherhood) to the P.xtreme left (the DNLM of. the communist movement) [and the Free Officers]. The Marxist left's view of the event was "generally" based on its being a military coup. In the Marxist literature accumulated in light of the internat3Ana1 exper- iences in Europe and Latin America, a military coup is always a coup in the interest of society's most reactionary forces. The Egyptian Marxist left in its entirety was not able to deal with the "phenomenon of the military coup" in light of the conditions and of the given facts of the Egyptian reality and was unable to consider this phenomenon was a new formula of the national revolution--a formula - unprecedented in history and a formula which could be used as a measurjng stick, with the exception, to some minds, of the Peronist experiment in Argentina, but only to a degree. _ But within a period not exceeding the first year of the revolution, the predominant opinion in the DNLM was inc~ined toward supporting the "military coup" in order to preserve the movement's relations with the Free Officers Organization and on the basis of analyzing the coup as one that carries limited natiDnalist and progres- sive ideas and tendencies which must be supported in order to overcome the other vacillating elements in the revolution command who are influenced by their ties to society's reactionary for.ces. F3ut the other organizaCio*_is of. the Egyptian communist movement, led by the rgyptian Commiinist Party, took a stance of fundamental opposition to the "1952 21 FnR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500030040-9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500034040-9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY military coup" as a coup which aborts the popular capabilities escalat3ng toward a revolution in the interest of all the reactionary forces and of the U.S. neo- colonialism. To prove this, the Egyptian Communist Party offered as evidence a number oi indications embodied in the establishment of good :relations at the out- set between the Revolution Command Council on the one hand a:id the Muslim Brotherhood and the U.S. Embassy in Cairo on the other in contrast to the Council's hostility toward al-Wafd Party with its national influence and its broad popularity, in the strict regressive mPasures ~~*~t which the Council con- - fronted the strike of the workers of Kafr a].-Dawwar textile plants and in the immediate ~ilitary trial which the Counc~y held for party leaders--a trial which concluded with the execution of two of those leaders, namely workers Khamis and al-Baqari, in September 1952. Thus, the atmosphere between the revolution command and the Marxist left, including t