CA PROPAGANDA PERSPECTIVES

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CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2
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November 1, 1972
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Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01 194A000200110001-2 DC fCA, Y RSPECTIVE 111",W?a) Propaganda PERSPECTIVES OCTOBER-NOVEMBER 1972 VIETNAMESE COMMUNIST BLOODBATH: MYTH OR REALITY? i LIBYA FINANCES REVOLUTION - WORLDWIDE PITY THE SOVIET FARMER DEMOCRATIC SOCIALISM AND THE CZECH TRIALS SHORT SUBJECTS SOVIET-DANISH MISUNDERSTANDINGS MOSCOW BLENDS INTO THE LOCAL SCENE P-L IMMET CL OY.L.; .a.t.l. 25X1C10b Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01 194A000200110001-2 25X1C10b L Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 25X1C10b 01-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02- CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 L Approved. For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 FbR BACKGROUND USE ONLY October - November 1972 VIETNAMESE COM41jNIST BLOODBATH: MYTH OR R~.AJXFY"? From time to time controversy arises as to whether the Viet- namese Communists would perpetrate a bloodbath if they succeeded in gaining control of South Vietnam. The controversy has arisen again in the pages of the press because of an essay by one D. Gareth Porter, a young graduate student at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, on for his anti-Vietnam war views. The essay once again tries to dispute the well established fact that the North Vietnamese leadership in the mid-fifties conducted a blood- bath in liquidating great numbers of opponents of their regime during a "land reform" at the time. There have been other "Porters" in the past who have similarly tried to discount or minimize the fact of past communist bloodbaths and the possibility of future bloodbaths. The chief argument of "revisionist" historians like Porter rests on the idea that the exact number of persons liquidated is in doubt and cannot be proved. By this logic., Stalin's wholesale liquidation of real and imagined oppositionists during his land reform in the early thirties can also be called (and indeed for years was called) a myth by the Porters of the time since the exact number of his victims was in doubt and. could not be verified. In a way, it comes down to a "numbers game": how many hundreds or thousands have to be arbitrarily murdered before one speaks of a bloodbath? Other arguments of the revisionist historians are equally specious. They cite mistranslation and misinterpretations of North Vietnamese official pronouncements concerning such matters, but it is hard to see how their "corrected" translations are a warrant for believing the massacres did not take place. Also, while discounting voluminous non-Communist testimony and research as anti-Communist "propaganda," they, at the same time, typically take North Vietnamese accounts, for example of the land reform, at face value, They ignore the undisputed fact, acknowledged even by the Communist regimes, that their mass media are used primarily to influence opinion i.e. to propagandize, and only secondarily to impart factual information. Distortion of facts and. out-and-out lies by Communist mass media as well as in official pronouncements of various kinds are familiar phenomena. While it is quite legitimate to re-examine the historical record, it is a patently unsound research practice (to put the most charitable view on it) to accept only the Coimnunist version as being correct and. either to ignore contrary views resulting from serious research, or denigrate them as mere "anti-Communist propaganda." Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 The revisionist historians' arguments are examined closely and at length, and effectively refuted in a New York Times Magazine article of 15 October 1972 by John S. Carroll, a U. . correspon ent for many years in Vietnam and now Washington correspondent of the Baltimore Sun. Revisionist views are also challenged by a number of other persons eminently qualified to address the problem by virtue of their first-hand experience in Vietnam and talks with numbers of North Vietnamese who fled South from the land reform terror. Their views, expressed in letters to the editor of the Washington Post, as well as-Carroll's investigation, are attached hereto. See especially also Washington Star columnist Crosby Noyes' succinct and persuasive statement. Reproduced as an attachment also are two sections of a book- let, The Vietcong Strategy of:Terror by Douglas Pike, one of the ranking experts: on North Vietnam and Vietcong. In these sections he recounts carefully the 1968 mass murders by the Com- munists in Hue, and painstakingly catalogues cases of atrocities by Vietnamese Communists between 1960 and 1970. This record of Communist terrorism is supplemented by the attached newspaper accounts of Communist atrocities since the beginning of the invasion launched last March. Taken together, these public accounts provide a reliable and fairly comprehensive record of Communist terror from which each !reader can decide for himself what would most likely happen in the event of a Comunist takeover of South Vietnam. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 CI YRGHTApproved For.Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01I94A000200110001-2 CPYRGHT NEW YORK TIMES MAGAZINE 15 October 1972 AFTER WE GET OUT, WILL THERE BE A BLOODBATH IN. SOUTH VIETNAM? 1 $y john S. Carroll What would happen if the United States cut off all the guns, bullets and bombs the Thicu regime needs to survive? George McGovern, who promises to do just that if given the chance, has a scenario. First, President Thicu and his colleagues would clear out of Saigon. A coalition would emerge which would initially embrace all the major elements on South Vietnam's richly variegated political land- scape and then negotiate a merger with the North. Yes, there iwould be bloodshed. Perhaps, McGovern says, sever Al hundred people might be assassinated. This opinion was not reached casually. It is groundefl in a number of current writings in the press, plus scholarly publications and memos from such authorities as Prof. George McT. Kahin, head of the Southeast Asia program at Cornell. Taken together, it is a fascinating body of literature, one which attempts to uproot: much of what pre-Nixon Admii'Iistration historians believed about what hap- pened `.4n a. similar situation-the Communist vic- tory Ins North Vietnam in 1:;54. This ':revisionism has come as a response to President Nixon's strident warnings of a blood- bath in South Vietnam. It was, as we shall see. developed hastily, and then eagerly seized upon by well-meaning writers, lawyers and politicians who wanted to believe that pulling the plug on the Saigon Government would be morally inex- pensive, if not free. Today at least one of the principal assumptions on which the revisionist history rests is not even believed by its own author. Otters are demonstrably false. All this ti, interesting for the effect it could have on the elcq on and, in turn, the effect on foreign policy. Perhaps the voters, after weighing the bloodbath of continued war against the probably smaller bloodbath of a Communist take-over, will choose tJte latter. But they should do so with eyes open. The choice should be painful. As a pro= or anti-war issue, `the bloodbath theory must naturally be considered along with other questions, such as the human cost of the bombing of North Vietnam and the possibility that the Saigon Government will ultimately crumble with or without our sunport. Taken alone, the bloodbath argument says something about the use of "history" in politics. Nixon uses the most 1 extreme accounts of past. killing to predict future mayhem. McGovern, in spite, of his careers as historian and Vietnam spokesman, sweeps the whole problem under the rugby subscribing to shaky re- investigations of the past, de- signed to reach predetermined t oncluslApproved For Release 1999/0 Before dealing with the revisionists. we should look 1 quickly at what is being House. Yet there Is, in sup- revised. Nixon argues that port of his underlying point; a Communist victory would an impressive body of writ- bring death to "perhaps one ing which says there were. million marked for assassina- indeed,. executions on a mass tion because they fought scale in which so-called against North Vietnamese at- "land - reform" tribunals ad- tempts to conquer South Viet- ministered death penalties, Ham." He bases his argument often on the basis of death on captured Communist docu- quotas for each village. For ments, broadcasts and publi- example: cations which speak of "blood Robert Shaplen, the re- debtors," "tyrants" and "re- spected New Yorker corre- actionaries" and on the belief spondent and author of sev- that the Lao Dong (Commu- eral books on Southeast Asia, nist) party of Vietnam has at- including "The Lost Revolu- ,ways consolidated power with tion," estimates that between the use of executions and 40,000 and 50,000 people were terror. The Nixon Administra- killed during the land-reform tion cites any number of in- period. cidents, such as the Vietminh's Hoang Van Chi, a North 1945-4G "coalition" period, or Vietnamese intellectual who current reports of atrocities fled in 1955 and Is now In in hamlets captured since the Washington with the Agency North Vietnamese offensive for International Develop- began last spring. But for the ment, has written that 100,000 most part Nixon aides rest died following a Central Com- their case on two events: the mittee order raising the death "land-reform" program in quota from one to five per North Vietnam after the Com- village. munist victory in' 1954 and Prof. Gdrard Tongas. a the, mass executions in the French Vietminh sympathizer South Vietnamese city of Hue who stayed in North Vietnam in 1968. until 1959 and developed a What took place after the loathing for the regime, 1954 take-over depends on wrote that 100,000 died un- which expert one consults, der a formula of one execu- Speaking last year to the tion per 500 inhabitants American Society of News- "which meant easily an aver- paper Editors, Nixon told of age of 5 or 10 per village." "half a million, by conserva. P. J. Honey, a British au- tive estimates, in North Viet- thority. writes that "hun nam who were murdered or dreds of thousands of patent- otherwise exterminated... " ly guiltless people were done (Nixon's estimates vary. His to death in the most cruel i speec.res suggest that he fashion. "' considers it bad luck, or per- Anita Lauve Nutt, now a haps bad politics, to use the Rand Corporation consultant, same number twice. On the says that as an official in the number of Catholics who fled United States Embassy in Sal the North in 1954, for ex- gon in the mid-nineteen-fifties ample, he has used 1.5 mil- she handled "stacks" of re lion, 550,000 and 800,000, in ports from Vietnamese fami- that order. He is headed in lies whose relatives were the right *iirr.^ti-n; the cor- killed in the land reform. rect number is generally be- Similarly, Robert F. Turner, lieved to be 600,000 to 800,- a researcher at Stanford's 000.) The President's estimate Hoover Institute, writes that /0thVtl "i to ~4AaR9i ah ~gricial In er than almost any to be an e n crviewed found outside the White witnesses from "widely scat- CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 tered parts" of North Viet- nam, including two who had actually been judges In the tribunals. His conclusion: "Whether the actual blood- bath was 300,000 or 500,000 -it '.is quite clear that a ma- jor purge did occur and that the casualties numbered in six digits.?' The" late Bernard B. Fall, one of ? the few scholars to he .held In high regard by doves and hawks alike, wrote: "While jt is obviously impos- sible to,-,,give precise figures, the besdeducated guesses on the sub1~ct are that prob- ably clo3e to 50,000 North Vietna!1 ese were executed in connection with the land re form and that at least twice as Many were arrested and sent: to forced labor camps." - What is the revisionist re- sponse to such a barrage of testimony? There are several counterarguments, the first of which is: Political reprisals after 1954 against those who had aided With the French sim- ply never happened. This ii$ the contention of an arti published in 1969 In Chr, tian Century and widely repeated. The authors, D. Gareth Porter (a junior colleag=ue of Professor Kahin at Co dell) and Len E. Ack- land, rely on the absence of evidence of a bloodbath in reports of the International Contra Commission, the peacekeeping organization set up by the Geneva Confer- ence Ig 1954. "International Control Commission ([.C.C.) reports," the authors begin, "while hot definitive, give us a reasonable account of the situation in North Vietnam after the 1954 accords." On this slender reed, the authors base their conclusion that nothing resembling a blood- bath took place then. The Publication of the Christian Century article was a case of rare timing, On Nov. 3, 1969, only two days before, Nixon had given a hard-line television speech in thousands" dead In "slave labor camps.") Those who wanted to refute the Presi- dent made enthusiastic use of the Christian Century findings. Reports of the I.C.C. were soon being hailed as authoritative accounts of the post-1954 events in North Vietnam. The argu- ment, couched in language almost Identical- to that in the Christian Century, was used in quick succession by Professor Kahin (New York Times Dec. 6, 1969), Tom Wicker (The Times, May 12, 1970), and Clark Clifford (Life, May 22, 1970). It also turned up in a book called "Atrocities in Vietnam: Myths and Realities" by Ed- ward S. Herman. It was the lead-off argument In a study prepared by two Washington lawyers, Charles E. Hill and Frank W. Lloyd III, and in. serted into The Congression. al Record on Aug. 28, 1970, by Senator McGovern. The argument was used as recent- ly- as Sept. 23 of this year, thil time in a column by Clayton Fritchey on the op-ed page of The Washington Post. Apart from the I.C.C.'s structural infirmities - it was the cold war in miniature with Canada on one side, Po- land on the other and a nerv- ous India at the fulcrum- thire are several well-known reasons why the land-reform deaths never turned up in the I.C.C. reports. One is a legal end run the Hanoi regime made around the Geneva regulations. By early 1955, the regime had made a very significant change in its laws to allow political re- prisals to be carried out in the land-reform tribunals-a part of the civil administra- tion which the I.C.C. could not touch. Wilfred Burchett, power. the nro-Hanoi Australian cor- This theme, one of Senator respondent, who would cer- McGovern's favorites, has tainly be the last journalist been sounded again and to fabricate unfavorable sto- again in the literature of the ries about North Vietnam, revisionists. To pluck out one wrote that the legal changes example, the Hill - Lloyd were "partly made necessary stud which Sn e M G a or ow lack of real landowners (those who indeed could be classed as such had of course fled southward in 1954 and 1955) compelled Hanoi to put on trial as 'reactionary land- lords' men and women who were by no stretch of the Imagination rich landowners. In the hands of pro-Pe- king leaders such as th party secretary, Troung ; hinh, every village felt compelled to produce its own 'quota' of such reactionaries. Perhaps 50,000 were executed." Is this really land reform? Professor Kahin goes; be- yond most others in contend- ing that the deaths wer?