ISSUES LEADING TO DEFENSE KEY INTELLIGENCE QUESTIONS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01500R000200230047-7
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 6, 2001
• Sequence Number: 47
• Publication Date: May 9, 1975
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Rele2001/08/ 0200230047-7
9 MAY 75
mffL
LEADING TO
DEFENSE K Y INTEILIGENICE QUESTIONS
IKLQ
STRATEGIC-ARMS (IMITATIQNS
A, SOVIET GOALS AND OBJECTIVES IN SAL,
B. MONITORING THE ABM TREATY, THE SAL
INTERIM AGREEMENT AND THE VLADIVOSTOK ACCORDS.
C. THE DEVELOPMENT, DEPLOYMENT AND IMPROVEMENT
OF SOVIET STRATEGIC SYSTEMS AND FORCES RELATED
TO-SAL,
D.' FORWARD BASED SYSTEMS AND THEIR INTERFACE
VI I TH SAL.
I I . MUTUAL BA AN .Ep FORCE RE UCT DJ
A. SOVIET/WARSAW PACT GOALS AND OBJECTIVES IN MBFR,
/B. SOVIET/WARSAW PACT POSTURES AND MOBILIZATION,
REINFORCEMENT AND SUSTAINING CAPABILITIES.
SOVIET/WARSAW PACT TACTICAL NUCLEAR POSTURE
AND DOCTRINE.
V t .
SOVIET/WARSAW PACT SUPPORT FORCES,
III...~QVIET EXPANST(1N AND JNF N E
A. SOVIET STRATEGY, AID AND INFLUENCE IN THE
MIDDLE EAST AND THE HORN OF AFRICA.
B. THE GEOGRAPHIC EXPANSION OF SOVIET NAVAL, AIR.-
AND MERCHANT ACTIVITIES.
Classifies: by_-_-__-Z!'-----------------
SUF'.FCT TO G ?! i?AL
II':C; 11652
AT ivVO
YEAR
DECLASS(F.20 014 31 DECEMi3EFc
A DECLASSIFICATION/RELEASE INSTRUCTIONS ON FILE
Approved For Release 2001/08/31 CIA-RD08OB0150OR000200230047-7
 Approved For Release. 2001/08/31: CIA-RDP80BO150OR000200230047-7
We SOVIET WEAPONS AND SYSTEMS (ITEMS NOT INCLUDED UNDER
SPECIFIC ISSUES)
A. BEAM WEAPONS
Be SPACE WARFARE
C. STRATEGIC WARFARE
D. TACTICAL SUBMARINE WARFARE
E. ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE S
F.,/ANTI-SHIP WARFARE
G. AIR ATTACK
H. AIR DEFENSE
1. LAND WARFARE
J. COMMAND, CONTROL. AND COMMUNICATIONS
K. V"OCEAN SURVEILLANCE
L. RECONNAISSANCE/INTELLIGENCE/DECEPTION
M. ELECTRONIC WARFARE
N. LOGISTICS
V. S,OVLLE L11ARSAW PACT DEFENSE ECONOMICS/ACQUISITION PROCESS
A. THE DEFENSE EXPENDITURES OF SOVIET/WARSAW
PACT MEMBERS.
Be THC SOVIET WEAPONS AND SYSTEMS ACQUISITION PROCESS.
Vie , i i PE iYME T EEALES
A. PO TUGUESE/SOVIET RELATIONS.
L. YUGOSLAVIA AFTER TITO.
Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP8QB01500R00020023D047-7
 Approved For Relea 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80BO150OR0002QO230047-7
per
VII. WESTERN EUROPE/NATO.
/A. NATO VIABILITY AND READINESS FOR WAR WITH
THE PACT.
B. NON-NATO BILATERAL AND MULTILATERAL COOPERATION
WITHIN THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITY.
VIII. MIDDLE EAST
A. MILITARY POSTURES AND THE PROSPECTS FOR WAR JVJfi -
IN THE MIDDLE EAST.
B. THREATS TO STABILITY IN THE PERSIAN GULF AND
ARABIAN PENINSULA.
IX. SDI-SM ;.._AFRICA
A. SUBVERSION AND INSURGENCY IN SOUTHERN AFRICA.
B. CIVIL WAR IN ANGOLA
C. THREATS TO STABILITY IN THE HORN AND EAST AFRICA.
;. LATIN AMERICA
A.. SUBVERSION AND INSURGENCY IN LATIN AMERICA.
B. STABILITY IN LATIN AMERICA AS AFFECTED BY
ARMS ACQUISITION AND MILITARY IMPROVEMENT
PROGRAMS.
XI. SINO/SOVIET AFFAIRS
i/A.
THE LIKELIHOOD OF WAR BETWEEN THE PRC AND I ~h
THE USSR.
X1 1. P OF PLES REROUL OL H NA
A. PRC GOALS, OBJECTIVES AND CAPABILITIES IN ASIA.
B. THE EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN PRC LEADERSHIP.
C. THE DEVELOPMENT AND DEPLOYMENT OF PRC STRATEGIC
AND TACTICAL NUCLEAR WEAPONS AND DELIVERY SYSTEMS.
.Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80BO150OR000200230047-7
 Approved For Release .2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80BO1500ROQW00230047-7
XIII. NORTH A T ASIA
A. THE BALANCE BETWEEN NORTH AND SOUTH KOREA, +
B. THE EVOLVING POLICIES OF JAPAN REGARDING
ECONOMIC PROBLEMS AND MILITARY AFFAIRS.
XIV. SOUTH AND SOUTHEASIASI.A
A. THE FUTURE COURSE OF SOUTHEAST ASIA.
B. THE STATUS OF US PERSONNEL NOT ACCOUNTED
FOR IN SOUTHEAST ASIA.
