CA PROPAGANDA PERSPECTIVES

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CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9
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RIPPUB
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S
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87
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November 11, 2016
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February 5, 1999
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1
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Publication Date: 
July 24, 1972
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-95X1C10b Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 411?01111911EINW 24 July 1972 VIETNAM PERSPECTIVE On 30 March 1972, the North Vietnamese regime launched a massive, unprovoked attack by first-line-North Vietnamese Army divisions spearheaded by hundreds of tanks and supported by massed artillery across the borders of South Vietnam. The attack openly and blatantly violated the agreement reached in 1954 that both North and South Vietnamese forces remain on their own gides of the Demilitarized Zone. It also violated the understanding to de-escalate the war reached in the fall of 1968 when the U.S. unilaterally ceased the bombing of North Vietnam. In one stroke, the NVN wiped out its carefully developed and nurtured false image of the war in South Vietnam as a civil "war of liberation" conducted by freedom-loving, anti-imperial Southern guerrillas with the aid of the North. As a result, new and different perspectives on the Vietnamese conflict were revealed: --- Many fictions assiduously cultivated by North Vietnam stood exposed (see below). --- The South Vietnamese government (GVN) and its military forces responded with unexpected unity and effectiveness, giving evidence that the initiative has passed to the Southern forces. --- The U.S., while holding to its unilateral commitment to continue withdrawing its -troops from Vietnam, responded to the North Vietnamese action with an air offensive of unprecedented magnitude and effectiveness, both against the North's war-making capacity and against the North Vietnamese invading troops in the South. - More unexpectedly, it mined North Vietnamese harbors, including Haiphong, severely restricting North Vietnam's main source of supply of Soviet materiel. --- Free world public opinion, which has evidenced substantial support for the North Vietnamese and Viet Cong stand, experienced a major reversal, --- While voicing their continued moral support, North Viet- nam's major allies, the Soviet Union and Communist China, in the middle of long-sought negotiations to normalize rela- tiOnsiwith ttfQ U.S., were clearly dismayed by the misbegotten North Vietnamese strategy, and pursued their own wider national interest over and above Hanoi's. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 The supreme irony of it all is that in the above respects the reckless North Vietnamese gamble has achieved exactly the opposite of what their offensive was designed to achieve. The North Viet- namese are sacrificing thousands of lives lost, a significant portion of their economic and industrial base, and whatever support they enjoyed in the world community in a fruitless effort to achieve domination of the South. Yet it seems they would have been just as close to their goal if they had followed the path of negotiation instead of embarking on the uncertain course of seeking a military victory. Some North Vietnamese FictiOns The North Vietnamese Army (NVA) has now made it unequivocally clear that the conflict is not a matter of a purely South Vietnamese civil war, a war of "national liberation," carried on against the Government of South Vietnam by Viet Cong insurgents indigenous to the South. A Blitzkrieg reminiscent of North Korea's invasion of South Korea in 1950, it is plainly a cross-border invasion, launched by North Vietnamese regular troops. This despite the fact that the North Vietnamese leaders --- incredible as it may seem --- still maintain that the NVA is not participating. (Hanoi refers to its forces in the South simply as the "People's Liberation Forces.") The fact is that North Vietnam committed 11 Divisions to the invasion. Even pro-North Vietnamese supporters throughout the world no longer are willing to maintain the fiction that the conflict is a southern civil war. Another fiction dissipated by the aggression is the assertion that the conflict is designed to free SouthVietnam from U.S. "imperialism." It is amply clear that, far from seeking to retain a territorial hold in Vietnam, the U.S. has sought to withdraw altogether from the area. It has reduced its armed forces from over 500,000 to less than 50,000. This massive withdrawal of troops, in accordance with an announced schedule, with the similarly announced promise of complete withdrawal on release of U.S. prisoners of war should have convinced any remaining doubters of U.S. intentions. Yet another fiction is the notion propagated by the North Viet- namese that "the South Vietnamese population welcomes Viet Cong and North Vietnamese liberation from the oppression of the Thieu government in the South." But the southern population quite clearly "voted with their feet" and fled their "liberators" by the tens of thousands. Even the most critical observers on the scene could not help but note that though the NVA temporarily gained a certain amount of territory, they retained only a small fraction of the population inhabiting that territory. The vast majority of the civilian population elected to live with the imperfections of the South Vietnamese government in preference to suffering the terrorism 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 characteristic of the invading regime. Over 800,000 South Vietnamese have fled from their "liberators." Miscalculation of Allied Reaction The GVN and U.S. response to the North Vietnamese aggression evidently was totally miscalculated by-Hanoi's leaders, who in their isolation and obsession with their own distorted view of reality, underrated the will and capabilities-of-the-South Vietnamese govern- ment forces as well as the determination of the U.S. government and people not to permit,a forcible takeover of South Vietnam. After some local initial retreats, the South Vietnamese forces, aided only by U.S. air support, withstood the combinedstrength of the NVA and the Viet Cong (weakened by the ill-fated 1968 Tet offensive and subsequent attrition) equipped with the best of Soviet weapons, and have taken the initiative to regain the territory lost in the NVA's initial surprise assault. The South Vietnamese government itself, an incipient democracy with difficulties typical of many in the so-called Third World, is admittedly beset by dissension among various groups. But the significant fact is that the dissidents are able to express their views in elected legislatures and are working to establish a better form of government more responsive to the competing needs and desires of the people. Moreover, the South Vietnamese government has gained wider popular support than ever before in opposition to the common enemy. Whatever the internal differences and the taper- fectiOns of their government, the overwhelming majority of South Vietnamese reject the grim prospect of being subjected to the ruthless rule of the North, one of the most truly closed and monolithic societies in the world. It is significant that when the North Vietnamese threat was the greatest in the early phases of the invasion, the people of South Vietnam were the most united. While misreading the temper of their southern neighbors, Hanoi's leaders made an equally serious miscalculationin consider- ing the U.S. response. Misled by the.patent attempt of the U.S. to withdraw from Vietnam and to make concessions in the interest of an honorable, negotiated settlement, Hanoi's leadership thought they could attack with relative impunity from U.S. retaliation. They did not foresee that the U.S. government, strongly supported by public opinion at home, would not abdicate its essential responsibilities, and so were unprepared for the resumption of massive bombings of the North on a scale greater and more effective than ever before. These bombings are striking both military and industrial targets which contribute to Hanoi's war-making capa- bilities. At the same time, the accuracy of the laser-guided "smart" bombs reduces the extent of the unavoidnble accidental damage to non-military objects accompanying the bombing of military targets. The allegations of the NVN and its supporters that U.S. bombing is targetted at the dikes in North Vietnam are incorrect 3 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 and cannot be taken seriously. If they were indeed a target, they would long ago have been destroyed, given-the-new-effectiveness and accuracy of the "smart" bombs. The bombings plus the equally unexpected mining of the harbors, which have supplied some 80% of North Vietnamese military needs will -sObnet_or:later affect North Vietnamese offensive capabilities. The ultimate outcome of the military struggle is still uncer- tain. It is obvious that the North Vietnamese have failed thus far to attain their maximum objective: .a military takeover of the South or destruction of the GVN. It also seems more and more certain that the South will succeed in its efforts to regain most of the lost territories. What is clear is that the North Vietnamese have paid an enormous cost in lives, in destroyed military equip- ment, and in bomb damage to military and industrial installations in the North for a tenuous hold on a small bit of South Vietnamese territpry. As of the end of June, the best available estimate of NVA casualties in those killed, wounded and taken prisoner, since 30 March of this year, ranges between 40,000 and 45,000. It is a measure of the cynicism and moral bankruptcy of the North Vietnamese leadership that they show every intention of going on sacrificing human life and property apparently in total disregard of civilized values, obsessed with their vision-of a mandate to rule over Indo- china and beyond. North Vietnam's Isolation in the World Community North Vietnam's invasion of the South has gone far to isolate it in the world community. The mass protest demonstrations of the late 1960's by youth and other groups in the non-Communist world have not been repeated now that it is clear Hanoi was responsible for the escalation of a war that had been winding down. Communist front groups have indeed tried to mobilize non-Communists in order to match the demonstrations of the earlier period, but obviously have struck no responsive chord among those outside their own disciplined ranks. Indeed they appear confused and working at cross purposes, engrossed in their own quarrels over prestige, to the despair of North Vietnamese representatives abroad whose exhortations to Camffunist-and other pro-North Viet- namese front groups have been met with an unenthusiastic response. The free world's disapproval of Hanoi's action is evident from the statements of influential leaders and groups throughout the world, and from the columns of the world's major newspapers and journals. The realization that North Vietnam is becoming increasingly isolated in the international Communist-community as well has tended to be obscured by the equivocal-verbiage commcm1y used in international Communist communications and by the compulsion of 4 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Communist: countries to profess unity, if not unanimityof views. But in the case of Moscow and Hanoi, actions speak louder than words. Although it may be true that the nature, and especially the timing, of Hanoi's armored onslaught on the eve of the Moscow talks was contrary to Moscow's wishes, it is-also true that without the massive military aid the Soviet Union -has continually provided to North Vietnam, the current offensive couldnot have been launched, and the Soviet Union must-bear-a heavy responsibilityfor the North Vietnamese escalation of the war. There also can be little doubt that, despite their evident competition for influence with North Vietnam, both the Soviet Union and Cahnunist China for many years saw their ideological and national interest served by energetically supporting the North Vietnamese effort to destroy South Vietnam and eliminate the U.S. presence from Indochina. However, now one cannot but conclude that Soviet and Chinese priorities have changed. Each in its own national interest has placed a higher priority on reaching an accommodation with the U.S. than on supporting North Vietnamese war plans. Under these circumstances, the North Vietnamese revival of the fighting and their clamorous insistence on continued moral and material support may well have become an embarrassment to the USSR and China. One indication of the importance to Moscow of its larger priorities and of its downgrading of the North Vietnamese problem was the Soviet response to U.S. measures to counter the North Vietnamese invasion. Moscow maintained-a-silence of some days concerning the resumption of bombing and themining of Haiphong harbor and when it did respond it did so-in mild terms, much to the dismay of Hanoi. The Sino-Soviet conflict has become a-matter of the deepest concern to each of these protagonists? and this seems to be the main reason for their proceeding-with-the-summit meetings with the U.S. despite-North Vietnam's barely concealed denunciations. The Soviet Union has other reasons as-well for normalizing relations with the U.S. and its European allies. These reasons center around the necessity to avoid-a nuclear war with the U.S. and the Soviet need for Western trade and technology to rescue the domestic economy, which has long been stagnating and is reaching an impasse. Thus, for good reasons, the Soviet Union has downgraded the importance of the North Vietnamese war effort, in favor of its own more important objectives. Some of the propaganda exchanges between Moscow and Hanoi illustrate their differing views. On 21 May, the eve of President Nixon's visit to Moscow, NhanTan, the principal Lao Dong Party newspaper in Hanoi, harshly denounced "Communists who set national interest above the common interests of the 5 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 world revolution and serve national selfishness at the expense of tWworld revolution." Moscow's response-to this kind of attack appeared in its multilingual international journal New Times (#22 of May 1972) in an article by Vadim Zagladin, deputy chief of the foreign affairs department of the SovietParty's Central Committee: "Soviet policy is a truly national policy determined by the fundamental interests of the working people of our ' country, by the interests of the entire nation in building communism. . . . Socialist policy never derived its strength fromIprimitive, stereotyped patterns, and least of all from imitation of devices and methods employed by the class enemy. . . The experience of past years has shown beyond the shadow of a doubt that any tendency to be guided by considerations of the moment (emotional or other reasons), to confine oneself-to-the intereStS'Of.the present while ignoring the long-term-perspectives, has never led to anything good. . . ." (Emphasis added). It may also be significant that the invasion was not launched during the Peking summit, but rather some six weeks before Presi- dent Nixon met with the Soviet leaders late in May. It was the Soviet Union, as the mainstay of North Vietnam's war effort, which had to be pressured against reaching agreement with the U.S., and the North Vietnamese did their utmost, though in vein, to prevent the success of the Moscow summit. It seems quite evident that Hanoi and Moscow differ on how the Vietnam problem should be solved. While both are technically in agreement in their public insistence that the problem will be solved at the Paris negotiating table, most observers have inter- preted Moscow's statements as urging immediate negotiation and cessation of the fighting, while Hanoi has given little sign that it will stop the bloodshed. The trend in the Communist world toward settling differences by negotiation rather than by the North Vietnamese method of armed aggression was dramatically illustrated by the joint announcement by North and South Korea concerning their negotiations to seek reunification of the two halves of the country and their agreement to refrain from armed provocations. This effort to settle differences peacefully was undertaken while South Korean troops continue to share the burden of the military conflict in Vietnam and highlights the extent of North Vietnamese isolation in the Commnist community. Hanoi's refusal to abandon military means to achieve its goals is a measure of the degree to which they are removed from today's realities. 6 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 The Obsessed North Vietnamese Leadership Vietnam war protesters have tried to make conventional wisdom of the supposition that the Viet Cong and North Vietnamese effort to destroy the South Vietnamese government is ehow a just cause, a popular rising up of sentiment in behalf of a superior ideology and morality. Whatever the origins of these sentiments, the current aggression should strip away any remaining illusions about the North Vietnamese leaders-. After years of iron-handed control by the North Vietnamese leadership, during which all spirit of dissent and all dissenting elements of the population were elimin- ated, the leaders have been able to mobilize an army to fight for a cause that only a benighted leadership-can-still believe in as the self-appointed would-be dictators of a-Greater Indochina. What the current North Vietnamese-attack-demonstrates is that the leadership has now been willing to be identified with the very creed of imperialistic aggression ofwhich they accuse the U.S., the GVN, and their allies. North Vietnamese actions have once more been clearly revealed as based on a creed that can only be described as chauvinistic imperialism,- in the truest sense of this much misused expression. For their part the South Vietnamese have sought nothing more than to be left alone to work out their own form of government, free from the threat of forcible takeover whether by southern insurgents or by northern invaders armed by the Soviet Union and Communist China, and U0S involvement has been limited to making it possible for the South Vietnamese people to realize South Vietnam's aim. 7 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/0M2Rigier-RDP79-01194AgPMF1-40001-9 Erm yogic Tr?Irs 4 .Art0 2972 South Vietnam; Again the Refugees Are on The Roads eight years. The refugee count, how- ever, did not include the millions of South Vietnamese who had fled te the cities or were living in ramshackle camps and had long been off the Government relief rolls. Most of these people had been given the standard Issue of rice, blankets, money and tin roofing, and, officially, they were no longer refugees. By conservative estimates, more than a quarter of the 27 million people of South Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia have been uprooted at least once sinee the United States intervened in the Indochina struggle, and half of thein still live somewhere other than the plut,e 11.,..y call home\ Moil of art not officially regarded as refugees. The Governments ,of the three coun- tries have done as much as they intend to do for them. And though in sonle cases that has meant no help whatever, these war victims are viewed officially not as refugees but as people who have changed addresses. Over the years in Indochina it has come to be generally 'accepted that al- lied bombs and artillery have been major "refugee?gcnerating" factors. The reason, of course, is that the Com- munist guerrillas have sought to en- tangle themselves with the village pop- ulation. American or other allied troops, for instance, would find them- selves under fire from a supposedly pro-Government village and Would re- , Vitiate with bombing and artillery. The ni?iiic killed or chased out during SAIGON?"Three months ago," an American official here said last week, "we were virtually out of the refugee business. The next thing We knen there were refugees all over the Place." By the weekend, Ameriean officiab were estimating that nearly 800,00( South Vietnamese had been driven from their homes since the Nora Vietnamese offensive began more than two months ago. Nobody knows exactly how- many civilians have been killed and maimed In this latest round of fighting. In. formed estimates range from at leas; 20,000 to as many as 50,000 'wound& and between 5,000 and 15,000 killed In the months of calm that pre. Ceded the North Vietnamese attack the number of war victims beim- assisted by the United States and thf Sca?th Vietnamese Government had 4.0Irri 1.41 nnr? an thts Liturct louriq the Communists Who bad started, the firefight. In the latest frontal attacks of the. North Vietnamese, however, it has been clear to victim and outsider alike that it was Communist troops and Communist firepower that genera stud the new refugee wave, The greata est concentration of refugees?by some' calculations more than 400,000?has been in Danang, the first available, haven of safety in the path of the. North Vietnamese advance in the northern part of South Vietnam. For most of the refugees there was no time to ponder ideological ques-, tions. They simply ran south because the house-Wrecking shells and 'file troops were corning from the north. At first the weather was bad for fly= log, end it Was a few days before' al;i lied planes began striking back. Initially the refugees jammed into; schools, pagodas. churches and aban- doned buildings in already overcrowd-, ed Danang. Many felt the safest places were in the heart of the city, and they) resisted efforts to move them to more, functional quarters on the outskirtS.) By last vveek, however, the majority! of the refugees were living in the for- mer American military camps in the; Danang area. In recent days, as the fighting has eased in intensity, the floodtide Of refugees has slackened, But no one.be- heves the current round of fighting i. over. "And the minute it :beats up again," said one American official, lucre amrig +n hr. more refintees." nower._timugh_it Was sa4OSEPH D. TREASTER the action would thns of allied fire thus be Seen as vie- JAPAN intim 29 May 1972 Ap 550,000 S. Vietnamese Have Fled Into Camps SAIGON (Kyodo-itellter)? More than 550,000 people in South Vietnam have fled into "Government refugee camps since the North Vietnamese be- gan their current offensive in the South on March 29, accord- ing to Social Affairs Minister 'rran Nguon Phieu. '- Speaking/in a television inter- view Saturday night the minis- ter said this figure did not in- clude an estimated 200,000 to 300,000 more refugees believed to be living 'outside the camps either with friends or family. The big majority of the refu- gees came from the northern military clistrict wnere the North Vietnamese are in control of Quang Tri Province bordering North Vietnam and heavy fight-i lag occurs daily around the ford mer imperial capital of Hue a little farther south. pldeu put the number of refu- gees from the five northern pro- vinces at 330,000, those from the second military district in the heavily contested Central High- lands at 122,000, those from the third military district around Saigon at 74,000 and those froth the fourth military district In the Meking Delta at 22,000. They were distributed among CPYRGHT 2rit uovernment cairips. The Government was providing 500 grams of rice per day for adult4 and 200 grams for children at a total cost of 25 million piastres (S25,000) a day. Phicu said the Government planned to resettle the refugees on some of the islands just off the South Vietnamese coast In the South China Sea. He stressed that all those In- VolVed should understand thati this in no way meant that they Would be held In detention but was intended as a Move to pro- tect them from possible Corn-' .thunist shelling attack's. 17 CPYRGHT 11.11 nmEsPpjar2racleFor Release 1999/0gYWRDP79-01194A000200140001-9 1 MAY 1972 ;"\F , ' ? FR Er,LA CF: photograph et. Gerard Hebert of Montreal who spent five days in the.. heseiged provincial Capital. of An Lin, Witnessed.: 'heavy fighting there and ?was ? ? wqmuleti timing one of the I tank battles. Broes,Eht safety out of the city. by helicopter, i en April .18. he cabled...the I followIngstorY: ' ?*1 , - v f.. AN LOC. APRIL 18 "The first dead North Vietnamese WASHINGTON STAR 30 May 1972 .WASHINGTON CLOSE-UP North Vietnam Being i OvESE 2E49,70a'r \t? tank crewman I saw had 'with' iatrartOr.-7)peli-thielt iii?-?ehaln been chained inside lila tank. 1Inks. . . I was photographing, one of \ f had heard of this happen- the tanks that bud been ainer with North Vletnamew knocked out in tile middle! tank erewa in Laos laEit of the town in the battle and year. Still. I was surprised. thure Wt1:1 il. body outside i? 8?411 ViOnamose soldiers LI e tank, apparently thatuf 1 tnehrie' nlehnlitilend ' t:Int hk o ue:Irritlie it" , the tank commander. - ? liennintandert were not. $; ; ono captured North Viet.. .riSmese crew tiliCf told inter- . rogatore he had been assured before ' he entered ,Ate Lee , , ,that? the town was already i lin- North Vietnamese hands.' Down inside w.ere two _more dettd? Yrotil "ie';'. direct hit by .'ren lvf'N 'inti-tank rocket: / saw something glint in the darkness. I felt the man's, ankle. It was: cliUnnd to,,the .tasids of the ;:tank 11 That 'explains why Ltw ; litanies' moved into town at an i 1 lietriygoing ' 1.,ace 1 with.,.. 144,1 'turrets open?e-, atiel;', theiit. ' oiro i i imanders loolettik.' idly.... Eir tituf,i 1 ni . if: they OWned ' the Place: i : 'South Vietnamese infantry- i ; Itmen couldn't . believe thinr 1 . eyes. I ' l Unsuspecting tanks got !el w 1 !thin 50 yards. of the ,Soutii! 1 Vietnaniele .,polittioris before' ' the? IriftentrY:tAti Sititafil SW ,ing their M72's. I saw 11 tanks and seven of thorn were knyeked out-4" . _ .,.,?., CPYRGHT CPYRGHT Something terrible is hap- pening. North Vietnam, a country of some 20 million persons, is being rapidly and completely taken apart by the cumulative effects of the mining of its harbors, the shelling of its coastline and the bombing of a wide variety of targets throughout the country. Nothing remotely like this has happened since the final days of World War II, when the air defense and fire-fight- ing systems of Germany and Japan collapsed, leaving them virtually defenseless?and yet what is happening to North Vietnam is different in signi- ficant ways from the situation in those last days of World War IL The full impact of Opera- tion Linebacker has not dawned on the American pub- lic, at least partially because of the old argument on the m Haar y effectiveness of bombing and mining. Some opponents of the bombing ar- gue that it is not militarily effective?and thus give the impression that it Is not hay- North Vietnam. No one, however, can read' the bomb damage reports? now issued daily ? without coming to the conclusion that the attacks are having a devastating effect and that, while there is relatively little direct loss of life, the impact on the people will be severe. The bombing campaign of 1965-68 was also devastating, but there are major differ- ences that will make the ef- fects of the current campaign, if continued for even a few more weeks, much more severe. A major dif ference, of course, is that the port of Hai- phong remained open through-1 out the earlier campaign. While major efforts were made to block the movement of supplies after they had been unloaded, there always was a significant amount that did get through. Now, accord- , ing to reports from both sides, the mining of the harbors has totally cut off the movement of supplies by sea. In the earlier bombing cam- paign, different classes of tar- gets were hit over a period ,14 evawki-nna N/7 ij non ot tnece 'erects reirwe major difficulties, there was almost always time to make repairs or find an alternate way of doing things. In the three weeks of the current campaign, almost all these classes of targets have been attacked in rapid succession, leaving litle time for repairs or adaptation. A major, and perhaps cru- cial, difference is that the enemy's air defense system, or important parts of it, re- mained off limits most of , the time during the earlier . bombing campaign. Pilots were specifically forbidden to j attack MIG airfields or cer- tain air defense control points. The North Vietnamese air de- fense system not only sur- vived, but improved remark- ably, between 1965 and 1968, making the Hanoi-Haiphong area one of the most danger- ous places in the history of aerial warfare. In the current campaign, the air defense system was a priority target. Naval gunfire smashed virtually every radar station along the coast. Large _numbers of planes were used in the eariy raids, to destroy 0 tir.Z.Viadrearif Ing a ma iorA11431t0Veld3 rbFeK6 Ogkolt dar. A major air defense cen- ter on the erstOdeluts of Hanoi Wthi 'loathed, American pilots don't yet ?have a free ride' over Hanoi, but the air de- fense system already has been badly degraded. t1i ii nf lagnr. And television-guided bombs American bomber crews have knocked out hundreds of bridges and probably can keep them down. This is a key part of the strategy of keeping supplies from reaching the fighting front. But this dis- ruption of the lines of com- munication throughout the country also is the part of the bombing that will have the gri?ljnr impart nn the. DOntliation. There is no way of telling how long the bombing will go on. President Nixon clearly indicated his determination to. retain the pressure on the North Vietnamese when he permitted continued heavy raids on the Hanoi area while he was in the Kremlin. On the other side, the North Vietnam-j ese have given every indica- tion that they intend to go ahead with their offensive in the South, at least until the issue is decided on the ground at Hue. It thus seems likely that the bombing and the mining epee - Alton will go on for at leant another month and that vir. tuatly insures a human dis- aster or historic proportiem &ride_ people of North V;et? 00140001-9 4A Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 CPYRGHT CPYRGHT NEW YORK TIMES 18 June 1972 LOCAL HANOI RADIO EDITS AT TROUBLES Home Broadcasts Denounce Crime and indiscipline South and denouncing Ameri- can bombing raids against the North. The home-service broad- casts include calls for intensi- fied security to combat crime. bleckmarket operations and sabotage and campaigns on the war front to tighten military . cotmier defeatism and heighten morale. 