+:dis- tinct from the take-owk not only in concept, but also in time. He repeatedly ini?cts- in the face of writings "which include a textbook he himself edited-that the death did not take place for more',--than two years after the end of the war. In his Times arl.icle, for example, he criticizes' Nix- on for an "appalling misun- derstanding of what actually happened," and then goes on to demonstrate his own mis- understanding by stating: "It was in the fall of 1956, more than two years after the Ge- neva Armistice that violence c occurred an a significant scale by the no reprisals' clause y' ern ut in the Con ressional People's Tribunals with judg- deaths "actually took place in ments pronounced by the connection with Hanoi's ef- properly constituted provin- forts to mobilize the local cial courts." peasantry and redistribute to One needs only the most peasants land held by Ian#. casual familiarity with the holders, not as planned re- I.C.C. to appreciate the ab- prisal for pre-1954 activities surdity of considering its re- nor to eliminate potential op- ports a "reasonable account." position and consolidate coi4- Bernard Fall provided two ii. trot." McGovern recently re- lustrations in an article in peated much the same state- this Magazine ("How the ment, adding that the killings French Got Out of Vietnam," occurred two years after the May 2, 1965). In North Viet- Communists came to power, nam, the I.C.C. attempted to There can be no serious inspect Haiphong's Catbi air- doubt that the land - refortn port, the largest airfield in courts were used for pur- the country, but permission poses beyond land reform. was denied on grounds that The excesses, which eventu- Catbi "belongs to a private ally stirred rebellion among flying club." That was the the peasantry, even included end of that investigation. In executions of people who South Vietnam, Fall recalled were neither landowners nor asking an Indian I.C.C. offi- collaborators with the French. cial about a U.S. aircraft car- Bernard Fall writes that. "the Her which was clearly violat- ing the rules by unloading warplanes--within sight of Saigon's main thoroughfare. He was told that "officially [emphasis Fall's] we have not been informed of the pres- ence of the aircraft carrier," Recently I spoke by tele- phone with Gareth Porter, co- author of the Christian Cen- tury article which popular- ized the I.C.C. argument. He said then he was soon com- ing out with another article to prove Nixon wrong, but this one would be based on different evidence. He ac- knowledged that the original I.C.C. approach' Is weak: "I don't chink I'd want to base the argument on the I.C.C. re- ports at this point." The second thrust of the antibloodbath argument is as follows: There were executions but they were connected with land reform-not with the Communists' assumption of bath specter, (This time th In the Geneva Agreement. Record c ntends that- the In the north." In another ar- figures were *ro ro c d For ~ ea ti~~Mre G Ri i71$eQrlr 21 E~'pOO1 so far as to mis- .dered" and "hundreds of ish an rep ace by the that -- land reform. The quo a oseph uttinger on the n timing' nlthnt,nh A"tfinnnr Ig Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A00020011000~_VRGHT admirably clear on this point. Buttinger and other histori. ans believe the deaths began 'not two years after the take- over, but in some provinces, slightly before the 1954. vic- tory arid, after a hiatus to stem the southward flow of refugees", again in 1955. The violence', was slowed by the regime in the summer of 1956 when widespread unrest be.. came apparent, but the change in policy' came too late to prevent the peasant rebellion that fall-hich, it should be pointed out took a good part of the No h Vietnamese 325th Division put down, the turisionist arguments: Tle number killed was probably only 10,000 to 15,- 000`-=and that may be high.. The Influential Christian Century article uses the 10,.? 000-15,000 figures and at.. tributes them to Buttinger., However, it is also pointed out that Buttinger's "sympa?? thies lay' with Diem," as if to suggest that he may have been overstating the misdeeds of the North. Among; the historians who are most` respected in this country, s Buttingcr provides the lowest estimate-and the! lowest 1i3- far, as we have seen. It is a fraction of the.. figure used by Bernard Fall. and Robert Shaplen and a. smaller'. fraction still of the figures provided by Gdrard Tongas,' Hoang Van Chi, Robert Turner and P. J. Honey. It should be re- garded as a minimum not a maximun>. There is and prob- ably never will be any way of knowing the extent of the killing in North Vietnam or the exact manner In which it was carried out. There is no doubt, however, that a great many people died. If the Com- munists take control in South Vietnam and do not execute large numbers of people, It will be a very real departure from past practices. If by that Another popular theme of the revisionists Is that the po- tential victims are elements Vietnamese society might well be better off without: General Thieu and his as- sociates are the ones who are threatened. Sen4tor. McGovern himself has probably done more than anyone else to spread this be- lief. Again and again he has declared that the sacrifices in Vietnam have been for the purpose` of saving Thieu. Re- cently he said on television that if Thieu and some of his frieinds feel endangered" they could be granted asylum in the United States. As for less f;prominent South Viet- namese, he has explained what happ4ns when the Commu- nists-'attain power: lien they take over a village, they don't assassi- nate'the people there. They set up a school and a road system and a tax system. They just move in and take over. They don't kill the peo- ple, even though the village may have been indifferent or hostile . . ." Again, consider the land-re- form tribunals. Many people did not live to enjoy those roads pnd the schools and the peopik executed were not generals and prime ministers. To suggest that the bloodbath primarily threatens Thieti, Ky, the militarists. corrupt politicians and other unsavory characters is mis- leading. One must - assume that `the big operators have taken out life Insurance poli. cies in the form of emergen. cy escape routes and Euro- pean bank accounts. What the bloodbath theorists are talk- ing about is the literally mil- lions of people who have ,openly supported the Govern. ment by working as civilians in the national, province, dis- trict, village or hamlet ap- paratus. or in the military, or for the United States. new wave, again started by Gareth Porter of Cornell. Por- ter has now circulated his new paper, which attacks the bloodbath theory as being based on "propaganda and careless scholarship," and then, relying on the party newspaper Nhan Dan and other official North Vietnam- ese publications, concludes that only 800 to 2,500 persons were executed during the land reform. Porter contends that, for one thing, Hoang Van Chi mistranslated North Vi- etnamese documents and speeches. The most serious case, he says, is Chi's trans- lation of the 1956 speech in which Gen. Vo Nguyen Gap discussed the mistakes com- mitted in the land reform pro- gram. Giap admits that the sources as "official documen- tary evidence," or "the actual historical record." In these impressive-sounding sources he has found little evidence of a bloodbath. Hanoi has not accused itself of murder; therefore, it is innocent. Apart from the historical arguments. McGovern bases his antibloodbath faith, on his judgment of what the Com- munists intend to do today, not what they did 18 years ago. In July of 1969 he said his then recent visit to Paris had been helpful in making Tills assessment. "When I suggest- ed to Hanoi and N.L.F. *a.. tional Liberation Front) gations that some Ameridtns fear a bloodbath during' or after an American witt'lr drawal," he said, "they re party "executed too many plied that just the opposi people." according to the Chi would happen-the killin translation-but Porter says this should have said meKely that there was an "unjust disciplining of innocent peo-. pie." Chi also says the speech contains an admission that of- ficials "resorted to terror." Here again Porter says the translation is wrong; it should have said, used excessive repressive measures." These are two of eight examples. At best. Chi seems guilty of failing to explain that his translations are not literal. At worst, his work is "fraudu- lent," as Porter asserts. But even if one reads Giap as translated by Porter, it is hard to believe that he isn't using elliptical language to describe terrible events. Chi, and others who speak both Vietnamese and English, say that loose translations are frequently used In dealing with Lao Dong party jargon, which is often euphemistic. "Unjust disciplining" does mean executions, they say, just as "excessive repressive measures" means terror. There remains one other disturbing aspect of the Porter paper. After criticizing others for making use of would stop . . . as for re- prisals against those Vietila- mese who have stood with our forces, they said that it would be in the self-interest of any regime to try to brpad. en its support and unify. the country, which would call1not for reprisals but accom tion." i This August he said, Any administration comingV into power has to consolidate ilts position with the people, don't do that by just v spread killing and terror;,'; With the notion of a bene olent, all-embracing coaiolon, McGovern has come up ith a particularly American .lo- tion to a Vietnamese p lem. Franklin D. Roosevef "s part of our tradition, pit theirs. It is true that Ho Chi Minh himself publicly repudiated the excesses of the land-re- form program, but the repudi- ation was not necessarily sincere. It was made in 1956' at the time of the peasant revolt, and was thus ex- pedient. Writing about the W pudiation, Ralph Smith of The University of London con. ..ur, -'- .-Y ul~ eluded that the results of the doubtful that anyone would debris from the first wave of of propaganda, he repeatedly re- be able to *ppoved 0-or Release 18'99LQ9/02 :eClALR[RNpO*$94A4r2 Jv TI Tmpaign were, again, even know, about them what is shaping up as the official Hanoi publications for si a and were some- for certain. _ the truth. He refers to these thing "no one in the party's Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-82PYRGHT Politburo can seriously have wished to change." The Administration's reply to those who say the Vietnamese Communists have changed their ways is simple: Look at Hue. "We saw a prelude of what would happen in South Viet. nam when the Communists entered the city of Hue last year," Nixon said In 1969., "During their brief rule there, there wal a bloody reign of terror in hich 3,000 civilians were cIu ed, shot to death and buri In mass graves." Thei fare several detailed studie;of the Hue killings. The Jjie best liked by the White House is by Douglas Pike, an officer of the United States Information Agency who has written extensively on the N.L.E. He concludes WASHINGTON STAR 28 September 1972 CROSB''Y S. NOYES that in addition to the initial executions of civil servants, police officials, military men and community leaders, there was an ominous phase dur- ing which the Communists thought they could hold the city forever, and set out to shape it to their liking.. . "Orders went out," Pike writes, "to round up what one prisoner termed 'social nega- tives"' Pike estimates that 2,- 000 died in this period, in- cluding a significant portion of the intellectual community. He describes the destruction of a prominent "community leader" and his family. Not only was the man executed, but so were his wife, his mar- ried son and daughter-in-law, his young unmarried daughter, a male and female servant, their baby, the cat and the goldfish. If Pike's analysis is sound, denly "re-education" lists be- came liquidation lists. Ack- land concludes that the deaths were a result of the destruc- tion sown by an army in re- treat. Whether the Pike studyF proves that Communist rule would be a bloodbath, as the Nixon side insists, may be open to debate. Yet in reading the Ackland study, which tries to refute this idea, one can hardly be encouraged by the treatment accorded the peo- ple of Hue, even prior to the "army in retreat" period. Is there any reason that those killed for not showing up at meetings, or for being "par- ticularly unpopular," would have fared any differently if the Communists had cot trolled the entire country ar4 not just Hue? "A revolution." Mao Tse-tung once said, 'tia not a dinner party." ^ CPYRGHT Communists .Wouddn'f Be .MercAftal its the South It Is verb reassuring Indeed to he infnrr/red by a variety of Wnshinglon? armchair experts on Vietnam that predictions of a "hloodh th" If the Commu- nists takmovcr Inthat country are n`' mth that need not be taken sci ffusly by anyone. This convenient finding - which is frnade in support of Gcorge McGovern'. proposals to surrender South Vietnam to Communist rule - holds that President Nixon had it all wrong when he estimated In 1971 that perhaps a half- millinn penpfe were extermi- nnted by the North Vietnam- ese after they took over from the French in 1954. Still a n o t Ii e r Vietnam "scholar," one Gareth Porter of Cornell University, has come, forth to chnltcngc the authority for that estimate. Its origin, he says, was a hnnk the events in Hue portend brutal social engineering un- der a Communist regime. The counterargument to Pike comes from Len E. Ack- land, the co-author of the Christian Century article, who lived in Hue during 1967 and returned after Tot to re- construct the occupation in Gia Hot, a precinct of 25,000 residents. Ackland agrees that there were some blacklist killings at first. He writes that during the first week and a half, the deaths included executions of people "as examples" for fail- ing to report as ordered to meetings, as well as killings of selected individuals "be- cause they had been particu- larly unpopular with Hue's population." The mass deaths came, Ackland goes on, when the Vietcong were being pushed out of the city. Sud- tries - or how many within a ]tow relevant what happened may he to what would happen in South Virt:nnm if the Com- munists took over there. Mir- ever many were exterminated, it might be pointed nut that these were people who elected q- ans were how many Russ uhllshcd In 11161 by a North uldated by Joseph Stalin due- itfany others in addition to V I e t n a in e s o exile named ing the 19,10s. There are no tIoang Van Chi have reached the conclusion that he did not ; 1U." C h1 which was ti- IIenn F , e r momen v ctory. reliable figures -- and much nnneed by thod',j{nis,IVki4 t=rHmiiAralc9t~a ltltQ}AQlrlli!!8/fl') _t Xt~ J 1 lYQ ?~'Tl_ dAf1NYR')f1MflNl d fAAtlldr mntea e account, the Intention n which was plainly not histori- cal nccitrary, but propaganda of;ahi?t Nnrlh Virtnam . " 1lnanr l`nn ('hi hiin:jt?T'1orar ~,'ase basic directive! dechtes, "'we must dc- ?But in the provinces of Binh Long, north of Saigon, and. Binh Dinh on the central coast, virtually every enemy- occupied village has a tale of horror. Officials give these examples: Binh Dinh Province, a Commu? nis organized "people's court"-with 30 villagers forced to participate- con Acted a group of government wo ers and policemen of being "en- em' s of the people." As many as 45 per ons were executed, and the others n eyewitness said 'those Con- de tied to death were marched to a ne by sand bank where digging their gra es was "quick and easy." another part of the Province, a Vie Cong guerrilla. chief led three me -also convicted by a "people's ystcm sn as ter meet the requirements n rrpres: ig and purging undesirable letncnts a d preserving power." "Rcprc ion" is a cover-all for ublic tri s, executions and imprison- nant, terr r and revenge. Decisions on ifs or de th are vested in the Party ndres wh dig in after the army has clown through. There are delicate ynonyms and amusing Annamcsc tang phr ses for the customary death cntcncc y a people's court. That formal ju gment in Vietnamese isdict -- "to en tho existence of." But it can be transla ed more humanely -- for the car -- as a ly tat cho:."to solve a pro- birm on he spot," And in hearty so? clalist idi rn - which might have made Marx scr, tch his haemorrhoids in em? barrassnt t - the message of demo- cratic jus icc can be presented as "to cancel", 'to sleep with the worms," "to puns, i severely," "to go diving for shrimps" "to punish with a fully ex- tended m," "to feed him copper cr*ndy." A typ ?n1 security directive for the Que Son district stipulates: "Each area of activi should establish a record of reaction vies who should be arrested. Specific cases must be submitted to courts f r trial. Death penalties will be given b the court to heighten the ride of ho revolutions movement." t'v 2 death sentences 99 td ~3ill~.d~P-~9r,r0cfitl-94A0~Qj~rr condemn tio s a n nism or ascism, what's the diffcrcnce7 had to be read to the people, and I had them and then ,bayoneted the bodies "many times." Another 45 officials and soldiers were reported to have been buried alive in Tam Quan district. The Viet Cong are said to have be- headed a policeman in Bong Son vil- lage and strung up his body in front of the military-police headquarters to avenge the death of a Communist soldier. The full scale of terrorism may never be known. In Binh Long Province, for instance, the protracted fighting for An Loc has made it impossible to deter- mine the fate of many government em- ployes. Says one official: "We may have to replace 40 per cent of the officials in Binh Long. We simply do not- know how many were taken away or executed." CPYRGHT (issued to liberators operating in e Sa Dec special zone) that "a general specific norm must be set for success- ful eliminations": two to seven execu- tions, and 15 to 20 "warnings" In each sub-ward; "death quotas" of two to five, and 10 to 30 "warnings" for de- signated city Inner-areas. To facilitate court procedure, death sentence forms, already approved, signed, stamped and scaled, have been distributed to commissats of the liberation forces, leaving convenient, blank spaces for the names and crimps td be legally filled in. Errors, the Party bravely concedes, do occur.""For instance," one penitent provincial report discloses, "in some areas we killed entire families, teem agers and even friendly personnel. We have put, more emphasis on killing than on indoctrination of culprits. Consequently, this has badly affected the prestige of the Party." Finally, if we lack reports of the current people's trials in the liberated villages around Quang Tri, we have the:.. testimony of But Cong Tuong, a Viet: cong defector, who was chief of Prom paganda, Culture, Teaching and Educa? tion for Ben Tre and who reports a "purge movement" trial in Tan Liao village: "I had to write down different mo. Approved FoR Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-01194A0002001100014 PYRGHT to write them in such manner that they would be approved by the peo- ple. The condemnation had to stir the people so that they would shout, ask- ing for the death sentence ... The condemned were immediately shot and buried in a mass grave. Their fami- lies were not allowed to bury them:-' NEW YORK TIKES 4 August 1972 Enemy Is Said to xecute Hundreds inSouthVietnam Allied Officials Describe Slayings of Government Aides in Binhdinh -.