ADMIRAL TURNER'S SPEECH TO THE BUSINESS COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C., 15 FEBRUARY 1978

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CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5
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RIFPUB
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K
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37
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December 9, 2016
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August 15, 2001
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9
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Publication Date: 
February 15, 1978
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SPEECH
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Approved For,~elease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554,~02800020009-5 Admiral Turner's speech to the Business Council Washington, D.C., 15 February 1978 Thank you very much Jahn, Secretary Kreps, Secretary Claytor, Members of the Council. I was really very pleased when Jahn called me and asked me to be with you tonight. First, because I have most enjoyed the privilege of being with you the last two sessions at the Homestead. At least I enjoyed it up to the point where Harry Gray and I lost 8 out of 10 tennis games. Beyond that, I was very pleased at this opportunity because--almost since last March when I took this office, I have been interested and concerned about the relationships between the business community of our country and its Intelligence Community. I happen to feel that John de Butt's charge to me on the phone that I might suggest to you what you could do to help us in the Intelligence Community is something I very much wanted to explore. But I also wanted to explore with you how we in the intelligence world might be of better service and better help to you. I happen to believe that the trends in the intelligence world today are leading to great coincidence of interests between the intelligence and the business worlds and greater opportunities for contact. I would like tonight to discuss four of those trends, trends that are emerging with a new mode, a new model of American intelligence. One that has been shaped out of the crucible of three years of intensive Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -2- Approved For,~eJease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554RQ02800020009-5 public criticism of the intelligence practices of the past. And I'm encouraged., I'm very encouraged at the directions that this new shape of intelligence is taking us and, as I say, I believe it will bring us into greater usefulness to you. The first trend that I would like to talk about is our product, because our product is changing today. It's shifting from a concentration on Soviet military matters to a much wider geographic sphere and a much wider range of topics, including a great deal of emphasis on international economics. And let me emphasize that the stress on international economics is not just another way of getting into the military equation. The stress is because there is such a growing importance to our country of -its economic position in the world. Now 30 years ago when we first organized a peacetime central intelligence organization for this country, we were the dominant political power and we were an independent economic power. The only threat that we could see on the horizon for intelligence to explore was a military one and, of course, from the Soviet Union. As events turned out, however, the product that we needed in intelligence, while concentrating on the Soviet military picture, was not really what they were doing in military matters, it was haw they were brandishing their military sword and at the same time threatening and subverting other countries of the world. And as a result of that, the product the country wanted from intelligence was not only information about what the Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155_~I 002800020009-5 Soviets were doing in these areas but help--political action in countering those actions. And so we became a major player in what we term covert political action. This was influencing events like the change of governments in Iran in 1953, in Guatemala in 1954 and our efforts throughout the 60's in Cuba and as recently as 1975 in Angola, at least until the Congress put a stop to that. But look at how the world has changed since those early days and its primary focus on Soviet military intelligence. Today, we of course, have commercial and political interests and relations with most of the 150 some countries in the world. But they are independent political entities and we are interdependent economically with so many of -them. This means that we must keep abreast of the trends, the problems, the issues in these countries but in by far the greater part of them those issues, those problems, are e~onbmic and political--not military. At the same time our product has had to change because in this Gauntry there is a lessened interest in meddling in the internal affairs of other countries--in the covert political action that I mentioned earlier. This is not, in my opinion, something that means we could eschew covert political action or that we should not have that capability available. But I do believe the applicability of it to our national needs is less today than it was a decade ago. And Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -4- Approved For~glease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~02800020009-5 I believe it must be exercised more judiciously and under greater control. So our product today in the intelligence world is good intelligence information--economic, political and military--on a wide range of countries around the world. .And we're under pressure to provide intelligence on subjects today that we never thought about a decade ago-- predicting the Soviet grain harvest. We are much involved in the question of technological status of the Soviet Union and many other countries; not just for the military content but for the industrial as well. We are much involved in the question of how techno-logy transfer takes place. And we're involved in the question of economic balance, economic relationships, between our country and the major industrial powers of the world.