LETTER TO HON. ALLEN W. DULLES FROM THOMAS E. MURRAY

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CIA-RDP80R01731R000300010038-1
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December 7, 1959
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LETTER
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Approved For Release 2003/05/23: CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 December 7, 1959 It is my hope that you will be able to find time to read the enclosed address to be delivered before the Institute of World Affairs. I would appreciate any comments that you would care to give me on my specific disarmament proposal. With kind personal regards, Sincerely yours, Hon. A11en W. Dulles Central Intelligence Agency 2+30 E Street, North West Washington, D. C. _L NO CHANGE IN CLASS. ^ DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTM: HR 70-2 DATE: ~ ~ REVIEWER:.) STAT STAT Approved For Release 2003/05/23: CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 FOR RELEASE 5:00 pom., December 9, 1959 SUMMARY OF REMARKS PREPARED BY THOMAS Eo MURRAY Consultant . to the Joint Committee on Atomic .Energy for Delivery before the INSTITUTE OF WORLD AFFAIRS Huntington-Sheraton Hotel, Pasadena, California December 9th, 1959 THE DISMANTLING OF THE ERA OF TERROR During the past decode American armament policies have. been disorderly, undirected by a clearly defined national purpose. We are now .in danger lest our disarmament policies fall .victim to the same disorders. The first task is to define our national purpose in. disarmament negotiations. The basis of definition must be the distinction between discriminating force, which is apt for political purposes, and indiscriminate violence, which is inept for political purposes. Our purpose must be to dismantle the Era of Terror by dissipating the threat of unlimited violence that lurks in existent megaton stockpiles. I therefore propose: (1) that an .international agency be set up to supervise the destruction of American and Russian megaton weapons; (2) .that. the destruction be done on a matching basis, weapon for equal weapon; (3) that the process be continued until. its political purpose is achieved. (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Nine reasons stand .in favor of this proposal o (1) i t takes more realistic account of national security than current American disarmament policy; (2) it goes to the heart of the issue; (3) it is practical o because its appeal is .to the coincident self-interest of both parties; (4) it will recommend itself to world opinion and gain for the United States the initiative in negotiations; (5) it will put an end to the threat of unlimited violence as an instrument of politics; (6) it will. remove from the cold war the false issue of "survival", (7) it will release military strategy from the control. of megaton technology and end the fataD divorce between military and political policy; (8) it will embody in a limited agency the principl? of international control of weapons and make possible further developments; (9) it will serve to stimulate the work of the Intemational Atomic Energy Agency by putting highly enriched fissionable material at its disposal for peaceful useso It will. be .objected .that this proposal will .impair the military strength of the United States and expose us to the risk of sudden massive attacko Neither objection is valido The first rests on a false concept of strength? The second mistakes the real risk, which is Soviet use of force, not violenceo Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 FOR RELEASE 5x00 p. m. , December 9, 1959 REMARKS PREPARED BY THOMAS E. MURRAY Consultant to the Joint Committee on Atomic Energy for Delivery before the INSTITUTE OF WORLD AFFAIRS Huntington-Sheraton Hotel, Pasadena, California December 9th, 1959 THE DISMANTLING OF THE ERA OF TERROR On August 29, 1949, when the Soviet Union exploded its first atomic device, a new era began in the long history of the relations between politics and force. During the ensuing decade the pace of political and technological change has been so swift .that men are now beginning to say that we have reached the end of the era that began in 1949, One general judgment of the era is becoming increasingly common. We now realize that the immense drive to arm the United States with nuclear weapons and delivery systems has not been guided and controlled by a clear and practical national purpose. In particular, five criticisms are gaining currency. First, our armament effort has been wrongly subject to the domination of technology. We have failed to submit technological possibilities to the criterion of military and political usefulness. Second, the result has been an emphasis on the strategy of unlimited war, as exhibited in the concept of massive retaliation. Third, the further result has been a complete divorce between military strategy and political aims. Our dominant military strategy and .its supporting arms look to the release of unlimited power, whereas our political aims, whatever they may be, are certainly not unlimited. Fourth, and again in consequence, in the very midst of the enormous power-struggle now going on in the world arena, our foreign policies lack the (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Appr'ov~ed Fi~r'f~eidase 20b3105123" CfA-I~DI?