JPRS ID: 10083 USSR REPORT CONSUMER GOODS AND DOMESTIC TRADE

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400440060060-5 = FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JPRS L/ 10083 29 October 198 ~ _ USSR ~e ort p CONSUMER GOODS AND DOMESTIC TRADE CFOUO 5/81~ r ~ FB~$ FOREIGN BROADCAST INFORMATION SERVICE FOR OFFiCIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400440060060-5 NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and books, but aZso from news agency transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources are transcribed or reprinted, with the original phrasing an.d other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets ~re supplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the last line of a brief, indicate hok the original information was _ processed. Where no processin~ indicator is given, the infor- ~ mation was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered Fhonetically ur transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the original but have been supplied as appropriate in context. - Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the body of an item originate with the source. Times within items are as given by source. The contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Government. COPYRIGfiT LAWS AND REGUI.ATIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATEP_IALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEy1INATION OF THIS pUBLICATION BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ONI,Y. 1 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFIeIAL USE ONLY JI~Ru L/1f1083 29 Uctober 1981 USSR REPORT CONSUMER GOdDS AND DOMESTIC TRADE (FOUO 5/81) CONTENTS ~ CONSUMER GOODS PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION Food Program, Organizational Structure of Food Complex Reviewed ~ (Vladimir P~:itapovich Mozhin, E1'mira Nikolayevna Kryl.atykh; ~ VOPROSY EKONOMIKI, Jul 81) 1 ; CONSUI~TION TRENDS AND POLICIES I Supporting Economic Calculations for New Consumer Technology Urged I (I. Rakhlin; VOPROSY EKONOMIKI, Jul 81) 13 ~ -I ~ I ~ - _ a _ [III - USSR - 38b FOUO] APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFIC~AL USE ONLY CONSUMER GOODS PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTI~JN FOOD PROGRAM, ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE OP FOOD COMPLEX REVIEWED Moscow VOPROSY EKONOMIKI in Russian No 7, Jul 81 pp 20-30 [Article* by illadi.mir Potapovich Mozhin, corresponding member of VASKhNIL and director of the Central Scientific Research Institute of Economics of RSFSR Cosplan, E1'm~ra Nikolayevna Krylatykh, doctvr of economic sctences and professor ~ at Moscow State University imeni M. V. Lomonr~sov, and Anatoliy Nikitovich Lifanchikov, candidate of economic sciences and department head at the Central Scientific Research Institute of Economics of RSFSR Gosplan: "The Food Program , and the Structure of the USSR Food Cc~mplex"] [Text] The Accountability Report of thz CPSU Central Committee to the 26th party congress goints out that "the party is advanctng a broad program for further improvement in the well-being of the people in the llth Five-Year Plan anc~ the 19$0's as a whole." Paramount importance in this is assigned to reliably providing the population with a broad assortment of riigh-quality food products.. The production and consumption of food products has risen steadily in recent five- year plans. In the last five-year plan, however, the growth rate of production of agricultural output slowed down and difficulties arose with supplying animal husbandry nroduc*_s to the population. This was related to unfavorable weather conditions. To achieve a fundamental solution to the problem of uninterrupted - supply of food products to the population, it has been recognized as necessary ta de~elop a special food program which should serve as the basis for planning, financing, and roanaging the unified agroindustrial food complex. The program - measures outlined for the current five-year plan are an organic part of the State Plan of Economic and Social Development of the USSR for 1981-1985. - A large volume of technical-economic and socioeconomic substantiation and calcula- - tion must be done during development of the food program. Many scientific = institutions and planning agencies are working on the food program, so it is essential to develop a methodological foundation for their ~oint work. The food program is ene of the special-purpose comprehensive national economic programs. The ultimate goal of the special food program is full satisfaction * The article is offered as a formulation of the problem. '1 FAR OF~ICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY of public need for all types of food products in conformity witfi scientifically recommended dtets. The i~ediate objective ts to insure a stable food supply to the population in all parts of the country, t~ create reliable reserves, and to increase the quality of products. When establisfiing the goa~ls of the food pro- gram we should envision lessening dependence on importing food products wfiich can be efficiently produced in the country. Because the goal ts stated as satisfying tfie n~ed for food products, the ques- tion of how to calculate this need arises. There are a number of inethodological approaches to estimating this figure, incluciing tfie normative method which in- volves determining physiological needs for food substances and worktng out balanced diets on this basis, as well as the method based on an estimate of solvent demand for food products. In this case demands can be viewed as a func- tion of personal monetary income with different elasticitie~ of demand for particular products depending on the growth rate of income. It seems to us that both approachES must be i~sed to frame the quantitative indicators of the food program. The norms of a balanced diet should be the basis f~~r esrablishi_ng the strategic goal ar.d long-term developmental trends in the productiot~ of the most important _ food products. Estimates of solvent demand may be used to work out guidlines fa.r development in medium-range planning and to supplement the dietary norms. The main goal should be bro~en down into a number of sub-goals and particular tasks in order to obtain quantitative estimates of needs and to determine the ' structure of the food program. Various foods are needed to maintain normal metabolism, form the tiss�:~s of the organism, and regulate the pracess of supplying ~nergy to the person. The most important result of scientific research in recent years has been the theory of the balanced diet, from which it follows that optimal functioning of the organism requires not only adequate amoeints of energy and protein, but also observance of definite proportions among many ingredients of the diet, each of which has a specific role in metabolism. Despite their great diversity, it is customary in economic calculations to eonaider five basic food groups, wh:~ch are the basis of the di~t: proteins, including both proteins of agricultural (animal and plant) origin and the proteins in the meat of fish and sea animals; fats, including animaly fish, and vegetable fats; carbohydrates, including sim~le sugars (fructose, glucose, and others), disaccharides (saccharose, maltose, and lactose), and polysaccharides (starch, cellulose, and others); vitanins; minerals, other substances, and water. In conformity with this the overall goal of ineeting public needs for food products can be broken down into a series of detailed sub-goals which includes satisfaction of public needs for the basic foods: proteins, fats, carhohydrates, vttamins, and mineral and other substances. An orientation to satisfying human needs for food substances greatly expands the possibilities in searching for alternate ways to satisfy a parttcular need. ~ For example, the animal protein requirement can be met with different variations of consumption of ineat, meat product~, fish, fish products, and dairy products on the condition that the diet is balanced in terms of essential amino acids. 2 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY P~oblems of maximum receipt of protein or minim~.im expenditures of public lafior can also be solved with different combinations of consumption of the meat of cattle, hogs, sheep, and poultry. Furthermore, it is possible to work out al- ternatives for usin� different types of raw materials to produce the same food _ products. For exampley starch can be obtained from potatoes or from grain. - Each of these alternatives, while so~ving the problem of ineeting a certain need, h~~.:?. different levels of expenditures and effict.ency. The set of goals involved in providing the populatton with the most important dietary elements and food products should, in our opinion, be tfie basis of - special first-level sub-programs. We suggest the following basic sub-programs: supplying public needs for proteins, fats, sugar and other carbohydrate-- con~aining foods, fruits, berries, and vegetables and rationalizing the structure of production and consumption of drinks. The question of the priority of particular sub-programs is difficult. During the last five-year plan the growth in per capita consumption of a number of food products slowed down, and for some it practically stabilized. The dietary level now attained does not fully provide the population with animal protein, vege- tables, fruit, and berries. At the same time, the consumption of grain products, sugar, and potatoes, which means