CA PROPAGANDA PERSPECTIVES 1 MARCH 1971

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CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0
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S
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166
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November 11, 2016
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August 5, 1998
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Publication Date: 
March 1, 1971
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REPORT
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25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 FOR BACKGROUND USE ONLY March 1971 THE 24TH CPSU CONGRESS The Main Issues In the five-year interval between the 23rd CPSU Congress March 1966 and the forthcoming 24th Congress, the essentially unchanged:Brezhnev-Kosygin leadership has presided over a steadily deteriorating internal situation and a severe erosion of its authority in the international Coliumnist move- ment, while continuing to pursue its expansionist foreign policy. Whatever Brezhnev strikes as the keynote on domestic developments in his main address to the Congress, the real keynote is "stagnation." The economy has been c;teadily slowing down, falling further and further behind that of its chief rival, the U.S.. The ever expanding technological gap is severe and a matter of special distress to Soviet scientists. The Soviet consumer has long since been convinced that improvement of his lot is at best mere oratory. Even the 'members of the Soviet privileged class, the Communist Party, knowing the meaninglessness of the Party's ideological slogans, reserve their best efforts for in-fighting for personal position in the Party bureaucracy. The only place the Soviet leaders see any significant and positive movement is in the demands for change made by the scientific and literary-artistic intelligentsia. And here the leadership's only concern is to snuff out this small sign of life in the Soviet body politic. In 1966, the Soviet leaders were just beginning to face the phenomenon of serious, open challenge to their leadership of the world Communist movement, occasioned by the outbreak of the-Sino-Soviet ideological conflict. In the intervening years, they have seen this situation deteriorate to a shooting war on the Sino-Soviet border. By August 1968 they were frightened into mounting a full-scale invasion of Czechoslovakia, provoking condemnation by the so-called "capitalist" world, and by important Communist parties and individuals from France to Venezuela to Australia. As in the case of internal dissent, international Communist dissent provicb some of the most telling criticism of the essential weaknesses of the Soviet system. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 In the 1966 Congress, the leadership was still able to speak plausibly (but just barely so) about the solidarity of the world Communist movement and Soviet leadership of it. It will be interesting to see the verbal gymnastics required to maintain the fiction in 1971. Meanwhile, the Soviet leadership pursues a foreign policy of cautious expansionism, employing a variegated arsenal of tools -- smiling diplomacy here, gunboat diplomacy there, offering "innocuous" trade and aid deals here, stepping up KGB agent infiltration there -- all the while protesting its desire for peace, but doing nothing visible to advance it, as it might in Vietnam and the Middle East. Even in a case like West Germany, where the Soviets seemed to negotiate d?nte seriously (as a step to dislodge the U.S. from Europe and to tap West Germany's valuable economic and technological resources), they permit (or urge) East German boss Walter Ulbricht to keep the pot boiling by harassment of access to Berlin. Expansion of its worldly dominion has been an essential ingredient of the foreign policy of the Soviet Union since the beginnings -- not least because Marxist-Leninist dialectic ideology poses neverending conflict in some form with non-Communist entities as the natural way of international life. The forth- coming Congress will clothe the usual Communist prophecy of victory for Communism and defeat for "capitalism" in typical:verbiage for those who would believe it. More knowledgeable observers will be searching behind the rhetoric fdr signs that the Soviet Union intends to make a genuine contribution to world peace. 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 March 1971 Party Congresses - What Are They? Congresses are technically the Soviet Cohmumist Party's supreme ratifying body, but in actuality they have became purely ceremonial gatherings to give the rubber stamp of approval to previously agreed upon decisions. Party statutes require that a Congress be held every four years, but they seldom are. They are large affairs. The 23rd Congress, for example, was attended by 4,942 voting delegates and 323 consultative delegates and by delegations from 36 foreign parties, in all a gathering of about 6,000 persons. At the fortheoming Congress, as at the 23rd Congress, the assemblage will approve General Secretary Leonid Brezhnev's report on Party stewardship, will approve Premier Alexei Kosygin's report on the new five-year economic development plan for the years 1971 through 1975, and will elect the leading party organs -- the Central Committee, the Presidium (Politburo) of the Central Committee, and the Secretariat of the Central Committee. Anything else? Whether or not any important changes in policy are to emerge remains to be seen. Given the present leadership's unimaginative conser- vatism, the 24th Congress is likely to be a pretty dull affair. By way of contrast, some quite significant and often spectacular policy pronouncements have came out of some of the more recent congresses: 20th Party Congress - February 1956: Khrushchev's "secret" denunciation oi Stalin on the Congress's closing day was the most far-reaching and shattering expose of the dictator's political leadership ever made and set off reverberations which eventually led to the Hungarian uprising of that fall. In a development closely linked with his rejection of much of the Stalinist legacy, Khrushchev an- nounced doctrinal changes which promised more flexibility for Soviet diplomacy. Specifically, he declared that Lenin's dictum on the inevitability of war with the imperialists no longer applied. The Chinese Communists, with some justifi- cation, Call the 20th Congress the "revisionist" Congress, and the seeds of Sino-Soviet discord were certainly well fertilized at this gathering. The 20th Congress also breathed new life into the old Stalinist concept of "peace- ful coexistence" by emphasizing the possibility of a peaceful transition to socialism, and by discovering a "zone of peace" in the Third World where Moscow could seek Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 to expand its influence through more flexible diplomacy and cooperation with neutralist forces. 21st Party Congress - January-February 1959: Khrushchev had survived the major political attack on his stewardship in June 1957 and managed to rout his opponents, who hence- forth were called the "Anti-Party Group" (Molotov, Malenkov, et al). The political castigation of members of the Anti- Party Group continued at the 21st Congress, but calls to expel some of the group's leaders were fruitless. In many respects, the Congress was a propaganda triumph for Khrush- chev, who delivered the main report and outlined an ambitious program to overtake the U.S. in the production of certain key commodities at the end of the Seven-Year Plan, 1959- 1965. 22nd Party Congress - October 1961: By this time there were definite signs that Khrushchev had already passed the peak of his rule in some respects. Problems were mounting in agriculture, which began to stagnate in 1958 after five years of rising output; proposals for further reorganization of the countryside had been rebuffed despite Khrushchev's apparent sponsorship. However, Khrushchev vigorously re- sumed the offensive at the Congress against his internal political opposition and mounted a ringing attack against Stalin's excesses. (That was the Congress during which Stalin's body was removed from the Lenin-Stalin Mausoleum and reburied in the Kremlin wall.) The Anti-Party Group was heavily condemned at the Congress, but variations in leadership attitudes toward Group members cropped up during the Congress speeches. Khrushchev reaffirmed the 1956 planks of peaceful coexistence, non-inevitability of war, and the possibility of a peaceful "parliamentary" transition to socialism. The Sino-Soviet dispute flared up publicly when Chou En-lai walked out at mid-Congress and went home, but not without first having laid a wreath on Stalin's grave, just before the body was moved. 23rd Party Congress - March-April 1966: The ouster of Khrushchev in October 1964 was followed by the repeal of many of his innovations in agriculture and his system of regional economic councils was replaced by recentralizat- ion of economic administration. The de-Stalinization cam- paign was halted and actually reversed as a gradual and selective campaign for his rehabilitation was initiated-- i.e. Stalin's "excesses" were ignored while his record as a wartime leader was refurbished. Otherwise, the 23rd Congress, the first under the Brezhnev-Kosygin team, was marked by few surprises. Brezhnev stressed coexistence with 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 the West, and orthodoxy in the face of allegedly anti- Soviet. literary and cultural tendencies within the USSR. Kosygin presented the 5-year plan for 1966-1970 and reported that the program of industrial reorganization reform, which Kosygin had launched in October 1965, was burgeoning. A bland gathering. 24th Party Congress - March-April 1971: A hint of what form the impending 24th Congress might take was given by a political writer, N. Kuzmin, in an article he authored for Kollununist (the main CPSU theoretical journal), May 1970. Kuzmin suggested that the 9th Congress of 1920 -- when Lenin defeated all the groups opposed to the existing leader- ship would be the model for 1971. What Kuzmin over- looked, was that at the 10th Party Congress, only a year later, Lenin Was compelled by events to introduce a market economy in the, form Of the "New Economic Policy." Could history repeat. itself? The statutory requirement for quadrennial party con- gresses has not been observed during the last quarter century, and 1970 was no exception. The March-April 1970 deadline for the 24th Congress was apparently over- shadowed by the Lenin centennial celebration in April. But the primary cause for the 12-month postponement of this impending Congress is probably accounted for by difficulties in formulating the new 5-year economic = development plan, and its unveiling promises to be the main event of this Congress. 3 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 LE MONDE, Paris 29 January 1971 CPYRGHT PREPARATIONS FOR 24TH CPSU CONGRESS REACH DECISIVE PHASE Preparations for the Soviet CP's 24th Congress moved into their most important phase this week with the start of the party's regional conferences. These assemblies will choose the delegates who will attend the Congress, and it is here that the real issues that will be debated in Moscow will get their first airing. The party's regional conference is itself the culmination of a lengthy process. It all begins with meetings of the rank-and-file "base organiza- tions," meaning the party sections in the factories, on the irollectivx Zarms,_ the institutes, etc. . On this level, the party structure is based on 'voca- tional groupings. The members of a "base organization" hear 'a report on the work of their leadership committee, elect a new bureau, an;d appoint their delegates to a district conference. The district conference is a geographical grouping. It too hears a report from its leader" elects new ones, and names its delegates to the regional conference. The same pattern continues at the regional conference, which elects delDgates to the Congress. According to the Central Committee directives published after the Plenum of 13 July 1969, there will be one voting dele- gate for every, 2,900 party members, and one non-voting delegate for every 2,900 "trainees," or candidates for party membership. This makes around 5,000 people who will be coming together on 30 March in the Congress Palace in Moscow. The general pattern allows for a number of exceptions. It applies to ? the entire Federation of Russia, as is. It is somewhat modifpd in the other federated republics. Each of them -- but not the RSFS1_-- actually holds its own congress a few weeks prior to the Onion Congress. Sometimes the delegates to the Moscow conference are chosen by these congresses. Delegates for the party members in the Ukraine, in Byelorussia, in Uzbekstan, and in Kazakistan, however, are elected by the regional confer- ences, but this does not prevent each of these republics from holding their own congresses to elect their new leaders. In addition, some cities have special status equivalent to that of districts or even regions. Moscow and Leningrad are two such. With its 300 or so delegates, the capital's regional representation at the Congress will be second in size only to the one from the Ukraine. Waiting for the 5?Year Plan Directives Getting this gigantic machinery into motion was not achieved without some grinding of gears. Last year, on 13 April, Mr Brezh? nev announced that the Congress would be held before the end of 1970, and on several occasions thereafter he repeated that pledge. Then on 13 July the Central Committee decided that the Congress would be held "in March 1071." The 30 March date was not set until the last Plenum of the CC on 7 December. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 1 CPYRGHT Approved I-or Release 1999/09/02 : U1A-KL)10(9-U1194AUUU300120001-U Delay in drafting the outline for the next 5?year Plan un? doubtedly had something to do with the delay in preparations for the Congress. In December, authoritative and reliable sources said that the directives would be published in January, but today there is talk of possible further delay. There would be nothing exceptional, for that *atter, about such a delay. The directives for the 8th Plan (19664.1970) were not approved by the OU until 19 February 1966, when he 5?Year Plan was already being implemented, and less than 40 days before the opening of the 23rd Party Congress on 29 March. Preparing for a Congress is.like building a pyramid in which the summit governs the position of every element in the base. It is in this sense that some have claimed that democracy operates in reverse within the party, since a regional conference is shaped and oriented primarily.by the objectives laid down by -40 political bureau and the Central Committee office in Moscow. There is a good deal of truth in this image, Iti'Ut it fails to take sufficient account of the diversity of undercurtents within the party, all of which find a prime opportunity fon;expressing their views during preparations for a Congress. Furthermore, no matter how monolithic the Soviet leadership may be, it is no less reasonable to assume that it does contain conflicting ambitions, and that each leader hopes to get his men into the party apparatus. Recruiting ?C2L-tialikeltupsn sgenciad. Symptoms of a behind?the?scenes struggle are Otill not very visible, it is true, at least according to what we blow about the meetings that have been held thus far. There is, however, one sign that the advantage at present lies with what might be termed the "conservatives:" the instruc? tions handed out several months ago in connection with party re? cruiting. We would point out that no "intellectual," in the broad sense of the term, has been permitted to join the party since last summer. The primary purpose of this move is to increase the per? centage of factory workers, laborers, anc collective farm people in the organization. In 1966 the Soviet OP's rolls showed 37.3 percent laborers and 16.5 percent collective farm workers. It would also appear that this was an effort to bar party membership, at least for a while, to such elements as might be least likely to go along quietly with orders from the top. The first impression one gets from what is known of the re? sults of the preliminary meetings is one of great stability. Here and there, a first secretary was ousted. This is what happened to the first secretary of the party for the city of Sverdlovsk, who was "retired" at the age of 60, a move which leaves little doubt that he was actually fired. Approved For keioase 1999/00/02 ? CIA-RDP79-01191A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 . CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 At the regional conferences, the changes in leadership chan? ges were infrequent, most of them understandable on the bases of administrative considerations (creation of new organizations, a shift from one office to another, and the like). The same sort of stability was also apparent in the rank and file organizations. The Central Committee magazine Partinaya Jizn reports that in 145 of these groups the work of the bureau was deemed unbatisfaotory, and that 464 secretaries were not re?elected. These figures are very low, when you consider that there are more thaA 300,000 ',base" organizations in the party (312,000 in 1966 just before the 23rd Congress). What kind of delegates will be sent to the Congress? Ac? cording to the statutes, they are elected by secret ballot. It goes without saying that the election will faithfully reflect the choices made previously by the higher?ups. But this choice is it? self the subject of considerable discussion within the apparatus. The regional, conference actually amounts to a committee chosen to draw up the list of candidates. It is here, in this commission, that the decisions are made. Sitting on it are not only the party bosses for the region, but also a'number of leading non?political figures -- the heads of big industrial concerns, directors of the various institutes, chairman of leading collective farms, etc. -- whose opinions are taken into consideration. The list drawn up by these notables is then approved by the conference. Sometimes there is some sharp bargeining, not to mention shrevia horse?trad? ing. And so it is at this level that the Congress Is "made," and this is where whatever small shifts in the incumbeni apparatus the notables feel desirable are performed. Economic Issues and the Stalin Matter Reports in the Soviet press give the impression that econo? mic issues loom very large in the current debates. 4Each organiza? tion's performance is assessed primarily on the bests of the way it has implemented the directions and resolutions of the Central Committee as handed down in December 1969 and July 1970. There is much talk of productivity, labor discipline, and even of the use of fertilizer and the quality of seed. At the same time, though, there is talk of "ideological work" and of relations within the party. Sometimes "shortcomings" are reported, or there are com? plaints about the "inertia" of organizations that pass a great many resolutions but show very little concern with implementing them. On the whole, though, these criticisms are merely rehashes of those that appear regularly in the editorial columns of Pravda and other party organs. Nevertheless, the signs of a deeper debate are beginning to emerge, however indirectly. As it did on the eve of the 23rd Con? gress, the use of Stalin's name is the touchstone by which we can distinguish between what might be called the conservatives and the progressives. The name cropped up in 196,6 in several reports from the meetings of the party in Georgia. This year, the Moldavian CP Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 3 CPYRGHApproved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 newspaper, in its 16 January issue, opened fire by stating that in his article on "Marxism and the National Question" Stalin had pro? vided a definition amounting to "a generalization of all Karl Marx, Frederich Engels, and V.I. Lenin ever said about the fundamental features of the nation." The reference is an important one, be? cause it tends to restore to Stalin the role of THE communist theor? etician which the 20th Congress had taken away from him. This is not surprising in Moldavia, where the first party secretary, Mr 1.1. Bodioul, has a long?standing reputation as a Stalinist. Such language, for the time being, at least, would be unthinkable in the central party press, but it is beyond any doubt that serious pressure is being brought to bear within the party, perhaps not so much for a return to Stalinist concepts -- which are in any case too outmoded for use under present?day conditions -- as for a rejection of the more or less liberal experiments tried since the death of' the dictator under Mr Khrushchevfs regime. This is the issue that is going to dominate the 24th Congress. It is still to early to assess the balance of forces that will clash on this ground, or to distinguish the positions on which the men and factions classified perhaps too summarily as "Stalinists" and "anti? Stalinists" will actually cross swords. LE MONDE, Paris 29 January 1971 La preparation du 24' congres du P.C. sovietique est entree dans sa phase decisive De nOtre correspondant 'ALAIN JACOB moscou. ? La preparation du vingt-quatrieme congas du P.C. sovie-; tlque est entr? ces dernlers lours, dans as phase Is plus Important., avec I. debut des conferences regionales du part!. C'est au seln de cos asseni+ bless, en effet, que sont designee les delegues qui assisteront au congres que commencent C litre aborchle les themes veritables qui seront abet- C Pk 6141?- CPYRGHT elles mats non ia kt.S.P.S.R ' tient en effet son propre congres quelques semaines avant celui de l'Union. Parfois les ? delegues au ? congres de MoScOu sont designes ?Par ces congres. En revanche, les delegues des communistet 1, &Ukraine, de Bjelorussie, d'Ouz- 1' bekistan et du Kazakhstan sont , -elus dans les regions, ce qui n'em- ,peche pas chacune de ces repu- bliques de tenir son congres pour ,renouveler les organismes dlri .geants. D'autre part certftities, 'vines ont des statuts particuliers: -equivalent a celui de district oil meme de region, comme MoscoU, !et Leningrad Avec quelque trots: rents delegues, la capitale consti- luera an congres le groupe regio- ' nal le plus important apres celut ;de l'Ukraine. ;Dans l'allenfe des directives . La conference regionaie au part; L..e rneme scnema se reproault, pour le plan? est elle-meme l'aboutissement 111. in conference regionale, qui' - d'un long processus. Tout corn- Mit les delegues au congres. L'ensemble de cette &forme ma- x-pence avec les reunions des e. or- D'apres les directives du comite, chine ne s'est pas nits en route ganisations de base 3,, c'est-a-dire central publtees apres le plenum',? sans quelques rates. be 13 avrit des sections d'usines, de kolkho- .du 13 juillet 1969, on comptera tin xiernier, M. Brejnev annoncalt clue, zes, d'instituts, etc. A ce niveau, dengue avec voix deliberative 1 le tong/As se tiendratt avant .1a ,la structure du part; a tine base podr deux .mille neuf cents meat- 1 fin de 1970, et a plusieurs reprises .professionnelle. Les membres -,,?bres-du part!, et un delegue avec t 11 avait confirme la nouvelle. Or, dune it organisation. de base' ,4 1, voix consultative pour deux mine 1 Pe, 13 juillet, le comite central de-, entendent un compte rendu d'ac- t?neuf cents e stagiaires , ou cart- ' tide que le congres. aurait Hell, tivite de leur direction, elisent un thdats adherent au parti: Elivironi en Mart 19712 . . ' La date du :nouveau bureau et designent leursi crag mule personnes devralentl p0 mars n'a ete fixte qu'au? dernier delegues A une confetehce de dis--r, ''?? done se .reutfir le 80 mars 6. MOS-I plenum du cordite central le 7- de-:, Viet. JCello-ci est formee sur tine ''cou. au Palais des congres. ' teMbre. rbase. geographique ; ? elle entend ? ? ? ' ? ', ? '? - ,?attente des directives' Pour 'f ' , .elle aussi un compte .rendu de sa C . g prwhain plan quinquennal a saig line lei le d'eAcePtions: n .vauti, ? directionr Alit de nouveaux dirt- ' ' 'dente ? pose quelque pen sur la' pour l'ensemble de la Pederaticm geants et designe les 'dengue's qui' ? -.preparation du congres, Au mots ise rendrent do. Russia, Il est plus ou mins ft la Conference reglo- de decembre des sources', cOncot- Inale? ?F 'Approved For Regagaid4RAVS027=-RDeV-911MMORIR0001-0 . , . i 4 cpyRGARproved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 ?publk,es en 'envier. mats on wile aujourd'hui d'un retard possli>le. Lin tel retard n'auralt d'ailleurs rien d'exceptionnel. : Les three- lives du huitietne plan: (1966-1DM Wont, en effet. ote approuvees par Is comae central que le ? 19 fevrier 1966, alms que le plan qulnquennal etait delft entame et moms de quarante jours avant l'ouverture, Is 2D mars, du vingt- trothleme conRills du Pulti ?La preparation du congreS res- semble a la construction dune pyramide dans laquelle le som- met determine la mise en place a la base de cheque element. C'est en ce sens que ion a pu pretendre qu'au sein du parti la democratie fonctionnait a Pen- ,vers, une conference regionale :etant - avant tout conditionnee par les objectifs que definissent le ? bureau politique et le secrktariat du coMite central a IVIoscOu. Cette image comporte ? une bonne part de verite, math elle ne tient pas suffisamment Lcompte de la diversite des cou- ? rants a rinterieur du part!, qui trouvent justement dans .1a pre- paration du congras une occasion exceptionnelle de se manifester. 61 monolithique' d'autre part que soft la direction sovietique, II n'en est pas moths raisonnable de pen- ser que des ambitions s'y op- posent, et que chacun souhaite placer dans l'appareil du part', ' des hommes qui lui sont acquis. Le recrutement des 4 intellect uels suspendu ? Les signes crun debat interieur isont encore pen apparents, 11 est. vrai, du thoins, d'apres ce que l'on salt des reunions. qui ont eu Lieu jusqu'a present. On releve cependant un pre- mier indice a l'avantage de ce 'que Ion pourrait appeler les conservateurs ? les consignes .tionnees 11 y a deja plusieurs mois en 'ce qui concerne le re- crutement. Precisons qu'aucun intellectuel ?, an sens large du terme, n'a ete admis a entrer au part! depuls Vete dernier. L'ob- ,jectif premier est Id d'aug- menter le pourcentage des tra- vailleurs, ouvriers et .kolkhozlenst ? au sein de rorganisation (en 190(1 P.C. sovietique ? comprendit % d'ouvriers et 16,6 % de kolkhoziens). IL semble bien quo: ? Von alt aussi voulu tenir a reeart, au moths pour quelque temps, les elements les moms enclins par', ? mature suivre sane. discuSsioif 'lea. directives de rapparell. La premiere impression. d'au-, `tre part, que donnent les rend- tats connus des reunlone est cella; dune grande stabilite. Ca, et un premier secretaire est evince. Ce fut le cas par exemple du premier secretaire du parti pour In ville de Sverdlosk, ? mls a la retraite ? a rage de soixante ans, ce qui ne laisse aucun doute sur le fait qu'll s'agit bien dun limo- geage. Dans les conferences de region, les changernerits cla poraOnnel sent asses rares ou explicables par des raisons purement admi- nistratives (creation d'organisa- tions nouvelles, mutation du ti- tulaire a d'autres fonctions, etc...). La meme stabilite s'etait d? manifestee dans les organisations 'de base. La revue du comite central Partinaia Jian indimle 'cute dans ? cent quarante - cinq d'entre elles le travail 'd e s bureaux a ete juge insatisfaisant ,et que quatre cent sothante-qua- ,tre secretaires wont pas ete reelus. Ces chiffres sent tres mo- destes car 11 y a plus de ,trois cent mile a organisations de base ? au seindu parti (trots cent dome mille en 1966 a is veille du vingt-troisleme congas). Quels delegues seront envoyes au congres D'apres les statuts, Us sont elus au scrutin secret. II va de soi que l'election corres- pond fidelernent au choix fait prealablement par les instances superieures. Mais ce choix est lui-meme l'objet d'une discus- Sion an sein de l'apparell. La conference de region forme, en effet, une commission charges de dresser /a Hate des candidats. C'est dans cette commission que les decisions sont prises. Y si? gent non seulement les perma-; nents du parti pour la region, mais aussi un certain nombre de - Personnalites ? patrons de gran- ' des entreprises industrielles, di-,. ?recteurs d'instituts, presidents de kolkhozes d'avant-garde, etc. dont l'avis est pis en conside- ration.' La liste etablie par ces- notables sera approuvee par la conference. Parfois elle restilte de marchatidsges ?serres. ?C'est; done a ce nivean qUe 'se ?fait*. ic congres et que sa physionornie peut etre legerement corrigee par rapport a celle de rappareil en place. Les questions Oconomiques ? el le us LeS coMptes rendus de la presse sovietique ?donnent rimpreasion que les , questions economiquee tiennent tine tres large plaCe dans les clebata en copra. Le travail, de chaqtie organisation est aPpredie "avant tout' invent Is Maniere dont elle a applique lea - dire?. Wes reSolutiona-. du , eon* !ventral en decembre 1969 et juillet .1970. II est done beaucoup ques- tion de Productivite, de discipline du travail et meme de fertill- 'aation des sols 'et de qualite des semences. A roceasion, toutefois, ? on parle aussi de' * travail idea- =logique et des relations a ? terieur du parti. Des t insuffi- ..sences * sont parfois signalees, r inertje 2, par exemple d'orga- ; filsationst Qui prenhent quantite de resollitione et Me pm ecupanb peu de leur application, Dans Fen- sernble. ees critiques lie font que lePrendre celles que formulent periodiquement .Jes editoriaux de Is Pravda et les autres organes .du. part. Pourtant, de maniere Indirecte, comrnencent it percer les 'signes d'un debat .plus',profond. Comme it la veille..du XXIIP congres, la . reference au nom de Staline joue ;le role de plerre de touche entre .ce que ion poUrrait apPeler conservateurs et progresgistes. On vu apperaltre en 1966 dans Certains comptes rendus de reu- nions du part! 'en Georgie. Cette' armee, c'est l'organe du P.C. de .Moldavie qui,. dans son numero du. 16 janvier, a pour ainsi dire ouvert le feu en .ecrivant que Staline evait, donne, dans son ar- ticle ? Le rharxisme: et Is question_ hationale ?, une ,definition repre- eentant one #eneritlisation de tout ce gia 'a .ete dit par Karl Marx, Frederic Engels et V. I. Lenine.;a propos ? de ressence et dee traits londantentaux de /a. nation a. La reference est im- , inottante. car elle tend a restau- rer Staline dans le role de theo-, riclen du communisme que lui, avait ote le XX e congres. Oe n'est pas surprenant en Molds vie, on le' premier secre- Aaire du parti,, M. I. I. Bodioul, a uric reputation bien eta bile de ? stalinien ?. Parch l langage, pour? i !Instant an moins, serait incon-_ ?-cevable dans Is presse centrale,' niais il est incontestable que des pressions serieuses au sein du parti, moths peut-etre en faveur .crun retour a.. des conceptions stallniennes touts maniere trip decalees. par rapport, aux ?conditions conternporaines,? que ? pour un rejet des experiences plus ou moths liberales tentees depute ..la mort du dictateur sous le regne t cle; M. Khrouchtchev. C'est le debat qui delimit: dofniner le .?XXINTe congres.' Il est encore trap tOt'pour appreeier le rapport des forces qui vent:. S!cipPoser sur ce ;,terrain, 'voire..pbut .distinguer les, tpositions stir lesquelles vont se' deflnir deg hOmmes.ou des grou-4 1Pes'. trinfluenee, gut, trop. sorn- t,rdaireMeht ?pent4tre,... on qualifie .alljdurd'hui dc a.stallniens et d".! antistalinfelis'?.? ? ?? ? ALAIN JAC0i, 1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 March 1971 Today's Leadership and Prospects of the Soviet System A remarkable consensus prevails among the better qual- ified observers of Soviet affairs concerning the leadership of the country and the trend of development (or more pre- cisely, :the non-development) in the Soviet system. Many have noted the advanced age of the 11-man committee known as the Politburo which collectively determines every major policy Of the country (see the attached list of Politburo members 1which shows all but three in their 60's or over). Along with their advanced age, the leaders suffer from what these observers variously describe as cautiousness, conservatism, narrowness, spiritual "sclerosis," intellec- tual mediocrity, colorlessness, immobility, fearfulness, and other such infirmities. Ironically, there may be some tomfort.,for the rest of the world in the thought that these very characteristics may be a blessing in terms of peace -- for all their lack of imagination, the Soviet leaders appar- ently appreciate the fact that a head-on military clash with Western military power would mean that they themselves, as well as whatever they stand for or try to achieve in their own country, -would be utterly destroyed. Apart from that, the future is a cheerless prospect for the Soviet peoples under such leadership. After some seven years in power, the current leader- ship seems to have transmitted its own immobility to the society over which it rules. It is becoming more widely recogniZed throughout the world that, far from being the progressive, productive, modern system it claims to be, the whole Soviet system of economics, of politics, of ideology and intellectual life is obsolescent, has reached an impasse, and where it goes from here is the subject of considerable debate among informed scholars. Whether it will degenerate, reform, or suffer revolutionary upheaval are some of the alternatives. (A thoughtful essay reflecting on the nature of the Soviet system and its leadership by Zbignieii Brzezinski, "Soviet Political System: Trans- formatiOn or Degeneration?" is attached.) A balance sheet of Soviet domestic and foreign gains and losses would show a serious minus between 1966 and 1971. In fact, the minus is so plain that one wonders how the 11-man Politburo can go on endorsing the stewardship of Brezhnev and Kosygin. While signs are few that the Congress will produce any major change in leadership Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 alignments (i.e. purges or a palace coup), anything is possible in the conspiratorial world of high Soviet politics. The logic of the situation from the free world point of view would seem to require a change in the leader- ship to inject an innovative dynamism in some direction away from dead center. "Khrushchevism" would be one answer -- and some respectable Sovietologists have specu- lated that the appearance of the Khrushchev Remembers book in the West may have been a deliberate effort by one or more highly placed Soviets to force the issue and bring new movement into Soviet society. However, the logic of the situation as seen from the outside world is not apt to matter. It is more likely that the "logic" prevalent in the leadership is that of self-preservation, which primarily means continuation of the "status quo." This fundamental attitude of increasing reliance upon and utilization of Stalinist norms holds little promise for progress in Soviet policies or leadership. That Stalinism versus Khrushchevism may be an issue at this time is revealed by what could be the tip of a substantial iceberg of underlying contention within Party circles. The tip first showed itself in the semi-public statement of a Soviet diplomat in Prague deploring Khrushchevism and promising a revival of Stalinism, and then in the public praise of Khrushchev by the former Deputy Minister of Defense Grigoriy Bagramyan in his recently published memoirs (see the attached news accounts). 