- We work closely with. Juanita and her people and Mike Blumenthal and his people, but we try not to overlap, we try not to duplicate what they do. But often in the intelligence world we do have unique sources of information even in the economic sphere. In addition, the analysts we have are a major resource to our economic community and the government. And they, at the CIA at least, are the only group of economic analysis who are totally disassociated from national policy. They are the ones who have the special responsibility to provide totally objective analysis to our decision-makers. For instance, in January you may have noted that Chancellor Schmidt in his state of the union address to the Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -5- Approved For lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155?,~,002800020009-5 German Republic cited Walter Wriston's corporation in saying that a 1% rate of growth for West Germany would have a snow over affect of only 5/100 of a percent of additional growth in the United Kingdom and 7/100 of a percent in France. Now we happen to have a different model than Walt-and I went and told our policy makers that we think your calculations are off by a factor of four. Now the issue isn't who's right in this case, and we certainly don't profess that we've got the answer, but the .issue that I think was important is that our government leaders have an independent assessment of that situation; of what impact the rate of growth on the German economy would have on our interests in the other economies around the world. Our intelligence analysis apparatus gives us an opportunity, perhaps the best in our government, to give that kind of objective, unbiased analyses to our decision makers. So what I'm saying to you is that I believe there is a greater coincidence today of the kind of information producing that we are now using or now making in our product, than there has been ever before with the business community and the Intelligence Community because so much more of what we are doing is relevant to your concerns. The second trend that I would like to mention goes right along with the change of product--the production line. The traditional production line of intelligence has always Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 Approved For lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554,~02800020009-5 been the human intelligence agent--the spy. Thanks in large measure to many of you here, over the last decade and a half there's been a revolution in the production line in American intelligence.. Today we have technical means of collecting intelligence that just bring in vast quantities of data. 5o much bigger than we've ever had before and processing and handling it is .really becoming a major issue for us. Interestingly though, this means in turn that there is renewed emphasis on the old traditional human intelligence agent. Because what happens is when you get data from these technical systems you're getting information generally about what happened yesterday, or maybe today, in some other country. When you provide that to a decision maker the immediate response is that "Stan, why did they do that, what are they going to do tomorrow, what are their plans, what are their intentions?" And that, of course, in defining the plans, the thoughts, the hopes of other people, is the forte of the human intelligence collector. The human intelligence agents come in two categories--clandestine and overt--the spy and the citizen who just has information. Now clandestine intelligence agents are risky, they're scarce and they're costly. It is our policy that we never use the clandestine technique when we can do it by overt or open means. Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -~- Approved For,J$,please 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~.002800020009-5 Now with military secrets, it is usually very difficult to use the open human intelligence source. There aren't many Americans who go to the Soviet Union and travel around i.n military training-areas and come back and report to us on the activities they've seen. But, of course, there are lots of you, lots of other American businessmen who do go to the Soviet Union and more than that go to many of these other hundred-odd countries with which we-have legitmate interest and concerns in the intelligence field. And you sit down with their bankers and businessmen and are able to exchange ideas. As a military officer, in 31 years I sat down once with a Russian Admiral and then in a very guarded fashion. In short, as our needs are shifting today to more economic and political intelligence, the overt--the open human source in our production line--has become much more important; much more valuable than just a few years ago. You the American business community are one of the best potential components of that open production line. In many instances your representatives overseas have a better feel for both the political and the economic situation in the countries in which they're living and working than do the American government representatives there. I say that because bureaucrats unfortunately tend to isolate themselves with bureaucrats. It is unfortunate Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -8- Approved For release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~R 02800020009-5 but true. Sometimes also it's very valuable for us to get your feel for the trends in these countries. Because when you collect economic intelligence, economic data on what's going on over there, you automatically hav~ to translate that into your sense of what the trends are going to be. Is the country going to be stabled Are they going to nationalize you? Is the market goi g to be open? And so on. When we go and collect econ mic data clandestinely we then have to turn it over to and ysts who have to try to sort out the biases of our sources and try to interpret it themselves. I would suggest that in many, many instances your interpretation is far more li ely to be on the mark than ours. In large measure, of c urse, because you have the profit and lost statement as the bottom line. Hence, in many instances, we can st nd to gain a great deal by benefiting from your interpr tation of the international scene. But this leads, of course, to the question o how we can do that best and properly. And how we can gain access to what you have through open information nd exchange. We have in the Central Intelligence Ag ncy something known as the Domestic Collection Divisi n which is our overt collection operation in the United S ates. Headquarters in 39 different cities, listed in th telephone book and totally open and above board. I am very grateful for the large degree of cooperation that always has existed Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 _g_ Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~Q02800020009-5 between most of your corporations and these Domestic Collection Division offices. They are, of course, an opportunity for any American