food products containing large amounts of carbohydrates, exceeds rational norms. And altfiough the total caloric value of - the actual diet provides for the energy needs of tfie population, its imbalance ' in terms of basi.c food substances prevents us from considering it fully satis- factory at the present time. I Carrying out all the sub-programs will demand enormous. capital investment and other types of resources, most of which are in limited, supply. Therefore, we must identify the programs that are most important and concentrate our efforts j on them. In the first stage of working out the food program it seems wise to ; give preference to two special-purpose sub-~ rograms: to supply tfie population ~ with meat and dairy goods, and to supply fruit and vegetables. ~ i We must also taice up the question of the consumption of alcoholic beverages. I Significant resources of agricultural raw material, labor, and the like are j taken for the production of alcohol. Despite a number of ineasures the con- i sumption of alcohol has not dropped in recent years. In the future the struc- ' ture of consumption of alcohalic beverages must be modified in the direction ; of a significant increase in the proportion of grape wine, above all champagne and high-quality dry and semidry wine. This will require further development of viticulture, an expansion of lands given to vineyards, a rise in their yield, a~?d an increase in capital investment for the development of vit~culture and wine- making. This is not only a major economic problem, but also a social problem. Within the food program this problem should be reflected in a special sub-prograr~ to rationalize the consumption of alcoholic beverages. In addition to the special sub-program the structure of thn special--purpose com- prehensive food program should also sirgle out what are called '~service" sub- programs. The most important ef the coffinon s�b--programs should be, in our opinion, the following: raising soil fertility and improving the use of Iand 3 FOR OFFZCIAI. USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY resources; full mechanization and electrification; development of the non~ production infrastructure and solving soci~l problems in the countryside; de-- velopment of scientific research ~in ttue fields of agriculture and tha sectors that serve it) and raising its efficiency; developing soci.alist e~onomic inte- - gration and cooperation in the production of food products; and, f~reign trade in agricultural raw material and foodstuffs. Combining special-purpose programs ~ith assignments to supply them with re- sources makes the food program a special purpose (tselevoy) and compreh~ensive ; program. Within the framework of tfie food program priority elements should be ~ identified and distribution of resources must be organized in such a way that it is possible to carry out the necessary structural cfianges in the entire food complex. _ The food comglex, for which the food program is Fiecoming the basis of develop- ment, is a part of the national agroindustrial complex. In terms of gross output the food complex accounts for 74-75 percent of the agroindustrial com- plex. The food complex should alsa include production, not related to the agroindustrial complex, which uses tTie wealth of the world ocean and internal bodies of water for food and fodder needs. According to rough est3mates, the total volume of gross output of the food complex was 260-280 billion rubles in 1979, and about 15U-I70 billion rubles in final output. = Three spheres can be identified within the structures of the fnod complex that define its functional structure. The first sphere is th~ production of ineans of production for all the sectors. It includes tractor and agricultural machine building, macfiine building for animal hushandry and feed productton, the pro- duction of e~uipment for land improvement work, the production of equipment for the food industry, trade, and public catering, the production of specialized motor vehicle transportation, shipbuilding (for the fishing industry), the pro- duction of agricultural and other accessories, the production of containers, - the sectors of basic chemistry (for production of mineral fertilizer and chemi.cal plant protection means), construction for all spheres of the food com- piex, the mixed feed and microbiological induetry, and thz production of special equipment and instruments for the sectors of the food complex. The second sphere is the production of agricultural (crop farming and animal husbandry) output, fishing and fish culture, salt mining, raising pedigreed. stock, nursery plantations, raising seed material for pond culture, and various other types of activities. The third sphere com~rises the processing of agrir_ultural and other output of plant and animal origin and production of the final output of the complex. The sectors of food (with the exceptton of the perfume- cosmetir_s and tobacco sector), meat an.d dairy, fis~i processing~ and flour-- bran industries should be classified with the tfiird spTiere. - As the food complex develops there is an increase in the role of infrastruc- tural elements that affect primary production and its efficiency as they gradually become independent sectors. Tfierefore, it is useful to single out one more structural element in the food complex. This ts tfie production infrastructure of the complex, or the fourth sphere. It includes'systems for production-technical support and service to agriculture; material--tecfinical 4 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400440060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY supply to the industrial sectors of the food complex, procurement of agricul- tural output and the elevator system; storage of output; transportation and the road system; specialized retail trade; co~unications and information-computer services; and, applied scientif~c researcfi and deaign for all splieres of the food complex. The product structure of the food com~lex is a set of vertically integrated sec- tors, the produc'c sulicomplexes. Each vertical ?ink connects *_ecfinologically and economically int:errelated types of activity of the food complex spheres and infrastructural elements that are integrated to achieve the final ob~ective of meetin~ needs fc~r particular types of food products. Product subcomplexes must be sing,led out within the structure of the food complex tn order to substantiate the economic proportions which are defined by technologically interrelated sec- tors, subsectors, and types of activity in the process of producing and selling the final output. Each special sub-�program is a tool for managing a set of tntersectorial product complexes, particular sectors, and types of activity. The set of sub-programs, subcomplexes, and sectors that insure achievement of the established goals may appear as follows: sub-program to supply protein~rich products to the popula- tion, including programs for the development of the mea~--dairy and fish sub- complexes; su~program for developmer.t of tfie subcomplex to produce and process vegetable oils and animal fats; sub-program to supply the population with carbo- h~drate-containing foods, including sub-programs for the development of the grain product subcnmplex, the sugar beet subcomplex, and the potato products sub- complex; sub-program for the development of the fruit--veaetable subcomplex; sulrprogram to rationalize the production and consumption of beverages, including the program to develop th~ vineyard-winemaking subcomplex, the beer and non- alcoholic beverage subcomplex, and the tea subcomplex. . But what should be the structure of the product subcomplexes, which in this case are considered to be objects of planning? In the opinton of some economists, it is best to include all the sectors of the first, second, and tfiird spheres and the production infrastructure of the food complex in tfie product subcomplex. The most highly debated point is the issue of including the sectors that produce means of prnduction for the second and third spheres of the food complex in the product subcomplexes. In our opinion, we should onl.y deal with narrowly spe- cialized sectors that produce means of production for a definite subcomplex. For this reason it seems advisable to include the sectors of the second and third spheres of the food complex in the product subcomplexes, but from the sec-- tors of the first sphere to take only the narrowly specialized su~sectors that are especially important for the development of the subcomplexes. For example, mechanization of harvesting and, accordingly, the problem of designing and series production of machines to harvest fruit, vegetables, and berries are impar- tant for the fruit-vegetable subcomplex. Another, equally tmportar.t program is development of the producti~n of containers for storing and transporting fresh produce (glass containers, tin cans, and aluminum containers) as well as polymer films and materials for preserved and quick-frozen products. The em-- phasis here should be on determining the need for the oufput of sectors of the first sphere and their requirements with respect to its quality, productivity, and other technical-economic parameters. - 5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLX APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFICIAT. USE ON1.Y The main advantage of switching to comprehensive planning of the development of the sectors that make up the product subcomplexes is that it permits the possi- ~ bility