'Bad, Rioting Elements' If there has been open op.+ position to the war in North Vietnam, this has not been re- Zs 10 in i'lfw 10PR . HONG KONG, June 14?! 'North Vietnam projects abroad an image of a selfless, dedi- cated people and a valiant, un- beatable army, but in broad- casts intended only for home consumption there are hints of problems and pressures among the civilian population and the members of the armed forces. Translations provided by a monitoring agency of broad- casts on the home service of the Hanoi radio since the Com- munist offensive began in South Vietnam rit the end of March give a more balanced picture of the nation at war than the English-language broadeasts of the same station or the trans- rnis.sions of the official North Vietnamese press agency. The broadcasts intended for abroad concentrate on hailing Communist victories in the ported ny Hanoi. nut man van, the official publication of the Communist party, reported in April that the authorities were, determined to "punish bad, rioting elements." The asser- tion was made without further explanation in an editorial broadcast in Vietnamese over the Hanoi radio. Early in May, the Govern- ment promulgated "regulations on the maintenance of security and order and on running the economy in wartime" which called for stepped-up "guard- ing and patrolling to detect and prevent crime and bring de- linquents to court for prosecu- tion." , The regulations, broadcast over the home service of di the, Hanoi radio, said that severe! punishment would be meted' out to persons "taking advan- tage of war conditions to sabo- tage? production and combat gan activities Ar in attempts against life or socialist prop- erty." They stipulated that it was "strictly forbidden to engage in speculation, illegal trade or. the sale and purchase of food ration cards or to . exploit, evacuated people and agenda responsible for their transpor- tation, or to sell them food products, grain and other staple goods." Warns of Famishment ? The regulations also stated that security perrennal e,ho did good work would be re?. warded while those who de. sorted their posts or made use of their positions to harm the state and people would be, punished. Problem's of a military nature have been aired in Quan Doi Nhan Dan, the armed torces publication. An article from the paper broadcast over the home service of the Hanoi radio on May 30 said that war required that the "army make outstanding efforts and move forward rapidly. It said that in order to generate a "revolu- tionary impetus" among mem- bers of the armed forces, po- litical education must be stepped up. On June 4 a front-page edi- torial in Quan Doi Nhan Dan called for strict dicipline both on the front line and in the rear. According to excerpts broadcast by the home service of the Hanoi radio, it stated that discipline must be en- forced "conscientiously and strictly" and brought into a "new, better pattern in order to suit a unit's present combat and living conditions." Stresses Security The editorial stated "It Is necessary to execute strictly all orders issued by -higher , echelons, to overcome resolute- ly all difficulties and not re- treat because of any fierce challenge.-- The.need for security against possible enemy landings in the North has been stressed in a number of broadcasts over, the home service of the Hanoi radio. One, taken from a Nhan Dan editorial, com- mended security forces in in- land coastal and border areas for having spotted and cap- tured or nnnihilated "many groups of enemy spies, com- mandos and armed scouts." It warned that the United States might "brazenly launch surprise raids and attacks against a number of areas in the North." A few days later Quan Doi Nhan Dan carried an editorial that said, that United States imperialism had "sent armed agents to land' in secret." It called for the protection of ter- ritorial waters and the smash- ing of "all enemy sabotage ac. 1 tivities." ORIC TIMES 6 July 1972 Enemy Is Facing Floods, U.S. Says Denyinz Role WASHINGTON, July 5?State fered its worst flooding in Department officials said todayl that there was a strong liikeli- hood North Vietnam would be flooded later this summer, but they said North Vietnam's dike system would be responsible r, ,her than American bombing raids. In separate interviews, re- sponsible State Department of- ficers did not deny that some bombs were falling on the dikes. But they again insisted that there has been no syste- matic targeting of the dike sys- tem, which runs throughout the Red River basin. In recent weeks North Viet- nam repeatedly accused the United States of intentionally bombing the dikes to cause flooding Allitriag,thp,,antriAqp season, *Who h$AvjWatI Last summer, when there was no American bombing ;If years. Administration experts say the dikes were heavily. damaged by those floods, and they back up their views with citations from the Hanoi press, A State Department senior official showed a translation of an article that appeared in the June 20 issue of a Hanoi news- paper, Hanoi Moi. Written by Tran Duy Hung, chairman of the Hanoi Administrative Corn- anittee, the article said: In some places, the repair of the dike portions that were dam- aged by torrential rains in 1971 has not yet met technical re- quirements." "A number of thin and weak- ental dikes which are probably full of termite colonies and, holes have not been detectedi for repair," it said. leasetrt998109$02emS individual and locality must ac- tively take part in the current dike-building operation, because CPYRGHT CPYRGHT dtnere is not mud' time bekae the torrential rain season." "Repair methods must be firmly grasped in case the dikes are eroded, eaten away, broken through or washed over by water," it said. "We must organize many dike repair ex- ercises; including cases in which the dikes are attacked by the enemy." The article -also accused what it called "the warlike Nixon clique" as having destroyed parts of the dike system by bombing. The State Department offi- dals interviewed said that in ir view of the heavy a campaign against North Vietnam, acci- dental bombing of the dikes could not be ruled out. speed, and the third, wlica to-ground missiles (lire, ? against North Vietnamce,a ,become "undirected" a 'len the 'radar is shut off., I Administration f.xperts, 'studying the over-all situaticyt jin North Vietnam, have co'- ' eluded that there is "a Itirier :than normal probability" Iiiat floods similar to last ye;.,r s may strike next month. Because North Vietnam has charged repeatedly that the dikes have been de- liberately, the Ad; istration has become sensiti% to the possibility that wort leion would blame the Unite. 'es. for any flooding that ,,s.' Therefore, the State Dc:.rti ment has been eager to peeil? cize any internal evidence, suc One official said that such as the Hanoi Moi article, that bombing could take place under supports, even indirectly, the at least three circumstances. the first, when North Viet- namese antiaircraft guns are. situated at or near dikes. And, As g" ? gaged in aerial combat, un-i inad their ordnance to gain' American contention that flood- ing may occur for reasons un- connected with the bombing. ' President Nixon and AdminrA molissmen have regu- a t I ilietrthat the dikes are targets for destruction. CPYRGHT CPYRGHT. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 WASHINGTON STAR 31 May 1972 Hanoi's Silence on Surn it Reveals Fears on S 0 By HENRY S. BRADSHER Star Staff Writer 11tve l.mbuil to opc.,11 OR other secret Soviet mission to Hanoi. One led by a Soviet Commu- nist party secretary, Konstan- tin Katushev, went to Hanoi after Henry A. Kissinger's April visit to Moscow. Al- though details have never came out, it seems to have been an abortive Soviet at- tempt to get Hanoi to negoti- ate. Now, the East European sources are speculating on an- other mission to try to reas- sure Hanoi that the Soviet Un- ion did not sell them out in Moscow talks with Nixon. A simithr visit was reported- ly paid to Hanoi by Premier Chou En-lai shortly after Nix- on was in China last Febrttary. Hanoi criticized the Nixon- Chou talks in indirect hut very strong terms. Some reports say Chou only met North Vietnamese leaders in southern China, rather than going to Hanoi. But it seems certain that he spoke with them. Since then, however, China has been noticeably cool to- ward the current North Viet- namese offensive against South Vietnam. Hanoi has hold its tongue on the Moscow talks so far, with one possible exception. Broadcast Cited The Associated Press said May 23 it had picked up a Hanoi broadcast calling Nix- on's trip to Moscow an "at- tempt to undermine the soli- darity of those who support the Vietnamese." U.S. government rnonitors _ ?)SAIGON ? The slowness of North Vietnam to comment on President Nixon's Moscow talks reveals Hanors fear that . it can no longer expect effec- tive support from the Soviet Union. The fear has been made mere real by what Moscow has said recently, and what it has failed to do. During Nixon's visit to the Soviet Union, the Kremlin leadership kept the Vietnam issue very cool and secondary in public comments. ? The Soviet statement Of sup- port for Hanoi in the final communique was considered by Communist affairs analysts here to be perfunctory. Moscow radio broadcasts in Vietnamese to Vietnam for the past week have been empha- sizing the need to negotiate an end to the war rather than keep fighting. These indications of attitude have been matched by Mos- cow's failure thus far to do anything about trying to get supplies through the U.S. mines off the North Vietnam- ese coast. Neither has China, Hanoi's other main source of supplies, done anything to try to over- come the U.S. military actions sire May 8. And Peking, like Hanoi, has ben slow to comment on the Nixon visit to Moscow. It was silent on the visit's implica- tions for Vietnam. In places like Paris and Lon- den, East European sources said they had nut hedid thee A possible indirect comment by the North Vietnamese mili- tary newsp ape r, People's Army, said true Communists do not place national interests above help to the world revolu- tion. Moscow has indicated that it is sensitive to this kind of crit- icism. It has tried to head it off by arguing that its policies have not changed. A Vietnemese -language broadcast from Moscow on Thursday?the day after Nixon and Communist party chief Leonid I. Buettner, had their song evening talk about Viet- nam?had a very defensive tone on this. It said Soviet. policy "is con- sistent with the fundamental interests of the U.S.S.R., world socialism and the national lib- , era tion movement." 4 Conditions for "the anti- i ' mperialist struggle of various' nations depends to a great measure," the broadcast argued, on the satisfactory settlement by the big powers of major problems like nu- clear disarmament ad Euro- pean security. The Soviet Union is support- ing and aiding "the heroic, . Vietnamese people," whose ;victories are pnrtly a result of that "enormous support of the U.S.S.R.," it said. But it added that "the war of aggression in Vietnam can be ended only through negotia- tions." Moscow supports "the legitimate proposals of the Vietnamese patriotic fighters" for negotiations, CPYRGHT , Another Mosenw -broadcast in Vietnamese the same day Isaid "practical experience clearly shows that the Viet-?: Inarn problem cannot be solved' ? iby military means." Accent f.,n Talks Both broadcasts seemed to be an indirect way of saying - North Vietnam must negotiate; rather than simply expect ? yid help for continuing the', waTin view of the present in ternational situation, the unity of thought of all Socialist. coun- tries has an especially impore, tent meaning," for Vietnam, the first broadcast said. Comtnunist effairs analysts': felt this qualification, making clear that unity is of thought rather than of action,- was par7, ticularly significant. Both this broadcast and the. joint communique on Nixon's. ? visit downgraded Vietnam to the. status of just another world problem being viewed,. from Moscow along with the' Middle East and others. Hanoi would prefer to have'. its struggle be given top prior- ity in Communist thinking. ? '. The NorlhVietnamese - might also be apprehensive about the basic principles of. . relations signed Monday by, Nixon and Communist party, chief Leonid Brezlinev. It said the two superpowers- "will do their utmost to avoid militnry confrontations." With the United States de., termined to maintain Ith naval: and aerial strength around: , North Vietnam, this pointed to:.. a lack of intention by the Sovle. ? et Uaion to interfere. ! The principles niso talked about "the recognition of the security interests" of enclte other. While primarily direct., ed to direct nuclear threats, this could be read in Hanoi as signifying Soviet acceptance of. ! tne American rote in V/CLTIOMt. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 :2bIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 CPYRGHT 14)11711111(1 EVallS and Ro'bert, Novak WASITIMOIT POST Moscow4-Ia no.1 Schism 11i Jn )972 CPYRGHT EVIDENCE of a deeply significant. schism between Hahn' anti Moscow has now become inesenpable in fra'.?< ; no's vituperative outpour- -a ings against the Kremlin for consort i lig with President Non.?'this Nunther One gruel, 'dioliard thug of the world," in the words of a senior North Vietnamese commentator writing in the June ;1 issue of the party newspaper, Nhatf Dan. . A !though lin noi's fury against the Soviet Union is pnrtially cloaked in innuen, dos and .subtleties, there is no mistaking its meaning. by inviting Mr. Nixon to Moscow, particularly after ',Soviet , shipments of war ? supplies were blocked by ? the mining of North Viet- nam's, harbors, the Kremlin. Is playing the U.S. game of splitting the world Corn- Mudst movement. Thus, on May 21, the day :before Mr. Nixon arrived in Moscow, the North Vietnam- ese army oewspaper charged that "wherever ne sets foot, he carries out counterrevolutionary acts." By permitting the President to "set foot" in aloscow, in short, the Kremlin was an accessory before the, fact in one of the most heinous crimes of communism, counterrevolutionary activ-? ity. Developing the charge of: counterrevolution4 the IVIay 21 polemic accused the So- viet Union of putting its own "naaional interests". ?.over those of the world rev- olution iti (i.e following thinly veiled doctrinal ser- mon: "Communists always con- .sider the revolution of each nation an inseparable part of the world revolution. They never act .national in- terests against the interests of the world revolution nor place private national inter- 'ests above the common in- terests of the world revolu- tion, much less serve their' own national selfishness." ? The only way to deal With Mr. Nixon's latest offensive In Vietnam is by "a relent.; less attack against the U.S. imperialists." But what, did the Soviet Union do? Hanoi hurls- the . .accusation ' in Polemical terms: ,. "By ignoring the tolerat- ing , the U.S. imperialists' crimes, one cannot repel' their aggressiOn. By showing weakness, one cannot pun- ish their aggreasivenest." . ADDING INSULT to in- jury, another nrticle In the tightly controlled North Via ? etnanlese' party newspaper ?, terests of world socialism bonsted that although the (communism)." Reminding Hanoi that ?it aaVietnameso people have' ? ? ?be Owes much to the "enorv en fighting "for thousands Mous stipport" of the Soviet' ? : of yettM" they ''do not begUnion in the' 10-year wnii ? oi pcace . ind security 6 ' ..against the South,, Radio their enemies. The implien-... . Moscow sang the praises a. tion by 'inviting President . the Vietnamese Communista.j Nixon to Moscow, the Soviet , 'but added a pointed warn- Union became a suPplicant. . lug: "The war of, a ggreSsiOri ' Nowhere in these vellede. in Vietnam can be ended:. attacks against the Russians ., only through negoti a tithis did the North Vietnamese . . . practical experience publish the facts concerning ' clearly shows that the Viet- Mr. Nixon's summit. trip to ' nam problem cannot be. Moscow or 'discuss the solved by military means." agreements- that emerged. More pointedly, a lengthy' But the Russians them- May 26 article In New: selves in a ?cotinterattack ' .Times, signed by a deputy aired to North Vietnam over chief in the Central Cont.! the Soviet overseas radio, at , mittee's foreigh Affairs De-'1 tempted. to 'put the' Nixon ? . partment, strongly defended - visit in perspective and . the Kremlin's refusal to? blunt the ariti-Soviet over "mike a military response to tones of Hanoi's Propagaii. '?. the U.S. blockade of North da. ' . . . . 'i ' Vietnam. . . . ' ?F, bit May 25, in the middle The ? strength ' of 'Interns-7 of the Moscow ..suinmit, tional tommunism, . New.-: Radio Moscow . invoked Times said, "has never lain, "Leninist principles" in de- tri primitiveness and sic co-' tense of the Kremlin's stra- type nor in an identical rep,. tegic decision to weleofne .. etition of . the inelloOn Mr. Nixon despite escalation (armed force) used by 'h 1 of the Vietnam war. class enemy." In an or, a ee-t . "Peaceful coexistence" dented rebuke, the ail,. with nations of different pa-, atta6ced ilanoi's "Inne7uri . laical systems, the broad-. and extremely arbita, a cast in Vietnamese stated, is , terrn?etation" ' of ? laif--.. ow's ' not only essential to prevent, supposed duty in the ;oaf, ot ? world war but also ''?in coin- , the Nixon-imposed bloei 1de ? Plete conformity with the in- CPYRGHT KEW 'MC TIMES 20 June 1972 SOVIET INDICATES COOLNESS IN HANOI Hints at Differences Over improved Ties With U.S. By HEDRICK SMITH NIKOlal V. Foogorny. The tenor of these reports, in Tass, the Soviet press agen- cy, and Izvestia, the Govern- ment newspaper, routinely re- affirming solidarity and calling for negotiations, sharply under- scored how sharply Mr. Pod- gorny had toned Down Soviet pledges of support for Hanoi and criticism of the United States hi comparison with his last trip to North Vietnam in October. At that time he declared that Moscow would "resolutely sun- gorney was reporteo to have pledged that the Soviet Union would "continue to render all the necessary assistance" to the Vetnamese struggle against "imperialist aggression" and sincerely wished them "fresh 6uccesses." Frankness, Not Unanimity There was no mention of unanimity. Instead, there was a reference to the "comradely frankness" of the talks, a nor- mal euphemism for disagree- ments. The absence of a joint dais wno normany top Soviet Leader', wr!rf._ rt-? mier Pham Van Defense Minister Vo Giap. Their ahsenef2 ccm;(i ;ilso have signaled y arty strong personal OV o Moscow's willingn: to :11ay host to Mr. Nixon ? r respond to his mina-, hong harbor with tom. ',en. The Soviet press gave . dication whether, as . sources had said he would. - Podgorny had tried to perso,,...,a port' the Vietnamese against MOSCOW, June 19?The 50- the United States "until full viet press today provided indi- victory" with aid on three cations of unresolved Soviet- levels?military, political and North Vietnamese differences diplomatic. A joint statement over Mokc tions air" altakaettaaREtaq% VtiO9ititmelY: d its first reports on the special By contrast, during his visit mission to Hanoi of President from June 15 to 18, Mr. Pod- statement was also seen as an''FI.,-, indication of continuing strains. in Indochina to open the wa3 No specific mention was for a resumption of peace nego made of military air and, unlike tiations. last fall; no senior military fig- The Soviet reports today . lar el repeated over the Hano Aungtsw0tfotUdikii5Soriotiebostes the two sides a: R Missing from the group ar joining in a demand that Wash - senior North Vietnamese off i- Ington "resume constructivt tlaks in Paris" and end immedi- ately all air attacks on North Vietnam and Alismicived ports. But th-eta- 'Was no refer- ence to remarks attributed to President Podgorny in press re- ports from India that the Viet- nein negotiations in Paris would resume soon. Briefing Isn't Mentioned The Soviet reports did not touch on what was widely pre- sumed to have been Mr. Pod- gorny's primary mission ? to brief the North Vietnamese leaders on the results of the meetings with President Nixon in Moscow last month and to patch up differences stemming from Moscow's decision to go through with the summit meet- ing. 0414401)04044974 North Vietnamese Army news- paper accused the Kremlin of having showed weakness to- ward the American President and of having put dts own "na- tional interests against the in- terests of the world revolution." The charges did not mention Moscow by name but it was clearly the target. Five days later, on May 26, Novoye Vremya, a Communist party weekly on international affairs, carried a sharply word- ed and unusually explicit rebut- tal written by Vadim V. Zagia- din, deputy chief of the Central Committee's department for re- 1, tions with other Communist here. CiggiR79411 94A0002 gay4 tdrf at the United c :ow was shirking its socialist resume the work of the Paris conference on Vietnam each s's i seriously and duty. It argued for proceeding with the summit meeting in the Interest of major achievements, such as an agreement to limit arms, through the policy of peaceful coexistence, Commu- nist terminology for better re- latioas with the West. Hanoi Demands Talks PARIS, June 19 (Reuters)? North Vietnam today followed up President Podgorny's pre- diction of a speedy resumption of the Paris peace talks by de- manding that the United Stales return to the negotiating table Thursday as usual," the North Vietnamese delegation said in, a statement. HANOI, North Vietnam, June 10 (Agence France-Presse) The North Vietnamese Governr mcnt today broke its silence' Over the visit by President Po& gorny, Issuing a laconic comr muniqud stating that he haq been on a "nonofficial" mist &on. The clear indication was that he had not met Premier Phan? Van Dong. CBRBTIAN SCIENCE MONITCEt 21 June 1972 ?1Pl0ntatic ' ? 10ACK ? Hanoi is in a state os mplorna Lk. alloaa a, duced by the visit of presidential adviser Henry Kissinger to Peking and the visit of\ Soviet President Nikolai V. Podgorny tod North Vietnam. Perhaps the clearest indication of this Is the change in the plans of Hanoi's chiefs negotiator, Le Due Tho, who left Paris for a leisurely visit to Bulgaria, only to cut it short before its announced duration had expired, and to rush home for consultations amid signs of growing friction with its allies. When passing through Moscow, he was met by a party official of such low rank as to suggest that the Kremlin was being deliberately, offensive. In Peking, the Chi- nese leaders took advantage of this to score a point over the Russians by arranging a "very cordial" meeting for him with Chou En-lai. But the ? continuing restraint in Peking's public utterances about the war, after reg- istering its formal protest that the bombing was getting too close to China's borders, makes it clear that the Chinese leaders, too, : favor a compromise settlement. Podgorny's announcement after his visit to Hanoi that the Paris talks would be re- sumed "soon" meant that he had prevailed upon the North Vietnamese leaders to make the concessions that would make the re- sumption possible. They made the concessions unwillingly, as is indicated by the evidence of disagree- ment between them and Podgorny in the of- ficial communiqu?n his visit. This means that he had managed to mobilize the doves ne crlances are, tnereiore, Inat more rapid pru ;Tess will now be made toward a peace set lement. The constellation of forces suggest :hat the progress will be rapid enough t bring peace to Vietnam before the American general elections in No- vember. It is th combination.of the three separate forces for peace, in Moscow, Peking, and in Hanoi in .elf, that makes this outcome like- Tho ckocy cr,"cp,i in Hanni hv what it sees the "betrayal" of its interests by both .loscow and Peking has obviously weakeaed the hawks and made it possible for the doves to begin moving toward a set- tlernelit. The bitterness with which the Hanoi press has d anounced, almost openly, the Nixon visits to ootn reking and u, Moat.a,w ha. now Cven way to a pained silence, which sugge,-ts that it sees little point in resisting its alles as well as the United States. The almost transparent hint in the Hanoi press after the 'Moscow summit, that the "major powers" were ganging up on smaller coun- tries iike Vietnam, is now being translated into the hard language of politics. What it all amounts to is that Hanoi's "big brothers" are, in spite of their pro- testations to the contrary, trying to impose a settlement. The signs of this were evident at the beginning of the year, when Hanoi first complained that the .big powers were trying to "bully" the small countries. This coincided with the announcement that the North Vietnamese Ambassador in Moscow' had a "frank" exchange of views with Mr. Kosygin, the Premier, which indicated that Moscow had begun putting really heavy Pressure on Hanoi. Few people in the West were prepared to accept at that time the evidence suggest. ing that this pressure, combined with pres- sure from Peking, was real enough or could prove powerful enough to make a difference. Some skeptics still stick to this view. But the Podgorny and Kissinger trips are the culmination, not the beginning, of the Nixon grand design to end the war in Vietnam by summitry in Peking and in Moscow. Hanoi is still capable of a show of force, In the North Vietnamese leadership to do partictilarly in the Saigon area, but the what the the Soviet Union wanted, and that he pose of any such operation would be to has lerA Fitine 4:Q46 I isInCdr4:01 peace fact-Ai-than-he found Zni isiffiVIrthew p9/09i021gtGIAADP79401*9414090200 negotiations. CPYRGHT CPYRGHT 140001-9 Approved For Watt:414999/09/02 : CIARkgie9T01194A000200140001-9 NEW YORK TINES 1. July 1972 HIGH-LEVEL TALKS 'llall BY 2 KOREAS ON REUNIFICATION .North and South Agree to, Avoid Armed Incidents and Seek 6etter Relations It Th 4 Arvid/lied rte. WM., south Korea, Tues. 'day, July 4?North and South Korea have held top-level meet- ings in Pyongyang and in Seoul to discuss problems concerning Improving relations and terri- torial reunification of the 'coun- try, South Korea announced to- day. - They agreed, among other things, to refrain mutually from armed provocations and to in- stall a hot line between Seoul and Pyongyang 'in order to prevent the outbreak of unex- pected military incidents," an announcement said. The announcement was made simultaneously in Seoul and Pyongyang, the North Korean Capital, Tension Ratted Sped/lit? The Nem. 'York Times WASHINGTON, July 3?The announcement of new contacts between the two Koreas was preceded by months of reduced tensinn NEW YORK TIMES [nary negotiations between the Red Cross societies of North and South were carried on suc- cessfully. The Red Cross talks, officially aimed at humanitarian goals of establishing contacts between members of divided- families, and eventually at . reuniting them, have had important po- litical implications. Each side has used the 10 months of Red Cross talks at Panmunjom as a means of sounding out the other's intentions. ? The two sides at the Panmun- jom sessions, which began last August, have agreed on an agenda for substantive negotia- tions, which are to he held alternately in Seoul and Pyong- yang. , . In recent months, Premier Kim Il Sung of North Korea has voiced an interest in contacts not only with South Korea but with Japan and the United States, seemingly looking to- "Ward an end Of his country'S. long, self-imposed isolation. ; He has given interviews to 'Japanese and American corre- spondents, and said last month that .he would be willing to meet with President Park Chung Hee of South Korea to discuss Issues. 1 Concern Over Allies Noted Many . Western diplomats have speculated that the deci- sion to begin contacts was in- spired in both Seoul and Pyong- yang by parallel concern that their principal allies?the United States in South Korea's case, and China and the Soviet Union in North Korea's?were heading ,toward a period of conciliation in which they would be un- willing to go to war in support of the interests of either Korean state. President Nixon's trip to Pek- ing last February came as a shock to North Korea and was believed to have heavily influ- enced Premier Kim to enlarge his country's foreign contacts. The South Koreans, with their economy expanding and their political situation relatively' stabilized, had already begun a policy of seeking contacts with East European Communist na- tions. Tensions between the two Koreas have been high for most of the post-Korean war period, and have been marked by prop- aganda exchanges of, extreme ,Invective. In the peak year, 11968, there were hundreds of casualties from clashes along' the dimilitarized zone and in' coastal areas where northerni agents were infiltrated. But despite -the tensions, both sides have always called for re- unification as a primary na- tional goal. The South Koreans have generally insisted on ful- dillment of the United Nations Genefal Assembly call for free elections in both North and South and on formal renuncia- tion by Pyongyang of any use of force to achieve unification. ? Federation Is Held Possible But recently, South Korean officials have said that they could envision some kind of federation after a long period of gradual improvement in re- lations. President Park has said that discussion of political problems such as unification should come at the end of a three-stage program: First, agreement on humanitarian questions involving divided families, then nonpolitical mat- ters such as trade and commu- nication, and finally political questions, That ,ifiline appears ,noti much .differrnt from rreent stiggeMions made in the N,orth Korean press calling tot grad- ual improvement in thn n*(15. phere. to he followed by a con- federation of the two Koreas in which each side would itimin. ?tain its own form of govern. Among important issues to he resolved would be the status of the 40,000 American 0i:tops based in South Korea, ti,hder the flag of the United .Nailons Command, and South Karen's defense relationship with the United States. In the past, Pre - mice Kim said that withdrawal of American troops was a pre- condition for better North- South relations, but more re- cently in interviews he has been less demanding. First Direct Negotiations The Red Cross talks aroused considerable international In- terest when they began last summer because they marked the first time representatives of the two Koreas had met in -their own country on bilateral matters since the Korean war, which ended in 1953. Both Governments have been under some pressure to im- prove contacts and respond to ,the strong pull of Korean na- tionalism, which has remained 'strong despite 35 years of Jap- anese occupation, from 010 to 1945, and 27 years of division following ? the end of World War H. The South Korean 'enders have argued that this effo, eseotiate might lort!,.en the totalitariaram ,)f North 'sorea. The North Koran lead- . ? s by holding out tile hope of yntual unification, may feel it this could produce a ()setting of Sul' I tiils with CT United States ait:i Japan. 