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 FOR PAINNIMiiimmealiagaimmo March 1971 WHO'S WHO IN THE POLITBURO OF THE CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF THE CPSU Brezhnev, Leonid Ilich (born 1906) A member of the USSR Supreme Soviet since 1950, Brezhnev was one of Khrushchev's close associates and rose to prominence as a Party leader in the Ukraine. By 1949 he had been elected a member of the Central Committee of the Ukrainian Communist Party. In 1950, he took over in Moldavia as Party First Secretary when the _Moldavian Party was under fire for its handling of agricultural production. In the mid 1950's, Brezhnev did much to promote Khrushchev's Virgin Lands Campaign while serv,ing as First Secretary of the Kazakhstaiommunist Party. By May 1960, Brezhnev replaced Voroshilov as President of the USSR and after Khrushchev's ouster, became Party General Secretary. ? Like Khrushchev, Brezhnev has made agriculture his personal responsibility. He has promoted increased capital investments and financial incentives to stimulate above-plan production. Yet, he continues to favor the brigade system of farming although he acknow- laaged the important contribution of the farmers' private plots. ? J. During the 1968 crisis over Czechoslovakia, Brezhnev was the central figure at all the meetings of the Soviet Politburo with the Czechoslovak leadership at which the Russians sought to dissuade Dubcek and his colleagues from carrying out their liberalization program. Reported to have had reservations about military inter- vention in Czechoslovakia, he eventually sanctioned the 21 August invasion In November, 1968, Brezhnev attended in Wai-saw the Fifth Congress of the Polish United Workers (Communist) Party, at which he expounded his "doctrine of limited sovereignty" (the "Brezhnev_Doctrine") where- by the USSR reserves the right to interfere in the internal affairs of a Communist State where she considers "Socialism" to be "threatened." The doctrine lays down that the defense of "Socialism" is the common international duty of all "Socialist" countries, and that the sovereignty of the Socialist system takes precedence over State sovereignty. The doctrine was reflected in the new Soviet-Czechoslovak treaty, signed by Brezhnev and Kosygin in Prague in May 1970. In domestic affairs, Brezhnev has presided over the rehabilitation of Stalin as a war leader and "major theoretician." This has been accompanied by the introduction of repressive measures against dissident intellectuals and national minority groups, and a general tightening of party, State and labor discipline. He has built up Soviet military strength, and appealed to Soviet patriotic feelings. ?Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Apoicet@fik,gpratop4maviamg9(garhgm3DP79-01194A000300120001-0 Kirilenko worked with Khrushchev in the Ukraine as a Party organizer and awed his promotion to high party office to Khrushchev's patronage. He held high posts in the Ukrainian Party organization, was elected to the CPSU Central Committee in 1956 and by 1966, became the Central Committee Secretary. Kirilenko has headed state delegations throughout East Europe, visited Latin America, and attend- ed both Italian and French Party Congresses. Kirilenko is often lined up with the more orthodox of the Politburo members such as Shelest, Polyansky, et al. Kosygin, Aleksei Nikolaevich (born 1904) Kosygin, who replaced Khrushchev as Chairman of the Council of Ministers in October 1964, has for many years been regarded as one of the most experienced and able economic administrators in the Soviet leadership.. His connection with the Communist Part dates from 1927; his membership in the Politburo, from 1960. Kosygin went with Khrushchev on his 1960 state visit to France and since 1964 has headed nearly every significant Soviet delegation going abroad. At the September 1965 party plenum, Kosygin introduced important reforms of the economic administration, seeking to combine central ministerial control of industry with fewer restrictions on factory managers. The whole of Soviet industry was to adopt the new system by the end of 1968. This target was not achieved, but by iid-1970 40,000 enterprises, accounting for 92 percent of industri4 output, were said to have gone over to the new system. The reforM has not brought the hoped-for results. Kosygin is believed to have had reservatibns about military intervention by Soviet and,other Warsaw Pact forces in CzecAoslovakia in August 1968, although he distrusted her liberal reforms on ideolcgtal grounds. According to some reports he even declared against intervention at the crucial CPSU meeting at which the signal for invasion was given. In 1969, he paid a visit to Pakistan in an evident effort to counter-balance Chinese influence in Karachi. In May 1970, he called his first Moscow Press conference since succeeding Khrushchev in 1964 and, accusing the USA of wanting to become the "international gendarme," rejected a British initiative seeking a fresh Geneva conference on Indo-China. He also revealed his sensitivity to Western speculation about possible changes in the Soviet leadership. Mazurov, Kirill Trofimovich (born 1914) Mazurov, son of a peasant, worked his way up in Belorussian politics, in the Republic where he was born, and by 1956 had become Party First Secretary. He became a member of the CPSU Central Committee in 1956 and a full member of the Politburo in 1965. At the October 1965 Supreme Soviet session, Mazurov was the one who presented the plans for economic reform which Kosygin had spelled out for a Central Committee plenum a few days earlier. Mazurov has Approved.For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 travelled extensiyely in East Europe and has been to Finland, Sweden, Belgium, and New York. Pelshe, Arvid Yanovich (born 1899) Born a Latvian, Pelshe's formative years were spent in Russia. (Ifter Russian annexed Latvia in 1940, Pelshe went "home" and gradually became a leading figure in the Latvian Communist Party, chiefly because of his efforts in the "Russification" of Latvia. Pelshe is beet known for him attacks on "bourgeoise nationalism" in Latvia, a subject on which he continues to be vocal. A.Politburo member since 1966, Pelshe has most recently been involved with the "watchdog" body of the Czechoslovak Communist Party now engaged in the normalization of that country. Podgorny, Nikolai Viktorovich (born 1903) Soviet President since 1965, Podgorny is an experience Party official who worked for many years in the Ukraine under Khrushchev. He has held various posts in the Ukrainian and Moscow Food Industry Ministries. He worked his way up in the Ukrainian Party to become its First Secretary in 1957; by 1960, he was a member of the CPSU Presidium (Politburo). At the November 1964 plenum, Podgorny reported on the dismantling of one of Khrushchev's more important reforms -- the merging of industrial and agricultural party organs which Khrushchev had divi,ded _in 1962. Podgorny's travels have been limited to East Europe and the Middle East. Suslov, Mikhail Andreevich (born 1902) Suslov is a leading Party theoretician and one of the most influential men in the Kremlin. He has been a permanent member of the CPSU Presidium (Politburo) since 1955 and is one of that bodies very few intellectuals. On the fringe of the leadership in Stalin's time, Suslov is still considered to be one of the most influential members of the Party leadership. He acts as the CPSU's top intermediary with Communist parties throughout the world. In aU of his top political posts and as head of Agitprop and editor of Pravda, Suslov has acted as the custodian of the Party's conscience, the liquidator of "deviationists" both Right and Left. He is the only member of the post -Khrushchev leadership to have made an explicit public reference to an "error" committed by Stalin. In recent years, Suslov is said to have suffered from recurring tuberculosis and a kidney complaint and to have been hospitalized several times. Voronov, Gennady Ivanovich (born 1910) An agricultural expert, Voronov has been a CPSU Central Committee member since 1952 and a full member of the Presidium (Politburo) since 1961. His rise to power is attributed to his known support for Khrushchev's agricultural policies and to his proved efficiency in regional management affairs. Voronov has travelled to New Zealand, Britain, and in East Europe. He is Chairman of the RSFSR Council Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 3 ApprovedsEcirtReleasealr999699/NrOcakADEPMPhiliPROOROpOr1A9001-0 Soviet of the RSFSR openly supported the cause of specialist training in business management for everybody -- from Ministers to heads of workshops. In 1969, in another speech to the Supreme Soviet of the RSFSR, he called for a greater role of the Soviets in local planning at the expense of Ministries. Polyansky, Dmitri Stepanovich (born 1917) Son of Ukrainian peasants, Polyansky had his early training in agriculture, was in the military in World War II, and then was selected for training at the higher Party School in Moscow, from which he was graduated in 1942. For 16 years Polyansky served in various regional party posts in Siberia, the Crimea, Chkalov, Krasnodar, and finally in the RSFSR. He has been a full member of the CPSU Presidium (Politburo) since 1960. Polyansky is often cited as the patron of'some of the pro-Stalin, anti-intellectual Soviet authors. Shelepin, Aleksandr.uikolaeyieb, (born 1918) Shelepin is one of the younger and more forceful members of the CPSU Politburo. He was one of the main beneficiaries oi the coup which overthrew Khrushchev in October, 1964. He became a full member of the party Presidium (later renamed Politburo) without having been a candidate-member. Shelepin had earlier served the party as a youth leader and as chief of the security police (KGB). From 1952-58, he was First Secretary of the Komsomol, responsible for moulding the rising generation in the party's image. Hp played a prominent part in reviving the anti-religious campaign amOng youth, becoming noted for his handling of "heretical", tendencies in the Komsomol -- "nihilism," hooliganism, drunkeness, etc. -- which_ reached their peak in 1956. "Nihilists" among students, young writers and intellectuals were expelled from the Komsomol on Shelepin's orders. In Mar 1958, Shelepin was appointed head of the Department for Party Organs of the Party Central Committee. In December 1958, he was made Chairman of the Committee of State Security, taking over from General Serov. At the December 1965 Central Committee plenum, Brezhnev announced that the Control Committee would be reorganized and its functions curtailed. The reorganized body, the .P_copieri-Control Committee, was placed under one of Shelepin's former Deputies. Shelepin was also released from his post as Deputy Chairman of the USSR Council of Ministers "in order to concentrate on work in the Central Committee of the CPSU," in his capacity as a member of the Secretariat, in which he assumed responsibility for the light and food industries. Shelepin's career received _a further setback when in July 1967 he was made Chairman of the Aja-Union Central Council of Trade Unions (AUCCTU), a post of little political influence. 4 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Shelepin formally relinquished his Central Committee secretaryship in September 1967. His political influence has also been undermined by the progressive removal of former associates of his from responsible posts. In March 1970 Shelepin was reported to have been ill and for nearly two months he was absent from the public scene. 4 Shelest, Petr Efimovich (born 1908) Another Ukrainian of peasant origin, Shelest is now First Secretary of the Ukrainian Communist Party, a post he has held since 1963. He has been a CPSU Central Committee member since 1961 and after Khrushchev's ouster, he became a full member of the CPSU Politburo. Shelest has never travelled outside East Europe. He is an outspoken opponent of intellectual freedom at home and abroad and also of Ukrainian "bourgeois" nationalism. In 1969, he bitterly attacked China for her anti-Soviet propaganda and criticized the "aggressive" policies of the USA and the Federal Republic of Germany. In March 1970, in -a report to the 21st Congress of the Ukrainian Komsomol he emphasized the dangers of foreign pr ganda and what he stigmatized as "imperialist ideological press Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 5 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 PROBLEMS OF COMMUNISM January-February 1966 CPYRGHT _LL 0 11 tyi TITh\I ? generation: TC) ZTzg ? . amLew ezskj ? EDITORS' NOTE: The essay below by Prof. Brzezinski represents a fundamental inquiry into the essential evolutionary processes of the Soviet political system. in our opinion, it deserves careful reading and discussion. Accordingly, we have asked a number of prominent scholars?historians, philosophers, sociologists, political analysts?to submit brief comments on Prof. Brzezinski's essay, as well as Son the articles in our recent .cymposium,"Progress and Ideology in the USSR" (Novem- ber-December 1965). Replies will appear in forthcoming issues of this journal. _L._ he Soviet Union will soon celebrate its .:(:)zh anniversary. In this turbulent and rapidly :ging world, for any political system to sur- :iv.: half a century is.an accomplishment in its right and obvious testimony to its dura- iity. There are not many major political .zructures in the world today that can boast of :len longevity. The approaching anniversary, ......ever, provides an appropriate moment for :?critical review of the changes that have taken place in the Soviet system, particularly in re- gard to such critical matters as the character of izs top leadership, the methods by which its leaders acquire power, and the relationship of the Communist Party to society. Furthermore, the time is also ripe to inquire into the implica- tions of these changes, especially in regard to the stability and vitality of the system. The Leaders Today Soviet spokesmen would have us be- lieve that the quality of the top Communist leadership in the USSR has been abysmal. Of the 45 years since Lenin, according to official Soviet. history, power was exercised for au- proximately five years by leaders subsequently unmasked as traitors (although later the charge of treason was retroactively reduced to that of deviation); for almost 20 years it was wielded by a paranoiac mass-murderer who irrationally slew his best comrades and ignorantly guided Approved For Release 1999/09/R2 Soviet war strategy by pointing his hngcr at a globe; and, most recently, for almost ten years, by a "harebrained" schemer given to tantrums and with a propensity for wild organizational experimentation. On the basis of that record, the present leadership lays claim to representing a remarkable departure from a historical pat- tern of singular depravity. While Soviet criticism of former party leaders is now abundant, little intellectual effort is ex- pended on analyzing the implications of the changes in leadership. Yet that, clearly, is the impo.rtant question insofar as the political sys- !.e:;) fAnin was a rare type of political leader, fus- ing in his person several functions of key impor- tance to the working of a political system: he acted as the chief ideologist of the system, the principal organizer of the party (indeed, the founder of the movement), and the top adminis- trator of the state. It may be added that such personal fusion is typical of early revolutionary leaderships, and today it is exemplified by Mao Tse-tung. To his followers, Lenin was clearly a charismatic leader, and his power (like Hitler's or Mao Tse-tunqb's) depended less on institu- tions than on the force of his personality and in- tellect. Even after the Revolution, it was his personal authority that gave him enormous power, while the progressive institutionalization of Lenin's rule (the Cheka, the appearance of the apparat, etc.) reflected more the transfor- mation of a revolutionary party into a ruling one than any significant change in the character of his leadership. ? CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Lenin's biographers ' agree that here was a man characterized by total political commit- ment, by self-righteous conviction, by.; tenacious determination and! by an outstanding ability to formulate intellectually appealing principles of political action as:well as popular slogans suit- able tor mass consumption. He was a typically revoluti9nary figure, a man whose genius can be consummated only at that critical juncture in history when the new breaks off?and not just evolves?from the old. Had he lived a genera- tion earlier, he probably would have died, in a Siberian taiga; a generation later, he probably would have been shot by Stalin. nder Stalin,! the fusion of leadership func- tions was continued, but this was due less to his personal qualities 1 as such than to the fact that, with the passage Of time and the growing toll of victims, his power became nearly total and was gradually translated also into personal author- ity. Only a mediocre ideologist?and certainly inferior in that respect to his chief rivals for Dower?Staliniecam institutiona:lv the ideo- . jogue of the vs.:ern?A ciz.Cu speaker, he eventu- ally acquired the `i,`routinized charisma" 2 which, after Lenin's death, became invested in the Communist Party as a whole (much as the Pope at one timei acquired the infallibility that for a long time had rested in the collective church). But his: power was increasingly insti- tutionalized bureaucratically, with decision- making centralized at the apex within his own secret7iat, and its exercise involved a subtle balancing of thei principal institutions of the political system: the secret police, the party, the state, and the army (roughly in that order of importance). .:Even the ostensibly principal organ of power, the Politburo, was split into Angelica Balabanoff, Impressions of Lenin, Ann Arbor, Mich.; University of Michigan Press, 1964. Louis Fischer, Life of Lenin, New York, Harper, 1964. S. Pos- sony, Lenin, the Compulsive Revolutionary, Chicago, Regnery, 1964, Bertram D. Wolfe, Three Who Made a Revolution, New Yotk, Dial Press, 1948. 2 For a discussion of "routinized charisma," see Amitai Etzioni, 4 Comparative Analysis of Complex Organiza- tions, Glencoe, 114, Glencoe Free Press, 1961, pp. 26 ff, minor groups, "the sextets," the "quartets," etc., with Stalin personally deciding who should par- ticipate in which subgroup and personally pro- viding (and monopolizing) the function of integration. If historical parallels for Lenin are to be found among the revolutionary tribunes, .for. Stalin they are to be sought among the Oriental des- pots.' Thriving on intrigue, shielded in mystery, and isolated from society, his immense power re- flected the immense tasks he succeeded in im- posing on his followers and subjects. Capitalizing 'on the revolutionary momentum and the ideo- logical impetus inherited from Leninism, and wedding it to a systematic institutionalization ? of bureaucratic rule, he could set in motion a social and political revolution which weakened all existing institutions save Stalin's own secre- tariat and his chief executive arm, the secret police. His power grew in proportion to the de- gree to which the major established institutions declined in vitality and homogeneity.4 The ,var, however, as well as the postwar re- construction, produced a paradox. While Stalin's personal prestige and authority were further en- hanced, his institutional supremacy relatively declined. The military establishment naturally grew in importance; the enormous effort to transfer, reinstall, and later reconstruct the in- dustrial economy invigorated the state machin- ery; the party apparat began to perform again the key functions of social mobilization and political integration. But the aging tyrant was neither unaware of this development nor appar- ently resigned to it. The Byzantine intrigues resulting in the liquidation of the Leningrad leadership and Voznesenski, the "doctors' plot" With its ominous implications for some top party, military and police chiefs, clearly augured an effort to weaken any institutional limits on Stalin's personal supremacy.. 6 Compare the types discussed by J. L. Talmon in his Political Messianism: the Romantic Phase, Nell' York, Praeger, 1960, with Barrington Moore, Jr., Political Power anti Social Theory, Cambridge, Mass., Harvard University -Press, 1958, especially Chapter 2 on "Totali- tarian Elements in Pre-Industrial Societies," or Xarl Wittfogcl, Oriental Despotism, New Haven, Yale Uni- versity Press, 1957. 'It seems that these considerations are as important to the un?lerstanding of the Stalinist system as the psycho- patimlogical traits of Stalin that Robert C. Tucker rightly emphasizes in his "The Dictator and. Totalitarianism,' 11"orld Polities, July 1965. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 - 7- Came to power os jet nsibly to Ihfllfl,which dulincd as saft?guarding the traditional priority Of heavy industry iind rt:storinc,? the primacy of the party. In fact, lie presided over the dismantling of Stalinism. He roklo to power by redwing tho predominant po- sition of the party apparat. But the complex:- ties of governing (as contrasted to the priorities of the power struggle) caused him to dilute the party's position. While initially he succeeded in . diminishing the political role of the secret police and in weakening the state machinery, the mili- tary establishment grew in importance with the continuing tensions of the co1d'war.5 By the time Khrushchev was removed, the economic priori- ties had become blurred because of pressures in agriculture and the consumer sector, while his own reorganization of the party into two separ- ate industrial and rural hierarchies in November 1962 went far toward undermining the party's homogeneity of outlook, apart from splitting it. Institutionally. Consequently, the state bureau-- cracy recouped, almost by default,-some of its integrative and administrative functions. Khru- shchev thus, perhaps inadvertently, restored much of the institutional balance that had existed under Stalin, but without ever acquiring the full powers of the balancer. Khrushchev lacked the authority of Lenin to generate personal power, or the power of Stalin to create personal authority?and the Soviet leadership under him became increasingly dif- ferentiated. The top leader was no longer the top ideologist, in spite of occasional efforts to present Khrushchev's elaborations as "a crea- tive contribution to Marxism-Leninism." The ruling body now contained at least one profes- sional specialist in ideological matters, and it was no secret that the presence of the profes- sional ideologue was required because someone ? had to give professional ideological advice to the party's top leader. Similarly, technical-adminis- trative specialization differentiated some top leaders from others. Increasingly Khrushchev's function?and presumably the primary source of his still considerable power?was that of pro- viding political integration and impetus for new domestic or foreign initiatives in a political sys- tem otherwise too complex to be directed and administered by one man: The differentiation of functions also made it more difficult for the top leader to inherit even the "routinized charisma" that Stalin had even- tually transferred to himself from the party as a whole. Acquiring charisma was more difficult for a leader who (even apart from a personal style and vulgar appearance that did not lend themselves to image building") had neither the great "theoretical" flare valued by a movement that still prided itself on being the embodiment of a messianic ideology, nor the technical exper- tise highly regarded in a state which equated technological advance with human progress. Moreover, occupying the posts of First Secre- tary and Chairman of the Council of Ministers was not enough to develop a charismatic appeal since neither post has been sufficiently institu- tionalized to endow its occupant with the special prestige and aura that, for example, the Presi- dent of the ? United States automatically gains on assuming office. Trying to cope with this lack of charismatic appeal, Khrushchev replaced Stalin's former colleagues. In the process, he gradually came to rely on a younger generation of bureaucratic leaders to whom orderliness of procedure was instinctively preferable to crah carnoaiens. Ad- ministratively, however, Khrushchev was a true product of the Stalinist school, with its marked proclivity for just such campaigns at the cost of all other considerations. In striving to develop his own style of leadership, Khrushchev tried to ? emulate Lenin in stimulating new fervor, and Stalin in mobilizing energies, but without the personal and institutional assets that each had commanded. By the time he was removed, Khrushchev had become an anachronism in the new political context he himself had helped to create. rezhnev and Kosygin mark the coming to power of a new generation of leaders, irrespec- tive of whether they will for long retain their present positions.? Lenin's, Stalin's, and Khru- shchev's formative experience was the unsettled period of conspiratorial activity, revolution, and ?in Khrushchev's case?civil war and the early phase of communism. The new leaders bene- ficiaries of the revolution but no longer revolu- tionaries themselves, have matuteri nv't 5 For a good treatment of Soviet military debates, see ? See S. Bialer, "An Unstable Leadership," Problems of Thomas Wolfe, Soviet Strategy a: ik CrossroadsAr?70910? cerAiRep,7411bak -vruF9s4N6b0300120001-0 bridge, Mass., giippraiiildrftt9PiKeteaSe "IU Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 established political setting in which the truly large issues of policy- and leadership have been decided. Aspiring young bureaucrats, initially promoted during the purges, they could obserye- ??but not suffer -from--:the debilitating conse- quences of political extremism and unpredic- table personal rule. TO this new generation of clerks, bureaucratic stability?indeed, bureau- cratic dictatorship?must seem to be the only solid foundation for effective government. Differentiation of functions to these bureau-. crats is a. norm, while personal charisma is ground for suspicion. The new Soviet leadership, therefore, is both bureaucratic in style and es- sentially impersonal in form. The curious em- phasis on kolicktivr,ost rukovocittva (collec- tivity of leadership) instead of the traditional kollektivnoe ritkovoclitvo (collective leader- ship)?a change in formulation used immedi- ately after Khrushchev's fall?suggests a cle? libo.rate effort at achieving not only a- personal but also an institutional collective leadership, designed to prevent any one leader from using a particular institution as a vehicle for obtaining political supremacy. . The question arises, however; whether this kind of leadership can prove effective in guiding the destiny of a major state. The Soviet system . is now led by a bureaucratic leadership from the very top to the bottom. In that respect, it is unique. Even political systems with highly de- veloped and skillful: professional political bu- reaucracies, such as the British, the French', or .that of the Catholic Church, have reseved some top policy-making and hence power-wielding positions for non-bureaucratic professional poli- ticians, presumably .on the assumption that a free-wheeling, genetalizing and competitive political experience is of decisive importance in shaping effective national leadership. .To be sure, some top Soviet leaders no acquire such experience, even in the course of rising up the bureaucratic party ladder, especially when assigned to provincial or republican executive responsibilities. There they acquire the skills of initiative, direction, integration, .as well as ac- commodation, compromise, and delegation of authority, which are the basic prerequisites for executive management of any complex organi- zati;n. Nonetheless, even when occupying territorial 'positions of responsibility, the apparatc.hila: are still part of an extremely centralized and rigidly hierarchical bureaucratic organization, increas- ingly set in its ways, politically corrupted by years of unchali,-noed ,,ower an more&IPERYAMitiMMMIst'llOg case with a ruling body by its lingering and in- creasingly ritualized doctrinaire tradition. It is relevant to note here (from observations made in Soviet universities) that the young men who become active in the Komsomol organization and are presumably ernbark.ing on a professional political career are generally the dull conform- ists. Clearly, in a highly bureaucratized political setting, conformity, caution and currying favor with superiors count for more in advancing a political career than personal courage and indi- vidual initiative.' Such a condition poses a long-range danger tn. the vitality of any political system. Social evolu- tion, it has been noted, depends not only on the availability of creative individuals, but on the existence of clusters of creators who collectively promote social innovation. "The ability of any gifted individual to exert levb era,e within a so- ciety . . . is partly a function of the exact com- position of the group of those on whom he de- pends for day-to-day interaction and for the execution of his plans."' The revolutionary milieu of the 1920's and even the fanatical Stalinist commitment of the 1930's fostered such clusters of intelleetual and political talent. It is doubtful that the CPSU party schools and the Central Committee personnel department en- courage, in Margaret Mead's terms, the growth of clusters of creativity, and that is why the transition from Lenin to Stalin to KhrushcheV to Brezhnev probably cannot be charted by an ascending line. This has serious implications for the Soviet system as a whole. It is doubtful that any or- ganization can long remain vital if it is so struc- tured that in its personnel policy it becomes, almost unknowingly, inimical to talent and hostile to political innovation. Decay is bound to set in, while the stability of the political sys- tem may be endangered, if other social institu- tions succeed in attracting the society's talent and begin to chafe under the restraints imposed by the ruling but increasingly mediocre appa- ratchiki. 7 Writing about modern bureaucracy, V. A. Thompson (Modern Organization, New York, 1961, p. 91) observed : "In the formally structured group, the idea man is doubly dangerous. He endangers the established distribution of power and status, and he is a competitive threat to his peers. Consequently, he has to be suppressed." For a breezy treatment of some analogous experience, see also E. G. Hegarty, How to Succeed in Company Politics New York, 1963. 8 Margaret Mead, Continuities in Cultural Evolution, New Haven, Yale University Press, 1964, p. 181. See also : CIA-RD1179tiertg4AVY0601D,20001-0 9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001 degenerated into simple '.anarchy, and Stalin's power grew immeasurably because he effectively practiced the art of leadership according to his own definition: Jr ?Power The struggle for power in the Soviet political system has .certainly become less violent. The question is however: Has it become less debili- tating for ;he political system? Has it become a more regularized process, capable of infusing the leadership with fresh blood? A closer look at the changes in the character of the competition for power may guide us to the answer. Both Stalin and Khrushchev rode to power by skillfully manipulating issues as well as by tak- ing full advantage of the organizational oppor- tunities arising from their tenure of the post of party First Secretary. It must be stressed that the manipulation of issues was at least as im- portant to their success as the organizational factor, which generally tends to receive Priority in Western historical treatments. In Stalin's time, the issues facing the party were, indeed, on a grand scale: world revolution vs. socialism in one country; domestic evolution vs. social revo- lution; a factionalized vs. a monolithic party. Stalin succeeded because he instinctively per- ceived that the new apparatchiki were not pre- pared to sacrifice themselves in futile efforts to promote foreign revolutions but?being for the most part genuinely committed to revolutionary ideals?were becoming eager to get on with the job of creating a socialist society. (Moreover, had the NEP endured another ten years, woulid the Soviet Union be a Communist dictatorship today?) Stalin's choice of socialism in one country was a brilliant solution. It captivated, at least in part, the revolutionaries; and it satisfied, at least partially, the accommodators. It split the opposition, polarized it, and prepared the ground for the eventual liquidation of each segment with the other's support. The violence, the ter- ror, and finally the Great Purges of 1936-1938 followed logically. Imbued with the Leninist tradition of intolerance for dissent, engaged in a vast undertaking of social revolution that taxed both the resources and the nerves of party members, guided by an unscrupulous and para- noiac but also reassuringly calm leader, govern- ing a backward country surrounded by neigh- bors that were generally hostile to the Soviet experiment, and increasingly deriving its own membership strength from first-generation pro- letarians with all their susceptibility to simple explanations and dogmatic truths, the ruling party easily plunged down the path of increas- ing b rutliAlpp Fdissicii4zoibftltotiSeb1999Y6/02 ? CIA-RIDIP791.0171V4A001:1300420#0tV01940. r. that violence and controlled it. The terror never 10 338. The art of leadership is a serious matter. One must not lag behind the movement, because to do so is to become isolated from the masses. But neither must one rush ahead, for to rush ahead is to lose contact with the masses.l. e who wants to lead a movement and at the same time keep in touch with the vast masses must wage a fight on two fronts?against those who lag behind and. those who run ahead.? Khrushchev, too, succeeded in becoming the top leader because he perceived the elite's pre- dominant interests. Restoration of the primary position of the party,.decapitation of the secret police, reduction of e privileges of the state bureaucrats while .maintaining the traditional - emphasis on heavy industrial development (which pleased both. the industrial elite and the military establishment.)?these were the issues. which Khrushchev successfully utilized in the . mid-1950's to mobil* the support of officials and accomplish the adual isolation and even- tual defeat of Malen4v. But the analogy ends right there. The social and even the political system in which Khru- shchev came to rule was relatively settled. In- deed, in some .respects, it was stagnating, and Khrushchev's key problem, once he reached the. political apex (but before he had had time to consolidate his position there) was how to get the cbuntry moving again. The effort to infuse new social and political dynamism into Soviet society, even while consolidating his power, led. him to a public repudiation of Stalinism which . certainly shocked some officials; to sweeping economic reforms which disgruntled many ad- ministrators; to a dramatic reorganization of the party which appalled the appareackiki; and even to an attempt to circumvent the policy- making authority of the party Presidium, by means of direct appeals to interested groups, which must have both outraged and frightened his colleagues. The elimination of violence as the decisive instrumentality of political Compe- tition?a move that was perhaps prompted by the greater institutional maturity of Soviet so- ciety, and which was in any case made inevita- ble by the downgrading of the secret police and the public disavowals of Stalinism?meant that Khrushchev, unlike Stalin, could not achieve Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 both soCial dynamism and the stability of his power.. Stalin magnified his power as he strove to changc society; to change society Khrushchev had to risk his power. - he range of domestic disagreement in- volved in the post-Stalin struggicshas a1? rowed nar- rowed with the maturing of social commitments made earlier. For the moment, the em r-- alternatiVeS is over in: Soviet society. Even :hough anv struggle tends to exaggerate differ- ences; the issues that divided Khrushchev from his opponents, though of great import, appear pedestrian in comparison to those over which Stalin and his enemies .crossed swords. In Khrushchev's case, they pertained primarily to policy alternatives; in the case of Stalin, they-in- volved basic ?conceptions of historical develop- ment. Compare the pot-Stalin debates about the allocation of resoUrces among different branches of the economy, for example, with the debates of the 1920's about the character and , pace of Soviet industrialization; or Khrushchev's homilies on the merits of corn?and . even his undeniably bold and controversial virgin lands campaignwith the dilemma of whether to col- lectivize a hundred million ?reticent peasants, at what pace, and with what intensity in terms of resort to violence. It is only in the realm of foreign affairs that one can perhaps argue that grand dilemmas still impose themselves on the Soviet political scene. The nuclear-war-or-peace debate of the 1950's and early 1960's is' comparabk in many respects to- the earlier conflict over "permanent revolu- ti(m" or "socialisrn in one country." Molotov's runoval and Kozlov's political demise .were to a large extent related to .disagreements concern- ing foreign affairs; nonetheless, in spite of such ?occasional rumblings, it would appear that on the peace-or-war issue there is today more of a consensus zi;nong the Soviet elite than there was on the issue of permanent revolution in the 1920's. 