--. , Thousands Reported Imprisoned C YRGHT By JOSEPH B. TREASTER CPYRGHT NP~1%1 to The New York rim,, i SAIGON, South Vietnam, Aug. 3 -- Allied intelligence of. c a s say that Communist po- litical officers have publicly ex- ecuted hundreds of Saigon Gov- ernment officials and Impris. oned thousands during their occupation of Binhdinh Prov- ince, on the central coast of South Vietnam. The allied officials say that`. they have confirmed the deaths, of about 250 persons through! eyewitness reports and have additional ~informatlon that r1? Now York limn/A,, . 4, 1977 ! (leads them strop W1 Ithnt the total number of dead 1111 atwulf !. People who have escaped) av inpointed three large prison camps in the rugged, Anlno alley of central South: Vietnn, which are said to hold n )out 6,000 persons, the official, S say. The main victims of the en ty were said to be ham- let an village chiefs and their deputl s, pacification workers. policemen and militiamen. But teaches, doctors, nurses and ,minor dministrative staff work-' ers, a well as some soldiers, were mong those reported Im- prison d. Lengthy interviews with peo- ple w o lived in northern Binh- ;dinh wring the nearly three month of unchallenged Com- munis occupation , generally corro rated the findings of the intelligence officials. The reported executions In Binhdi h appear to be the most slzabi deliberate assault on in- dividu Is connected with the Saigo Government since the massy res In Hue. during the, 1968 unar New Year Offen-' sive hen, according to allied offici s and independent jour- nalist, , more than 2,600 people; were ilied. So American officials see the eported executions in Bin id h as a sample of the ing over South Vietnam by force. Such violence, these officials say, especially would be ex- pected if a Communist victory were "sudden and decisive." Other American officials, however, say that history would suggest that a sudden and decisive victory "just isn't in the cards for either side." These officials feel that if the North Vietnamese Commu- nists were eventually to gain control of South Vietnam through a gradual political set- tlement, they might well adopt a conciliatory attitude toward their former opponents in hopes of uniting the country. But those who most firmly -subscribe to the "bloodbath theory" are convinced that any kind of enemy take-over would result in the execution of many officials in the Government in Saigon. Some Americans with con- siderable experience in study- ing North Vietnamese and Viet- cong affairs say that they have! been surprised by the particu-1 larly harsh tactics of the Com- inhdinh province which has a long history of party activit where some of the o a eex- ecdtions were reported. Hundreds Shot to Death The enemy gunned down sev- eral hundred South Vietnamese. civilians who tried to flee from their control in Quangtri Prov- ince, the northern most prow ince in South Vietnam, and they used the same tactic at Anloc, but apparently killed fewer civilians there. American intelligence of- ficials believe that these slay- ings were more likely to have been the outcome of local bat- tlefield decisions than the re- sults of high-level policy, as .the reported executions ap- 'parently were, . Government troops began to disrupt Communist programs in: northern Binhdinh with a coun-' teroffensive late in July. With- In two weeks, Saigon's troops had re-entered the principal town In each of the three northern districts -- frloalnhon, Tamquan and Hoaian----and had encountered little resistance. In the last several days, though, the enemy has been striking back, and large sections of the area remain contested. The territory In northern Binhdinh was captured byj Reveng Suggested North Vietnamese regulars. They sugg st that some of But after they had secured the the reported illings may have area they withdrew and left hr-%n inspire by a sense of administration of the "liherat- revenge tow d former party ed" communities to local Corn-' members wh , for one reason munists, some of whom had ,or another. hive worked with been living in the mountains the Saigon Go ernment In recent for years. years. Anothe possibility, they + installation of Officials say, is tha the reported killings repres.nt some sort of The Communists are believed Interparty con lict, perhaps be- to have installed chiefs and tween northe and southern administrative staffs in each of factions. the villages and 138 hamlets While a fe's executions have in the three districts. been reporte in the . other According to allied intelli- areas capture by the North gence officials and residents of northern Binhdinh province,, Vietnamese I their currcn2 of. this is how the Communistg fensive, there his hcen nothing proceeded: of the magnit de or the events Communist security officers, reported in B hdinh. had compiled dossiers on every, This is so, uthoritative offi- one in the region. They quickly cials say, b, use the districts classified the population into In Binhdinh f I rather suddenly several catagories according to - in a few ays as compared physical capabilities, financia with a few eeks in Quangtri position, occupation, age an, - and man Saigon Govern- ment official wore "caught in - and ta the Commu Saigon'. place." d tG Gov ovhes the er r nment in Saigthe all of northern Those who had worked' orked di- I After irh P vireo In April, rectly for the Saigon Govern- ment were brought before nearly three onths passed be- "peoples' courts," denounced as fore Government troops tried "tyrants," and condemned t to retake th territory. Thus, death or sentenced to prison. left alone, the Communists were Relatives of the Communists able to oa out their pro- were often offered jobs in the grams in so a detail among administration of the hamlit, the more th 200,000 people while relatives of Government of the region. employes were watched clos^ly In most of he other captured restricted in movement an full ti h fi ng never area, t s e y d peeial indoc F 'RD I rprb L'tLr~ h~I ever, in Locnninh dls r. 000 `~# -2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194AO00200110001-tPYRGHT In organizing the "people's courts," the Communists would assemble 30' to 40 persons to the entire hamlet of several hundred. The courts were held during the clay and the night, usually outside administrative offices or schools but some- times on a road or in a rice field. 'Frozen With Fear' Sometimes the residents were urged to join in hurling charges against the accused. But In other cases a death sentence was Toad, while the people stood-in tie words of it farm- er-"frozen with fear." In many cases, there were fewer than half a dozen vic- tims In th rtpcrtrd executions in Blnhdirli. This Is in contrast to the killings in Jiur, during Tet, yr hen scores of people were herded together and shot as the'Communists apparently tried eliminate the entire 1community of Saigon Govern- ment Workers and anti-Corn, NEW YORK TIN FS 6 Aurpist 1972 rnunistlcaders. 18 n I. e evening, lull , American Intelligence offt?~ ment officials were reported to dais say that the Communists, have been killed and buried in appear to have been generally! Andnng hamict. more selective' in their kill-j I in another instance, 42 po- ings In Binhdinh than in Tine in 41cemen and Government work. 1OG8, intending them as "nhjent ers, including an officer, Tran lessons" to discourage future Van Luc of Dinhbinh, were said cooperation with Saigon and to to have been shot to death on reinforce loyalty to the Com- the outskirts of Vinhphungg munist side. 1hamlet at about 9 P.M. May 27. For this reason, the tntdll- were reported burled in They a sandbar nearby. genre officials say, only the Rifle fire was the most com? worst "tyrants" were killed. m?n method of killing, but in- Others were given stiff prison teliigonce officials say that a terms ranging up to 30 years, hamlet chief and 46 other vii- end still others -worn required isga *nd hnmirt officials and only to attend intense political- soldiers were buried lAlive ck1 SAUth Indoctrination courses for were of Tanthanh hamlet sometime month or so. where they were In May. expected to learn that the sal- 't'hey at., sold that a police- vation of the Vietnamese lay man, a pacification worker and In Communism. an assistant village chief had Despite the general pattern been stabbed "many times of small-scale executions re. with a bayonet affixed to A. ported, the intelligence officials) said that they had sketchy de- rifle (after they had been shot tails on a few mass killings., Iheforo 1,000 people at the Aft, For example, they say. on May! phong village sports stadium Vietnam CPYRGHT 'Shoot Him!' Saidthe.', PeQple thu province on the central coast of oath ,yriewam. Allied officials say ey have eyewitness reports confirm= g the death of about 250 persons r nd other Information leading them to eltove that the total number of deaths in the vicinity of 500. in addition, 6 officials say, escapees have told hem that about 6,000 persons are be- g held in prison. Some American officials here regard thti reported executions in Binhdinh province iIa arc example of how the Communists would behave If they Wc- seeded Ifl taking over all of 5odth Viet- nam. Many of the officials say that the term "bloodbath," whielh has been used SAIGON-- On the evening of May by President Nixon in describing such' n eventuality, is too tniotionally 500 pcgplo in the hthhnlet of Bittlh- ?harged and probably Is not what thuong fin northern Binhdinh province ould happen. "But I don't think any and recited a list of "crimes" they said easonahic person doubts that there bed been committed by Nguyen Xuan mould be a large number of South Phong, the Social Affairs Commission- ictnamese Government officlald er of Hnaiduc,villnrc. As Mr. Fliong, llled," one American official'. said:. his arms tied behind him,, knelt on I'd say it would be a few thousand.'.':jl the road that nuns through Binh- The widespread feeling is that after ehuong, the chairman of the Iioaiduc take-over the Communists would bb p'eople's Revolutionary Committee elective In their killing. as they.gen- asked the crowd: "ta this man worthy rally appear to have been in IStnhdinlu of being shot dead?" tncrican specialists in Vorth Vietna?, According to an eyewitness report cse r-:tl Vietcong affairs say they, received by American Intelligence offi- vote'., expect the Communists to g risk and made public last week, the iier key officials who had been par, people' replied: "shoot him dread." icularly effective against them and Thereupon a youth stood in front!of ho appeared reluctant to cooperatd, W. Phong and put three rifle bullets Ith the new governmcnL The Idea .Into bin chest. ould be to get rid of the trouble- Mr. thong was one of several bun- akcrs and Impress others that they Bilged tn1gon Government officials re- ad better snap ]no line, as rippcars.tO May On May 21, the Intelligen a officials say, an unidcntifi d South Vietnamese military liceman was beheaded in Bon ? on and his body was hang d in front of the military-police `station there. JI According to allied Intell- gcnce officials and northe it 'Binhdinh residents, the charg s that brought the death penal .y were usually vague but relic t- rd the Communists' puritanical nliture and their intoleran e for "crime" against their own pgoplc. Those who (lied were repo - ctf1?y pceused of taking brib s. violating unmarried worn n, making love to wives of "rc lutionary cadre," capturing a d? killing "legal agents of the ?? olutinn," and providini inf r? mation to the "enemy.' S e., were reported also cited S. simply 'corrupt" and "d ? tnecring" over the people. American Intel itcrice o c , past week they have re that in the celvcd information that some Commu?+ CPtYRGFi1 nist operatives have been directed t "eliminate" Saigon Government offI cfals who might be able to tdentif them In the event of a cease-fire. Th targets would be primarily members 01 , the south Vietnamese intelligence serv ice and national police. The Communists in the Vietnam W have always employed terrorist tactic niming at eliminating specific leader to weaken the Government side an at times, tossing random hand grenade to intimidate the population and di. courage them from standing with th Government. According to allied officials, the was a surge in terrorist Incident across the country with the start the North Vietnamese offensive in la March. By the Grid of July, 2,762 SOt' Vietnamese civilians and officials we - reported to have died In these In i dents. The total for all of last ye V. was 4,000, down from an average f, about 6,000 for each of the th e earlier years. By comparison, the number deaths In Binhdinh may seem sm 1. But there, as would probably be e case in any noncontested area, randc ii terror might hove had a negatl e effect for the Communists. Inste ift the "liberated areas," the Coin ? rusts carrlhd out their killings w h tlraiberate calculation, hoping to ma Acli one an object lesson. , I -JOSEPH IL TREA ported to have been cxecut t aver e c je in Communfata d l~>~ l i -r el i 4' ? ' Ah , . 79-01194AO0020011 OOO1-2 btottths that they had unchallenged you would also have the revengb' .. , --- co-parl ^1 11W11, ApprovedRFor Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2CPYRGHT SAIGON POST 25 August. 1972 r\ 1 The NV'/VC. forces who occupied nbrtbern Binli Dinh executed,A tot :,l of 1,700 mili- tia and cdre personnel and have centrated some 7,000 thu An Lao and An morc% Huu s}t?~as. Conftrary to earlier reports there was no semblance of a trial and the victims were summarily executed as the" l 0 ell r~!