THE CUBAN ECONOMY: A STATISTICAL REVIEW 1957-70
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79S01091A000200070008-5
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RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
30
Document Creation Date:
November 9, 2016
Document Release Date:
July 9, 1999
Sequence Number:
8
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 1, 1971
Content Type:
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Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091AO00200070008-5
25X1X7
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Intelligence Handbook
The Cuban Economy: A Statistical Review
1957-70
ER H 71-3
October 1971
Copy N 2 30
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WARNING
This document contains information affecting the national
defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title
18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended.
Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re-
ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law.
GROUP I
Excluded from automatic
downgrading and
deplauiflcation
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SECRET _J
handbook revises and updates ER H 70-2, The Cuban Economy: A
Statistical
of provisional data
an
968 and addition of data for 1969
of national accounts back
are: a
1957-68, January 1970. The principal changes
1 based largely o
private consumption as provided
(c) revision of population and per
tional census of 1970 and new
-
s e
cation of all table
countries, ma
Table
i
t
esti
ureau of Census
xaepf-Table 32 covering economic aid from
ossible by acquisition of new data from unclassified so
erring the government budget have not been updated, because no new
rmation is available.
7~u ui yS 7 - .
4tandbook is intended to provide a wide range of sta istics of genera
interest on the Cuban economy in a convenient format. Statistics for 1959 and
1960-the two years immediately following the revolution in January 1959-
are excluded because of the scarcity and unreliability of information. For similar
reasons, the statistics for 1961 are the least reliable of the series shown and should
be used with caution. Statistics for 1962 and 1964 generally have been omitted to
shorten the tables.
The statistics were obtained from a wide variety of sources. They have been
checked carefully for internal consistency and, on the whole, are judged to be
reasonably reliable. Most reliable are the statistics on foreign trade, for which
cross checks with the statistics of Cuba's trading partners were made.
The production data for most economic sectors also are fairly reliable, those
for sugar being the most accurate. The output data for manufactured products
also are numerically accurate, but their significance is impaired somewhat by a
decline in the quality of many manufactured goods since the revolution. The
production data for food crops since the revolution refer only to state collections.
In the aggregative measure of agricultural output, however, data on state collec-
tions were supplemented by estimates of total food production based mainly on
per capita food consumption data provided by refugee reporting.
`Drawings on Soviet credits were derived from the commodity traded 'bs
with the T3x~i,"~ taking account of estimated Cuban expend' r invisibles
such as the wages o e supplied by t interest payments, and
movements of short-term capital. ation of drawings between Soviet
development aid and bah - -payments cre i , ever, is only a rough
approximation. Dr gs on credits from East European coun re assumed
to have o e within a five-year period of the date of credit extension,
s is information indicated otherwise.
Estimates of gross national product (GNP) by sector of origin and by ex-
penditure category in current prices were derived from a variety of sources,
including estimates of the UN Economic Commission for Latin America that
were based on data supplied by the Cuban government. A first approximation of
GNP in constant (1957) prices was obtained by constructing volume indexes for
vision
(b) revision
ional information on
ing of refugee family budgets;
' eta based on the Cuban na-
rti and (d) declassifi-
ti
mmunist
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each sector of origin. These estimates of GNP were then adjusted on the basis of
independent estimates of GNP for 1965-66 by expenditure category in 1957
prices.
In this handbook the term Eastern Europe is used to refer to Albania,
Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and
Yugoslavia.