5 July 1972 CPYRGHT CPYRGHT Text of the Joint Korean Communique SEOUL, South Korea, Tues- day, July 4 (Re. uters)?Pol- lowing is the text of a joint North and South Korean corn- muniqud made public simul- taneously in Seoul and Pyongyang today, as issued in an official South Korean Government translation: Recently there were talks held both in Pyongyang and Seoul to discuss problems of Improving SoutWbstnitaVed tions and unifying'-t-he di- vided fatherland. Director Lee nu itaic or tne Central Intelligence Agency of Seoul visited Pyongyang from 2 to 5 May, 1972, to hold talks with Director Kim Yong Ju of the Organization and Guidance Department of Pyongyang. Second Vice Pre- mier Pak Sung Chul, acting on behalf of Director Kim Yong Ju, also visited Seoul from 29 May to 1 June, 1972, to hold further talks with di- FofjigrIalt ealf9?9/0W02 o common esire achieve peaceful unification of the fatherland as early as possible, the two sloes in these talks had frank and open-hearted exchanges of views, and made great prog- ress in promoting mutual un- derstanding. In the course of the talks, the two sides, in an effort to remove the misunderstand- ings and mistrust and miti- gate increased tensions that have arisen between the reached full agreement on the following points; [1] The two sides have tie: to the following principi for unification of the fathei- land: First, unification shall be achieved through independ- ent Korean efforts without -being-ettbfeet-te-ewtere position or interference. Second, unification shall be achieved through peaceful South and the North as a re- means, and not through the CPYRGHTApproved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 transcending differences in ideas, ideologies and systems. [2] In order to ease tensions and foster an atmosphere of mutual trust between the South and the North, the two sides have agreed not to slan- der or defame each other, not to undertake armed prov- ocations whether on a large or small scale, and to take positive measures to prevent inadvertent military inci- dents. [3] The two'isides, in order to restore severed national ties, promote mutual understand- ing and to expedite independ- ent peaceful unification, have agreed to carry out various exchanges in many fields. [4] The two sides have agreed to cooperate positively with each other to seek early sue- cesS of the South-North Red Cross talks, which are under way with the fervent expec- tations of the entire people. [5] The two sides, in order to prevent the outbreak of un- expected military incidents and to deal directly, prompt- ly and accurately with prob- lems arising between the South and the North, have agreed to Install a direct tele- phone line between Seoul and Pyongyang. [6] The two sides, in order to implement the aforemen- tioned agreed items, solve various problems existing be- tween the South and the North/ and to settle the uni- fication problems on the basis of the agreed prin- ciples for unification of the fatherland, have agreed to establish and operate a South - North coordinating committee co-chaired by rector Lc Ru Ralc and Di- rector Kim Yong Ju. [7] The two sides, firmly eon. vinced that the aforemen. tioned agreed items corre. spond with the common as. pirations of the entire peo- ple, who are anxious to see an early unification of the fatherland, hereby solemnly pledge before the entire ICo- rean people that they will faithfully carry out these agreed items, upholding the desires of their respective superiors. CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR 6 July 1972 " Pikis up the pieces in Korea The sudden and dramatic agreement be- tween the two Koreas this week earnestly to seek reunification, after 27 years of total separation marked by sporadic fighting and steady verbal abuse, is as wel- come as it is important for history present and history future. It is hardly coincidental that the over- tures between the two capitals of Seoul and Pyongyang followed close behind President Nixon's visits to Peking and Moscow. In the family of nations, as in the families of men, strong and positive examples set by the higher levels in the hierarchy influence those at the lower levels to act positively. The agreement between the two major Communist capitals of the world and Washington to look beyond differences in social, political, and economic systems, and to put ideologies to one side, is re- flected in the agreement between Seoul and Pyongyang. Thus the establishment of a hot line between the two Korean capitals to prevent any military flareups along their joint border. Thus their set- ting up of a joint coordinating committee to "unify the fatherland." Thus their dec- laration of intent to reunify on a national basis in such a way as :to transcend differences "in ideas, ideologies, and systems." It will not be easy. Those ideological differences are great. The virulence of propaganda. hurled against each other during 27 years of division has left scars,' bitterness, and suspicion. And there are practical problems to be 'compromised. Hanoi to Saigon is shorter than via Paris, South Korea hipiCtitffirittei3RinkReiggfire 1 gefinitt02 MwR40 Prialt1194A0002% vised elections in both countries to elect an all-Korean Legislature. North Korea, with a population of 13 million against its southern neighbor's 31 million, wants to cut both sides' armed forces to 100,000 men each, then follow with a confedera- tion, in which each side would retain its own government and its own social and political systems. It will take time, pa- tience and 'determination to achieve the necessary compromise. - In favor of success is the deep desire of the Korean people to be reunited. This is underscored by the continuing effort of the International Red Cross to arrange for reuniting divided families, an effort that has gone on for years without results. If that work begins to bear fruit, as now seems more likely than ever, the opening up of communications and eventually a flow of people across the long-sealed bor- der would start a process difficult for either government to halt. The new moves toward reunification have a world significance beyond the Korean peninsula. The point will not be missed in the two Vietnamese capitals that the desire of their respective big power patrons for a? relaxation in world tensions only begins at the top interna- tional level. It extends down to their own. It is to be hoped that North and South Vietnam, recognizing their rapidly dimin- ishing capability to play Peking and Mos- cow against Washington, will ponder seri- ously the precedent of their Korean broth- ers to the north. The direct distance from CPYRGHT 140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 OF THE REPUBLIC OF VIET-NAM BY COMMUNIST NORTH VIET-NAM MU r . k TCHEPON th Vietnam Ben Hai DMZ Quang Tri ?ftLAOS.` CHAVANE ATTOPEU ? a 1' x Danang '4> 0(4 Ba " Ictt SIEM PANG CAMBODIA RATIE McjNDOLKIRI1. KHUM KR E INHLOC .J'...I .AN LOC. SVAYRIENG3-VLY NINH 04.. *Bien Hoa'. ? Sihanouk Ville 1.144:1\....SA.LGON 'South Vietnam Infiltration routes ppr. d For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79 ?... Dong I-Ioi DMZ io Linh ua Viet QUANG TRI; ? NVA A _A 11-1"4...c. a m a Klle San NVA 324044" LAOS ''.Firebase '4, ?Bastougne.,- , A Shall' .01194A000200140001-9 1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 THE - COMMUNISTS OPENLY- CROSSED THE DMZ CPYRCAND BLATANTLY ATTACKED ... A N March 29, 1972, several North Vietnamese regular unzt have openly crossed the DMZ and attacked the Republic of Vietnam outposts, In an attempt to occupy the territory of South Vietnam below the demar- cation area. The DMZ. the symbol of a reasonnable solution for the two Zones pen- ding a negotiated formula for the eventual peaceful reunification of Viet- nam, is being trampled by the Communist North Vietnam who,. in so doing, has violated the 1954 Geneva Agreements as well as the 1968 secret understandings on the cessation of the American bombing over North Vietnam. The 'invading forces include the elite infantry Divisions 304, 308 and 324B, supported by 6 other infantry regiments ,_3 artillery regiments, ex- tensive anti-aircraft units, one tank regiment and one surface-to-air mis- sile regiment. The North Vietnamese invaders also used MIG planes in support of their offensive. Columns of Russian made PT. 76, T. 55, T. 54 tanks moved down openly along Road No. 1 to attack the RVN outposts south of the DMZ. The strength of the Communist forces is later estimated at around 15 divisions including a Farming Sites a No. 2. and 3 and Work- ing Sites a No. 5,7 and 9. At the Cambodian frontiers bordering the provinces of Tay Nil:1h, Binh Long and Phuoc Long, the enemy supported by long range artillery and T. 54 tans massively attacked the province of Binh Long, meanwhile in the tri-border area, Vietnam ? Cambodia ? Laos, bordering the pro- vinces of Korai= and Pleiku, a North Vietnamese division attempted to attack the province of Kontuzn. In these three areas, fierce and bloody fighting has taken place in the past months and is still continuing, and the RVN troops have inflicted very heavy losses to the enemy. But the civilian population have suffered much harm caused by North Vietnam indisaiminate shellings into the densely populated areas. More than 650,000 people have had to take refuge in more distant areas. This is eloquent evidence that North Vietnam is the real aggressor and the NLF was created for the only purpose of misleading world opinion. The objective of the North Vietnamese leaders, when ordering the in- vasion of the RVN territory, is to occupy the two provincial capitals of Quang Tri and Thua Then in order to use them as capital for that which the North Vietnamese Communists have been forging for a long time, the so-called Government of the National Liberation Front, and as a gate for their domination of the whole South Vietnam. This open invasion of the Republic of Vietnam is a campaign that the North Vietnamese Communists have prepared for a long time and which they called the 1972 general offensive, general uprising and general revolt. That proved the Communists do not advocate peace, they do not seek to end the war by negotiations, but they on the enn t pproved For Release 1999/09/92 : CIA-RDM-a6ingabtioniai4000 1-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 CPYRGHT the pursuit of the. war and the annexation of South Vietnam by force and by military victory. The Vietnamese people and troops are determined to win over the communist aggressors and wipe them out of the Republic of Vietnam territory. A MEASURE OF DESPERATION... THE regular Army of North Vietnam has launched an attack on South Vietnam, supported by massive quantities of Russian and Chinese arms and equipment, including tanks and giant guns. The South Vietnamese are containing the multiple thrusts across their borders, and in some areas counter-attacking and inflicting heavy defeats on the North Vietnamese. Thus despite the tremendous resources of regular soldiery and equipment that the North Vietnamese war-makers have thrown into this invasion, they have been thwarted by the defence forces of South Vietnam from attaining their initial objectives. ? No doubt the invasion will continue. In the totalitarian society of the North nobody can protest against the terrible losses of men. Appreciating ? how vital has been, the aid given to South Vietnam over the years by the United States, Australia and other free-world nations, Hanoi will try to sustain its aggression in the hope of 'weakening the resolve, of South Vietnam's friends and stirring the flagging support given to the Northern communists by their friends outside Vietnam. In particular Hanoi hopes to influence the United States Presidential Elections, to further their ? peace plans. In the meantime the South Vietnamese people and government de- serve the congratulations of all freedom-loving people., The support for South Vietnam is fully vindicated. The return of Australian ground troops does not arise since the South Vietnamese are con fent that they can handle the attack from the North themselves. But in view of the Russian and Chinese provision of huge quantities of modern war materials, anied air support and economic aid will still be needed on a large scale. The Australian government should be willing to cosder sympathetically any request for air and naval support, as well as increased economic and arms assistdnce. ? The fraudulent nature of the leftwing propaganda campaign is now -clear. The internal insurgency in South Vietnam is now no more than a minor irritant because of the progressive reforms of the South Viet- namese government. The communist leaders in Hanoi have been forced to abandon the pretence that there is an. internal war against the South Vietnamese government by domestic dissidents. The Viet Cong, always buttressed by Hanoi, has so withered on the vine that war by proxy is no longer possible and the North Vietnamese communists have been re- duced to outright invasion. ? Thie fir a wen,znro nf their desperation. 1 Professor David AMSTRONG Chairman of The Committee of THE FRIENDS OF VIETNAM, AUSTRALIA Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 3 CPYRGHT 40001-9 40001-9 A DP 116ciffiti fkirilReltetrse4999/0910kg 61A-REIP79s-011694A0002091 171invasion of its own ally's territory, for by Hanoirs definition South Vietnam belongs to the Provisional Revolutionary. Government of South Vietnam (PRGSVN) and only one-fifth of it is still g temporarily occu- pied a by the GVN. It would be pretty torturous thinking to believe that Hanoi's 15 divisions are needed to g repel the t? aggression coming from only one-fifth of ? the territory of South Vietnam. That this hardly makes sense is no deterrence to Hanoi's friends abroad who recently go so far as to request that the Soviet Union increases arms shipments to Hanoi so as to strengthen Hanoi's killing capacity. .1t is thus -clear that the Government of Vietnam and the anti-war groups abroad are agreed om at least one point: the strength of Communism in Vietnam does not reside in the revolutionary fervor of the Communist troops native to South Vietnam, rather it is the direct translation of Russian weaponry engaged in a classical confrontation 'where Hanoi's troops merely play the role of cannon fodder. In the resulting clash of steel the revolutionary war of Hanoi appears in its naked garb, a full-scale invasion, ideologically motivated, in which the Soviet Union expects to put the world in front of a fait accompli with Hanoi acting as a willing proxy. CCNDMN ThONVA510i he troubled and tragic states of Indo-China ? the Republic of Vietnam in particular ? are struggling to cope with enormously difficult problems. They face a North Vietnam which remains determined to im- pose by force on the South a government of the North's choosing. North Vietnam has launched its regular forces in attacks in great strength out- side its own borders into the Khmer Republic and Laos as well as into South Vietnam. North Vietnam is supported in this by extensive aid from the Soviet Union and other Eastern European countries, and from China. The bulk of this aid, much of it in the form of the most modern weapons, now comes from the Soviet Union. g I emphasise that what we are watching now is not a g people's up- rising a. It is not a civil war. It is an invasion af one country by another. The great bulk of North Vietnam's regular army is now? deployed in the South. a Why has North Vietnam persisted in this war policy? ? It is not for lack of alternatives. The peace proposals put forward by President Thieu and President Nixon on 25th January this year offered the opportunity for the people of South Vietnam, on whose behalf the North Vietnamese claim to be acting, to determine their own future through elections conducted by an independent commission and under international supervision. President .Thieu offered to resign prior to these elections. But the communists are still not prepared to face the test of elections. , O Why did the North act when it did? No doubt a number of factors were involved in the timing. There is some evidence that Hanoi wanted to attack earlier, in the region of the Central Highlands, but that its plans were disrupted by South Vietnamese and United States pre-emptive ope- rations. Another factor was probably the weather ? suitable 'for cam- paigning while providing some cover from air attack. Another may have been a wish to demonstrate, t_ ?B PbiWATYPITATiar900002001 Approved For Release 9 ,061/61 6pRckw41-For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 the United States and the Soviet Union and the United States and China, that it is Hanoi which deterrntnes events in Indo-China. Yet another fac- tor, which was evident at the time of the unsuccessful Tet offensive in 1968, appears to be a deliberate attempt to exert pressure on United States opinion, and through . it on the United States administration. They are mindful that this is a Presidential Election year. It also seems clear that a compelling reason for the invasion at this time was an assessment on the part of the North Vietnamese leadership that South Vietnam was doing too well. = Hanoi needed to disrupt the consoli4ati6n that has been going on in the Republic of Vietnam, both within its armed forces (ARVN) and in its society generally: and to act before South Vietnam became too tough a nut to crack. Their offensive had been foreseen: but it is one thing to foresee events and another to live through them, preserve one's balance, and, in circumstances where the aggressor naturally has the initiative, to withstand them. = The South Vietnamese forces have suffered reverses. There may be further setbacks before the situation clarifies. But it is worth remem- bering the experience of the offensive of Tet 1968, which showed the importance of reserving judgment on the outcome of the fighting. In 1968 hasty judgments allowed the communists to make great propaganda gains, although subsequent events showed that Tet 1968 had, in fact, been a major setback for the communists, both in terms of military casualties and of damage to their org-arisation and infrastructure in the South. = On behalf of the Government, I condemn the invasion of the Repu- blic of Vietnam by North Vietnamese regular army units. It has been launched, and could only have been launched, with massive support from the Soviet Union and China. I believe the overwhelming Majority of Aus- tralians have deep sympathy for the people of the Republic. of Vietnam. They were fighting courageously in defence of their country even before their allies came to their assistance with ground troops. They have con- tinued to fight with great courage notwithstanding that the ground troops of their allies are being withdrawn. = We are continuing with our civil aid. We are despatching urgently needed supplies to assist them in coping with the flood of men, women and children fleeing as refugees before the advance of the invading armies. ? If the South Vietnamese fall before this onslaught not only will it be a sad day for all who believe small countries and their peoples should be free to determine their own government, but the repercussions of their fall will reverberate in the South-East Asian region for years to come.. NIGEL BOWEN Australian Minister for Foreign Affairs Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 CPYRGHT AptigtgsViimAleam494/090n4Cilf,ffilf39-01194A000200140001-9 HATEVER: the outcome of the Communist offensive in South Vietnam may he, the record of the past four weeks has robbed Hanoi and the local Viet Cong of any pretence of playing the noble role of Libe- . . rators ? in the South. For despite setbacks suffered, the 'resistance of the Southern Armies . , and the refusal of the civilian population to rise in support of the Red In- vaders- clearly -show the true sentiments of most people in the South. _ These sentiments are fear of and hatred for the aggressors. . . . - No army kept together by American money and driven by Saigon's whip, as the red have claimed, would have fought as well as the Southern soldiers have fought so far. And no downtrodden and grossly exploited people would either flee from its presumed liberators or refuse to rise in their support as the South Vietnamese have done, despite Viet Cong efforts to call them to .1.-.:?volt. CLEAR LESSON The lesson is clear : South Vietnam can only be > from the North .or flee to the South. They chose the South, despite all the misery and suffering they will undergo as refugees. And, also, despite claims that the Thieu Government is a harsh and oppressive tyranny. By -walking away from the > from the North or flee to the South. They chose the South, despite all the misery and suffering they will undergo as refugees. And, also, despite claims that the Thieu Government is a harsh and oppressive tyranny. By 'walking away from the ? liberators ?, the people of Quang- Tri are virtually ? voting with their feet ?. Similar popular referendums in recent history were: the fleeing of masses of Dutch, Belgian and French people before invading Nazi hordes ; the exodus from the East German ? socialist paradise >> which compelled the Soviets to 'build a wall to keep the East German population from running away to the West ; and the flight of thousands of Hungarians in 1965 and Czechs in 1968 from Soviet tanks. App BANGKOK POST NORTH VIETNAMESE INVASION OF SOUTH: ? UNPARDONABLE DEED I7 1 I-1-E invasion in force of South Vietnam by North Vietnamese armies s unquestionably a deed of unpardonable aggression. What do the North fietnamese want to prove? They want to discredit the Government of Nguyen Van Thieu as well as the United States. They want to fulfill the reOlitiPs* Relrerestesi 9/99Y091022:cti*FDP51)101194K001120611f0 kith and kin. 301-9 CPYRGHT Lir T KUrl I Ap provedAeRvIRstSitalgUMMISMIMPe-sOiUgh4PeCUPP 4ppo1-9 drawn from the territory of the South Vietnamese in order that the Repu- blic of Vietnam may be able to carve its own destiny without interference by any force outside their territory. REDS CAN'T BE TRUSTED There is no question that the North Vietnamese who are dyed-in-the- wool communists are violating the principle of self-determination which is the keynote to peace and prosperity not only in Asia but in the rest of the world. South Vietnam wishes to be free. It does not 'want to crook its knee to any outside power be it American or North Vietnamese. There- fore, the invasion of South Vietnam will serve only to emphasize one fact: that the Communists can never be trusted. The transgression on the life, land and treasure of South Vietnam by the North Vietnamese is exactly what would be the case if the North Koreans were to cross the demilitarized zone and disturb the peace, pro- gress and prosperity of South Korea. PROTEST CALL ? With such an aggressive neighbor as Communist North Vietnam, how can we feel secure and happy in this part of world? Therefore, I call on all free peoples to protest vigorously against the violation of covenants and the plighted word which has been perpetrated by the North Vietnamese in recent weeks. Let us all uphold with all the strength of our collective will the principle of self-determination. THE WHOLE NATION IS UNITED AND OF ONE MIND... Sen. JOSE J. ROY, Chairman, World Anti-Communist League CPYRGHT Ap N the last few days, the North Vietnamese Communists have used three divisions of regular troops, identified as Divisions 304, 308, and 324B. with the support of three artillery and anti-aircraft regiments, one heavy armored regiment and many surface-to-air missile units to openly cross the Seventeenth Parallel and invade the Republic of ?Viet-Nam at the border area with North Viet-Nam. This belligerent and aggressive action on the part of the North Viet- namese Communists represents a blatant violation of the 1954 Geneva Accord of which North Viet-Nam was a signatory, and reveals that coun- try's scheme of a military takeover of the Republic of Viet-Nam. North Vietnam is not interested in seriously negotiating a solution to the war MilatisraieIF??bOYM :ittAe-REIVAt 1,000b16 2botii0 0 01 peace. ? -9 A CPYRGHT For the reasons detailed above, the National Assem ly o e epub id of Viet-Nam solemnly proclaims to the nation and to the world: First, We vehemently condemn the act of open aggression of the North Vietnamese Communists as they send their troops across the border to invade the territory of the Republic of Viet-Nam, blatantly violating the 1954 Geneva Accord of which North Viet-Nam was a signatory. Secondly, We denounce the cruel action of the North Vietnamese Communists as they indiscriminately shell our cities, causing much suf- fering and loss of lives and property to our innocent compatriots. Thirdly, The whole nation is united and of one mind in firmly sup- porting the Armed Forces of the Republic of Viet-Nam as they fight and smash the North Vietnamese invasion, protecting our independence and territorial integrity. Fourthly, We urgently appeal to the United Nations and all ;the peoples of peace loving nations in the world to support the legitimate, struggle of self-defense of the people and army of the Republic of Viet- Nam, while at the same time to apply every necessary measure aimed withdraw all their troops and cadres to the North of the 'Seventeenth at forcing the North Vietnamese Communists to ?top their aggression and Parallel. Saigon, the 4th of April, 1972 PRESIDENT OF THE SENATE SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE MANIFESTO by The Political Port3e5 of South Viet 'Horn Ap FTER a full examination of the situation as created by the North Vietnamese invasion of Quang-Tri Province, the political parties present ' at the session of April 5, 1972 of the Joint Committee of Vietnamese Political Parties hereby resolve: 1. To severely condemn North Viet-Nam for having launched its regular troops across the Seventeenth Parallel, violated the status of the Demilitarized Zone and attacked the province of Quang-Tri, thus once more violating in the most flagrant manner the Geneva Accords of 1954 of which North Viet-Nam was a signatory. 2. To request that Great Britain and the Soviet Union, the two Co- Chairmen of the 1954 Geneva Conference, condemn North Vie tnam:s aggression committed against the Republic of Viet-Nam and force North Viet-Nam to withdraw to its territory all the military units just brought across the Seventeenth Parallel and the Demilitarized Zone, as well as. all the forces infiltrated into the Republic of Viet-Nam since the begin-. fling of the war. 3. To request that the international Control Commission acknow- ledge the invasion of North Vietnamese troops across the Seventeenth Parallel and the Demilitarized Zone. In case International Control Com- mon' keeps its silence in the face of the brazen invasion b priameihigartBekease litEnti09/a2NaGlArRERZ941104AIN III" C Geneva Accords, the International Control Commission should dissolve itself for reasons of partiality and impotence. a 01-9 CPYRGHT Lir T KUrl I A 4. To request that the Government of the Republic of _Viet-Nam ppromed FrizEtRaktase dailelaillniaECIMILIFM94119alsAWW(M400 other side has not called off its aggressive actions in violation of the understandings that they themselves have agreed to in exchange for the 1.968 cessation of bombings over North Viet-Nam. 5. To request that the Government of the Republic of Viet-Nam make ready a punitive action plan against North Viet-Nam in case the latter refuses to withdraw its troops north of the Seventeenth Parallel and to ? respect the Demilitarized Zone. 6. To urgently appeal to the members of all political parties included within the Joint Committee and to all compatriots to heighten their vigi- lance so as to avoid being hoodwinked by the Communist propaganda into disrupting our ranks while at the same time positively .participating in the efforts to help refugees generated by the border fighting and the families of our cothbattants being engaged in the border fighting.. 7. To ardently salute the fighting spirit of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Viet-Nam and to support to the full the units that are fighting heroically at the Demarcation border and on the other battlefields. COMMUNIST INVASION CONDEMNED BY WORLD OPIIVION 1-9 ...In the past month Hanoi has been openly sending regular North Vietnamese Army units, armed- with tanks and heavy artillery, directly aocross the demilita- rized zone into South Vietnam. This is an invasion in the true sense. It is a clear violation of the 1954 Geneva Agreements, in which North Vietnam explicitly under- took to respect the demilitarized zone and the integrity of South Vietnam...,, SIR KEITH HOLYOAKE Foreign Minister of New Zealand ? The British Government are.. in no doubt that the North Vietnamese. by conducting a flagrant invasion of the territory of the Republic: of South. Vietnam, are acting in violation of the Geneva Agreements.,, .... The present invasion to the South Vietnamese territory showed clearly to us that Hanoi had chosen the way of force to achieve its goal.* ADAM MALIK Foreign Minister of Indonesia Communist North Vietnam's attacks against South Vietnam in the past few days had been prepared for a long time, when the Paris peace talks were still in progress. This testified to the usual Communist trick ?of using the so-called peace negotiations for propaganda purposes, with a view to make the outside world believe that the situation was calming down. CHOW SHU KAI Foreign Minister of The Republic of China . The violent military offensive unleashed by the Democratic Republic of Vietnam. to the south of the 17 th Parallel in the so-called ? Demilitarized ? Zone on March 29 against the Republic of Vietnam shows once again the warlike character of the ruling group of Hanoi, which, despite the Geneva Accords of 1954, has not hesitated to deliberately launch open aggressions against three countries of former Indochina and to maintain permanent subversive activity throughout our whole region. LONG BORET Minister of Information of the Republic of Khmer e The Government of Belgium finds that the offensive launched by North Vietnam and by the Provisional Revolutionary Government and the escalation of all forms of military activity now taking place are contrary to the objectives of negotiated settlement. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 10 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 .... In this outmoded expansionist venture, North Vietnam has received mas- sive support in military hardwares from another major power, without which the present offensive could not have been carried out. .... THANAT KHOMAN Special Envoy, National - Executive Council Delegation Chief .of Thailand . The grave escalation of the war in Vietnam had started by a massive inva- sion of regular troops from North Vietnam. This constituted a North Vietnamese violation of the Geneva Agreement.. ? SCHMELZER Foreign Minister of the Netherlands The recent large scale communist assaults on South Vietnam were most deplorable and might even reduce hope for peace in Indochina. The escalation of Communist offensive was taking place just at the time when other countries inclu- ding Indonesia were striving for a peaceful solution to the protracted- crisis in. Vietnam ;. DOMO PRANOTO House Speaker of Indonesia The Republic of Korea expressed the sincere desire of Korean Government that North Vietnam immediately withdrawn her armed forces back lo the North in cessation of her flagrant violation of the 1954 Geneva Agreements. The Government of Japan deplores the intensification of fighting caused by the inassive invasion by North Vietnamese forces across the DMZ into South Vietnam and hopes the fighting will end as soon as possible, the Geneva Agree- ments will be respected, and fruitful talks will take place at the Paris negotiations, The North Vietnamese aggression constituted an action which trampled over the Geneva Agreements about Indochina. Therefore we strongly condemn the North Vietnamese aggression, ? Journalists, Politicians, ? Students and the World Anti-Communist ? league in Indonesia. Le Cercle des Etudiants Liberaux de l'Universite Libre de Bruxelles s'eleve de. la facon la plus formelle contre les actes inqualifiables d'agression contre le peuple du Sud Vietnam perpetres par les forces armees nord vietnamiennes en contradiction aviec les accords de Geneve de 1954.. The Philippines ? Vietnam society has been saddened by the news received here that several North Vietnamese regular infantry divisions, supported by tanks, artillery and surfpce-to-air missiles, had crossed the DMZ and invaded the ter- ritory of the Republic of Vietnam. The open aggression is not only a condemnable violation of the 1954 Ceneva agreements but it would irreparably further divide the Vietnamese nailer% which . has been at -war for more than a quarter of a century. t Unable to overthrow a legally-elected government by subversion and in- surgency within the country, the North has had to resort to a full-scale invasion in its efforts to impose totalitarian rule and deny liberty to its southern neigh- bours... I am at a loss to understand why the protesters were so quiet when the North's invasion was in full cry. . Why are they not demanding that Hanoi stop the war in Vietnam? Perhaps the invasion by North Vietnam is what they agree with.. McCREADY Defense Minister of New Zealand 4... The Hanoi Regime has been damned by all, freedom and peace loving ? peoples of the world due to-its evil deeds of aggression and kitting. The Buddish Association of the Republic of China therefore, calls on all buddhist brothers of the world to condemn the North .T'otnamese Communists' aggressive move and render without reservation our spiritual support to the South Vietnamese people ? PAI SHENG ? Director-General of the Buddhist Association a the Republic of China Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 11 . Regardless of how the crisis in Vietnam is resolved, we note that Hanoi has bexpwilling to _s_acrifice thousands of its_ troops onGly to_aa DtisfyP79 tile Kremlin rulers preevadtEerAeWaw-.1999/09/02 : EA-R-01194A000200140001-9 Harlan Nusantara (Indonesian Newspaper) A North Vietnam is waging a war of aggression in the South. It explains everything. For years people have tried to make us believe that the South Viet- namese people ? oppressed by a military dictatorship ? were instinctively revol- ting and, with armed force, were demanding independence. . Something has dispelled that idyllic view: The Communists in the South are imposing terror. They torture, they murder, and they are responsible for provocations and attacks. They resort to those barbaric actions because they haven't succeeded in convincing and in rallying the people.. LE RAPPEL (Belgian paper) . Though Hanoi keeps denying that its troops are fighting in the South of the divided country some 50,000 members of the North Vietnamese People's Liberation Army have crossed the demarcation line.. ARBEITER ZEITUNG, VIENNA. A- Hanoi had sent its troops to 'overtly cross the 17th parallel and the demili- tarized zone (DMZ) regardless of the 1954 Geneva Agreements since it realized that communist underground elements left in the South had become impotent before the gallant fighting spirit of the RV N government and people. Communist North Vietnam will bear full responsibilities for the sufferings and mournings it has caused to the civilian people both in South and North Vietnam.. FRENCH-VIETNAMESE FRIENDSHIP ASSOCIATION. , I wish the Armed Forces of the Republic of Vietnam can resist the North Vietnamese invasion. Your victory is our victory. CARLOS ROMULO Foreign Minister of the Philippines . Why such an overt invasion and why no*? It must be assumed that Hanoi well understood the success of Pacification and Vietnamization within South Vietnam. If both were allowed to continue uninterrupted for another year, then the Viet-Cong might I be completely finished as an internal threat and South Vietnam might become the strongest military power in Southeast Asia. Sir ROBERT THOMPSON The Times of London We severely condemn communist offensive which violated agreements signed by Hanoi itself. We pay hommage to valiant ARVN and courageous Vietnamese people under President Thieu leadership which crush this offensive as they crlfshed the 1968 Tet offensive.. ARGENTIN? VIETNAMESE ASSOCIATION ' ? We strongly condemn the violation of the DMZ committed by communist North Vietnam because it was in violation of existing agreement. With this large scale invasion of South Vietnam territory by North Vietnam it became clear that North Vietnam is the real aggressor while the so-called NLF in South Vietnam was created only for the purpose of misleading world opinion. In this connection we should support the struggle of the South Vietnamese people who are defending their sovereignty from this communist invasion. North Vietnam should withdraw immediately her armed forces from South Vietnam and if it failed to do so and continued with its policy of aggression then she will have to bear full respon- , sabilities for any consequences brought about by her own action .. ? MUHAMMA.D HUANG Chairman of the World Anti- communist League, Indonesia. Hanoi has shown its real face, that of an aggressor... This flagrant violation - of Geneva Accords... shows what would be awaiting South Vietnam if the Com- munists from North had their hands free., GAZET VAN ANT WERPAN, HOLLAND. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 ,12 APPrPiMit .(9tragseisium in90/09/02 r non-intervention inP7Z-0;10124bAy08.00104140001 -9 forces, a myth so long cultivated by Hanoi? ? Ot While the Amerricans have chosen disengagement in an irreversible manner, the other side increases its own engagement. How can one, then, fail to con- clude that Hanoi envisages no other solution of the drama than the annexation of South Vietnam ? either by placing a reunified Vietnam under its one control or else by imposing in Saigon a communist regime? COMBAT, PARIS. * We condemn unequivocally the brutal invasion by the regular forces of Hanoi across the DMZ and into other areas of the territory of the Republic of Vietnam... FREDERICK STOCWELL Society for Individual Freedom. The Free World must maintain a defense shield, against communist aggression in the face of the current open invasion of South Vietnam by Cbmmunist North yietnamese forces. The Communist had made a big mistake militarily and politically in launching an invasion of the South and they would suffer reverses on both counts.. SEATO Secretary General. Gen. JESUS VARGAS 'We demand Hanoi authorities to immediately withdraw their aggressive troops from South Vietnam and put an end to the killing and to embark on serious negotiations to settle :.he conflict.. THE FRENCH COMMITTEE FOR SAFEGUARD OF FREEDOM IN EUROPE, 4. Nous elevons une protestation formelle contre l'invasion ouverte du Sud- Vietnam par les troupes du Gouvernement d'Hanoi. La preuve est faite que les communistes du Nord veulent annexer purement et simplement le Sud-Vietnam tandis que la population Sud Vietnamienne est determinee a ne pas se retrouver sous la houlette des communistes et de leurs complices du Viet-Cong. . -COMITE FRANCAIS POUR SAUVEGARDER LES LIBERTES EUROPEENNES The Young Democratic Labour Association calls upon the Australian Govern- ment to assist South Vietnam in a greater military capacity in its endeavour to protect itself from blatant aggression from North Vietnam.. YOUNG DEMOCRATIC LABOUR ASSOCIATION, AUSTRALIA * No fair minded person can.be in any doubt whatsoever about the cause and the nature of the latest offensive in Vietnam. The undeniable truth is that it is the result of a full scale invasion by the regular Armed Forces of North Vietnam, in flagrant and brutal violation of the Geneva Agreements. This is a callous and calculated aggression that pays no attention either to international law or human suffering. It could be perpetrated only by a Government that is impervious to moral outrage. The fact that the North Vietnam has had to use regular troops is proof of the failure of their guerilla activities in South Vietnam. The Viet Cong have proved in this invasion a force of no significance. The people of South Vietnam have, by their actions during the last few weeks of the invasion, demonstrated their loyalty to the democratic regime in Saigon. The morale of the people of South Vietnam remains high. I have no doubt that they are fighting with high courage for the cause of free peoples every- where. The British Government supports totally the action of South Vietnam, and condemns the invasion of that country by the North. N. IAN SPROAT Secretary General of the All Party Anglo-Vietnamese Parliamentary Group. * Vietnam is again wracked by intense warfare as the result of a massive Vietnamese invasion of the South. 'No amount of rhetoric or use of euphemism such as ? People's Liberation . or ,* Viet-Cong Liberation Movement N, can mask the reality that North Vietnam has again openly violated solemAiaRr ase mato= irhtftql5 i lies no in what is happening Approved For Reie Ma9;1194Ap00200140001-9 13 Approved dweumwtookranztothairodoie,avekNorth Vietnam In the North fled from their liberators x. to an uncertain future in the South, w Today, even as the North Vietnamese claim to w liberate * areas of the South as part of their latest offensive, new refugees are again in flight. They flee not North but farther South .. farther from their * liberators., KENNETH B. KEATING .S . Ambassador to India. w General Giap is indulging in illusions if he counts on a crumbling Of the South Vietnamese regime. The failure of the TET Offensive in 1968. has shown that the South Vietnamese population ? even if it is not satisfied with the present regime, which is a consequence of the war ? is not at all disposed to accept domination by the North. The South Vietnamese army now is infinitely stronger and more pugnacious than it was a few years ago, and it is obvious that Washington will not fail to react in the face of this sudden re-escalation of the conflict. w In trying this Poker bluff, Hanoi has, taken a calculated risk that May cost, it a very high price.* MICHEL VOIROL Combat The great majority of the soldiers in the fierce battles at Bastogne near Hue, and at An Loc, demonstrated outstanding morale which surprised the skep- tical observers DIE WELT German Newspaper in Hamburg To mount the present attack, it has been necessary (for. Hanoi) to drop the fiction that the war is? being fought by the Viet-Cong. The offensive is an undeniable invasion across the Demilitarized Zone. NEW ZEALAND HERALD ,NOW IS THE DECISIVE TIME N short, our troops from all arms in the front line and in all the battlefields are valiantly fighting to destroy the enemy and to hold every inch of our land, and they are fighting with high morale. In the rear, our people are providing support to the Army and ore deter- mined not to let the Communists take over any land and kill people, disrupt the pacification and development program and the security which all our people and armed forces have brought back to the country since many years. Today, I earnestly call upon ? All the combatants from the Army, Navy, Air Force at the front line to continue to destroy the enemy and to secure our borders; ? All the troops, cadres, members of the Peoples Self-Defense Forces at the rear to maintain firm the territorial security, to maintain stabi- lity in the rear, to implement the laws correctly and to preserve the Community Pacification and Development endeavor. I earnestly call upon people from all walks of life, the peoples' repre- sentatives in the provincial towns to do all that con be done both spiritually and materially to further increase the support to the front. I earnestly call upon the press to praise and widely publicize the brilliant victories of our fighting men and not print false, inaccurate or exaggerated information which is detrimental to the fighting spirit in the front and the polAtisvr stability_ in the .rear. ovea i-or Keiease 1999/09R2 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved FiRrogglItegisg111,20/9.j02 : C IA-RDP79-01194A000200140001 -9 Once we win, everything remains; Once the Communists win, everything is lost. Now is the decisive time for the loss or the survival of our nation. The actual fight is the decisive fight for the loss or the survival of the people of SYN. To let the Communists occupy two provinces of Central Vietnam or two provinces of the Highlands does not mean that we only lose those provinces. It does not either mean a communist limited military victory. A communist global military victory will lead to a political solution which is totally disadvantageous to South Vietnam. Consequently, at any cost we should prevent the Communists from obtaining a military victory, we should also not let the Communists free to force us to accept any disadvantageous political solution. All our people and troops are determined to win over the Communist aggressors, and we will defeat them. I believe that they will be defeated. Excerpts from the Address of President NGUYEN VAN THIEU to all the People, the Combatants and Cadres on the situation at the Demarcation Line, April 5. 1971 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 15 1 Appr vulkorJNeffe &949,T9I0 6Cimprc93-19:i1ino.p012csokitooxic E N C , No. 55 June 20 1972 TALKING PAPER OFFICE OF POLICY AND PLANS Facts on the Current North Vietnamese Invasion 1. QUESTION: What preparations did North Viet-Nam make for the offensive which began March 30? ANSWER: The decision on the offensive and invasion was made long in advance. The NVA built roads across the DMZ and accumulated huge stocks of supplies and war material in three major areas focused on the South Viet- namese provincial capitals of Quang Tri in the north, Kontum in the Central Highlands and An Loc just north of Saigon. The war material included hundreds of T54/55 and PT76 Russian-supplied tanks and 130mm, long-range artillery pieces which are useful primarily for offensive warfare. 2. QUESTION: How did the offensive begin? ANSWER: The NVA offensive began on March 30 with intensive long- range artillery and rocket fire against South Vietnamese defensive positions south of the Demilitarized Zone followed by a massive invasion on the grounci by regular NVA troops. On April 5 the NVA opened a second front against Binh Long Province north of Saigon. They opened the third front in the Central Highlands against Kontum on April II. 3. QUESTION: Why did the NVN forces make such rapid progress during the first few days? ANSWER: Attacking forces always have a certain advantage of surprise by picking the time and plaice to fight. The NVA launched a broad frontal attack across the DMZ in blatant violation of agreements which had been largely respected since 1954. They picked a moment when unusual weather inhibited air support and resupply for ARVN forces. They utilized long- range artillery and tanks on a scale unprecedented in the Indo-China war. Despite these advantages, the NVA after the first several days had advanced only 16 kilometers. The South Viet-Nam armed forces dug in and held along the Cua Viet River, the first defensible line below the DMZ. 4. QUESTION: How many NVA troops have invaded South-Viet-Nam since the spring offensive began March 30? ANSWER: At the outset North Viet-Nam openly committed ten of its thirteen regular divisions to the invasion. Two divisions were operating in Laos. Only one unit -- infantry division 325C -- was within its own borders. Elements of this division crossed the DMZ on May 22. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 -2- 5. QUESTION: Have the SVN forces counterattacked? ANSWER: Yes, SVN Marines carried out three heliborne/amphibious/ ground operation raids behind NVA lines in Quang Tri Province on May 13 and 24 and on June 8. ARVN troops recaptured Firebase Bastogne and re- occupied high ground west of Hue. In fact, every front has seen local counter- attacks which have forced the enemy to halt, regroup, and fall back. SVN Air Force planes and naval ships have also struck at the enemy in every theater. 6. QUESTION; What is the record of the ARVN as a fighting force? ANSWER: The most eloquent testimony for the ARVN is its record. After a maximum effort over a period of two months by ten regular NVA divisions supported by independent regiments, Viet Cong units and other elements, the NVA has not taken any one of its major objectives, which POW's revealed to be An Loc, Konturn, and Hue. As with any army anywhere in the world the record of individual ARVN units varies. The Third Division and the 22nd Division, which absorbed the brunt of the NVA invasion across the demilitarized zone and in Konturn, are being reconstituted. On the other hand, soldiers and elements of the 5th and 18th Divisions with airborne and ranger units in An Loc have held longer under siege than the French did at Dien Bien Phu. 7. QUESTION: How have the South Vietnamese territorial forces measured up in conventional warfare? ANSWER: South Vietnamese territorial forces, known as the RF and PF--for regional forces and popular (local) forces--were trained to protect their homes and villages against Viet Cong guerrilla attacks. Yet, according to American advisers, they are standing up against NVA regular forces even when outnumbered. They are highly motivated--as one would expect since they are defending their own homes--and have a thorough knowledge of the terrain in which they operate. They are often the first to make contact with enemy units. Their job is to hold the ground until regular army units come to their support. In some instances these units have outmaneuvered, out- fought, and even driven off their NVA attackers before help arrived from regular ARVN forces. 8. QUESTION: What are the comparative losses of military personnel on both sides? Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 - 3 - ANSWER: Official GVN figures show enemy forces as having lost 33,000 killed in action during April and May compared with 12, 000 friendly forces MA. The GVN figures also showed 34,000 ARVN and territorial forces wounded and 15,000 missing in action during the same period. 9. QUESTION: How many NVA soldiers has South Viet-Nam been holding as POW's, and how many have been captured during the current offensive? ANSWER: On March 30, 1972, when the North Vietnamese offensive began South Viet-Nam was holding about 9,000 North Vietnamese soldiers as POW's. As of June 15, more than 250 additional NVA soldiers had been captured. This figure does not include NVA and VC soldiers who have rallied to the side of the GVN (Hoi Chanh). 10. QUESTION: How many South Vietnamese citizens have fled south- ward from Quang Tri and other areas of SVN entered by NVA troops or occupied by Viet Cong forces? ANSWER: As of June 15 there were estimated to be 808,100 war refugees in South Viet-Nam. More than half a million--509,100--fled southward from Quang Tri and other areas of Military Region I, to escape the invading NVN army and the fighting. Another 169,400 fled the invaders in western SVN to coastal areas of MR II in central Viet-Nam. In MR III, where An Loc is located 82,700 persons left their homes to evade the North Vietnamese; and in MR IV, the Delta region, 46,900 persons chose to leave home rather than come under communist control. Of the total, 691,200 are being housed in refugee camps. The rest are living with friends and relatives until they can return home. 11. QUESTION: How is South Viet-Nam financing the cost of caring for the war tefugees? ANSWER: The GVN as an emergency measure has increased taxes on luxury items such as cigarettes, beer, imported liquor, restaurant meals and theater admissions for the specific purpose of providing funds for refugee relief. A portion of the costs is financed through the sale of donated American produce on the Vietnamese market, i. e. --counterpart funds. However, numerous Vietnamese volunteer agencies such as Buddhist associations, the Cao Dai Church, Catholic relief associations, businessmen, boy scouts, local Red Cross chapters, etc. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 - 4 - have made an all-out effort to raise funds and supplies to care for the refugees. University and high school students have plunged themselves into relief work. Thousands have opened their homes to the homeless. In addition, substantial contributions in food, medicines and cash have come from Australia, Canada, Taiwan, West Germany, New Zealand, Great Britain and the Republic of Korea. 12. QUESTION: How has the invasion affected the GVNT s pacification program? ANSWER: Pacification is judged by the attitudes of people and their confidence in the GVN to provide security in their daily lives. The degree of apprehension among the Vietnamese rural and urban population is directly proportional to the proximity of combat. Where there is no serious combat, apprehension and damage to pacification is slight. The example of Hue following the fall of Quang Tri is illustrative. The loss of Quang Tri to the communists and the massive influx of refugees caused near panic among the citizens of Hue. Yet as soon as the newly appointed commanding general of Military Region I demonstrated his ability to restore order and protect the city, panic subsided, people returned to their normal lives, and many who had fled the city returned to their homes. 13. QUESTION: What has been the record of VC terrorist incidents in 1972 compared with previous years? ANSWER: With extensive fighting going on it is difficult to sort out the purely terrorist type incident from military combat, but a record on abductions is a good index. In "normal" years there has been an average of 6,000 abductions. In 1968, the year of the TET offensive, the figure was over 10,000. During the first five month's of 1972 there were 6,000, an annual rate even higher than 1968. People abducted may be used for work details, forced to fight for the communists, moved into areas the communists control, or they may be held for several days, given an intensive communist indoctrination, and then released to carry out propaganda activities in their villages or suffer reprisals if they fail to comply. 14. QUESTION: What is the actual population of areas of SVN that have fallen under NVA communist control since March 30? What percentage of this is of SVN's communities? Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 - 5 - ANSWER: Before March 30 the communists controlled only seven hamlets with fewer than 20,000 South Vietnamese citizens. Since the NVN invasion and as of May 31, an additional 1,157 hamlets with 575,000 people had come under their control. This is approximately 3 per cent of the total SVN population. The communists now control 1,164 hamlets out of 12,032, or 9. 7 per cent of the total number of hamlets. Only 14 out of 272 districts have been entirely occupied by the NVN. There are large unpopulated areas along the western fringes of the country under no one's control. 15. QUESTION: How valid are the communist claims to having established "revolutionary governments" in the conquered areas? ANSWER: Communist broadcasts have claimed the establishment of "revolutionary administrations" in several districts and a number of villages. Only in Quang Tri, immediately adjacent to North Viet-Nam, do they claim a province level "revolutionary committee" is functioning. The names of its leaders have not been announced. It is interesting to note that in contrast to the South Vietnamese government,which passed out guns to the populace for self defense,one of the first acts of the communists is to pick up all firearms from the people. 16. QUESTION: How have the North Vietnamese treated the SVN population in areas which have come under their control? ANSWER: Qua.ng Tri is the only province to come under NVA control. Some 250,000 of the Province's 320,000 people moved southward to escape the invading army, leaving only 70,000 who remained voluntarily or were trapped by the NVA. Since the communists took over on May 1, several thousands more have escaped on foot or with the help of SVN marines who made daring sorties into the areas. In interviews with newsmen some of these escapees say the communists have impressed every able-bodied individual into forced labor battalions to harvest rice, dig weapons caches and build bunkers for the NVA. The penalty for trying to escape, if caught, is death. The escapees also say individuals are compelled to wear different color identity tags indicating whether they are pro-communist, neutral, or pro-GVN. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 6 17. QUESTION: What steps did the United States take to assist South Viet-Nam in countering the North Vietnamese invasion'? ANSWER: The United States Government immediately denounced the invasion and ordered U.S. naval and air reinforcements to support its South Vietnamese allies, promising to consider all options short of reintroducing American ground troops or use of nuclear weapons. On April 16 U.S. aircraft raided military supply depots in Hanoi-Haiphong area. On May 8 President Nixon announced his decision to interdict supplies to the DRV--that is, to mine all entrances to North Vietnamese ports to shut off supply channels by sea, and to use air power to halt over- land deliveries from other countries needed by Hanoi to keep its offensive going. 18. QUESTION: Have the U.S. actions hurt Hanoi's military efforts? ANSWER: Yes, Nhan Dan, Hanoi's official communist party news- paper, tacitly admits serious damage to North Viet-Nam's transportation and communications system and to her industrial production capacity in a three-part series of articles published June 1, 3 and 5. The articles, signed by Hong Ha--a pen name meaning Red River--discussed the DRV's tasks under wartime economy. They urged the North Vietnamese people to accept ever greater sacrifices and exert ever greater efforts to prosecute the war in the South. On June 8, one month after the mining of seven North Vietnamese ports, Vice Admiral William P. Mack--who directed the mining operation--said the blockade has cut the communist war-making capabilities radically. He cited the following as evidence: anti-aircraft fire, surface-to-air missile launchings and short battery fire--all intense during the first month of the interdiction campaign--dropped off markedly in May. There is reduced highway traffic throughout the country. On the same day Lt. General George Eade, Air Force Deputy Chief of Staff for Plans and Operations, told newsmen: The interdiction campaign has virtually isolated Hanoi from outside sources of supply and continues to destroy stockpiles of fuel and war material already in the country. North Viet-Nam imported about two million short tons of war material in 1971. Since May 11 it has received practically nothing. Railway shipments from China are almost completely stopped as a result of the destruction of bridges and the sealing of a railway tunnel near the Chinese border. U.S. pilots report some truck traffic from China, but nothing close to the magnitude of the previous rail shipments. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 -7- 19. QUESTION: When will the effect of the mining be felt by the NVA offensive action in South Viet-Narn? ANSWER: The immediate results are most apparent in the tie-up of NVN supply lines; but the combined effects of the mining and air strikes on the offensive are already being felt in the South, particularly in fuel supplies for NVA tanks and trucks used in logistic support for the invading forces. Monsoon rains also play a role in slowing down the offensive. The continued NVA artillery fire against cities like An Loc and Kontum (which has been slowly declining) shows that the NVA had laid in a massive supply of ammunition in preparation for the invasion. It may be some weeks yet before the full effect is felt by NVN's invading forces. 20. QUESTION: Did President Nixon offer on May 8 to withdraw remaining U.S. troops from Viet-Nam, and, if so, under what conditions? ANSWER: On May 8 President Nixon said the United States"will proceed with a complete withdrawal of all American forces from Viet-Nam within four months" on these conditions: "First, all American prisoners of war must be returned. Second, there must be an internationally supervised ceasefire throughout Indochina. Once prisoners of war are released, once the internationally supervised ceasefire has begun, we will stop all acts of force throughout Indochina." 