'Although a wide spectrum of opinion does indeed exist in the international Commu- nist movement on the crucial questions of war and peace, this situation, as far as one car; judge, 'obtains to a considerably lesser degree in the USSR itself. Bukharin vs. Trotsky can be com- pared to Togliatti vs. Mao Tse-tung, but hardly to Khrushchev vs. Kozlov. The narrowing of the-range of disagreement is refle6teAjitpticogkInEartiRiabiasafl 99109/0 In the earlier part of this discussion, some corn- parative comments were made about Stalin, Khrushchev, and Brezhnev. It is even more revealing, however, to exainine their principal rivals. Take the men who opposed Stalin: Trot- sky, Zinoviev, and Bukharin. What a range of political, historical, economic, and intellectual creativity, what talent, what a diversity of per- sonal characteristics and backgrounds! Com- Dare this diversity with 010 erommt,ii, personal training, narrowne-ss of perspective, and poverty of intellect .of Malenkov, Kozlov and Suslov." A-regime of the clerks cannot help but clash over clerical issues. The narrowing of the range of disagreement and the cooling of ideological passions mean also the wane of political violence. The struggle tends to become less a matter of life or death, and more one in which the price of defeat is simply retirement and sorne personal disgrace. In turn, with the routinization of conflict, the political system develops even a body of prece- dents for handling fallen leaders. By now there must be a regular procedure, probably even some office, for handliq pensions and apart- ments for former PresidiVm members, as well as a developing social. etiquette for dealing with them publicly and privately." lo One could hardly expect a historian to work up any enthusiasm for undertaking to write, say, Malenkov's bi- ography: The Apparatchik Promoted, The .ripparatchik Triumphant,The A pparatchik Pensioned1 1' Can Mikoyan, for example, invite Khrushchev lunch? This is not a trivial question, for social mores and political style are interwoven. After all, Voroshilov, who had been publicly branded as a military idiot and a political sycophant, was subsequently, invited to a Kremlin recep- 13atiyutIsLcharge still YM jt inlYlInniversary celebration of the Soviet victory in World War II. 2 : CIA-Mrs/01MM isic 11 I_ .;..._ ore important is the apparent develop- ment in the Soviet system of something which might be described as a regularly available. "counter-elite." After Khrushchev's fall, his suc- cessors moved quickly to restore to important positions a number of individuals whom Khru- shchev had purged," while some of Khrushchev's supporters were demoted and transferred. Al- ready for a number of years now, it has been fairly common practice to appoint party offi-, cials demoted from high office either to diplo- matic posts abroad or to some obscure, out-of- the-way assignments at home. The total effect of this has been to create a growing body of offi- - cial "outs" who are biding their time on the ' sidelines and presumably hoping someday to : become the "ins" again. Moreover, they may i not only hope; if sufficiently numerous, young, -and vigorous, they may gradually begin to re- semble somethinr, of a political alternative to those in power, and eventually to think and even act as such. This could be the starting .point of informal factional activity, of intrigues and conspiracies when things go badly for those in power, and of organized efforts to seduce some part of the ruling elite in order to stage an inter- nal change of guard." In addition, the availa- bility of an increasingly secure "counter-elite" is likely to make it more difficult for a leader to consolidate his power. This in turn might tend to promote more frequent changes in .the top leadership, with policy failures affecting the power of incumbents instead of affecting?only retroactively?the reputation of former leaders, as has hitherto been the case. The cumulative effect of these developments has been wide-ranging. First of all, the reduced importance of both ideological issues and per- sonalities and the increasing weight of institu- tional interests in the periodic struggles fot Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : Cl*R.p.E794111Atimcmpiplapptot4 more structured quality ,of present-day Soviet life as compared with the situation under Stalin?tends to depersonalize political conflict and to make it a protracted bureaucratic struggle. Secondly, the curbing of violence makes it more likely that conflicts will be resolved by patched-up com- promises rather than by drastic institutional redistributions of power and the reappearance of personal tyranny, Finally, the increasingly bureaucratic character of the strbggle for power tends to transform it into a contest among high- level clerks and is therefore not conducive to attracting creative and innovating talent into the top leadership. Khrushchev's fall provides a good illustration of the points made above, as well as an impor- tant precedent for the future. For the first time in Soviet history, the First Secretary has been toppled from power by, his associates. This was done not in order to tvlace him with an alter- native personal leader'0 to pursue ,enuineIv al- ternative goals, but in order to depersonalize the leadership and to pursue more effectively many of the previous policies. In a word, the objec- tives were impersonal leadership higher bu- reaucratic efficiency. ? Khrushchev's removal. however, also n-crais that personal intrigues and cabals can work, that,' subordinate members of the leadership?or possibly, someday, a group of ex-leaders?can effectively conspire against a principal leader, with the result that any fu- ture First Secretary is bound to feel far less se- cure than Khrushchev must have felt at the beginhing of October 1964. The absence of an institutionalized top execu- tive officer in the Soviet political system, in con- junction with the increased difficulties in the way of achieving personal dictatorship and the decreased personal cost of defeat in a political conflict, create a ready-made situation for group. pressures and institutional clashes. In fact, al- . -though-the range of disagreement may have nar- rowed, the scope of elite participation in power conflicts has already widened. Much of Khru- shchev's exercise of power was preoccupied with mediating the demands of key institutions such as the army, or with overcoming the oppo- sition of others, such as the objections of the, administrators to economic decentralization or of the heavy industrial managers to non-indus- trial priorities. These interests were heavily in- volved in the Khrushchev-Malenkov conflict and in the "anti-party" episode of 1957. At the present time, these pressures and clashes take place in an, almost entirely amor- CIXRDR793.1114114A6G03130t11200011e0nition 11 F. D. Kulakov, apparently blamed by Khrushchev in 1960 for agricultural failings in the RSFSR, was ap- poimed in 1965 to direct the Soviet Union's new agricul- tural programs; V. V. :Vlatskevich was restored as Min- ister of Agriculture and appointed Deputy Premier of the RSFSR in charge of agriculture; Marshal M. V. Za- kharoy was reappointed as Chief-of-Staff of the, Armed Force; even L. G. Melnikov reemerged from total ob- scurity as chairman of the industrial work safety com- mittee of the RSFSR. 1.3 Molotov's letter to the Central Committee on the eve of the 22nd Party Congress of October 1961, which bluntly and directly charged Khrushchev's program with revisionism, was presumably designed to stir up the ap- paratchiki against the First Secretary. It may be a portent of 'things to come. Approved For Release 1999/09/02: 12 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 and established procedures. The somewhat greater 'role played by the Central Committee in recent years still does not suflice to give this process of bureaucratic conflict a stable institu- tional. expression. As far as we know from exist- ing evidence, the Central Committee still acted during the .1957 and.1964 crises primarily as a ratifying body, giving formal sanction to deci- sions-- already fought out in, the Kremlin's corn- dors of power." It did not act as either the ar- biter or the supreme legislative body. The competition for power, then, is changing from a death struggle among the few into a con- test played by many more. But the decline of violence does .not, as is often assumed, automati- cally -benefit the SovieCpolitical system; some- .- thing -more effective and stabk has to take the place of violence. The"g,arne" of politics that has replaced the former mafia-style struggles for power is no longer murderous, but it is. still not a. Stable game played within an established :arena, according to accepted rules, and involv- ing more or less formal terms. It resembles more ..the anarchistic free-for-all of the playground and therefore could become, in SQIIIC, respects, even ? more debilitating to the system. Stalin encouraged institutional conflict below him so that he could wield his power with less restraint. Institutional conflict combined with mediocre and unstable personal leadership makes for in- effective and precarious power. Pay and Onrizzp Einlereas In a stimulating study of political develop- ment and decay, Samuel Huntington has argued that stable political growth requires a balance between political "institutionalization" and political "participation": that merely increasing popular mobilization and participation in poli- tics without achieving a corresponding degree of "institutionalization of political organization, and procedures" results not in political develop- ment but in political decay.l'i Commenting in passing on the Soviet system, he therefore noted that "a strong party is in the Soviet- public in- terest" because it provides a stable institutional - framework." 14 Roger Pethybridge, .4 Key to Soviet Polities, New York, Praeger, 1962. See also Myron Rush, The Rise ot Khrushehcv, Washington, DC, Public Affairs Press. 195R 15 Samuel P. Huntington, "Political Development and Polittcal Decay," World 2 olitia. (Princeton Is1.1:.1 Aora 1965. Approved For Reiease 9uu/u9-(o2 p. 414. 13 The Soviet political system has certainly achieved a high index of institutionalization. For almost five decades the ruling party has maintained unquestioned supremacy over the society, imposing its ideology at will. Tradition- ally, the Communist system has combined its high institutionalization with high pseudo-par- ticipation of individuals." But a difficulty could ariso if division within the top leadership of rho political system weakened political "institution- alization" while simultaneously stimulating genuine public participation by groups and in- stitutions. Could this new condition be given an effective and stable institutional framework and, if so, with what implications for the "strong" party? Today the Soviet 'political system is again oligarchic, but its socio-economic setting is now quite different. Soviet society is far more de- veloped and stable, far less malleable and at- omized. In the pa4, the key groups that had to be considered as potential political partici- pants were relatively few. Today, in addition to the vastly more entrenched institutional inter- ests, such as the police, the military, and the state bureaucracy, the youth could become a source of ferment, the consumers could become more restless the collective farmers more re- calcitrant, the scientists more outspoken, the non-Russian nationalities more demanding. Pro- longed competition among the oligarchs would certainly accelerate. the assertiveness of such groups. " The massive campaigns launching "public discussions" that involve millions of people, the periodic "elections" that decide nothing, were designed to develop participation without threat to the institutionalized political organiza- tion and procedures. The official theory held that as Com- munist consciousness developed and new forms of social and public relations took root, political participation would : CiA-RarirharitnkibibittOtboldh Tuld come to Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 By now some of these groups have a degree of cannot be categorized so simply, and some; institutional cohesion, and occasionally they act , clearly; could be shifted left or right with equal in concert on some issues."' They certainly can , r cause, as indeed they often- shift themselves. lobby and, in turn, be courted by ambitious and 1. Nonetheless, the chart illustrates ,the range of opportunistic oligarchs. Some groups, because ' opinion that exists in the Soviet system and sug- of institutional cohesion, advantageous location, , . gests the kind of alliances, group competition, easy access to the top leadership, and ability to - and political Courtship that probably prevail, articulate their zoals and interests,can be quite : cutting vertically through 'the party organiza- influential.'" Taken together they ruprument it ,. tion. . : wide spectrum of opinion, and in the setting of - Not Just Western but also Communist oligarchical rule rule there is bound to be some cor- though not as yet Soviet) political thinkers are respondence between their respective stances comirig to recognize more and more openly the Communist- and those of the top leaders. This spectrum is ; existence of group conflict even in a dominated society. A Slovak jurist recently ob- represented in simplified fashion by the chart on this page, which takes cumulative account of served: the principal divisions, both on external and on domestic issues, that have perplexed Soviet po- The social interest in our. society can be demo- litical life during the last decade or so." Obvi- eratically formed only by the integration of ously,.the table is somewhat arbitrary and also group interests; in the process of this intcgra- highly speculative. Individuals and groups tion, the interest groups,protect their own eco- 12 A schematic distribution of these groups is indicated nomic and other social tuterests; this is in no by the following approximate figures: (A) amorphous so- way altered by the fart that everything appears cial forces that in the main express passively broad social on the surface as a unity .of interests.:!' aspirations: workers and peasants, about SS million; white collar and technical intelligentsia, about 21 million. (B) specific interest groups that promote their own, panic- The author went on to stress that the key poli- lar interests: the literary and artistic community, about tical problem facing the Communist system is 75 thousand; higher-level scientists, about 150 thousand; that of achieving Integration ot group interests. u physicians, about 380 thousand. (C) policy groups whose interests necessarily spill over into broad matters of na- Traditionally, this function of integration has tional policy:, industrial managers, about 200 thousand; been monopolized by the party, resorting?since state and collective farm chairmen, about 45 thousand; the discard of terror?to the means of bureau- commanding military personnel, about SO thousand; cra:ia arbitration. In the words of the author higher-level state bureaucrats, about 250 thousand. These groups are integrated by the professional apparatchiki, I just cire8, "the party as the leading and direct- who number about 150-200 thousand. All of these groups ing 'Political force fulfills its functions by resolv-. in turn could be broken down into sub-units; e.g., the ing intra.-class and inter-class interests." In do- Eter....,-' community, institutionally built around several , journa'ls, can be divided into hard-liners, the centrists, and ing so, the party generally has preferred to deal the progressives, etc. Similarly, the military. On some with each group bilaterally, thereby preventing ,issues, there may be cross-interlocking of sub-groups, as the formation of coalitions and informal group well as more-or-less temporary coalitions of groups. See . consensus. In this way the unity of political di- Z. Brzezinslci and S. Huntington, Political Power: US/I- USSR, New York, Viking Press, 1964, Ch. 4, for further rection as well as the political supremacy of the discussion. - . ruling party have been maintained. The party IP An obvious example is the military command; bureau- , has always been very jealous of its "integrative", eraticolly cohesive and with a specific esprit de corps, lo-' cote41 in Moscow, necessarily in frequent contact with. prerogative, and the intrusion on the political the top leaders, and possessing its own journals of opinion. ' ' scene of any other group has been strongly re- (where strategic and hence also?indirectly?budgetary, -sented.- The party's institutional primacy has foreign, and other issues can he discussed ).. 2" The categories "systemic left," etc., are adapted from thus depended on limiting the real participation R. R. Levine's hook, The Arms Debate (Cambridge, of other groups. Mass., Harvard University Press, 1963), which contains If, for one reason or another, the party were a suggestive chart of American opinion on internatimial issues. By "systemic left" is meant here a radical reformist to weaken in the performance of this function, outlook, challenging the predominant values of the existing - the only alternative to anarchy would be some system; by "systemic right" is meant an almost reactionary iiistqutionalizedprocess of mediation, replacing return to past values; the other three categories designate differences of degree within a dominant "mainstream." In the chart below (unlike Levine's), the center position serves as a dividing line, and hence no one is listed directly 21 M. Lakatos, "On Some Problems of the Structure of . under. it. IVIalenkcv is listed as ."systemic left" because his Our Political System," Pravny obior (Bratislava), No. 1, proposals reoesented at the time a drastic departure from 1965, as, quoted in Gordon Skilling's.illuminating paper, established positions. Molotov is labeled "systemic right" "Interest Groups and Communist Politics," read to the StaliniSt systat because of h._,'-. incIinrationagfetbndsttl(A 'essentials of tlib9, : Cl kliibiSf6-itaillS6i2Chtfgotdi iordefil-965.? since Stalin's deat . 1 Approved For Release 1-9-99/0-9/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Policy Spectrum USSR Mergina Systemic Left Left Centrist Right Systemic r? ? Malenkov Khrushchev Kosygin Brezbnev Kozlor Molotov Podgorny Mikoyan Shelepin Suzlov Kaganovich Voronov Regional Central Agitprop Consumer Apparat Apparat Goods Industry Light Heavy Industry 'Industry Military Conventional Innovators Army . Agronomists MiniSterial Secret Scientisth Bureaucrats Police Moscow-Economic Economic Leningrad Refbrmers Computators Intellectuals (Liberman) (Nernthinov) I ;.rty's bureaucratic a rb tra don. Since, as noted, group participation has become more wideipread, while the party's effectiveness in achieving integration has been lessened by the decline, in the vigor of Soviet leadership and by the .persistent divisions in the, top echelon, the creation and eventual formal institutionaliza- tior_9f some such process of mediation is gaining in urgency. Otherwise participation could .out- -run institutionalization and result in a challenge to the party's integrative function. ' 7.77? .2.1.....hrushchev's practice of holding enlarged Centrai Committee plenums, with representa- tives of other groups present, seems to have be,l) a step towards formalizing a more regular comultative procedure. (It also had the politi- ealiy expedient effect of bypassing Khru- shchey's opponents in the central leadership.) Such enlarged plenums provided a consultative forum, where policies could be debated, views articulated, and. even some contradictory in- terests resolved. Although the device still re- mained essentially non-institutionalized and only ad hoc, Consultative and not legislative, Nril 1 subject to domination by the party a:pparat, it was nonetheless a response to the new quest for real participation that Soviet society has manifested and which the Soviet system badly needs. It was also a compromise solution, at- tempting to wed the party's primacy to a pro- cedure allowing group articulation. However, the problem has become much more complex and fundamental because of the organi- zational and ideological crisis in the party over its relevance to the evolving Soviet system. For many years the party's monopoly of power and hence its active intervention in all spheres of Soviet life could indeed be said to be "in the Soviet' public interest." The party provided social mobilization, leadership, and a dominant outlook for a rapidly changing and developing society. But, in the main, that society has now taken shape. It is no longer malleable, subject to simple mobilization, or Susceptible to doctri- naire ideological manipulation. As a result, Soviet history in the last few years has been dominated by the spectacle of a party in search of a role. What is to be the function of an ideocratic party in a relatively complex and industrialized society, in which the structure of social relationships generally reflects the party's ideological preferences? To be sure, like any large sociopolitical system, the Soviet system needs an integrative organ. But the question is, What is the most socially desirable way of achieving such integration? Is a "strong" party one that dominates and interferes in everything, and is this interference conducive to continued Approved For Release 1999/09/02 1FIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release.1999/09102 : Soviet economic, political and intellectual growth? In 1962 Khrushchev tried to provide a solu- tion. The division of the party into two verti- cally parallel, functional organs was an attempt to make the party directly relevant to the econ- omy and to wed the party's operations to pro- duction processes. It was a bold, dramatic and radical innovation, reflecting a recognition of the need to adapt the party's role to a new state of Soviet social development. But it was also a dangerous initiative; it carried within itself the potential of political disunity as well as the possibility that the party would become so absorbed in economic affairs that it would lose its political and ideological identity. That it was rapidly repudiated by Khrushchev's succes- sors is testimony to the repugnance that the re- organization must have stimulated among the professional party bureaucrats. His successors, having rejected Khrushchev's reorganization of the party, have been attempt- ing a compromise solution?in effect, a policy of "muddling through." On the one hand, they recognize that the party can no longer direct the entire Soviet economy from the Kremlin and that major institutional reforms in the economic sphere, pointing towards more local autonomy and decision-making, are indis- pensable.22 (Similar tendencies are apparent elsewhere?e.g., the stress on professional self- management in the military ? establishment.) This constitutes a partial and implicit acknowl- edgment that in some respects a party of total control is today incompatible with the Soviet : public interest. On the other hand, since obviously inherent , in the trend towards decentralization is the : danger that the party will be gradually trans- formed from a directing, ideologically-oriented organization to a merely instrumental and prag- matic body specializing in adjustment and com- promise of social group aspirations, the party functionaries, out of a sense of vested interest, have been attempting simultaneously to revive : the ideological vitality of the CPSU. Hence the renewed stress on ideology and ideological train- the report delivered by A. Kosygin to the CC , Plc mill on Sept. 27, 1965, proposing the reorganization of . the Soviet ? economy. Also his speech at a meeting of the USSR State Planning Committee, Planovoe oziaistvri (Moscow) April 1965; and the frank discussion by A.. E. Lunev, "Democratic Centralism. in Soviet State Adminis- tratian'"45106Vderk5f/A6reffg4ligggibft2 4, 1965. 16. CIA-RIDP79-01194A0003001200Q1-P ing; hence the new importance attachea to the ? work of the ideological commissions; and hence the categorical reminders that "Marxist educa- tion, Marxist-Leninist training, and the ideolog- ical tempering of CPSU members and candidate members is the primary concern of every party organization and committee." 23 Ti owever, it is far from certain that eco- nomic decentralization and ideological "re- tempering" can be pushed forward hand in hand. The present leadership appears oblivious to the fact that established ideology remains vital only when ideologically motivated power is applied to achieve ideological pals. A gradual reduc- tion in the directing roll of the party cannot be compensated for by an increased emphasis on ideological semantics. Economic decentraliza- tion inescapably reduces the scope of the politi- cal-ideological and increases the realm of the pragmatic-instrumental. It strengthens the trend, publicly bemoaned by Soviet ideologists, toward depolitization of the Soviet elite:2! A massive indoctrination campaign directed at the elite cannot operate in a "de-ideologized" socio- economic context, and major efforts to promote such a campaign could, indeed, prompt the social isolation of the party, making its dogmas even more irrelevant to the daily concerns o: a Soviet scientist, factory director, or army gen- eral. That in turn would further reduce the abil- ity of the party to Provide effective integration in Soviet society, while underscoring the party apparatchik's functional irrelevance to the workings of Soviet administration and tech- nology. If the party rejects a return to ideological dogmas and renewed dogmatic indoctrination, it unavoidably faces the prospect of further internal change. It will gradually become a loose , body, combining a vast variety of specialists, engineers, scientists, administrators, profes- sional. bureaucrats, agronomists, etc. Without a 23 "Ideological Hardening of Communists" (editorial), Pravda, June 28, 1965. There have been a whole series of articles in this vein, stressing the inseparability of ideologi- cal and organizational work. For details of a proposed large-scale indoctrination campaign, see V. Stepakov, head of the Department of Propaganda and Agitation of the Central Committee of the CPSU, "Master the Great Teaching of Marxism-Leninism," Pravda, Aug. 4, 1965. 24 Stepakov, ibid., explicitly states that in recent years "many comrades" who have assumed leading posts in the "directive aktivs" of the party have inadequate ideological knowledge, even though they have excellent technical back- grounds; and he urges steps against the "replacement" of party training "by professional-technical education." CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 common dogma and without an active Program, what will hold these people togsther? The party at this stage w?ill face the same dilemma that the fascist and falange parties faced, and that cur- rently confronts the Yugoslav and Polish Com- munists: in the absence of a large-scale domcstic program of change, in the execution of which other groups and Institutions become subordi- nated to the party, the party's domestic pri- macy declines rind .its ability to provide ocia1- political is negated. Moreover, the Soviet party leaders would be wrong to assume Complacently that the nar- rowed range of disagreement over domestic policy alternatives Could not again widen. Per- sistent difficulties in :Igriellit Ilre C0111(1 some day prompt a political aspirant xo question the value of collectivization; Or the dissatisfaction of some ;lationalities could :mpose a major stram on the Soviet constitutional structure; or foreign af- fairs could again become the source of bitter internal conflicts. The ability of the system to withstand the combi!ned impact of such divisive ues and of greater group intrusion into pol- itics would much depend on .the adaptations tliat it makes in its organization of leadership and in its processes of decision-making. Unless alternative mechanisms of integration are created, a situation could arise in which some group other than the top apparat?a group that had continued to attract talent into its top ra:nks and had not been beset by bureaucrat- ically debilitating Conflict at the top?could step forth to seek power; invoking the Soviet public interest in the name of established Com- munist ideals, and offering itself (probably in coalition with some section of the party leader- ship) as the only alternative to chaos, it would attempt to provide :a new balance between in- stitutionalization arid .participation. The Threat o:f .egerloration The Soviet leaders have recognized the need of institutional reforms in the economic sector in order to revitalize the national economy. The fact is that institutional reforms are just as badly needed?and even more overdue?in the political sector. Indeed, the effort to maintain .a doctrinaire dictatorship over an increasingly modern and industrial society has already con- tributed to a reopening of the gap that existed in prerevolutionary Russia between the political systeg and Aercixo therebimw e thre PPM glE 1#10?# A political system can be said to degenerate when there is a perceptible decline in the quality of the social talent that the political leadership attracts to itself in competition with other groups; when there is persistent division within the ruling elite, accompanied by a decline in its . commitment to shared beliefs; when :there is protracted instability in the top leadership; ? when there is a decline in the capacity of the , ruling elite to (lane the purposes of the political system in relationship to society arid to express them in effective institutional terms; when there is a fuzzing of institutional and hierarchical lines. of command, resulting in the uncontrolled and unehanneled intrusion into politics of hith- erto politically uninvolved groupings." All of these indicators were discernible in the political systems of Tsarist Russia, the French Third Republic, Chiang Kai-Shek's China and Ra- kosi's Hungary. Today, as already noted, at least several are apparent in the Soviet politicalsystem. This is not to say, however, that the evolution of the Soviet system has inevitably turned into degeneration. Much still depends on how the ruling Soviet elite reacts. Policies of retrench- ment, increasing dogmatism, and even violence, which?if now applied?would follow almost a decade of loosening Up, could bring about a grave situation of tension, and the possibility of revolutionary outbreaks could not be discounted entirely. "Terror is indispensable to any dicta- torship, but it cannot compensate for incom- petent leaders and a defective organization of authority," observed a historian of the French revolution, writing of the Second Directory." It is equally truc of the Soviet political scene. Thi: threat a degeneration could be lessened through several adaptations designed to adjust the Soviet political system to the changes that have taken place an the now more mature so- First of all, the top policy-making organ ; of the Soviet system has been traditionally the exclusive preserve of the professional politician, and in many respects this has assured the Soviet political system of able and experienced leader- ship. However, since a professional bureaucracy is not prone to produce broad "generalizing" talents, and since the inherent differentiation of functions within it increases the likelihood of leaders with relatively much narrower speciali- zation than hitherto was the case,_ the need for 25 For a general discussion and a somewhat different formulation, see S. Huntington, "Political Development ClA-Rpp, 415-17. AAGIa03011120004k0, New York, 17 Columbia University Press, 1965, Vol. II, p. 205. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 somewhat broader representation of social talent within the top political leadership, and not merely on secondary levels as hitherto, is , becoming urgent. If several outstanding scien- tists. professional economists, industrial rnanag,- ers, and. others were to be co-opted by lateral entry into the ruling Presidium, the progressive transformation of the leadership into a regime of clerks: could they be averted, and the alienation . of other groups from the political system 'perhaps halted. Secondly, the Soviet leaders would have to institutionalize a chief executive office and .? strive to endow it with legitimacy and stability. This would eventually require the creation of a formal and open procesS of leadership selection, . as well?probably---as a time.,,Iimit on the ten- ure of the chief executive position. The time limit, if honored, would deperorihlize Power, ? while an institutionalized process of selection geared to a specific date?and therefore also - limited .in time?would reduce the debilitating effects of unchecked ,and protracted conflict in the top echelons of power. 777 1.1 he CPSU continues to be an ideocratic 'party with .a strong tradition of dogmatic in- 'tolerance and organizational discipline. Today less militant and more bureaucratic in outlook, it still requires a, top catalyst, though no longer a personal tyrant, for effective operations. The ..example of the papacy, or perhaps of Mexico, where a ruling party has created a reasonably effective system of presidential succession, offers - a demonstration of how one-man rule can be combined with a formal office of the chief execu- tive, endowed with legitimacy, tenure and a for- mally established pattern of selection. Any real institutionalization of power would have significant implications for the natty. If its Central Committee were to become in effeet.an, electoral college, selecting a ruler whom no one could threaten during his tenure, the process of selection would have to be endowed with con- siderable respectability. It would have to be much more than a mere ratification of an a priori decision reached by some bureaucratic. cabal, ?The process would require tolerance for the expression of diverse opinions in a spirit free of dogmatism, a certain amount of open COM- ! petition among rivals for power, and perhaps even the - formation of informal coalitions?at least temporary ones. In a word,. it would mean a break with the Leninist past, with conse- ? quences that would unavoidably spill over from ? the party into the entire system and society. Thirdly, increased social participation in poli- ? tics unavoidably creates the need for an insti- tutionalized arena for the mediation of group interests, if tensions and conflicts, and eventu- ally perhaps even anarchy, are to be avoided. The enlarged plenums of the Central Commit- tee were a right beginning, but if the Committee to irtediuto aFitictivoly grnoill? tha intioty institutional and group interests that now exist in Soviet society, its membership will have to be made much more representative and the pre- dominance of party bureaucrats watered down. Alternatively, the Soviet leaders might con- sider following the Yugoslav course of creating a new institution for the explicit purpose of pro- viding group representation and reconciling dif- ferent interests. In either case, an effective organ of mediation could not be merely a front, for the party's continued bureaucratic arbitra- tion of social interests, as that would simply perpetuate the present dilemmas. Obviously, the implefinentation of such insti- tutional reforms would eventually lead to a pro- found transformation of the Soviet system. But it is the absence of basic institutional develop- ment in the Soviet political system that has posed the danger of the system's degeneration. It is noteworthy that the Yugoslays have been experimenting with political reforms, including new institutions, designed to meet precisely the probldrns and dangers discussed here. Indeed, in the long run, perhaps the ultimate contribu- tion to Soviet political and social development that the CPSU can make is to adjust gracefully to the desirability, and perhaps even inevitabil- ity, of its own 'gradual withering away. In the meantime, the progressive transformation of the bureaucratic Communist dictatorship into a more pluralistic and institutionalized political system?even though still a system of one-party rule?seems essential if its degeneration is to be averted. Brzezinski is Director of the Research Insti- te on Communist Affairs, Columbia Univer- ,.i:y. His books include The Soviet Bloc: Unity ..nd Conflict (Cambridge, Harvard University Press, 196o) and Alternative to Partition (New York, McGraw Hill, 1965). Approved For Release 1999/09/02g CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 ; THE WASHINGTON POST gatanley, Peb 6,1971' rezhn.ev cmains the lominant e dership CPYRGHT Figure in Soviet ? Dy Anthony Astrachan ? Washiniton Post Torsion ElervIes MOSCOW, Feb. 5?Leonid, Brezhnev remains the domi- nant figure in the collective, Soviet leadership as the Communist Party conducts final preparations for the? 24th Party Congress, which begins March 30. This is the virtually unanif mous view of Western, neu- tral and Communist observ- ers here. But as one ambaso sador remarked, "There are-. no degrees? of knowledge% about what. goes on in the Kremlin?only degrees of Ignorance." Nobody who re- members the surprise ouster of Matt Khrushchev in Oc- tober, 1964, will make confi- dent predictions about how long Brezhnev will remain the chief beneficiary of the Kremlin balance of power. Since surviving the last teriotis challenge to his dominance last July, the general secretary has gar- nered ? several harvests cif, publicity reminiscent , of Khrushchev. They seemed efforts. to add to ,his per.; tonal stature while mobiliz-, ng public support for the +arty congress. He made three major peeches in republic capitals letween the end of August nd the end of November. ;lach included significant oreign policy -pronounce- aents. Each got heavy preSs nd television play, and one epublic party leader re- erred to Brezhnev as "head f the politburo," a violation f collective protocol. ?On New Year's Eve,. rezhnev broke , precedent nd delivered the traditional 'ew Year message person- , ay on radio and television 1) millions of Soviets funed t to hear the Kremlin times usher in the new !ar. No Soviet' Party leader ad ever done this before'. ii recent years, Yuri Levi"?' 