of balancing the development of the particular sectors belonging to a subcomplex, eliminating disproportions, and on tFiis basis shaping an effective structure and achieving a sign.ificant reduction in losses, more rational use of raw materials, and an increase in production efficiency. The comprehensive ap- proach makes it possible to identify "bottlenecks'~ in the functioning of the enti.re chatn from production (extraction) of the original output tu sale of the final output. Ir. helps overcome the narrowly departmental approa~h to the uni- form process of planning and coordinating different sectors involved in the production, processing, and delivery to the customer of the actt:al products, and tfiis results in optimal distribution of capital investment. As the meat-dairy subcomplex takes shape and develops still-exiszing inter- sectorial disproportions will be eliminated. The most pressing problem now is to balance available feed and the number of stock. A protein imbalance at the 15-17 percent level is the cause of failure to receive animal husbandry output worth 9-11 billion rubles. This shortfall can be el.iminated by increasing the production of protein-rich feed crops such as peas, alfalfa, clover, soybean, rape, and the like. The document Basic Directions of Economic and Social Deveyopment of the USSR for 1981-1985 and the Period Until 1990" poses the ~ challenge of raising the average annual production of legume crops to 12-13 million tons (the average crop in the: lOth Five-Year Plan was 6.8 million tone). ~,nother way to overcome the protein shortage in ~eeds is accelerated development of the microbiological industry. It is common kn~wledge tfiat protein-vitamin concentrates obtained from liquid paraffin con~tain 5(~ percent protein and using one ton of them in animal husbandry produces a gain in output of 700--900 rubles (for an expenditure of 80-90 rubles per ton of liquid paraffin in the micro- bl.ological industry). Chemical hydrolysis of wr~od has even better prospects in this respect. Output in the microbiological industry is to increase 1.8-1.9 times in the llth Five-Year Plan. The development of a comprehensive program to establish a reliable, balanced feed base in the country, an important part of the overall fee3 program, must be completed in the near future, as envisioned in the document "Basic Directions." One Af the main areas of imbalance is in production capacities, their technical level, and the amount of ineat and dairy raw materials arriving for processing. This is the reason that all the useful components are not extracted from raw material and that the assortment of output is not expanding rapidly. Milk serum, for example, is a valuable raw material that is only 10--12 percent used at present. For technological reasons 8-12 percent of the slaughtered meat remains on the bones turned over for further prvicessing; this is 20,000- 25,000 tons af a valuable product. Large losses of raw material occur during intensive periods of large-scale processing because production capacities can- r~ot keep up with the flow of raw materials. Sometimes excessive concentration of industrial production and the establisFiment of very large enterprises in- creases the radius o~ delivery for livestock and m~lk so much tfiat the in- evitably resulting losses nullify the benefit from concentration. There�ore, the question of the rational size of ineat-dairy industry capacittes should be 6 FOR UFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY decided together with development of plans for specialization and concentration of animal husbandry, provision of s~ecial means of transportation, and estab- lishment of a reltahle road ne:twork. This entire set of questions appltcable to particular regions should be reflected in the food program. Balance among all elements of a subcomplex is an important condition for raising the efficiency - of ineat ar_d milk production. At the present time significant disproportions have occurred in the process of production because of failure to coordinate tlie economic interests of the sectors that belong to the fruit-vegetable subcamplex and owing to departmental conflicts. These disproportions cause significant losses of output and an inadequate level of production efficien..y. Failure to coordinate interests lead~ to a situation where many farms try to fulfill the plan with higher-yielding and less labor-intensive crops, which are more advantageous to the producers. Therefore, cabbage, table beets, and carrots, which have limited use in the canning industry, take up some 45 percent of the planted area designated for vegetables in the RSFSR, far example. At trie same time, crops which are valuabl~e for processing such as green vetch, , pepper, marrow squash, and eggpls.nt make up just five percent of the gross harvest of vegetables (including just 1.3 percent for green ve*_ch) and very small amounts of early cucumbers and tomatoes, sweet peppers, bush scallop, spinach, garlic, lettuce, and various other crops are raised. The same factors cause the unsatisfactory structure of perennial plantings. For example, in tr~e RSFSR fruits with 3eeds occupy 77 percent of the area, pitted fruits are 16 percent, and berry patches are seven percent. Among the seed-type fruits the prnportion of winter-keeping varieties is extremely low, while summer varieties of apples which are ill-suited for processing predominate. There are not enough mazzard cherries, apricots, and pears in the structure of pitted fruit orchards. In many regions, for example the North Caucasus, the area planted in . pitted fruit trees is decreasing. The level of specialization and conc~entration of production in orchard farming and vegetable and potato raising is still low in many parts of the country. Industrial methods of production are being introduced very slowly. The low level of concentration and specialization in the production of fruit and vegetable out- put with a concurrent increas~ in the level of concentration of production in : the canning industry leads to a significant increase in the number of supplier farms and the radius of delivery of raw materials. For example~ the Adygey canning plant in Krasnodarskiy Kray receives raw material from 48 farms with an average delivery radius of 160 kilometers. When the shipping length for tomatoes, for example, is increased from 25 kilometers to 80-100 kilometers, the proportion of first-grade tomatoes is cut in half; increasing the shipping radius by 10 kilometers raises expenditures by two percent. Existing disproportions in price formation and narrowly sectorial and depart- mental interests hinder rational use of fruit and berry raw materials. For example, while overall consumption of fruit is inadequate a growing amount of fr~uit and berries is used ta produce fruit and berry wine because its product~on is more profitable than c.anning. In the RSFSR in 1979, about 70 percent of the fruit and berries sent for processing was uaed to produce wine. 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE Oiv?.~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Lack of coordination of departmental interests leads to c~rtair+ elements of the fruit-vegetable subcomplex lagging ~harply behind. At the pres~e~t time, the labor-intensiveness of producing vegetables on open aotl is four tfines greater than the labor-intensiveness of producing grain crops, while for potatoes it is 2.3 times the figure for grain crops. The laFior-~intensivenes~ of raising grapes, fruit, and berries is even higher. Harvest work aceounts fo~ a large part of the labor expenditures. Mechanization of harvesting is o~e of the _ key problems of further development of vegetable and potato growing, orchard farming, and grape growing. Expenditures to harvest the grapes today reach 20--35 per~cent o� labor expendi- tures for raising the grapes. With an average harvest norm (3-3.5 quintals per person per day), more than 500,000 persons are already effiployed for a month in the grapa harvest~ and by 1990 the number of persons employed in the manual grape harvest should exceed 1 million. Therefore, it is essential to switch to combined methods of harvesting industrial grape varie~fes. A number of successful designs have already been developed, including the Kuban*-1 combine which is bein.g tested in the vineyards of the Nerth Caucasus and Crimea. But lack of departmental coordination makes it impossible ~oday to concentrate the efforts of the design organizations of the interested miiiistries on development and series production of a grape-harvesting combine. Significant disproportions have developed between agricttltural produ.:tion and storage capacities for fruit and vegetables. The material-technical base for storing fruit and vegetables does not matck~ the c~nrrent s.cale of fruit and vegetable procuremene. The 60 percent increase in capital investment to improve the storage of agricultural raw material, whicti is planned for the llth Five- Year Plan, will make it possible to significantly reduce losses of output.