- //
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SECRET NO-f@RE~tf -DISSfM-
CONTENTS
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
1. Gross National Product at Constant Prices, by Sector of Origin....... 1
2. Gross National Expenditure and Product at Constant Prices, by
Major Expenditure ............................................ 1
3. Gross National Expenditure and Product at Current Prices, by Major
Expenditure .................................................. 2
4. Gross National Product Per Capita at Constant Prices, by Major
Expenditure .................................................. 2
5. Price Deflators for Gross National Expenditure and Product, by
Major Expenditure ........................................... 2
SUGAR SECTOR
6. Sugarcane Area and Yields and Sugar Production ................... 3
7. Production of Raw and Refined Sugar and Major Sugarcane By-
products ..................................................... 4
8. Production, Exports, and Domestic Consumption, and Stocks of Sugar. 4
AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY, AND FISHING
9. Gross National Product Originating in Agriculture (Except Sugar),
Forestry, and Fishing, by Major Component ..................... 5
10. Production of Major Industrial Crops (Except Sugar) ............... 5
11. Production and State Collection of Major Food Crops ............... 6
12. Production of Major Livestock Products ........................... 6
INDUSTRY
13. Production of Major Industrial Products ........................... 7
CONSTRUCTION
14. Apparent Consumption of Major Construction Materials ............ 8
TRANSPORTATION
15. Passenger Traffic, by Type of Carrier ............................. 8
16. Freight Loadings, by Type of Carrier ............................. 8
17. Value of Total Exports and Imports, by Major Area ................ 9
18. Value of Exports to Communist Countries ......................... 9
19. Value of Exports to Free World Countries ......................... 10
20. Value of Imports from Communist Countries ....................... 10
21. Value of Imports from Free World Countries ....................... 11
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22.
Value of Imports, by Commodity .................................
11
23.
Value of Imports at Constant Prices, by Commodity ................
12
24.
Value of Exports at Current Prices, by Commodity. . ...............
12
25.
Value of Exports at Constant Prices, by Commodity. ...............
13
26.
Imports of Selected Commodities .................................
14
27.
Sugar Exports to Free World Countries ............................
15
28.
Sugar Exports to Communist Countries ............................
15
29.
Imports of Cuban Sugar by Communist Countries and Estimated
Re-exports to the Free World ..................................
16
30.
Average Prices Received for Sugar Exports, by Principal Market Area..
16
31.
Economic Assistance Credits Extended by Communist Countries..... 17
32
t
' ~
~ "
.
a
.
teeecmnuni~~?anntries: ....... 19
33
Projects Constructed with Assistance from Communist Countries..... 20
POPULATION AND LABOR FORCE
34.
Estimated Population ...........................................
21
35.
Civilian Labor Force and Employment, by Economic Sector .........
22
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
36.
Planned Budget Revenues of the Central Government, by Major
Category ....................................................
22
37.
Planned Budget Expenditures of the Central Government, by Major
Category .................................................... 23
3d.
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SECRET SEM3 NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
Sugar .....................................
710
725
845
475
765
600
770
660
600
935
Agricultural production ...................
395
405
475
260
415
330
420
360
375
505
Industrial production .....................
315
320
370
215
350
270
350
300
315
430
Agriculture (except sugar), forestry, and fishing.
345
320
350
310
290
310
320
310
320
305
Industry (except sugar) .....................
485
495
550
590
575
570
625
640
650
605
Construction ...............................
110
95
145
140
155
140
155
155
150
140
Transportation and communications ..........
170
155
155
145
190
195
210
215
220
230
Services ...................................
980
950
1,215
1,210
1,235
1,255
1,280
1,285
1,300
1,285
Gross national product ....................
2,800
2,740
3,260
2,870
3,210
3,070
3,360
3,265
3,330
3,500
a All data are unclassified.
b All figures have been rounded to the nearest 5 million pesos.
c Provisional,
Gross National Expenditure and Product at Constant Prices, by Major Expenditure a
Private consumption ........................
2,050
2,000
2,095
1,980
2,020
2,015
2,200
2,165
2,245
2,250
Public consumption .........................
325
335
560
620
680
710
715
725
750
750
Gross invesement ...........................
500
450
460
530
550
555
575
660
750
760
Gross national expenditure ................
2,875
2,785
3,115
3,130
3,250
3,280
3,490
3,550
3,745
3,760
Plus: Exports ..............................
820
840
835
500
715
595
755
695
670
935
Less: Imports ..............................
895
885
690
760
755
805
885
980
1,085
1,195
Gross national product ....................