1st, a well-known and Sow- us announcer, had read an itonymoug enitql-F ge from the ptt and gov,!% : nment. Braahnav Shia?110thing 010, ,nificant in the speech. He , portrayed 1970 hs a year,ofl ' Soviet triumphs at horne' and abroad and said 1971.4 would be even better. I3nt the Soviet press ran_ the full _ , text in all major papers on; , New Year's Day, and four more articles on it appeared? in a variety of papers in the ;text three days. , ,Kosygin Interview Premier , Kosygin, whom Westerners often assume to, differ from Brezhnev in poi- . itburo debates, gave an unu. SUM interview to tho Japan, nese newspaper Asahi Shim- bun Jan. 2, which was also ? printed in the Soviet press. Ile too made important for- eign policy comments. Kosy-- gin has also been the chief Soviet voice denouncing the invasion of Laos this week. Some observers said this was a normal division of. labor. Others thought ? it might have been arranged to remind Brezhnev and the party that he does not stand , alone- in. the letzdership. But, none tbought 11 a challenge' to his position in the group. ' Brezhnev, in fact, has? shown' his pre-eminence by , intervening in functions.? that used to be thought of as governmental?i.e., Kosy- gin's. ? In October, he played the leading Soviet role in the visit of French President' Georges Pompidou, for inat- ,ance.? . ; ? In. December, the central' '.tottunittee?of which Brezi.) nev is general secretary?!.,, ..clecided . to "instruct" the goVernment to sub- :mit, the draft ' plan and, budget for 1971 to Supreme ,Soviet. The central commit- %tee always considers the Tian and budget first, and party control .18 a basic fact of Soviet life, but this WaS the first time it openly as- serted formal control of gov- ernment actions In_ thts_ wax. o rate I easeeti9S810192i2 another Brezhnev, bid to ex. member, who would thus be pand Ms power. ' 19 , This week, , Brezhnev ,played a major role in the ,visit of Syrian leader Hafez Assad, who himself com- bines state and party jobs. Dominance Continues The general secretary's. dominance in the party lead- ership has continued into, the 4)eriod before the party; 'congress when political con-, filets usually increase in scope and acerbity. In fact,, there is little evidence of in-, tensifying struggle this year, though the Kremlin pot has been simmering steadily' since July. The number of changes in regional and republic party jobs during the past year has been smaller than be- fore previous congresses. As, of today, 47 of the 147 re- gional committees have held ,pre-congress conferences?a small proportion for this stage?and only one of the. 47 changed first. secretaries. at its conference. Little change presumably ..means little challenge to the present leadership as a new central committee is formed; for election at the party con-, gram. Many of MO ohangoa ,that have taken place have benefited men previously sociated with Brezhnev or reduced the power of men thought to belong to oppos- ing camps. ?? . Crisis in the major prob- lem areas of Soviet life ?could always change this. ?But so far the Soviet leaders have preferred to muddle through economic troubles, political and cultural restric- tions and national minority; problems rather than make Anajor changes _ ,and risk -their jabs/ ' . ? Not even publication of the Khruilichev memoirs No the West poses . a serlota, danger to Brezhnev, in the,, Moscow view. ,Observers.: elsewhere have suggested; that the memoir material *OM challenging Brezhnev. A few Muscovites think it possible that a politburo member was involved,' but most ob- servers, agree that the mate- rials 'could have been ex-, ported withoufthe participvi tion of any high-level protee-- 'tor. . Some faction may have,: seen the Khrushehev book as a tool to help stop the ret !'vival of Stalinism. That does! :not necessarily make it ,st. tool to dislodge BrezhneV.! 'He survived a more danger. ous tool?a direct ?.appettl! from Soviet intellectuals to avoid rehabilitating Stalin :at the 23rd Party Congress! in 1966. ? - 'Mending Fences The last real challenge to- Brezhnev's leadership came in July, when some still'un- 'disclosed trauma compelled the holding of two central' 'committee meetings in 11' 'days and the postponement of the party congress from last fall to next March. 'Brezhnev cancelled a sched- uled trip to Romania be-. ' tween plenums to stay home and mend fences. ' ? The two likeliest reasons,. Moscow observers think, , were opposition to Brezh- ,nev's farm policy and to 'plans for changes in the, ;leadership. At the first j?tily `Brezhnev laid doWn farm ;policy for the new five-year' .plan,- calling for a major in-, crease in investment in agri-' eulture and the diversion Of some defense and' heavy In. dustry production td farm tools. % In one sense, this meant ,tho mama approach to and.' culture as before?more' money and bigger projects, Instead of better technology. But the decision to put: , more . money , Into, farming. 'Suggested Maier changes in', 0042190420804 4 Soviet re-.' :sources. This may '..,havel iltirred real opposition: 'the; ..reeurring hsattlo rivist;fiftitIdel CPYRGHT Approved For Release 19991U91U2 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 for heavy .. industry, zsumer gond,..-agricultue, defense and social. servicesi Is as critical here as any, Washington struggle such asi those over Indochina, race and urban needs. Brezhnev's presumable op- ponents on farm policy' make an odd combination: military 1Oby1t find the "metal-eaters who favor heavy industry, both hating to lose funds to farmers; re-, rform-minded pragmatists who want to invest less in agriculture. because it pro- , duces a smaller return on the investment ruble thani any other sector of the So-, eeonomy, and party, hacks in major regional and; republic jobs, who hate any change in the status quoi ' that they oversee. Under Conununist prow:: Hee, the representatives of these pressure groups could not object to the farm policy, adopted Bies' 'once the central committee!dopted it. ut their cr kthat the policy demanded re-i consideration of five-yearl 'plan guidelines could have, 'forced Brezhnev to postpone the congress at which thei plan would be adopted, :ReplaCentents?' ? . It l?lso possible?that the i party congress had to be', ? postponed because the cen-' ? tral. committee could notj . agree on proposals to re-i 'place some of the top lead-1 ..;ers placement that would; ?,have to be revealed at theS "congress. ? 1 Six of the 11 politburo members will be 65 or older) ; this year, including Brezh-t net. Some or all will die or retire In the five-year period' , for which the congress will; set policy. The men at the top undoubtedly want to plan smooth transitions, but ? might encounter arguments one or two levels down. It is possible that the July, 'trauma occurred because .Premier Kosygin actually :wanted to retire and either 'the politburo could not' agree on who should replace him, or the central commit.' tee would not accept a polit- ? tburo choice. Moscow speCulation cert. ? tered on two possibilities. One was that the central committee refused to accept" politburo member and First Deputy Premier Dmitri Po-. lyansky as Kosygin's succes-. sor. If this did happen, therel Is no guarantee it was a; blow to Brezhnev. . The other possibility was that Brezhnev wanted te combine the top party and government jobs, as Joseph Stalin and Nikita Khrush- chev did, and that either the politburo or the central' committee refused to pi! along. That would have been ! roe rebuff. But Brezhnev was stiff selected to deliver the r report at the party congress?a selection an. flounced at the second July plenum. He appears to have .strengthened his position since, within recognized lim- its. Only the party congress Itself is likely to reveal whether his position has been significantly. weakened lbehind the facade Of in Ittreasing strength. THE ECONOMIST D./MEMBER lb,' 1969 os.2y 71 ? cis CJ1 VZ) tea.? If Marx went to Mr Brezhnev's Russia he would diagnose a classic case of CP`69ra4Tevolutionary situation hcre is a young man who claims he knows for sure Which ?untry is today the sick man of Europe. According to ndrei Amalrik, thc 31-year-old Russian historian who is . present growing cucumbers and tomatoes in a little village !ar Moscc.)w, it is Mr Brezhnev's Russia. " I have no nibt," he writes in an essay whose full text is published the west this week, "that this great eastern Slav empire,, emud by the Germans, Byzantines and Mongols, ha:, entered .e last decades of its existence." He is in fact prepared be quite precise: the downfall of the. Soviet Union will kc place by 1984,' and its cause will be war with China. From outside Russia this prophecy might seem strange a year which has seen a number. of successes fdr Soyiet reign policy: a pacified Czechoslovakia ; an acquiescent mem Europe ; a western world once again ready to do _minas with Russia ; and, in the far cast, a China down Dm its high horse and talking about the quarrel over c borders. Mr Brezhnev and his colleagues, who have pulled is off without actually falling out with one another, .might el they are not doing too badly. .Mr Amalrik's message that they would be wrong. He says that thc Soviet 'regime, C'YRGHT oftwwwwwwWwwwwwoma..wowwwlorawilmo ow Approved For Release 1999/09/02: the economy and Ultimately in politics. This is the. pC most , peoi..tc still cling to ; he rejects it on the l'aund that liberalisation caxt, occur only when there Is a' lan to liLvralise, or at least evidence of a systematic liberali- Ittion in practice. The past three years have made it plain hat there is no such plan or practice in -Russia. It is perhaps inevitable that Mr Amalrilt should see the Itimate soitition in terms of a Sino-Soviet War, Whether !lich a war, is likely is hotly debated in the w,?::. On ?vhel-, those who specialise in Chinese drain; tend to y it is not, because the Russians could not hope to impo:,e new ?gOVC.-.1MCIlt on China and nothing less will really Mve their problem. Other people see such a war as some. Ong a divided Russian regime might embark on. as a way tit of its internal and foreign dilemmas. But whate'..er I he hances of war, it must be said that Mr Anadriles analysis the situation inside the, Soviet Union itself rings depressingly ritie. Russia's leaders are trapped in a kind of fiozen immo- iflity. They know. that the country needs economic reforiu, fLonly to ensure continued economic groWth and to narrow c technological gap between the communist and capitalist ?iorlds. But they realise from the examples of Jugoslavia and lzechosloval that economic reform almost inevitably leads ? political reform. And that they will not countenance. They have one hope. it isl that their present system can dmehow be made to work well enough to keep most people tappy in a kind, of soclalist Consumer ?society.' This society night not be of a kind to appeal to people like .Mr ic scornfully rejects the idea of a " socialism with bare *es " of mini-skirts, foreign tourists and jazz records?but d. a lot of ordinary Russians it might provide just enough :4mfort and security to make them .forget 'about politics. But ?Ips.s!a is far from achieving. such a society. nven in housing, WAJ I CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 which has clearly been given high priority, the progress is still. slow. From 1959 to 1965 it is reckoned that a third 'of the population obtained new or improved accommodation. Yet as recently as two years" ago there were, on average, Imore than two persons per room., in the Soviet Union, a ratio far worse than that in most west European countwies. The Soviet Union's leaders need outside help to ensure the kind of growth that could help them to put zlies.tbin right and make material life in their country more attractive to its ritizen8; That is perhaps:one of the main factors behind. the present drive for closer economic tics with the west. This is for Russia a political as much as an economic issue. The ,question is whether the Soviet economic system can make proper use of western economic aid even if it gets it. . And there is another great question about the stability.. .of the Soviet Union. This is ;he growing demand from non-,' Russians in .the Soviet Unio0 for greater equality with the -Russians. This may not be as pressing a problem at the moment as. that of living standards. It may become so in .: a few years' time, when the Russians will lose their present numerical superiority. But to grant . greater rights to the .various nationalities would be even more difficult for the :regime than to grant ordinary civil .rights. To keep such a vast country together you. probably do need a very strong government at the .centre. To allow its component parts any degree of real autonomy would be to invite disintegration'. Mr Brezhncv and Mr Kosygin arc not going to let that happen ; and it is hard to see any of their likely successors ' risking it. either. Wherever one looks in Russia, one \sees 'a government sitting, on . the status quo, and lacking\ any mechanism for a peaceful and orderly adaptation to change. .That is what Lenin's one-party system has led to. But ho4 long can you just sit ,oa your problems?., NEWS 13 January 1971 speec4,treachei West ? c114 A (44 134 Pi RUZEIC Le don Express Service 1 I ie Longress of the Soviet Communist Par- ', due to start on March 30, may reintroduce ahnism and do away with the last remnants Irushchev's ideas about liberalization ,in all 'h res of Russian life. This startling forecast was made in a speech , Czech Stalinists in Prague by Yuri Starikov, Tretary of .the Soviet Embassy. The details the speech have Just reached .the West by .1 Undisclosed route. "kruschev's ideas, that cancer on the body ! oirununism, will be eradicated by the 24th ingress of the Soviet Communist Party," Mr. :arikov told 'a dinner meeting of about 40 trd-liners in 'Vihohrady, on . pe : oxitOsir NAIL': -:ague4.. .. . 'CORNING POINT ? - 1 "Is the past 14 years, (since the 1956 party ingress at which Krushchev denounced ,Sta- a) Stalin's thesis about the sharpening of? the' chief. 2fr.tiletzp?ALpolic.curtetlftans.lti astbattle and njIppieriesyeidciFitipilte433a$011 Oplipe vrrit4A000300120001-0 into the party has been proved, right," Mr.. Starikov declared. Ile continued: "The 24th party congress will be a turnihg pOint." Afterwards we will again build bridges) across to our Chinese com- rades." The speech was made at the end of Novem; ber, at the time when the Czech hard-liners tried to topple moderate party leader Gustav Husak. Western analysts-of SOViet 'affairs ',regard Mr. Starikov's strange remarks as deliberate-, ly made iflz behalf of a strong group of Russian Politburo members and' some high Russian army officers who have been pressing '4n. the' background for Stalin's full rehabilitation. TOUGH LINE Among them are reported to be Politburo Members such as Aleksander Shelepin, former forms, and some marshals of the Soviet am who in the past years publicly extolled Stall as a great military leader. Some Western analysts are inclined to gard the latest crisis in the relations betwet Moscow and Washington as another proof the coming re-Stalinization. In their view, the tough Russian line again the United States has been forced on a reiu tant Drezhnev and Kosygin by the neo-Stalini group- which is apparently gaining the uppo hand. 21 LE MONDE, Paris Weekly Apitirizteddff okoReleas6 13 January 1971 CPYRGHT PifintW Imitiagatiiikor 0 Edditaiiie ?.. zft9 adida 1-0 ? The-. XXIV I Soviet Communist Party Congress, due to open in Moscow on March 30, -11 highly . likely to set' the party 'seal ' on oire-litalinisation," According to a Soviet Embassy official in Prague. Mr. ' Starikov "believed the next Congress would ring in a new era in the USSR' by rescinding ? the 1056 XX Congress's condemnation of Stalinism" and.' finally- extir- pating "the'poison of Ktirusheti-; . ? ? ;..?-? ? The 'ataterrient, 'just ;,reVealed, Was made by Mr.-StaxikeC 'on' No- vember 18 at'a function attended by forty iiltra-tobservativeCzecho- glovak OommmilelM. Events ' tzeehoslevaitio;" the diplomat said, should be assessed ! in the broadest :context taking into consideration developments since- the XX. Soviet, Communist Party Congress. ? . The. extent ,to which the struggle against the personality cult had harmed 'the .international. Communist moved :anent in ',Hungary, ' Foland and' 'Czechoslovakia had yet to bl rialized, Mr. Starikov ,added. He charged that former 'Soviet Prime.' Minister Khrtt; shellac's attack on Stalin. htui paved the way :for this and said; "Krushchaism is'a poison- in the 'bloodstream of 'the international Cem.munist Movement, and if the movement is" to regain its health this poison must be eliminated/ The' past fourteen years have proved the rightness of 'Stalin's thesis on the aggravation of the class straggle in conditions of socialism, and the penetration of the class enemy into the .partyi When the -XX Congress rejected this . &leafs- it was opening ' the ,way for enemy penetration into the ranks of Communist Partie& The XXIV Congress must repair this damage." ' Earlier the same day Mr: Starii kov 'attended a rally organized by' the "Internationalists" -group at which the' Soviet-Czechoslovak Friendship, t SocietY awarded' dcco4 rations to. Rom factory' workers. Tho' seven verti being cominended- for -having drafted aletter, signed by ninety-nine' 'Of' their factory'S personnel and, sent .'to 'Pravda, daily 2orgati' the' Soviet' Com.:S munist"Party in July 1968. .me letter' protested the policies of former, Czechoslovak' ?Communist Party First Secretary- :Alexander Dubcek, anti' his liberal colleagues But hone Of' the- conservative members of the present. leader ship attended.'. ? ..;! -Josef, Catholle People's Party, and in qP14,3131430012MbiteR4/1eatS,e 1 need for ' the Left Wing irront (neO-Stalinist) to. take the initia-; tire at the, next central' commit- tee session' to Maintain the hard- tine' ,Infludtketi Mr. Finjher, a - former :.fternan Catholic priest Who,' Wes' excommunicated after the campaign against the Church In '1941- and 1950, criticized the Dulicele regime and' some sup! porters of -the Czechoslovak par- ty's 'current first secretary, Ous- ter Husak.' 'Though Mr. Plojhar was not promoted In this month's 'government reshuffle, he Was 'in*. traduced at the -rally..as a .future first vice-premier.; .; ..i??!,, i'? 1-1 Conservative demands ? , The. StarikoV and the Plojhar speeches came almost immediately after Mr. }WWI loft for ,MOSOOW to consult Soviet leaders About the activities of ultra-donservatire 'factions in Czechoslovakia. ? The ,rLeftists" are believed to have made some exacting demands at ' party praesidium meetings on No- vember 16 and November 17. I mr. Husak travelled to the Soviet cap. ital the following. day. ; ? ? ? This futrher 'underlin'ed 'Mit ,Husak's apparent feeling that a speedy' solution tO- the ? problems 'posed by the new 'Leftwas 'vital, for he could have met his Soviet opposite number Leonid 13rezha ner only ? d few days later, In Budapest and discussed it ? all with him personally, had he been willing to wait. , Mr. Brezhnev was due 'there- on November 22 for the_flungarlan. Communist Party Coligress,,.? ;And. the. -plenary see.' Sian of the Czechoslovak Commu- nist -Party, in , Prague,. was . not scheduled until Pecember 10. .., "Exactly how; much weight' do Mr. Starkov's statements ? carry? ? Are 'they merely his own per- spnal opinions, those of a' Soviet splinter-group ? or' do they rep- resent the, official policy of the 'Soviet leadership? His 'remarks, appear closely related to another problem which. must be settled before the XXIV. Soviet Congress convened.' This involves the 'by, now celebrated appeal 'for 'help. from Prague which Moscow still: Invokes to justify the Soviet-led' Invasion of its Warsaw Pact, ally and which, was referred to in the! Pact countries' communique pub-, lished during the night of Augusti 21, 1908, as the tanks rolled In.! Czechoslovakia has so' far- re-. fused officially to acknowledge; any such appeal. But a loadings tiltre.-e,onservative member of, the Ventral Committee titin 81Wream: oral Assembly. Frassiditun, ,1470 trumdell a debate on , the appeal Which Was- signed. by some forty hard-liners. ' ? ? ft IS MG SIM% Itat40,1 hope I that Czechoslovakia, will finally acknowledge "having called for Otte Soviet friends' helli." ' He May liaVe been'aeting on an ' ? understanding with his Left Wing Front colleagues in asking for the debate, while not having the /specific go-ahead from Moscow. At all events, the Central Com- mittee has decided, for the sake of unity, to study the question at 'a future session, probably in Feb. or. , March. ? ,,,The. Soviet Union would prob- ably. .welcome acknowledgement that Czechoslovakia' "asked . 'for help.", .It would certainly smooth over Moscow's: relations with . fern eign Communist parties, among these, the Italian and French 'par- ties, which have still not with- 'drawn their condemnation of the Invasion. 'The recent Polish ?riots however,. Persuade the .So- viet _Union to. forego .this state- ment from. Prague. . Things in ;Czechoslovakia 'appear to have calmed down and 'Moscow, )4 Oast ,on the face of it,' would have.lit- tle?tb gain by.embarrassing Husak :at this stags.'.i ?,:, AMUR BOUSOOLOU tauatuMg-01194A000300120001 -0 ? 22 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 THE NEW YORK TIMES c 19 January 1971 General's MemoirsP Rhrus'raise h hev ? By BERNARD GWERTZMAN, Simla WM, Now York Man 1 CPYRGHT ! MOSCOW, Jan. 19 --- Nikltai S. Khrushchev, who has gone: unpraised in the Soviet Union' since his fall from power six years ago, is? described as a hard-working and %enslave wartime leader by an old as- Societe, ?Marshal Ivan K. Bagramyan, in a book of Memoirs just published. I Marshal Bagramyan. who was deputy chief of staff for opera-1 tions m the Southwestern army' group, at the start of World War II, worked closely with Mr. Khrushchev, who was the party leader in the Ukraine and the Politburo's representative on the military council for the area. , , As long as Mr. Khrushchev iwas the Soviet Union's leader, Marshal Bagramyan was lavish In his praise of Mr. Khrushchev. IThe latest book, "That Is How the War Started," is more re-, served in Rs comments but nevertheless breaks with the Practice begun after Mri l,Khrushchev's fall in 1964 of 'not praising him In print. ' . Up to now, military and party h !stories have dhimply listed Mr. Khrushchev u holding a certain tposition without any pion of We work; , ??,,i', .. , ? Some Color Included But Marshal Bagramyan, att 73 a Deputy Defense Minister' and full member of the party's Central Committee, evidently was permitted to include some color 'about Mr. Khrushchev. Military memoirs in the Soviet Union tend to be more personal and open than more official writings. , Mr. Khrushchev also appears to have been favorably inclined toward Marshal Bagramyan. In oral reminiscences, published abroad as "Khrushchev Ranee hers," the former Soviet leader said of the marshal: "He is a rational: even-hand- ed man. I like him. I can even say I am very fond of him, I have alwar admired him for his sober mind, his party spi- rit, his wide-ranging knowledge of military affairs, and his un- corruptible integrity, and straight forwardness." , r. Marshal Bagramyan, ? In his memoris, tries to convey the sense of disorder in the Ukraine at the start of the war when German troops smashed through Soviet lines on their way to Kiev. , In one scene, he describes the at beadattarters:* ?V "only NIthruclicheV'Sitif not abandon his office: Without interruption messages arrived. there, from Kiev and district centers dealing with further mobilization of the whole popu- lation to rebuff the enemy." Mr. Khrushchev is described R3 having taken part in policy Conferences with military corn-. manders. He is singled out as having prepared Kiev for the Nazi attack, which proved successful: Suicide of Commissar Once, Marshal Bagramyan re- calls, he was ordered by the Southwestern army group com- mander, Lieut. Gen. Mikhail P. Kirponos, to report to mem- bers of the military council on some recent decisions: ."I went with my operational map and ,notes to N.S. Khrush- they. He was? unusually sad. He listened to my report and without hesitation approved It. Learning that I was going to Vashugin [another. member, 0. 1 the council( Nikita Sergeyevich said bltierfy: . - ? ? , , 4 ("Don't go: No . one 'needs to report ,10 hhn atty NikII NilolayoviOli Ma ended his war." Marshal Bagramyan explain- ed that Lieut. Gen. Vashugin, the political commissar, had committed suicide- because of the setbacks in the first days of the German advance. , The memoirs also discuss one of the more controversial as- pects of Soviet military history: Why Stalin insisted on trying 'to defend Kiev in September, 1941, when his military ad- visers urged him to evacuate the city to avoid encirclement and to set up defenses on the eastern bank of the Dnieper River. Eventually the city had to be surrendered and large 'Red army forces were trapped. General Kirponos was among those killed.,Marshal Bagra- myan was with "a group that 'succeeded in breaking out and rejoining the Soviet lines. ' Marshal Bagramyan says the decision to try and hold Kiev "at any price" was taken be- cause Stalin _ told Harry Hop- kins,- Peesident Roosevelt's en. ? voyi in August that the Rai ? Army would hold the lines west, of .?Leningrad, Moscow and ? Kiev. ,;? ;!lia Approved For Release 1999/09/022?CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 March 1971 Soviet Domestic Dilemmas: Economic Crisis and Minority Dissent As time for the 24th Party Congress approaches, the Soviet Politburo finds itself confronted by many domestic dilemmas, not the least of which is its future control of the state. The Politburo's main problem would seem to be the need to find a middle ground in economic reform processes where necessary libfr eralizatiOn can be balanced with maintaining control over the economy.,--.- which in turn is viewed as crucial to holding on to political Control. To date, the scales have tipped in favor of those party dogmatists who saw the Soviet economic reform pro- gram only as a means of improving existing planning mechanisms and against the "revisionist" group who viewed the reform as a means to liberalize the economy by restoring a genuine market mechanism. As a result, the Soviet Union faces an economic crisis brought on by the inability of its inhibited, party- hounded economic machine to respond to the demands of the scientific-technical revolution. Any solution to the USSR's economic crisis hinges also on the extent to which the Soviet Politburo plans to crack down on scientific dissent. There is a growing awareness among Soviet scientists that the censorship and political orthodoxy which prohibit the free exchange of ideas between Soviet scientists and their non-Soviet counterparts are severely handicapping Soviet research and consequently, the country's technological capabilities. It is essentially the fear that the USSR's: technological lag behind the industrial West will eventually confine their country to the status of a second- class power that has motivated many scientists to join the dissidents. in calling for fundamental changes in Soviet life. This has resulted in the amalgamation of scientific and ar- tistic dissent, in itself a major political event, the im- portance of which remains to be seen. The dissident scientists and their artistic allies are not the only vocal protesters in the USSR. A whole spectrum of loosely organized nationalist and minority groups from among the Crimean Tatars, the Baltic and Ukranian separatists, Jews, Baptists, and Christian Socialists are arrayed against the government. In contrast to most of the so-called "intel- lectual dissidents" who hope to change Soviet society within the existing system, most of the minority groups are dedicated to the overthrow of the system --- or at least are opting to get out of the system. Apart from the Jews, the impact of these minorities is hardly felt beyond the confines of the double barbed-wire fences surrounding the USSR's 1,000 or more Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 slave labor camps. Nevertheless, these restless minorities re- present yet another dilemma for the Soviet leadership. There is concern at the growth of nationalist feeling in the USSR and a fear that links may be forged between the "intellectual" dissi- dents and some of the underground opposition forces. Briefly noted in the paragraphs that follow are some aspects of the weightier domestic dilemmas that might have a bearing on the course of events at the 24th Party Congress. ECONOMIC CRISIS "If the Soviet Union is to survive," wrote historian Andrey Amalrik, "it must undergo a total transformation. But if the present leadership is to survive, everything must remain exactly as it is." And therein lies the great dilemma. In economic terms, Amalrik's observation means that the inherited and con- tinuing Stalinist command structure is inadequate for an increas- ingly mature, consumer-oriented economy. Decision-making should ideally be decentralized and delegated to local levels and en- terprises, subject to planning of key products. Yet, Brezhnev plans to force "intensive growth" (which requires the continu- ing introduction of new technology) through strong centraliza- tion of decision-making with local supervision by the Party bureaucracy, directed from the center. The economic reform toward decentralization and recogni- tion of economic realities, launched in 1965 (the so-called "Liberman program"), has failed. Basic to this economic reform failure is the Soviets' refusal to admit the existence of such a thing as a "demand factor." To have succeeded, the reform should have been accompanied by more rational and flexible prices, less central control over the allocation of materials, and relief from the chronic shortages of raw materials. The leadership has given DO indication that the necessary radical changes will be introduced any time in the near future. Just about all the same economic problems preoccupy Soviet officials today as did in 1966: the volume of unfinished con- struction and of uninstalled machinery continues to mount; in- vestment capital is "dissipated" among too many projects; cen- tral planners interfere in the operation of factories; enter- prise plans are altered mid-stream; bureaucratic impediments frustrate procurement of supplies and sales of products; and in addition to a too high labor turnover; most Soviet industrial enterprises suffer from overstaffing and the underutilization of labor. In the past two years, emphasis has been on management discipline as the cure-all for many economic problems. There Approved For Release 1999/09/02 :2CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 has been an attempt to correct by Government decrees such abuses as top-heavy staffs, squandering of funds, hiding of reserves, unofficial adjustment of prices, etc. Early last year chief planner Baibakov noted that management leaders who failed to fulfill plans had to be strictly punished "right up to removal from their posts." Obviously, however, no economy can flourish if its managers are too intimidated to take risks. Continued lowering of production goals is another key to the sluggish state of the economy: steell production that was to have hit 130 million tons by 1970 is now targeted at 120 million tons for 1971; up to 850 billion kilowatts of electric power had been planned for 1970 and now the goal for 1971 is lowered to 790 bil- lion kilowatts; in 1971 some 500,000 passenger automobiles are scheduled to be built, while original plans had called for 800,000 by 1970. Plan fulfillment results for 1970 published early in February showed that it was not a bad year for the Soviet economy. After a powerful fourth quarter spurt, overall growth indices reflected a marked improvement over the poor returns of 1969. But the an- nual report also showed that growth rate fell short of most goals. National income was reported up 8.5 percent over 1969. And, al- though the lot of the consumer has improved by slow, steady gains, a continuing sharp growth in savings highlights the economy's failure to satisfy consumer demands. Consumer shortages abound in every-day articles ranging from shoes, toilet paper and matches to electric lightbulbs. Last August, for example, Premier Kosygin's house organ, Izvestiya, ran an editorial deploring the shortages of "table knives and forks, blankets, bath towels, quilted jackets, thermos bottles, iron ware; drawing paper, pencils, and a number of other con- sumer goods." The greatest qualitative change of benefit to the consumer was apparently in agriculture, which recovered from its crisis- level slump of 1969. Thanks to good weather and an increase in direct and indirect subsidies, the food grain problem is tempo- rarily resolved. The main task of the 1970's will be to increase meat and animal product output. But without accompanying improve- ments in :transportation, storage, and distribution facilities, output growth will mean little. On the eve of the 24th Congress, however, the whole agri- cultural picture is muddied by the highly unorthodox procedures used in reporting last year's agricultural results. First, in mid-December Nlikaail Suslov claimed the country had "reaped the biggest harvest in the history of agriculture." Then, two weeks later, chief Soviet planner Baibakov announced that agricultural 3 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 output had risen by only 6.5 percent against a planned 8.5 per- cent. However, the plan fulfillment report released early last ' month claims an 8.7 percent increase, which would mean that the 1970 plan had been overfulfilled. Statistical corrections of this magnitude are rare, even by Soviet standards. Also suspect is the continued failure of the agricultural report to publish any grain harvest figure. One cause for the current Soviet labor shortage is the failure of the economy to free workers from the farms, where 35 percent of the population still labors. The priority growth areas of Siberia have failed to attract an adequate labor force. In the European part of the country, established plants -have tended to overstaff, causing strained labor conditions particu- larly in the RSFSR. Interestingly enough, Politburo member and Chairman of the RSFSR Council of Ministers, Gennadiy Vbronov, suggested in a November 1970 speech that consideration again be given to link farming. Vbronov, an agriculturalist (and a proponent of spe- cialist business management training for everybody) views the link system as beneficial to both industry and agriculture in that it would give greater leeway to individual farmers and should help free farm labor for industry. Under the link farming system collective and state farms would be broken into smaller units, each of which would be the responsibility of a small group of farmers called a "link." The link groups would be fully responsible for the whole procure- ment and production process with rewards paid on the basis of output --- in short, a system in which individual or group in- centives would be the motive force. Brezhnev and other Polit- buro members on the other hand prefer the old brigade system of farming, according to which all functions of farming (plowing, sowing, fertilizing, harvesting, etc.) are given to worker brigades which have no stake in the success of the overall effort. A plowing brigade, for example, is paid according to how many hectares it plowed, not how well or deeply the furrows were plowed. The doctrinaire Politburo apparently fears that the link system may engender a "dangerous" feeling of private ownership on the part of the farmers. For the Soviet scientific, technical, and managerial in- telligentsia, the most alarming failure of the Soviet leader- ship is its inertia