� t-prog Systems management and planning of the subcomplex on the basfs of targ.: ra methods wilof~roducti.onsaflfruiteandivegetablesXandicapacities~for~processin~ the volume p and storing it, thus insuring balanced development. The question of the s~stem of planning indicators is an important one. The over- all system of indicators of the food program should be worked out with due regard for the f~llowing principles: correspondence between the system of food program indicators and the structure of the food complex itself; orientation of all indicators in the program to final goals; integrated systems of program mea- sures and development of the entire food complex as a whole; reflection in the system of indicators of intersectorial links and ways to improve them for the purpose of intensifying the production of the entire food complex; delivery of program indicat~rs and assignments to specific accountable performers in directi~~e form; co.:rdination of the system of indicators of tFie program with the overall system of national economic plan indicators. The main target indicator of the program is final output. The calculation of final output must be based on balances of the output of agriculture and the food industry. By itself, howe~er, the indicator of final output does not fully re- flect the goals of the complex, even though it is very important. It is necessary to introducnoT~iand rredictedltrendsdin solventgdemandaforgfoo~ounThef rational consumption P a ~'OR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FGR OFFICIAL USE ONLY most significant fiarvest evaluati.on indicator of the food program sfiould be the ratio between the volume of output going for personal consumption and the volume of public needs. An indi.~ator established in the program that reflects the degree of attainment of rational norms of per capita consumption can play the same role. The target indicator should be represented in natural terms by the consolidated groups of groducts adopted in the USSR S~ate Plan of Economic and Social Development. - It is useful to recalculate and give indicators of needs for the bastc m~tri- tional elements (proteins, fats, carbofiydrates, and vitamins) in reference form and to introduce indicators of the degree of satisfaction of these needs by the stages in which the comprehensive food program is heing developed. The intro- - duct_ion of this kind of indicator will make it possi.ble to coordinate the summary section of tfie program more closely witli.the indicators of the sub- programs for satisfaction of requirements for the basic nutritional elements. In addition to the target indicators the summary section of the program must represent resource indicators, above all those which can be allocated for the entire food complex and distributed amasng ita product suhcomp2exes, sectors, and subsectors. The distribution of capital investment should be done from the standpoint of the priority of the prohlems. Thus, t~ the present time the proportion of capital investment in the production infrastructure and for storage and processing of agricultural output should be increased, which will permit a significant decrease in losses of output. Among the generalizing cost indicators that can 6e used. are the indicators of final and net output (normative) for the enttre food complex and per employee in material production in the food complex, return on capital, rate of repayment of capital investment, the indicators of relative savings of production re- sources, and many o*hers. The indicators of the food complex should correspond to the indicators of the state plan of economic and social development, and the structural cross-section of the programs should be an organtc part of the struc- ture of the nationa_l economic plan. The sub-programs of the second level~ related to creation and development of the material-technical base of the food complex, should have indicators for production of program output (agricultural machinery, fertilizer, equipment, means of transportation, and the like) and development of its capacities through reconstruction, technical re-equipping, and new construction in the actual sectors that produce means of production. For the suli-programs that aim at meeting public needs for food products it is necessary to introduce the indicators of final and gross output in a group assortment and the introduction of capacities in agriculture and the processing sectors and to set a limit on capital investment for the development of each product sulicomplex for it to fulf il.l its assignments to deliver final program output. These sub-programs should define tTie requtrements of i:he product sub- complexes for material, labor, and financial resources and the sources or ways to provide these resources. It is very important to achieve a realistic balance between the total requirement of the product subcomplexes for production resources and the volumea of production and delivery of these resources in the sub-programs for development of the material-technical bas~e. 9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404060060-5 FOR OFFICTAL USE ONLY _ In the sub-program for foreign economic links it is essential to represent ~ indicat~rs on the volume and structure of export and import of foodstuffs. This sub-program should include indicators and assignments from long-term special- purpose (target~ comprehensive programs concluded within the CEMA framework. Preplanning and planning materials can onlp Fae ~rorked out with.Firoad application of mathematical economic metfiods and computers~. We believe that the best re- sults can be obtained where systems of matfiematical economic models of develop- ment of the food complex are employed. Different variations of balance models of production and distribution of the output of the food complex with blocks - for distritiution of fixed capital (capactties}, capital investment, and labor can be used as a summary model. Such models are designed to correlate the in- dicators of production volume of the sectors, determine consumption within the complex given an assigned final product, and to identify needs for fixed capital, capital investment, labor, and most important output from agriculture and fishing. The cost versions of tfiese models, covering the sectors of the food complex in consolidated form, will permit a full calculation of expenditures for the production of the basic types of output of the food comglex and determination - of total expenditures per unit of final output from the complex. - The development of optimization models will help substantiate the most rational structure for the food complex with maximum production of final output in an assortment ttcat corresponds to a rati~nal putilic consumption structure. The constraints in these models are land and labor resources, production capacities in the industrial sectors, fixed productive capital, and capital investment. Another type of model is designated to optimize the development of the most important product subcomplexes of the food complex. The purpose of these models is to define balanced development of all the main vertically integrated areas of production. Unlike the consolidated models of tfie entire food complex, there should be a much greater degree of detail in the variables and constraints here. The most important in them is to choose the best technological procedures in each element of the technological chain from production of tr~ means of pro- duction and raw m~.~terials to receiying th~ .f.inal output. All these models are framed as a whole accordirig to the national economic food complex and its sectors and product subcomplExes. They are supplemented by an optimization model of the coucposite location of production with the number of blocks in the largest territorial-production subsystems of tfie food complex. Because location is based on zonal specialtzation and concentration of agricul- tural production, during development of this model experience witfi construction - of the model of location of agriculture must be used as much as possible. Ex- perience from optimization of the location of food industry sectors is also useful. The general comprehensive model of territorial location of the food complex should be supplemented by more detailed models of tfie development and ~ location of regtonal food complexes and the mos.t important product subcomplexes. Considering the stochastic nature of agricultural production, probablistic and simulation models should find broader application. 10 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R400440060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY The special-~urpose comprehensive program is becoming a realistic management tool when reliable systems for controlling its use have ~.een creatzd. The es- tablished departmental sectorial structure of control is not adequate to tfie - target program approach which must be followed in the food program. The docu- ment "Basic Directions" formulates the cfiallenge as follows: "Establish and use efficient systems in control programs.'