DRAFT TERMS OF REFERENCE: NIE-X: PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN INDONESIA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 15, 2000
• Sequence Number: 28
• Publication Date: October 30, 1952
• Content Type: NIE

,Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0
Below
SECURITY INFORMATION
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
30 October 1952
SUBJECT, DRAFT TERMS OF REFERENCE, NIE-Rb PROBABLE
DEYEt FMENTS IN INDONESIA
THE PROBLI24
To estimate probable developments in Indonesia through 19530
QUESTIONS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM
Io Stability and Policies of the Government of Indonesia
What Is the current situation in Indonesia and what trends
my be expected through 1953 with respect to the following:
The numerical strength, orientation, and influence
of the various political parties:
Approved For Release 200008/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0
 '4.,,Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0
a. Maejumi
bo National (PNI)
c. Communist
d. Socialist
Other parties
2. The composition, efficiency, cohesiveness, and
mo'aie of the government and the popular support
enjoyed by the government;
3. The prospect of realignment of the present political
groups represented in the government;
The economic situation in Indonesia particularly
an it affects the stability of the government,
domestic and foreign policies, and military and
police capabilities;
The labor movement and Communist front organizations
in Indonesia as they affect the stability of the
government;
6. The size, equipment, training, reliability, and
effectiveness of military and police forces;
Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0
 ,.,Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0
Government policies toward dissident groups and
the Chinese minority group;
Government policies toward the Coimanista;
Government foreign policies toward the US, the
Netherlands, the west in general, the Commmist
Bloc, Southeast Asia, and India; (Also include
the causal factors which are determining these
policies. )
10. Goverment policies with respect to nationalization
of industry and capital investment by foreign states.
II. Capabilities and Intentions of the Insurgents in Indonesia
What is the current situation.in Indonesia with respect to
insurgents and what trends are expected through 1953 with
respect to the following:
1. Strength and capabilities of the various insurgent
forces including Communist influence in these
groups,*,
Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0
 4pproved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0
20 The extent of coordination between insurgent
forces and capabilities for combined anti-
goverment action;
The participation of the Chinese minority in
insurgent activities;
4o nature and level of outside (particularly
Chinese Communist) assistance to the insurgents,
III, How would US ?3curity interests be affected if Indonesia
should develop an orientation toward the Soviet Bloc or
become Communist dominated?
Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0