21. QUESTION: How many American military personnel are left in South Viet-Nam? ANSWER: As of June 8, 1972, there were 61,900 U.S. military personnel in SVN. There were another 42,000 naval personnel manning ships offshore. The President has stated that Arnerican troop strength in SVN will be reduced to 49,000 by July 1, that is, 500,000 less than the ceiling established for U.S. forces in Viet-Nam in 1968. 22. QUESTION: Did the Peking and Moscow Summit talks between the U.S. and the PRC and the U.S. and USSR make any contributions toward resolving the Viet-Nam conflict? If so, what were they? Were there any secret agreements concerning Viet-Nam? ANSWER: First, there were no secret agreements concerning Viet-Nam at either Peking or Moscow. In each of the two summit meetings there were extensive conversations concerning the Viet-Nam conflict. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 The views of both sides are summarized in the final communiques. Perhaps the most significant contribution of the talks toward the resolution of the conflict was in clarifying each power's viewpoints. As Presidential adviser Dr. Henry Kissinger said in a Kiev press conference: "When two great powers deal with each other, one of the best things they can do for each other is to make absolutely sure that they understand each other's point of view. What actions they then take, based on the under- standing of that point of view, only the future can tell:' In his address to the Congress of the United States immediately upon his return from Moscow June 1, President Nixon said: "I emphasize to you once again, this Administration has no higher goal--a goal that I know all of you share-- than bringing the Viet-Nam war to an early and honorable end. We are ending the war in Viet-Nam, but we shall end it in a way which will not betray our friends, risk the lives of the courageous Americans still serving in Viet-Nam, break faith with those held prisoners by the enemy, or stain the honor of the United States of America." Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 25X1C10b Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 24 July 1972 MOSCOW'S LATEST TREATIES Just as Egypt has always been the key factor in Soviet strategy aimed at a permanent presence if not domination of the Mediterranean, so now India and Iraq appear to be emerging as two key factors in Soviet designs on the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf. Since May 1971, the USSR has signed "treaties of friendship and cooperation" with all three and, while the provisions in each are different, each to some extent guarantees the Soviets the kind of presence they are after. On the other hand, without the exercise of a considerable degree of diplomatic flexibility and subtlety (traits for which Soviet diplomacy is not famous), the treaties could turn out to be disruptive factars in Moscow's relations with the signatories as well as with their neighbors. Why's of the Treaties * * * * * * * * The new treaties are the first that Moscow has signed with countries that are neither neighbors of the USSR nor Communist. She has had treaties of "friendship and good-neighbor relations" with Iran, Afghanistan, and Turkey off and on since 1921. And with the Warsaw Pact countries and with Finland she maintains and consistently renews treaties of "friendship, cooperation, and mutual assistance" --- all of which bind the signatories to the canons of the Brezhnev Doctrine, There are those who see the latest treaties signed with Egypt, Iraq and India as a calculated move to extend the umbrella of the Brezhnev Doctrine into the Middle East and onto the subcontinent and into Southeast Asia. It is apparent that with the Egyptian and Indian treaties, Moscow was the instigator while it is suspected that Iraq asked for her treaty. The Soviet approach to India is seen as reflecting Moscow's concerns with the Sino-Soviet border disputes and the politburo's eagerness to get Indian political support for its dealings with China. India, on the other hand, viewed the treaty as a means of discouraging Soviet aid to Pakistan (to say nothing of guaranteeing military support for India) should the Indo-Pakistani crisis heat up --- as indeed it did. In Egypt, Moscow pressed for a friendship treaty because of fears that, following Nasser's death, Sadat might well drift a bit from the "anti-imperialist direction" in his approach to foreign policy. Sadat, on the other hand, wanted concrete evidence of Moscow's intentions to continue its military and economic maintenance program and its diplomatic support of Egypt in the Arab-Israeli crisis. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 As for Iraq, she may well have looked to a treaty of mutual support with the Soviet Union as a means of enhancing her reputation among the radical Arabs, enhancing the regime's status at home, getting more Soviet military goods and help with her oil industry, and finally as a useful political lever in the troubled Iraqi- Iranian relations. Thus, with Iraq viewing herself as possibly having the most to gain, in the short run anyway, the Soviets were able to set several preconditions such as guaranteed access to Iraqi ports and airfields, broader Communist participation in running the government, and a commitment to consult with Mbscow before launching any military undertakings. Differences of the Treaties Soviet President Podgorny has said that the three treaties "represent a new, practical embodiment of the strengthening link and expanding interaction of world socialism with the forces of national liberation." Not quite so. A review of the published texts of the three treaties showsmarked differences in approach. The Indo-Soviet treaty, for example, makes no mention of Soviet military aid to India while Article 8 of the Soviet-Egyptian treaty says that both parties "will continue to develop cooperation in the military field on the basis of appropriate agreements . . ." In contrast, Article 9 of the Soviet-Iraqi treaty says that both "will continue to develop cooperation in the strengthening of their defense capabilities": clear implication that the Soviet Union gets access to military installations on Iraqi soil. With Egypt and Iraq, it is a matter of coordinating foreign policy approaches, while with India it is a matter of "mutual cooperation." Lip service is given to India's "nonalignment" whereas Soviet influence in Egyptian and Iraqi internal affairs is implied by their cooperation with the Soviet Union to preserve their "socio- economic gains." Whereas no mention is made of Indian or Egyptian natural resources, Article 5 of the Iraqi treaty takes note of "cooperation.. .in the working of oil and other natural resources." The treaty fails, however, to commit the Soviet Union to anything specific in its economic "cooperation" with Iraq. Reactions to the Treaties The Soviet-Iraqi treaty has not done much to enhance the latter's reputation with some radical Arabs. Libya's former chief of state Qadhafi not only vociferously denounced the Soviet-Iraqi treaty as anti-Islam treachery, he also withdrew his ambassador from Baghdad. Following the treaty announcement, Syria has become noticeably cool to both Iraq and the Soviet Union and is reportedly actively trying to reduce the Soviet military presence in Syria. 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Despite Soviet attempts to reassure the Shah of Iran that the Soviet-Iraqi treaty cannot become a disruptive element in Soviet- Iranian relations, the Iranian head of state remains wary. His misgivings will be borne out if he sees the Iraqis getting sophisticated, more modern weaponry and if Soviet naval squadrons start berthing at the head of the Persian Gulf. From Moscow's standpoint, Libyan and Syrian coolness are tolerable and probably interpreted as a passing phase. Soviet-Iranian relations, however, are much more precariouSly balanced and Tehran's reactions to closer Soviet-Iraqi ties could well be a long-term worry for Moscow. As a result of the Indo-Pakistani war, India has emerged as the unchallenged leader of the subcontinent. Some of India's neighbors see the Indo-Soviet treaty as signalling Soviet take- over of the subcontinent by proxy. But, if the Soviets in their haste to spread their own influence, fail to give India the voice she feels she deserves --- India's sense of goodwill towards Moscow could easily reverse itself. For example, if India finds that the Soviets are meddling in internal affairs in Bangladesh --- as they were known to have done during recent student disturbances in Dacca --- such meddling is open to interpretation as, at the very least, a violation of the spirit if not the terms of the Indo-Soviet treaty. The Soviet quest for naval bases for its Indian Ocean fleet as well as the expected increase in the Soviet naval presence in that ocean, near Indian shores, will irritate Indian sensitivities over potential outside interference. In time, India may well decide that as the undisputed power on the subcontinent, she is secure enough not to have to depend on such intimate bilateral relations as are implicit in the lado-Soviet treaty. The Soviet-Egyptian treaty cannot but have raised hopes in Cairo that the USSR would somehow break the deadlock with Israel and Soviet failure to do so cannot help but foster Egyptian resentment against the USSR. Persistent criticism of the USSR by some Egyptian officials and outspoken journalists in recent months have been indicative of increasing Soviet-Egyptian dis- agreements which, from Moscow's point of view could suggest that the treaty is actually- fostering a deterioration in Soviet- Egyptian relations. In the long run, for the Soviets this treaty may well be diplomatically the most troublesome of the three. Whatever misgivings some in the Soviet leadership may have concerning the long-range benefits to be derived from these three treaties, there is every indication that the majority views them as highly useful for two very basic Soviet foreign policy aims: to maintain a great power role in the Mediterranean and to establish 7 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 the Soviet in the same type of role in the Indian Ocean. Thus, the Soviet search for additional durable ties with strategically important countries in both areas will intensify rather than diminish, With each willing candidate that the Soviets approach and/or possibly win over (such as Malta, Bangladesh, the People's Democratic Republic of Yemen, Ceylon, or others) the real question will be how to ensure that the Soviet presence takes forms that are tolerable to the security of all. 4 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A00020014000,149, U-' Y RGHT CPYRGHT BASLER NACIIRICHTEN, Basel 17 May 1972 Damaskus gegen einen Pakt mit Moskau Spielt Syrien the chin esische Karte? Der sowjetische Vcrteidigungsminister Marschall Gretschk6 beendete seinen im ganzen Nahen Osten mit grosser Aufmerksamkeit beobachteten gen offiziellen Besueh in Syrien und flog von Damaskus welter nach Kairo. Pie Befiirchtung, nach Aegypten und Irak werde such die syrische Regierung einen langjahrigen Freundschafts- und Bcistandspakt mit der Sowjetunion schliessen, hat sich jedoch nicht bestatigt. Von unserern Korrespondenten auch den amerikanischen Prasi- denten Nixon bci seinen bevorste- Gretschko hatte mrnrend seine Aufenthaltes in Damaskus nahezt pausenlos mit Staatsprasident Gene. ral Asad, dem syrischen Premiermini- ster, Aussenminister unci Verteldi- gungsminister konferiert. Er konnte seine Gesprachspartner jedoch offen- kundig nicht davon Oberzeugen, ciass em n Vertrag nach dem Muster der .Abkommen mit Agypten und Irak im Interesse des Gastlandes lie- ge. Weder aus amtlichen noch aus den inoffiziellen Angaben nach der Abreisc des sowjetischen Gastes gcht hervor, dass sich das syrisch-sowjeti- sche Verhaltnis in nachster Zukunft intensiviercn wird. Beiruter Sowjet- kreise zeigten am Sonntag denn auch dcutliche Enttaischung Ober Verlauf und Ergebnis der Gretschko-Mission in dem Nachbarland. Wahrend der Anwesenbeit :des Moskauer Verteidigungsministth iin . Damaskus war aus Ostblockquellen in der nahostlichen Nachrichtenborse . Beirut durehgesickert, der Kreml:b6- trachte den Abschluss eines PalC.'ts mit Syrien als vorlaufigen ? SchluBstein seiner vorderorientali- schen EinfluBsphare. In Moskau schcint man damit gerechnct zu ha- beb, gestiltzt auf gesiehcrte' langfri- stip Positionen in den drei wiehtig- sten arabischen Hauptstlidten Bagdad und Damaskus nicht nur eine ?Pax sovietica) diktieren, son- nencten uesprecnungen mit bre- schnew, Kossygin und Podgorny mit einem zum kommunistischen Em- fIuLccth gcIze,det Nahon Osten konfrontiercn zu kortnen. Der Widerstand des Prlisidenten Asad und seiner Regicrung verdarb den Rtissen zunachst dieses Konzept. Uebereinstimmend erzielt wurden nach syrischen Quellen die schon wiihrend des geheimgehaltenen Beauches von Generalstabschef Ge- ne* Chakkur grundsitzlich verein- baften neuen Waffenlieferungen. Sy- tier" wird demzufolge urtter anderem Sm3-Raketen erhalten und durch weitere moderne Sowjetwaffen sein .Sfeherheitsbedtirfnis gegen den nur rund 40 Kilometer vor seiner Haupt-. stadt stehenden israelischen Gegner besSer als bisher stillen konnen. Es kOnnte sich jedoch erfolgreich gegen cinen politischen Preis ftir diese wehren. Staatschef Asad hat ftir diese Zu- rilekhaltung irn Urngang mit den Sowjets vor allem zwoi Grtinde: Die Ruissen sind in Syrien womoglich noch weniger popullir als in Aegyp- ten. Alles, was mit den sowjebischen Rtistungslieferungen zu tun hat, wird daher hierzulande soit langem iiusserst geheim gehalten. Selbst hohe Regierungsbeamte, deren politisehe Zuverlassigkeit ausser Zweifel stcht, mtissen sich auf abentetierlichen Urn- wegen .aus der westeuroptiischen? Presse Ober den Umfang der roten Waf fenhilfe informicren. Spricht man amtoene vertreter der syrIschen Regie'rung auf die Sowjethilie an, bekommt man zur Antwort, das ,d LaL ,cgeiubr don Igr-cli ein wesentliob grosseres Sicherheits- ,bedilrfnis als andere arabische Swa- ttcn, habe aber gegenwiirtig keine anderen potentiellen Waffenlieferan- 'en. Zweitens ist Damaskus von sei- nen Verbtindeten Aegypten und Li- hyen in der ?(Fiicleration Arabischer Republiken? (FAR) offcnbar ein be- sonderer Part zugcdacht. Das Land soil eine wichtige Rolle bci der In- stallicrimg eincr net= Art ?Schau- kelpolitilo> zwischen zwei ausserara- bischen Wehten spielen. Wiihrcncr Aegypten gezwungen ist, ganz auf die sowjetische Karte zu setzcn, spielt Syrien den chinesischen Trumpf. Das zcigte sich deutlich in der Behandlung des Gretschko-Besu- ches durch die gelenkte Damaszener Presse. Sie berichtcte verhaltnismiis- sig zurtickhaltend Ober die Gesprii- che des Moskauer Castes, wiihremi seiner Anwesenheit aber erstaunlich detailliert tiber die bevorstehende Reise des Damaszener Aussenmini- sters nach Peking. Die Sowjets verhehlten in Gesprii- chen mit westlichen Bcobachtern am Wochenende nicht ihre Enttiiuschung Ober dicscs (cDoppelspiel Syriensa. , Die Araber erwiesen sich, so filgten Ostblockdiplomaten hinztt, immer ' molls als gsohwierige Verbilndete*. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : GIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 BASLER NACHRICHTEN, Basel 17 May 1972 IS SYRIA PLAYING THE CHINESE TRUMP CARD? Soviet Defense Minister Marshal urecnico endea his four-day official visit to Syria, a visit which was followed with great attention through- out the Near East, and flew from Damascus to Cairo. The fear that the Syrian government, following Egypt and Irak, would also conclude a long term frienship and support pact with the Soviet Union, proved un- justified, however. During his stay in Damascus, Grechko conferred almost uninterruptedly with State President General Asad, the Syrian Prime Minister, Foreign Minister and Defense Minister. But evidently he was unable to convince these officials that a treaty modelled on the agreements with Egypt and Irak would be in the interests of their country. Nothing in official or unofficial statements following the departure of the Soviet guest indicates an intensification of Syrian-Soviet relations in the near future. Soviet circles in Beirut showed on Sunday that they too were plainly disillusioned with the way the Grechko mission in the neighboring country went and with its outcome. While the Soviet Defense Minister was in Damascus, the news seeped through in Beirut from East bloc sources that the Kremlin regarded conclusion of a pact with Syria as the final move, for the time being, in its Near Eastern sphere of influence. With its long term positions assured in the three vital Arab capitals of Cairo, Bagdad and Damascus, Moscow seemed to count not only on dictating a pax Sovie- tica, but also on confronting President Nixon during his forthcoming discussions with Brezhnev, Kosygin and Podgorny with a Near East belonging tothe Communist sphere of influence. As of now, the resistance of President Asad and his govern- ment has spoiled the Russian plan. According to Syrian sources, Final agreement was reached on the new weapons deliveries that had already been agreed upon in principle during the secret visit of General Staff Chief General Chakkur. Under its terms Syria will receive, among other things, SAM 3 rockets, and thanks to additional modern Soviet weapons wi11 be able to meet its security requirements against the Israeli opponent. That opponent is only about 40 kilometers away from the Syrian capital. And yet Syria successfully avoided paying a political price for that assistance. Chief of State Asad had two reasons in particular for his reserve in dealing with the Soviets: if anything, the Russians are even less popular in Syria than in Egypt. Everything having to do with Soviet arms deliveries has therefore been kept very secret in this country for a long time. Even high government officials, whose political reliability is above doubt, must resort to elaborate roundabout ways to learn from the Western press about the extent of Red arms aid. When Syrian government officials are asked about this Soviet aid, they reply that their country has considerably higher security requirements vis-a-vis Israel than other Arab states, and yet has no other potential source of weapons supply at present. Secondly, Damascus is evidently assigned a - special role by its allies Egypt and Libya in the Federation of Arab Republics. Approved For Release 1999/09/022: CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 CPYRGHT Ampteavpdf gicAcAusGt lAWQR/caliociArR 9A3-191.Q1 OMAN (PM 41%1914 "seesaws' policy started between two non-Arab powers. While Egypt is forced to play everything on the Soviet card, Syria plays the Chinese trump. This was clearly seen in the way the controlled Damascus press handled the Grechko vi- sit. The Moscow visitor's talks were reported with comparative restraint, but during his visit the press gave amazingly detailed coverage to the forthcoming trip of the Syrian foreign minister to Peking. On the weekend, Soviets conversing with Western observers made no secret of their disappointment over Syria's "double game." East bloc diplomats added that the Arabs are proving to be increasingly "difficult allies." DER BUND, Bern 17 May 1972 Approv Kommunisten in der Bagdader Regieru Moskau verlangt seinen Preis fiir den sowjetisch-lrakIsehen Paki 110 A. Beirut. Zwei KoritnNisten, die, Zen- tralkomitce- und Politbilro-Mitglieder Abdullah El-Amir und Makram El-Tala- bani, sind seit Anfang dieser Woche Mit- glieder der am Sonntag ilberraschend urn- gebildeten Regierung de Militardiktators t General Achmed Hassan El-Bakr in Irak. Das Paradoxe darin ist, class die irakische Kommunistische Partei offiziell noch im- suer verboten ist und Hunderte ihrer Mit- glieder hingerichtet wurden oder ohne orderitlichen Prozess in den Zuchthausern ?v?-ttecken. ,k Die Ernennung zweier KP-Politiker zu Ministern ohne Geschaftsbereich ist die , Erffillung einer Klausel des auf 15 Jahre befristeten Freundschafts- und Beistands- paktes, den Staatsprasident El-Bakr und Ministerprasident Kossygin im April in Bagdad unterzeichnet hatten. In dieser Klauscl verpflichtete sich die irakische Regierung, die Verfolgung der Kommuni- sten zu beenden und ihnen eine politische Willensbildung im Rahrnen der regieren- den Partei ?Baaths zu gewahrleisten. Der Umstand, dass bisher weder das formelle , Parteiverbot aufgehoben wurde, noch die inhaftierten Parteimitglieder aus ihrer teilweise jahrelangcn Haft entlassen wur- : den, lasst jedoch darauf schliessen, dass das irakische Militarregime die Betati- gungsmoglichkeit fiir die Kommunisten in engen Grenzen zu halten bestrebt ist. Die beiden kommunistischen Minister ha'ben denn such nicht viel mchr als Alibi- funktion. In Bagdad sind namlich such die Kabinettsmitglieder nur Erftillungsge- hilfen der obersten Fiihrung. El-Amir und qTalabani haben zudern nicht ,einmal em Kabinettsressort. Bagdader politische Kreise bezeichnen sic denn auch als gstaatlich bezahlte Politpensionare?. Keine Sowjetunterstiitzung fur die Kurden mehr Das Kabinettsrevirement, das den bei- ed re rReVatre 1999/09/1,2pc-C I A- ora ionspos en verha , ist der ira -Belie ? 3 Teil eines politischen Geschaftes mit der Sowjetunion, bei dem die Vorteile ein- deutig auf seiten Bagdads liegen. Der Kreml hat sich laut Beiruter Gewahrs- , leuten auf exilirakischer und kurdischcr Seite verpflichtet, die kurdischen Auto- . nomiebestrebungen im Norden Iraks kiinf- tig nicht mehr zu unterstutzen. Die Kur- den kiimpfen seit iiber 50 Jahren fur ei- nen unabhangigen Staat oder doch fur die politische und wirtschaftliche Autonomic innerhalb des arabischen Iraks. Thr An- , Mirror ist der heute liber 70jahrige Ge- neral Mustafa Mulla El-Barzani, der ? ohne Kommunist zu sein ? in Moskau aus- , gebildet wurde und nach dem Zweiten Weltkrieg Oberhaupt einer kurzlebigen Kurdcnrepublik im aserbeidschanisch-per- sischen Grenzgebiet unter dem Protekto- rat Stalins war. Die Kurden lieferten der irakischen Regierung zehn Jahre lang blutige Kampfe, und erst Militardiktator El-Bakr machte diesem kraftezehrenden Ringen scheinbar em n Ende. Er gewahrte den Kurden Autonomierechte und er- nannte El-Barzani zu seinem Vizeprasi- denten. Das kurdische Misstrauen blieb jedoch so gross, dass sich der Kurden- fiihrer weigerte, nach Bagdad zu gehen und scin Amt anzutreten. Er blieb lieber in seinem Hauptquartier Hadsch Umran im unzuganglichen gebirgigen Norden des Landes. In letzter Zeit kam es spora- disch zu neuen Gefechten zwischen iraki- schen Regierungstruppen und kurdischen yartisanen. ? , ? , El-Barzani hatte den sowjetischen Mini- sterprasident wiihrend (lessen Aufenthal- tes in Irak zu einem Gesprach in sein 1-1a.uptquartier eingefaden. Kossygin igno- rierte jedoch die Offerte und verpflichtete sich gegenilber den arabischen Gastge- bern, die Unterstiltzung der Kurden ein-' zustellen. Seitdem preist Radio Moskau den antiimperialistischen Freiheitskampf des kurdischen Volkes fiir seine legitimen RDP7944194A0 002001 4000 ten auch keine sowjetischen Waffen mehr 1-9 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A0002001400015CPYRGHTv DER BUND, Bern 17 May 1972 COMMUNISTS IN THE BAGDAD GOVERNMENT As of the beginning of this week, two communists, members of the Central Committee and of the Politburo, Abdullah El-Amir and Makram El- Talabani, have become members of military dictator General Achmed Hassan El-Bakr's Iraqi government, which was restructured unexpectedly on Sunday. The paradoxical element in this situation is that the Iraqi Communist Party is still officially banned, and hundreds of its members have been executed or jailed without due process. The appointment of two communist party politicians as ministers without portfolio is the fulfillment of a stipulation in the friendship and assistance treaty, limited to 15 years and signed in April by the President of the Republic, El Bakr and Premier Kossygin in Bagdad. The Iraqi government committed itself in this clause to cease persecuting the communists and to guarantee them influence ,in the determination of policy within the framework of the ruling Baath Party. The fact that the formal ban of the communist party has not been repealed as yet, and that arrested party members have not been set free from their, in some cases year-long, imprisonment, raises the thought that the Iraqi military regime is trying to keep the possibility for action by the communists within narrow limits. Therefore the purpose of the two communist ministers is not much more than a mere excuse. In Bagdad, even Cabinet members are only assistants executing orders of the highest leaders, and El-Amir and El- Talabami do not even have an area of responsibility. Political circles in Bagdad therefore call them "politicial pensioners paid by the state." No More Soviet Support for the Kurds The restructuring of the cabinet which helped the two communists. obtain decorative positions without influence, is the Iraqi portion of a political deal with the Soviet Union, in which the advantages lie clearly with :Bagdad. According to reliable sources, exiled Iraqi and Kurds in Beirut, the Kremlin has committed itself to cease supporting the efforts of the Kurds in the north of Iraq for autonomy. The Kurds have been fight- ing for more than 50 years, for the establishment of an independent state, or, at least for political and economic autonomy within Arabian Iraq. The now 70-year-old General Mustafa Mulls. El-Barzani is their leader; he was trained in Moscow without having been a communist, and after World War II he was head of a short-lived republic of Kurds under the protectorate of ,Stalin, in the Azerbaidjani-Iranian borderland. For ten years the Kurds fought bloody battles with the Iraqi government, and only the military dictator EI-Bakr has seemingly put an end to this energy-consuming struggle. He granted autonomous rights to the Kurds and appointed El-Barzani as his vice president. However, the Kurds remained so suspicious, that the leader of the Kurds refused to travel to Bagdad to take up his office. He preferred to remain in his headquarters, Hadi UMran, in the inaccessable mountainous Approved For Release 1999/09/02 f4CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 cp),401r_Fived For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 north of the country. Lately, new fights between Iraqi government troops and Kurd partisans have flared up sporadically. El-Barzani invited the Soviet Premier for talks at his headquarters, while the latter stayed in Iraq. Kossygin, however, ignored this offer and committed himself vis-a-vis his Arabian hosts, to cease supporting the Kurds. Since then, Radio Moscow no longer praises the anti-imperialistic struggle for freedom of the Kurdish people to obtain their legitimate rights, and the Kurds no longer receive Soviet weapons. GUARDIAN/LE MONDE WEEKLY 15 April 1972 Moscow: still busy making friends CPYRGHT Alexei Kosygin's visit to Bagdad last week ? the first ever by a Soviet Premier to Iraq ? marks an astonishing improve- ment in relations between the two coun- tries after a long period in the shadows. The greater degree of cooperation be- tween the two nations initiated during the February visit to Moscow of Iraqi "strong- man" and deputy chairman of the Council of the Revolution Saddam Hussein, was; consolidated last Sunday with the signing of a treaty of friendship and co-- operation. There can be no doubt that this pact represents another success for the Soviet Union in its bid to strengthen its influence in the Mediterranean and the Persian Gulf. . The treaty is also an indication that the Kremlin, set .on its guard by anti-Com- munist repression in Khartum and Cairo's momentary flirtation with Wash- ington, wants to increase and diversify its alliances in the Arab World. The text of the Bagdad agreement is virtually identical to that signed between the USSR and Egypt on May 27, 1971, except that this earlier pact spelled out greater involvement by the two signa- tories in the Middle East conflict, in the military sphere, and in constructing and defending Egyptian Socialism. But if the Egyptian-Soviet pact falls squarely into the frame_work of the Arab- Israeli conflict, the agreement with Iraq testifies to Moscow's concern with assur- ing its presence in the Persian Gulf, which harbours the world's largest oil reserves. In a transparent attempt to upstage China in this region and rival the United States, which is well established in Turkey end Saudi Arabia, the USSR already main- tains diplomatic relations with the United Arab Emirates. It was unable to do as-much with Qatar and Bahrein, but it does have a port of call in Aden for its warships from the Indian Ocean, while its fishing vessels sail at will through the Gulf, thanks to agree- ments with Iraq and the People's Demo- cratic Republic of South Yemen. Some of these vessels on "special missions" have been sighted regularly at the entry to the Persian Gulf and the Red.Sea. As part of its design to secure its position in the region, the USSR, while maintaining good relations with Tehran, seeks at state level to exercise a tri- partite mediation mission ? along with Damascus and Bagdad, whose own rela- tions have improved ? between Kurds and Arabs to maintain peace in Kurdistan. And finally to eliminate differences be- tween the Beath and Communist parties so as to pave the way to a "national front" in Iraq. Success of such a policy would be cer- tain to strengthen the hand of the "pro- gressive" Arab oil producers in their dealings with Western petroleum inter- ests ? particularly the Americans. The treaty just signed in Bagdad also repre- sents an important card in the Soviet hand only weeks before the Nixon- Brezhnev summit in Moscow. Paradoxi- cally, evert though Saddam Hussein is soon to visit Paris. Europe, which is the main user of Iraqi crude oil as well as the petroleum products of the Persian Gulf, remains a virtual spectator in a part of the world that is vital to its Interests. CBRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR 11 April 1972 CPYRGHT Soviet gains in Persian Gulf . Soviet Premier Alexei Kosygin's visit to Iraq and the signing of a 15-year Soviet- Iraqi friendship treaty have manifold meanings, but the most immediately sig- nificant are these: The Russians have gained an important toehold in the Middle East oil industry, and they have greatly strengthened their position in the Persian Gulf. Mr. Kosygin's visit was timed to co- incide with the formal inauguration of the Soviet-financed North Rumeila oil field, and is now owned by the Iraq National Oil CoMpany. Not only the Russians but other East European countries will pre- sumably be major purchasers of crude oil from Rumeila. As Soviet tankers ply the gulf, Soviet warships are likely to be frequent visitors to Iraqi ports. The treaty with Iraq is similar to those that the Soviet Union concluded last year with Egypt and India. Both sides under- take not to join alliances without consult- ing the other, nor to allow bases hostile - to the other to be established on their endWait, CORN ciAttgra#4**Acierigitib CPYRGHT AO* Otectif Fot ROVISV19/139IO2: ably vague, but undoubtedly it means more Soviet arms aid for Iraq. The Persian Gulf states in general and Iran in particular may feel considerable concern at Iraq's opening the door to a Russian presence in this strategic water- way. Since the withdrawal of the British military forces from the area at the end of last year, Iran has sought to fill the leadership role in the gulf. Iraq is tradi- tionally jealous of Iran, and by signing the treaty with the Soviet Union un- doubtedly hopes to enhance its own posi- tfe- rnitegtemicrootrimpuiti-9 sians have cultivated good relations with Iran in recent years and sought to re- assure the Shah as to their intentions by emphasizing that the treaty with Iraq is not directed at any other country. For the Soviet Union, the new treaty is clearly part of an overall strategic pattern of winning friends and strengthening ties around the periphery of Asia. It comes at a time when the United States once again has its attention focused on Indo-China and the war in Vietnam. CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR 11 April 1972 CPYRGHT Moves in east, south, and west Soviets push interests in Asia ;t( qtates is deeply occupied in Souincast ,;.e new North Vietnam- ese offensive, the Soviets are rapidly ad- vancing their own interests at Asia's south- ern and eastern limits. There is expectation here that the Soviet- Iraqi 15-year treaty signed in Baghdad April 10 may be followed by one with Syria. A Soviet-Turkish friendship pact, follow- ing Soviet President Nikolai Podgorny's scheduled visit to Turkey April 11 to 18, might also be brewing. If so, this would be the boldest Soviet dip- lomatic advance yet into what Washington used to call the "northern tier" states ? which United States administrations, be- ginning with that of President Truman in 1946 and 1947, sought to erect as A barrier to Soviet influence. By 1958?when the Iraqi revolution dashed the U.S. plan of an anti-Soviet Baghdad Pact including Arab states anchored on Iraq ?Moscow already had leaped over Turkey, Iran, and Pakistan, where U.S. influence was strong, and was concentrating instead ' on the Arab states of Syria and Egypt. Today, West Pakistan?after losing East Pakistan in last December's war with So- viet-backed India to the new secessionist state of Bangladesh?finds itself in direct economic and political trouble. Pakistani President Zulfikar All Bhutto faces breakaway movements in Pakistan's. Northwest Frontier and Baluchistan regions, and a rising wave of protest over India's failure to release about 90,000 Pakistani war prisoners. In Iran ? where President Nixon is due, .to stop May 30 and 31 for talks with Shah NIuhammad Reza Pahlavi after President :Nixon's Moscow visit ? Moscow has an -improving image and growing economic :investments. Possible topic !: One of the points that President Nixon :and the Shah might discuss is the real mean- ng of the new Soviet-Iraqi pact ? and the tmeaning of whatever new Soviet-Turkish ar- 4.angements might come out of this week's :podgorny visit to Turkey. 