`80R01731(7000300010038-1 necessary support of force Qur military '?strength"? has degenerated into a mere capacity to wreak un{invited nuclear violence, which is politically useless? and this very capacity inhib9ts us from the use of Limited force, which may be politically necessaryo Fifth, this whole disorderly structure of policy stands under the final peril, which is a lack of more{ sanctiono {t is against the dictates cal reason that military strategy should accept the control of technologyo P?litics, not techno{ogy, as the rig~r~?ful masher of military doctrine {t is also against the dictates of reason that the use of force whir.h mar be the necessary instrurraent of Bustice, should suffer moral degradation and become a sheer e~.ercise in violence, which c'r~n serve no moral ar political purposeso These five criticisms are entirely valide If {may say so, {had made them myself before their valid?aty began to. be commonly recognizedo Taken together, they demonstrate the instant reed for a new design of American policy, guided by a new vision of the public purpose of American The danger at the moment is that American disarmament policies during the decade to come will be characterized by the same confusions that have marked our armament policies in the decade that is pasto We swung into action on armament without stopping to put right order irr our thoughto ~/Ve have already swung into action on disarmament without stopping to correct the disorder:, of thought that hove already proved so pernicious and will prove pernicious againa The first problem then is to define the public purpose of America in the field of disarmamente The bas?ss of definition must be the essential distinction betw:~en violence and force This is a pclituca{ distinction, based on a moral premiseo By violence {mean the use of (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 military power in such an extensive, indiscriminating, or even unlimited, measure and manner that its use becomes inept and useless for the rational purposes of politics, which are always limited. By force.) mean the use ~f power in such a limited measure and in such a discriminating manner that .its use becomes an apt instrument for the achievement of .legitimate political goals. The release of violence is irrational and therefore immoral but the use of force, as thus defined can be rightful, depending on the political rationality and .moral rightness of the particular pur- poses for which it is used. The past decade has been an Era of Terror because over it has hung the threat of violence--uncontrolled, unlimited, both politically and morally absurd. Our immediate and urgent purpose, therefore, must be to effect an orderly dismantling of the Era of Terror, by dissipating this threat of violence. This negative purpose must be allied with the more positive purpose of effecting the. orderly'construct.ion.of anew era. One cannot give it a name or fully describe it. But its essential characteristic must be the reinstatement of force as an instrument for the basic political purpose that is .indicated in the American Constitution, namely "to establish justice o " Given the nature of man, the art of .international politics. cannot dispense with the use, or at least the threat, of force, any more than human society can dispense with law, which requires force to back it up. On the other hand, international politics perishes as an art~if power is allowed to suffer moral degradation and become mere violence, which is destruc#,ive of the very idea of force and of law took. (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 This statement of the two-fold national purpose of America immediately serves to make it clear that nuclear tests are not the primary or most important issues The past decade has not been the Era of Terror because it has been an era of testse The current morator- ium on all tests has done nothing to banish the threat of violenceo This threat derives from the escape of nuclear technology from the control of military doctrine and political purposeo Here the primary issue appearso Technology does not know the difference between violence and forceo Left to itself, without the control of higher policy, it has tended to enlarge our capacity to wreak violence, not to use forceo Government, however, is supposed to know this essential political and moral distinctiono And it is the duty of govemment, by political decision, to make the implications of the distinction binding both on the deliberations of the military strategist and on the experiments of the technological experto The primary issue therefore is a reform of thought, .to be expressed in political decisionso Moreover, it is not difficult to discern the direction that political decision must take, if it is to rectify its own past errors and retrieve its own past failuresa The disorders of policy in the past decade have left as their fateful legacy a great and ever growing stockpile of weapons of violence--megaton weapons whose destructive capacity is unlimited, if used in the numbers required by the current strategy of massive retaliations We must assume that the Soviet stockpile matches our owno The sheer existence of these stockpiles is the proximate reason why the past decade has been an Era of Terroro These stockpiles have created their own strategy, which is that of war of annihilationo And the threat of annihilation has in turn created the terroro (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 It follows in all logic that the Era of Terror will not be dismantled until these megaton stockpiles are themselves dismantled. This is the immediate issue presented for political decision. The decision does not fall to trhe strategist or to the technologist. It falls squarely within the province of politics; for it is an issue that concerns the public purpose of the United Stateso The making of this decision by government is the very condition for the restoration of politics to its rightful place of primacy in the structure of American policy. There is no other way in which the present rupture between political purpose and military strategy can be healed in its depths. I should like, first, to present in general outline the form that this political decision should take, and then construct the argument, pro and con. My suggestion has two parts. First, that an international agency be constituted and located on neutral territory and empowered to supervise the systematic destruction of the megaton weapons in the American and Soviet stockpiles. Second, that the destruction be done on a matching basis, weapon for equal weapon. The United States