C. NATIONAL AND REGIONAL INSTABILITIES IN
SOUTH ASIA.
XV. WORLDK AEAi-U
A. THE IMPACTS OF US WITHDRAWAL FROM SOUTHEAST
ASIA.
B.. TERRORISM,
C.. NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION. -
D THE POLITICS OF OIL. ??
E. LAW OF THE SEA.
FI.'tHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL WARFARE
52ISSUES-
r
r- '
Approved For Release 2001/08/31: CIA-RDP80BO150OR000200230047-7
 Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80BO150OR000200230047-7
NPV
EUROPE: WARSAW PACT - NATO - MBFR
,
2,6. What are the size and composition of the Warsaw Pact and
NATO forces in the NATO Guidelines'Area (NGA)?
Include in particular the size, composition, and deployment
of the Soviet theater nuclear stockpile.
27. What are the c-,abilities, . icluding the engths y!cl weak-
ness , of the Warsaw act force or conducting ja war in/ central
region of Europe wi lout prior-einforcement?
53
4W. What are the. capabilities, including the strengths and
weaknesses, of the. Warsaw Pact forces to conduct a war in the
central region of Europe starting from a posture which would deny
warning to the NATO forces--i.e., %,.,ithout mobilization,wprior
reinforcement, or from an apparent lo%v state of readiness?
of Pact forces, and use of theater nuclear weapons?
. 2$. What are Warsaw Pact views, plans and doctrine for conducting
war in Central Europe, including readiness, mobilization and reinforcement
ao -
21-7. What are Warsaw Pact capabilities to ght a oi~stair ecl nn -nuclear
war in Europe, -inciudiug-critical stockpiles and the operation of the rear
services? V
for war in Europe and the intentions of these forces to react in the event
of war with the Warsaw Pact?
under various conditions of NATO - Warsaw Pact conflict.
3,1. Estimate The reliability of non-Soviet Warsaw Pact forces
EASTERN' EUROPE
3
3,l'. I-low are political forces in Yugoslavia evolving, from the
standpoints of internal cohesion and international alignment in the
post-Tito period?
Give attention to Soviet policy and activity toward
Yugoslavia.
3%. What trends and developments are likely in USSR-Eastern
European relationships -- greater cohesion, greater autonomy,-growing
conflict?
j
? Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP8&B@1500R000200230047-7
 Approved For ReIe 2001/08/31 CIA-RDP80BO150OR000200230047-7
3. (C) There is considerable concern about- the ever
increasing Soviet Chemical and Biological Warfare'
capability. You might consider adding an additional.
KIQ:
"-Soviet Chemical/Biological Warfare
What are the qualitative and quantitative 'Sovi'et
1
capabilities to conduct offensive 'Chemical and
Biological Warfare."
\L
S?VYET ~CCBI,I SYSTEMS
1. What ,-ogress are the Soviets makin
toward a system capability
der
nnIlC electronic methods 01 aLLUUr%
satel
e itself -
-Wh t rogre s are the Soviets making, and what are their
12. a P
objectives, in increasing th countersilo capability of their silo-based
ICBM lo.C ces
Give particular atten on to the accuracies of the Soviet
-X-lb 17 18 and 19 M systems.
a What nrof;ress are the Sovie ricking in improving the
of their ICBM forces:
bilit
y
surviva
s are evelaping and deploying
? Consider v,heCher the Soviet
'Al
,__ v ICBMS, and if so, what rogress is being made.
SOVf I:T NUCLEAR VJEAi'nNS
14 I gat :ire Soviet objectives in nuclear weapons technology,
Ap~rove For eleas I Q}(p8V3~~+i - 30047-7
anc w to progresz
 Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80BO150OR00020023004777 .
XKZ9--,~
DIA 22
~c.
Li)
... is being made toward depioy ~_+.-E~ ;-$~td-tepeir~g_r expansion of and improved reporting, capabilities of satellite-borne
ocean surveillance systems? ^
..de:fense against ins~,e s aircraft and missiles...
CIA 25 Add:
actions --- including concealment and These practices are worthy of
deception-- note in a question of adherence..
NIO on DIA change to KIQ 20:
DIA change seems to say that Soviets have already deployed system - Communil
has not agreed to such a judgment. Recommend keeping original language.
NIO on DIA change to KIQ 22:
Accept
NIO on CIA add on to KIQ 25:
Accept with addition of word any after including -- actions -- includinb
an concealment and deception.
Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80BO150OR000200230047-7
 Approved For Reles 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80B01500R00UP0230047-7
20. What is the status of Soviet RD`.P&E, and what progress
is being made toward deployment of, and reporting improvements
in, a satellite-borne ocean surveillance system?
SOVIET STRATEGIC AIR AND MISSILE DEFENSES
21. What progress are the Soviets making in ABM development,
and what are their plans for further deployment?
22. What progress are the Soviets making in development and
C
deployment of defenses against e-s and missiles attacking at
low altitudes?
SOVIET DEFENSE COSTS
23. What are the costs of Soviet and Warsaw Pact weapons
systems and defense programs?
Include information on how they are financed; :how
they influence defense planning and overall economic
planning and performance; and on how the Soviet
weapons research and development and acquisition
processes work.
ARMS LIMITATION NEGOTIATIONS
24. What are Soviet and Warsaw Pact objectives and positions
in arms limitations negotiations?
25. What are Soviet and Warsaw Pact intentions and actions --
with i- C] ~I `n F~Yc Csa .~ J~~r~ a-~ f ct a.t cr cC a~'Cr ' -
respect to adherence to arms limitations agreements with
Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80B01500R000200230047-7