_ j rr'l-~j a Ll~, 12 By QIIANG MMIN11 Dinh and to t ismiss iesc CPYRGHT lived, before an deci o in 195 to go to North Viet- am. Dien said ? they went o school togethar. Dien said Nhan returned a the province about two csr-t ago. Thoy haven't soon ach other since Nhan left he hamlet 18 Scars ago, Dion also disclosed that any of the VC eadres in the coupled areas in the provin- e are women who also left outh Vietnam in. 1954 and ave returned with the NVA nvasinn fnrenr, iin_J -r, Ana n':ill When the NVA/VC forces (copy an area; 'they imme- iately try to organize ? the i cal administration. -This is olluwed by mobilization' of rocurement of" - supplies nd the third and last act)_._ ity is political indoctrina. t on which they .'call etrai: Ing.D According to Dien, govern Cant militia and cadres who' fuse political indoctrination ro killnd outright ; cadres it]' pro-Communist leanings the result of small tow gvisips and ltatreds. a The p.)Iicc authorities have the records,* the con gressman said when asked I a tally,has been made of th executions, Dierr makes frequent visit to his cpnstiticncy; lie arri ved two days ago fro n hi And he was ono o last trl . were fingered by the VC witb 9 vo cc r :tnr.rr v?!:) min l let :i:r. S~ .t i. r i,. ' t i.r t,r.t' t some in3tinces by bein; buried ative. ciitionn in ffoai An wi,cr rva than n score of civil m ire This was disclosed Wednes- serva~its were strung up by day by 1)cpu,y Le Van Dien, the feet and their throats cut. congressman from one of the ?f3osom Fri?rtw northern Binh Dinh district, in an interview In the Lower Deputy Dien also identified House. tho' VC equivalent of Provin t)epuiy Dien's revelations co Chief Ii.Bihh Diuli as wore considered significant Nguyen Xich Nha') whom ho In view Rf reports in the described as his aboson \Vo,tcrn =press tending to friends when they parted 1 minimize the .cope of Com- years ago. munist atrocities (luring their According to Dien, ? Nhan occapatiain of n ?rthern Binh was a_ hamlt-t ' cadro i Dinh Blob, where they both WASHINGTON STAR 14 August 1972 Massacre in Binhdinh ' It Is a fervently held article of liberal faith that If the United States will just get out of Indochina. all will be sweet- ness and light among the Vietnamese people, North and South, Communist and non-Communist. Those who chant this doxology Ignore the execution of thousands of Vietnamese and flight of tens of thousands more when the Com- munists took over in the North In 1954, They Ignore the mass graves containing ties UT Me murr calculatutt fulgil U! terror which has taken place at Btnh- dinh province on the central coast of South Vietnam the past three months. Binhdinh fell quickly to the North Vietnamese In early April and It was not until July that ,Saigon's forces launched a serious effort to retake It. So the Com- munists had plenty of time. There was no need to hurry, as there was In Hue In 1968, when American and South Viet- namese forces counterattacked within the bodies of more than 2,600 South days of the city's fltll. Vietnamese civilians murdered at Hue Accordin to I tellt ence reports and during th9~i.~ -8~6'teef fl h' &eftt I 9999Q.9iti@2poC PP9 Q11t441i0iOO0 should have o difficulty whatsoever In the Communists were extremely me- glossing over the.less numerous casual- thodical. They rounded up hamlet and are given art Indoctrination Course of 10 Mays to ono Montt) '..v ile those wilh C.-. .....:K,rrTCarc t ;)tr~Ls from one tnout': to dares months. Dien said the NVA/VC.for- ces captured a total of 5,000 and' -3,700 cadres. Of that number, 1.000 militia men mad 700 cadres were execu?'. ted. T e rest, for all Uien? kno ?s, are still undergoing' ctra ning. in small grniij)s 3n t e An Lao and An Huu are . lie spid that a grou;.p of ' such #traineess were) liberated listweek b% an AR .helicopter operation. If cortflrmed that ahunri- reds or women (rere ra,)ed bylt e NVAV'V'C during the acct n: `inn or northern Binh :-riY,: a: ',\".''+ntaT 'V`tit3 a4:7tS+fi to cl.3se one of two taiks44?? to ga her supplies or abooif troo morales. Di n talked to three wonjen who c!)oso to aboosID lrgiwr mor le. They said' they were assi .ed to a houio where at an a )pointed time, NV.t'C troo s came in and violated the Din said that sts a rosull of t eso atrocities, the pe r ;pie f Binh Dinh. ,toddy ai ino ab3oluteiy ; anti-Cdtijt CPYRGHT X00110001-2 14 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194AO00200110001-9PYRGHT CPYRGHT village chiefs, Pacification workers, po- licemen, militiamen, teachers, doctors, riur?ses, clerical workers, literally anyone who had had any connection with the Saigon government. "People's courts" executed several hundred (perhaps as many as 500) and shipped an estimated 6,000 others off to "people's prisons" In remote areas of the Communist-held Anlao valley. Most of those killed appar- ently were executed by rifle fire but others were burled alive, beheaded or hacked to pieces. None of this represents any new de- parture In tactics on Hanoi's part. Aside from the general massacres In the North in 1954 and in the South during the 1968 Tet offensive, the murder and kidnaping of South Vietnamese officials has been NM YORK TIMES t bee 1972 m CPYRGHT g Sep e belcctor Tells of A'T rssacre Iy Enemy at Quangtri RAK'1I1 to Tisr New Totk TIm01 Viet amC9e t;ommunist9 con', ISAIGON, Snuth victnam, side cd them to be followers of Sept. 8-A c ec o t nemv. That Is wily they oil North Vietnamese Arm said to- h d to bo kUled" day that his unit had ginned c ambush was widely re down civilian men, women and p ,d as it was taking place, m- ht t some news-ncn su ,gested Vietna children and south vil!ans eso seldic without thl from k fl d trlnndvcrtcntlyhabecausel s n City in lake April, Lion gt they .d and a had Mingled with fleeing rl ; t tn . g Qu s ices. earlyy May. k 1 t -eA Rise o it newsman's 1 Tho defector. Le Xuan Thuy, ? civato Thug rlvato first ?classl a tfun today, F 22-year-old p who had served.as a radio oprr-~ : ""The Civilians and the rol; ?- presente-l 3ht 1110M'e a to bo destroyed by order' h e formal pecan conference In t national pn2ss center hero by r tho North Vietnamese Coni ers of the south Vietnam nists because they were flee offic - . _ ... r fat( _ uth toward the enemy." so dexnr what Appeared to he A e Unite,jd States Dep'lttntent nr:vatA ., vi le. Anserihed the incident part and parcel of Communist "libera- tion" since the war began. In the past four and a half years, nearly 25,000 South Vietnamese civilians and officials have been executed by the North Vietnamese Communists and the Viet Cong. There have, of course, been atrocities on the Allied side. But anyone who is stilt prepared to maintain that a Communist takeover In South Vietnam would not lead to a bloodbath of major dimensions Is simply Ignoring the evidence at hand. A politician like Senator McGovern, who advocates a quick and unilateral American withdrawal from Southeast Asia, need look no farther than the shal- low graves of Binhdinh province to see where the policies he advocates would lead those who have placed their trust in the United States. BALTIMORE SUI3 8 August 1972,, McLSSicere iliafS i v ~o f c reported ar ad- li tary mi erday that U.S.isers and other eyewitnesse stimated Igo to 2,000 Sout ietnamese died last April. o 30 "adeliber to NorthsVietnam ese Army massacre of helples civilians. The. action was said to bay taken place near the M Chanh River bridge on Route when thousands of refuge fleeing from Quang 'Fri w caught in the open by Co monist artillery fire. , 'rhuy said that nis u,?~ ?. r. --_. ,matntntned an am bus pn t ? w mesoc massacre of helpless for six nays its .,?s,:..,.....,..._ nisi troops assaulted and even- an estimated that as many ,unity captured tha pmvknce 2,000 persons had bmn? that those Who rnovca song, private 00 and 600. Private Tbuy sal enemy ward were our hat he could not offer a f tgnre Thuy_ said., ,_t_ elvlBnfl and,, c., for 9.59 dead have beer Military, auto m ., cGUWncu b~ for remain ietfl nmes_euCommunists, amese searching ._ .. -~,?mlicablY ...., t rr1va ho tt - __ ItnkllCS 1n uro ,?Vcrfl aa,uyt . . vietnamese Government mos main reason for Ills dcf do _...., t ,., horn thn an edl c q 110 condo tea: ,,.,_ -- nt. n: ,, ' ~y~ Ill , ~ SCI mavlnr nn '" w i Y did ft . of all social sit a.. c u[ctnameso ra o all fired At becauso rho 140 rt civilian deaths. CPYRGHT CPYRGHT Women and children A State Department press; officer, John King, said the estimates of deaths were probably closer to the higher figure of 2,000 noncombatants, composed mainly of woman, children and older people. lumn of He said another co refugees was caught five days earlier 0 few miles south of. Quang Tri April 24. He gave no cstimatcs of the casualties in the earlier Incident. According to official reports received by the State Depart- Price ment., Maj. Donald L. and Maj. Robert F. Sheridan of tilt U.S. Marine Corps sa the" had seen the civilians' brought under fire by 130 mm. their artillery shells fired over heads with delayed action fuses. two Marino advisors Th e said that "literally shredded the refugee column." '41t was the worst sight I have ever seen," Major Sheri. dan reported: "It was a sacre-', : CIA-RDP79-01 ~ 94AOOO2OO11OOO1-2 Washington in--A Statie,bc- Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 SAIGON POST 10 September 1972 L1~ icy V SAI(I UNV AP =t'he nvern. nlrn put 01 display Rr ay a North V'ietnam?se defector Vietnamese fleeing from Quang Tri city last April a nd LcXuaii Th,iy.a 22-year-old about one year in the North Vietnam& p :army, said ? the Highway One slatightor 'Vag a major factor in his dcct. sign to defect to the South Vietnamese,whinh he acco'n. plisilcd on July 31 In Thua Quang Tri. The amb,rsh on Highwav one between April 28 and May 3. ju+t before and after front and in greater detail when the South Vietnamese high % ay at the o..d ..f June, In. August. the U.S. S ate Dol)ar.rnont c allcd the i , ci. Vietnamese army mns5acra of helpless civilians, and estimated that 1,000 to . 2,000 nonmilitary refugees were By 11?CIIAEr; PUTZEL vivors and Insprction of the sight In floated the figure was more likely bete n 2110 and Grso dr?art. Thuy, at a news conforo-ice sponsored by the 4nigon command, refused to estimate the number killed but said there were toes ,many to counts. The defector said ho was it radio operntor with the 4th battsllun, 2nd regiment, North Vietnarneso 321L11 division, which took up positions 100 to 150 yards from the High. %vay on April 28. The Next' day, lie said, the battallion comulandcr told his troops that anyone moving. South`fronl Quang Tri was the enemy, 'Vetry, 1-1orrihia' Thuy said many soldiers and civilians were fleeing down the Highway, and the North Vietnamese opened fire with til.mm and 82mm nlortarsand with automatic rifles. ,The people were moving on bicycles, motorblkos and buses,, he said, allut no one was able to escape-* ?rr.ng mist hn rind otho.L on the highway later. alhvas very horrible. Many were killed, including old people children and pregn:cnt women. The dying were screaming and begging fur water. ,Soldiers stripped the carp- scs, taking watches, rice, money and clothes.* Dragged, Shot The defector saitt his felinw soldiers dragged some survi. vors from shelors along the road, ordered there to move out of the nrea, lhr.n shot them as. they fled. Asked it the South Viet- narneso soldiers and civilians moved in separate groups on. the highway or whether they were bunched together, Thuy said they were Soinetilhe% separsrtc and at r?thcr tunes intermingled. But no dlstine.. tion wHs m:i'Ie, ho said, bo? cau.e'the order was to shoot at anyone rnnvirg south, Two North Vietnarneso snl.' dicrs put on civilian clothes found on the highway. took bicycles from the ambush site and started riding toward Quang Tri city, Tbuy ' said. CPYRGHT ~y UUtJ ...a..ln.r torn n nrn.a' 'overod by another unit, and were shot to death by their own troops. The defector didn't elaborate on 'why the soldiers tried to go north or why they pretended to be. civilians Executions Thuiy said on two occasions in Quang Tri provi.uco he witn9s,ed the oxccrition of couples who were said to be servants of the Saigon regime The first time, he said- a, woman fonnd in a vil:.:lag? was shot by her captors a^d her husband was beheaded shortly afterward on another occasion,-a man and wife were attempting to flee to Thua' Thien after Qua-)g Tri had fallen, and they were shot after they had tried to stay behind when the pro-,t vincc fall, Thuy said- A military spokesman s;cld the news conference ?r was called_ because there ad been cnnsidornblo publi ity about the Highway nc ambush and . They, as;: a witness, as qualified it speak about the Incident." Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 16 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A0002001100~h'-YIRGHT CPYRGHT CPYRGHT W1l"11113 TOIi STru;l &' opteribor 1972 Red 'Defector Tells S. Viets Of Massacre . SATG1N (API -The gov- day a North Vietnamese defec- tor y:ho said he was involved n a` masmcre 0 South arnese fleeing from Quang end of June. ri City last spring. Thuy, at a news conference Le Xuan Thuy, 22, served sponsored by the Saigon com- abrntt one year in the North mind, said the victims were Viettinnceso army. lie said the Highway 1 slaughter was a major factor in his decision to defect to the South Vietnam- ese July 31. 'The ambush on Highway 1 between April 28 and May 3 was reported at the time by news en on the northern front and t greater detail when the Soutl Vietnamese retook that 't'hi,y enirt hi, and nlher snl- diers in his unit went up on the highway, later, "It was very horrible; Ahoy were killed, ii eluding old people, children and pregnant women. The dying were screaming and begging for water. Soldiers stripped the corpses, taking watches, rice, money and 'clothes." The defector said his fellow Soldiers dragged some survi- vors from shelters along the rand; ordered them to move out of the area, then shot them as they [led. a battalion commander told his troops that anyone moving south from Quang Tri was the enemy. Thuy said many soldiers and civilians were fleeing down the highwAy, and the North Viet- names,p opened fire with 61mm ;r'ind 82mm mortars and with automatic rifles. SAIGON POST 1 16 Augu 1 1972 CPYRGHT CPYRGHT r 7. F1.11 Witnewes fell Of NVA. Nassaual Of Civilis ff~eaflug Frol 0. ir!, CPYRGHT corps a ce s have pro v c fycwilness fccnunts of t c North Viet 1* pmcse slaughl r Of about 2.0 person, tool . ding sick and elderly oft its And children, who sought o rice fioul the 'Communist Invasion of Quang Til lost April. The nctcounts furnish IT by Major Robert F.;Sherid n and Mnjor',Donatd L, I ci o make it clear that the. Nor h Viclnameso option was de (- berate. .1Vo just said there a d couldn't helicvo It,' sa d Major Sheridan. aThn N?'r It Vietnam Army It-,:w wh it they were doing.. They it, d f~ r'lvard observers who Wo 0 prnbnbly within a couple if huhdtod mhtcrs from It n ro1tigeeg. Theso would h;,10 seen thst there were no w, - pon%. no velticiea, and irtdc d hardly any men at all exec it very old ones, i nser'1 to ha o tsone respect for the Na'r h ^'otnarn Ar ny with raga d to their allege ~.t,,~' toward the laca osulattu but this was just crimin 1 .By NICHOLAS BUGGiERIIlfliered with the buries of IPS COric poi1CICrit WoiOen,ol i men and children. f.' Rive rtwa I li r_ nn Anrll Maj rs Sheridan and Price were embers of U.S. Nari- na ad isory train assigrlert to a S mill Victnamr-se batta. lion t yang to stem the int. list C nimnni-t xwerp ? into Quan Tri provi,ice frrim pos. illons not far front the scene of the massar, e.. The Arncri- cans' nd their V'atnamese comp pions p rye i,,werless to do nything but watch the horrif ring sprr,' icle. They say tt ree of four foreign eorre. pondents were with their earn, ano soma ti-_-k ,booth pictures of be car- nage. Thin assault on th-! help- less r fngees apart-ntty began on Al ril 21 when they boar- ded . variely o' vehicles, incluw ing three-wheeled Lam. brett , and nivilian and military trucks at a point on Illgil ny number one. Maj r Price said the North Vletn meso tronps ambushed the c lama on the ii?gliway nnct r Iced It with srninll anus Ff Ih lb~!AW 99/O91102 voy a c own to pieces, he said, n.i 1 ilia road and 21130 civilin c!fpior North fire f Ifignw was 11 prima ciuer?I hoer and pansir the of childr red -i from backs The there paint. refug pons. the ride., : 6 ail vi'lagc just off UUriutt th.,ltsaiids' of other is fleeing from the oc- p uvinco we o hit by Vietn iniom artillery irtricr south, an the ,y, r S'eridan gold; alt o worst sight I have cen.n id file rerugee.s were by small children and people, many or the stooped from arthritis noble to walk more feA, meters Without g for a vest. Some or I people were carrying n'or belongings gathe- i, timikets suspended olps slung across their American officer said 'were no. South Viet. ,e` spld?lers among,the ,es and ni-'sign of sea. A few of the men ap- d to be rnornber% of People's Self Defense He said that In the In- Is Ito wftno.