TERMS OF REFERENCE: NIE-77/1: THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE NEW INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79S01011A001100040024-8
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 5, 1999
• Sequence Number: 24
• Publication Date: August 14, 1953
• Content Type: NIE

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MaGerm"
SECURITY INFORMATION
14 August 1953
SUBJECT-s TERMS OF REFERENCES NIE-774 THE SIGNIFICANCE OF
THE NEW INDONESIAN GOOVERNWM
To estimate the significance of the newly established govern.
ment in Indonesia with particular reference to indications of
probable future trends,
Ao Nosy did the present goverriment cane to power?
1, Why was the present government accepted? Does it represent
a significant change in the political trend in Indonesia?
20 What role did President, Sukarno play? Does his acceptance
of this leftist government indicate a change in his political orien-
tation? Have his actions affected his position in Indonesia?
3a What has been the role of Vice-President Hatta?
D
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SEC1d.ET
What is the political cc osition and stren h of th new
rxm-en ? ~~
1. What is composition of the new goverment? Whe..t are
the relationships of the Cabinet with one another and what are
their Individual relationships with Sukarno and Satt&?
2 a What is the. extent of the support for the new government
in then
as Parliament
bo Civil service
Armed forces and national police
da General public*
3 To what extent does the new government enhance the ability
of the Communists to influence policy? What is the.Communist stre gth.
or ability to influence policy armi action in the following:
ba
Parliament
the Cabinet
the leadership of the armed forces and the national
police force
da the permanent staffs in the ministries and
governmental departments
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eo the Nationalist Party; other parties
fO the labor movement?
'That is-the potential for Communists to increase their influence
in these various governmental organs and political groups?
Why lidies will probab3,y be. adopted the new vge ment?
to With respect to domestic ji.s es and problems*
ao Suppression of dissident groups., principally the
l ru i. Islam and the insurgents In the South Celebeso
by The holding of national electionso
co Estate police particularly with respect to resettle-
merit of squatters in North Sumatra and to possibility
of nationalization of estates?
d. Other economic policies.
20 With respect to issues and problems :involving Indonesian
external relations.
ao continued acceptance of US assistance;
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bo ratification of the Japanese peace treaty-
ca position with respect to Communist Chinese UN
meanbership j
continuation of the Netherlands-Indonesian Union
and the Round Table Agreements;
?o political and economic relations with Soviet Bloc
countries;
position with respect to existing and possible
new foreign investment;
go otherso
D. What would be the probable course of develo, cents in Indonesia
over t He next sixes ants I n errmz
to adopt a radical,$ leftist program and seek its rapid
implementation;
ba adopt a radicals leftist program but seek its implementam
tion.gradually over a six months period or longer,,
meanwhile seeking to replace leaders in the armed
forces and key personnel in the ministries with
persons loyal to the new governments
SECRET
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SECRET
co continue along the general lires follow
br the preceding government without attempting
ar{~rr radical changes?
'What is the, likely duration of the new overnment? [What would
'Be the t~robable aRosition o a successor goverment?
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