citizen to provide information to his government. But you are not just American citizens, you must balance your responsibilities to help your government as a citizen, with your responsibility as president, chairman or chief executive officer, to your stockholders and your boards. And I can't tell you haw t? balance those responsibilities in this, instance. .Most of the corporations with which we deal take a position that they will work with the Intelligence Community and they will work with any other element of our government when it is in the government's best interest. But what I would like to address to you is our policy on keeping the relationships we have with you confidential. We think our record of protecting our sources of open intelligence information is very goad. And we have a law which places on my back the responsibility for protecting our sources of collecting intelligence, wh-ether they be open or clandestine sources. We pay a very particular attention to this responsibility. I assure you that the Domestic Collection Division looks upon the sanctity of its open relationships with the American business community in the same light as our clandestine people look -upon their covert relationships to the agents and spies dependent on their actions. We are particularly mindful when those occasions come along when disclosure of the information itself may Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -lo- Approved For F3glease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~02800020009-5 disclose inadvertently thy: name or the corporation that gave it to us. Or when, by chance, proprietary information may be involved. Here we make very special precautions to use this legal authority to withhold information that relates to our sources and methods of collecting intelligence and this does give us a protection, a good protection, against the Freedom of Information Act by which you frequently are pressed to disclose information including sources but we never have at this point. Still I would not want to fail to acknowledge that there are risks to you in associating with organizations such as those in our Intelligence Community which have been so severely criticised. in public in recent years. I am sure you recognize haw much of that was exaggeration. But the third trend I would like to mention to you--I hope it will provide some reassurance to you on this score. This trend is one toward greater oversight of the intelligence process in our country today. You certainly appreciate that in the business that we are in there is no way that, of the many things we must do, either being done in secret or not being done at all, that we can have public oversight of our process.. But what we can have is surrogate public oversight. And the surrogates are the President, the Vice President, the National Security Council, something known as the Intelligence Oversight Board, and two committees of the Congress dedicated Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -11- Approved For.~elease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~R002800020009-5 to the oversight process. And I can assure you that we are reporting to these people, these surrogates for the public, more thoroughly more regularly today than ever before. Now clearly there are risks in doing this but there are also strengths. We are in the process right now of settling down and balancing out those risks and those strengths so that we don't have too much oversight but we have enough. I can assure you that the process is well enough established today that you can be confident that .the intelligence organizations of our country are operating under good control of the government. And I can also assure you that I have confidence that over the year or two ahead we are going to work out the right balance here that will let us continue a successful and capable intelligence operation for .our country in accordance with the democratic standards of our society. Now hopefully there is another side to this coin that I've been talking about as how you-might help us and that's how we may feed back to you better and more usefully both from our overt and covert activities and particularly from our bank of analysts wYio work on the material that is gathered by one or the other of these means. This happens to coincide with the fourtYi trend that I like to emphasize and that's the trend towards greater openness in our intelligence process in this country. Now we've embarked on a policy of greater openness for a number of reasons. One is simply that we really do Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -12- Approved For.,~lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~,002800020009-5 need more support from the public and I think we'll get that as we begin to show a greater return on investment. 5o we are publishing today more studies in unclassified form than perhaps ever before. When we produce a study, an estimate, an evaluation, we look at it and we ask ourselves if we took out of it that which must really be taken out to pieserve our intelligence interests, and protect our sources of collecting that information, would there be enough left to be of value to the American public? And if so, we publish it. We are also being more open today because it's critical that we protect our classified information in this country better. One way to do that in my view is to reduce the amount of classified information. There is too much of it about today. You look at a document and one says top secret, and one says secret, and one says cosmic and one says destroy before reading, and people simply do not respect it because of the great quantity. The Ellsbergs, the Snepps, the people like this show that lack of regard. As a result, I hope by cleansing the system of as much that can be made unclassified as possible we will generate a greater respect for what is left. Now in that process I hope that we can provide the greater flow of information that would be of interest and value to you. This last year for instance, we have two studies--two estimates which we publish on an unclassified basis every week. Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -13- Approved For$~lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~p02800020009-5 If you recall last March we produced one on the world energy situation and the bottom line of that was simply that we believe that within the next three or four or five years there is a high probability of strong upward pressures on the prices of world energy. In May we produced one an the world steel outlook, which simply said that, as we all know, there are no major steel producing companies today operating at anywhere near capacity. There is more capacity being constructed particularly in the lesser developed countries and we don't see the curve of supply reaching up to match this growing capacity. In July we produced one on the prospects of the Soviet economy. Here we simply said that they've got problems, they may solve them but in the process you better beware that their ability to generate foreign exchange to enter your markets and Western European markets for technology and manufactured goods is going to be tapped. And unfortunately we also produced a study last summer on international terrorism. And it says to you I'm afraid that over the last several years the percentage of incidents of international terrorism in which American citizens and American corporations are involved has increased from 40~ to 60 0 . Every week we also produce an economic intelligence digest and every other week we also produce an international energy digest. Twelve percent of the corporations in the Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -14- Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~R 02800020009-5 business council subscribe to these and to all these various publications that we put out from time to time. They subscribe to the Library of Congress which acts as our agents here. I have tonight on the couch in the back of the room a number of samples of these kinds of things we do produce for those of you who are interested. Now I have hesitated to talk about the world energy situation, the world steel situation, here in this group; like that man who drowned in the Johnstown flood and ended up talking to Noah about it. But seriously we don't contend that our analyses are any better than any one elses. We don't think we have a corner on brains or information. But sometimes we do get unique information which we can utilize even in the unclassified versions of these studies. What we really hope we are doing is helping the quality of national debate on these issues; helping to focus the country on the correct issues within these various topics. But I am not always sure that we know which issues are of most interest and concern to you in the business community. Basically I'm simply publishing in unclassified form what we're doing for the government and consumers. But on the other hand, if we knew what you are most interested in, it might tip the scale one way or the other as to whether we felt it is worth publishing something. Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -15- Approved For lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~R 02800020009-5 Through our mechanisms in the Domestic Collection Division we do get, of course, same feedback of what your concerns are. But it is not really adequate, I don't believe. Are you really most interested in political projections about where nationalization may take place next? Are you most concerned about the rise of Eurocommunism and its effect on the economy of those countries? Or, on the separatism in Canada; on the stability of South Africa; on the future of the OPEC and its conhesiveness? What are the things that are of most concern to you? I'm not saying that if we knew these, we could divert resources to those particular topics, because I have my stockholders and my board too--the President and the Congress--and I must account to them the utilization of my resources. But I can look for areas of common concern here. I can't be your security officer and I can't be your economic analyst. But when I do understand what you are interested in and when it is coincident with what we are doing in some form anyway, I can and would like to be of greater service to you. Now also for me there are risks in this program. There are risks in the distribution of my product. Because I don't want to be partial, I don't want to be accused of favoring one corporation or another or giving somebody information that another corporation is in competition with. And I can't fill indivi.dua:1 requests for information. But Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -16- Approved Forte-lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~R002800020009-5 I do say that we can share with you, share with you as a group, what we have when it is of concern to you and we would like to know better what those concerns are. In summary, let me just say that your country's Intelligence Community is on the move today in a number of directions of which I've disucssed before.. The desire for a strong capable better control of the Intelligence Community is very clear. Several weeks ago the President signed the new Executive Order strengthening and reordering our Intelligence Community. Last week the Congress submitted or tabled new legislation following on the President's initiative and going in very much the same direction. Out of these orders, ou?t of this charter legislation, out of these trends that I've been discussing, I believe are emerging greater opportunities for. proper circumspect interaction between the business community and the Intelligence Community and hopefully that can be of mutual benefit. I am here tonight looking for your views on what that relationship should be. I want to build on the very productive relationship that already exists and for which we are very grateful. I suspect that what is needed next is improved two-way communications. The fact that you've asked me to be with you tonight is certainly a major step for me in that direction and I'm very thankful for the opportunity. Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 Approved For Tease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155 ~ 02800020009-5 Business Council Questions & Answers - 15 February 1978 I'd like to make a few comments about your speech here and very frankly I'm thoughtful about some aspects. It seems to me that the basic purpose of the Intelligence Community is to obtain information for our government and for our country that cannot be obtained in other ways. Now I understand very well that we have a very good capability of technical intelligence. We have a lot of information, but at the same time, our ability to get the human information has been weak. We have not been able to know what people are going to do. If I grasp what you've said, you're going to back-off from this and you're going to rely more on the information that's available to other people to build analyses. It seems to me that you're not in a better position to analyze the economic trends, than the business community is, and at the same time, I really think that your function is to concentrate on covert information--to get information that is not available to the business community, to other institutions., and