in undertaking to bridge the huge techno- logical gap between Soviet and Western achievements in all technological fields, except those that are military and space related. The reform was meant to raise efficiency by intro- ducing new technology. But the regime permitted no grand new strategies; it merely tolerated experimentation with the pres- ent administrative apparatus. Furthermore, the free exchange Approved For Release 1999/09/0i: CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 of scientific-technical information, on which scientific and technical progress depends, is denied the Soviet scientific- technical .cohnunity. The increasing complexity of a major industrial and eco- nomic system absolutely requires more and more sophisticated computerization. In this respect, the Soviet Union is computer "generations" behind the West and Soviet scientists point out that even now it may be too late to catch up. And still, the Soviet leadership has not seen fit to permit the freedom of information exchange necessary to raise the level of computer- ization or otherwise to stimulate this central feature of an advanced economy. The Soviet leaders have been willing to only tinker with the administrative apparatus and make a beginning in establish- ing management principles. Thus, the so-called Shchekino ex- periment (at the Shchekino Chemical Combine in Tula) attempted to raise productivity by dismissing surplus labor and giving the wages of the fired workers to those remaining. This modest innovation is now hailed in the Soviet press as some sort of revolutionary example to be emulated throughout the country. The West has for decades recognized the importance of management as an integral part of economic growth along with labor productivity, investment, and technology. It is repre- sentative of the backwardness of Soviet economic doctrine that the bureaucracy is just beginning to listen to those Soviet officials who have long been emphasizing that management train- ing is essential if Soviet enterprise leadership is going to be capable of utilizing advanced technology. In early February, it was announced with great eclat that a New Institute for the Management of the National Economy, the brainchild of Premier Kbsygin's son-in-law, Zherman Gvishiani, had been opened "as a first step towards training a more enlightened managerial elite." Just as Amalrik put his finger on the political dilemma, Soviet physicist Andrey Sakharov summed up the economic- technical failure when he wrote in his famous 1966 essay: "in the 1920s and 1930s...the slogan, 'Catch up with and sur- pass America' was launched, and we really were catching up for several decades. The second industrial revolution began, and now...rather than catching up...we are falling even farther behind. The gap is so wide that it is impossible to measure it. We Simply live in another epoch." MINORITY DISSENT Long familiar to the West is the eloquent dissent of Soviet novelists, poets, musicians, historians, and other writers. We Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 may call them the creative intelligentsia -- the Solzhenitsyns, Amalriks, Sinyavskiys and Daniels, the underground "editors" of Chronicle of Events and other samizdat publications. No one knows what influence they exert on the various sectors of Soviet society but for the time being, anyway, that influence is limited. For this reason, perhaps; they are permitted to exist. Some are Chosen for special punishment by exile, incarceration in prison, forced labor camps, or insane asylums. It is one thing for Soviet authorities to squelch the voices of some of its artistic dissenters, of its lesser-known intellec- tuals or civil rights agitators. It is quite another matter when the voices of dissent belong to prominent and often internation- ally respected scientists among whose Chief spokesmen are Andrey Sakharov, Pyotr Kapitsa, Zhores Medvedyev, and most recently the son of a hard-line Politburo member, Vitally. Shelest. Biologist and author Zhores Medvedyev, advocate of more contact with Western scientists and of free, decentralized re- search, was incarcerated in a mental hospital early last year and then released after a successful intervention by his fellow scientists, who included Sakharov and Mstislav Keldysh, Presi- dent of the USSR Academy of Sciences. On the other hand, later efforts by Sakharov and other colleagues to obtain a release for the imprisoned mathematician Revolt Pimenov, were unsuccessful. The party and its press have been hard-hitting in criti- cizing the political initiatives of the Soviet scientists and their outspokenness in advocating the revitalization of Soivet science. A 23 November Pravda editorial called for "waging pro- paganda among scientists for the Marxist-Leninist understanding of contemporary political socio-economic and philosophical problems, and for uncompromising attitudes towards the ideo- logical conceptions of anti-communism and revisionism." In late November, a CPSU Central Committee resolution attacked the Lebedev Physics Institute in Moscow, where Sakharov is a staff member. The resolution was also designed to chastize the Ukrainian scientific community, where a strong group led by Vitally Shelest is opposing additional party controls. Shelest has called for more advanced theoretical research and wider con- tacts with Western scientists. It was during this same month that Andrey Sakharov and two scientific colleagues formed a non-political "creative associa- tion," whose aim is to develop the concept and practice of human rights in the Soviet Union "in accordance with the laws of the State." At his own request, in December Sakharov was allowed to attend the RSFSR Supreme Court session held to con- sider the appeal against the five-year sentence earlier meted out to Revolt Pimenov. The sentence was confirmed, but Sakharov's Approved For Release 1999/09/02 :6CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 presence is symptomatic of the quandary he poses for the regime. Sakharov was also permitted to attend the RSFSR Supreme Court December session that rescinded the death sentence meted out to two of the eleven Leningrad highjacking defendants. By late December, Sakharov's Human Rights Committee had expanded and included in its membership Nobel Prize winner A1eksandr Solzhenitsyn. Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn has increasingly become the focus of all crucial, issues in Soviet literary life. Recent criticism of him by official media have been in effect an assault on prac- tically all original writing presently created in the USSR. The confrontation of dogmatists and moderates has been building steadily during the past two to three years. It is significant that two of the ablest dissidents, Sakharov and Solzhenitsyn, representing two such different spheres of Soviet intellectual life should join forces. Sakharov, a top technocratic scientist, argues for democracy in functional and practical terms: if the system doesn't democratize, it's doomed. Solzhenitsyn's arguments for democracy and freedom are ethical, preaching the absolute value of human freedom. There has been little firm linkage or evidence of solidarity between.the so-called "intellectual dissenters" and the opposi- tion forces among the Soviet's oppressed national minorities and religious groups such as the Baptists, Jews, Crimean Tatars, or Ukrainian and Baltic separatists. However, the plight of the nationalist dissenters, most of whose leaders are safely behind barbed wire, evokes active sympathy among many of the intellec- tuals. That even behind the barbed wire fences there may be some cross-fertilization of ideas is evident from the letter written by seven political prisoners, including writers Yuriy Galantsov and A1eksandr Ginzburg at the end of 1969. They wrote that "putting people into prison for spreading the idea of national self-determination leads only to the kindling of national hatred, enmity and the alienation of nations." And already some writers, including Ukrainian historian Valentin Mbroz, have testified to the growth of national consciousness in some areas as a result of repressive policies. (For this testimony, Moroi was imprisoned.) Although it would be unrealistic to think that meaningful solidarity could develop from sympathy, the leadership is not un- mindful of the explosive potential. When the Action Group for the Protection of Civil Rights made its first protest in 1969, more than a quarter of the signers represented the minority races. Maybe that is why the group was so short-lived. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : dIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 THE ECONCMIST London 30 January 1971 DI the above cited issue, The Economist posed eleven questions designed to measure the amount of freedom in any given country. The Economist also answers the questions for the Soviet Union. Comparisons of answers for almost any country in the world will show the USSR to be far in the lead in the matter of governing by c peMb 13114 oppression: ( ? Can you leave it if you don't like it? No : there is no right to emigration under Soviet law. Article 64 of the ,Soviet penal code makes an illegal attempt to leave the country a treasonable offence punishable by a minimum of ten years' imprisonment, and a maximum of death. A few people are allowed to emigrate, including about 1,300 Jews to Israel since June, 1967. I there a secret police ? Yes; the KGB, ' though no longer allowed to operate completely outside the law, as it did under Stalin, still has wide powers including the surveillance of all foreigners and all suspect Soviet citizens, and the running of labour camps and institutions like special psychological hos- pitals for political dissenters, Under "admini: stmtive regulations" the KGB is able to order Soviet citizens to move their place of residence for security and , economic reasons. How many political prisoners are there? It has recently been calculated that the labour camps run by the KGB, which are separate from the main prison system, may hold as many as a million people, of whom a substantial number are detained for political reasons. No one has claimed to have etiOtigii to make a precise estimate. Can you move and travel inside the country as you wish? Every Soviet citizen over the age of 16 must have an internal passport, which has to be exchanged periodically until he or she is 40. Younger people can be released from the obliga- tion to have a passport if they hold office or are otherwise thought to merit it. To live perman- ently in a city or town it is necessary to have the authorisation of the police or some, other higher authority. For certain offences, the courts are empowered to sentence people to exile to, or banishment from, a particular place. The number of people currently in exile is thought to be considerable, and to include many released prisoners who are not allowed to ' return to Nimcomr. Habeas corpus?does it exist ? Yes, in theory, under the 1936 constitution? but the constitution is not observed. The pro- cedure of " administrative " sentencing by the KGB has sent an unknown, but very large, number of people 'to imprisonment without trial. Wire tapping is widespread ; so is censor- ship of the mail. How free iS the judiciary.? Courts at all levels are under the complete, if carefully concealed, domination of the govern- and communist party in? all political ,matters?although less than 50 per cent of all judges are communist party, members. The communist party holds that the separation of poweil is a bourgeois doctrine. Approved For Releaie 1999/09/02 CIA-I/DP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT How much political activity is possible? No public political activity is allowed except that organised and controlled by the communist party. The one-party elections offer only one candidate for each post. Other political parties than the communist party were abolished soon after the 1917 revolution. Factions within the communist party itself were forbidden in 1021. What forms of di.crimination? do people suffer from? There is discrimination against the 2 million to 3 million Jews, who are not allowed their own schools or to be taught Jewish history. Of the , estimated 1,650,000 people of 12 other nation- alities whom Stalin, uprooted and sent, to other parts of the Soviet Union, the .former Volga Germans and most of the Crimean Tartars are ? still in exile. Is there freedom of worship? Churches are allowed to perform only religions services ; Any form of religious instruction, or charitable or social activity, is forbidden. Religious believers cannot hope to be appointed to responsible posts. How much freedom of the press is there ? None. All papers, radio and television stations, publishing houses and similar institutions are owned and run by the state. Private citizens are , not even allowed to own duplicatinf machines. All publications are subject to strict political control and therefore, sometimes, to long delays . in publication. Those who illegally write and -distribute the unofficial publications known as samizdat?" self-publications "?are subjca to heavy penalties. What restrictions are there on economic freedom ? Article to of the 1936 constitution allows the private ownership of articles of use and con- sumption, but not things from which an income may be derived. The result is that the entire economy is controlled by the state, though there are a few private artisans and, in some remote areas, independent peasants. No one else can independence. Approved economic Approved For Release 1999/029/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 FORTUNE May 1970 Report from Moscow Those Soviet economic troubles are deep-rooted. CPYRGHT by Jerrold L. Scheeler So many lies have been foretold us, ky blue phantasmagorias. The weather prophets lied, the compass lied: -EVGENY EVTUSHENKO "Ballad of the False Beacons" In the final year of a fie-ear pl;.n that was supposed to. bring about niassive economic reforms, the Soviet Union's lead- ers and planners are realizing that they have fallen !far short of the mark. The Soviet press has embarked on a campaign of national Self-criticism and analysis that staggers the Western imagination. Since the December plenum of the Central Committee, ithe problems of waste, ineffi- ciency, alcoholism among workers, faulty planning, arid agricultural shortages have become an overriding concern of the Politburo.. - Demands for improvement in the econ7 omy have become so widespread and in- sistent that they have led to recriminations. among the top leadership and to specula- tion that changes in the ?Politburo are imminent. During the last few years Party General Secretary Leonid Brezhnev, Prime Minister Aleksei Kosygin, and President Nikolai Podgorny have spent much of their time "normalizing" Czechoslovakia and fighting off Chinese Communists along tbe Sino-Soviet border. Such external crises diverted their attention from the job 'Of realigning personnel and power within the party and Ministries so that they could bring about the much-touted economic reforms. Without direction from the top, change doesn't happen in an authoritarian social- ist society, and debate still rages over how to bring about economic reform. Now the trend seems to be away from the "liberals," who press for more local initiative and responsibility, and toward the "conserva- tives," who press for central control of the ? decision-malcing process. Approved For Release 1999/09/02: Attack on bad management One important indicator of the change was a speech given by tBrezhnev at the Kharkov tractor factory last month. Brezhnev, a conservatiVe in Soviet eco- nomic terms, appears to have taken the leadership initiative within the Politburo, and his speech marked a turn toward re- newed party cOntrol of the economy. He promised "substantial corrective changes" and excoriated "bad management, waste- fulness, and the violation of labor dis- cipline." But he made no mention of new economic reforms; rather, he stressed the need to perfect the reforms that are al- ready on the books. It is worth noting that Prime Minister Kosygin's name ? has been closely linked in the past with proposals for economic experimentation. Communist leaders stress the need to develop a scientific and technGlogical base for Soviet productiOn, but centralized planning has hindered the advancement of technology. In other respects, too, the Soviet economy today presents a picture 'of unfulfilled development. One hears of insufficient and badly utilized transporta- tion, duplication of service facilities in factories, poorly built buildings, and agri- cultural shortages, especially of meat. In brief, net much has changed in the Soviet economy since the bold proposals of the current five-year plan were first announced. (See "The Toughest Management Job in the World," FORTUNE, July 1, 1966, and "The Auspicious Rise of the Soviet Con- sumer," August, 1966.) ? The Chief job of the reforms was to put limits on party and ministerial control of factories. In theory the role of planners and ministries in Moscow was to be shifted to long-range planning and coordination of industry-wide production. As in major American corporations, there would be central planning groups but individual management of divisions. But in practice, CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 3 CPYRGHT ADDroved For RPlease 1999/09/02 ? CIA-RDP79-0119AA000300120001-0 prices, capital allocations, and supplies all remain centrally controlled. Management functions continue to be blurred and full of duplications, which contributed to the failure of key ministries to fulfill their pro- duction plans last year in such vital areas as ferrous metals, petrochemicals, paper, cement, and machine tools. Weather compounded ,the economic problems of 1969. Unseasonable cold waves and severe storms caused declines in the output of consumer goods and ser- vices estimated at four to five billion rubles. According to Soviet figures, gross agricultural output last year was 3 percent below 1968, but Western experts say the situation was worse than the figures in- dicate because some of the. crops were of poor quality. Psychological resistance to bha'fige has also slowed economic reform. Bureaucratic lethargy, or what the Soviets call "Oblo- movism," and the reluctance of officials and managers to accept new methods have been serious stumbling blocks. Computer technology would seem, to lend itself readily to a centrally planned economy, but the Soviet Union has been slow to accept the idea that machines can play a part in the decision-making process. Vodka's the villain in this Krokocid cancion, part of an unprecedented wave of Soviet self-criticism. Says the work- man as he uses his bottle as a level: "Look, we're laying 'em down tineven." Approved For Release 1999/29/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 This biting comment on the Soviet road sys- tem appeared in the humor magazine Krokodd, captioned: "On this bumpy road I built my house.". -Many bureaucrats find it hard to trust computer data. For example, the Ministry of Machine Tool .Building Industry has come under _strong criticism for its -failure to use computers effeatively. Every plant under the ministry's control has a com- puter, and the ministry has forty-three regionaLdata centers, which have been in operation for eighteen months. Yet officials of the ministry continue to make personal phone calls every ten days to collect the information, they need. "One of the main - reasons for this is a psychological Ntrrier ' Of distrust, conservatism of traditions, and the habit of world lig in the old fashion," said Pravda. Economic ? reforms touch the sensitive - nerve of interrelated Ministerial and Com- munist party interests. These delicately balanced power relationships will have to be readjusted if reforms are to succeed. But the aftermath of Czechoslovakia in- hibits any innovation in Soviet society. Underlying the mood of caution .is fear that loosening the restraints on economic decision making might lead to demands for political innovation and freedom. 0141filaked For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 The price of uneven progress The Soviet Union has yet to attain the integrated economies of scale that make for smooth production and effective long- range planning. For example, there is ? plenty of crude steel, but a lack of spe- cialized proce.sSing equipment limits out- put of high-quality steel products. Other examples of uneven progress abound. Large investments have been made in lumbering and sawmills, but the manufacture of quality furniture has lagged. Automobile production has increased, but, service facilities have not kept pace?motels and roadside garages remain raritieS. Economists . talk of a 'fifteen-to-twenty- year over-all plan, and of directbw the State Planning Committee' (Oosplan) to quit concerning itself with details.' But change means more than efficiency and the streamlining of production; it means elim- ination of jobs in the overseeing ministries as well. Top-heavy staffing and duplica- tion of effort in the ministries are so-appar- ent that the; Central Committee of the Communist party and the Council of M inistraN last October decreed measure's 1,i ei itii naL excesa staff that will help Nave 1.7 billion rubles annually. To break up the centralization of power, an experiment is under way in the Ministry of Instrument Making, Automatic De- ; vices, and. Control Systems. Under the terms of the experiment, which will be applied to the entire ministry, the plan- ning power :has been delegated to the department-chief level. Every department forms an industrial unit with the enter- prises under its control to work out de- tailed production planning jointly?and the ministry has no veto power over the decisions. The staff of the department paid from the pooled resources of the en- terprises, with salaries dependent ,on? the progress of the industry. Last year " the automation industries that first applied this plan increased produCtion by 19 percent. 200 cables, but no approval Other ministries are less enlightened. Last year the Meat and Dairy Industry Ministry sent subordinate enterprises and organizations more than 40,000 orders, instructions, and telegrams, most of which had nothing to do with production. "Un- , fortunately, ministries are still engaged in issuing, redundant orders, very efzer. to the detriment of their duties," says Georgy Kalugin, manager of the Leningrad Machine Tool Building Consolidated Enterprises, and a frequent critic of overcentralized ,ministerial control. Kalugin cites receiving up to 200 cables and queries monthly from his mintetry?"Yet we cannot get the ministry's approval for the plan of recon- struction of one of our plants." Kommunist, the theoretical journal of the Communist party, noted in a recent issue that "to eliminate the ' redundant links in management" is a prime duty of Communists working in adrninistrative bodies. "Regrettably," Kommunisl added, "this is not carried out everywhere." Merger and consolidation The adoption of a new five-year-plan for the economy will be a major item on the agenda of the Twenty-fourth Party Con- gress, which is expected to meet late this year. One of the issues the Congress will have to deal with is a proposal to stream- line the structure of Soviet industry through merger and consolidation. The aim will be to cut down the number of inefficient small factories, coordinate each ? industry's parts makers and suppliers, and eliminatC.the staggering waste that results when, each factory has its own repair and toolmaking,. facilities. Most Soviet factories work according to the "closed-circuit sys- tem,'.' striving for self-sufficiency in pro- duction of their products rather than integration into their industry. The result has been duplication of effort and high, uneven costs. ? In Leningrad, a single combine is being set up to service 200 machine-building plants under sixteen different ministries with standard parts, tools, and auxiliary services. The first stage of operation is set for 1971 and the second by 1980. When the first stage goes into effect, an estimated 26,000 jobs will be eliminated. With this and other economies, the plants will save some 44 million rubles a year.' ' The Party Congress will also take up proposals for reducing the kind of ineffi- ciency that is caused by the way the Soviet system itself operates. There are many self-defeating aspects of the economic system. Miners who are paid on the basis of quantity rather than quality have been mixing waste rock with iron ore to increase Approved For RPlease 1999/09/02 ? Cli-RDP79-0119AA000300120001-0 CPYRGHT ? ? a ? ? ? ? a ? a rm., ? I ...kw II III their output. At one factory, workers damaged a freight car by overloading it; rather than face a penalty for the dam- age, they- destroyed the car and crushed it into scrap. The Party Congress must also decide , how to adjust prices so that they reflect not only real costs but differences in quality as well. Under the proposed price 'reform, a system of flexible prices would be instituted. But just how this will be done, and what its impact will be, is one of the 1:nottiest problems facing the. planners. It is not at all certain that the Soviet Union's renewed thrust toward a technological society society will produce any more lasting results than earlier efforts at reform. Unless the Soviet leaders can accommodate political control to freedom for economic decision making, the reforms will never take hold, and the leadership still seems fearful that economic reform may lead to demands for politicalliberall- zation. Despite lofty phrases of reform, the "false beacons" continue to shine and, in the words of the ancien 1 Russian song, "Yon sham lights confuse fishermen's souls, implanting false, hoins ..." END LE MONDE ? Weekly Selection, October 14, 1970 cpYPuor organization plaguing good Soviet harvest MOSCOW?Pavoura.bie weather" has has given the Soviet Union reason' to expect the 1970 grain harvest to surpass last year's. The unof- ficial estimate is placed at more than the 160 million tons reached last year, compared to the 180- .million mark attained- in 1968. Considerable progress would have to be made to reach the annual goal of 195 million tons set up by Party Secretary-Gen- eral Leonid I. Brezhnev last July for the forthcoming five-year plan. Serious problems apparently cpntinue to plague the organiza- tion of the actual grain gathering. Several newspapers, including Pravda, have pointed out the deplorable harvesting conditions in such regions as Omsk and Aktyubinsk. Trucks, insufficient in number or poorly used, are unable to reg- ularly transport the harvested grain to the delivery or storage centres. Grain has piled up by the sides of roads and fields, ap- parently loose and exposed to the elements. Elsewhere, the faciltties are incapable of handling the inflow. A recent issue of Pravda cited the -case eta sovkhoz (1) where asloo tomi 4 put, grain are even noW outs.the' 00eh awaiting From our correspondent shipment to the nearest grain elevator, which can only handle 35 to 55 tons a day. At that pace, the entire harvest will reach shelter only in mid-November? after a considerable portion has been destroyed or damaged by the seasonal rain or snow. There are a number of reasons for ?these delays. Soviet news- papers place a major part of the blame on the large number, o? trucks laid up in repair shops. At the ,sovIchoz cited by Pravda,4 more than half of the vehicles were broken down. ? 'Preventive measures These difficulties are all the more dkurbing in that they'' were foreseen well ahead of time and preventive measures Were taken. The Communist Party Central dommittee and the Soviet Council .of Ministers last, /June authorized- the 'governments of the federated republics to mobilize all , available transportatipn for the, forthcoming_ harvest, Includ- ing the drafting of industrial and management motor resources for holkhoz ,and'so4haz yqf, ? were granted bonuses of as high, as 50 per cent of their normal salaries. A second Central Committee- Council of Ministers resolution in early August criticized the im- proper use of vehicle pools in a number of agricultural enter- prises. The emphasis this time was on improved repair and tech- nical service organization. The most recent press criticisms are part of 5, year-old campaign aimed at eliminating, or at least reducing,: waste in all sectors of the Soviet economy. , The situation is all the more pressing, in agriculture for two reasons:t (1) this sector is in the priority position in the next five- year plan; and (2) grain produc- tion requires alt added boost to Compensate for last year's results. The apparent ineffectiveness of the party and government direc- tives highlights both the clumsy weight of the Soviet apparatus and the difficulties facing the managers of the Russian econ- omy. f. ALAIN JACOB ' ? ,(1)A! sirOlasez is a state farra .tering" trent' a kachoz. (coilective stem) An that It is. ;Kt like an industrK Werprtee ,wit4a la1re4 labOq., POI IMPtir LitrIgf(i? Approved For Release 19W/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 U.S. NEWS El WORLD REPORT 25 January 1971 WHY RUSSIA CAN'T CATCH UP WITHOUT WESTERN Kwyy-How ? Inefficiency, waste, bureaucratic bungling. . . . This is only !part of the story behind Russia's lagging economy?and why dRtgl4Co11urning, more and more, to capitalist West for help. The extent of the profound failure of I the Soviet Union's economic system is ! now coming into full view. For a long time Russian leaders ! boasted they would catch up with and surpass the West. The fact is established, instead, that !Russia finds it impossible even to hold I its own. Years of economic bungling and in- efficiency have forced the Soviets to ; turn more and more to the West for !massive help to make up in some measure for their own shortcomings in industry . and technology. The Kremlin found it necessary in the 1960s to import 6.5 billion dollars' worth I of machinery from smaller countries of i the capitalist world?a great blow to !Russian pride. ? Lag in technology. In computers, I automation, atomic energy?all fields es- sential in this technological era?Soviet !progress is found to lag behind that of i. the West. ' The Russian people, fed promises that Iproducts commonplace in the West were i on the way, continue to find promises, I not goods? on their shelves. Nor is the I future much brighter. The five-year plan that started on Jan. 1, 1971, warns peo- 'pie not to expect any dramatic increases in consumer goods. ! Industrial growth in Russia last year I rose 8 per cent?above expectations?but I failed to erase serious deficits plaguing I key sectors, such as fertilizers, chemicals rand construction. One eminent Soviet physicist, Andrei Sakharov, in a candid mood of self-crit- icism, puts it this way: "We are now catching up .with the I United States only in some of the old, traditional industries -which are no long- ler as important as they used to be for the United States?for example, coal and Isteel. In some of the newer fields?for of their help on "painless" terms. That means terms that will relieve the Rus- sians of any additional de- mands on their already limited reggrver of foreign example, automation, computers, petro- chemicals and especially in industrial research and development?we are not onl). lagging behind, but are also grow- ing more slowly." So, increasingly, Russia must rely on the West for assistance in overcoming its deficiencies. Moscow is counting on capitalism to supply the large-scale aid needed to exploit vast untapped natural Yesources, to build modern industrial plants and to develop new sources of hard currency to boost living standards. Massive imports. The billions of dol- lars in machinery and equipment the Russians have imported from countries such as West Germany, Britain, Japan, Sweden, Italy and France have covered every industrial field?ships and marine goods, chemicals, timber and papermak- ing, equipment, light industry, and food. The chart on these pages gives details. Broad objectives of Soviet', planners are evident in these deals Rttssia has concluded or has in the works: ? Russia's auto industry is being rev- olutionized by construction of a mass- production plant at Togaliatti on ,the, Volga River by. Italy's Fiat Company. ? British firms are providing the tech- nical aid; equipment and Construction engineers for two huge chemical plants. ? West Germany and Italy have signed multibillion-dollar agreements to supply Russia with large-diameter pipes, compressors and other equipment in re- turn for gas from new wells in Siberia. ? Japan will help Russia harvest its virgin forests in return for lumber. ? Other Western firms are negotiating to help Russia develop tremendous re- serves of iron, copper and nickel in ? Siberia. What Moscow is counting on is that industrial firms and banks in the West are anxious enough to get a toehold in the Communist market to provide much exchange. Credit from capitalists. Up to now, Russia has obtained nearly 1.5 billion dollars' worth of credits from Western Europe and from Japan to finance the purchase of industrial equipment, know-how and management skills. Mos- cow currently is dickering for an additional 2 to 3 bil- lion dollars in credit from these countries. Most deals involve the barter of goods rather than payment of cash. Notably absent in the West's push to capitalize on Russia's needs: the United States. Foy political or strategic reasons, and under Government pressure, American firms have spurned "feelers" for construc- tion of a truck factory and a computer- assembly plant in the Soviet Union. . And American companies are conspic- , uously absent from other important ne- gotiations. Russia's reach for a Western hand in time of trouble is far from new. Almost from the time Communists took over they have sought capitalist help in try- ing to deal with an ailing economy. In the late 1920s and early 1930s, American industry played a major role in the first of Joseph Stalin's five-year plans. During this period?when Wash- ington did not even recognize Moscow diplomatically?U. S. companies laid the foundations of basic Soviet industries? coal, iron, steel, petroleum, chemicals and fertilizers. U. S. engineers helped build the giant Dnieper Darn, at one time the world's largest. American ex- perts taught Russian farmers how to grow wheat on a large scale. During World War H, with Russia staggering before advancing German Approved For Release 1999/09/02 . C1A-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 7 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 armies, it was the U. S. again which came to the rescue with food, transport and fuel. After Stalin's death, Nikita Khru-, shchev?the same Khrushchev who boast- ed that Russia would be outproducing 1 the U. S. by 1970?sent his farm experts to the U. S. to see whether Iowa's corn and hog-raising techniques could be adopted by Russia to help solve chronic food problems. Specialists on Boviat affairs do strolls this point: Russia has made giant strides in some sectors over the years. Crude-steel output totaled only 4 mil- lion tons in 1928; today it tops 100 million tons. In certain industries, nota- bly machine tools and cement, Soviet output exceeds that of the U. S. In fact, Russia ranks second only to the U. S. as a military and industrial power. Still, Russia's total production ' of goods and services amounts to no more than half that of the U. S. The average Russian waits years to buy a car. He still finds it hard to purchase such ordi- nary items as gloves, towels and razor blades. The chart on page 55 compares production of the U. S. and Russia in several key areas. Shabby, shoddy. One Western au- thority on Soviet affairs describes the Russia of today in these terms: "Soviet planning?or the failure of it ?has produced a country where shabbily dressed peasants use high-powered jets to take baskets of poultry and produce to market because food-short city dwell- , ers will pay prices that will more than cover air fares. It has produced a coun- try which was the first to orbit a satel- lite around the earth?but where some buildings are equipped with nets to catch falling bricks and plaster." A Soviet economist, I. Pashko, has detailed his country's backwardness in engineering. Soviet auto engines, he said, weigh two to three times more per horsepower than comparable American auto engines. The weight of Russian truck engines is four times as great as American counterparts. Practice in Russia is to pour time and capital into overhauling existing ma- chines rather than introducing new ones. For example, 500,000 lathes in Russia have been in operation for more than 20 years. One third of all Soviet textile mills are two decades old, or older. One fifth of all papermaking machines are over 50 years old. To maintain this old equipment, what the Russians call "the second machine- building industry" has been spawned, geared to reconditioning antiquated ma- 1 chinery. This industry ties up more than! 1 million metal-cutting lathes?almost as many as are used in the entire ma- chine-building industry itself. In 1968 some 5 billion dollars was set aside for this rebuilding of industrial machinery? more than all capital investment in ma- chine building. Squandered resources. Waste is wide- ' spread. In 1965, according to one So-! viet source, Russia's engineering industry used 25 per cent more material than was used In foraign countriom to produce the same output. Twenty-nine per cent of Soviet rolled metal is scrapped each year. In the ball-bearing industry the figure is 57 per cent. Annual waste of steel shavings is three to four times as high as in other industrial countries. Human resources are equally wasted. Nearly one out of four workers is em- ployed in "auxiliary work"?such as mov- ing materials from one place to another. k Manual labor is widespread. In the me- chanical-engineering and metal-process- ing industry only 38 per cent of the work force is engaged in mechanized' tasks. Workers in coal mines still prop ; timbers by hand. Only five of 88 major gas fields are fully automated. Some 200 tolling mills are not mechanized. 