~ It seems to us tfiat we must fiave an agency that coordinates tfie actiVities of the many ministries and departments that produce food products. Within such an agency it would be possible to gradually cfiange the structure of management, carrying out a transition from the sectorial principle tfiat is now prevalent to the prlnciple of managing intersectorial product subcomplexes of the food complex. Management forms of this type fiave already been established, for example by the USSR Ministry of Fruit and Vegetable Industry and the correspond- ing republic agroindustrial committees such as tfie RSFSR State Committee for Wine Industry and other agroindustrial formations, _ But this transition sfiould not be limited to the sphere of planning and estab- lishing coordinating management bodies aloz~e. It is equally important to work out a new kind of relations between partner-sectors. The general principle of this reorganization is accountability of each element for final results, wfiich will strengthen plan discipline and contract relations. The time has already arrived to switch to concrete forms of this. One of the forms is evaluating the results of work by sectors considering not only the sectorial impact but also the impact from the use of output of this sector in other sectors of the food complex. The unreliability of material-technical supply makes it difficult to employ such evaluations. For example, the sectors that produc~ agricultural machinery cannot be accountable for its effic~ent use in the fields and at live- stock units because it is produced from low-grade metal. Therefore, we cannot fundamentally improve the economic mechanism of management of the agro- - industrial complex without making profound ahanges in the system of inter~ _ sectorial relations of the national economy as a whole. Nonetheless, a great deal can be done at the lower levels, in particular with respect to the relattons among enterprises tfiat ~elong to different sectors of the food complex. Thus, the ~decree of the CPSU Central Committee and USSR Cou.ncil of I~inisters entitled "Improving Planni:ng and Economic Stimulati~n of the Production and Procurement of Ag~'i~ �ltural Output" contains a number of impartant ways to improve the economic mechanism. Procurtng ministries and enterprises are given responsibility for accepting all the output~delivered by - agricultural enterprises. They can now accept above-plan nonstandard output at prices set by agreement of the party. This will make it possible to reduce direct or concealed (used for livestock feed) losses of output.. It is also important to switch to receiving a11 output at the place of production and hauling it from the farms in vehicles belonging to the procurement agency. Along with centralization of receiving, transporting, storing~ and processing agricultural output, we muat develop decentralized systems of different sizes for storing and processing output, which will ma:ce it possible to reduce p~ak loads in technological chains and to reduce losses. A procedure must be 11 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY _ established by which output is counted in the procurement plan for tfie year in which it is actually marketed. The general conditions of material--technical supply for containers, fuel, and other resnurces that apply to enterprises of the food industry must also apply to the industrial enterprises of the kolkhoze~ and sovkhozes. The role of state and cooperative trade in the entire structure of the economic mechanism should be strengthened. The operational influence of trade on shaping the assortment of industrial output, its quality, preparatton and packaging, should be based on a study of pulilic demand in each region by seasons of the year. While strengthening the centralized principle tn planning, above all in de- fining the structure of the food complex, we should gtve the farms greater opportunities to show initiative, to maneuver, and to employ healthy socialist entrepreneurship in resolving ongotng management problems. Tfiis will make it possible to receive a signiftcant benefit while carrying out the food program. COPYRIGHT: Izdatel'stvo "Pravda", "Voprosy ekonomiki", 1981 11,176 CSO: 1827/100 ~ . 12 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - CONSUNIPTION TRENDS AND POLICIES i SUPP~RTING ECONdMIC CALCULATIONS FOR NEW CONSUMER TECHNOLOGY URGED Moscow VOPROSY EKONOMIKI in Ri~srian No 7, Jul 81 pp 84~93 [Article by I. Rakhlin: "New Technology and P~rsonal Consumption"] [Text] The problem of raising the material and nonmaterfal standard of li.ving received a great deal of attention at the 26t~e CPSU ConQress. As L. I. Brezhnev observed, for the lltfi Ftve-Year Plan and the 1980's as a whole the Communist Party is advancing ,a Broad program of further improvement in public well-being, a program that covers all aspects of Lhe life of Soviet people: - consumption and housing, culture and leisure acttvities, and working and living conditions. The document "Basic Directions of Economic and Social Development of the USSR for 1981-1935 and the Period IIntil 1990" envisions implementation of a system of ineasures to consistently raise public well~"ieing. Among them are improving housiizg conditions, medical services, working conditions, and supply of consumer goods and solving a numbe~~ of otF?er social problems. It is contemplated that special purpose comprehensive programs will be developed and carried out in stages for the most important socioeconomic problems. Foremost among these programs are the food program and tfie program for development of - consumer goods production. The growing role of scientific--technical progress and its social consequences in fundamentally solvin~; the problems of raising publi~, well being has r.aised , a new economic problem in recent years, one tFiat fias n~t yet been treated thoroughly in thp lit.eratuTe. I am referring to tTie ~ethodology and techniques of determining the socioeconomic efficiency of new technology (new products and services) in the sphere of personal consumption. Tbe gr~ater social orientation of scientific-technical progress means that the many different variations of developing, incorporating, and introducing neGr technology should not be carried out without a competent and detailed consideration of their socioeconomic conse- quence~. In design and planning practice (Iaegtnning from tFie achtev~d level of developmen~ - of efficiency theory), economic evaluations are given primarily for measures that accelerate scientific-techntcal progress in the sphere of material produc~- tion. The steady rise in public well-being, the saturati:on of everyday li=e with new goods and services, and the rapid growtfi in expenditures to achieve social goals ob~ectively demand a transition to evaluations that encompass the - ~ 13 FOR OFFICIAi. U~E ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY social consequences of the introduction af nec~ tecfinology in~material produc- tion, the nonproduction spfiere, and everpday~livL:g. In the personal consumption sphere new tecfinology is used in the form of new goods and services. The new consumer Fienefits and services nffered to people through the use af scientific-tecfinical advances fn production can be condition- _ ally put in three groups: (1) new technologp for private use (cars, electric refrigerators, washing machines, television sets, and the like); (2) new perish- able products (food products, clothing, footwear, household chemicals, medi- cines, toys, and the like) and durable goods (furniture, floor coverings and wall finishing material in apartments, cultural-domestic and household goods) or products with improved qualities produced on the basis of new machinery and technology or using contemporary materials; (3} new tqpes of paid and free ser-- vices rendered using new types of equi~ment, materials, or technological processes. Widespread electrification, mechanization and automation, cliemicalization, and cybernetization under current conditions have fundamentally transformed the principal types of everyday hvman activities: preparing and storing food (gasification and electrification of tfie processes, new types of kttchen equip- ment, electric refrigerators, and the like); cleaning and maintaining comfort- ~ able apartments (electric vacuum cleaners, electric floor polisfiers, air conditioners, electric fireplaces, and s~ on); maintaining the wardrobe (sewing machines, domestic chemicals, and the like); wasfiing lau nd ry (wasfiing machines, synthetic detergents, and tfie like); maintaining bealtfi (medicine and sports equipment); cultural use of leisure time (television sets, tape re- corders, rad:ios, and other cultural-domestic goods); travel (caXS, motorcycles, and bicycles), and so on. Each year the vol~e of domestic, municipal-~iiousing, transportation, medical, and other servi~es increases, the assortment 6roadens, and tfie qualitp of the services rfses. For example, our country now produces more tlian 80 types of � machinery and equipment for everyday livtng. We fiave incorporated tfie production (in some cases without proper substantiation, it is true) of many models of goods: bicycles - 89; el~ectric shavers 34; television sets - 56; tape recorders - 38; radios and victrolas 51. About 1 billion domestic machines and appliane.es are used by the population.l In the period between 1965 and 1979 the number of durable cultural-domestic articles per 100 urban and rural families rose as follows (number of articles at the end of the year): television sets, fron~ 24 to 83; refrigerators, from 11 to 82; wasfiing machines, from 21 to 70; electric vacuum clear,ers, from 7 to 2b, and so on.2 As public well-being rises there is a corresponding rise in the level and change in the structure of the material and nonmaterial needs of the people which are satisfied. The intensity af satisfaction of tfiese needs can be ~udged by the fact that each 15 years the socialist society moves to a qualitatively new level of consumption.3 In the last 15 years tfie sectorial structure of the con- sim~ption fund (without considering wear on ftxed nonproductive capital) has changed significantly: the share of food products fias dropped from 62.0 to 53.6 percent while nonfood goods have risen from 38.0 to 46.4 percent (including a -14 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404060060-5 FOR OFFiCIAL USE ONLY rise from 4.9 to 10.0 percent for output