2,800
2,740
3,260
2,870
3,210
3,070
3,360
3,265
3,330
3,500
a All data are unclassified.
b All figures have been rounded to the nearest 5 million pesos.
c Provisional.
SECRETV
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NATIONAL ACCOUNTS SECRET ~-]
Table 3
Gross National Expenditure and Product at Current Prices, by Major Expenditure a
Private consumption ........................ 2,050
Public consumption ......................... 325
Gross investment .............. ........ 500
Gross national expenditure ................ 2,875
Plus: Exports .............................. 820
Less: Imports .............................. 895
Gross national product .................... 2,800
a All data are unclassified.
2,000 2,200 2,400
335 600 S25
450 580 875
2,785 3,380 4,100
740 625 545
860 705 830
2,665 3,300 3,815
Million Current Pesos b
1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970e
3,100
950
960
5,010
685
865
3,070
1 025
970
5,065
595
925
3,420 3,375
1 ,050 1,065
1,050 1,205
5,520 5,645
705 650
1,000 1,100
3,550 3,600
1 ,125 1 ,125
1,350 1,375
6,025 6,100
660 1,045
1,225 1,340
4,830 4,735 5,225 5,195 5,460
b All figures have been rounded to the nearest 5 million pesos. The official exchange rate is one
P, Provisional.
5,805
Private consumption ........................
Public consumption .........................
Gross investment ...........................
Gross national product .......... .......
All data are unclassified.
b Provisional.
311 294 291 264 256
49 49 78 83 86
76 66 64 71 70
424 403 453 383 406
252 268 261 267 265
89 87 87 89 88
69 70 80 89 89
384 410 393 396 412
1958 1961 1963
Private consumption ............ ......... 100 100 105 121 153
Public consumption. ........................ 100 100 107 133 140
Gross investment ........................... 100 100 126 165 175
Gross national expenditure .................. 100 100 109 131 154
Exports ................................... 100 88 75 109 96
Imports ................................... 100 97 102 109 115
Gross national product ...................... 100 97 101 133 150
1.957 = 100
1967 1968 1969 1.970
152 155 156 158 160
144 147 147 150 150
175 183 183 180 181
154 158 159 161 162
100 93 94 99 112
115 113 112 113 112
154 156 159 1.64 166
2 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/2 . CIA-RDP79SOi091A000200070008-5
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SECRET~NO--FORf1GN- -R SUGAR SECTOR
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SUGAR SECTOR SECRET/NN~ f
Raw sugar (thousand metric tons)'........
4,911
5,023
5,970
2 ,905
4,971
4,067
5,010
4,215
4,445
6,310
Refined sugar (thousand metric tons). . . .. .
700
700
733
843
1,022
736
1,128
1 ,012
1 ,000 c
1 ,150
Total sugar (thousand metric tons of raw
sugar equivalent) d .....................
5,672
5,784
6,767
3,821
6,082
4,867
6,236
5,315
5,534
7,559
Molasses and syrup (thousand metric tons)
1 ,494
1 839
1,813
1,214
2,155
1,181
1,880
1 ,450
0
2,075 e
2,200 e
Alcohol (million liters) ...................
173
119
280
178
226
210
232
231
N. A.
N.A.
a All data are unclassified.
b Raw sugar of 96? polarization.
e Estimated.
d Equals raw sugar at 96? polarization plus the raw sugar equivalent of refined sugar produced. Refined'sugar is converted to a raw sugar
basis by applying the factor 92 parts refined to 100 parts raw. Because the sugar production data in this table refer to calendar years, they
differ in some instances from the data for crop years in Table 6.
e In 1957 and 1961-70, almost all of this category consisted of blackstrap molasses. In 1958, however, about 25% of this category repre-
sented rich inverted molasses and a small amount of syrup.
Table 8
Production, Exports, Domestic Consumption, and Stocks of Sugar a
1957
1958
1961
1963
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
Production' ....................