1 In new construction, Russia lags dra- matically behind the West. Example: It ' takes 1 to 2 years to build a chemical I plant in the U. S. and Britain; 5 to 7 years in Russia. Notes one Soviet writer: "We design new enterprises in two or three years, we build them in five to seven years and we take one to two years to get them producing. . . . This shows how inefficiently we are using new technology and how we are slowing technical progress." Auto production is another example. While the rest of the industrial world grapples with problems of auto pollu- tion, traffic jams and parking, the Soviet Union is barely entering the automobile age. With a population of 253 million people it has only 1.3 million cars?half of them Government-owned?and 3 mil- lion trucks. Soviet auto production in 1970 was around 300000 and truck out- put half a million. That compared with, U. S. production of 6.6 million cars and' 1.7 million trucks, a below-normal out- put because of the 1970 auto strike. Computer shortage. Nowhere are So- viet failings more apparent than in the computer field. Academician Sakharov estimates that Russian computer capaci- ty is "hundreds of times less" than America's. . Russia not only has fewer computers in operation-5,000, against more than 60,000 in the U. S.?but also lacks the big, complex models that have helped spur technology in the West. One writer Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01 8 estimates that 60 to 80 per cent of com- puters in the U. S. and Western Europe belong to the third?the latest?genera- tion of computers, with the remainder in the second generation. In Russia and Eastern Europe less than 5 per cent are third generation and more than one third are first generation. The Soviet Union also is falling down in computer "software"?programing the maim to dolivor at utmost offloioney. Computers in Russian factories, for in- stance, are usually called upon to solve very limited problems. Computer sys- tems to run an entire plant?administra- tively as well as on the production fines?are relatively few. Often they per- form poorly. Finally, Russia lacks the mathemati- cians and cybernetics specialists who can solve practical industrial problems. Looking to West. With such defi- ciencies and weaknesses it is no won- der, experts on Russia point out, that the Russians are searching for help from the West. Cars, computers and chemi- cals?these are the fields where the Rus- sians are most anxious to get assistance. To refashion the languishing Soviet auto industry, the Italians are building ,the Togliatti plant. It is scheduled to produce 600,000 autos a year by the end of 1972?more than half the country's es- timated production at that time. Negotiations are under way to orga- nize a European consortium, led by West Germany's Daimler-Benz, to build a 1-billion-dollar truck factory with an annual capacity of 150,000 vehicles. Renault of France and DAF of Holland are also involved. The Russians began talking to these European manufacturers after getting a turn-down from Henry Ford II of the U. S. Ford, however, is reported still to be considering a tractor deal with the Russians. Moscow, in its bid to tap Western ingenuity in the computer sector, is run- ning into trouble. Main reason: An em- bargo, observed by all countries of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and Japan, prohibits the export to Russia of the large, more sophisticated computers that could be of strategic value. For example: Russia last October tried to get International Business Ma- chines of the U. S. to build a subassem- bly plant in the Soviet Union. This was rejected. Now it is turning to Siemens of West Germany to explore the possi- bilities of co-operation in electronic data ? processing. How these negotiations will fare in view of the NATO restrictions is uncertain. Bogged-down deal. In a related de- velopment, Britain's International Com- puters, Ltd., has concluded a contract blitROldftbthihotqejtrer.two big CPYRGHT Annrnirl Fnr Rplpacp 1 cicici/Oci/O9 ? CIA-R111D7A-Ol1cutAnnnnnn19nnn1_n RUSSIA TRAILS U.S. IN NEARLY EVERY FIEL OF PRODUCTION Estia;rated output in 1970? _ U. S. S. R. U.S. Electric power, billion kilowatt?houra 737 1,630 Oil, million barrels 2,480 3,650 Natural gas, billion cubic feet 6,980 22,000 Coal, million tons 690 585 Steel, million tons . ,? ' 127 130 Computer systems Fewer than 1,000 25,000 Cement, million barrels .. 533 400 Trucks . i 520,000 1,700,000 Automobiles 329,000 6,600,000 Refrigerators 4,100,000 5,500,000 Washing machines 5;400,000 3,800,000 Source: estimates by USN&WR Economic Unit, based on official data computers to the Serpukhov high-energy i physics center. That deal, too, is stalled in NATO on strategic grounds. British firms are going ahead with providing help for construction of two giant petrochemical plants in Russia. One, a terylene facility designed to pro- ; duce 50,000 tons of synthetic fibers an- nually, is scheduled to begin operation this year. A polyester-film factory is be- ing built near Moscow with British aid. The two projects involve contracts total- ing nearly 130 million dollars. Nowhere is Russia relying on Western ; aid more than in development of Sibe- ria's wealth of natural resources. Buried in that frigid land are 90 per cent of the country's coal, over half its iron ore, three quarters of its timber, huge oil reserves and one third its natural gas. To get that gas out fast is a major reason behind the "pipe for gas" agree- ments Russia has negotiated in Europe. Russia does not have the time, capital or equipment to tap those reserves now. Nor does it manufacture the large 42- 'inch pipe needed to distribute it So West Germany is supplying 333 million dollars' worth of pipe and other machin- ery in return for gas, Italy 200 million dollars' worth. Tapping foreign know-how. The pipe deal points up the advantages accru- ing to the Russians in such ventures. It was described this way by one observer: "Russians grant no concessions to for- eign firms. Foreigners are not permitted to own their own producing plants. No foreign internal-development project is permanent. No joint Soviet-foreign com- panies are permitted. "Instead, Russia calls in foreign firms to do a job, take a profit and get out. "In short, the Russians get develop- ment without any cost to their foreign- exchange reserves and also acquire a lu- crative new source of hard-currency earnings in the future." Siberia's timber resources are being exploited similarly in an arrangement with Japan. The Japanese have agreed to supply on deferred-payment terms 150 million dollars' worth of machinery and other equipment for forestry devel- ? opment. Payment will be 3.3 billion board feet of lumber. Japan also is co-operating with Russia in construction of the new port of Uran- gelya in the Far East near Nahodka, to handle the rapidly growing volume of trade between the Soviet Union and Japan. Russia is angling for long-term, low-interest loans of 90 million dollars from Japanese banks to finance the first stage of this port development. British projects. Other projects in the works concerning Siberia: Development of topper, zinc and nickel by British and other European firms; construction by Britain of a rail freight-container system from Leningrad to the Pacific Coast; building of a forg- ing plant by Britain's GKN Company. How far and how fast these ventures will go, and how successful they will be are still matters of conjecture among Western experts. Officials specializing In East-West economic affairs seem rea- sonably optimistic about prospects for deals involving 1 billion dollars or more ?provided Moscow gets the long-term credit it wants and if payment is ac- cepted in the form of raw materials or semi-finished products. Even so, there seem to be limits. A recent study by the Geneva-based Eco- nomic Commission for Europe (ECE) showed that Russia in the decade ahead will find a declining market for its farm products, mineral fuels and industrial materials compared with the 1950s and 1960s. Why? Western needs are not ris- ing as fast. Also: Russian products are often of a kind and quality hard to sell in the West. ? There are a few .exceptions. West German industrial companies and re- search institutes are using certain kinds of Soviet isotopes because they come cheaper than from the U. S. Russia sup- plies automated welding equipment and superhard tools to work on stress parts of engines. Russia is to furnish equip- ment and technical help for a large iron and steel plant to be built in France. An Italian company has purchased sev- eral Yak-40 jet planes that can land and Approved For Ralease 199Q/0Q/09 ? rlA.RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT take off 'on beaten-earth fields. By and large, however, the flow of technologir cal goods is a one-way street, from West to East. The military drain. A question the:t persists as the Russians look to the West for more help is why a country oc':. cupying one sixth of the world's larn,1 surface, so rich In natural resources, has been unable to keep up with tht'p rest of the industrialized world. From Soviet experts in Europe and the U. SI' come these explanations: 1. Defense and the space race have; placed a 'tremendous burden on the Sc4 viet economy, sharply limiting resources available for progress in other sectors Says one expert: "With a national income that is only', about half that of the U. S., Russia is trying to rival America as a military power and in space. The strain produced by this effort has been much greater than for the richer U. S. economy." ,At the same time, both defense. and space technology are surrounded by an impenetrable security blanket. This has retarded the "spin-off" that has helped technological advancement in the West's civilian sector. 2. Over the last decade, Soviet poli- cy makers have been under rising pres- sure from the people to transfer more resources to consumer-goods industries and to housing. Russia has not been wholly successful in this?as Kremlin leaders themselves have admitted?but the effort has drained capital away from the "growth inducing" capital-goods in- dustries. 3. The traditional system of economic planning from the center has created a nightmare of ineptitude. Basic economic decisions are made by a handful of "ex- perts" in Moscow, many of whom are neither experts nor planners, but Com- munist Party faithful. When the "experts" make a mistake, there is no free market to correct them. Since consumers have little say about what is made, a flood of unwanted and unneeded goods flows out of factories to sit?unsold?on store shelves. Enterprises which make these goods do not "go out of business" until the planners order it ?so unwanted products keep pouting out year after year despite criticism and complaints. 4. Administrative barriers and red tape hamper innovation. Managers of state-owned plants have little incentive to introduce different machines or other improvements. For example: To install new machinery, managers would have to shut down production lines, fall behind in their quotas, lose possible benefits. Even if new machln- Oty Wer iuQd ilf11 Wolik1 main. Fresh equipment means higher production targets that could complicate life for both supervisors and laborers. Result: An attitude of "just getting by" permeates the entire production process. Faults conceded. None of these fail- ings has been entirely lost on Russian leaders. Over the decades, Soviet offi- cials have conceded major faults?as the statements below indicate. In 1965 the Kremlin decreed an overhaul of the pro- ductive machinery. It failed. Two years ago new changes were made in an effort to deal with planning, prices, invest- ment and incentives. Recent complaints by Soviet leaders indicate that these "innovations" also are not working. A leading expert on Soviet economics, Mrs. Gertrude E. Schroeder, visiting professor of economics at the University of Virginia, summed up the Russians' drive to accelerate technology in the periodical "Problems of Communism." She said: "The present thrust seems unlikely to produce significant results even if given a great deal more time. The main rea- son for this conclusion is that the Soviet leadership, as in the past, is still relyin on administrative methods of resolvin the problem." With results falling far behind expec- tations, odds are that Russian overture to the West will continue to expand. I the view of many Western observers, they should be rebuffed, however. Asks one: "Why should free-worl capitalists come to the aid of Sovie Communists?and in terms that are s highly favorable to the Russians?" What the West gives Russia, thes observers continue, will not solve th basic problems inherent in the Commu nist system, but they will benefit Sovie leaders as they seek to overtake the U.S and narrow the technology gap. One British political commentator pu it this way: "It's sheer insanity that lead Western countries to scramble for a opportunity to help a nation that is stil dedicated to their destruction." .t.4 NEW YORK TIMES, 7 February 1971 Soviet Union: Pi6kfrig:VBit ofO capitalist CP 1?0SCOW?,-The largest book . More .here - is Dom Knigh and ? o-n the; same: counter. : where works "exposing" the . evils of: capitalism are sold; a thick, 807-page volume extolling Amer- ican business .methods 'Went on! , sale the other day. r.,o(Pies were quickly bought by eager custom-i It NV3IS a Russian translation,1 hi abridged- form, of "Executive i Leadership Course," which was . originally published in the United! States to aid American capital- ists in running their concerns ; slang the most up-to-date paths. And on Wednesday, ,Neues eksei N. Kosygin, Politburo mem- ber, 'Andrei P; Kirilenko and other top officials were lending their prestige to the formal open- ing' of a new, high-level. school, the? Institute for Management of the National Economy. This es- tablishment has all the earmarks of turning into the Soviet equiv- s alent of I.B.M.'s special insti- tute for American executives, or similar programs at Harvard, MIT, or other places, - ? The new institute, which Was t, opened last Mondays has as its goal the retraining of the veter- ,: an Soviet elite. The first-class ; of students, enrolled fer a three-, .month session, consists of Min- : isters, Deputy Ministers and oth-, er industrial czars. Among the courses being giv- enat the institute are: '''The Present7day' State. of ,the' Soviet ? Economy," "The Latest `Al:thieve, melts In, and Prospects for Dn.' Approved I-or Release 1999/09/02 : C,IA-KUP/9-U 194A000300120001-0 10 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT ireloping, the Scientific and Tech- Jiieal Revolution" and "Progress in Science. Technology and Pro- duction in the Soviet Union and Abroad." ' These developments underi scored what has become, therms- ingly . evident here in , recent Years, namely the determination of Soviet authorities ,to 'bend their ideological anathema to the !American way of life by borrow- ing some of the management 'tools Used by American indue- itry to make the United.Statta !the world's leading economic power. Soviet officials have stressed, and there is no reason, to guar- , rel with them, that the ?decision I to use CC0110/Tiie levers and prac- tices common ? hi the West in no ' way dilutes Russia's commit- ment to a Socialist economy. The , Soviet state still controls all means of production and sets prices and v,%ges, the main reg- ulators. I New 'Plan' Is Due ' The .attention now paid to management is part of an over- all Soviet effort to modernize its economy and take advantage of the technological revolution now, sweeping the rest of , the world, but which has had only a small impact se far in Russia's civil- ! ian economy. The drive has par- ticular impetus now because a ' new "Five-Year Plan" is sched, uled to be announced in the near future.. The results of the last such plan, which ended on Dec. 31, were' made public last week. Ai expected, they indicated that most of the targets set by Pre- mier' Kosygin in 1966 were not reached, priniarily because of delays in construction, back- ward' plants and shortages in capital and labor investments. Over-all, the Soviet economy recorded a strong comeback in 1970, after a poor showing in 1969. Both industrial and Agri- Cultural output showed signifi-* cant gains, and officials have -claimed a record grain harvest. Russians are hoping that scl-; ence and technology can be in- troduced rapidly In order to ac- celerate the ecOnomy's growth and to tie the Soviet Union se- ctirely to the computer age. Soe Oat ?Melds have 'striven th,h. terest Western concerns in sign- - Ing long-term agreeinents to ex- - pert new technology here,: and seed young scientists have gone abroad to study. New depart- merits have been established in a few universities to teach cy- bernetics Russian's. ' But. officials have stressed that the advanced technology will he , ? wasted if ,the top leadership of ? Soviet enterprises remains ignor- ant, of its possibilities, or, through 'Misguided ideological vigilance, opposes ita introduction in Min- istries and enterprises. A Soviet econornist with long experience in the United States once noted how surprised he was, during a. visit th New Eng- , land, to ascertain: that. a shoe manufacturer ? "an old-fash- ioned capitalist" ? seemed ful- ly aware of modern manage- ment ideas, could 'discuss co- gently the latest .compUters on the Market and could. converse with his arching engineers easily.? . "Most of our older directors are tinnier skilled workers with little advanced training,' he said: 'They rose to important posts under ,Stalin 'because they could organize workers ' to Meet planned output 'goals. They are ? relatively unsophisticated and know very little about modern techniques.' We are trying to change' their attitude, but it it hard work." "Knowledge of the methods , and techniques of management today is necessary for the lead- ers of the national -economy," said Vladimir A. Kirillin, chair man of the State Committee for Science and Technology, th n, interview in Pravda last week. , "Without this, it is. diffietilt to "raise" the efficiency of pro- dUctiOn, and to use fully the': aohievethents of ecienCe and ; technology." ? , ?BERNARD GWERTZMAN WASHINGTON STAR November 1970 VICTOR ZORZA Restlessnessiin Soviet cpyScientilk Circles The ferment in the Soviet intellectual community, par- ticalarly among the scientists, ? is lempelling the Kremlin to brill/ out into the open- the pi nce of opposition which it W4 W rather suppress. ,,Ifhe fat st issue of Party Life !bids Of the Lebedev Physic ' In- ii gfpa.ite in Moscow, one the Soviet Union's leading n ear res .larch centers, has been in- fee.ed with "bourgeois" ideol- 010 ? V an ce the institute counti anung its associates such men as Academician Sakharov, the mad famous member of the "scientific political opposi- Him," the party journal's at- tacx on it is no surprise. What Is surprising is that it has been so long delayed. Sakharov's cal for the democratization of the Soviet system, which be- gar circulating through under- groand channels in Russia some two years ago, certainly constituted sufficient provoca- Um for the Kremlin, which would normally have *gen.- shol shrift to the chall er !Ind his associates. Bait to deal with the matter with its customary firmness', he Kremlin would have had to risk alienating an important sec in of the scientific con- malty, without whose cooper- stir* 'the system could hardly bon an viable for very long. 5'alstiarov was gradually de- pth td of most of the positions NeAeld, and an attempt was ktasie to tighten up the ideolog- ' cid .. Iscipline in the scientific ?ROl without too much public but, it now seems, to no 1. t The criticism a the Lebedev institute Is attributed in Party ...,if to the Central Committee tsel, which means that akle- .21si m has been taken at the (lig est level to use the present sttpck as an object lesson for he country's scientific com- ssuaity SS a whole. It is the nstitutele party committee, not just the non-party scien- tists, which is said to have failed to display "the neces- sary staunchness in the strug- gle with the unscientific and idealistic conceptions of bour- geois selenUsta." But it is not foreign sclentif- Ic ideas that the Kremlin is concerned about. In the More, the institute's party commit- tee must ensure that the scien- lists acquire "a Marxist-Len- inist understanding of politi- cal, socio-economic and philo- sophical problems of the day." It must further arouse among them "an uncompromising at- titude towards the ideological concepts of anti-communism and revisionism." Behind the long words are very simple ideas. "Revision- ist" and "bourgeois" labels have always been used by So- viet leaders to decry and dis- credit the demands made by any section of the commnity for basic freedoms. Among the scientists, the rallying call is increasingly for freedom of communication with the out- side world. They argue that this must be granted to them If Soviet science is to be truly effective, that without it they cannot produce the results which the party needs to keep up the power of the Soviet Un- ion in relation to the West. But they know, and the par- ty knows, that once this free- dom has been granted to sci- entists, it could not be long' withheld from the rest of the nation. The free circulation of Ideas, political as well as sci- entific, that would inevitably follow, would soon undermine the party's monoply of politi- cal wisdom and, therefore, of political power. Nor is the demand confined any longer to outright rebels like Saltharov. A debate in the Ukrainian press on the basic directions of science, which soon spilled over into matters of freedom, was recentV initi- Approved For Release 1999/0916 : CAA- KUP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 eked by a 30-year-old physicist, Vitaly Shelest, who had been greatly impressed by what he had seen in America. Young Shelest's father Is the party secretary for the Ukraine, a nation 01 50 million people. Ostensibly, Shelest was con- cerned with the preference given to the applied sciences in the Soviet Union, and the restrictions, financial and or- ganizational, placed on the basic sciences. But the basic sciences include, for him. "the history of the fatberland"?an area the. is beset by tiboos and censorship bans, te pre- Vent the critical discussion of Political ideas, and ef the pan- ty's conduct during the 53 years it has ruled the country. Articles by other scientists In the Ukrainian Literary Ga- zette soon took up, however, the inevitable topic of foreign contacts. This was absolutely necessary if young scientists were to develop their abilities fully, "but, unfortunately, we sent on such creative foreign trips for the most part anyone but those who are true scien- tists." Foreign travel permits were governed by "a system of questionnaires, personal files, recommendations, and the like, which has completely, failed." Yet the system "still exists and hampers progress." The writer, himself a young scientist, demanded that the head of a scientific establish- ment should alone be respon-c- ble for deciding whether mem- bers of his staff may travel abroad. This is the most direct and daring discussion to have ap- peared in the Soviet press so far of the degrading system of checks and Investigations, administered by a special de- partment of the Central Com- mittee, which every Soviet cit- izen must undergo before he obtains a foreign travel per- mit. Previously, the system had only been criticized in lit- erature circulated through un- derground channels. Another complaint voiced In the Ukranian debate was that "it is almost impossible to ob- tain, on time, a journal or a book from abroad." The au- thor had inserted "on time" for the censor's benefit, for his readers will know of the great number of books that are not allowed into the country for political reasons?even when they deal with scientific top- ics. A study published Vficially In Moscow last year concluded that the efficiency of Soviet science was greatly impaired by restrictions on the circula- tion of scientific literature and - of the scientists themselves. Foreign journals reached sub- scribers with great delays, it said, and it was "particularly deplorable" that "the most Important. of them" were available .r.,y In the form of photographic reproductions made in the Soviet Union from ? foreign originals. (any "unde- sirable" matter Is, of course, deleted in the process of re- production.) The study laid particular stress on the importance of personal links between scien- tists of different countries. These were now increasingly neczssary, because the high degree of specialization and the "Imformation explosion" made such personal contacts the most efficient way of ac - Turing much of the important new knowledge. In the Soviet Union, the book concluded, "the delays in the movement of new ideas through the chan- nels of communication are imp permissibly great." Some of the Soviet leaders are aware of the problem. Dzherman Gvishiani, the dep- uty chairman of the State Sci- ence Committee, who is one of the men most concerned in the Soviet leadership with improv- ing the utilization of science in the interests of the national economy and defense, has of- ten stressed the importance of foreign contacts. Although he is the son of a KGB general, Gvishiani hasp worked so hard to extend Bus- sin's foreign links that In some quarters he is regarded as a liberal. Perhaps he is. The off-, spring, of KGB officials some- times turn out to be remarka- bly progressive. As the son-In-law of Alexel Kosygin, the prime minister, he can afford to take risks? although he also remembers, no doubt, the sad fate of Mr. Khrushchev's son-in-law, Alex- ey. Adzhubey, who became a "liberal" standard-bearer as editor of Izvestia, and has been last heard of as a report- er on a picture magazine. In a recent article, Gvishianl raessed the "great impor- ? Ince" of studies designed to oetermine the effectiveness of Soviet science and scientists who, with auxiliary personnel, now amounted to more than three million people. It Is an army with considerable revo- lutionary potential?and the more the Kremlin does to Im- prove Its "effectiveness," the more dangerous it will be. COMA, - NEWSWEEK 1 February 1971 CPYRGI-Dissent in Russia: The Thin Wedge He lives alone in a two-room, red brick bungalow on a country estate 25 miles west of Moscow, and his wants are starkly simple. Occasionally, he receives a visitor or relaxes by skiing in the soli- tary silence of the nearby woods. But most of Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn's waking hours are poured into the neat, longhand manuscript of his new novel, "August 1914," a ruthlessly candid portrait of his homeland during the last days of czarist rule. Yet for all his single-minded im- mersion in the past, the present tugs doggedly at Solzhenitsyn's elbow. In ever more strident tones, the gov- ernment-controlled press de- nounces him as a scandalmon- ger and a traitor, and only last week his Nobel Prize was com- pared to the mark of Cain." One by one, his colleagues are hounded from their jobs, hauled off by the secret police politics. And like Dostoevski, and, sometimes, sent away to who was trained as an engi- rot in prisons. And although he neer, and Chekhov, a prac- would prefer his world to be ticing doctor, Solzhenitsyn bounded by the narrow, pa- uniquely spans the two strong- per-strewn writing desk and est branches of traditional Russian lib- the peaceful wohds outside, eralism: art and science. For although he the clandestine chorus of So- has worked for much of his life as a viet dissent nags him relent- mathematician, it is his fiction that has lessly toward a role of moral brought him fame?as well as a painful leadership. sense of responsibility to his country's By now, Solzhenitsyn has tiny but courageously persistent dissent come to accept his fate. "For movement. a country to have a great writ- Protest: In his dual role as a man of er," says a character in one of letters and a man of science, Solzhenit- his novels, "is like having an- syn, 52, personifies a turning point for the other government." In the Soviet Union. In recent months, a grow- grand tradition of Dostoevski, ing number of prominent scientists have Pushkin and other nineteenth- joined artistic dissenters in open protest century Russian writers, Sol- against the Soviet repression of individu- zhenitsyn has learned that he ality. And this union of the artistic and . . orever tfle scientific intelligentsia is the most im- Approved For Release 1c8soing/0/12 :tilAtAliV/79-01191009Psolei12aeo1ito1 Soviet 1.2 CPYRGHTApproved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 dissent since the death of Joseph Stalin eighteen years ago. Like their artistic predecessors in the movement, the newly vocal scientists are concerned with civil liberties and creative freedom. But most of them are also motivated by the realization that the dead hand of Soviet conformity has throttled research and development, and may ultimately consign their country to technological backwater (box, page 32). Few of the dissenters are Western- style democrats; what they seek is an enlightened Soviet system. But even that relatively modest demand confronts the cautious bureaucrats in the Kremlin with their gravest challenge of the post-Stalin era. In all likelihood, the issue will not be settled soon. But the government's painful dilemma?whether to bend with the winds of change or to crack down savagely on dissent?may ultimately hold the key to the success or failure of the Marxist experiment in Russia. In a sense, the father of current Soviet dissent was Nikita Khrushchev. By in- augurating the de-Stalinization campaign in 1956, Khrushchev raised many hopes and, quite unintentionally, sparked the birth of a literary counterculture. Under Khrushchev, Solzhenitsyn was permitted to publish his novel "One Day in the Life of Ivan Denisovich"?a searing indict- ment of Stalin's prison camps. Even this much dissent, however, alarmed the gray bureaucrats who succeeded Khru- shchev, and soon the government began to crack down again. In early 1968, it staged what was to become the Soviet Union's Dreyfus case?the trial of writers Andrei Sinyavsky and Yuli Daniel, both of whom were sentenced to prison camp for having sent "anti-Soviet" manuscripts abroad for publication. Prison: Dissent did not approach its present stage, however, until men like Solzhenitsyn edged off the sidelines. Solzhenitsyn's first timid step into political in- volvement?a series of wartime letters to a friend in which he criticized Stalin?had earned him eight years in a labor camp. And after his release, he carefully avoided politics, set- tling down to a quiet job teach- ing mathematics in a provincial city. But then Solzhenitsyn turned to literature, and it was his evolution into a novelist of conscience that eventually brought him back to criticism of the regime. Thus, in 1967, he wrote to the Writers' Union demanding an end to the cen- sorship that had "smothered, gagged and slandered" his novels 'The First Circle" Etnd "Cancer Ward." The next year, Andrei Sakharov, an illustrious physicist who is known as one of the "fathers" of the Soviet hydrogen bomb, published a liberal manifesto, in which he declared: "Intellectual free- dom is essential to human so- ciety." And early last year, Zhores Medvedev, a biologist who had aiready marls a name for himself by exposing Stalin's crackpot court scientist, Trofim Lysenko, lashed out furiously at censorship of the mails. At first, the new dissenters were un- organized, if only because Soviet law forbids the formation of anything that resembles a political opposition group. But events were soon to convince some scientists that they would be better off hanging together. Last May, when Med- vedev was arrested and hustled off to a mental institution. Solzhenitsyn joined the vast public outcry that quickly won the biologist his freedom and eventually even a new job. And when a less re- nowned scientist, Leningrad mathemati- cian Revolt Pimertov, was slapped into prison, Sakharov and two of his col- leagues broke the organizational ice by setting up a "Human Rights Committee. In December, Solzhenitsyn himself joined up as an honorary member. Ilven though they were kept from the attention of the average Russian, these actions made waves that are still rippling across the world of Soviet art and science. Still other eminent figures have been drawn into the fray. As the official press heaped fresh abuse on Solzhenitsyn, the cellist Mstislav Rostropovich?who had taken the novelist into his country dacha outside Moscow?leapt to his friend's de- fense in an open letter to four Russian newspapers. When the authorities re- taliated by barring Rostropovich from a scheduled conceit, two other distin- guished musicians, violinist David Ois- trakh and pianist Sviatoslav Richter, re- fused to participate in the concert until Rostropovich had been reinstated. The battle, however, did riot end there, for last week, Rostropovich's public appear- ances abroad for the next six months were canceled, and his wife, the soprano Galina Vishnevskaya, was abruptly dropped from a Moscow performance of "Madame Butterfly." ? Yet for all their. ,fame, men like Ros- tropovich, Oistrakh and Richter are not vitally important to the bureaucrats who rule the nation. "The Soviet regime can get along perfectly well without its poets or musicians," says one Western Kremlin- ologist. "But it can't get along so well without its technical elite." It is thus a cause of considerable concern to the men in th?e Kremlin that many Russian scientists feel increasingly alienated from their society. Ipartly, this estrangement is due to the steady encroachments of neo- Stalinism. "Some time ago, we scholars lost our sense of personal security," math- ematician Pimenov said shortly before he was jailed. "For scientific work, one must be certain of tomorrow.". No less im- portant, scientific dissent is also fostered by a growing awarenesa that censorship and political orthodoxy are severe handi- caps to Soviet research, as well as to the ,country's technological capabilities. Perhaps the most common complaint among Soviet scientists is that they are often denied access to foreign scientific books and journals and thus fail to keep pace with developments abroad. Accord- ing to various estimates, the Soviet Union obtains considerably less than half of the technical periodicals that are published in the world each year. Even those pub- lications it does subscribe to are slow in reaching their destinations; Glavlit, the state censorship agency, insists upon du- plicating periodicals and removing cer- tain advertisements, and this process alone can take six months or more. In many fields, furthermore, new develop- ments are occurring so rapidly that the journals cannot keep up with them; non- Soviet scientists stay abreast through let- ters and conversation 8 with foreign col- leagues, but this possibility is not open to most Russian. scientists. "We are even encountering difficulty comprehending some foreign publications we receive be- cause we are not familiar with all the long discussions that preceded articles in them," admitted a study published in Moscow two years ago. "Sometimes we have to form special groups to 'decode' these unintelligible reports ... All this may take several years." Refusal: Soviet scientists also have scant oppOrtunity to attend conferences in other countries, which are a gold mine of news and ideas for researchers. Russian delegations to these affairs are usually small and closely guarded by the KGB, the state security police, and they generally