from macI~ne building and from 0.8 to 2.3 percent for chemtcals).4 Tfiis- same trend is confirmed by cfianges in the . ratio between food and nonfood goods in tfie total volume of commodity turnover in state and cooperative trade, including public catering (see table below, in percentages},5 Type of Goods 1940 1970 1979 Food Goods 63.0 55.5 51.6 Nonfood ~oods 37.0 44.5 48.4 ~ In the structure of use of the aggregate ~icome of worker and kolkhoz member families (according to data from a sample surveq of t~ie bud~ets of 62,000 families), there is intensive growtfi in the sfiare of expenditures for the pur- chase of furniture and cultural-domestic and housefiold goods, fabrics, clothing and footwear, and savings (growtfi in casfi and savings deposits), in _ addition to a rise in the share of free services from puBlie consnmption funds f~r education, medical care, and the like~ At tfie same time, there is a sharp decrease in the share of exgenditures for food. These data on actual changes in the structure of consumiption of material go~ds and services, in particuZar the rise in t~"ie sfiare of nonfood goods and expen- = ditures for tfie purchase of cultural-domestic and fiousefiold goods and new everyday services testify to the growing influence of scientific-tecfinical , progress on the process of satisfying public needs. A more detailed outline of the problem of the impact of tfie socioeconomic ~:ificiency of new technology on the personal consumption spfiere can be done, in our opinion, by formulating the most important social components according to - similar types of consumer goods and material services. T~ie folluwing basic social components of human life, with a material character, can be identified on the basis of data on puhlic well-being: food products, property, fiealtfi, 13ving conditions (manmade and natural), the consumption budget, and free time. The material foundation for the production of foodstuffs (food products) and non- food goods (property) is the group B sectors as well as tfie sectors of heavy industry (the latter account for more tfian fialf of the nonfood goods that are produced). Hs noted at the 26tfi CPS'U Congress, ne~r tecfinolegy and Bo~stering the scient:fic and design bases have a decisive role in renewing the assortment and raising the quality of various consumer goods and in technical ~re-~quipping of group B sectors. Let us look at the role of new technology in changing the social components of _ life in more detail using the example of human fi~altfi. Tfie quesCion of the negative consequences of accelerating scientific-technical progress, which must be identified and eliminated in time, deserves special attention here. The intensification of production, urbanization, psychological stress,~pollution of the biosphere, and other factors fiave a negative effect on human health. These consequences may lead to enormous losses w~ien they are underestimated. ~ 15 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40850R000400460060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Thus, more than 600,000 various chemicals are dumped in the environment in the - contemporary world each year; 12 billion tons of carbon monoxide is put into the atmosphere and thousands of tons of petroleum prodacts and otfier waste are dis- carded into the oceans and seas. The human race has exterminated 150 animal species in various ways, one of which is environmental pollution, and some 1,000 species are threatened with extermination or have tiecome rare.6 The negative ef- fect of noise reduces human longzvity in the cities by 8-12 years.~ Effective steps are being taken in our country to improve human working and living conditions from the standpoint of establishing medical norms for permissible en- vironmental effects on the human organism. In recent years medical norms have been developed and introduced in public health practice for approximately 1,000 chem- ical compounds that are potential envtror?mental pollutants. In otfier words, the negative consequences of accelerating sctentific-technical progress can and must be averted in time. At the same time scientific-technical progress has a direct and beneficial effect on human health through medicines and new medical procedures. Thus, Soviet medical practice uses some 3,000 drugs that have ~een authorized by public health agencies. The list of products of the domestic medical industry covers more than 6,000 items, including about 1,600 medicines. _ _ ~ There are three contemporary methods of treating malignant tumors: surgical, ! radiation (based on ionizing radtation before and after surgical eradication ~ ~ of the tumors), and medicinal (hormone preparations and about 60 types nf chemo- therapy substances). Among the techniques for early diagnosis of cancer are = endoscopy using fiberoptics, examination of tumor cells under the microscope, x-ray examination, ultrasound "transluscence," and otfiers. Thanks to effective use of anticancer procedures (including early prevention}, the standardized indi- cators for mortality from cancer for men in the USSR have not increased in the last 10-15 years and for women show a clear trend to decrease. Therefore, the country today has more than SOO,OQO persons who completed treatment for onco- logical diseases 10 or more years ago. - New principles of treating eye diseases (glaucoma, cataracts, and the like) are based on microsurgery, laser and ultr~sound technology, and the use of new medicines, artificial crystalline lenses, new tools (for example the tubular probe), and the like. The meaning and orientation of economic measurements in the area of new tech- nology should be defined by the purpose of socialist production. The main criterion of the socioeconomic efficiency of production ~s the extent to which the requirements of the basic law are met. Tilere is reason to thtnk that the socisl orieutation of production takes on the role of the primary criterion for optimi- zation of social and economic proportions in the national economy. It follows from this that now, even thaugh it is a very important indicator for formation of the consumption fund, national income cannot be either the initial or the primary expression of the socioeconomic impact of socialtst production. The socio- economic result of production is this impact.e 16 FOR OFFICIAL US~ ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R000440060064-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY The socioeconomtc national economic impact has tc~o facets: as a goal it 3.s a . certain socioeconomic result in the form of a mas-s of output and services af the appropriate structure and quality produced; as a means, a source for achieving this goal it represents cost economtes (ratsing tfie aggregate productivity of live , and embodied labor calculated for a given socially useful result).9 The main difficulties in working out tfie methodological foundations for deter- mining the socioeconomic efficiency of new output and services in the personal - consumption sphere are related chiefly to the fact that the concept of the $o-- cial result is much 6roader than the concept of the economic result and certain parameters of social efficiency cannot be adequately described in terms of eco- nomic efficiency. In the opinion of Academician T. Khachaturov, we must not restrict ourselves to attempts to reduce the entire impact of tfie nonproduction sphere to an economic effect expressed in rubles, especially where sucfi calcu- lations are in many cases extremely crude and unconvincing.l~ One must also - agree with the opinion of Corresponding Member of tfie USSR Academy of Sciences L. Gatovskiy that "the human being, human life and health, and satisfying human - needs are goals-in-themselves and cannot, certainly, be reduced to tlie savings of resource expenditures which occux~ as the result of the inverse impact of - social factors on economic factors."11 It is evident that a partial, local approach to solving the problem of the socioeconomic efficiency of the sphere of final personal consumption is inevitable. The first sub~ect of economic evaluation can tie tlie basic social components of human life wh~cfi have a material cfiaracter. But even with such a limited consideration of this problem, the spfiere of calculattons of socio- economic efficiency will include sucfi extremely important ob~ects as the impact of new products and services on the human diet, property, health, living condi- tions, consumer budget, and free time. These social components, which have - their own values that are not measurable in economic categories, unquestionably influence the economy indirectly. As we see, eliminating the economic evalua- tion of other social components, especially nonmaterial ones, does not at all mean refusing to determine the socioer.onomic efficiency of the sphere of final personal consumption in the "narrow" sense. Let us consider the problem of determin~ng tTie socioeconomic efficiency of new tectuiology in the gersonal consumptinn sphere from the standpoint of two inter- related factors: the socioeconomic result, and the cost savings. The socioeconomic result as a category of public reproduction through production _ and nonproduction (public and personal) consumption is an inalienable condition of human and product reproduction. Determining the socioeconomic result may be considered a new class of problems~ in tTie field of the socioeconomic efficiency of new technology, one which has not been adequately treated in the literature and