+sed the ces ' had no velhtrloss lna. Ahnut one kilnin td. north or my Chanh brItI $? Major Sheridan mill hi~ could see a North Vietnntrinsii regiment firing 130mnt. Art-' Ilery shells with 'rarablo., time , fuses over Ihi haads or the refugees' The shells exploded betwee4 0 a d d0 meters above tilt rcr,i co column, tearing.'ih1ll, ref!: ces limb from llmb. ((I lib NorthVlcthamesc aFlit lery kept firing on the Irspi. ped cfugcss the entttO? dayI a1 o counted the s110111 con ng In by huntlreds.When"i lire victims fell under th0: leer ,Ic uvcrlrcad.hlas.,therd was . no one to, irici{ up file w~rin l~ :1 Wh n an explosion blew a h e In the rcfugcc.culumtt 111n% following prossd o over the broken tiridir.a,; Thee was no strong ennuih} to d more than move duiublyf On.. ) 1[ or Sheridan said lllij Sou h Vietnamese hlarinewl? Will: hill wept at the carnage In a gcr, grief and fru- tion over their inability `t do ything. [To said tine . gay all their rood and murk to t ose refugees who,. cam stu7 bling and staggerlnr, oout of t e murderous zodo of fire It jor Sheridan said he was, una lc to estiinale the. !ill,!' led by North Vietnan'ese, r,,~jj((~~.~~o lla ~Pcf }fir n o incident -KU I'' / y-o'~i1 440 o it E T April 2c1i am his own os`tinn tr' nnt 311. Ito could only ttny 171 CPYRGH IAPProved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01 I94A000200110001-2 CPYRGHT NEW YOIU.K TIMES .. 10 September 1972 Attack on Re) ogee Camp Near Danang Is R N-sc r e Vietcong Raid Is Said to Have Killed 20, Wounded 94 and Left 200 Families Harxteless--U.S. Jets Bomb North CPYRGHT I MY The Auxiikd Trea I SAIGON, South Vietnam, Sun. any, Sept. 10---A Vietcong dem- cked South Vietnam's biggest efuged camp yyesterday, taking heavy toll in life and prop- rty. Reports from the camp, *filch Is on the northwestern edge of Danang. said that 20 3efurees were killed. 94 were wounded and 200 families left Homeless after undergoing a barrage of mortnrsr rocket- propelled grenades, rifle fire and ~xplosive charges. 4 One Government militiaman Also was reported killed. t! The attackers were said to Lill: ldlu n the lightly' guarded Cam mpnund, once a Unit. tifd Sta t s Mnrlne supply base, thout losing a man. The A tnckcrs also hit two nd- `ohiing outh Vietnamese militia outpost but there was no im- ritediate e word on casualties or damage at these sites. It wa the closest ground at- tack to Danang, South Viet- nam's Bond largest city, In more th n a year, although the northe port city has been a target frequent sheiiings. The fugce camp houses more th n 50,000 civilians who fled Qu ngtri Province, which lasso rrun by enemy forces, WASHINGTON POST 25 September 1972 CPYRGHT Hanoi sFor.cea Renew CPYRGHT Assaults iii the North j tier Nana DlepR ___ $AItcON. Sept. 24--Commu-. ern uangnga Province sold' teong and North Vietnatn- )ptat forces hsekc by tanks 4. troops killed more than 40 hn4 heavy artillery. renewed et ?ilgns whin they apparently thNtr a;sattlls Sunday along; r ustd to 1 6110. i. I , ' tacks in Quanittln and Quong? Ifhose enounce the.SM? ant. i 0, more than 100 ci. gated them,, ' 1 ho expressed' anti-' t feelings were at. T e : North Vietnamese i and Iv Ntcong then planted explo- The camp Is built on white sand flats just off Route I and contains hundreds of dilapi- dated military hnrracks. It was .tconsidered too large to be oc- cupied by the South Vietnamese 'Army after United States troops withdrew from Danang. in the air war, American jet Iplanes carried out more than 310 strikes across North Viet- nam yesterday, but the raids cost two planes and an airman Is missing, t c United States command sail A Navy A-7 crashed from un- ~inown causes 15 miles north- east of Vinh and the pilot is nlssing, the command said. Other sources said Initial re- ports indicated the plane may Ave hbeen hit by lightning. 2 Bail Out Near Carrier A Navy F-4 was hit by anti- aircraft fire after attacking a supply convoy 32 miles north BALTIMORE SUN 5 October 1972 of Vinh, the command said. The jet handed bacl: toward the car- rier Snrator-,, but was unnbie to make a te,ading. The crnw- men hailed out two miles from the carrier and were rescued by a helicopter. The latest losses raised to 88 the number of United States lanes reported by the United lanes command downed over North Vietnam since the start of the enemy offensive on March 30. The command lists 97 airmen missing over the north In the same period. The Defense Department lists 37 of the 97 missing as captured and prisoners In the fort along with 388 other airmen captured before the March 30 offensive, The main raids were directed against the northeast rail line connecting Hanoi with China. Rail Bridge Is Attacked The Air Fotte said F?4 Phan. ;trims Attacked the Vuchua nii- CPYRGHT T I i Ong raids etC` , . I leave 100 mss i By The Aesoctrttcri'Prea$ fighter-bombers flew on" 120 At least 100 civilians were raids over the North Tues ay, reported missing yesterday in compared to 280 the previous the aftermath of Viet Cong day, the command reported. attacks on 2 fishing villages The U.S. command In Saigon along South Vietnam's north- had refused toconfirm'or deny ern coast. Whether they were reports by informants-that the .abducted or had defected was F-1i1's, which came back to not known, field sources said: llndochaoa lost week, had been e United States retorted withdrawn from 'a combat role that F-111 swing-wing jets re- after the loss of one in' the turn d to war action yesterday !North last Thursday. _, afte being withdrawn front But the Pentagon in Wash- co at because of the loss of lington acknowledged that the one lane .last week over Nortb F-111's'~ had been withdrawn Viet am. and said they'rEhtrped to conic phonu Lorna dissipates bat yesterday with,new attacks Tie U.S.-cmi-imand ordered on North Vietnam. ed-up B-52 raids in the step) Following the Washington re- n region, where an he port, a U.S. command sltoke's- Saig) up. sur a in battlefield activity in man.. finally did acknowledge race t days has marked tho that the F-Ill's did return to late t Communist Come d combat but added he had no "hi t point." immediate report on their mis? At erican bombing raids pion. I t d l t th n ano eve opmen , e her war cut by more than half bee e, of bad weather' result- nuclear-powered aircraft car? ins from Typhoon Lorna, rfer? Enterprise arrived off - ' n s g i ? c ssid,'3 , ' ..... . .. ,. ... -.- ' coc an older rtshi_p~. Despite proved m ft uR 7 s Ir11 AOQQ t~r.Jirfii!f~l.1;it~rxicnrir~i coast abnu midnight ucs ay. nfflelit wire6a sold the ht- gat provinces were part of a harassing operation slimed at destroying the Saigon govern? 'meat's credibility In protect- Ing the population It clailns.jt controtb. The fighting hick arrested thoussndh,'~bf, new, refugees and ono' -iftasshcre'lWaa r . ported. ltefugeit4 'from 'a CnmriStt-` d th'- t I blot-occupied distri The Thailand-based U.S. well south of the ticm;irr;,tinn CPYRJibroved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 CPYRGHT none, officials snid, sonic of the Enterprise's 75 ` Jets flew raids in South Vietnam. In the northern region of South Vietnam, the coastal vil- lages of Xtiynn 'rill, and Xuycn Phuoc, which together have. Shnut 10,000 people, were at- tacked by Viet Cori; sappers before dawn, About 18 civilians and 2 mili- tia soldiers were killed and it civlIhmn wounded, with 0 at; the attackers ola+o slain. tint Ali least 100 of-her villa;era we're, listed as missing. and local officials were trying to dr.tcr- mine witefiter they had hrenl kidnaped' or' had accompanied the invader's willingly. Activity frequent The Viet Conl, frequently oh- duct civilians to work as imr- ters, laborers or evert' as sol- , died:, The 2., villages ore. on .in importan , rivet'arst.u: ry nr;,r Ilo[ An, tlir tlrtang 'Nntn lu?nv- ince e:tpilsfai aalsutlt 7A roii"t i south of l1 Nang. The ar a is one wherry Vicl. Cont, ar.livily remains fretptrnt aand. whavn Saigon govermnent accurity 'n.v never hren nirnttl!. gaol An llrclf will, hii, by o 11-round mortar attack simul- taneously with the assaults on the 2, ,.tjllagges, and 6 civilians and I rioldicr were wounded. Sixty miles farther south, an explosion in a school kilted I person and wounded 19, the Saigon military command said. Althoragh considerable enemy activity, is still being reported In the north, senior U.S. cam- manderl say the Communist forces there are now largely in a defense status followhlg ,months of heavy fighting and `the emphasis Is now on the 1d military region, which includes Saigon and 11 surrounding provinces. WASHING'lO N POST 7 October 1972 Vietcong Raid, oii Fission Kills 1 From Ness DIRratches "When you get to be my DANANG, Oct. 6-A 71- age, you don't get so excited ar?old Scottish woman ab it things." ye missionary conceded she was "jittery" during a Viet. cong attack on an isolated leper colony and orphanage near here early today. "But it certainly wasn't ? panic," she added. Acording to Alrk. Stilly Ifaverson, who has been In Vietnam for 12 years for the United World Mission: he attack, carried out by an estimated four Commu- nis terrorists, killed one loot an tuberculous patient an left 20 patients seri- ou y wounded.. rs. Ilaverson was the oni European at the sea- sid. colony of wooden sha ks and concrete dormi, .tor es when the raiders crept down rugged cliffs to , CPYRGHT the leprosarlum and set off nine satchel charges, de- stroying one building, wip- ing out a generating station and damaging seven other buildings. Lepers' homes and hospt- tat wards were blown up In the Happy Haven complex, which houses 100 lepers and 50 orphans. The colony, built with the help of U.S. servicemen, 1s operated by the United World Mission of St. Petersburg, Fla. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 19 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 CPYRGHT Contents I Overview ......................... I II' Doctrine and Programs ......... 5 III Hue: A Case History ...................................... 23 IV Technology of Terror ................................... 43 Appendix: The Record .................................. 55 Glossary of Vietnamese Terms ....... ...... ......... Map of Hue Major Body Finds: Inside Back Cover . 83 By Douglas Pike 21 Approved For Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79 01.194A00020.0110.0.01,:- CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Chapter III: Hue he city of Hue is one of the saddest cities of our earth, not simply because of what happened there in February, 1968, unthinkable as that was. It is a silent rebuke to all of us, inheritors of 40 centuries of civilization, who in our century have allowed collectivist politics to corrupt us into the worst of the modern sins, indifference to inhuman- ity. What happened in Hue should give pause to every civil- ized person. It should be inscribed, so as not to be forgotten, along with the record of other terrible visitations of man's inhumanity to man which stud the history of the human race. Hue is another demonstration of what man can bring himself to do when he fixes no limits on political action and pursues uncautiously the dream of social perfectibility. What happened in Hue, physically, can be described with a few quick statistics. A communist force which eventually reached 12,000 invaded the city the night of the new moon marking tha new lunar year, January 30, 1968. It stayed for 26 days and then was driven out by military action. In the wake of this Tet offensive, 5,800 Hue civilians were dead or missing. It is now known that most of them are dead. The bodies of most have been found in the past 20 months, in single and mass graves throughout Thua Thien province which surrounds this cultural capital of Viet-Nam. Such are the skeletal facts. the important statistics. Such is what the incurious world knows, if it knows anything at about Hue, for this is what was written, modestly, by the world's press. Apparently it made no impact on the world's mind or conscience. For there was no agonized outcry. No demonstrations at North Vietnamese embassies around the world. Lord Russell did not send his "war crimes tribunal" to Hue to take evidence and indict. In a tone beyond bitterness, the people there will tell you that the world does not know what happened in Hue or if it does, does not care. The City Considered by Asian standards, Hue is 'not old, less than t,: o centuries. The ancient imperial capital was Hanoi. A dynastic breakup in the early 1800's afforded a powerful court noble the chance to seize the mantle of power, which he did. He proclaimed himself Emperor Gia Long and went on to become one of Viet-Nam's most =famous rulers. One of Gia Long's first acts was to move the capital far to the south, to the banks of the meandering Perfume river half way between Hanoi and Saigon. There he settled his court behind the newly-built walled fortification now called the Citadel. Inside his artisans erected buildings, working with sketches of the nalrh provi qe, shoot and wound the hamlet chief and-hisYieputy. July 17,1969-A grenade is thrown into Cho Con market, Da Nang, wounding 13 civilians, most of them women. July 19, 1! 9-A communist unit attacks the Chieu Hoi center in 17inh Binh province killing five persons, including two women and a youth, and wounding JAI. civilians. July 18, 1969-Police report two incidents of B-40 rockets being fired into trucks on the highway, one in Quang Due province in which three civilians were wounded and one in Darlac province , hich killed the driver. July 19, 1969-Communist seize and shoot Luong Van Thanh, a People's Self-Defense Force member, Tan Hoi Dong, Dinh Tuong province. July 30, 1969-Communists rocket the refugee center of Hung My, Binh Duong, wounding 76 persons. August 1 , 1969-A sapper team detonates a piastique charge at the base of an electric transformer tower in Saigon, cutting the line. August 5, 1969-Two grenades are thrown into the ele- mentary school in Vinh Chau, Quang Nam province, where a school board meeting is taking place. Five persons are killed and 21 are wounded. August 7, 1969-Communist sappers set off some 30 sepa- rate pki.stique charges in the U.S. Sixth Evacuation Hospital compound, Cam Ranh Bay, killing two and wounding 57 patients. August 7, 1969-A series of explosions is detonated out- side an adult education school for Vietnamese military in Cholon, killing eight and wounding 60. August 13, 1969-Officials in Saigon report a total of 17 communist terror attacks on refugee centers in Quang Nam and Thua Thien provinces, leaving 23 persons dead, 75 in- jured and a large number of homes destroyed or damaged. August 21, 1969-Communists infiltrate Ho Phong, Bac Lieu province, and kill three People's Self-Defense Force members, wound two others. 43 Approved For Release 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-0T 194A0002001-10O04 62- Approved For Release 1999/09/02 CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 - CPYRGHT August 26, 1969-A nine-month-old baby in his mother's arms is shot, in the head by terrorists outside Hoa Phat, Qum- Nam province; also found dead are three children b--10 een ages six and ten, an elderly nman, a middle-aged n _,an and a middle-a' ,ed woman, a told] of seven, all shot at least once in the hack of the head. September 6, 1969-Communists rocket and mortar the training center of the National Police Field Force in Dalat, killing five trainees and wounding 26. September 9, 1969-South Vietnamese officials report that nearly 5.000 South Vietnamese civilians have been killed by communist terror during 1969. Septc,nber 20, 1969-Communists attack Tu Van refugee center in Quang Ngai province, killing 8 persons and wound- ing two, all families of local People's Self-Defense Force members. In nearby Binh Son, eight members of a police ofilcial's family are killed. September 24, 1969-A bus bits a mine on Highway 1, north of Duc Tho, Quang Ngai province; 12 passengers are killed. October 13,1969-A grenade is thrown in the Vi Thanh City Chieu Hoi center, killing three civilians and wounding 46; about half those wounded are dependents. . October 13, 1969-Communists kidnap a Catholic priest and a lay assistant from the church at Phu Hoi, Bien Hoa province. October 27, 1969-Communists booby trap the body of a People's Self-Defense Force member whom they have killed. When relatives come to retrieve the body the subsequent explosion kills four of them. _ ? Statistics (See Chart Below) In May, 1967 the GVN-U.S. began employing nev and more sophisticated s)-sterns, some using computers, for the collection and 2. 