you're trying to avoid that responsibility by going out and just doing a lot of what other organizations are doing. I think that you're missing the whole point of your responsibility. A: I appreciate the view and if I gave the impression that we're going to neglect the covert side of the activity, I'm afraid it's because I was trying to stress the relationship I believe does exist and should exist more between the business comrnunity and the intelligence community. It must be done primarily on an overt basis. There is no intent on my part to reduce either the human covert or the technical covert activity. But I will say to you that I have seen in my short time here a number of instances in which bringing together overtly available information, and covertly, has paid great dividends. And frequently the overt information while available to almost anyone in the private sector, is not collated, is not brought together to a critical mass, as it is when we work on it. I have one instance in mind: When the Soviets purchase a particular technology in this country from many of your corporations, the individual sale was nothing notable, but the aggregate of them gave us a clue which we then married with some very Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -2- Approved For t~lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~R002800020009-5 sensitive covert information and from that we were able to deduce a major thrust, a major direction of the Soviet economic and military activities. ...(turned tape over) with a few exceptions there isn't as much research from that particular aspect of oil as we think that we have done, because we have a particular concern about the Soviet Union. And relationships between the American oil community and the Soviet Union. are not as great as between other areas of the world and our oil corporations. So I only assure you, sir, I'm not going to neglect the covert side. We are -very active in it. We're very good at it and it is an absolutely essential function that we're doing. Q: For many years I followed the practice of meeting with CIA representatives after I returned from foreign trips--visits to Russia and other Communist countries-- and I was willing and they were interested in my interpretations. Is the proposed legislation going to minister to that practice? A: No, there's absolutely nothing in the new legislation-- it is in draft form still--that would inhibit that and I can assure you that I will resist and fight it if it does come up in any way.. There is a great deal in both the Executive Order and the new legislation which is intended to protect the rights of the American citizen. But I see no inclination on anyone's part to deny the citizen the right to share with his government. I've held firm on that with the newsmen for instance. I've been banded about and they've said we must have no relathionships with the newsmen, and we have no paid relationships with American media representatives, people who are accredited to American news organizations. But I have stood absolutely firm that any newsman who wants to walk into my office voluntarily and tell me something, I'd be most happy to see him and any newsmen who want to walk in and say would you give me your best unclassified information on country X, I'd be happy to share it with them. That's a mutual service. A mutual relationship that we must preserve and not only newsmen but businessmen and any other form of citizen in the country. Q: Admiral, you eluded briefly to terrorism, do you see any indications of terroristic activities within the continental United States? Approved For Release 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B01554R002800020009-5 -3- Approved For lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~002800020009-5 A: No, we've been blessed by a very little of that and I see no real trend toward it developing but let me emphasize to you I'm not the FBI. It's not my beat, but of course, I would be fairly well aware of it if it were developing and have some connection with the international sphere. I think, knock on wood, we've been very fortunate thus far and of course, you know our hijacking record because of security procedures has become exemplary. Q: There's been an awful lot of emphasis lately on the past abuses of the CIA. With all of the oversights which there will be, isn't there a likely tendency far most agents to not play it safe and the way to play it safe is to sort of dog it and make believe they're doing a lot of things but in fact not take any risks? A: Yes, there's no question, that as you put more controls on people and you put more emphasis on obeying the law find the regulations and protections for the American citizens, that none of us in the Intelligence business wants to go to jail. None of us wants to be fired, or whatever else, because we have transgressed in anyway. So it could become an inhibiting factor here. I don't think it has reached a serious proportion. I don't think it is out of balance at this time with the need and the desire of the country for better assurance that things .are being done in the right way. But in addition, we know if our agents are taking cover and not producing and-we're very alert to that, and we watch not only the quantity but the. quality of their product, and they also know that there are -long-term rewards on producing a good quality product. So we have to play that very delicately and putting the pressure on them in an appropriate way and. nat pressuring them to exceed the limits of what their regulations are. I don't think the regulations have yet became unduly burdensome but this next year, as we negotiate this legislation with the Congress, is going to be very critical in that respect. A couple of years ago, about three days before a stockholders meeting as a matter of fact, I found that up until about a year before, there had been a member of the CIA on the General Foods payroll. And he had been there for about ten years. I didn't know it and my predecessor the chief executive hadn't known it. I felt abused, I felt abused by my organization, but I also felt abused by the CIA. Now I wonder whether that sort of thing could s-till happen, A~~ir~~rRe~elOb PI~8It32p~4i~B~3R~U~2~0(5 the -4- Approved For$~lease 2001/08/22: CIA-RDP80B0155~I ,Q02800020009-5 chief executive level of a company to know that there is somebody on the payroll who has that responsibility. A: I'll level with you. Yes-that could happen. I hope it won't. And I have since taking office establ-fished new rules in that regard. It is our policy that the officers of a corporation are to know when we establish a paid relationship with any member of their corporat