SOVIET UNION EASTERN EUROPE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00865A002100200002-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 5, 2001
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: November 10, 1975
• Content Type: NOTES

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Secret
NOFORN
o
Soviet Union
Eastern Europe
Secret
November 10, 14-) 75
SC No. 00538/7`i
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Warning Notice
Sensitive Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved
(WNINTEL)
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
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Classified by 010725
Exempt from general declassification schedule
of E.O. 11652, exemption category:
I) 5B(1), (2), and (3)
Automatically declassified on:
Date Impossible to Determine
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ORCON
SOVIET UNION - EASTERN EUROPE
This publication is prepared for regional specialists in the Washington com-
munity by the USSR - Eastern Europe Division, Office of Current Intel-
ligence, with occasional contributions from other offices within the
Directorate of Intelligence. Comments and queries are welcome. They should
be directed to the authors of the individual articles.
CONTENTS
November 10, 1975
Jewish Emigration Rates Continue Below
1974 Levels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Soviets May Recognize the MPLA . . . . . . . . 2
Soviets Put New Emphasis on Geneva
Conference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
A More Active Role in CEMA for Hanoi . . . . . 4
Future Preparations for the 25th Party
Congress 6
Soviet Visitor Highlights During October . . . 7
SECR ' SPQI~
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Jewish Emigration Rates
Continue Below 1974 Levels
Jewish emigration from the Soviet Union in 1975
has averaged slightly over one thousand people a month
through October (10,738 total) down approximately 30
percent from the same period last year.
25X6 25X6
Jews emigrated in
October. This is the highest monthly figure for the
year, but is still some 30 percent below 1974. Last
month's total thus follows the pattern in recent
years of upswings in October and November, and is
probably not a shift in Soviet emigration policy.
Official harassment of prospective emigrants in
recent weeks has reportedly remained at about the
same level. The US embassy describes the situation
of the Moscow Jewish community as "no worse" than it
was six months ago, although morale among the capital's
Jewish dissidents appears to be sagging. The embassy
adds, however, that harassment may have increased in
provincial cities, particularly those closed to for-
eigners. Many Jews evidently are keeping open their
option to emigrate without actually applying.
renewal of the required indivi ua
invitations ?rom Israel remains at a high level.
Applications for emigration to Israel are still
the easiest, often the only, course for many seeking
to leave the USSR, but a growing number of emigrants
change their destination once they are out of the
country.
at least 44 percent of the Soviet Jews with visas for
Israel who reached the main transit point--Vienna--
in October have decided to settle elsewhere. Some
of the others leave Israel soon after arrival. (CON-
FIDENTIAL NOFORN/ORCON)
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Soviets May Recognize the MPLA
Soviet recognition of the Popular Movement for
the Liberation of Angola could come as early as
today if, as expected, the Popular Movement pro-
claims itself the sole legitimate governing au-
thority in the former Portuguese colony.
The most authoritative Soviet commentary on
Angola appeared last weekend in a Pravda commentary
signed "Observer," which indicates it was endorsed
by the Kremlin. The article implied that Moscow
was moving toward official recognition of the
Popular Movement, but it also suggested that the
Soviets were becoming increasingly nervous about
the sagging military fortunes of the MPLA.
The "Observer" article reserved its heaviest
brickbats for the "racist" regimes of South Africa
and Rhodesia, perhaps in an effort to elicit ad-
ditional support for the Popular Movement from
other Black African states on Angolan independence
day.
It made the usual charges against the Chinese
but, in contrast to earlier Soviet commentary, did
not directly mention US support for anti-MPLA
forces. This could mean that Moscow intends to
play down the line that the US and China are on the
same side, particularly since the prospects of the
anti-MPLA have grown brighter. (CONFIDENTIAL)
November 10, 1975
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Soviets Put New Emphasis on Geneva Conference
Moscow has publicized its note to the US yes-
terday calling for the reconvening of the Geneva
Conference. The note indicates a hardening in Mos-
cow's attitude toward the format for Middle East
peace talks. In recent months, Moscow has not
stressed Geneva, suggesting instead that the USSR
was interested in participating in further partial
peace steps. Although the Soviet note does not ex-
plicitly rule out additional interim measures in
which they have a role--such as another Golan
Heights disengagement agreement--it calls the Geneva
Conference "the only correct road" to a settlement.