methodological writings. Specifically, ttze "Methodology (Basic Principles)" for det~.ermining the economic efficiency of use of new tecfinology, inventions, and efficiency proposal~s in the national economy (pu6lished in 1977) does not disclose the essential f~atures and content of the socioeconomic results. The social factors of production and ~~se of output (including the environmental impact) are mentioned in paragrapfi nine in connection witfi insuring the com- patibility of variations of new and tiase teciinology lieing compared for national 17 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY economic efficiency. The influence of the socfal factors of introducing new tech- nology is not revealed in the indicaf.ors af cost accounting efftctency either. As a result, no techniques are provided far economic evaluation of the social factors of tfie use of new teclinology in material production, tha nonproduction sphere, and personal consumption. The appearance of public and personal needs under the influence of scientific- . technical progress is an objective process t~iat reflects the interaction of production and consumption. At the same time, ~fie extent of satisfaction of the people's material an~3 nonmaterial needs, wiiicli means tfie socioecanomic result, is assigned by society ahead of time in the plans for economic and social de- velopmer,t of tfie national economy as a reflection of the requirements of ob- jective economic laws.12 Therefore, we helieve that applied to tfie sphere of gersonal consumption it is advisable to use a preassigned socioeconomic re- sult of the corresponding structure and qualit;~ for calculations. In a number of cases this result may assume more concrete forms related, for example, to preservation of health; buying, prepartng, and stortng food; buying, using, and preparing clothing, footwear, and domestic appliances; washing and ironing white goods; cleaning the apartment, and the like. The novelty of the problem of the socioeconomic result lies not only in the framing of its structure, but also in tfie economic evaluation of social com- ponents that ha~e grown. The heterogeneity of the social components included in the socioeconomic result should ~e noted. Appltcable to the sphere of personal consumption socially useful socioeconomic results of the use of material goods and services are divided into two parts: tfiose which have immediate economic content (growth and the volume of public consumption of material goods and services as the final result of material production); those which do not have immediate economic content, but do influence the magnitude of this result (working and leisure conditions, human health, environmental protection, and the like). An economic evaluation of the social components wit:~ immediate economic conCent, for exa~mple, food products and property, can be done (depending on the purpose of the calculations) on the basis of wholesale prices and rates, narmative net ~utput, and retail prices and rates. The situatton ia more complex with a~n economic evaluation of the social components that do not have immediate economic - content. To solve this problem it is necessary to f~rmulate the socioeconomic - resu~t in natural physical terms for these components on the basis of ai: elahor- ate system of social norms and standards that cover all the processes of vital human activity with some degree of completeneas. For example, the sanitary- health conditions of human life and labor (size of rooms, sound levels, air exchange, lighting, temperature conditions, and the like) can be standardized in terms of norms. The central question of a healtt~ evaluation of materials and articles is controlling harmful sutastances released into the environment. From the standpoint of the esthetic aspects (new output) it is necessary to control colors and various other design parameters. For the ecological aspect the central problem is to establish the maximum permissible concentrations of - harmful substances in the natural environment (water, air, soil, and the like). 18 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY The social norms serve as b.oth standards. and limitatians on variation in par- ticular parameters of the process of vital human activity. In the broad sense, - we are speakin~ of the need to define tfie lfst and quantitative values of the social norms that regulate compliance with tfie requtrements for creating normal human living conditions. As the sphere of personal consumptiou is saturated wtth new goods and services, all the variations of their introduction being worked out should meet compulsory ~ normative requirements for so~ioeconomic results. If this is not true, the vari- ations will not be comparable in terms of socioeconomic results, which will make it impossib].e to compare them in cost terms. If correspondence to mandatory normative requirements is obaervPd, tfie socioeconomic result can be determined for variation in natural physical form. Tfiis is quite a complex problem because it covers a multitude of tnitial social norms. Comparing the socioeconomic results for tfie variations of conditional and new technology makes it possible to determine the increment of growth for the new technology variatton in natural phyaical form. We propose that the economic evaluation of the increased sociaY results for the most important social com- ponents be based on a set of varied, tnterrelated, and interdependent factors, some of which are given in the section Fielow. [Social components are under- lined, followed by factors that generate the savings.] Food Products. Increase in the length and improvement in the conditions of storage and also preparation of food products by the population as the result of the use of new refriger-- . ators, polymer packing materials, and fresh-frozen dishes and intermediate produ~cts; decrease in losses of food products from a worsening of their properties based on organoleptic and other evaluations; increase in the proportion of fiigh-quality food products by preservation of tfieir nutritional and taste properties. ' Property. Expansion of the assortment and improvem~nt in the quality of new material goods and s~rvices; rise in tT~e ar- tistic and design level of new putput; reduction in expendi- tures for storage and use of new material goods and for new - services. Health. Improvement in the quality of inedical services, a re- sulting decrease tn the length of therapeutic, diagnostic, and preventive procedures, time spent fiy patients in the hospital, and expenditures for repair of inedical equipment; an expansion on this basts of the contingent of persons employed in material production and the nonproduction spfiere and an increase in the additional volume of output produced and services rendered by them, a decrease in expenditures to pay for disability cer- tificates and the like; higher sanitary~healtfi specifications ~ for medical equipment, medical instruments, medicines, and food and industrial goods and for sanitary conditions in the fflod industry, retail trade, and public catering. 19 FOR OFF[C[AL US~ ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40850R000400460060-5 FOR OiFFICIAL USE ONLY Living Conditions (Manmade and Natural}. Improvement in the quality, comfort, and convenience of Fiousing and tn fiousing-~ municipal services; reducing t~ie level of sofl, air, and water pc:llution witti domestic waste, womout arttcles, and packaging materials; otitaining an additional savi~ags from re-- cycling material resources. Consumer Budget. Improvement in tfie quality (.technical--economic, use, esthetic, and otfier properties) of new goods and matertal services; decrease in tfis labor intensiveness, prime cost, and capital expenditures for tfie manufacture, maintenance, and re-- pair of goods and r.endering of matertal services; savings of resources in connection witfi refusal to buy goods because their qualities have been made available tn t~ie domestic services sphere; lowering of retail prices for goods and rates for ser- vices and the related savtngs of resources in personal con- sumption. - Free Time. Reduction in labor expenditures, ltghteniug of work- ing conditions, and cfiange in tfie nature of lalior; increase in the number and improvement in tlie qualitg of new types of machines, equipment, tnstruments, and mechanized devices used to render material services in pufilic healtfi, retail trade, public catering, the domestic services sphere, fiousing and municipal services, passenger transportation, the public communications sector, and in the home. Let us note specially that the economic evaluation of tfie increased socia'1 re- sults must be based not on an economic evaluation of tTie enumerated component as such, buC on an economic evaluation of the impact of scientific-technical - progress on change (growth) in these components. For example, we are far from - the idea of evaluating human fiealth.in ecotiomi.t terms; we are posing a com- _ pletely different problem, to evaluate the savings from maintaining health at the proFer level by the use of nekr medications, new treatment procedures, and other means. Therefore, we are talising a~out ar ec;onrmic eva'luation of social components by an indirect, riot direct;, method, through change in costs for the differeni: aiten~atives before and after tfie uae of new technolagy. Therefore, the social companent sfiould i~ave c~rresponding quantitative measures which can be adec~uately described in economic terms. Tfie other quantita~ive