1a1ysis of statistical data, including data on terror incidents. Under the new systerns, categories were changed some what and therefore the pre-1967 figures below are not strictly comparable to those later (hence the drop in total number of terror acts for 1968 and first ten months of 1969). With respect to the general matter of the Viet-Nam war and statistics, experienced writers in the mass media, the academic community and in government have learned, often from personal and bitter experience, not to try to quantify the Viet-Nam war. As a result they reflexively eschew sta- tistics, not because they do not recognize them as a valuable too], but because they know the conditions and circumstances under which they are collected make them. at best, untrust- worthy, and at worst, dangerously misleading. With respect to terror acts, the data proccessing system is chiefly depen- dent on reports from the 2500-village countryside, a shaky base indeed. Like most people in developing societies the Vietnamese are not great record keepers and particularly are not keepers of precise numbers, usually seeing no need. (Belief in the imperative need for figures, indeed simply to become sta- tistics-conscious, seems to be a characteristic that develops as does the society.) Beyond this unperceived need to collect statistics of any sort, including. those on terror, there is in Viet-Nam a fog of war which by its disruptive naturevirtual- ly prohibits systematic and patient collection of data. War is often responsible for the destruction of such data as has been assembled. This is the case, for example, of records of land surveys. title deeds and other legal documents on Hold- ings in th Mekong Delta, a jurist's nightmare, one which the courts will be sorting out for a generation. Thus in Viet-Nam there is the triple problem of indiffer- ence to the collection of statistics, inability because of war to collect them, and incomplete reporting even when collected. Therefore this chart is to be treated cautiously. Its benefit, if any. is simply to suggest the scope and general order of magnitude of communist terror acts over the years; the error probably is not more than plus or minus 25 percent. Approvecl or Release 1999/09/02 :4.YlA-RDP79-01194AUM001 10001 -2 Approved For Release 1999109109 ? CIA-RDD7a-0419420MAT0001-2 Year Terror Act;' A:scssin!io s~ Kidnap :acs' AttacO 1957 to 1960 NA 1,700 (est.) 2,003 (est.) Negligible 1961 NA 1,300 (est.) 1,318 NA 1962 20,000 (est) 1,118 1,1,18. 5,484 1963 25,280 827 1,596 3,735 1964 21,733 516 1,525 15,500 1965 18,300 (est.) 305 1,730 .15,200 1966 15 000 ( ) 732 1 810 3 est. , , , 1967 t ) 23 000 ( 707 3 357 5 es . , , , 1968 617 9 5 389 759 8 , , , 1969 10 765 202 6 6 289 , , , 1970 473 7 4 126 5 791 , , , (7 mos.) This table was updated a, ll4' manuscript was going to print and covers the period through July 1976. 1. Includes sabotage, h;trrassing fire, visits by armed pro- paganda teams to villatgr ?, "VC War Bond" sales, confiscation of food, but not the otl,'-r acts of terror listed in subsequent columns. 2. Until May 1967 the figures are for assassinations of gov- ernment officials only, and not killings of other civilians (records were kept only on officials and even these are in- complete.) Based on a 1964 study it probably is safe to con- clude that for every official Vietnamese assassinated, at least four non-officials were killed. 3. As in the case of a::issinations, the only records of kid- napings kept prior to *iay 1967 were kidnapings of gov- ernment officials; in light of a 1964 study, it is safe to con- clude that for every government official kidnaped, two non-government persww were seized. The GVN reported to the ICC in 1966 thc,~'? kidnaping figures (government and non-government) total'-d: 1962, I.Q,QQO_;-1963, 7,200; 1964, 10,450; 1965, 11,500. 45 Approved For Release 1999/09102 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-.2 Approved For Release I 999/09/0 79-0119 gP;N;x, 11;72 PITY THE SOVIET. FAFZMER There has been a tendency to blame this year's poor showing by Soviet agriculture almost wholly on the weather. Granted, the extremes of climatic conditions in the USSR of the past few months have been the most horrendous of the last quarter century. But climatic adversities cannot explain why Soviet agriculture which gets the world's largest inputs of labor (nearly one-third of the Soviet labor force) and financial investment (over the last 20 years a capital investment of some $600 billion and today about one-fourth of all investment in buildings, structures and equip- ment) is unable to meet consumer needs and is gradually trans- forming the Soviet Union from a grain exporter into a grain importer. The main message in the attached Backgrounder and accompanying press reprints is that as long as Soviet agriculture continues to operate under its present system of collectivization, as long as the Soviet "economic model" persists, so long will Soviet agriculture remain in its present precarious condition. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 FOR BACKGROUND USE ONLY October-November 1972 Perhaps indicative of Soviet sensitivities about the plight of agriculture in the USSR is the leadership's preoccupation with "overtaking the U.S." in farm production. Last November, for example, Soviet Premier Kosygin told the Supreme Soviet that "the general volume of ... agricultural production in the USSR in 1975 will exceed the present level of ... agricultural production in the United States." However, the way things are going at the moment, the Soviet Union looks to be unable to overtake its own agricultural production rate for the next several years --- let alone by 1975. In the Soviet Union, national Farmers' Day is celebrated on October 8th. This year in Moscow the weather was gloomy and skies overcast. It was fitting backdrop for the officially announced estimates that came over radio and TV to the effect that this year's grain harvest will come only to about 167 million metric tons. Officials emphasized that this harvest will be roughly at the average level for the previous five-year plan. What the officials' statements ignored was that this year's harvest will fall about 30 to 35 million tons below what their planned target was for this year and about 25 percent below last year's harvest. Granted, one of this year's biggest bogeys has been the weather. First, winterkill damaged about 10 percent of the winter crop. Next, scorching weather cut sharply into the harvest of the breadbasket of European Russia as that area went through its hottest, driest summer in 26 years. Finally, harvesters in the late-grain-ripening areas of Siberia were faced with a cold, wet autumn harvest season and a race against frost to get the grain cut. Chances are that because of extreme dampness and the slim possibility of fully drying the grain, the Siberian area crops will have an unusually high spoilage rate. Tus, despite official forecasts of a healthy 167 million ton intake, the tonnage of actually useable grain will be something far below that figure. Even though climatic conditions this year have again exposed the fragility of Soviet agriculture, weather cannot be blamed for most of the ills that continually plague that sector of the economy. Weather does not account for irrational planning practices, tractor and tractor parts shortages, the insufficiency of combines for harvesting, inadequate storage facilities, and the ever-too-low fertilizer input. Bad rural roads and lack of adequate transport continue to hamper both fertilizer delivery and grain collection. All this in spite of the enormous investments that have been poured into agriculture, particularly during the current five-year plan. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Agriculture is probably the saddest victim of the Soviet penchant for forcing growth by heavy doses of investment aimed at increasing the quantity of production as quickly as possible without regard to efficiency or quality. In fact, there is nothing that sheds more light on the use of resources under the "Soviet economic model" than an analysis of its agricultural methods. Soviet investments in agriculture (using American prices at 1970 purchasing power) were over $50 billion in 1956-1960, over $270 billion during the 1960's, and are scheduled to surpass $260 billion during the current five-year plan. In other words, during the course of 20 years agriculture will have received close to $600 billion in capital funds. This figure does not include investments in farm supply industries such as chemiE Ts or highways or central warehouses. This extremely high cost of Soviet agriculture goes far beyond the subsidizations pre- valent in any Western country.* In addition to the tremendous capital fund investment that Soviet agriculture has been getting, the farm sector now gets about one- fourth of all investment in buildings, structures, and equipment. And lately, deliveries of fertilizer, spare parts, fuel, and electric power from industry have been increasing,; But despite all this attention, the farm sector cannot keep up with demands arising from new consumer programs and Soviet grain buyers have again been forced to scrape the barrel for imports from the Americas, Canada, and Western Europe. Mist experts stress that Soviet agricultural returns would be greater if investments were made in intensive improvement --- in quality, in technology, in skilled labor, in yield per acre and weight per animal --- rather than as is being done in more con- struction, more acres, and more head of livestock. But Mr. Brezhnev has put his money on gross expansion. Yet today, in spite of some expansion, agriculture continues to be the weakest and least productive sector of the Soviet economy and its huge collective and state farms, the most poorly managed and inefficient organizational form in the country. Nearly one-third of the labor force is still employed on farms and the cost of producing grain and meat is still far above world market prices. During 1971, even with their second largest crop in Soviet history, the USSR was forced to buy heavily on world markets. At this writing, purchases of grain from Western markets for delivery in 1972 and 1973 are over 27 million metric tons (valued at $1.8 billion) and can be expected to increase. Payments must be in hard *In the United States, for example, agriculture in 1970 invested $5.8 billion. Capital stock at the end of 1970 was valued at $66 billion after depreciation and at $145 billion undepreciated. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 currency and will not be offset by Soviet grain exports which bring in either soft currency from East European clients or practically nothing, as in the case of Cuba or Bangladesh. The forecast is that in the short run the Soviet Union will be able to finance its foreign grain purchases without trouble through gold sales and cutting back on other hard currency imports. But in the longer run, when payments of principal and interest begin to fall due, the chronic Soviet trade imbalance with hard-currency 'trade partners will become ever more severe. Western experts say it is highly questionable whether the Soviet Union will be able to :recover soon or fully from its current agricultural setbacks. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 CPYRGHT CPYRGHT CPYRGHT Soviet Fear Over Harvesi ?x Rises as First Snow .Falls NEW YORK TIM& 25 Septombor 1972 MOSCOW, Sept. 24--As the BY THEODORE SHABAD S lxl to The NM Tork TImei The whew harvest is only one-third completed in some key areas, but the first snow of the season was reported today. - Union continued to stir politi- cal controversy In the United States, a new urgency appeared to creep irrto front-page har- vest reports in the Soviet press from northrrrn Kazakhstan, one of the prin$ipal theaters of op- erations in:*;what has been por- trayed he fe' as the "battle for .grain." Press reports painting a cha- otic situaon In the Urals, Si- beria and Kazakhstan have been the sole source of Infor- mation. o the harvest for Western . n wsmen because So- viet authortics have prevented them from traveling to the areas for a trst-hand appraisal. All travel jr faforeigners must WASHINTON POST 20 September 1972 RussInns, from Leonid 13rezhncv to a' Muscovite! with a few apple trees arbu,Sd hi suburbnn rincha, this has been a lnlrsy month. The fall harvest, one of the biggest events in the year for the Soviet Union, has been poor. The consequences or its failures will be (pit all year. It Is difficult for Americans to imag. 1ne the slgnifir;~nrc of the harvest in Soviet life.. ,inrlL,ing by the press. it in front of potato stores as a result of press reports that an unusually hot summer has re- duced the crop in the Moscow region, a major producer of potatoes, which am a staple In the Russian diet. The ueucs have prompted, officials t go on television with appe s 'against hoarding and ~rith a surances that extra shipments of potatoes from, Byelorussia and the Baltic re-; publics wit provide enough, 'potatoes to all. "There a some Muscovites," 'Deputy Ma or Leonid V. Derir; (bin told to vision viewers re- centiyy, "w despite the obvi- ous facts.s I1 believe the cap. ital will ru short of potatoes and now s ek to stash away their own s pply," Asserting that such panic buying wa "totally unjust'-. fied," Mr., cribin said that Government storage facilities were far sup riot to those avail. able In Mos ow homes and he warned bu purchasers of, spoilage. ; The first now from Kaza. khstan was ported In Pravda,' the?Commun st party daily, un= der the head ne "Time Is press- Ing the grai farmer." Alluding t the lateness of patch from Tsellnograd; In the heart of the Kazakhstan wheat lands, said: We are In the last 10 days of September-that says every. thing. And the first snow should be a stern warning." " The report depicted misman. agement and poor organiza- tion, with wet wheat being gathered under drizzly skies and being refused by grain ele. vators lacking the necessary drying equipment. Although thousands of trucks from cities have been commendeered for the grain areas, more appeared to be needed. Pravda said that the Chelya= binst. region, with -a commit. ment to deliver about one mil- lion tons of'grain to the Gov. ernment, had met only 30 per tent of its goal so f'?r. "A large part of the crop is still In the fields or is waiting to be threshed," Pravda said. Under the Soviet system of agriculture, collective and state farms are expencted to deliver fixed quotas to' state agencies for marketing through Govern- ment channels. The rest of, the crop may be retained by the farms for their own needs, In- cluding livestock feed and seed stocks.. This year's deliver quota is' 78 million tons out of the planned harvest of I9- Bullion. n CPYRGHT Ba4. --HarvestThreatens Soviet cononl Y CPYRGHT 1) y T (1 t1t 1- e, B1(.nglilt g, Inefficiency CLOP S(tbota r er& 1 4 "7'41 sunrnrrr has bisrn capri? cfoulr find difficult." -Pravda illy Robert G. Kaiser W4'-iInrtlnn Pnsl. rnr?lan 3orvir? MOSCO}v, ,Sept 19-For millions of fly approved in est Is always page-] in the Soviet press, mphasis given to it, after both a' bad summer has struck, spaper readers as tinual exhortations to o get the crop in, with the travel ban on newsmen, has preted as an indica- deed. Western esti-I e ranged 10 to 20, on tons, but no offi- ave been published act of the presumed y the consumer, with ood crop indicator,, have been forming viet newspapers have been filled for wreks with exhortations to bring in a good crop. '('revision repeats the mes- rpge. "Don't Iosc a SI11I;Ir stalk, a sI11gk Rrain'," Pravda's main headline urged the other clay. ?re.ns of thousands of mrrlinnry citi- zens we pressed into dutv'te help with ,the h rvrst. Thousands of trucks ;ind boxes work fIrl'ds, The the r. press are diverted from their normal o help move the crop from the exhortations are serious. So is tensive IPpor'ting ill the Snvlet bout. mistakes, had management and r rn ihicvrrv (hat ]tavc hirid'r'd the h. west. flat Ihr nrljnr problem V-11191. [MV.) it yuar ngo now this y , ~ ~ r t ha.r bee rApiprrev4etdt FerrReleas '199 10 A0is' 0a 9/O2rs, ADDR79 1194400'Oi a,1i?r4 oC the nntion's leaders for some time. may It yr liven, 'this year nature sah- Lettuce Is rare and selling the reaping,, and thrrshine began a few. weeks ago. The ramifications of an Inadequate harvest are vast They begin with 'he gloomy lank on the face of a Saturday gardener in a villacc near ilinscow who dug up )it,,; potato patch last weekend, Ile found that a ,,tin,-,y mother nature hid, given him a small harvest of shrilnkcn, unappetiZml* slstlds. In Moscow's Central Mar-, ket, where farmers sell the produce from their private plots of land, prices hwn shot up. Cauliflower that cast abo'rt PO ceills a pound (nt the inflated official ex. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200fU~iT In state shops, some limits havq been imposed on the quantity of pnlators each customer ran buy at one. time. Lines for pniatncs-a staple in the starchy Russian diet..-are Common. arid the potatoes themselves Are small. The situation In the prove, laces is undoubtedly worse,, because Moscow has the, highest prinrily in the Conn try for consumer gnorlk of all kinds. For example, Mos- cow's butcher shops always; have meat In sell, but the state stores in some small towns haven't sold fresh meat for five years. (Such towns get their meat from farmers' markets. Private pints produce more than a third of the food eaten in the Soviet Union.) Dread Waste. Officials have assured the public several times that there is no cause to fear a bread shortage, hut. the press has also carried articles criticizing people who waste bread. The government has al- ready taken steps to assure the bread supply by con- tracting for vast quantities of foreign wheat, mostly Americlin and Canadian. By Western, est.imate, the Soviet Union will spend 51.5 billion or more nn foreign grain purchases. At this level, the poor harvest becomes an im- portant factor for the entire Soviet economy. The Soviet Union operates on a five-year plan whose parts are all interconnected. The plan for this year fore- saw production of about .:90 million'tnns of grain. West- ern experts here predict the harvest will he. 20 to ?.0 mil. lion tons short of that goal. Western scholars assume that the five-year plan (Ines not slimy much margin for error. When a crucial factor like the harvest falls so far belpw expectations, adjhist- menls throughout the econ- omy are probably inevitable. The first of these may come in the hard currency budget. If the Soviets do spend more than $1.5 billion for grain this year, far more than they had planned, they will have to cut hack other purchases of foreign goods, or perhaps sell off some of their vast gold reserves. (The Soviet ruble is a "soft" currency - it isn't traded on international money markets, and West- ern businessmen won't ac- cept it). . The principal product the Soviet Union now seeks Abroad is modern technol- ogy. So a had harvest can hinder the modernization of this country's enormous but uncompetitive ecnnnmy, though this may be the sine gle most Important goal that the Soviet leaders have set for themselves. Rrrzhnev and his col- )eagues may well feel that this is an undeserved trick of fate. Their plan was not unreasonable, assuming rei- atively normal wrather. But the weather hrre has hrrn wildly abnormal since last winter. and it has frustrated( the country's farmers in al- most every imaginable way. First the weather was dry and extremely cold. The winter wheat harvest was unsuccessful. The ground was dry when planted, and got drier as .July and August became months of drought. Then, when the harvest began, heavy rains In many sections ruined much of the crop. Leap Year Even relatively carefree crops, like apples, did poorly this year. One Muscovite re- ports that his friend's little rchard in the country didn't produce it single apple, not one." This same man explained the bad weather with A typical piece of Russian folk wisdom: "It.'s a leap year - leap years Are always bad." if nature was the princi. pal cause of the poor har- vest, it was not alone. The Soviet press has provided abundant, vivid. examples of agricultural mismanagement and malfeasance In recent weeks. The reports detail cases of had maintenance of machin- ery, inefficient Allocation of resources, lack of official foresight and imagination, "In the Sverdivsk adminis- trative district," Pravda re- ported, "there is a good crop of potatoes, but they can't be harvested properly there aren't enough sacks to hold them. The district needs three million sacks, but has been promised only. 900,600." In another report, Pravda disclosed: "In the Ukraine, gain elevators' capacities are smaller than the amount of grain harvested in some districts . Thousands of railroad freight cars are not fit for the transportation of grain ... " In one section of wheal -growing Kazakhstan, the newspaper "Rural Life" reported, "more than 500 trucks have not been re- paired on local farms, The local repair shop has not yet fixed 70 truck engines sent 11 to it last June . At the same time, motor pools in big cities including Moscow, were depleted to a fraction of their normal size, And thousands of trucks were shipped by rail.tn help with thhe harvest-especial- ly in that same area of Ka- zakhstan. One of the biggest scan- dals of the harvest season was reported by Komsomol skaya Pravda, whose corre- spondent in Kazakhstan saw dozens of new, 11.5-ton trucks parked on & ,road and decided to find out why they were not in use. Spare Parts The trucks, ho learned, had been shipped from the factory that made them on flat. cars. They arrived to cheers from the local popu. lation, and men got into them to drive'them off the train. The first one would not start. Neither would the second, third, fourth -=- or Any of them, apparently, there were more than 60 trucks, and Important parts had been stolen from every` one, the paper reported, al- though the shipment was supposed to be-guarded the entire way. A local official told the journalist that the trucks could not he repaired, be cause the stolen parts were. simply not Available in that part of the country. The press has also re- ported special incentives for farmers and local trading of, ficials to get more potatoes Into the state warehouses. this year. Farmers are being offered 5 per cent higher prices for all potatoes they, deliver Above plan, and pure chasing Agents are being tempted to find more pota- toes to buy with bonuses of a full month's salary or more. One subject that the press has not mentioned Is the So- viet government's extensive purchases of foreign grain. Nikita Khrushchev, Moscow taxi drivers will tell you, squandered Soviet gold on Canadian wheat. Perhaps Khrushchev's successors don't want to be remem- bered similarly. Whatever the reason, the Soviet new media have never reportse the $750 million grain dell with the United States, or Moscow's other grain pur- Chases, Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 2 CPYRG:HT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 CPYRGHT CHRISTIAN SCIENCE 1,70111TOR 13 September 1.972 am Ing preals refcm-m By Paul Wohl Written for The Christian Science Monitor The in ' 12 9 lip, 110W believed by Western experts to be even more severe than previously anticipated, may catapult the Soviet Union into major agricultural teforms. Western specialists, who had earlier esti- mated tie Soviet grain harvest at around 170 million tens. Instead of 195'million called for by the pI:"~n, now think the crop may not even reach 160 Educed tons. They dt duced this figure from an article by Politburo alternate member and Byelorus scan Panty Secretary Pyotr M. Masherov in I3yelorusskaya Pravda of Aug. 19. Rains, which delayed) the harvesting In Siberia and North Kazakhstan, have daunted hopes of a late but abundant yield in these eastern regions. Heavy frost and snow may hit the fields before the grain can be brought In. The spply of potatoes, another staple, also will be vpry tight this year, Clintntt. b1.1111ed Officit ly the setback Is attributed to' the vagarieaqof the climate, but low farm labor productii' ty compounded the unfavorable weather nditions. Poor 1itbor productivity in the countryside Is not We fault of the farm workers. It Is caused by the unwieldy setup of the collective and stated farms. Accoling to economists Michael E. Brad- ley and M. Gardner Clark, writing in the spring Issue of the British Journal Soviet Studies, the average size and labor force of Soviet and American farms compare as follows: U.S. Collec- State farms tives farms Acre pttr farm 351.6 26,508 99,578 Workci per farm 1.9 606 635 Work; on farms as huge as the collective and state farms takes on an Impersonal charact4r. The peasant. 'is no longer inter. ested In ithe land, and management becomes so enmp1la-ted that effective supervision of labor Is nearly impossible. Soviet farm managers and economists have come tip with various proposals to subdivide and decentralize the large farms. The most successful and ? popular ex- perimental approach has been to place a small acreage, approximately the size of the average American farm, in the hands of two or three families for several years. Fret'dotn,ex pandcd These "leaseholders" are given equipment and Co MpVedeFlott Rtel>l se 11999/09/02: C1 allotted Mild. These so-called Independent mechanized teams - the Russian word Is zveno, or link - have brought encouraging results wherever they have been tried. Only a few hundred zvenos have been set up thus far because Communist dogmatists fear that they might let in capitalism by the back door. I3utt the zveno system has supporters. The strongest zveno advocate is Politburo member Genady 1. Voronov, formerly pre- mier of Russia proper. In the past, Mr. Voronov's suggestion to introduce zvenos on a larger scale has been overruled. A speech he made two years ago, championing the zvenos, was published only in a small provincial journal. Soon thereafter he lost his position as premier of the Russian Federation though he remains a full member of the Politburo. Recently the idea has again come to the fore. Its favorable discussion in Pravda and Izvestia, against the background of this year's grain calamity, may point to a larger application of the zveno system. ' Russian consumers, meanwhile, are not expected to feel the present crop failure as severely as the one of 1963-1964, which preceded the ouster of former Premier Nikita S.Krushchev. The party and government have boldly decided to Import enough food grain to keep the public's breadbasket filled, at least in metropolitan areas. While the people are urged not to waste grain, nowhere have they been admonished to tighten their belts. Another favorable factor is the party leadership's decision of last year to concen- trate on meat and dairy farming rather than on field production. Larger units preferred Concentration on meat and dairy farming has the advantage in Soviet conditions that it lends itself to production in bigger farm units, which the Communists prefer. The farm predicament Is likely to come up at the party Central Committee session that will precede the meeting of the Supreme Soviet on Sept. 19. Once again General Secretary Leonid I. Brezhnev, Is expected to present the main report. His recent swing through the eastern territories indicated concern for the weak spots of Soviet agriculture: Its extreme dependence on the vagaries of the weather, its immobilization of a huge labor force, and the built-in handicaps to labor efficiency and management. Solutions sought It can hardly be expected that Mr. Brczh. nev will scrap all the time-honored tenets of Communist agriculture. Buuttq hae~and, his Aidi?t~tyt6i Yir~~i`tG3i t`M~t1e'i 66 ~oy4c e?fel4l2 ~nnrn~iPrl Fnr RPIPac CPYRGHT 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 The big imports of food grains to tide the Soviet Union over a difficult winter show that the Kremlin is keenly aware of the possibility of political repercussions at home. While these imports may lead to a raising of eyebrows by Moscow's financial experts, for the public at large they are a sign that their leaders are taking practical measures to cifehion the Impact of the crop failure and that reforms of agricultural policy may be on the way. CHR7"TIAN `'CIl'.NCF 1"011ITOR CPYRGHT .7 September 1972 11uroDeT t Special correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor t. Violins There are problems down on the farm in dastern Europe as well as the Soviet Union his year. Czechoslovakia, whose daily bread anyway lepends largely on Soviet grain, and I-luri- ary have both had small crises of their own. In parts of Czechoslovakia, continuous rain storms flattened crops, with heavy losses, Combifren hogged down In ' .': ud, and linrvest rrorker4had to fall back on grass mowers and ,ven srfhen. It wn the sane in home of Hungary's I' X crop-heavy Trans-Danubian areas. Thanks o a .July rainfall twice that cf the country's yearly average, these areas had their most difficult harvest of the century. Government agencies had to mount h. initjor rescue operation, including it rail-lift, o move combines and drying units cross- country to stricken regions, and brigades of WeekeitgJ helpers from the towns, Had Weather Invariably exposes the contin- ued ta?ealm'ess of the collectivized farm organization. It still In 111-equipped to, cope with such dire emergencies as the elements can offer. It still Is seriously under-mecha- nized. Thus Czechoslovakia, for example, one of Eastern Europe's Industrial leaders, is stilt talking: of "widespread mechanization" of agriculture by 1900-0115. " - Now, however, a?grave nbw problem looms eVor more sharply for these countries. 1" or centuries their Iargs rt work force has been on the land. But now they face a shortage of able-bodied farm labor. Postwar industirializntion and urban growth Increasingly have lured younger folk to the towns. The big state farms and collectives have Increasingly been left to, an 'This sociologlcttl trend Lnov,'n to moat t,r the modern world. Tint In 1hn r,?tce (ai Aoinloantly a~ gneiss countries of Fo:1,rn iiltiropo It now In er.usinsf more concern 111 ;n any other factor in nbr'cult:ure. Czhechoslovakla lead 2% million form workers 25 years afro. Coilectly iriition 7,R18 intensified Jnswitrlaiization reduced the number to about a million, Another quarter million are expected to leave by the inid- The average farm worker's age already xceeds 40. In the Czech lands, 25 percent are ver 00 years of age, Mechanl-,atlon has come nmvhere neat to etching up with thI:, labor drain. Two-flfiiis of Hungary's cooperative iar'nl rs are at pension age. Only I In 5 e' no copcrative's new members Is Around 20 'wcnty-five percent or all agricultural ;'r..ic- rs are over 05, compared with only 9 T' -i i.en n Industry. Recent surveys sou;-tit to discover why so, ew youngsters an,, tliravm now to farming nd how to improve rural life In order to rsuade more to rci sin there. Sociologists had no difficulty In providing nswcrs: Long, rrduou-t working hours (inclu(Iing :30 a.m. rising to tend the family's private. lot), disparitic.i in pay compared with, ndustry, Inferior fringe benefits. and lack of lie amenities and facilities which Jndustrlal~ reas enjoy. Though It in "heresy" to the fathers, sung tors would gladly rellnquisli the pri?' ate plots In return for permanent and settled .ash incomes and the same social security' or agriculture as Industry. "Modern village youth no longer Is pre- ar'ed to go home smelling of the stable or to at sandwiches sitting on a feedbox,", the survey found. "It is educated and has been brought up on iclcvision. But long farm hours prevent It ::,,king part In amusement tend cultural wionitics the same nc townsfolk And today's concluded onu rclittr't "are rvitruing the same rights,", Vast European governs; o tn, however, ;' l1 ore focus ' ;' their prioriti nl oil : cIustri- ulizittlon. CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 4 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A00020011000t RGHT CPYRGHT CPYRGHT T"P.' r!G()NOMiST .4;VPTr'Mnt1,a 16#1972 Russia Brezhnev's battle for bread The Russian press in recent weeks has had a wartime look about it. Every- where tkcre is talk of "winning the battle." };von sober Pravda tries to con- vey the excitement, highlighting dis- patches ftf'om its front-line correspon, dents in Siberia and Kazakhstan, car- rying articles full of military metaphors and splashing pictures of war her6cs and their assault vehicles. No, not tanks, combine harvesters : the battle today is for bread. This year's harvest has had to com- pete against the natural perils of a frosty winter followed by a very dry summer. The damage done to the crop in wester. Russia makes the yield from the new ranaries of Kazakhstan and Siberia or vital importance. But, judg- ing from ;its eager shopping for grain, from the; United States, Canada, France aril Australia, the government seems to be preparing for the worst. The problems of this year's harvest are a stage in the protracted battle to modernise farming, and to, put agricul- ture, which even today employs more than a riarter of all Russian workers, on a pa with industry. The struggle has been going on for nearly 20 years. Khrushchcv tried to restore the balance by shock tactics, the magic of maize and th mass reclamation of virgin lands. incc he disappeared from the scene tfie battle has been less spec- tacular lout not less expensive : farming is to aChcorb 21.5 per cent of total capital investment in the current five-' year plat(, CPYRGH 'w YORK TTrTS 10 Aufytiit 1972 't'argets have become more realistic than they were in K.hrushchev's day. The aim for 197t-75 is an average yearly grain crop of 195m tons com- pared with 167.5m tons to the previous five years. 