Of particular significance is Moscow's asser-
tion that representatives of the PLO must partici-
pate in the conference "from the very beginning."
Heretofore, the Soviets have used vaguer language
regarding Palestinian representation and privately
indicated they were considering a variety of ap-
proaches to the question. Moscow knows Palestinian
representation at Geneva from the start is unac-
ceptable to the US and Israel.
Publication of the note with its formula for
Palestinian representation indicates the statement
is meant for the record rather than as a serious
Soviet effort to reconvene the conference. Its
publication may foreshadow an even more assertive
Soviet profile in support of the Arabs. (CONFI-
DENTIAL)
November 10, 1975
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SECRET SPOKE
A More Active Role in CEMA for Hanoi
As a result of the Soviet - North Vietnamese
talks in Moscow late last month, Hanoi has evidently
agreed to play a more visible and active role in the
Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (CEMA), but it
will probably continue to spurn full CEMA membership.
A Soviet source recently said that the expanded
relationship will include coordination of economic
plans, participation in some CEMA permanent commis-
sions, and multilateral aid projects. He added that,
for the present, coordination of economic plans will
be confined to the foreign trade sector, an area
where Moscow has already had a considerable, though
informal, input.
This loose formulation of Hanoi's multilateral
ties holds some advantages for both parties. Moscow
has long attempted to broaden the scope of CEMA, and
CEMA participation in Vietnamese reconstruction and
development projects will boost the international
image of the organization as well as be a plus for
Moscow in the Sino-Soviet competition for influence
in Southeast Asia. The North Vietnamese will con-
tinue their balancing act between the Soviet Union
and China, but will welcome whatever economic assist-
ance they can get. For its part, Peking will un-
doubtedly be concerned over the appearance of a closer
North Vietnamese relationship with CEMA. (CONFIDEN-
TIAL)
November 10, 1975
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Further Preparations for
the 25t Party Congress
All but three of the republics--Kirgizia, Latvia,
and Lithuania--have now set dates for their party
congresses in preparation for the 25th Party Congress
scheduled for February 24, 1976.
Since our October 6, 1975 listing, the follow-
ing congresses have been scheduled:
PARTY CONGRESSES
DATE
Azerbaydzhan
January 28,
1976
Georgia
January 22,
1976
Moldavia
January 29,
1976
Tadzhikistan
January 27,
1976
Turkmenistan
January 23,
1976
(UNCLASSIFIED)
November 10, 1975
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Soviet Visitor Highlights During October
About 125 Soviets were authorized to enter the
US for commercial purposes during the month of Oc-
tober--an increase of more than 60 percent over
September. October visitors included Soviet mari-
time delegations here for negotiations with US
shipping firms and the usual contingent of engi-
neers and technicians from the troubled Kama Motor
Vehicle Plant, now under heavy pressure to produce
its first truck before the 25th CPSU Congress con-
venes in February 1976.
A busy, but otherwise routine month, October
was highlighted by two meetings of US-USSR commis-
sions that: drew important officials from the So-
viet bureaucracy.
--A meeting of the Executive Committee of
the US-USSR Trade and Economic Council
brought two deputy ministers of for-
eign trade--Vladimir Alkhimov and
Vladimir Sushkov--and the chairman of
the Soviet Chamber of Trade and In-
dustry, Boris Borisov.
--The Fourth Session of the Joint US-
USSR Commission on Environmental Pro-
tection drew a large Soviet delegation
that included Deputy Minister of Agri-
culture Boris Runov. The delegation
was headed by Yuriy Izrael, chief of
the Main Administration of Hydromete-
orological Service, who was received
at the White House by President Ford.
(CONFIDENTIAL)
November 10, 1975
SECRET SPOKE
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