consist of older executives, rather than young innovators. In his book "The Medvedev Papers," (which will be published next June by Macmil- lan), Zhores Medvedev describes how his superiors frequently declined confer- ence invitations on his behalf "due to extreme overpressure of work." On one such occasion the very day when he was supposed to address a prestigious gathering in Britain Medvedev's "prior obligation" consisted of helping with the potato harvest in the fields outside his laboratory at Obninsk, in Kaluga prov- ince. "Can we imagine a European sci- entist, 50 to 60 years old, who has never Approved For Release 1999/09/02 ? CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 13 CPYRGHT ppruveu rur rwiectse once traveled beyond the limits of his own county, nor ever taken part in an international =cling abroad, nor ever once visited a foreign laboratory, even in neighboring countries?" asks Medvedev. "Of course we cannot imagine it; it would be impossible in England, France or Belgium. But in the U.S.S.R. this is still true of most scientists." Because of their isolation, Soviet re- touchers waste much of their time. In 1961, Medvedev reports, 85 per cent of the Soviet Union's inventions merely du- plicated earlier foreign discoveries, and there is no reason to believe that Russia has closed the gap in subsequent years. Thus, in the interests of efficiency, if nothing else, the active dissidents in Soviet science are eager to tear down the mental iron curtain that surrounds their laboratories. "The source of our difficulties is not the socialist system," Sakharov, physicist Valentin Turchin and historian Roy Medvedev (who is Zhores Medvedev's twin brother) in- sisted last year in an open letter to the top Soviet leadership. "[The] source is the anti-democratic traditions and norms of public life which appeared dur- ing Stalin's period and have not been completely liquidated down to the pres- ent time." Factions: Despite their prominence, the dissident scientists and their allies in the arts have no monopoly on protest in Russia; a whole spectrum of loosely organized groups?ranging from clusters of Ukrainian and Baltic separatists to Jews, Baptists andChristian socialists? are arrayed against the government. But although these latter groups are gener- ally dedicated to the overthrow of the established order (or least to making good their escape from it), it appears that, apart from the Jews, their impact pn Soviet society hardly extends beyond the barbed-wire perimeters of its 1,000 prison camps. In comparison, the impact A the dissident intellectuals is consider- ible. Some foreign observers, however, liscern a potentially damaging split in the "respectable" opposition among the _ntelligentsia. According to this theory, one group?composed of influential men like Solzhenitsyn and Sakharov?hopes to change Soviet society from within and hews more or less strictly to legal forms of protest. The other faction, made up of younger dissenters?most of them artists ?is frustrated by a lack of influence and, as a result, has moved into activities at lie outside Soviet law. "They fight the authorities," one Rus- "an says of these mavericks. "They con- front them directly. They do not have the fear of the labor camp in their bones." Thus, in addition to filing formal protests, lending moral support when their friends stand trial and signing the petitions that play a time-honored role in Russian dissent, these rebels stage il- legal demonstrations, write articles, sto- ries and poems in samizdat ("self-pub- lished") form and pass around smudged carbon copies of A Chronicle of Current Events, the Soviet Union's principal underground newspaper. "Thank you, Party, goes a poem in ono issue of the Chronicle, "for all you have done and aro doim to nurture the hatred we fool today. Thank you, Party." Friends: Life is a hand-to-mouth busi- ness for young dissenters on the fringe of the intelligentsia. Most are unable to obtain the kind of jobs for which they were trained, and since unemployment makes them vulnerable to imprisonment or exile to Siberia as "parasites," they take on menial work whenever they can find it. (Ironically, it is useful to have been ruled "insane" by the KGB; a num- ber of quite lucid nonconformista?get around the requirement that they must hold jobs by drawing pensions for their alleged mental disability.) But money is the least of their worries, for in the free- wheeling underground scene, a frugal dissenter can live well enough if he op- erates on the age-old Russian principle that it is better to have 100 friends than 1,000 rubles. Andrei Amalrik, the 32-year-old his- torian whose book "Will the Soviet Un- ion Survive Until 1984?" predicts that his country will disintegrate into total chaos, is in many ways typical of his generation of dissenters. His last "recog- nized" job was as an occasional feature writer for the Novosti press agency in 1967, and until recently, when he was sentenced to three years in a labor camp, Amalrik applied for one marginal job after another. Each time, the KGB scared off prospective employers until finally the young historian landed a po- sition as a reader to a blind man. In a material sense at least, Amalrik clearly had little to lose. "A man like Sakha- rov," observes a Western student of So- viet affairs, "has reached his prime; he can say: 'What can they do to me?' Andrei Amalrik and those who are like him have so little hope of anything that they can say: 'What does it matter what they do to us?'" For all their cool determination, how- ever, Amalrik and his friends?and even Sakharov and his more influential col- leagues?are nonentities to most Rus- sians. The average Soviet citizen, in fact, belongs to a "Silent Majority" of such awesome docility that, by comparison, the most conventional middle-class American might almost be a Weather- man. "This country has no tradition of freedom," says a young magazine editor, "and that's why there's not going to be any." Adds another gloomy writer: 'Nothing will change this country in our lifetime. The lower classes are unhappy, sure, about things like the shortage of meat. But they do have their vodka. And the ruling classes?the apparatchikt? will do anything to hold onto their power. The younger bureaucrats are the worst of all. At least the Old Bolsheviks had' ideals." Immunity: Like their less> tablissant un certain equilibre et une certaine cancer- 39 - Approved Fur RVIGclbG 1999/09/02 . CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approve&Pditictigase 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 lotion entre les politiques sovietique et americaine : cette nor- malisation globale se manifeste certes par des interventions diverses, plus on moms violentes selon les circonstances ; tcuttot communes, tantat reparties selon one division des roles dans les parties du monde qui e,chappent if la sphere d'intervention commune. Quand, comme au Vietnam ou et Cuba, la lutte heroique d'un people ou la victoire d'une revolution ne per- met:tent pas a PU.R.S.S. de se soustraire a one caution ou a an ,appui, celle-ci exerce en contrepartie one pression ,et lin condi- tionnement politiques ; quand la lutte armee a des origines plus foibles comme au Cambodge ou en Palestine, les grandes puissances s'accordent pour isoler et tenter de reduire a des phenomenes marginaux ces minorites revolutionnaires. A l'in- lerieur de chaque camp, les deux puissances se reconnaissent un droit reciproque de police internationale : les Etats-Unis accordent pea de gravite a l'intervention en Tche,coslavaquie, freine in tulle arniee en Amerigue Latine ou an Mo yen Orient et tonne contre cl'extremisme ? de in gauche revolu- tionnaire en Occident. Cette orientation conduit a un ,aboutissement &gigue : soit les partis communistes disparaissent en tont que forces poli- liques reelles (dans les pays sous-developpes) soil disparais- sent en taut que force revolutionnaire (conune en France ou en Finlande). Car, a trovers l'expe,rience tcltecoslovaque, cc qui est en cause et Rolls concerne ,directement, c'est bien le projet de societe a construire et la nature de in strategic qui y conduit. El la question decisive doit anjourd'hui etre nettement posee : quelle est la nature de la crise du mouvement comma- niste, s'agit-ii fondamentalement d' ? erreurs? de directions sclerosees, d'une 4: deformation opportuniste et bureaucratique?, 00, au contraire, d'une degenerescence profonde caracteris- tique de l'ensemble du mouvement. Au fond, on serail tente de repreadre la vieille formale ?reforrne ou revolution? ; pour noire part, nous ne croyons pas a la reforme possible des appareils staliniens, ici aussi line revolution est a faire. anssi pourquoi nous pensons qu'il faut tout faire pour sortir do cercle vicieux dans lequel est crujour- dhui bloquee la gauche revolutionnaire entre un parti comma- niste impuissant de degager de Pinterieur one nouvelle force ; et de nouveaux militants incapables de s'unifier pour devenir un point de reference exterieur. tine extraordinaire force potentielle est ainsi gaspillee. ,C'est pour quoi nous pensons qu'une reconstruction du mon vement communiste est fleets- saire et qu'et terme la formation d'une nouvelle force poli- lique ne pourrci etre evitee. ,10 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : GIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 App CPYRGHT roved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 MESSAGE du BUREAU NATIONAL DU P.S.U. Le Porti Sochititle U nit ill, c voulu s'associer ce soir, comme iis'y est associe de toutes ses forces mtlitantes, en 1968, a la ,protestation que des militants du mouvement communiste international elevent contre le maintien de l'occupation militaire russe en Tchecoslovaquie et contre la repression qui continue de se developper contre les mili- tants revolutionnaires tchecoslovoques, don't le tseul crime est de jeter a to face des occupants le vieux mot d'ordre du mouvement socioliste international : ? Un peuple qui en opprirne un outre ne sou roit etre un ,peuple libre ?. Les ,evenements qui se sont &routes en Europe depuis 1968 ont demontre l'inanite des arguments invoques par le Parti Communiste de l'Union Sovietique pour justifier ['intervention des forces armees du Pacte de Varsovie contre la Tchecoslovaquie socialiste. Que l'on se souvienne que le pretexte de ['invasion fut Ia volonte pretee aux dirigeants tchecoslovaques de renouer des relations diplomatiques avec la Republique Federate Allemande ; que Von s'en souviennen cores la signature du Pacte Allemagne Federale-U.R.S.S. et du pacte germano- polonais. En realite, nut ne s'est trompe sur les mobiles reels de l'inter- vention sovietique : c'est le jour oU la Republique Populaire Tcheco- slovaque a commence de s'orienter irresistiblement vers 'organisation des consents ouvriers, de la base au sommet ; a commence, dans l'en- thousiasme de tout le peuple tchecoslovaque, de batir cette democratie des producteurs sans lesquels ii n'est que des caricatures de socia- lisme, que l'armee sovietique a lance ses blind& contre les ouvriers tcheques et slovaques. Et nous n'oublions pas que, comme un signe premonitoire, la presse officielle sovietique a desapprouve en termes identiques ceux de nos gouvernants capitalistes, le grand mouvement revolutionnaire frangais de mai 1968. La restauration de la democratie socialiste en Tchecoslovaquie, l'evacuation des troupes sovieticoes est une necessite absolue pour le developpement des mouvernents revolutionnaires dans les pays capi- talistes d'Europe occidentale. La coexistence pacifique des puissances imperiales de l'Est et de l'Quest est la Sainte-Alliance des rois contre les peuples. Ensemble, nous la briserons. N.D.L.11. Par suite d'une defectuosite d'enregistrement, nous n'avons pa reproduire le terte de l'interventien de M. Livio Labor, militant chretien italien, coordinateur national du ? Mouvement Politique des Travail leurs d'Italie ?. Nous nous en excasons vivement et insererons son texte dans le prochain !tamer? de ? Write Tcheco- slovaque ?. - ? 41 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 EN GUISE DE CONCLUSION Vous venez de vivre ? ou de revivre ? ce meeting de solidarite internationale a nos camarades tcheco- slovaques et comprenez la necessite de ne pas laisser le voile de l'oubli tomber sur l'oppression dont us sont victimes. C'est vrai que, pour les larges masses, l'affaire tche- coslovaque s'estompe et que des evenements nouveaux, dramatiques sont mis en avant, imposes par l'actualite politique, comme Burgos, Gdanzk et Gydnia, le proces de Leningrad, etc. Mais la protestation contre les denis de justice, la repression meurtriere, les atteintes aux libertes des peuples ? dans lesquels malheureusement des pays socialistes tiennent aussi la vedette ? ne dolt pas nous faire oublier un instant les freres ,< norma- lises >, de la Tchecoslovaquie occupee ; le combat pour leur independance, pour leur droit de democratiser le socialisme, est inseparable des autres luttes que nous avons a mener. Justement, parce que les staliniens d'U.R.S.S. et de France, d'accord sur ce point avec l'imperalisme inter- national, veulent qu'on ne pane plus de la Tchecoslo- vaquie; qu'on considere cette occupation et ses conse- quences comme un fait acquis, nous devons sans cesse mobiliser les partisans du socialisme, alerter l'opinion : c'est le seul moyen de saisir aux poignets les neo- stalintens et d'empecher que la normalisation >, s'etende a des arrestations, a des proces, a des condamnations de dirigeants elus par les instances regulieres de leur Parti et approuves par la quasi unanimite du peuple -- 43 -- Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 tchecoslovaque, C'est aider la resistance tchecoslovaque A stopper la ? normalisation et A preparer la recon- gate de l'independance. 1200. citoyennes et citoyens, parmi lesquels plus de 600 membres du Parti Communiste Francais ont signe la 0 Declaration du 5 janvier 1970 0, c'est bien parce que jamais nulle petition de ce caractere n'atteignit un tel resultat. Mais c'est peu parce que des dizaines de milliers de partisans du socialisme, en France, sont pour le retablissement de la souverainete de la dernocratie populaire tchecoslovaque. II faut done que le meeting du 26 novembre soit le point de depart ? et non l'aboutissement ? de notre campagne faites signer la Declaration du 5 janvier des centaines de camarades dans les entreprises, les chantiers, les universites, les bureaux, les quartiers, les immeubles. Des qu'une dizaine de signataires peuvent etre reunis, constituez un Comite du 5 janvier, qui entre- prendra son propre travail de propagande, pour que nos freres tchecoslovaques ne soient pas oublies, pour que la protestation mondiale, resistant A l'estompage du temps, les aide dans leur action pour une Tchecoslovaquie libre et socialiste. 41 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 SIGNEZ ! FATES SIGNER! La declaration du 5 Janvier CPYRGHTivour une Tchecoslovaquie libre et socialiste Le 5 janvier 1968, le Comite ventral au Pant Communtsle de Tchecoslouaquie evinectit de sa direction le group e stali- nien de Novotny et .uotait de premieres resolutions qui firent mitre finunense esperance dii ?Printemps de Prague >. A l'occasion du 2e anniuersaire de cet emenement 'capital, les soussignes renouvellent leur condrunnation de l'interuention armee .menee en aoht 1968 contre la Tchecoslovaquie, contre sa classe ouvriere et contre son Para Communiste, afin d'em- pecher l'application des resolutions de januier et de celles qui suivirent. Les soussignes considerent (pie la desapprobation de roc- cupation de .1a Tchecoslovaquie, formulee en aoat 1968 par une partly import ante du monument communiste a constitue a ce moment-la un acte positif. Cependant, pour sauver durablentent dans la conscience des travailleurs, l'espoir qu'ils peuvent mettre clans l'avene- ment d'une sociele uraiment socialiste, cette desapprobation. sous peine d'apparaitre comme tin geste inconsequent et plato- nique a l'usage des (nitres partis de gauche et de Popinion publique, devait se prolonger par la condamnation, .dans noire pays, d'une pretendue norjlwli3ation actuellement imposee par les arinees etrangere.s a an pays dont 87 % des habitants auaient ,approuve l'orientatiozz politique vers un ?socialisme a visage huntain 5). Approuvant les decisions essentietles de janvier 1968 qui tendaient .et informer largement les masses travailleuses, former .stir leurs itspirations et a les entrainer a la gestion de l'Etat socialiste, les signataires denoncent les tentatives actuelles tendant a dissimuler, a minimiser ou a faire oublier en France les eflIels de l'intervention militaire contre la Tchecoslovaquie socialiste. Its reaffirment done leur solidarite avec cellx qui tenterent de creel iwe societe socialiste oh le pouvoir des mains des bureaucrates passe aux mains des tra- vailleurs. Ps .s'efforceront de faire connaitre en France la verite sur k Tchecoslovaquie, et notronment le contemn des .declara- Pons des dirigeants destitues par ordre de l'occupant et mis actuellement clans rimpossibilite de presenter publiquement tear defense. Ecrine a Rene DAZY - 25, rue d'Houteville 75 - PARIS-10' ? 45 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 LISEZ VERITE TCHECOSLOVAQUE BULLETIN DU COMITE DU 5 JANVIER e rr 2 est paru I/ numero contient le texte integral de l' a< Appel du ,numvement socdaliste des caucus tchecoslovaques 2,, des documents de l'instruc- lion des proces politiques, une interview de fir! Pelikan, et ,d'autres documents inedits. l'exemplaire : 1 F 10 exemplaires : 7 F 50 DIFFUSEZ LA BROCHURE Le Meeting du 26 novembre 10 exemplaires : 15 F Correspondance a : Rene DAZY, 25, rue d'Hauteville - 75 - Paris-109 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 lmprimerie Gutenberg - 17, rue des Cloys - Paris-18' Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 JPRS S2501 1 March 1971 TRANSLATIONS ON WESTERN EUROPE No, LI) MEETING OF INTERNATIONAL DISSIDENT COMMUNISTS ON CZECHOSLO\4KIA 1ty JOINT PUBLICATIONS RESEARCH SERVICE Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 NOTY Unless otherwise indicated items are complete textual translations of the original. The contents of this pnhlication in no way represent the policies, views, or attitudes of the U.S. Government. PROCUREMENT OF PUBLICATIONS JPRS publications may be ordered from the National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Virginia 22151. In order- ing, it is recommended that the JPRS number, title, date and author, if applicable, of publication be cited. Current JPRS publications are announced in U.S. Government Research 64 Development Reports issued semi-monthly by the National -- Technical Information. Service, and are listed in the Monthly Catalog of U.S. Government Publications issued by the Superintendent or Docum-nts, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, I) C. 20402. Correspondence pertaining to matters other than procurement may be addressed to Joint Publications Research Service, 1000 North Glebe Road, Arlington, Virginia 22201. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 JPRS 52501 1 March 1971 TRANSLATIONS ON WESTERN EUROPE No. 190 MEETING OF INTERNATIONAL DISSIDENT COMMUNISTS ON CZECHOSLOVAKIA [Selected speeches from booklet edited by "Committee of 5 January"; Paris, Le Meeting du 26 Novembre 1970 -- Discours et Messages, French, pp 3-9, 11-14, 16-33, 36 and 43-45] CPYRGHT P 31 On 26 November 1970, the Great Hall of the Mutual Insurance Building in Paris was filled with the partisans of socialism, both young and veteran, students, workers, white-collar em- ployees, civil servants, cadres, and intellectuals with various leanings. For the first time, a meeting was being held for the renewal of sotialism -- this was therefore not an anti-Soviet or anticommunist meeting -- and against the deviations which disfigure it, such as the armed intervention against Czechoslovakia and the ensuring "normalization." While the bureaucratic distortions and those responsible for them were being denounced, the socialist regime was exalted there and the presence of foreign communists, of noncommunist supporters of socialism, on the speaker's platform reflected at once the spirit of international- ism and union in which the "Committee of 5 January," the organizer of this event, had prepared the meeting. The speeches and messages read from the speaker's rostrum have been collected and constitute this modest brochure which each reader is invited to publicize or disseminate; the purpose is to leave a record of this important event which undoubtedly will have its aftereffects. For a socialist and independent Czechoslovakia; for the renewal of socialism. - 1 - [III - INT - 137] Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPAIOPIrdoTed For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 [pp 5-8] Speech by Charles Tillon I want to thank you for coming to this meeting organized by the Committee of 5 January for a free and socialist Czechoslovakia with the support of organizations inspired by these same feelings. I deeply appreciate the honor which was bestowed upon me in having me preside over this assembly before you, side by side with the men of high conscience and great merit whom I salute in your name. They will speak tonight in a Paris that is faithful to its duty and to its proudest traditions. In a Paris which thinks of Prague, a Paris which is Paris only in the fight for liberty. We have gathered here to assert our brotherly and active soli- darity with the people of Czechoslovakia but also for the purpose of giving this solidarity a new impetus, worthy of the history of the French working class and of all currents of thought which aspire to socialism in France. On this rostrum, I salute -- in your name, with respect and affection -- the presence of our Comrade Jiri Pelikan, by right the irrevocable member of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Czechoslovakia, which was to meet at its regular congress on the eve of the very day when tanks, with misled soldiers perched on them, restored a brand of barracks socialism in Prague. We have gathered here to proclaim that, though some people may have to leave their country so that they will not have to shut up, there are no expat- riates for a communist because there is not just a single Fatherland of socialism but rather a whole world to be won, for all socialists. We have gathered here to recall that it was Marx who proposed the universal declaration of the rights of socialist man, which confounds all of its adulterers. We have gathered here in the name of those who, in our country, share the same feelings, the same determination to address our virile and brotherly homage to the Czechoslovak people, and our duties as fighters for socialism with a human face, since a pleonasm has become indispensable in our language so as to dis- tinguish that which has perished from that which remains most noble for the future of all mankind. It is under this sign that our meet- ing tonight assumes its international significance of solidarity with the Czechoslovak people and with all peoples who are fighting for their liberty and their independence. Everything we know about the outraged Czech people makes us feel its indignation, its sufferings, and makes us admire its un- quenchable courage. But the thing we are most concerned with now, the thing that you expect from this assembly, is that which will 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT help us do something useful, in other words, anything that can help wipe out the consequences of the crime which was committed against an entire people. One thing we are sure of and that is that the cause of socialism in Prague Is invincible and that there will be no more resignation of conscience on the part of the supporters of soc- ialism and liberty in our country. That would just about conclude my remarks here if I had not felt the need.personally to bear witness here to the irrepressible love of the Czechoslovak people for liberty by telling you in a few words what I think about its past trials and tribulations. First of all I might recall the Prague I knew once upon a time, in 1938, in the very heart of all of the torments of a Europe threatened by Hitler. Above all, I want to tell you why I think as I do. Amid all of the blood shed in two wars, we think back first of all to the first of these wars, which was called the "War of Right" because we were made to believe that we were fighting for the freedom of peoples to settle their own affairs! This is not the story of a veteran fighter, a story which helps make the young people laugh at the ex- pense of the past while this veteran is offered -- by way of the future -- only the political gerontology of the men in power or their compliant allies. It was during this first world war -- and my communist heart still beats joyfully as I think of this -- that an immense people won its freedom to settle its own affairs through a triumphant revolution in October 1917! It was then that the partisans of socialism through- out the world had the duty to join ranks to defend the country of the Soviets. In France, moreover, we faced the duty of confronting the gov- ernment in order to smash foreign intervention against the first coun- try which had joined battle for a socialist way. There were communists -- who at that time were not card-carrying because there was no party -- who asserted themselves in action against their own government by proclaiming "that a people which oppresses another people cannot be a free people." I say this in order not to cast the shadows of the present over the past. I say this also because, after more than 50 years, it is up to all peoples to judge socialism in each country in terms of what it has taught them. When we see the genius of Soviet scientists animate their fantastic robot on the moon, we admire them. When these same scientists -- on the land on which they live -- demand simple respect for the rights of man as proclaimed by the French Revolution 180 years ago, we are not engaging in anti-Sovietism in holding that the time has come to revise that Sovietism there. But it is only Prague which I want to remember here now, the Prague whose firm friends we can count here tonight, I am sure, in - 3 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT AnnrnirI Fnr Rplpacp lcicicanci/f19 ? CIA-R111D711-fIl1cutAnnnnnn19nnn1_n much groaLor numbers than there are cobblestones on its streets. It was a few days before Munich in 1938. I had gone there as a memher ot a doiegatton from the Centrai Committee of the French Communist Party, chat-IA(1d with assuring the Czech party of our active solidarity In the common defense of the cause of peace. Prague and Paris at that time looked as much alike as a couple of sisters. But Prague daily lived submerged in the popular mass that had come from all over the country to express to its government its determination to support it so as to preserve liberty and independence which were in peril. Suddenly the news arrived from Paris that France was mobilizing the first reserves of its army in order to confront the aggression which was feared at the time. In just an hour, before our very eyes, the city, at first fever-swollen, was emptied of all of its able-bodied men. Then night fell on an entire people, resolutely determined to make the greatest sacrifices. On that day in Prague I saw the un- forgettable resolution of a great people. On his return to Paris, Daladier had himself acclaimed by a crowd -- still the same crowd, the crowd that turns up whenever there are great social fears -- acclaimed because, with Chamberlain, he had decided that they would abandon Czechoslovakia to its tragic fate. That was a betrayal of the interests of everyone and you know what mis- fortunes followed this. I owe it to history to say that only in France did the Communist deputies and two or three others refuse to forget about the liberty of the Czech people and vote against the crime of Munich. This duty is the honor of a party. When the Germans occupied the Sudetenland, I had to go to Prague, in the name of the International Red Cross, to help organize solidar- ity with the revolutionary militants who had to flee before the in- vader. One day I was slowly crossing St Charles Bridge, accompanied by a Prague comrade, when a Czech Army officer, who had heard us talk French, turned around and walked toward us. He clicked his heels. This soldier expressed his disgust over the fact that France had be- trayed his country. He was one of those men of duty, whose face I see again and again, under the occupation, when we dreamed of liberty for all nations. Finally, when the people had defeated fascism -- and we must not forget the measure of sacrifice made by each people -- I had the tremendous joy, in Prague, in 1947, on the occasion of a memorial ceremony, to run into the old comrades of the FTP [Franctireurs of the Fatherland] who were among the best who had fought in the French Resistance. But my happiness quickly gave way to pain as I thought of those who had suffered under torture or who were assassinated during the term of office of Novotny, the normalizer before January... - 4 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGIolpproved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 The Czechoslovak people rallied around the Communist Party, which at last produced its popular and creative air, by driving him and other persecutors out. This, then, is the place for the glory of the Prague Spring, its drama and the struggle that remains, a struggle to which we give our determination and our strength. For us, Czechoslovakia remains in the very heart of the struggle for a peace which we really want without any strings attached. But it also has no liberty in the center of a Europe where -- through it is fortunately true that the forces of social progress have, in West Germany, driven back those who still feel sorry about having lost the war -- on the other hand the spirit of Munich has reappeared in the shadow of Yalta, with the abandonment of the Czech people who are political prisoners and prisoners of a certain war potential -- in a word, delivered up to the political and military subversion of an occupation which, before all the world, is but the denial of socialism. In France, unfortunately, we cannot teach anyone any lessons in socialism. For that, we tend to forget too often that the people are also responsible for their rulers. But our experience in 1968 will not be distorted by those "who try to wash away the stains with dirty hands." We assert our confidence in the struggle that will enable France to have a socialist, democratic, and independent future, a struggle for the action alliance of all partisans of socialism through- out the world. This is the way we want to make our friendship and our soli- darity with the people of Czechoslovakia effective in this trial from which it will emerge victorious. [p 9] Messaae of Edward Goldstucker, Member, Central Committee, Czechoslovak Communist Party Ladies and gentlemen, dear friends, dear comrades. I would have liked to greet you in person but since I am un- able to do so, permit me to tell you something, in a few words, which I have always wanted to bring to your attention. I am convinced that the 1968 Prague Spring, that is, the effort of the Communist Party and the people of Czechoslovakia to establish a socialist democratic regime corresponding to the needs, the level of development, and the traditions of this country, will -- in the history of socialism -- be considered as a historical event and ex- perience comparable to the glorious Paris Commune. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGApproved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 To all those who fight for socialism, to all those who would like to see a just and free social order emerge from the threatening crises of our times, the Prague Spring -- in spite of its brutal sup- pression -- will serve as an indication of the real possibility of socialism with a human face, that is, a socialist regime that springs from the revolution, that introduces the guarantees of the fundamental rights and freedoms of the citizen into its structure, and that thus creates conditions under which all production forces, all creative energies of society may be mobilized to attain its goals. This is why the Czechoslovak effort in 1968 everywhere, among socialists and democrats alike, triggered such great interest and this is why its suppression is not a "family affair" between Moscow and Prague, as the "normalizers" insist in picturing it as, but rather a vital issue for the destiny of socialism throughout the en- tire world. Do not forget, dear comrades and friends, no matter where you are, that it is your cause which is at stake today in that little country in the center of our continent. [op 11] Message from Communist Party_ of Australia The Communist Party of Australia unequivocally maintains its position on 21 August 1968, that is, that the occupation of Czecho- slovakia by the armed forces of the USSR and the other four powers of the Warsaw Pact was unjustified and unjustifiable. On 5 January 1968, the Czechoslovak Communist Party had adopted a new course toward a socialist democracy and toward worker self- management. This new support received massive popular support from the workers, peasants, intellectuals, and students in the Czech and Slovak parts of the country. The Australian Communist Party hailed this as one of the most important developments for the future of the world revolution. The reasons given to justify the occupation were wrong and un- founded. The occupation has struck at the very cause of socialism in Czechoslovakia and in the entire world and it has moreover tarnished the prestige of the Soviet Union and the other countries implicated in this. The events which occurred in Czechoslovakia afterward neither repaired, nor mitigated the misdeeds that had been committed; on the contrary, they reduced the chances of socialism in that country. - 6 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 . IA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT The only possible outcome is that which comes from the soc- ialist principles in the matter of international relations, such as they were established by Marx and developed by Lenin: immediate withdrawal of all occupation troops, restoration of national inde- pendence and of the autonomy of the Czech and Slovak nations, of their communist parties, of their labor unions, and of all their mass organ- izations, so that they may resume their own road toward a renewal of socialism and progress toward democracy. For the Executive Commission: Laurie Aarons, National Secretary. [pp 12-14] Address by a Young Czechoslovak Revolutionary Socialist Woman I am happy to be able to speak at this meeting on the basis of communist positions. As a matter of fact, until very recently the Stalinists were able to block any criticism coming from the left-wing opposition. The very fact that this meeting could be held, shows that we have turned another page in history. We have witnessed the process of renewal in Czechoslovakia in 1968 and the "Prague Spring" has become a famous word throughout the world. Today, after 2 years, we can better appreciate its develop- ment and its rapid fall. In 1968 the economic and social crisis reached such a degree that a change in the political concept became a necessity for the majority of the ruling bureaucracy itself. The discontent of the workers and their aspiration for a change also played a great role. But this process had to be imposed against the will of the conservative and Stalinist wing which held dominant positions in the party and government machine, positions gained during the fifties. The changes to come thus fundamentally threatened their personal in- terests. This meant that the Dubcek win had to obtain support from cer- tain groups outside the party, groups which criticized the Novotny leadership. The change which appeared in the beginning as a purely internal affair within the party, soon -- thanks to the mass communications media -- became the affair of the entire people. The reaction to this change was quite a bit more spontaneous than the new leadership had anticipated. The ceaselessly growing activity of the masses in - 7 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 the implementation of these changes sprang from the working class's aspiration to participate in the management of the state. The reformist wing had been incapable of taking the lead in this activity and becoming a real worker vanguard. This leadership instead tried to channel this activity in an artificial manner. This led to Sik's conception of the worker coun- cils and, shortly afterward, the almost identical official proposals revealing the ideological and political roots of the liberal wing in Stalinism. In none of the official concepts -- coming either from the labor unions, or from the different variants of the government proj- ects concerning socialist enterprise -- do we find the idea of the political centralization of the councils and the resultant creation of new power structures of the working class and all other working people. In other words, the institution of the direct power of the workers. This was a technocratic conception, entailing a real danger that these councils might degenerate, as we saw in Yugoslavia. Material incentive was emphasized, first and foremost, and the emancipation of man and his participation in the constant changes in society only played a secondary role. in spite of this, this evolution triggered fears in the Kremlin whose propaganda increasingly emphasized the danger of counterrevolu- tion which supposedly existed among us. In spite of the inability of the reformist wing to become an authentically Marxist vanguard, we must emphasize the fact that it remained a guarantor against a possible restoration of capitalism on the political level and on the government level. Those who dared talk of such a danger in Czechoslovakia in 1968 are the same who identified the Novotny regime with socialism. Bourgeois propaganda did not really have any outlook in Czecho- slovakia. The biggest example of bourgeois propaganda which the Krem- lin could cite -- and while I was in Czechoslovakia I became sure that they did everything they could do along those lines -- is the Manifesto of 2,000 Words which urges the workers to organize themselves in worker councils. One of the most positive aspects of this evolution was that, for the first time in 20 years, there developed a broad political discussion on the contradictions of our society as well as an in- creasingly consistent criticism of the past. - 8 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYR*10roved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Only the upsurge in the activity of the masses could guarantee their true advance. Its most progressive manifestation was the spon- taneous constitution of the worker councils. That was the beginning of a true revolutionary process whose fundamental aspect was not understood by the Czechoslovak Communist Party. There is however no doubt that Dubcek's policy was able to prepare the ground for the development of socialism, that is to say, of a society which would exclusively be based on the activity of the organized masses. It seems to us however that this process could onlyhave been managed better, in terms of all of its consequences, by a new vanguard which politically and ideologically was not weighted down by the distortions of the past. This new vanguard is neither a pro- duct of our thought, nor an attempt to import tendencies from capi- talist countries into Czechoslovakia. It was primarily in the eyes of the younger generation that the Czechoslovak Communist Party was unable fully to satisfy its needs. Its policy did not guarantee the new generation any sufficient pros- pects. This distrust on the part of the younger generation has mani- fested itself many times -- especially in August 1969 -- and is be- ginning to take on specific organizational forms. This is not a con- flict between the generations but rather the establishment of a new revolutionary concept which would install a government of the workers, organized at the base, in the place of the power of the bureaucracy. The antibureaucratic movement and the aspirations of the Czecho- slovak workers to manage their own affairs themselves however can be realized only under the condition that there be a new revolutionary Marxist party which, tying in with recent and comparable experiences, would fight for proletarian democracy. We cannot condemn the intervention of the five Warsaw Pact powers only on the basis of moral positions and because the funda- mental rules of international law were violated. The intervention, which was designed to prevent the counterrevolution, in fact had to defend the interests of the bureaucracy. Its consequence is an even greater blot on socialism in the eyes of the broadest strata and especially in the eyes of the younger generation. Likewise we must condemn the fact that the activity of the workers and especially of the working class in the enterprises was wiped out to a great extent by this act. 9 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 We will under no circumstances accept this state of affairs. The conscious elements of the Czechoslovak working people and espec- ially we of the younger generation will fight against this. We believe that this struggle for a true proletarian democracy in Czechoslovakia is a part of the international socialist revolution. Liberty for the socialist opposition in Czechoslovakia! Long live the antibureaucratic revolution! [p 16] Message of Ernst Fischer Dear friends and comrades: I am very sorry that my poor health does not permit me to attend this meeting with you. The democratic revolution of the Czechs and Slovaks and the birth of a socialist democracy in Europe were more than just a his- torical interlude: they furnished proof that a socialist democracy was possible, that it was the best way to arm the people, to give it initiative, to bring to bloom friendship, solidarity, imagination, and the full awareness of what was beginning to be born there. We entertain no illusions: the defeat of socialism in Czecho- slovakia has not been imposed for just a short period of time. But the agreement among peoples in the struggle for their liberty, in Indochina, in Latin America, in Spain, and in Greece is inseparable from the struggle for liberty in Czechoslovakia, a struggle which is not over because the irresistible force of the people will wind up by putting an end to the "big-power" policy. [pp 16-17] Speech by Vercors It is possible that the date of 21 August 1968 will go down in history as the darkest day in the second half of the 20th century. The extent of a human catastrophe is not necessarily measured by the blood that was spilled, by the number of dead, but by the gravities of the immediate and the more distant repercussions. The intervention in Budapest, 14 years ago, had already rudely hurt revolutionary - 10 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 chmmed For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 C onsciences. The Red Army had rived upon the people: That is where it lost its innocence. At least we learned later on that the danger ot a counterrevolution, followed by the danger of a third world war, had not been negligible. Armed intervention found an excuse there, in the ab- sence of justification. We know without the slightest shadow of a doubt that no such danger accompanied the Prague Spring. That, on the contrary, this spring gave the communist parties of the entire world an audience which they had never had before. At the very same time after the May Barri- cades, the French bourgeoisie were no less afraid of this glimmer to the East which seemed to build a bridge of revolution in truth and joy between Paris and Prague. The intervention of the Soviets served to reassure it, much more so than the intervention of the CRS [Republican Security Com- panies]. Order prevailed in Prague and order prevailed in Paris One could once again sleep peacefully. Especially so since the impact that had been felt throughout the world by the sister parties had so shaken these parties that they could not stop disintigrating. And so it was rather with the help of the Soviet government that the walls fell, as if after an earthquake For a long time the bourgeoisie no longer had reason to fear that a revolution might spring from these walls which were crumbling. The important thing thus was to rebuild them. But we entertained no illusions: this is a long-term job. Especially since it must not and cannot be undertaken against the existing parties which still have the confidence of the majority of the workers. The thing now is to get everyone to become aware of what is going on because this aware- ness will serve as the rallying point for this reconstruction. The ideal thing would be for the criminal error of 21 August to be revealed in all of its gravity as a cataclysm, if not to those who committed it and who certainly would never agree that they were wrong, then at least to the most honest and the most clear-sighted elements in Moscow and Prague. This is why I personally believe that we must never put an end to our protests, that we must never abandon ourselves to resignation and fatigue. The future of socialism undoubtedly will cost us that price. [pp 17-19] Address by Franz Marek, member, Politburo, Austrian Communist Party, 1945-1968 Dear comrades: In talking to Czechoslovak friends, especially those who live In their country, you sometimes hear a remark -- which is tantamount Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Appr_pved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYK(.51-1 to a reproach -- to the effect that they feel somewhat forgotten. Not just in the diplomatic sense but also forgotten by us, their friends, those of us who are forced to confront the problems we face each day in our lives. One could reply to this quite legitimate concern by paraphras- ing the formula of Jaures, changing just one word in it: "If we look at events in progress in a superficial manner, we actually overlook Czechoslovakia; but as we look into them, in depth, we always run into Czechoslovakia." The thing that links the unsubjugated of Prague to the sacri- fices of Annam is that Yaltatization of world policy, the policy of blocs which actually blocks the policy of the progressive movements. And the thing that unites the ousted comrades in Prague and Bratislava to those in other normalized parties is that very process of "normalization" which tends to cement all that which is abnormal in the worker movement. We must thus pose for ourselves the problem of solidarity with Czechoslovakia in a general framework. I would like to contri- bute something to this by emphasizing two aspects of the problem here today: In our meetings with true socialists from the Soviet Union and from the people's democracies, we sometimes had trouble finding a common language. It so happens that they do not understand what is going on in the Left in the Western countries. The problems of the national liberation movements in the forgotten continents do not preoccupy them as much as they concern us. Haunted by the specter of Stalinism, they often repeat -- when the subject of China comes up -- the formulas presented by the official propaganda of their countries, although they detest it. We must clearly understand the difference in the points of departure: the documents which reach us from over there sometimes look a little bit too liberal to us; and those which reach them from us seem a little bit too democratic to them. One could say, by way of simplification: because they as- pire to a true socialism, they speak above all of democracy; whereas we, who call for true democracy, speak above all about socialism. I know very well that this is an oversimplification, for what it may be worth, but I use it to bring out the specific nature of the conditions complicating attempts to find a basis of agreement and understanding with our friends from these countries. - 12 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 C PYW oved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Now, it seems to me that thLs is a prime necessity and that a revolutionary perspective, which would not take this necessity into account, would be nothing but a Leftist variant of the bloc policy. It is here that the experiences of Czechoslovakia and the knowledge of our Czechoslovak friends could help us find a link. For example, let us take the great idea of direct democracy of the producers which, in Czechoslovakia, found expression once again in the worker councils, in spite of all of their limitations. Today we often hear the phrase about the "Spring" according to which the issue was to make a synthesis between democracy and socialism in a socialist democracy. Presented by people who were nostalgic for democracy such as it was between the two wars, this formula cannot satisfy us. The synthesis of a socialism, which is not one with a democracy that was not one, could not lead to a soc- ialist democracy. It is the return to the idea of direct democracy -- which penetrated the worker movement during the 10 days that shook the world -- which made the Czechoslovak worker councils so important during the 7 months that filled the worker movement with hope. This great idea, which was buried during the time of Stalin, shows the road to a true socialist democracy. The revolutionaries of East and West can meet thus from different points of departure. Here., it is the establishment of the fact that bourgeois demo- cracy stops, at the entrance to the factory or the workshop. Over there, they already have the experience that, if self-management stops at the exit. of the factory or the workshop, if direct democracy is not extended to all areas, then self-management loses its life blood and we do not arrive at the State our classical authors describe as no longer existing in the true sense of the word. And we will then have to say: while young Marx wrote that the so-called Christian states are not a government expression of Christianity, one could add today that the so-called socialist "states" are not yet a government expression of socialism. Let me say it again: in the ideological crisis that pervades the worker movement in Europe we must place the question of soli- darity with Czechoslovakia within the framework of an agreement of the progressive forces of East and West. The idea of direct demo- cracy should permit us to find common ground. Now a few words on the second aspect of our solidarity with our Czechoslovak friends. We have recently observed certain interesting - 13 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 ? CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 signs in that country, especially the open polemic between the leader- ship team that was imposed and the Stalinist extremists -- attempts at seduction to regain a party of technicians, postponement of trials that had been announced, release of a comrade who had been under arrest, etc. We know very well r:hat this is not a democratization of the "normalized" regime, not even a liberalization, and that this is not the time to proceed to an analysis of this mini-new-look, of its relationships with certain diplomatic negotiations, with economic difficulties, etc. However, one cannot make politics without taking into consideration all the nuances and it may be that, within some time, w c w 1 1 1 have posters announcing a debate meeting in the Lucerna Hall in Prague on the topic: "Tell me, Mr Bilak!" That is possible... But that changes nothing in the problems raised by 21 August 1968 which are still with us, just as the questions taken up in the action program of the Czechoslovak Communist Party adopted in April 1968 are still with us and just as we retain our conviction that fires were lighted, during that memorable year of 1968, in Paris and in Prague which one must not allow to go out. [pp 20-25] Speech by Roger Garaudy We must speak out here today because others must keep silent. The thing that was crushed by normalization in Prague is the historical initiative of an entire people and its Communist Party to build a model of socialism that would correspond to the requirements of their country. This is not an external event: this is a blow which directly strikes each one of us, each one of those who, through- out the world, want to build socialism. There is no valid argument for remaining silent. The principle of noninterference in the affairs of another party is sometimes mentioned in this connection. But when the Soviet leaders -- in excommunicating Yugoslavia -- openly called upon the Yugoslav people to rise against the state and the party of their country, nobody said anything about noninter- ference; people rivaled each other in hurling insults to justify Soviet interference. - 14- Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT When the Soviet leaders -- in an effort to exert political pressure against China -- broke all their contracts in order to disorganize its economy, many communist parties behaved as if they had no duty of proletarian internationalism toward the Chinese Com- munists. Far from invoking no interference, they engaged in the worst slander to justify Soviet interference once again. When the Soviet leaders -- in the name of "normalization" -- imposed the Stalinist model upon Czechoslovakia, the same parties kept silent and this silence has the same purpose as the vocifer- ations against Yugoslavia or against China. This was not, a matter of respecting the principle of no interference but rather of once again being an accomplice to Soviet interference. Some people also at length bring up the argument that any protest would only nurture anti-Soviet and anticommunist campaigns. But the thing that feeds anti-Soviet and anticommunist campaigns is the failure to denounce these crimes and the fact that one is an accomplice in them. It was not anti-Sovietism to denounce the crimes ?of Stalin; and it is not anti-Sovietism to denounce those of Brezhnev. On the other hand, one is only playing the game of all anticommunists when, through our silence, one approves a "normaliza- tion" which gives communism a repugnant face. Finally we are told: "normalization" in Czechoslovakia is an external problem which does not concern the French people. This is another lie because the thing that was crushed in Czechoslovakia is the socialist future of France. From January to August 1968, the Czechoslovak communists showed that socialism is not the suppression of the conquests of bour- geois democracy but is on the contrary the destruction of its limitations. At first, they ended censorship, political trials, the crime of expressing an opinion, all of the "formal" liberties which the capi- talist countries no longer guarantee, as the recent political trials in the United States and France prove. Then they began to create the agencies of socialist democracy: a direct democracy, not a delegated and alienated democracy. In the capitalist countries, each worker, on one day every 3 or 4 years, is gladly given the title of sovereign individual on election Sunday, when he delegates and alienates all of his powers in one day; but on the next day, on Monday morning, he once again finds the monarchy of the bosses at the gates to his factory. Bourgeois democracy is thus based on a double lie: a political lie because, on this level, it is nothing but a delegated, alienated democracy; an economic lie because, Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Apizroved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRUHT on the economic level, democrncy is rodicnily excluded. The ntLempt at direct democracy represented by the worker councils marks the break with this capitalist system of the double lie and of the double abdication as well as the break with the model of a bureaucratic and authoritarian socialism where everything is decided "topside," by the party and government machines, speaking in the name of the working class, without the latter really becoming involved in the decision. With the creation of worker councils, Czechoslovak communists embarked upon the road of socialism as defined by Marx: a "free association of workers;" they embarked upon the road of socialism, as defined by Lenin when, before his death, he detected the first bureau- cratic distortions and recalled that the Soviets could not only make socialism for the people but make it through the people; they embarked on the road of a socialism whose first concern was to release the histor- ical initiatives of the masses, even though the conditions and the means may be very different: The initiative of the Paris Commune and of worker control during the October Revolution, the initiative of the Yugoslav self-management program and of the people's communes in China. Like the Paris Commune, like the Soviets in 1905, the worker councils in Czechoslovakia are a creation of the rank and file. The moment the party put an end to the system which had prevented the new generation from fully exercising its creative aptitudes, the impetus came from the bottom up, from the workers themselves: at the Wilhelm Pieck machine- building plant the first initiative to create democratic economy manage- ment agencies appeared. The real "Prague Spring" above all was that effort to set in motion the vast masses of the people who had been depoliticized by despotism and who were again becoming the true subject of history by passionately participating in the creation of their own future. The merit of the leaders is that they understood this and that they helped this movement develop. Now, from that point on, what are the mistakes which they could commit and which one inevitably makes when one embarks upon a new road, the moment these leaders have accom- plished the first duty of any revolutionary leader: the duty of de- tecting the direction of the great historical initiatives of the masses, helping them take shape and develop instead of imposing prefabricated frameworks upon them. Henceforth, in every enterprise, all of the workers, both manual and intellectuals, directly (and not through delegation to bureaucrats) decided everything that concerned the life of the enterprise. The worker council draft, prepared by the workers at the Wil- helm Pieck plant, received the official support of the party and the State. - 16 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT Thus hundreds of enterprise councils sprang up. On the basis of this living experience, the government published the draft of a basic law for the establishment of worker councils. That was in July 1968; the discussion and the voting were scheduled for the end of August; but the tanks crushed this hope during the night of 20 August. Under Soviet occupation, at the 7th congress of the Czecho- slovak labor unions, in March 1969, Karel Polacek, chairman of the Central Council of Labor Unions, came back to the concept of labor unions as held by Lenin who in 1920 said: "Our State is such today that the totally organized proletariat must defend itself and we must use these worker organizations in order to defend the workers against their State so that the workers may defend our State." One of the essential tasks of the labor unions, added Lenin, is "the struggle against the bureaucratic distortions of the Soviet apparatus." Vlastimil Toman, president of the Metal Workers Federation, told the same congress, in the name of 1 million metal workers, that his federation "was not inclined to pay for appeasement at the price of sacrificing civil rights and freedom of the press." Strougal, the Czech Politburo representative at that congress, made himself the spokesman of the Soviet occupiers when he demanded that the worker councils be dropped. His motion was rejected by the congress which represented more than 5 million workers. After that, by the will of the occupier, collaborator Strougal became chairman of the council, whereas Karel Polacek, chairman of the Central Council of Labor Unions, and Vlastimil Toman, president of the Metal Workers Federation, who had been reelected by the Con- gress of Labor Unions, were stripped of their functions in November 1970. A few weeks later the Soviet occupier ordered its "collabor- ators" to abrogate the right to strike. "Normalization" is primar- ily this: the systematic repression of any attempt on the part of the workers or the intellectuals to decide their own destiny for them- selves. This is why all this is not just the affair of the Czechoslovak people. It is the affair of all of us. This is why we have not come here today at this sad moment in history, to ruminate on the past. The most manly way to assert our solidarity with the Czechoslovak com- munists, who are victims of normalization, is to reflect upon the sig- nificance of their "Spring" and to revive it here in France by work- ing out -- with all those who want socialism, without any discrimina- tion whatsoever -- the ways, the forms, and the model of a socialism that will correspond to the needs of our country. - 17 - Approveri-Enr-Release 1999/09/02 ? rIA.RnP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT Approved i-or Release 1999/09/02 : U1A-KIJ1' (9-U1194AUUUJUU12UUM-U First of all because the march toward a renewal of socialism is not blocked only in Prague by tanks. When a Communist Party refuses to be silent in the face of this crime against socialism, as represented by normalization, the Soviet leaders do not hesitate to encourage or create a split so as to be able to have at least one fraction available which unconditionally accepts their orders, as happened in a particularly noticeable manner against the communist parties of Greece, Spain, Finland, Austria, Great Britain, Portugal, Australia, and quite a few others. The crisis in the International Communist Movement has sprung from the determination of the Soviet leaders to impose their bureaucratic and Stalinist system as the only model of socialism. Each party henceforth must choose: it can either become the propagandist of this imported model or it can de- nounce it as a caricature of socialism, if it wants to be among the builders of socialism in its own country. Any party that agrees to become the propagandist for the Soviet model by keeping silent in the face of its perversions and crimes condemns itself to powerlessness and sterility. It is not a coincidence of history that, after the October Revolution, all peoples who achieved socialism by their own means, did so outside the schemes of Stalin and Brezhnev, in China, Vietnam, Yugoslavia, or Cuba. The march to socialism is also blocked by the importing of outdated schemes which enable us to understand neither the develop- ments of capitalism at the end of the 20th century, nor those of the working class, nor those of the forces which, side by side with the working class, are the standard-bearers of the future. Silent "nor- malization " stifles living revolutionary thought and action. We rise against it, tonight, for the renewal of socialism. In our struggle for socialism, we are no longer facing the capitalism of the steam engine or the flintlock, but rather the cap- italism of the computer and the intercontinental missile. And this requires a new analysis and a new strategy. The forces that are the standard-bearers of the revolution are not oniy those that are excluded from consumption but also those that are excluded from the decision-making process: first of all the working class and, with it, the millions of intellectuals and students who are moving toward it and who increasingly constitute a bloc with it, as demonstrated by the eruptions of May 1968. And this calls for a new concept of unity. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPIRGHT The conditions of the revolutionary struggle for socialism, in our country, are not those of a predominantly agricultural coun- try, where the working class was a minority in an uneducated mass, where it was forced underground and into an organization run on army discipline, where, consequently, a professional apparatus speaks and commands in the name of the class. In France, socialism cannot be forced upon our people from the outside but, on the contrary, must be born of its most profound aspirations and must spring from the rank and file initiatives of the working class and the intellectuals who have adopted its histor- ical perspective as their own. And that calls for a party of the new type. Such is the basic triptych for the renewal of socialism in France: new analysis of class relations and new strategy; new con- cept of unity; new-type party. We have no enemies among those who pursue such a goal: neither among the communists, who are beginning to be aware of the sterility to which the observance of the Stalinist schemes of Brezhnev has led them, along with silence on the sordid anti-Semitism which is develop- ing in Poland and in the Soviet Union, nor among the socialists of all shades who are becoming aware that a socialist party, wherever it was in power, has never built socialism, nor among those who are called "Leftists" and who have become aware of the powerlessness of reformism and the powerlessness of the many tiny little groups that only had speculative links with the working class, nor among the Christians who, after having experienced the evil-mindedness of the "Christian parties" throughout Europe, with good reason aspire to political expression. The issue is not -- neither tonight, nor tomorrow -- to create a center of opposition to the French Communist Party, nor to any other force of socialism in France, but everywhere to bring to life centers of impetus, of common search and action. To release the historical initiative of the rank and file, along the example of the Prague Spring, and to search for and create the conditions of unity and effectiveness of all of .those who want to build socialism in France. The only problem is to find out whether, beyond all of our disagreements, we can choose between barbarism and socialism, as Rosa Luxemburg put it. Socialism, the hope of everyone, can only be the work of every- one: of those for whom socialism has the face of Jaures or of Lenin, the face of Trotsky, the face of Mao Tse-tung, or the face of Camillo Torres. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT AnnrnirI Fnr Rplpacp lcicicanci/f19 ? CIA-R111D711-fIl1cutAnnnnnn19nnn1_n The problem is to unite the class and the bloc, all those who do not wish to be fenced in by the limitations of the capitalist system, all those who refuse to be integrated into it, all those who fundamentally challenge its direction, values, and ultimate purposes. This is not an eclectic rally without principle. On the contrary, with a clear awareness of our disagreements, and without wishing to claim any kind of leadership role, without pretending to create a group, a party, or an international that could only divide the movement even further, the important thing now for everyone is to ask ourselves about the model of socialism which we want to build, about the conditions of our unity and our effectiveness. A youth who today lives in the age of the apocalypse of Hiroshima and the Chinese Revolution, a youth who has embarked upon a conscious road between the irreversible challenges of the 20th congress of the Bolshevik Party and Vatican Council II, such a youth could not conceive a defensive socialism, a socialism that fearfully entrenches itself behind walls, tanks or censor- ship, but rather an offensive socialism, sure of its own significance. The important thing now is not to provide alibis for those who do not recoil before the barbarism of genocide in Vietnam, against which we demonstrate together, tonight, from the Bastille to the Re- public; but rather to cast away the masks which, by disfiguring soc- ialism, weaken the common struggle against imperialism and for Viet- nam. From the Caribbean to the Andes mountain range and from Guinea to Vietnam, victories are being won against the common enemy in var- ious forms. Let us not reject any of the lessons or possibilities emerging from them -- not to import them or to imitate them, but to use them to help us solve our own problems by inventing perhaps un- heard-of means. It is up to us now to turn the extinct volcanoes on and make them roar. Beyond the outdated schemes, we must find ways to recover the elan of what all of the nascent socialist revolutions were; let us find ways to revive the spirit of the Paris Commune and of the October Revolution, of the Chinese Long March, of the epic of Vietnam, and the Prague Spring; let us find ways to recover the initiatives of thought and action of Rosa Luxemburg and of Antonio Gramsci. - 20 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT This way, and only this way, will we be present today not at a wake but rather at a birth, at the beginning of our common long march for the recovery of hope. [pp 26-33] Speech of Jiri Pelikan Dear comrades, dear friends. I would first of all like to thank, with all my heart, the organizers Of this meeting, the Committee of 5 January, the organiza- tions and comrades who participated in its preparation, the foreign comrades who have come or who have sent messages from different coun- tries, and you all who are here tonight, at the Mutual Insurance Building, to express your solidarity with the struggle of the Czecho- slovak people against the occupation and "normalization," for an in- dependent, democratic, and socialist Czechoslovakia. Your gesture is all the more important since the present regime imposed upon Czechoslovakia by the occupation is trying to crush the resistance of the popular masses by asserting that they are isolated and abandoned and that there is nothing left for them to do but to accept this so-called new reality. As if they had forgotten that we all became communists and socialists not to accept "reality" but, precisely, to change it. Your gesture is all the more important since our people can observe, with a certain degree of concern and bitterness, the depress- ing hesitation and silence on the part of many of those to whom we are linked by the same goals of socialism and who, though they con- demned the military intervention in August 1968, are gradually be- ginning to reconcile themselves to its consequences. This is why your presence here is a concrete confirmation for our people that there are communists and socialists, that there are revolutionaries who are not abandoning their comrades in arms, even if they suffer blows and wounds, and who consider the struggle of our people to be their struggle. We come back today to that magnificent movement of 1968, known under the name of "Prague Spring," because, in spite of its particular features, it expressed the objective problems, the contradictions, and also the possible solutions of a new development in all socialist countries, in the entire socialist movement, especially in the in- dustrialized countries. This is because the Prague Spring was neither - 21 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 a palace revolution, nor a liberal movement, nor a chance explosion. It had been maturing for a long time within a socialist society, as a consequence of the contradictions between the ideals and the prac- tice of socialism, as a consequence of the inability of the bureau- cratic system successfully to solve the many problems of political, economic, and cultural development, and to assure a democratic par- ticipation of the people in the development of policy. The study and analysis of all of the documents of the party and government agencies, of thousands of resolutions emanating from different organizations and from the demands of the citizens, pub- lished at the time of the Prague Spring, convincingly confirm the fact that this entire movement had a socialist character, that the idea here was not to weaken but, on the contrary, to strengthen soc- ialism. Can one say that the renewal and enlargement of all civil, democratic rights, especially the right of free expression, was "antisocialist"? Can one say that the principle of self-management of the enter- prises by the workers and of government agencies by the citizens was "antisocialist"? Can one say that the autonomy of the labor unions and of other mass organizations, cooperation -- on a basis of equality -- between different political groups and interests around a socialist program was "antisocialist"? If these aspirations had to be considered antisocialist and counterrevolutionary -- as official government propaganda in Prague and Moscow claims -- then one would have to exclude from the Commun- ist Movement the majority of the leaders and the members of the Italian, Spanish, British, French, and other communist parties who included these points in their fighting program for a socialist society! Of course, one can criticize the Prague Spring in connection with certain errors. On this subject, I would like to emphasize that we ourselves, the Czechoslovak communists, who participated in this movement and who are today faithful to its ideas, are not uncondi- tionally defending everything that was done, said, or written, because such a democratic movement cannot be carried out without extremist positions and, above all, we do not intend to picture it as a "model" for the others. But one must not forget under what internal and ex- ternal objective conditions this movement was born and developed. One must not forget that it was only the liquidation of personal power in the party and government leadership, in January 1968, which opened the road to political and ideological activity and which, in the course 22 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 Aprirgyed For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000300120001-0 CP Y r-