EVALUATION OF REPORTS FURNISHED BY SENATOR KEATING

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00429A000100100006-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 12, 2000
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: April 8, 1963
• Content Type: MEMO

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8 April 1983
maim of Iteports Furnished by Senator
sting
have no information concerning a defeat ion
of 3 Soviets from Cuba to the US via the auantanano
Naval Base. Several collateral reports have in the
past contained information concerning the alleged de-
fection of individual Soviet personnel from Soviet
units in Cuba. Met of those Soviets were reportedly
shot either during or after capture by Soviet or Cuban-
Soviet teams. There are no known Soviet military in-
stallations in the vicinity of the Guantanamo Naval
Same.
2. We have no infornation concerning the star-
ing of missile launchers, within barracks. We know of
no recent !wracks build-up other than the few bar-
rack-like Wilding' constructed or under construction
at the several small new installations recently iden-
tified within or near the Soviet armored camps. Photo-
graphy shows no apparent effort being wide to move
surfaco-to.?air ($AN) missile launchers into buildings
or other permanent facilities. NO reduction in the
number of known SAN launchers has been noted, and no
additional $AM launchers" aro known to have been in-
traduced into Clam in the recent past
3. Donovan has been negotiating for the release
of individuals claiming ua citizenship, held on a
variety of charges. On his latest trip he obtained
the release of two women, and was given to understand
others mould be released from time to time as the
deliveries of the ransom goods progressed. DonOvangs
latest aame-brminame listing of US caimans held in
Cuban prisons totaled 30. in addition, there are
nine skindivers who were picked up by Cuban author-
ities in ?shrug/try from a disabled boat off the coast
of Cuba.
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4. More than 50,000 t*itiani are permanent 25X1C
dents of Eastern Cuba, co*c trated Aground an
25X1C and loyed primarily as cane...field laborers*
claim that more than 400 of these have been
trained for subversive activities, and that some of
them have slready returned to Silt/ by clandestine
means* We have no evidence o
ever,
25X1C
ti
urn y CUban
no cub$fl.jrect.d paramilitorY
5. We
ed that at the height
siIe crisis tbre were probably about 22,500 ovie
militerY Personnel in Clubs, During November, 5,000
carried as assecieted with the offensive missile
complex and the EL-28 bombers were elthdrawn. From
February 13 through April 3, the departure of another
4,500, believed to be Soviet military personnel, has
been noted by observers in Savana. We have no firm
evidence nos to the units from which these 4,500 may
have come, and photography hes not detected any re-
duction recently in the Soviet military installations,
weapons systems, and military hardware we have
identified in Cabs, On the other hand, we have never
detected any largewscale activity at the four main
combat element camps in Cuba, so that the aihmeace of
significant aetivity recently is not a valid indicator
for the departure or thianing mut of these units,
which would he the most logical element* for with-
drawal. There is some evidence that Cuban forces now
may be in or adjacent to these four camps, possibly
preliminary to a takeover of the equipment.
There is no justification for the statement that
the Soviet forces are either stronger, or organised
on a different footing, than they were in January.
While we cannot preclude the arrival of some replace
meats, we knew of no arrivals in significant numbers
to offset the .cent departures, and cannot support
25X1C
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25X1C
25X1X
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ift
or accept any report that "overall Soviet etlitary
Personnel have net been substantially reduced."
6. We have no information concerning an al
loosed air strike on Matti, but there have been a
number of reports recently that Maitien exiles are
seeking the Wm.:king of the Dominican administration
for a neve against Duvalier in the near future. An
ported on 2 April
gZ'Oup-.tb*t of Pierre
port into the Dominican
munition, etc., that they
tent to uneeat Duval
25X1C
re-
d promised one taxi
t they could ie-
any small arms, en-
quire for an at-
?
25X1X
iaong the mearsa be ng consLd.r4 by Bosch as means
of encour ing Duvalier's opposition is be over.
flight of Raitian territory by Dominican military
aircraft--a plan ehich may have given rise to the
"air strike" report.
We have no tniorastioa regrding a pl
turn Peel Magloire to power in Reit/ or tbe possi
support df such a plan by elements in the Dominican
Republic or the United Stater. MAgloire and some of
his supporters are among those Haitian exiles cur-
rently plotting against Duvalier, however. Any pro
-
treated cooperation between Nagloire and two at the
exiles mentioned by Senator Xnatingeneral Leon
Centavo and Paul Cassagnelsm-seens unlikely, however,
in view of Magloires arrest of the two month the
last days of his adilnistration in December 1957.
7. No reports concerning regular clandestine
voyages, between Cuba *ad the Yucatan coast of Maio*
have recently come to our attention. Considering the
relatively short distension involved, the inadequacy
et Mexican security personnel and equipment for an
effective patrol of tho coamtlIne, and gradually
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increasing rstrictiana on normal trav.1 between Ilesico
and Cuba, however, much methods of transport seem en-
tirely possible. Cuban fishing boats, Soviet fishing
trawlers, and other small craft aveilable to Cuba would
easily be used In transporting mon and/or arms to Yucatan
and Central America.
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