will hand over to the international agency one megaton weapon, beginning in the highest range; the Soviet Union will in turn hand over one weapon of the same sizeo Experts in the agency will be able to estimate, within a small percentage of error, whether the weapons are equal in their yield. The "hardware" of the weapons will then be destroyed in some public fashion. Their content of highly enriched fissionable material will be put at the disposal of the appropriate international authority for peaceful useso This matching of weapons, one for one, will continue. The process has a pol itical purpose--to end the Era of Terror, to banish the threat of violence, to redeem (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 force from its moral degradation and its political absurdity. The process will therefore continue until this political purpose, under "a decent respect to the opinions of mankind," has been achieved. Considerable detail ought to be added to this proposal; but the presentation of its substance is sufficient for the purposes of immediate public debate. I shall undertake to make the case for it. In the first place, this proposal takes far more realistic account of the needs of national security than does current American disarmament policy. Our present policy was announced at the London conference of 1956, and it has not been changed. It calls for nuclear disarmament: first, by the cessation of all nuclear tests; second, by the stoppage of the flow of fissionable. material. into weapons; third, by the total destruction of all existing nuclear stock- piles. This proposal clearly illustrates our fatal habit of divorcing political and military policies. For political reasons we declared a moratorium on all tests, despite the fact that military reasons demanded certain kinds of tests. These tests would develop, what I have called, the third generation ~ of weapons. They would be carried out underground and give us new types of much needed limited weapons, defensive and offensive, which could be used indiscriminating fashion. Moreover, the other parts of the proposal, if carried out, would be fatal to any rational concept of American military strength. The program would strip us, not only of the capacity for unlimited and useless nuclear violence, but also of the most useful and necessary capacity to use .limited nuclear force. It is true, that the carrying out of the present program was made contingent on the establishment of international inspection and controls. However, in the matter of tests it is clear to informed people that an adequate and effective inspection system, which would detect (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 tests even down to five or ten kilotons is for the present not a definite scientific possibility, ' and fit is also;, for the foreseeabGe future, a political impossibilityo An adequate and effective system would have to consist of thousands of stations equipped with devices not yet invented; this is the scientific problems Many hundreds of these stations would have to be on Soviet and Red Chinese territory; this is the political impossibilityo Moreover, the stoppage of all nuclear production and the total destruction of existing stockpiles--stand even farther beyond the possibility of control for scientific and political reasons Theref'oreo the first argument for my new proposal lies in the need to find a safe alterna- tive to the extremely risky and altogether unrealistic policy to which we are presently committed. In the second place, the new proposal goes to the heart of the .issue. It is the sinister stockpiles of megaton weapons, and the strategies of annihilation built on them, which give off the fumes of terror that today are poisoning the international atmosphereo The terror has to be attacked at its source, which is the bilateral and balancing power of the United States and the Soviet Union to wreck the fabric of civilization in a matter of hoursa These pools of potentially unlimited violence must be drained aid drieda All other issues are secondary to thiso Ir1 the third place, this proposal is practical o It should be possible to negotiate an agreement on.it between ourselves and the Soviet Union, the only two necessary partners to such an agreemento The single indispensable condition of agreement exists, namely, self-interest, hard and cold self-interest, the common and coincident self-interest of both parties. It is as much in the interests of the Soviet Union as it is In our own to avoid the ultimate catastrophe in which t?he Era of Terror may culminate, if it is not deliberately brought to an end. No national interest, American or Russian? is served by maintaining and increasing a stockpile of weapons (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 of violence that are utterly useless for any political purpose, Russian or American. The political absurdity of unlimited nuclear violence--reciprocally acknowledged--this is the basic fact on which, as on solid ground, an agreement can be based. In the course of their rivalry for megaton armament the UaS. and the U.S.S.R. have both been driven into an absurd situation. There is a common interest in putting an end to it. Moreover, the proposal is practical for another reason. It avoids the political stone wall into which other American proposals have always run. This. stone wall is set up by the Soviet concept of absolute national sovereignty which forbids honest and effective international inspection of Soviet territory. Anew formula has to be found to establish the principle of international control. The proposal 1 am discussing contains this new formula. It does not call for inspection of Soviet territory. In the fourth place, this new proposal. will .inevitably find favor in the court of world opinion. This is what the nations really want--that the United States should take the lead in bringing them out from under the shadow of possible annihilation. The Soviet Union could not refuse to