5,672
5,784
6,767
3,821
6,082
4,867
6,236
5,315
5,534
7,559
Exports .........................
5,307
5,632
6,414
3,521
5,316
4,435
5,683
4,613
4,799
6,906
Domestic consumption ............
304
242
376
456
492
542
629
682
636
619
Stocks at year end... . ............
699
609
1,030
185
472
362
286
306
405
439
a All data are unclassified.
b Raw sugar of 96? polarization. Because the production data in this table refer to calendar years, they differ in some instances from the
data for crop years in Table 6.
4 SECRET,
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SECRET AND FISHING
Gross National Product Originating in Agriculture (Except Sugar), Forestry, and Fishing, by Major Component a
M'l 1957 Pesos
n
Industrial crops ..................
Food crops ......................
Livestock products ...............
Forest products ..................
Fishing ..........................
Total .........................
a All data are unclassified.
b Provisional.
io
----------------------------------------
1957 1958 1961 1963 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969b 1970b
50 40 57 45 35
140 130 140 131 100
145 140 135 116 139
5 5 11 10 6
5 5 7 8 10
345 320 350 310 290
43 42 39 39 33
108 112 105 119 110
143 146 146 139 134
5 5 5 5 5
11 15 15 18 23
310 320 310 320 305
Production of Major Industrial Crops (Except Sugar)'
--------------------- -
1957 1958 1961 1963
Tobacco (unmanufactured) ........
Coffee ..........................
Cotton (ginned basis) .............
Oil seeds b .......................
Henequen .......................
-- ------------
a All data are unclassified.
b Provisional.
Approved For Release s9ffd
52.4 52.8 57.6 47.6
43.6 29.5 46.0 34.7
Negl. Negri. 4.7 3.5
6.2 5.6 16.5 10.3
11.5 9.0 11.1 12.8
-----------
43.4
23.9
0.81
1.5
7.2
Thousand Metric Tons
-----------------
1966 1967 1968 1969 b 1970 b
51.3 45.5 46.5 47.0 40.0
33.4 34.3 29.1 30.0 26.0
0.46 1.00 0.59 N.A. N.A.
0.72 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A.
12.0 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A.
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Production and State Collection of Major Food Crops a
Production
1957 1958 1961
Rice (in the husk) ................ 260 253 213
Corn ............................ 178 155 100
Beans ........................... 17 23 31
Potatoes ........................ 104 118 79
Sweet potatoes and yams.......... 184 186 65
Yucca ........................... 1.86 213 32
Malanga ........................ 250 226 32
Tomatoes ....................... 45 55 45
Pineapples ....................... 102 102 15
Citrus fruits ..................... 150 70 76
Plantain.. . ...................... 275 N. A. 60
Bananas ......................... 85 90 40
a All data are unclassified.
b Provisional.
1963 1965
204 50
88 22
17 11
86 83
91 89
90 62
45 47
93 120
41 16
110 116
72 68
43 36
Beef and veal (dressed carcass basis) ..........
Whole milk ........................
Eggs (million dozen marketed) ...............
Pork ............................
Poultry (live weight, marketed) ..............
a All data are unclassified.
b Provisional.
Production of Major Livestock Products a
1957 1958 1961 1963 1965
185 184 195 113 151
780 740 700 660 620
22 25 12 16 76
42 37 15 12 18
14 17 25 35 34
6 Approved For Release 1999?,
1966
1967
1968
1969b
1970b
68
94
95
193
360
18
12
15b
35
30
11
15
10
N.A.
N.A.
104
105
118
115
87
165
94
94
95
N.A.
93
48
53
55
N.A.
69
42
43
45
N.A.
133
164
98
95
N.A.
10
7
7
7
N.A.
160
152
165
135
135
71
59
75
N.A.
N.A.
29
27
25
N.A.
N.A.
Thousand Metric Tons (Except as noted)
._-.._------------
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
161
157
180
167"
170"
690
680
650
625b
580b
84
98
100
107
117
13
11
10
10 b
10b
25
25
25
25 b
25b
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