4. Soviet Premier Alexei N. Kosygin returned ',from Baghdad to Moscow April 10 after signing the 15-year treaty with Iraqi Presi- dent Ahmad Hassan al-Bakr. Earlier, Mr. Kosygin attended the inau- guration of Iraq's Soviet-backed North Rumeila oil field. Arrangements were an- nounced for first tanker deliveries of Iraqi crude oil to the Soviet Union during a forth- coming new Soviet naval visit to Iraq's Persian Golf ports. The Soviet-Iraqi pact provides for politi- 'eel, cultural, and defense links?like the old :Western-sponsored Baghdad Pact and its .low-feeble successor, the Central Treaty *Organization. Along the lines of last year's Soviet-Indian and Soviet-Egyptian treaties, both Iraq and the Soviet Union pledge themselves not to 6 Approved For Release 1999/09/021 CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 04,113)5FiRdela For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 allow each other's territory to be used for hostile bases. Interest expressed Interest in Iraqi oil, and Iraq's apparent Interest in substituting Russian for Western technology for developing it, is expressed in clauses on economic, scientific, and techni- cal cooperation. In his speech at the North Rumeila oil ceremonies, Mr. Kosygin promised Soviet help to Arab peoples to "free their wealth" from "Western monopolies." Neither Mr. Kosygin nor the treaty text, however, referred directly to Israel, accord- ing to Baghdad Radio reports. Article four of the treaty does say both states will con- tinue fighting "imperialism, zionism, and colonialism." Analysts here believe use of the word "Zionism" spells continued Soviet refusal to promise publicity to fight Israel. Treaty scorned The anti-Soviet Beirut newspaper Al- Hayat said the treaty "ignores the libera- tion of Arab territory." The state radio of Col. Muammar al- Qaddafi's Libyan regime scorned it as "a new pact of the imperialist type." After a Moscow visit by Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein al-Takriti in February, the Libyan Government condemned signing of Arab- Soviet pacts as reviving "imperialism" and as a violation of the Arab League charter? which pledges preservation of independence and sovereignty of member states. The Soviet commitment to Iraq's defense is less rigid than that to Egypt in the May, 1971 Egyptian-Soviet treaty. Before the 1967 Arab-Israel war, Moscow was Iraq's main arms supplier. It replaced some of Iraq's 1967 aircraft losses. From 1968 to 1970, Iraq bought tanks? armored cars, transport planes, and heli- copters from France. CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR 10 August 1971 CPYRGHT Soviets t rust into k sia's flank New pact stiffens Indian alliance With dramatic suddenness, the Soviet, Union has moved to bolster its influence in turmoil-riddezi southern Asia. It has signed a 20-year treaty of peace, friendship, and cooperation with India. which, in the opinion of diplomatic observ- ers here, seeks two broad goals: ? To deter an outbreak of hostilities be- tweeh India and Pakistan by making clear, which side the Soviet Union would back. ? To consolidate the already solid Soviet position in India in the face of Washington's diplomatic rapprochement with Communist China. Article 9 of the treaty provides that the twa4sides will consult in the event of attack on either country by a third party and "take appiopriate effective measures" to ensure, peace and security. It also provides that in the event of an armed conflict involving one country the father signatory will not give the third country any assistance. Western diplomats believe that this. article also gives the Russians leverage to ? put pressure on India to prevent a conflict. , However, if ho$tilities were to break out be- tween India and Pakistan, Moscow ,has . pledged itself not to help Pakistan. ? Sequel to U.A.R.? accord The treaty was signed in New Delhi Aug. 9 by Soviet Foreign Minister Andrei A. Gromyko and Indian Foreign Minister Swaran Singh. Mr. Gromyko immediatelyt hailed the pact as a document Contributing, ' to stronger peace in Asia. ? - ? ! Significant in an historical'context; this is' the second time in three months the Ras- , sians have adopted long-term commitments with non-Communist bountries. In May they signed a 15-year treaty with the United Arab Republic. The Soviet Union is ,thus moving vigorously to formalize and consoli- date its relations with nonaligned countries. It is generally agreed here that in the . subcontinent Moscow's role has, bee* one.. of a pacifier. Because conflict and hostility . merely invite Chinese involvement, the Rus- sians have a strong interest in maintain- " ing stability in the region.. Since the Tashkent Declaration of 1966? which put an end to the Indian-Pakistani war, the Russians have sought good rela- tions with all countries in aoUth Asia, inelud. Ing Pakistan, although their primary influ? ence and investment is in India. In this connection, what will now be close- ly watched is Pakistan's reaction. Some ob- Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 7 serversacir thid aasitiamiluhe Appro e itse : CI closer ties with Peking. This would lead to a polarization of the area which the Russians have sought to avoid. Diplomats think the Russians, however,. concerned about an outbreak of war, had to weigh the risks of polarization against the gains of securing their interests and voice in India. New Delhi, for its part, apparently wanted an increased commitment from the Soviet Union in view of the latter's policy of balanc- ing its relations as between Pakistan and India. In this despect the treaty is seen to be! a victory for the Indians. 'Status quo backed It is also suggested that in Article 10 India has recognized Moscow's present ob- Iigations to Pakistan. Under this article, each party declares it has no commitments , and will not undertake any commitments ;with other states that may cause military damage to the other party. This seems to confirm the status quo. , Poliical observers note that the treaty differs from the Soviet-U.A.R. pact in many .respects, a fact that reflects Moscow's dif; fere nt relationship wih India. The Soviet- 411s?caff 10E1 .ing India far more freedom of' maneuver and independence, The New Delhi pact, to cite another con- trast, states that the U.S.S.R. respects In., dia's policy of "nonalignment." This term is not spelled out in the U.A.R. treaty, although Egypt considers itself a nonaligned nation. Other provisions ? Other provisions of the Soviet-Indian, treaty call for regular contacts on major international problems and a pledge to strengthen economic, scientific, and techni-' cal. cooperation. The agreement will come.. int; force only after ratification. Meanwhile, since the tragic events in East' Pakistan, Moscow has been scrupulously correct in its relations with both New, Delhi and Islamabad. In April Prtsident Pocigorny sent a message to President. Yahya Khan in which he expressed concern, a well as hope for a "peaceful politic settlement." While measurei have been urged to stop, the repressions, Pakistan has not been cone. demised outright. The,Soviet press treats the two halves of. Pakietan as one country, referring carefully: f "Mitt+ rini?24.4. /I --- ? -???19, ?__???? a???? 9 W?-?-?-?-?2?-??-?7?ZW7.. rZW?71.=?f:W... M1.1Wi..1?1?1/A111=Sr..W...E?W NIV SSSSS 1.1.1?T?r..W ? AciPpYsYckft or Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 1 The treaty announcement came against the teeming backdrop of Delhi's largest-ever rally supporting the ruling Congress Party. An estimated 1 million people poured into the capital over the weekend to join a Con- gress-sponsored show of national solidarity. The treaty news was greeted by jubilant shouts. "Hindi, Russi, bhai bhai" ("Indians, Russians, brothers"). Four points for talks , Speculation preceding the treaty focused on the Bangle Desh issue, touchstone of cur- rent Indian domestic and foreign thinking. Talks between Indian officials ahd M. Gromyko were slated to cover four points; 'Ban& Desh; socioeconomic strains caused :by the refugee influx; the Chinese-Americah. thaw, and separate Chinese and American assurances of support to Pakistan. Indian anticipation wa limited to a joint communiqu?not a treaty. But concern that the Russians would propose Tashkent-style negotiation were floated mainly by pro-West elements. After weeks of weathering blis- tering attacks on their ineffectual foreign policy, government circles now feel vindi- cated. Hope that the Russians would consider India a worthy junior partner in restoring the balance of power upset by the Chinese- American thaw was tenuous. But founda- tions for strengthening Soviet-Indian rela- tions were laid soon after the visit of U.S. presidential assistant Henry A. Kissinger to Peking. Mr. Kissinger's trip was cited here as a triggering factor in the Indian invitation to Moscow. Indians think the first hint of Pakistani belligerency dates from the Kissinger trip, giving the impression that China would back Pakistani pugnacity and that American reluctance to weaken the thaw would prevent American opposi- tion to the Chinese stance. Visit not isolated ? India sent former ambassador to Moscow D. P. Dhar posthaste to meet Kremlin leaders with minimum fanfare .for a top- level mission. - 'There is little doubt that the urgency ex- pressed in the Dhar-Moscow mission found responsive echoes in the Kremlin. Prompt Soviet acceptance of the bid for bilateral talks Is seen here as recognition of the need for both countries to make' public long- standing ties. Mr. Gromyko's visit is not an isolated epi - Bode but an important first step toward a probable new perspective in India's foreign relations. Relations with the United States are heading for a new low. Prime Minister Indira Gandhi told massed crowds Monday that the treaty does not mean the end of nonalignment but the strengthening of India's hands. Indian initia- tive in arranging the Gromyko visit is not being concealed here. New Delhi now feels assured of Soviet backing on Bangle Desh but will probably heed Moscow's advice to avoid giving Paki- stan excuses to escalate rumblings of war. Speculation now is focused on prospects of Soviet help in tackling refugee-care costs ,and general deepening of economic. relit; `Mons. Mr. Gromyko so far has neither ac- cepted nor refused an invitation to. visit refugee camps. HINDUSTAN TIMES 10 August 1971 WAS TM CESS * M0 CPYRGHT '? . Mr Gromyko was net exrig- When the gloss is removed are obviously the two countries, , gerating when he described the ,,hat 'Aands revealed is a M.., ingainst which India would need: Iiinde-Sov let Treaty of Peace, .ear mutual security treaty.; ,t a "ex edible .deterrent" against ' Friendship and Co-operation as [Although the Treaty might not) "ari attack or a threat thereof". La "most important landmark"Aquite commit India to a formal l tThe text of the Inclo-Soviet ,whose . significance "cannot be:lor automatic military alliance ITreaty Is strikingly similar t9 !overestimated". ? Mr Swann i,with the Soviet Union, thero,! ithe text of the UAll,-Sovirt (Singh was more blunt in des- ,Is absolutely, no doubt that in Treaty signed last May. The ,cribifig the pact es. a . "Treaty tentering into a security, an.; ? global reactions may , not be i"credible.,.deterrent to any world's two superpowers India, We have often argued thatl ;powers that may have aggres- has abandoned non-alignmenti(non-alignment ceased, to be a sive designs on our territorial find wii1 in the eyes of Many 1 ,??,ey 1 as such with the- end 'integrity and sovereignty". He ithird countries be regarded IICIM"4 Jr of the cold war in a bi.,polar.; . T? t f ? Peace ihaving aligned itself with the 1 world and the emergence of, la Non-Aggression" and a angement with ono of that' very &Similar. ? rr calico -against War and one that would !and bloc. The United States, -strengthen non-alignment ? ,"a and other western powers wills ,dynamic polies, which can bo: iinterpret it as such and China, adapted to. AMPrCilfedttF9ialge*Onlgralga itions". 1.even it multi-polar power constel1a-1 tions. Thereafter, non-align-) meat could only. be regarded ilkaRDP79101494 independent oreign 9 rather than a policy in ;.The Indo-Soviet Treaty, how-' lever, entails alignicie-tt withi ithe Soviet Union which is kilinged against the Ui?'`,A3tates, fend, more acutely, C11 -.a. Twoi !years ago Mr Brezhn. made, in proposal for collectiv !s?ity in Asia. This imme,. ?ioused a lifting of eyeb:. liround the world. India ;questioned this idea and Sovift ?spokesmen were quick to ex-, iplain that all that had beeni 'intended was regional economic vu-operation and the renuncia- tion of force in the settlement of disputes, or peaceful co-1 ktt!ifi Obviously it is col- 40.044ity9 of *a trort0 ,positive kind that Mr Swaran: 'Singh Is now promoting In.? 'the stalemate in Vietnam and suggesting That APPfbiretleftOrgReleaser 1t999?09421: Treaty prove a Tatterni Ale public opinion. It would7 for similar treaties between ilike to seek a rapprochementi Sedia and other ? countries in,' ,with China, which cannot seri.' this ,region". Would this tee( :ously threaten it for at least ilude a similar treaty with th& ;another decade or more. 'j And And collective- security: Ipite . the ? growing detente in whom?_.., (Mr NCbrt ;Europe the. -United States' wilted this question when in principal . contender . for global 195f1 President Ayub Khan Isupremacy during the seventies% 'proposed joint 'defence between iremains the Soviet Union whit s ,India and Pakistan.) ;is sought to be prevented from For more than two years ithrusting south to the oil rich sow the Government f India ?areas of West Asia and Northi has from time to time stated it ;Africa and, down to the Indian ,s ' willingness to open a dialogue Ocean.' Hence the importance., with Peking. This sentimen0 of West Pakistan ,in American. . .was reiterated in Parliament) 'strategic thinking *and Pre- last ay eit when Mr Swaranj "sident? IThron's ? military'anti. Singh said that if. necessary; ;'political support to President .India would be willing to Xahya Khan's regime. despite "create cenditione for this' ;its possible distaste for ? what purpose. given a ,favourable i ;has happened in East Bengal: Chinese response, But all along i ;Washington's complete insene; there haa been a fear off )litivity to India's thinking Chinese support to Pakiittin In this. rnatter.and Dr Henry Kis- the event of a crisis in Indo-4 :singer's reported statement to Pakistan relations. This fear i ;Mr L. K. Jha that India must , has continued to haunt policy-' mot count on i positive Aisle- makers In Delhi with rising' !rfean response should China ;tension ?between India and Pak-i ;intervene in favour of Islamael istan over Bangle.' flesh.' Mr 'bad in any Indo-Pakistan ?con-; Swaran Singh in fact made! 'filet has probably m1stekenl31 'reference to this in his speech'. :added to the Governmett of; on the occasion of the* signing, ;India's sense of loneliness ?n,1 of the Indo-Soviet Treaty. He he -Bangle Desh issue , audi 'told Mr Gromyko that his visit iencouraged' It to seek securit "coincided "with developments' iaseurences from, 'the Sovie in this part of the world which; alnion. which Moseoay has. beest'? are a matter of common con-. Tiacif?offer leiainst the' back.); cern to both our countries and 'ground of its own global intere. could jeopardise peace and.; eats. The United States has security." For its pail, the,; pushed India much further; Soviet Union. is locked in an: ; along than where' it rnigh ideological and nationalist-: 'have ventured on its own. And territorial power struggle with'?,,L?ttch 'has been the dismay aV, 'China. The signs of a Sino-TIS.t ? (American support. ? to Pakistani' !thaw have caused some unease, 'in recent aYeeks that?Delhi has:. in Moscow which is accordingly( :lodged a? diplomatic protest ianxtous to buttress its own. with Washington over, these( 'position. It has quite eXpectedly.r acts?. . :turned to India as among the In Our judgment the?GoVernel 'countries on which it can: itnent has overreacted to the :nnrhor itself in Asia. The r(prospect of an 'Indo-Pakistan ? ;United States, in turn, is beingj 'conflict, the possibility' and: ?impelled ,to withdraw frclln; :scale of .hinese interventiorC ,Indo-China and the South-East tin any such event, and tile iAsian mainland by virtue of :American attitude towardi 'Pakistan. China'e global inter" nra CIA4RDP79491,19444009 ogiviota .'and it would not lightly vene eueked, into the Sine-Sovie, ture to ? launch on a major, reonflict? Whether it ; hee ??1 'trans-Himalayan war, to 'Pull' ;Islamabad's chestnuts out of st (revolutionary fire. Were it to., !do so, India has ten mountain ;divisions poised to Meet just, esuch a, threat, 'And In Aso reel ;mote possibility of their being 'overwhelmed, the seperpoweriel the preparations may have( ;especially .the Soviet Union 4 Ibeen hastened by more recoe ;could not afford to standby,: ;developments, It is surptising idiy in _their own global, triter-, , . ? 'that the Prime Minister shoul tes s. n P ? not havd thought fit to give (situation of real.' crisis, Soviets Parliament or the countrY the !support would have been forth-4 llightest inkling of such a pro coming withoutt I .;found change despite nur4rous ,opportunities for doind so. !whether in the External Affairs IMinistry's annual report Or In ithe course of parliamentary Idebates or other public) pro- notincements. There it 4" coin- teidence of interests between India and the Soviet Union in ;Asia. Even otheiwise, we (would welcome a strengthening (of the close and cordial eco- nomic and political tics that subsist between the two coiAn- itrics. But we do regard Intilit a potentially great power, :and certainly a major factor :in Asia which is neither $o" .weak nor even so lonely as, (to accept any arrangement that ;might reduce it to the status, ,of being anything less than ;equal in Its relations with any !other country. The Soviet Union ;needs India as much as India ;needs the Soviet' Union. There ils also no reason' to suppos that this country cannot secure !an honourable resolution of I (differences with China or place return gained any leverage in 'flexibility .over Bangle' ,pe. remains to, tie seen. , It is quite clear that a Treittl of such far-reaching Implica tions could not have been negol tinted overnight even ti !nigh: If was merely soughte r, !Pakistan politically,, a firmer, enunciation of the earlier. Pod,6! ,gornr thesis might have Now it is quite conceivable; that the Indo-Soviet treaty will ? antagonise China, bring Chine and Pakistan even nearer, and ;widen the gulf between India and the West. President NI:aired foreign policy report to Con-) tgress last March expressed a US interest in ensuring tha 'the sub-continent did not be- come a focus of great powe conflict. It added that American ;activities in the area would be 'kept in balance with those of; :the other major .powers icernecl, namel?, the Soviet Union arid ? China, which it; tatated had' "legitimate" inter-', (ests in the area. But It wertt,1 on to assert that.,"nci outsidel ?power ,has a 'claim to predomi- 'tient influence In the region." In View of this declination thsi 'Americater may, for other naaenseaatea?,,avaelisa:Latiet Its relations with the United !strengthen 'Pak/gait r States on a more rational end :and the RC') group to countorl ;mature footing. These .objec- the Indo-Sctviet tives must Still be pursued a the Indo-Soviet %Treaty :Migh' ;that India'S foreign and domes ;Nvell mark' the, bpginrihlz.,.of ,tie policies -remain completely new cold war in .:thts,I.pat*'oCindependent and are guided b the world ;3with.:' the') national Interest and arc) zeye of the ,ateette; Could .ft Le; ;not overshadowed by the gl ;that India has entered-. into, sq Lbal ? intercits of howsoeve liking-term ODMIX4itment , ouS ErklAy .jrnergavort, Approved For Release 1999/09/02 ICIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 ,ANNIMMINNIMIMINSIMI.16,fl P16, ?WilbilbooNeft Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 HINDUSTAN TIMES 10 August 1571 I Text of Ind CPYRGHT Soviet treaty INEW DELHI, Aug. 9?The fol- lowing is the text of the treaty of peace, friendship and co-ope- rsition between the Republic ot India and the Union .of Soviet !Socialist Republics: Desiroue of expanding and con- solidating the existing relations of isincere friendship between them, Believine that the further deve- lopment ot friendship and co. operation *eta the basic national Interests of, both . the States as twen as the interests of lasting ;peace in Ada and the world, I Determined to promote the con- tolidation of universal peace and security and to make steadfast efforts for the relaxation of in- ternational tendons and the final elimination of , the remnants of colonialism, ' Upholding their firm faith In the principles of peaceful co- existence and eo-operation ? be- itween States with different poll. tient and sociel systems,' . Convinced that in the world to- day international ? problems can only be solved by co-operation and not by conflict, , Reaffirming their determination to abide by the purposes and principles of the United Nations harter, ' The Republic of India on the one side, and the Union of Soviet ;Socialist Republics on the other side, have decided to conclude 'the present treaty for which put.. ,poses the following plenipoten- ttiaries have been appointed: ? 1 On behalf of the Republic of India: Sardar Swaran Singh, Min- ister of External Affairs. ? Oraibehtilf of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics: Mr A. A. Gromyko, Minister .of Foreign Affairs who, having each present- ed their ? eredentials, which are found to be in proper -form and due order, .have agreed as fol- lows: . Artide. I . " The high contracting parties solemnly declare that enduring. peace and friendship shall prevail ;between the two countries and etheir peoples. Each party shell respect the Independence, mover- eighty and territorial integrity of ? the other party and refrain tram ;Interfering in the other's internal !affairs. The ,high contracting par- 1 ties shall continue to develop and consolidate the relations of sin- cere friendship, good neighbourli- ness and comprehensive co-opera- tion existing , betWeen them on the basis of the aforesaid prin- ciples, as well as those of equality and Mutual benefit, ? Article II Guided by the desire to contri- bute in every possible way to ensure enduring peace and secu- rity of their people, the high con- tracting parties declare their determination to continue their efforts to preserve and to streng- then peace in Asia and through- out the world, to halt the arms race and to achieVe general and complete disarmament, including both nuclear and conventional, under? effective international ?con- troL .Article III Guided by' their loyalty to the -lofty ideal of equality of all peo- ? ples and nations, irrespective of race or creed, the high contract- ing parties condemn colonialism and raclalisns in all forms and manifestations; and reaffirm their determination to strive for their linal and complete elimination. The high contracting parties shall co-operate with other ?Statee to achieve these aims and to sup- port tho just aspirations of the peoples in their etruggle against colonialism and racial domination, . Article IV The Republic of India respects the peace-loving policy of the Union of Soviet Socialist Repub- lics aimed at strengthening friend- ship and co-operation- with all nations. The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics reepects India's policy of non-alignment and reaffirms that this policy constitutes an im. portant factor in the maintenance of universal peace and interna- tional security and in the lessen- Ing of tensions in the world. Article V ? ? Deeply interested in ensuring 'universal peace and security, at- taching great importance to their mutual co-operation in the intr. iational field for achieving these alms, the high ccintracting parties will 'maintain regular contacts with each other on major ? inter. national :.problems affecting the ?interests of both the Statea by means of meetings and exchange of views between their leading stateemen, visits by official dele- gation's and special envoys cif tho two Governments, and . through diplomatic channels. . Article VI Attaching greet importance to economic, scientific and technoe logical co-operation between them the high contracting parties will continue to consolidate and ex- pand mutually advantageous and comprehensive co-operation in these fields as well as expand ti ade, transpert- and communica- tions between them- on the basis of the 'principles of equality, mutual benefit ' and ?mot-favour. ed-nation - treatment, subject to the existing ' agreements and the special arrangements 'with conti- guous countries as ? specified in the Indo-Sovlet trade agreement of Dec. 20, 1D70. Article VII ? -The high contracting parties than promote further develop. matt of ties and contacts between, them in the fields of science, art, literature, education, publics health, Press, radio, television.. cinema, tourism' and sports. Article VIII In accordance with the tradie' Mond friendship established be.; tween the two countries each of the high contracting particle ? solerrinly declares that It shalt, not enter into or participate in' any military alliance directed against the other. party.' ? Each high contracting party, undertakes to abstain ? from any aggression against the other part7. and to prevent the u of its territory for the commission of any act which relight inflict tar)' damage on the other high contracting party. . Atticle IX ? Eadh high contracting Party undertakes to abstain from pro- viding any assistance to any ,third party that engages in armed con- flict with the other party: In the. event of either party being suis-,1 Jected to an attack or a threat' thereof, the high contracting par. ties shall immediately enter into si mutual consultations in orcier to.4 remove such threat and to take appropriate effective mei:mires to ensure peace and the ,security of ' ? ? ?,; their countries. ? Article X ? Each high contracting party , solemnly declares that ?it than/ not enter into . any obligation,... secret or public, with one or Moro 4 States, which is incompatible with this treaty. Each high contracting , party further decleres that no obligation exists, nor shall any obligetion be entered into, be- tween itself and any other State or States, which might causal military damage to the other ? party. ? , ?? . . Article XI ? This' treaty is concluded for the duration of 20 years and will be I automatically 'extended for each., successive period of five years unless either high contracting party declares its desire to termie nate it by giving notice to the other high contracting party 12 months prior to the expiration of:. the treaty. The treaty will bo subject to ratification and will come into force on the date of the exchange of instruments a, ratification which will take place in Moscow within one month of ?I the signing of this treaty. ? Article XII Any difference a interpretetion of any article or articles of this treaty- which may arise between the high contracting partici, will; be settled Winter-idly by raerful means in a Anirlt of mutu -I res.. pect . and understanding. The said plenipotentlarlen heve signed the present treaty Russian and English, all '..exts being equally authentic rind have affixed thereto their scale. ? Done in New Delhi on the ninth des, of August in the year ono thousand - nine hundred ? and seventy one. On behalf of the Republic of India (Sd.) 