follow this lead without incurring the political punishment of the disfavor of the nations. Moreover, by making this proposal the United States would finally assume the initiative in the problem of disarmament. In all negotiations the party that defines the issue has already gained the initiative. We lost it by giving way under pressure and allowing the Soviet Union to define, as the primary issue in disarmament, the cessation of all tests. This was a grave mistake on many countso We shall rectify it, and gather the initiative into our own hands, only if we ourselves define the real issue that rightfully claims primacy. This primary issue is the stockpiled capacity for unlimited violence. (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 In the fifth place, if megaton means of wreaking violence were thus gradually to be destroyed by mutual agreement, the threat of violence would cease to be of use as an instrument of international politicso It would be absurd foa~ a nation to begin surrendering its weapons of terrorp and at the same time go on brandishing the threat of their used Nuclear blackmail would be at an endo The international atmosphere would be considerably clearedo In the sixth placed the essential distinction between the cold war and the Era of Terror would begin to be realizedo The cold war had begun before the Era of Terror set in; it will continue after the terror is endedo Basically, the cold war is a crisis in civilizations The contest is between opposed conceptions of the nature of man, his role in history, and his relation to the stated This ideological conflict has carried over into the field of politics; and its economic dimension is continually growingo During the Era of Terror it has also acquired a military dimension of altogether swollen proportioned Until this military dimension is cut down to proper size, the real issues in the cold war will be obscuredo In particular, it is absolutely necessary to remove from the cold war the issue of sheer physical survival o This issue has done nothing but dQrken counsel, paralyze purpose, and confuse policyo The issue is fundamentally false; survival should never be an issue in political strugg)es or even in warn But a.nightmarish sort of reality attaches to the issue.of survival because of the megaton stockpiles whose use would imperil the survival of everybodyo Until these weapons are destroyed, the issue of survival will continue to distract the mind of America from its real jobs The public purpose of America in opposing world Communism will remain blurred, undefined to ourselves, to the Soviet Union, and to all the worldo more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 In the seventh place, a most salutary effect would be produced on American strategic thought. At least since 1953 it has stood under the hypnotic influence of megaton technology. Its focus has been fixed on the strategy of annihilation. The concept of massive retaliation has held it in deadly thrall. The spell can only be broken by the political decision to enforce the primacy of politics and to begin an orderly surrender of weapons that are politically useless. This decision would compel the military strategist to take new thought. There could at .last take place a movement towards increased flexibility in strategic thinking, towards a revival of the traditional principle that the aim of a general is the will. of the opposing commander, not the butchery of his forceso still less the .total destruction of his country and the indiscriminate slaughter of .its civilian population. Thus military doctrine would find its way to rightful relation with political aims. The fatal rupture would come to an end. And with this change in strategy from emphasis on inept violence to emphasis on apt force the technology of weapons would at last be brought under proper rule and restraint. The tail. of technology would cease to fly the kite of strategy. In the eighth place, a step would be taken toward the positive goal of American disarmament policy.. The distant goal, still far over the horizon of the future, is the gradual transfer of the right to use arms and to produce nuclear armso to some new kind of international authority. A small step toward this goal would be taken by establishing an.international agency empowered to supervise the destruction of weapons of violence. This assignment is very limited. But the new agency would embody the essential principle of intemational control of nuclear armament. The principle would have been publicly recognized in the face of the nations and extensions of it would gradually become possible. (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 In the ninth place, a considerable amount of highly enriched fissionable material would become available, presumably to the International Atomic Energy Agency, for peaceful purposes particularly for the development of industrial nuclear power. This fact would give a tremendous and badly needed impulse to the whole program of Atoms for Peace. This development would have important consequences both in the improvement of international relations as well in the advance of economic progress. Here then are the reasons in favor of the proposal . What are the reasons against it? There are only two. First, it will be said that an agr?ement to match the Soviet Union in the destruc- tion of weapons of violence would impair the military strength of the U.S. This objection rests on a false concept of strength. I do not consider it strength on our part to consent to the current degradation of force into violence. On the contrary, it is weakness. Surely, it is moral weakness. It is a failure of the moral intelligence to under- stand what is going on, or a want of moral courage to stop this process of corruption. It is also political. weakness. It is a failure of the political intelligence to see the absurdity of violence, and to see also the rational necessity of force, for .the purposes of politics. Moreover, unless