INVESTIGATING THE PARANORMAL

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP96-00787R000200090024-7
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RIPPUB
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U
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26
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November 4, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 17, 1998
Sequence Number: 
24
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Publication Date: 
October 18, 1974
Content Type: 
MAGAZINE
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Approy,, pare r. We publish this week a paper by Drs R. Targ and H. Puthofl' (page 602) which is bound to create something of a stir in the scientific community. The claim is made that information can be transferred by some channel whose characteristics appear to fall "outside the ranee of known perceptual modalities". Or, more bluntly, some people can read thoughts or see things remotely. Such a claim is, of course, hound to be greeted with a preconditioned reaction amongst many scientists. To some it simply confirms what they have always known or believed. To others it is beyond the laws of science and therefore necessarily unacceptable. But to a few--though perhaps to more than is realised-the questions are still unanswered, and any evidence of high quality is worth a critical exarr,ination. The issue, then, is whether the evidence is of sufficient quality to he taken s,,:rie;usly. In trying to answer this, we have been fortt:nate in having the help of three indepen- dent referees who have done their utmost to see the paper as a potentially important scientific communication and not as a challenge to or confirmation of prejudices. We thank theist for the considerable effort they have put in to helping us, and we also thank Dr Christopher Evans of the National Physical Laboratory whose continued advice on the subject is reflected in the content of this leading article. A general indication of the referees' comments may be helpful to readers in reaching their own assessment of the paper. Of the three, one believed we should not publish, one did not feel strongly either way and the third was guardedly in favour of publication. We first summarise the arguments against the paper. (1) There was agreement that the paper was weak in design and presentation, to the extent that details given as to the precise way in which the experiment was carried out were disconcertingly vague. The referees felt that insuf- ficient account had been taken of the established method- ology of experimental psychology and that in the form originally submitted the paper would be unlikely to he accepted for publication in a psychological journal on these grounds alone. Two referees also felt that the authors had not taken into account the lessons learnt in the past b) parapsychologists researching this tricky and complicated area. (2) The three referees were particularly critical of the method of target selection used, pointing out that the choice of a target by "opening a dictionary at random" is a naive, vague and unnecessarily controversial approach to iandomisation. Parapsychologiss have long rejected such methods of target selection and, as one referee put it, weaknesses of this kind reseal "a lack of skill in their experiments, whicli might hate caused them to make some (:ther mistake which is less evident from their writing? (3) All the referees felt that the details given of various safeguards and precautions introduced against the po.- sihifity or `0 @f yr . pfC'Lot ` t.nof e?r,:.: u:' ot'?`trot the sti I;FWRO 5Tf~l,rTl ! !r r~L FRS" ,Rele 2QODlQ8 0 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000200090024-7 (to use one phrase). This in itself might he sufficien" to raise doubt that the experiments have de nonstrated the existence of a new channel of communication which does not involve the use of the senses. (4) Two of the referees felt that it was a pity that the paper, instead of concentrating in detail and with meti- culous care on one particular approach to extra-s;en:sory phenomena, produced a mixture of different experirneuts, using different subjects in unconnected circumstances and with only a tenuous overall theme. At the best these were more "a series of pilot studies . . . than a report of a completed experiment". On their own these highly critical comments could be grounds for rejection of the paper, but it was felt that other points needed to be taken into account before a final decision could he made. I) Despite its shortcomings, the paper is presented as a scientific document by two qualified scientists, ~sthing from a major research establishment a LC~LIiy'_ ~'?itlr" t'?c unqualified backing of the research institut itself. (2) The authors have cl a,ly attempte to insestieante: under laboratory conditions pl-;.,t:,rirena which ch to highly. implausible to many scientists, would netertheless seem to be worthy of insestigation even if, in the final analysis, negative findings are revc lecl. if scientists dispute and debate the reality of extra-sensory l perccpuon, then the subject is clearly a matter for scientific Ste.", and reportage. (3) Very considerable advance publicity it ? I it +o sae not generated by the authors or their institute--has preceded the presentation of this. report. As a result many scientists and very large number, of non-scientists bcliesc, as the result of anecdote and hearsay, that the Stanford Research Institute (SRI) was engaged in a major research programme into parapsyehologicil matters and had even been the scene of tr remarkable breakthrough in this field. The publication of this paper, with its muted claims, sug- d ata, gestior?s of a limited research prograninc, and modest is, we believe. likely to nut the whole matter in more reason- able perspective. - (4) The claims that have been made by. or on behalf of, one of the subjects, NIT. Lri Cieiler, have been hailed pub- licly as indicating total acceptance by the SRI of allegedly sensational powers and nay also perhaps now he seen in true perspective, it must be a matter of interest to scientists to note that, contrary to very widespread rumour, the paper does not present any evidence whatsoever for Geller's alleged abilities to bend metal rods by stroNing them, influence magnets at a distance, make watches stop or start by some psychokinetic force and so on. The publi- cation of the paper would he justified on the ,grounds of allowing scientists the opportunity to discriminate bct'aeen the cautious, limited and still highly debatable experi- mental data, and e travagant rumour, fed in reccat da'.s bs inaccurate attempts in s:;me newspapers at precopritfon of the contents of the i-.aper. (5) I'so of the referees also felt that the paper should he published because it would allow parapsychoi'agust?, and all oilier scientists interested in researching this, arguable t os n tRO0Dr2tfi}Q08t?