't'otal agricultural output is in yo u l) by about 21 per cent over the same pcrio . Or at least that is the plan. Altho gh Russian farming output has, on a rage, been' rising steadily over recent years, the increase -m pro-, duction d s not correspond-.to the money you ed in. This ap arently - unbridgable gap. hrtwecn wi at goes in and what comes out has lc westerners to suggest two alternative ourses for Russia's planners. The first i that Russia should follow the exam le of nineteenth-century Britain an rely on industrial exports to pay for large part of its food. But the analo does not really apply. Britain, at that time, could afford this policy front its sale of manufactured goods ; the Soviet Union is still mainly exporting aw materials. Its problem is not h w to pay for foreign food but . ow to increase its own yield from is land. Mr Bre.hnev has several times admitted tI at it will take many five- year plans o overcome the difficulties.' Ile has al made it plain that the basic probl is not so much bread as grain for livestock and a resultant major exp nsion in meat and dairy farming. T is is where the deal with the United States, with its emphasis on animal fe d-stuffs, comes in. But a change in approach is needed. Hitherto t e outside world has pro- vided Russ' with stopgap supplies in years of ba harvest. If Russia's plan- ners could phick up the courage to accept the ccessity of regular outside raise Soviet-American trade unprect'dentcd heights. (1~>~~jt PllRC11AS Tlt rforst was compiled by +;ilai L LHI leading dcpartmcnt officials on the basis of recent talks with F GRAIN FROM us , private commercial dealers ne. gotiating with with the Russians and nd of reports from Moscow indi- t L~~~~~Q eating a bnd Soviet harvest this ~fnil. MAYTOTATlic spring harvest was called By IWRNARD GWVFRT7.MAN a "disaster" by mnny officials 51?*' It to The New Yott TIM" ,and it was reported from Mos- tV ' _- v today that Leonid I. Drezh- Agriculture Department esti- n , the Soviet Communist mated today that 1.110 Soviet pn y leader, had held a new Union tvn A Pc 11 a _ S'c _ -8 11I jt r dollars tV0 rR]1 rT~Rlr/PRRI c1DS from the United States over the next 12 months. Tliis would 5 rearing programme would be enlarged beyond the scope of present plans. The second suggestion put out by westerners Js that Russia should shift its farming towards smaller holdings and more private enterprise. This, -too, is an unlikely development. It is true that in their recent efforts to boost farm production the Russians have paid greater heed to financial incentives. Prices for farm produce were, raised, bonuses were introduced and wages have gone up on both . state and collective farms. But over the past 20' years the unmistakable trend is away from smaller units of production and private holdings towards larger estates under closer control. In 1950 there were some 125,000 collective farms. By now these have been merged into 33,000 larger units, each kolkhoz averaging Moo acres under cultivation. Despite present troubles and past failures, Russia's agricultural planners have not altered their ends and hardly their means. They are still banking on more equipment, more- fertilisers, and on land improvement and' a bigger electricity supply, ' to bring them closer to western levels of productivity. How far they still have -to go is reflected in manpower figures. In 1970 no less than 26.4 per cent of the total. Soviet labour force was still employed in farming ; this was twice the French and five,times the American proportion.' Without a radical change in -this pat- tern, and the plan for 1975 forecast' a proportion still as high as 23.1 per cent, Russia will continue to be sort-. ously handicapped in its economic race with the west. But this is the long-term problem. Mr Brezhnev's mind is no. doubt on more immediate issues: Russia's last disastrous harvest, in 1963, preceded Nikita Khrushchev's fall. projection of a billion dollars in sales goes far beyond the $200- million in grains that Moscow agreed to purchaseas part of a $750-million three-year deal an- nounced by the. White House on July 8. Department orriclals said that about $500-million of the bal. lion-dollar sales would probably be in wheat. This indicates that Moscow is anticipating short- !falls in its chief crop, vital to the bread supply that Is staple of the Soviet diet. the Agriculture Department e 'mated. Department officials said that an American company, Cook Grains of Memphis, had just about completed arrangements for the first sale of soybeans to the Russians-one million tons, valued at about $100-million. These products are used ins producing animal feed. Soy-' beans in particular are valued for their high protein content, useful for the growth of cattle. o tie o al w 11 Under the current Soviet five- f0A_aA i4 is C I -16 ~ ~04Ja100JW2 p1 n, Moscow ls d` J/O~ ~ c_ cv r ent y in an F. fort to r committed to a 25 per cent In-, oats and soybeans barley e , , , y r the hnn?rst. [Pace 9.1 crease in protein consumption,' Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 CPYRGHT through an increase In the amount of meat and dairy prod- ucts In the Soviet diet. Inbalance of Trade The large sales to the Soviet Union will cause a severe Im. balance in trade between the two countries. Last year, the United States exported about $t25-million to the Soviet Union and Imported about half that amount. The disproportion will grow with the extensive ag- ricultural purchases as well as With a ttep-up In Soviet pur- chases American Industrial equipment for a truck factory Because of this anticipated[ trade imbalance. Moscow will have to find ways of paying for its purchases. Under the origi- nal $750-million three-year deal, the Administration, through the Commodity Credit Corporation, had agreed to ex- tend a maximum of $500- mil-lion in credit. Agriculture Department of ficials said that the additional purchases would be paid for "privately," meaning, in most cases, by cash. Gold Sales Possible Some officials here believe' that the Russians may have to sell gold on the world market to cover the heavy agricultural purchases. It is believed that under thel terms of the deals, some of the: farm products will be deliv red by third-country ships andFthe rest by Soviet and American ships. The Russians, aware of the 'trade Imbalance, have beer seeking to persuade the United States to participate in joint efforts to exploit the untapped oil, gas and metal resources of Siberia. This was a major topic dis- cussed by Commerce Secretary Peter G. Pcterson and Mr. Brczhnev when they met two weeks ago in the Soviet Union. Mr. Peterson was there as head of the American dclcga- tion to the first session of the newly created Soviet-American commercial commission, So far, American companle~~ have expressed an Interest In such joint vcntures,?but the Government has been Wary of a drain on Government credits that would be needed for such large undertakings. The Soviet Union would probably be able to sell Its products more successfully In the United States if a trade agreement Is signed and It re. ceives regular tariff treatment. But such an accord has been help up pending resolution of the lend-lease negotiations to taifla +1'a t..?.:ap URlen's World War IT debts. WASTNGTON POST CPYRGHT 15 August 1972 V juerts Say soviets Face isaster in Grain Harvest By Murray Seeger Loa An?ele* Times MOSCOW-Revelations of .new gra n pure nsc. an new cy)mestic indicators here sug- gest that the Soviet Union is facing n dlsastro-is agricul-, tural year this year. "It appears that their crop losses will be phenomenal," one analyst observed. Other observers noted that the country's crop problems started cjlring the winter when there was little snow to nourish : the winter wheat crop. Tfie summer growing, season I*s seen record tempe-i matures 'pnd a drought. "Their, grain Is ripening all at the same time," one expert said. "Usually, they move their machines from the south to fthe north and east as the crop [develops. This year, it has come on all at the same time land they cannot follow their schedules." Last week, the official press revealed that Communist Party leader Leonid Brezhnev held an unusual meeting of the party Central Committee, agricultural officials and Im- portant editors to discuss the grain harvest. Editors Included Although the substance of meeting has not been dis- ci sod, diplomatic observers sa d the unusual inclusion of e [tors in such a meeting sug- g sted that the party was pre- p ring to tell the p'hlic of a m jar short fall in the i'72 1 m output. ,, -oviet authorities admit ti y do not have enough mod- on harvesting equipment to met their annual needs. The n wspaper 'Rural Life re- p rted lest week that 21,000 tr icks were being sent to the A tat' region ? in southwestern R ssja to help bring In the to at harvest. "The harvest front Is speed- II transferring to the east of t country," the newspaper s. d. "The fate of the crop of! 1 2 will be settled there in c rated days and hours. All e orts must be exerted for s cessful conducting of the h rvest and Increased grain sa es to the state."" Ithough Russia has often h d major crop failures In the p st, the '1972 problem Is espe- 11 acute because and government leaders have, been conducting a campaign to increase the supply of meat to the people. The grain purchases outside the country must therefore in- clude more expensive fodder grains as well as bread grains In order for the leaders to keep their promise of a better diet for the people. Butcher Cattle An alternative to spending valuable hard currency or gold for grain would be to butcher the nation's new de. veloping cattle herds prema- turely. "I don't think they are pre- pared politically to do that," one Western observer said. It was reported earlier this month that the Soviet Union Ihas decided to buy about 10 million tons of wheat and 4 million tons -of feed grains from the United States for do. livery next year, One million tons of soy' beans were also believed to.. have been sold to the Soviet Union. It Is estimated that these purchases from the United States CPYRGHT some $900 million. The Soviets were granted the right to, buy, as much as $500 million worthl on three-year loans at Sll per{ cent Interest. Sales now being arr nged' are expected to be largely for cash since It would otherwise use up In one year all the credit made available by the U.S. Commodity Credit Corp. The soybean sale must befor cash. In addition to the purch4ses, from the United States, it.ivas: learned here, the Russlanp have recently completed:, it grain purchase deal with France and tried unsucce. fully to make a big buy,_ MO Canada. i Canadian officials said they were approached by Soviet: grain buyers twice In recent weeks but had to turn tco~wn the bids because Canada's ports are operating at ca city! to deliver a current coract to Russia for 5.2 million tong, of grain worth $330 million cash. ' The French deal Is for I mil,, lion tons, half wheat and halt barley, to be delivered In thel coming year. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 FOR BACKGROUND USE ONLY October-November 1972 The last member of the Soviet Embassy's unwelcome trio finally departed as Anatoliy A. Lobanov, one of three Soviet diplomats whose recall the Danish government suggested in April, left Denmark on 31 August. The three diplomats in question First Secretary Lobanov, `.Chard Secretary Anatoliy N. Illarionov and Attache Mikhail K. Makarov, were charged with committing actions incompatible with their status. On 7 April the Danish Foreign Ministry informed the Soviet Ambassador Nikolai G. Egorychev that the Danish government would not expel the free-wheeling "diplomats" if they would quietly leave the .country. The Soviet Ambassador rejected all allegations of wrong- doing on their part and none of the accused diplomats made any apparent move to leave his post. But what the three had been up to is well documented in the Danish press. Makarov attempted to bribe a member of the Danish Folketing (parliament), known for his anti-European community views by offering to underwrite the expense of publishing and distribution of an anti-Common Market pamphlet. Makarov also tried unsuccessfully to buy an Asian Embassy's diplomatic code; his fellow diplomat, presumably Illarionov, posing as a Latin American, then .offered the Asian diplomat ten thousand kroner for the code. All this unwanted publicity forced the two men to leave during the summer. :Lobanov remained in Copenhagen and the Soviet Ambassador indicated that he had no intention of ordering Lobanov's departure. But parliamentary inquiry to the Danish Foreign Minister concerning Lobanov's status seems to have precipitated his overdue departure: Five months after the fact, the last of the miscreants left the Danish scene. Ambassador Egorychev remains behind to handle another "misunderstanding" in Danish-Soviet relations. The latest incident occurred in early September when a Danish fishing trawler in international waters picked up a Russian trying to flee across the Baltic to Sweden. Shortly after the rescue an armed Soviet naval vessel came alongside the Danish trawler which was then boarded by pistol carrying Soviet sailors. The hapless Russian was forced to leave his refuge. The Danish Foreign Ministry says it is investigating the incident and intends to officially protest to the Soviet Union. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2 MOSCOW BLENDS INTO THE LOCAL SCENE An unusual story has filtered out of Burma -- one which Moscow's TASS correspondent there would not file to his hometown newspaper. The story concerns TASS correspondent Yuriy Grigoriev's conversion to Buddhism. According to several newspaper accounts Grigoriev, a thirty-three-year-old newsman , returned to Burma for the second time in October 1971 as a correspondent of the official Soviet news agency TASS. In April of this year Grigoriev was ordained a Buddhist monk, assumed a Burmese name for himself and his wife and daughter who also became converts. One of the more intriguing aspects of this story is that Grigoriev's conversion ceremony was attended by various members of the Soviet embassy, an uncommon official blessing at best. One might surmise that Moscow had given its approval for its own political reasons. The Vientiane newspaper Xat Lao viewed the episode with due skepticism. "As is well known most Soviet diplomats and news correspondents assigned to perform duties abroad are members of the communist party who do not believe in God. The ideals of the communist party is their religion. Therefore, there have been doubts whether Grigoriev had resigned from the party before he became a Buddhist monk; whether he really had faith in Buddhism; whether he just wants to serve propaganda purposes; whether he wants to spy; or whether he wants to destroy Buddhism." Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000200110001-2