this process of moral degradation is checked by the courage of political decision, the result will. be to continue and increase our military weakness, the weakness of a nuclear estab- lishment whose political uselessness grows more and more apparent, and the weakness of a technology, whose resources of power are exploited without purpose, because they lack due military and political direction. (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 It is becoming apparent today that we have been pursuing an illusion of strength along adead-end road, the same dead-end road into which technology turned military doctrine in 1953, when the hydrogen bomb assumed control of strategy. Since that day our nuclear superiority has been lost. A balance of nuclear power has been established. In this new situa- tion the strategy of ultimate deterrence plus massive retaliation and the megaton stockpile which supports this strategy have lost whatever value, both military and political, they may once have had in the past day of our nuclear superiority. The conclusion is that we ought now to make some political use of this stockpile since it has been a military liability. Self-interest presently dictates that we trade in our great weapons of violence, one for one, with the Soviet Union doing the same, as a political deal with a political purpose. This act of self .interest would also be an act of the moral conscience of America and a declaration of our civilized public purpose. We would give witness in action that we shall not abdicate the right uses of force, but that we do abjure the senseless uses of violence, because .we understand .that politics needs force, but morals condemn violence. The second objection raises the ultimate question: Would the proposed action invite massive Soviet aggression and open the U.S. to defeat and .destruction? Would not the Soviet Union "cheat on10 the agreement in order to gain nuclear superiority in megaton weapons, and then would it not, at some given moment, launch a total attack.on the U.S.? (more ) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 This possibility cannot be absolutely excluded. Here is the irreducible risk. No policy can take account of every single future possibility. Policy directs. itself to what is likely to happen, not to what may ,possibly happen. Risks must always be calculated. On any fair calculation the risk involved in my proposal is minimal. Certainly it is far less serious than the risk involved in the present American disarmament proposal . It has to be remembered that the distinction between force and violence, which I am urging as the basic premise of American policy, does in fact constitute the basic premise of Soviet policy. In contrast Communjsm is not committed to the political ineptitude of unlimited violence. The communist purpo$e is always to use apt force, whenever it is useful or necessary. Here.l.ies the real risk for the U.S. Force is forever the servant of Communist policies. It will be used not only on the defensive occasion but also to further the success of the offensive move. Therefore the U. S. must always expect from the. Soviet Union the threat, and the use of apt force in support of declared policies. This, I repeat, is the real risk, the ever present likelihood--in fact, the certainty--to which American policy must address itself. This risk .was disregarded by the sweeping three part disarmament policy set by the U.So in 1956. My proposal takes it fully into account. For the rest, there remains the outside possibility, the unlikely contingency, the tenuous risk that no disarmament policy, however ingenious, can absolutely exclude. Might it not happen that, at some future and undetermined date,. in a conjectural situation of possible Communist nuclear superiority, the Soviet Union might conceivably threaten the use (more) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 of total nuclear violence, for no very clear or predictable political. purpose? Who could possibly answer this question? This is not the kind:of guesswork .on whstich present American policy ought to be basedo For my part, I cherish the confident hope that, if such a threat of violence were ever to be made, the United States would be secure enough in other forms of valid nuclear strength, to have the courage simply to defy ito Let us, however, come back from speculations about the unforeseeable future to the certain and seen realities of the presente The existent fact is that the real. invitation to military helplessness and political defeat before the advancing .farces of Communism is being issued by the present rigidity of the American posture, both political and military, that refuses to make the essential distinction between apt force and inept violencea The enforcement of this distinction points the only way to security, both for ourselves and for al I the wort d o I do not, of course, maintain that it will be easy to negotiate in detail the precise and concrete meaning of this distinction as applied to nuclear stockpileso But I do maintain that this is the cardinal issue that needs to be negotiatedo I further maintain that the necessary premise of negotiation existso It is a matter of self-interest to both parties to agree to the distinction itself and to strike a further agreement to negotiate its practical meaning. Success in the negotiations is not assuredo But at least success is amore genuine possibility and a more instant necessity in this area than anywhere elseo Nor need we fear that the guidance of Divine Providence will be lacking to us as we thus set to work to dismantle the Era of Terror, which has grown increasingly offensive to the moral conscienceo The redemption of mankind from the dominion of terror is not alien to the intentions of Godo Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 STAT Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1 Please file this with ER 12-104ao Approved For Release 2003/05/23 :CIA-RDP80R01731 8000300010038-1