'Sweren Singh -Minister a External Affairs. ? On behalf of the ? . e Union of Soviet Soeialist .ApU)IiC$. ,(Sd.) A A. ( irorsyko* Minister of Foreign -??.ffsirs.-, Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 11 CPYRGHT CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 BALTIMORE SUN 11 August 1971 India fl PRAN SAIIILIRWAL Neu> Delhi Burton oi The Sun New Delhi?The Indian public and its representatives in Par- liament welcomed yesterday what they considered an "alli- ance" with the Soviet Union. t "Nothing in recent times has 1,electrified) the people so much ' as signing" of the 20-year pact 1 ;of friendship Monday, the Indian 'minister of external affairs, Swaran Singh, told the Indian .Parliament yesterday. and East Germany. The minister declared that the Some members called the pact represented no deviation signing of the treaty a "red-let- from India's non-alignment. In a ter day in Indian history." And listless six-hour debate on the there was general criticism of treaty in the Parliament, mem- , the United States and the west- hers gave the treaty massive! crn powers in their relations support not for what the treaty with India. ? said but for what it meant in Members said the U.S. ap- view of threats of general war prapch to India has always been by the Pakistani president A. M. 'partisan toward Pakistan. ? Yatlya Khan, if India continues A spokesman from the ruling to support the East Pakistan Congress Party said that the Bengali rebels. Soviet Union has always been a A typical interpretation of the "true friend of India" in many treaty in the Indian press yes- of the critical times faced by the terday was: The Soviet Union nation. They said in all the will come to India's help in cage wars, including the Sino-Indian an attack or threats of an war of 1962 and Indo-Pakistan attack by Pakistan, China or war of 1965, it was Russia which any other country." came to the aid of India. Members of Parliament inter!. Soviet Neutrality preted the treaty to mean a de- fense alliance between two na- tions. They expressed hope and expectation that the Russians elcornes Pact Of Friendship With Soviet will come to aid India in case oi States cut off anus d id la Lotk war with either China or Paki- Indian and Pakistan, hurting stan. rakistan iiitne, iiIv UKCaviet I Riren Mukherji. the leader of 'Union mediated the conflict. the pro-Moscow Communist par- Atal Bihari Vajpayee, Hindu ty of India, asked the govern- leader of the orthodox Jan ment "to shed our approach of Sangh party, welcomed the ld fat ow that wo hva +hie trnaty hpeause it won India a ?a n treaty." He asked the govern- friend at a critical juncture. It ment to extend recognition not , indicated India was not friend - only to the Bengali nation provi- less as in the Sino-Indian war of sional government but also to 1962. The pact will also check North Vietnam, North Korea Pakistan's aggressive designs against India, he added. Mr. Vajpayee ridiculed the government's defense of non- alignment and said non - align- ment was not sacrosant at a time when international rela- tions were being forged for "naked self-interest." ? Mr. Singh admitted that tim- ing of the treaty during a period ' of tension with Pakistan has been such that "even those who , want to oppose it know that the , people are behind it" and dare' not oppose it. He also assured the Parlia: ment that the pact would not "restrain" India from taking unilateral action in East Paki- stan or continuing the support of the Bengali rebels. Not even the Soviet Union can restrain India The United States gave India from exercising Its sovereign ernergeticy arms aid in 1911 rights, he said. - while the Soviet Union remained I It was not a defense pact nor neutral. In 1965 the United, a military alliance, Mr. Singh a'd. By tl,e proviaion of mutaal consultations, the pact only pro- a fraincwork within which two nations could take steps to maintain security. This provision - makes the friendship treaty different from the IiInrcaw Pari nod other mili- tary pacts as there is no clause for automatic commitment "of armies by either side, "Mr. Singh asserted. In reply to a question, the minister said that anything in the perpetual Sino-Soviet friend- ship treaty which is inconsistent with Indo-Soviet friendship pact is "not binding." No vote was taken on the treaty, because the Cabinet has, the constitutional power to rati- fy it on its own. Nevertheless, the government' still took the treaty to Podia-, ment for debate. Little Opposition Of the eight major parties in the country, six extended their support and only two?the con- servative Swatantra and the Socialist party?opposed it. Speaker after speaker of all 'political sentiments used the de- bate to criticize the U.S. policy of shippings arms to Pakistan 'after March 25, when the civil war erupted in East Pakistimi Approved For Release 1999/09/02 aCIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDEWnThIA0002001400_pi7p UPYRGHT aiRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR 27 May 1971 elicate CPYRGHT sparain in Cairo By Geoffrey Gothic!' Qverseas news editor of The Christian Science Monitor Soviet President Podgorny and Egyptian .President Sadat are shrewdly trying to get the measure of each other in their talks in Cairo.' Mr. Podgorny will want to discover the effect on the Soviet investment in Egypt? military, economic, and political?of the re- cent purge of those in the Egyptian leader- ..ship generally deemed most pro-Soviet. ? .? Mr. Sadat will want to reassure the Rus- sians that what has happened is no cause for Moscow to weaken its support of Egypt lir tl) try 4) put the kid oodc., lihn RA restore to power any of the men Whom he" has ousted. If in the i...?ocess, Mr. Sadat can give the Russians the impression that their backing. of any move from within Egypt against him . would be at their peril, he will probably,, .seize the opportunity. , It can hardly be a coincidence, that the front page of the leading 'Cairo newspaper, Al-Ahram, carried alongside a report of Mr. Podgorny's arrival in Cairo a report on the ' Egyptian Prosecutor General's statement, .that the "mastermind!' behind this month's alleged plot to depose President Sadat was , former Vice-President Ali Sabry. News report cited Mr. Sabry has long been considered the. most pro-Soviet of the men at the top in Egypt. He was dismissed from office at the beginning of the month and since mid-May has been in detention. Ai-Ahram, writing of the first round of talks between Mr. Podgorny and Mr. Sadat, Another base for Mr. Sabry's friends until Mr. Sadat's purge was the newspaper ?Al-Gomouria. Through its columns ear- lier this year Mr. Sadat's willingness to reopen the Suez Canal before total a settlement with Israel dent Sadat. Mr. Vino- Israeli withdriwal from acceptable to Egypt Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-ROPOV-tifilVAbttai260140001 said that two facts had already emerged. First, the Soviet Union had renewed RS pledge of political, economic, and military support for Egypt. And second, ,both Presi- ' dents reaffirmed their commitment: to work - for the liberation of all Arab territories 0e;... cupied by Israel. , This was in keeping with the amenities .,which attended Mr. Podgorny's arrival in? the Egyptian t,c-a-pital. Mr. Sadat was at the; airport to welcome him and embraced him... There ,was also a 21,gun salute, together: with the cheering crowds and banners which Egyptian officialdom can usually produce as the occasion demands. ? All facets of the Soviet Union's involve- reipni in Rgypt arc. rpfloPtpri in the team that Presi..kert 1\felgormy has brought with him. In putting Mr. Podgorny in charge of the delegation the Kremlin is honoring Mr.., Sadat by making the talks a genuine sum- mit, with president talking to president. Mrbers of 'party At Mr. Podgorny's side are: Soviet For- eign Minister Andrei A. Gromyko, his coun- try's highest foreign-policy expert; the First Deputy Defense Minister, Gen. Ivan Pay-. lovsky; and Boris Ponomarev, secretary of. the Soviet Communist Party's Central Com- mittee. The latter's inclusion in the Soviet dele- gation can probably be explained by the disrupting effect which President Sadat's purge has had on the bureaucracy of the Arab Socialist Union (ASU), Egypt's single- party organization. Ali Sabry's main power center within Egypt had long been the ASU. Mr. Sadat has dismissed Mr. Sabry's friends from the ASU machine and has announced his inten- tion of rebuilding the party organization almost from scratch. Sinai was vigorously chal- lenged. Another of Al-Gom: houria's arguments was that Mr. Sadat was naive to put so much trust in ?the United States as a 'benign influence to secure Interview run On Thursday, Al-Gom- houria carried an inter- view with the Soviet Am- bassador in Cairo, Vladi- mir Vinogradov, who is participating in Mr. Pod- gorny's talks with Presi- 13 CPYRGHT `SI ST-I that he believes "it is pos- sible to achieve a political solution" inythe .Middle- East "if efforts are stepped." The way to a just settle- ment, he said, depended to a large extent on a strong Egyptian position and on convincing Israel and its supporters of the strength and capability of I" 1 A -?- " 1 "A A111 11 A111 the Egyptians. Mr. Sadat's present ef- forts are concentrated on ? getting the United States ;to use its? good offices to persuade Israel to match the concessions which in Egyptian eyes ? have ? already been offered by ? Cairo in the interest of a settlement. ? Soviet view To the Russians, this would be tantamount to peace under American auspices. They would pre- fer peace underL Russian auspices?which could be represented as having been achieved through joint Soviet-Egyptian mill. tar)' pressure on the Is- raelis. THE GUARDIAN, Manchester 29 May 1971 Friendship sealed?on paper CPYRGHT The Soviet Union likes to see things written ? contracting parties is subjected to an armed down in black and white. Whenever its friends attack . . . the other party, implementing the have taken unilateral action and Speculation has inalienable right to Individual or collective self- followed sooner or later, Moscow has felt the need defence in accordance with the Article 51 of the to set the record straight .once and for all. This UN Charter, will immediately render It all-round has been the case in Eastern Europe many times. assistance with. all the means at its disposal, With some significant differences the 15-year including military." "Treaty of Friendship and Co-operation" , ? If the treaty marks no change in relations,' 6etween Egypt and the Soviet Union falls into . why was it necessary at all? The clause ?dealing this category. It comes against the background of with consultation on matters of interest and with President Sadat's purge of plotters, many of coordinating policies gives a clue.. ,The extent of ',whom were senior officials known to be sympa- Mr Sadat's purge and Moscow's muted reaction .thetic to the Soviet Union. At the same time the indicated that Russia's direct influence on Egypt's rapprochement between Cairo and Washington . internal affairs is limited. It did not know fully had 'encouraged Mr Rogers to take a direct what was going' on and it wai not consulted. personal lead in trying to guide Egypt and Israel There are also Indications that the contents of Mr towards peace. The Soviet Union must have been Sadat's exchange of letters with 'Mr Nixon and apprehensive that its massive economic. and ,Mr Rogers were being kept very largely among .military investments were at stake. Worse still,v themselves. The Soviet Union is seeking in this the geographical and military facilities it had in, treaty some right to a share in the secrets of Egypt, if threatened, could have undermined the Cairo's goings on both Maid? the country and in ? Soviet Union's global strategy. President its middle East policies. ,The Soviet Union mutt__ Podgorny's visit was primarily to find out what' alse hope that it will now be in a better position , had happened. But both he and President Sadat to ensure that Egypt does not strike out on Its had compellingreasons for keeping,things as they ? own, militarily, or indulge In negotiations harmful were. What better way of showing this than ' to Moscow!s' long-term interests. . through 'a treaty? ? The treaty and an accompanying communiqu? The published clauses of the treaty suggest ' said the search for peace would continue, But it- nothing more than "a further 'concrete expression may make the search tougher. The two sides have. . of the relations which have brought us together . strengthened their relations and Increased over many years "?to use Mr Sadat's words. The. . responsibilities just by putting their 'terms In. 'points about mutual non-Interference, cooPera- ,writing. The Egyptian side has a new dipidmatie., tion in economic, cultural, and other fields, corn- card to play and this may make it harder, to get . mitments ? not to join anti-Soviet alliances, and 'negotiations ' with Israel going again or to open'. pledges to pursue socialism at home are all either the Suez Canal as part of an overall peace ' old hat or ambiguous enough to afford a way out settlement. The main danger is that the polarisa- , if needed. The military clause is, essentially , tion between Egypt and Israel and their patrons defensive' and connected with tralling ifl supplied . may be hardened., It may cause Israel to press for arms (though Israel will dot like the sdund of the further military guarantees from the United : . clause "with a view to Strengthening Egypt's ,Itates?and push the potential conflict up on to ? ? capacity to eliminate the consequences of aggret- a' higher plane. But it would. pay both sides to 'sion as Well as increasing its ability to stand up regard this treaty as marking the conclusion (as ? to aggression "). This stops well short of ,the far as can be told) of IV,Ir Sadat's probationary., si:ar clause ih the "Treaty of Friendship,,Co- .period as absolute ruler of Egypt..For whatever _ operation and . Mutual Assistance" signed by is ;in the treaty, it remains on paper. In moments. :Rununia and the 3oviet_Uolon last. ,Ailgust,' for of stress such treaties often become no more than., 'exawromecjahorigeiease 19a9i061102 IiieflAWPRZ9-Q1 1 94A00Q?001 40.001 79 , Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 THE SUNDAY TELEGRAPH 30 May 1971 CFS(5(61P1oap THEEgYP ? "Friendship Treaty" just signed in Cairo is a natural by , product of? that savage counter-, coup in which President Sadat' recently imprisoned or inunobil-- ised those plotting to unseat him. t Some of the plotters were held to ' be Soviet prot?s and the Xrern-, in must have been pressing Sadat hard for something to save Bus. , sin's face as well as Russia's vast Strategic and ecnnomic laiest4 1'44 itt% , This the treaty has now pro. vided. But it does no more than formalise an existing situation..4 CPYRGHT 'Indeed, one passage?where thei tmo sigratories PrnrniP "non- interforonce" in orarli nthprit internal affairs?can only be regarded as a plus for Sadat., Egypt is hardly likely to interfere: in Russia's domestic politics. As to the general prospects for , a Middle East settlement, Sadat is a peace-maker, and ,anything',,I which strengthens his litersonal position, as this treaty does, can only help thoso prospects in the long Moitnwhilos ithe ht s diseontilled rivals at home, the Russians have, learnt how deceptive those sleepy eyes of Anwar Sadat can be, , RN YORK TIMES 23 MAY 1971 CPYRGHT-- Text of the Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation Signed by Soviet and Egypt Following, as transmitted in English by Tass, the Soviet press Ggency, is the text of ie Soviet-Egyptiap treaty of friendship signed' in Cairo yesterday: The Union of Soviet Social- ist Republics and the United 'Arab Republic, Being firmly convinced that the further development of friendship and all-around co- operation between the Union of ;Soviet Socialist Republics .and the .United Arab Repub- lic meets the interests of the peoples of both states an& helps strengthen world peace, Being inspired by the ideals,' of struggle against imperial- ism, and colonialism, and for the freedom, independence and social progress of the peoples, Being determined to wage persistently the struggle for stronger international peace and security in 'accordance with the invariable course of their peaceable foreign policy, Reaffirming their allegiance to the aims and principles of the United Nations Charter. . Being driven by a delsire to consol kin te ti nd strengthen tire traclilio al relations 41 sincere "ftA pirowedefr or the two states and peoples through concluding a treaty of friendship and cooperation and thus creating a basis for their further development, Agr- ed on the following:. Article I The high contracting par- ties solemnly declare that un- breakable friendship will al- ways exist between the two. countries and their peoples. They will continue to develop and strengthen the existing relations of friendship and all-around cooperation be- tween them' in the political, economic, scientific, techno- logical, cultural and other fields 011 ,the basis of the principles of respect for the sovereignty, territorial integ- rity, noninterference in the ' internal affairs of each othe7, : equality and mutual benefit. Article 2 " The. Unien of Soviet cialist Republics as a socialiq state and the United M.A.) Republic, which has set itslf Urn Mm of re, nisi ruet anclety along socialiNt Ihes, Re I easel 999109/02: all fields in ensuring condi- tions for preserving and fur- ther developing the social and economic gains of their peoples. Article 3 . . ? Being guided by the ideals of freedom and equality of Ali the peoples, the hip,h con- tracting parties ,eondenin irn- , The high contracting psr- Being uided by a desire to contribute in every way -toward Tnaintaining interna- . bona! peace and the security of the peoples, the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics and the United Arab Republic will continue with all determina- tion to make efforts toward achieving and ensuring a last- ing and fair peace in the Mid- die East in accordance with 'the aims and principles of the United Nations Charter. In pursuing a peace-loving foreign policy, the high con-'-' tracting parties will come out ' for peace, relaxation of inter- national tension, achievement of general and complete dis- armament and prohibition or nuclear and other types Of .1 weapons of mass destruction.' Article 4 all their forms and manifesta- tions. They will continue to come out against imperialisni, for the full and final elimina- tion of colonialism in pursu- , anco of the 1.N. declaration- ' on the granting of independ- ence to all colonial countries and peoples, and wage un- swervingly the strugr,le against racialism and apart- heid. . Article 5 ? The high contracting par:- - ties will continue to expand ? and deepen all-arounn operntion and exchange of experience in the economic and scientific-technological fields?industry, agriculture, .water conservancy, irriat ion, development of nautrai re- sources, development -4 power engineering, the trzi ing of national personnel am, other fields of economy. The two sides .will expand trade and sea shipping be- tween the two states on the basis of the principles of mut- :nal benefit and most-favored ? nation treatment. Article 6, Cirk-iRDPe1151101119'4A10002001i40001r-9romoto 0?- 15 CPYRGHT A dF R pprovc or operation between them in th the fields of science, arts, lit- erature. education, heal' ' services, the press, radio, : television, cinema, tourism, physical culture -and other" fields. ' The two sides will promote - wider cooperation and direct ? connections between political` and public organizations of . working people, enterprises, culutral and scientific institu- tions for the purpose of a deeper mutual acquaintance with the life, work and achievements of the peoples , of the two countries. . ? Article 7 ? ? Being deeply interested in ? ensuring peace and the secu- rity of the peoples, and et-:: taching great importance, to e concertedness of their actions r in the international area in the struggle for peace, the.: high contracting parties will,' for this purpose, regularly consult each other at differ- ent levels on all important questions affecting the inter- ests of both states. CI CEISC 1999/09/02 ? CIA RDP79 01194A000200140001 9 In the event of develop- ment of situations creating, in the opinion of both sides, a danger to peace or viola-, ?tion of peace, they will con- tact each other without delay In order to concert their po-.? ? sitions with a view to remov- ing the threat that has arisen - or reestablishing peace. ' Article 8 In the interests of strength- ening the defense capacity of . the United Arab Republic, the ? high contracting parties will continue to develop coopera- ? tion in the military field on the basis of appropriate agreements between them. Such cooperation will provide specifically for assistance in . the training of the U.A.R. military personnel, in master- ? ? ing the armaments and equip-'.. 'ment supplied to the United ? Arab Republic with a view to ? strengthening its capacity to. eliminate the consequences of aggression as well as in- creasing its ability to stand ? up to aggression in general. Article 9 Proceeding from the aims . and principles of this treaty. - Each of the high contract- , ing parties states that it will not enter into alliances and , will not take part in any,; 'groupings of states, in ac., y-tions or measures directed against the other high con- tracting party. Article 10 ? Each of the high contract- ing parties declares that its , commitments under the existing international treaties are not in contradiction with ' the provisions of this treaty-'` and It undertakes not to enter into any international ' agreements incompatible with it. Article 11 The present treaty will be operative within 15 years since the day it enters into force. If neither of the high con- tracting parties declares a year before the expiry of this term its desire to terminate the treaty, it will remain in force for the next five yearp and so henceforth until one of the high contracting parties makes a year befo the expiry of the curre -five-year period a writte warning on its intention tia terminate it. Article 12 The present treaty is sub- ject to ratification and shall come into force on the day 'of exchange of ratification , instruments, which will talr place in Moscow in the nea - , est future. The present treaty is done In two copies, each in Rus- sian and Arabic, with both texts, being equally authentic. Done in the city of Cairo on May 27, 1971, which Cor- responds to 3 Rabia as Said, 1391, liejira. For the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. N. PODGORNY. For the United Arab Re-' .public. ANWAR SADAT. Approved For Release 1999/09/0?6: CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 25X1 C1 Ob Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Apgaaligigagasia99/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-011944A929971240001-9 THE HERETIC'S HOMECOMING Yugoslav President Tito, responding to a Soviet initiative, visited the Soviet Union from 6 to 10 June. Soviet media gave extensive coverage to Tito's visit., playing up the warmth of his reception and the prospects of further Yugoslav-Soviet cooperation. On the day of his arrival in Moscow, Tito was given the Order of Lenin, the first time in his long and controversial career as a Communist, dating back to the 1917 Bolshevik Revolution, that he was so honored by the Kremlin. Before he left Moscow, Tito became the first foreigner ever to he awarded a Soviet marshal's sabre. Despite this ostentatious wooing of Tito and the openly warm response on the part of the Yugoslays, there is no indication that significant new agreements were reached that would change the basic positions of either country. Ever since Tito's break with Stalin in 1948, a constant factor in. Yugoslavia's relations with the Soviet Union has been Belgrade's adamant insistence that such relations be based on "mutual recognition of the principles of full sovereignty, independence, equality, mutual respect and noninterference in internal affairs for any reason whatever." As the only sovereign nonaligned Communist state in East Europe, Yugoslavia has also demanded of the Kremlin recognition of these same principles in party-to-party relations. The lowest points in Yugoslav-Soviet relations have invariably stemmed from Soviet policies and actions in direct disregard for these principles, such as the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968. The Yugoslays had followed the exciting days of the "Prague Spring" with high expectations that a moderate Soviet reaction to Czech attempts to find their own democratic way to socialism would signal basic changes in Kremlin policies that could lead to a democratization of the Soviet Union itself and a general easing of world tensions. Tito himself played an active role in trying to influence the Kremlin leaders toward moderation. There was shock and dismay in Belgrade when Soviet tanks rumbled into Prague in August 1968 and Yugoslav-Soviet relations reached their lowest point since the break with Stalin. Then, just three years later, the man who advocated the "limited sovereignty of states in the socialist commonwealth", found it necessary to go to Belgrade and pay lip service to Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Yugoslavia's "sovereignty, independence, and equality." The task could not have been pleasant or easy for Brezhnev. Further- more, warming up to the maverick Communists in Belgrade risked encouraging feelings of independence and nationalism in the other Communist states of East Europe. It could also add to the already confused and divided situation existing among many Communist parties by providing further stimulus for those "naive and misguided" nationalists who, disdainful of Moscow's leadership, seek their own roads to Socialism. It could, in addition, further inflame nationalistic and liberal elements in the ethnic republics of the USSR itself. Clearly, in taking this initiative, the men in the Kremlin must have been motivated by reasons they considered to be of the highest priority to Soviet foreign policy objectives -- reasons that extend well beyond even the broadest concept of bilateral Yugoslav-Soviet relations. True, Moscow fully appreciates Yugoslavia's strategic geographical location, its hundreds of miles of Adriatic coast- line, ideal for naval bases adjacent to the Mediterranean, as well as Yugoslavia's location astride air and land routes from Europe to the Middle East, The Kremlin also appreciates the fact that Tito has recently celebrated his 80th birthday and that once his charisma and forceful leadership have left the scene his successors will be faced with difficult political problems in keeping the six Yugoslav republics and various nationality groups united. In the post-Tito era, good relations with Yugoslavia could facilitate broader Soviet contacts with Yugoslav leaders and might even provide an opportunity for a greater degree of Soviet influence in Belgrade's future policies. The above factors were undoubtedly considered by Brezhnev and . his foreign policy advisors. However, in view of the major risks involved, other factors, broader in scope and more vital to Soviet interests, probably played the decisive role in Brezhnev's courting of Tito. The basic decision appears to have been made in line with "a sweeping program for world peace" presented by Brezhnev to the 24th Congress of the CPSU, just five months before he went to Belgrade. The overriding concern of the CPSU at this congress was the problem of China and the need to consolidate the Soviet position in Europe. Brezhnev's "peace program" emphasized "peaceful coexistence" between the Socialist and non-Socialist camps, to include specifically, "detente in Europe" and "the convocation of an all- European conference"; the "conclusion of treaties banning nuclear, chemical and bacteriological weapons"; "invigoration of the struggle to halt the race in all types of weapons"; and "mutually advantageous cooperation in every sphere with other interested states." 2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 To lessen the possible negative consequences of embracing Tito and engaging in detente with the West, Moscow, in a move that appears to many Westerners as a puzzling contradiction, also laid the groundwork at the 24th Party Congress for a concerted hard- line campaign for ideological unity in the communist camp subsequently has included some of the strongest attacks against "revisionism" and "separate roads to socialism" that have emanated from the Kremlin since the days of Stalin. A central thesis in this campaign appeared in the main journal of the Central Committee of the CPSU, Kommunist (issue No. 3, February 1972), entitled, "The Falsifiers of Scientific Communism and Their Bankruptcy." The vehemence and scope of this Soviet drive against both "right-Wing" and "left-wing" revisionism was such that some responsible Western observers predicted a Kremlin move to formulate a new Comintern or Cominform. It does, indeed, reflect the duality of current Soviet policies that this concerted drive against "revisionism" reached its highpoint only after Brezhnev had gone to Belgrade where he acknowledged the continued validity of Yugoslavia's independent form of Socialism and policy of nonalignment. Underlining Yugoslavia's determination to make this acknowledge- ment a reality and to remain politically independent and nonaligned, at Yugoslav insistence the joint communique issued at the conclusion of the Tito visit made no mention of "proletarian" or "socialist internationalism" or "socialist commonwealth," terms which had been defined by Moscow since the Brezhnev Doctrine to rationalize its political hegemony over its East European satellites.