~} 4LC~lolo }' and Nature Vol. 251 October 18 1974 760 'Approved For, Release 0W8 11,9,: CI . -t tRAPP?6QQ7t$7tR,QQ0e20009lOQ24@,7re amongst most respected journals cannot afford to live on respect- ability. We believe that our readers expect us to be a home for the ocr,x:.ionat `high-risk' type of paper. This is hardly to assert that we regularly fly in the face of referees' recom- mendations (we always consider the possibility of publishing, as in this case, a summary of their objections). It is to say that the unusual must now and then be allowed a toe-hold in the' literature, sometimes to flourish, more often to be forgotten within a year or two. The critical comments above were sent to the authors who have modified their manuscript in response to them. We have also corresponded informally with the authors on one or two issues such as whether the targets could have been forced by standard magical tricks, and are convinced that this is not the case. As a result of these exchanges and the above considerations we have decided to publish in the belief' that, however flawed the experimental pro- cedure and however difficult the process of distilling the essence of a complex series of events into a scientific manuscript, it was on balance preferable to publish and maybe stimulate and advance the controversy rather than keep it out of circulation for a further period. Publishing in a scientific journal is not a process of receiving a seal of approval from the establishment: rather it is the serving of notice on the community that there is something worthy of their attention and scrutiny. And this To this end the New Scientist does a service by publishing this week the results of Dr Joe Hanlon's own investiga- tions into a wide range of phenomena surrounding Mr Geller. If the subject is to be investigated further-and no scientist is likely to accept more than that the SRI experi- ments provide a prima facie case for more investigations- the experimental technique will have to take account of Dr Ifanlon's strictures, those of our own referees and those, doubtless, of others who will be looking for alternative explanations. Perhaps the most important issue raised by the circum- stances surrounding the publication of this paper is whether science has yet developed the competence to confront claims of the paranormal. Supposedly paranormal events frequently cannot be investigated in the calm, controlled and meticulous way that scientists are expected to work, and so there is always a danger that the investigator, swept up in the confusion that surrounds many experiments, abandons his initial intentions in order to go along with his subject's desires. It may be that all experiments of this sort should he exactly prescribed beforehand by one group, done by another unassociated group and evaluated in terms of performance by the first group. Only by increasing austerity of approach by scientists will there be any major progress in this field. or those peril nun the factory floor In tli the title hints, the object of Socialist article Peter J. Smith argues Worker is nothing less than the com- ater commitment (in deed plcte overthrow of the capitalist system; that a g as well c science by t word) to community and one of the ways of achieving this to Scientific Establish- aim, it seems, is to give strident publi- ment might help regain some of fit has lost. ublic respect it trial system. Fortunately, one can easily THE question of who speak or should speak, on behalf of the scien ' c com- munity has been debated on ma oc- casions, most often without result. Nil the face of it, such lack of resolutio is hardly unexpected, for scientists and avoid a sharp turn to the left and still admit that what some British workers have been subjected to in the name of asbestos production is beyond the limit of acceptability in a humani- tarian society. For what clearly emerges fro the hetoric of the pamphlet in A estion is icture of men and swgr en reacting their ready ability to achieve con- in s2xne bewilderrnen can put up a pretty collective front The chie~co when they feel so moved. The one asbestosis famous occasion on which a near con- by bre .to the long-term tnological activity. quence is, of course, killing disease acquired tphlet is devoted to scientific community saw itself put at se histories of shock after a posals. Then individuals and instil x'r decade or so in the in stry. But more Lions miraculously found a con -ion instructively, there is als cause of self-preservation. ccount of the fight for sa y put up But when it comes to theidefence of by a small group of the 7/162 ferent story; the voi -c'of the British Transport and General Workers Union h b tr ctio,, of the ashesu3s --. - ?- --'-'- e o u m be t heard, wheihe,r,,~~1 tking a moral stance, companies, the indifference of politi- exerting huggxdnitarian pressure, supply- cians, the weakness of the Factory inn expo tfse or even simply providing Inspectorate, the silence of much of And there is certainly somcttiing to fight about. According t9,/I'atrick Kinnersly (The Hazards of to Fight Them, Nut 64 are known 107 in 1970 Press, 1973), increasing toll: have died in 1965, number frnew cases diagnosed rose from/ ..82 in 1965 to 153 in 1970. ,L ofeover, asbestosis is only one of e asbestos-induced diseases. Lung cancer appears to require a smaller exposure to asbestos. There is also another form of cancer known as mesothclioma which involves growths in the linings of the lungs and stomach. Almost all mesotheliomas are caused by asbestos: but no one knows how many workers in Britain are killed by them, partly because they take so long to develop and partly because they are not always identified. The TUC Cen- tenary Institute of Occupational Health has suggested that, 30 years after first exposure, about one in 200 will be found to have died of mesothclioma: but Dr lasing J. Selikoff of Mount Sinai Hospital in New York is ap- parently more pessimistic. He fi.is recently been quoted as saying that, for every 100,000 workers entering the dards obtaining in the United inforiwttion. A good case in point is the press, the impotence of health Staid damp! t~1 ---a- u t ~~ i~}~ t}~ t c 1, r s but not 7,000 of that ~t ntroPz~As20L'aKt',"t`~Y 4o7~7~,oao~ as recently as 1971, he. v%ould 20,000 to die of lunet_ "sneer. 0024 7tt,~,,5. Nature Vol. 251 October