* Perhaps more striking evidence of Yugoslavia's continued nonalignment was provided when, just two days after Tito's return to Belgrade, the USS Springfield, a modern cruiser of the NATO Mediterranean Fleet, dropped anchor at the Yugoslav Adriatic port of Dubrovnik for a three-day visit. *Last September the Soviets had been able to persuade Tito to refer to "proletarian internationalism" in the Communique issued after Brezhnev's visit to Belgrade. The disappearance of this phrase from the latest Communique may seem to be a small point -- but for the Yugoslays it is a very important one. 3 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 IWASHINGTON POST 14 June 1972 cl ? 3ovte s Court Tito CPYRGHT In Detente Irive ? By Robert G. Kaiser WaShirigion Post Foreign Service MOSCOW, June 13?Pres- ident Tito of Yugoslavia had planned to be in Poland today, but instead he is at home in Belgrade. The Poles are most anxious for Tito to pay them a visit, but they asked him please not to stop News Analysis on his way home from Mos- cow, as Tito suggested. War- saw, it seems, would prefer a separate, diplomatically distinct Tito .visit. They'll get one next week. Josip Broz Tito, just 80 and the newest recipient of the Soviet Union's highest honor, the Order of Lenin, seems to be ending his ca- reer with unprecedented re- spect from all quarters, in- cluding his old adversaries in the orthodox Communist world. His comings and goings have not always been so carefully orchestrated. His visit last week to Mos- cow, which prodeced no dra- matic results, reconfirmed the new understanclIngs Tito has reached with the heirs of Stalin?who regarded him as an enemy. The Sovi- ets went even farther than . they had last September, when Leonid I3rezhnev went to Belgrade, to demonstrate tolerance for Yugoslavia's special brand of commu- nism. The final communique re- fleeted Yugoslav positions : on all important points. It , reiterated Soviet under- ' standing ? that Yugoslavia was on its own path to so- cialism. Last September, the Soviets persuaded Tito to refer to "proletarian inter- nationalism" in the coinmu-; nique after Brezhnev's visit, ? a phrase typically used only by Moscow and its satellites. Last week that phrase disap- peared from the commu- nique. A small point, per- haps, but one taken seri- ously by the Yugoslays. It is arguable that the Russians are happier with Tito than they were last September, because in the interim he showed a firm hand to wayward Croatian nationalists. The Soviet. press praised him on this count before he arrived last week. Nevertheless, the funda- mental differences of policy THE NEW YORK TIMES 11 JUNE 1972 Order of Lenin to a Former Pariah and attitude which nave tong separated Moscow and Belgrade still exist. The So- viets have obviously decided to accept these differences, and to bestow all the sym- bols of warm friendship on Tito despite them. The ques- tion remains, why?, Embracing Tito's unortho- dux policies?and an em- brace, plus kisses, is just what the Yugoslav leader got here' more than once? may not be easy to explain to the satellites of East Eu- rope, as Yugoslays here ? point out. The leaders of Po- land and Hungary, to men- tion two, might be Inter- ; 'ested in such blessing for ' their own unorthodoxies in ' the future. . The Soviets are obviously: prepared to take this' risk: (and Poland's courting of Tito suggests that it may be. real.) What do they get in . return? First, as diploinats and-, - other observers here note,: they win friends in Yugosla- via, perhaps hedging against the post-Tito era, whenever it may come. From the Yu- goslav point of view, Brezh- nev's new reasonableness is. merely a sensible recogni- tion of the realities. Yugo.- slays seem impressed by. Brezhnev's calm, rational approach to foreign policy, and they are happy to see it applied to them. In a broader sense, the,Sre viet position improves the: Soviet Union's image at an ; important moment in Euro- pean history, on the appar- ent eve of a European secu- rity conference. The Soviets . are aware that their inter-: vention in Czechoslovakia in 1968 had disastrous conse- quences on Moscow's stand- ing in other world capitals. - It certainly helps overcome memories of Czechoslovakia to see Brezhnev kissing Tito:- at a Moscow airport. ' The Yugoslays believe the r new rapprochment with Moscow is more than sym- bolic. They now expect sig- nificant economic agree-,, ments to be signed before - the end of the year; for inst- ance, and they hope for long-term development of .- Soviet-Yugoslav trade rela- tions. The Yugoslays have seri- ous and immediate needs ' ?for investment capital and technological assistance and they are looking to Moscow to provide both, as well as markets for Yugoslav con- sumer goods. If these Yugoslav expecta- tions prove , justified, and if ' Moscow adheres to its prom- ises to respect Yugoslavia's ? independent path to soc.al- ism, then Tito's visit to r ''- cow?perhaps the last make as Yugoslavia's presi- dent?may seem morc portant in the 'future I hs it does today. dared, "I shall shake my little finger and there will be no more Tito," the tributes of the current masters of the Kremlin must have seemed sweet in- deed, especially since he was able to ? keep firmly to his own political line. No sooner had President Tito of Yilgoslavia landed last Monday in Mos- cow for his first visit since Soviet troops rumbled into Czeclaoslovakia in 1968, provoking his most recent pcditi- cal clash with Moscow, than he was hUstled Off to a Kremlin ceremony Where he was honored with -the Order of Lenin. He was praised for participa- tion in the 1917 Bolshevik revolution arIA rr,nn fnr onntrihIltintts tn Snviet- MOSCOW?To a man once vilified ealercld919/09PO2VPAIRD107 t e pas . -For Marshal Tito personally, it was Yugoslav friendship. No one uttered by Moscow AusocroVettvFlegaiRel and an agent df Ainerican imperialism Sind of whom Stalin once angrily ? de- ? a vindication of ,Ms ludepuodat for- eign policy course and a dcmonstra- tion of his durability at 80. For the Soviet party leader, Leonid 13rezhnev, and the other Kremlin rul- ers, President Tito's arrival constituted a tacit, though belated, acceptance of the Soviet triumph in Czechoslovakia and a demonstration of the present nOrmalization in Moscow's ties with Belgrade after the post-1968 chill. For the long run there was a more delicate balance. With Europe moving into an era of detente, Moscow wanted to draw Yugoslavia back toward closer coop,Ith:- 1 W ran "6- - _and ew _sra from affiliation with the 9-01484A0002004r400044t, as well as to bolster its influence among President Tito's potential successors. YRGHT PYRGH- Marshal Tito saw the trip as an op- portunity to renew Soviet acquiescence for his tionaAgcxvi,taNk..)=KA own brand onallullitedia`g ?yell' as to bolster his own party apparatus which has been under strain from nationalist tensions in Croatia. The public emphasis was on friend- ship, harmony, and mutual dedication to Leninist principles; but for all the cordiality, Marshal Tito and Mr. Brezh- nev talked like men on two different wave-lengths in their speeches to a Kremlin banquet Monday and later in the week. While Mr. Brezhnev was claiming that the new mood of East-West de- tente sprang from the increased might of Communist states and was talking big-power politics. Marshal Tito cred- ited the "substantial" role of the non- aligned states in promoting peaceful coexistence. He dwelt on the need to meet the "aspiration and desires of the younger generation" and to "bridge the gap" between rich and poor na- tions?categories that make Mcscow uncomfortable because it gets lumped with the Western powers. Moreover, after a midweek over- night trip to the La tviart capital of Riga, Marshal The found occasion to vaunt Yugoslav economic meats to to workers at a Moscow ball- bearing factory Friday. Not only did he claim that Yugoslavia's system of worker self-management socialism had produced one of the highest growth rates in the world, but he ticked off statistics likely to make Soviet work- ers envious-170 radio sets, 100 TV sets and 42 cars per thousand of popu- lation?and he invited them to come see for themselves. "Our frontiers are peaceful and open?crossed by more tourists each year than we have population," he said in outlining the benefits of Bel- grade's policy of nonalignment and friendship toward virtually all nations. When it came to writing the joint communique at the end of the week, this bold language was muted. The communique spoke of a "cordial, friendly and frank" atmosphere. In the Communist lexicon the word "frank" was a tipoff to continuing differences. But the differences were not made public. Instead there was a catalogue of topics Vietnam, the Middle East, disarmament ? on which Soviet and Yugoslav views largely coincide, and there were routine references to past agreements that have been taken as affirming Yugoslavia's; ri:ht to pur- sue a policy on nonalignment and ide- ological independence, The language, in fact, was consider- ably less clear-cut than a similar Tito- Brezhnev declaration issued last Sep- tember, and there was no immediate indication whether President Tito had.. gotten promisApprovedchorge Soviet markets, as some of his aides had hoped, in order to reverse the with Prime Nlinister Eisaku Sato, who is unfavorable shift in Soviet-Yugoslav exec-a:led i 1.1,? Lir& th fetg weeks, ledtaeet991/09/02r.: CIA-RDP79-DialiV4A,epffiA9A1 k in ,Vdidates Nonetheless, among the thousands to succeed Sato?Foreign Minister Takeo who flocked to watch the maverick Yugoslav leader being driven to Vnu- kovo airport in an open limousine with Mr. Brezimey at his side, there were some Muscovites who privately re- spected him as "a fox", deftly playing off East and West until the end of his career. The real question was whether his deftness and his subtly maintained in- dependence would become more of a' model for other East European states in the new era of detente in Central Europe, or whether Moscow had suc- cessfully signaled to its Warsaw Pact allies that Marshal Tito was a special case, now carefully contained?and that the example 1'7 hart better re- member was C7.7.1- ? In his talks with Japanese officials, Kissinger emphasized that relations with Tokyo remain the basis of U.S. foreign policy in Asia. And he insisted: "We are Fukucla and Minister of International Trade and Industry Kakuei Tanaka. In addition, the Japanese Government de- liberately arranged for Kissinger to meet with members of the opposition Socialist Party as well as with scores of busi- nessmen, journalists, scholars and offi- cials representing virtually every politi- cal point of view in Japan. Given these circumstances, it seemed unlikely that the swift-moving Kissinger would in- dulge his penchant for flying off 5ecretly to some other capital just because he happened to be in the neighborhood. In fact, his Japanese hosts had crammed so many appointments into his three-day visit that the Nixon Administration's lead- ing swinger was left with little time even for ilightelubbing in the Ginza. SOVIET UNION: Wooing an Old Adversary not casting Japan adrift." (That theme Compared with the coolly correct re- was also tm(lerscored by U.S. Secretary ception given President Nixon when he of Health, Education and Welfare Elliot first touched down in Moscow last Richardson, who told a session of the month, the welcome that Soviet leaders influential Japanese-American Assembly bestowed on Marshal Josip Broz Tito in Shimoda, "Japan continues to be the last week was downright fervent. United States' prime ally in Asia.") Though he had been notably absent for But for their part, the Japanese made the Nixon arrival, party chief Leonid it dear that they wanted more than a Brezhnev was on .hand at Vnukovo Air- mere ego massage. Instead, they expect- port to plant a comradely kiss on the ed "substantive discussions" and specific Yugoslav President's cheek. And while guidance as to what role Washington en- Mr. Nixon was sped into town in a closed visions for Japan in Asian defense. They car, Tito was driven slowly in an open also wanted a line on U.S. thinking re- I:mousine along a route lined with bun- garding China: how rapidly and in what dreds of thousands of cheering Musco- ways the U.S. plans to cultivate relations vites. To show that they harbored no ill with Peking and whether the U.S. strate- feelings toward the man who broke with gic commitment to Chiang Kai-shek's Na- Stalin and the Soviet bloc almost a tionalist regime on Taiwan is really solid, quarter of a century ago, the Soviet At the same time they wanted to be leaders presented Tito with their court- filled in on the Peking and Moscow sum- try's highest civilian award, the Order mit meetings to reassure themselves that of Lenin. President Nixon had not made secret Given his long and stormy relationship agreements that might leave Japan out in with Moscow, however, it was doubtful the cold, that the crusty old marshal was overly Suspicion: Kissinger 's task was made impressed by this show of friendship. In all the more difficult because the Japa- fact, since the Soviet invasion of Czecho- nese regard him as the prime architect slovakia in 1968, Tito has been warier of many of the policies that have strained than ever of Russian objectives. Just last U.S.-Japanese relations. They pointedly summer, concerned over rumors that the note that Kissinger does not have a single Russians might intervene in Rumania, recognized expert on Japanese affairs on the Yugoslav President reiterated his his staff and sonic of them even charge determination to defend his own coun- him with indulging in a "love affair" with try's independence against "anybody." China?a suspicion reinforced by occa- By last fall, Yugoslav-Russian relations sional Kissingerian remarks contrasting were so strained that Brezhnev traveled . the alleged elegance of Chinese culture to Belgrade in an effort to assure Tito with what he sees as the stiffness and that the "Brezhnev doctrine," under commercialism of the Japanese. Thus, which the Soviet Union claims the right many Japanese leaders viewed Kissin- to intervene in Socialist-bloc countries, ger's fence-mending visit as an oppor- did not apply to Yugoslavia. tunity to educate Mr. Nixon's chief In Moscow last week, however, Tito foreign:policy adviser on the tremen- made it plain that these assurances had dons importance of japan in the global not been enough to erase his suspicions scheme of things. of Soviet intentions. "No threat to in- s t As part of that educational zess dependence, wheresa and under -,t, a. leeise199910942 oe.% , e 09-01194A000s20044110Mmay wid CPY CPYRGHT his o t. ata Kremlin banquet, "should : be tolerated." In response, the Soviet leaders reportedly gave him private promises that they .had no designs. on Yugoslavia. To sweeten the pot, the - Russians were expected to hold out the possibility of increased Soviet investment in Yugoslavia and improved trade re- lations between the two countries. Goals: In taking such a conciliatory line, the Soviets had a number of objec- tives in mind. They wanted Tito's stamp of approval on the Soviet-American sum- mit accords and on their proposal for a .. European security conference?both of which the Marshal did endorse during - iS S ay fri ). co e a s wanted his agreement to the establish- ment of Soviet bases in the -Adriatic?a proposition that Tito has repeatedly re- jected in the past. Beyond that, the Soviets were anxious to improve their long-term ties with Yugoslavia in the hope that they will be in position to exert increased influence in Belgrade after Tito, now 80, passes from the scene. Until that time, however, it seemed un- likely that there would be any funda- mental change in relations between the two countries. "Important differences still remain," commented a Yugoslav in Moscow last week. "We still have our own theories and our own Yugoslavian path to socialism." TIME 19 June 1972 - COMMUNISTS Heretic's Homecoming CPYRGHT CPYRGHT mined than ever, at least in part because YUgoslavia'S independent bra MI Ur Marxism exerts an unsettlim, i"fl.. ence upon the rest of Eastern Europe. Moscow is also motivated by a de- For years he was reviled as an arch- traitor of Communism, the heretic who destroyed the unity of the Marxist faith. But last week, in a dramatic culmina, tion of a historic reversal of Soviet pol- icy, Yugoslav President Josip Broz Tito was treated to arhero's welcome in Mos- cow. At a state dinner in Tito's honor, Soviet Party Leader Leonid Brezhnev did not even allude to the earlier dis- agreements that led to the 1948 break between Stalin and Tito. Instead. Brezh, nev praised Tito for "your friendly at- titude toward our country." In perhaps the most ironic turnabout of all, Tito, who reached 80 last month, was award- ed the. Order of Lenin, the highest So- viet decoration, which is reserved for the Communist faithful. It was more or less as if Pope Leo X had conferred Rome's blessings upon Martin Luther, Twice before, the Soviets have made major efforts to win back Yugoslavia, but each time those overtures collapsed because of troubles within the East blot:. This time the Soviets seem more deter- sire to consolidate its position in Eu- rope as a preparatory step to the Con- ference on European Security. Owing to the growth of Soviet seapoWer, Yu- goslavia is strategically far more impor- tant than ever to Moscow, which wants a riLval base on the Adriati" fQr it. ships in in the Mediterranean. The Sovi- ets also seek to reassert their former "elder brother" status in Yugoslavia so that they will have a direct influence in the maneuvering that is bound to fol.- - low Tito's death or retirement. The Yugoslays are fully aware of the Russian motives. Nonetheless, they believe that the timing is promising for improving relations with Moscow with- out sacrificing their own unique polit- ical and economic system. The Yugo- slays would like to sell more goods to Russia in return for technical equip- ment and raw materials. Now, they feel, the Soviets could not put undue pres- sure on them for political concessions without jeopardizing Moscow's policy of detente with the West. 140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 3 AliialagiFalaggfig4099/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A0002)00140001-9 SHORT SUBJECTS JUST FRIENDLY SUBCONTINENTAL MEDDLING? New Delhi questions whether those monthly Soviet-sponsored press parties are a matter of public relations or a matter of monkey business. The attached reprint of an article from the New Delhi Organizer of 20 May cites several cases of known Soviet attempts to bribe Indian journalists and to warn them against publishing anti-Soviet commentaries -- all of which do little to ease India's sensitivities about foreigners meddling in their internal affairs. In addition, India cannot be too elated over apparently justified Bangladesh suspicions that the Soviets had a hand in helping the Bangladesh Student Union (the Bangla Chhatra Union) come out the winners inTaast-spling's stormy student elect ions In Bangladesh, student politicians are taken very seriously because the campuses have spawned and spearheaded many important movements, including the agitation for independence from Pakistan. Sources in Dacca say that the pro-Moscow faction of the Student Union never has had the popular following that would have permitted it to score the sweeping victory it achieved in universities in Dacca, Rajshahi and Mymensingh in late May. In fact, they say, during the late 1950's and through the 60's its members (then the East Pakistan Student Union) did the students and people of Bangladesh a disservice by acting in such an irresponsible fashion as to invite a crackdown against the whole student movement of which the Student Union was only a small part. In the late 60's the Union had split into pro- Moscow and pro-Peking factions and were not really reconciled until the pro-Peking faction decided (despite Chinese aid to Pakistan) to support the Bangladesh independence struggle? They say in Dacca that it has been with the Bangladesh Student Union, and especially its leadership which retains a warm spot for Peking that Soviet "cultural" officers in Dacca have been the most active. Active, in fact, to the extent to having given a financial subsidy to the Bangla Chhatra Union for the purpose of fighting the elections. Some in Dacca are even going so far as to suggest that the Soviets, actually uncomfortable with Sheikh %jib's moderation, saw the undercutting of his party affiliate in the universities as a step toward strengthening the pro-Soviet National Awami Party with whom the Student Union group is affiliated. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 ORGANISER, New Delhi 20 May 1972 SOVIET BID TO BRIBE INDIAN PRESS CPYRGHT ? NEW DELHI.? An impression i. training ground that ever since the signing of the 20- year Treaty, Soviet Russia has begun to treat this country as its domain. There are a number of pointers to confirm such an opinion. Recently a number of MPs have written to the Prime Minister .complaining of p-olitical interference by some Russian diplomats in our internal matters. They have asked for a probe into the incidents they have mentioned in this context. For example, it is said that Shri Morozov and Shri V. I. Gurgenov of the USSR Information Centre in Cal-. culla have recently tried to influence the editor of "Sat ya jug", a Bengali newspaper' published from Calcutta, and supporting CRI(M) policies. Large financial assistance was offered by the Russian dip- lomats to this paper to persuade it to lend support to ti-v, CPI. They also warned the editor against publishing anti-Soviet articles. When .the said editor refused the ? said Russian offer, he was ' reportedly threatened with consequences ,which might even lead to the closure of the paper by the Gov&ii- ment of India. This means that the Russians took the - hacking of the. Government in the matter for granted. Again, Shri A. A. Fill- ? penko of the Madras Infor- mation Mice of the Rus- sian Embassy is? reported. to , have visited Kerala some- ? tune back and met a num- ber of editors and publi- shers. The mission was aimed at enlisting support of Indian journalists and intellectuals to write arti- cles in favour of the Soviet Union. Shri Filipenko wanted articles and material pre- pared-by the Russian Infor- mation centre to be publish- ed in as many journals and newspapers as possible, of course, on fancy payments. I3ut he was told by the per- son l approached that what- ever material he wanted to be published could be ac- commodated, but as paid advertisements. Even otherwise, a study of pro-Russian articles or propaganda material ap- pearing. in a number of :newspapers, partieularly ?n ?some regional papers, stiew, that Russians buy space ,at regular editions rather than putting out advertisements in special supplements. Shri Filipenko, it is. stet- ed. had to face- hostile ques- tions when he tried to in- fluence "Deepika", -a Catho- lic daily and, "Chandrik,'", a journal operated by the Muslim League in Calicut. There -may be many .sueh examples which have not, come to light, ? 1 An Indian employee of Approved vFor Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 the USSR Information Centre at Calcutta, who is a member of the local CPI, and against whom a few, criminal cases are pending, is busy doing public rela- tions for the Russians. This particular employee was ? involved in a scuffle with a member of the CPI(M) in which he is stated to have. stabbed the CPI(M) man in the back, causing him grave 'injury But in spite of his tn- volvement in criminal cases which are pending against - him at the Kharclah police station, this inployee con- tinues to w.,,k in, the Rus- sian Embassy without being challenged by the local authorities. Obviously, Russians have influenced the local authori- ties so much that they do not take any notice of the Activities of this 'efficient' employee of the USSR In- formation Centro In. Delhi,. wo,. almost every month, the USSR (In- formation Centre throw grand party where a big crowd of journalists?and others who parade as jour- nalists. or -even those Who do not pretend as such?are .invited and . drinks flow in, gallons. ? CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200140001-9 U.S. NEWS AND WORLD REPORT 12 June 1972 CPYRGHT WHY THE ON GROUND WAR/117 A new spirit?part willing- ness to fight, part confidence Reds can be whipped--is found on major battlefields visited by James N. Wallace of "U. S. News & World Report." Still ahead: difficult days for Saigon, and no guarantee of survival. Top Allied officers?once privately pessimistic over South Vietnam's chances of military survival?now are starting to predict . openly that the tide could be turning against the Communist "go for broke" offensive. Is this just another case of misplaced optimism? American commanders have been mis- led by South Vietnamese performance in the past. On more than one occasion. expectations of victory have been erased by lightning success of the enemy on the battlefield. No responsible commander believes Hanoi has yet been defeated. Heavy fighting?even clefeat-dcould still come at An Loc, Kontum or Hue. ' New spirit. Yet, from air-conditioned conference rooms in Saigon to stifling-hot front-line command posts, a new confi- dence is replacing the despair that was so prevalent just a few weeks ago when South Vietnamese troops, deserted by their commanders, fled in panic? from Quang Tri Province. The reasons: ? Saigon's long-denigrated Army bas proved it has the ability?when it has the leadership and the will?to hold on against seemingly impossible odds. ? American air power, still essential. to South Vietnam's military survival, is stiffening Saigon's willingness to fight. , ? Hanoi is suffering tremendous bat- tle casualties. U. S. warplanes and Navy ships have cut the flow of Soviet and Chinese mar supplies into North Viet- nam to "close to zero," according to U. S. Defense Department officials. ? Most significant, perhaps, South Vietnam's vteorLle are 1ajr do- term ilia tioiAP PACK@ LIfft?Eiggi tffe been seen in earlier years of fighting. CD TA FM Ls icQril Tir7i'Mhst7] 'Visits to the three "hot spots" in South Vietnam provide a closer look at what's behind the official optimism. ON HIGHWAY 13 NEAR AN LOC Tho bloody slugging match along -this rocket-scarred highway and in the dev? astated provincial capital of An Loo a ?few frustrating miles to the north is dramatic evidence of the shift in atti- tudes and determination seen elsewhere in South Vietnam. An Loc, GO miles north of Saigon, hardly is a town any longer. It is a bat- tered rubble licap, looking more like a borabed-out German city in World War II than it once sleepy trading center for nearby rubber plantations. The town was not even a particularly significant military target, except as an obstacle to the quick Bed thrust toward Saigon, which some military analysts be- lieve was one of Hanoi's early goals in the current invasion. But, under siege, An Loc became both a Symbol and an example of how the newest phase of the war is being fought. An idle boast. The Communists, who evidently wanted An Loc as a pro- vincial capital for their "liberation front" government, proclaimed in early April that it would be captured within a few days. South Vietnamese President Nguyen Van Thieu, stung by the col- lapse of his forces at Quang Tri, ordered the town held "at all costs.' The fight for An Loc, which started April 7, turned into a house-to-house, bunker-by-bunker contest. Air strikes were ordered on houses as close as 50 feet to South Vietnamese positions. When Communist soldiers fled to neigh- boring buildings, Saigon troops shot An Loc undoubtedly would have fall- en quickly except for massive U. S. air support, military experts believe. The Communists had overwhelming superiori- ty in artillery, much of it captured from South Vietnamese forces farther north. An average of 2,000 rounds of artillery, rocket and mortar fire poured down on An Loc every day. Some days, more than 7,000 rounds slammed in. 19tV09Y0128i:VMORDP09-011.394 shelling has been U. S. air power, includ- 1 ing the most concentrated 11-b2 bomb- ing of the entire war-21 strikes within 5 miles of the town's besieged garrison in a Single 24-hour period in mid-MaY. Trading punches. On one recent day, described by field commanders aS fairly typical, Communist gunners fired 2,100 rounds. at An Loc, nd were hit ht turn by 150 air strikes-13-52s, fighter- bombers and helicopter gunships. On Highway 13, where a drive to re- lieve An Loc' creeps forward with ago- nizing slowness, criticism is heard that South Vietnam's troops are too depend- ent our American air power. A U. S. ad- viser complains: ? "They do not pesh out hard enongli on the ground. They figure every tree line is full of the enemy, so they wait for it to be arc-lighted [the code name. for B-52 strikes]. They want to walk to An Loc through bomb craters." But military observers emphasize that air power alone did not save An Lac from, early capture. The decisive factor a.as that tLc dcf..,_?dera, unlike there at Quang Tri, did not break and nm from artillery barrages. A similar will to stand under fire, these experts .stress, would be equally decisive elsewhere. 13oth sides have taken pi m loss- es at An Loc, which some officer. e- mits, be the most costly single battle et the war. South Vietnamese dead and svounded have been estinuiteii at 40 to 50 daily. The entire Fifth Division de- fending the city will have to iw "com-? ? pletely overhauled," sources reec: t. But Hanoi has lost at Aii the equivalent of an entire infantry di,?ion !?more than 10,000 killed and wounded. The Communists' Ninth Division was reported so badly mauled lett it has merged with two other units. Has the effort been worthwhii Very much so, say Allied oil Ac- cording to a ranking South Vietnalei.?,e: "Hanging onto An Loc has been a big morale booster. It proves that, mai, for man, we are as good as the enemy." Equally important, says this officer; An Loc shows the vital importance of the commanding general, his staff and his American advisers staying in the midst of battle. The panic at Quang A:PiaMan tOnsiv#.-sraNialiv-i9sermsniglIder ougtc."n- U1-)Y1-