measures that are now subject to economic evaluation can be described by their dis- tinctive natural indicators. In the sphere of final personal consumption, the following cost indtcators can be used for an economic evaluation of tfie social components that do not have immediate economic content: growtli in the volume of normative net output in - material production and the nonproduction spfieres; capital savings in th.e budgets of social security, public healtli, and state aad personal insurance; capital savings in the personal consumer budget for medical treatment, purchase of food products and medicines, purchases, maintenance, and repair of articles of clothing and cultural-domestic and houseTiold goods, and acquisition of housing; 20 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY personal time savings resulting from using the services of tfie service sphare and in tfie performance of fiouse~ork. The different goods and services are comparable in terms of t~ieir ability to - meet public and personal needs. Tt can Tie assumed from tfiis that tTie social components listed above, despite tfieir differences, are similar and comprise a unified complex that aims at realization of the supreme goal in socialist society. It becomes possilile to add togetfier the results of an economic evalu- ation of the factors of different social components and obtain an overall evaluation of the increased social result in cost form. . The savings from the increased social results plainly is different in natuxe from the savings of costs, for example, calculated costs. In the first place, these economic indicators are designed to solve different problems. A savings of calcu- lated cos~s (a category of comparative efficiency) is, of course, determined in a calculation to obtain the identtcal (assigned) socieconomic result. As for a savings from an increased social resu~.t, it manifests itself tn the process of an economic evaluation of different svcioeconomic results, tfie base result and the new result. This tncrease is caused by the dtfferent possibilities of at- taining technical-economic and social norms using traditional and new technology. In the second place, the savings of calculated costs reflects a savings of pri- mary resources in the sphere of material productton, while the savings from an increased social result has a different basis, a social basis, and reflects a decrease in expenditures from sources (above all the consumption fund) formed on the basis of the mechanism for distribution and redistribution of primalcy income. A savings on such expenditures is more likely to be evidence of more eff icient use of the consumption fund (national income) than growth in the fund. We believe that the savings from an increase in social results cannot be com- pared at all, in any form, with a cost savings (comparative or absolute). It - must be used as an independent indicator to substantiate the socioeconomic result of new technology (in cost form), social norms and the order of their introduction, technical policy in the field of the development of production and use of tiew ' technology fc~r ~ocial purposes, new co~sumer goods and service3, and the like. The second component of the f.inal sociueconamic impact of new technology is the cost savings calculated for a given socially useful result. This is linked t~o - production efficiency and the level of rational use of resources. When de-- tPrmining the socioeconomic impact of new good3 aud services in the spher,e of final personal consumption, the expenditures necessary for this may have two evaluations: from the national economic standpoint (calculated costs �or development, production, transportation, use, and repair), and from the stand- point of tfie personal consumption sphere (personal expenditures for purchase, delivery, use, and repair of goods and enjoyment of services). These evaluatien~ are 3:nterrelated. Thus, goods and services in ~fie spfiere of final personal con-- sumption are a concrete expression of the proportions invested earlier at tl?e national economic level. In other words, tfie consumption of goods and services signifies realization of the national econonic socioeconomic impact, its conver�- sion into a personal use effect. 21 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONL1c' APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000404060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Because national economic impact is widely used to select tfie ~st efficient alternatives of new technology, it is important tfiat at the same time the socio- economic result itself ts formed because the amount of tfie iscrease in thts result depends on the technical-economic and social parameters of the new technology. This is an irerar_ive nroc2ss and sfiould reflect tfie inverse effect of expenditures to form the socioeconomic result. A number of problems in the methodologp of determining tfie national economic socioeconowic effect of new consumer goods fiave been worked out in the sector on efficiency of scientific-technical progress 3t the Lnstitute of Econ~mics of the USSR Academy of Sciences.13 Tfie essential feature of the metfiodology is that such new elements as additional calcula~ed expenZitures for measures to attain the normative socioeconom~c result with the use of the traditional con- sumptior. goods and expenditures for measures to eliminate or compensate for a certain negative social result must be included in the spfiere of calculations of the socioeconomic impact (in comparison with tfie economic impact). This makes e~enditures in the stages of tfie manufacture and use of new and tradi- tional goods comparable in terms of socioeconomic result. The amount of the socioeconomic use effect as a savings of personal expendi- tures for the purchase, trans~ortation, storage, use and repair of all possible consumption goods and en~oyment of services depends, on the one hand, on the technical-PCOnomic parameters and properties of these goods (dura- bility, reliability, electricity consumption, and the like), and on the other hand, on the level of retail prices and rates. The impact of scientific-technical progress on the persanal consumption sphere naturally appears as a systematic decrease in costs in all stages of the manu- facture, purchase, and use of consumption goods and services. At the same time, the real changes in retail prices and r.ates must be ta~Cen into accaunt. Despite the level and the changes in retail prices (rates) however, they are an essential indicator for determining the use affecting the sphere of final _ personal consumption. The transition to substantiating the socioecanomic efficiency of new tech- _ nology not only in material praductiorn, which is en~viaioned in existing methodologies and done extensively at t~ie present time, but also in ~the sphere of personal consumption creates a basis for: using efficiency calculations to study variations of new consumption technologq~ goods, and services more com- pletely; formulating uniform technical policy for the development of material production, the nonproduction sphere, and tfie sphere of f inal personal con- sumption; raising the efficiency of capital expenditures to broaden and renew the assortment ~f consumption goods and tfie service sphere. The 26th CPSU Con.gress identified the socioeconomic problems of scientific- technical progress as one of tfie researcfi areas in whicfi social scientists should concentrate their efforts. One of the research areas within the field of the socioeconomic impact in tfie spfiere of personal consumption should be development of norms of cost savings for similar types (groups) of new con- s~ption goods and services. Tfiis ts essential to substantiate an optimal as- sortment of consumption goods and services. 22 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 _ FOR OFF[C[AL USE ONLY Work on the questions of determining tfie soc~oeconomtc effici.ency of new products and services in the personal consumption spTiere is a further and more concrete step towards solving these profilems and will promote work to carry out the policy of tfie Communist Partp witfi respect to solving the problems of raising tfie well-lieing of the Soviet people. FOOTNOTES 1. See L. A. Kostin, "Proizvodstvo Tovarov Narodnogo Potrebleniya (Sotsial'no- ekonomicheskty Aapekt)" [The Production of Consumer Goods (The Socioeconomic Aspect)], Izdatel'stvo "Elconomika", 1980, pp 189, 208. 2. See the statistical yearbook "Narodnoye Ktiozyaystvo SSSR v 1979 g." [The USSR National Economq in 1979], Izdatel'stvo "Statistika", 1980, p 433. 3. See "Materialy XXV S"yezda KPSS" [Materials of. tfie 25th CPSU Congress], Politizdat, 1976, p Z14. 4. See Kostin, op. cit., p 52. 5. See "Narodnoye...," op. cit., p 457. 6. See A. M. Izuktin and G. I. Tsa~egorodtsev, "Sotsialitisticheskiy Obraz Zhizni i Zdorov'ye Naseleniya v Svete Resfieniy XXV S"yezda KPSS" [The Socialist Way of Life and Public Health in Ligfit of the Decisions of the 25th CPSU Congress], Izdatel'stvo "Meditsina", 1977, p 173. 7. See "Nauchno-Tekhnicheskaya Revolyutsiya i Chelovek" [The Scientific- Technical Revolution and Human Seings], Izdatel'stvo "Nautca", 1977, p 114. 8. For greater detail, see "Ekonomika Razvitogo Sotsialisticheskogo Obshchestva (Osnovnyye Cherty, Zakonomernosti Razvitiya)" [The Economy of a _ Developed Socialist Society (Basic Fzatuz�es and Developmential Patterns], Izdai:.el'stvo "Ekonomik.a", 1977~ pp 277-278; "Osn~vnny Ekonomicheskiy Zakon 5otsializ~a" [The Basic Economic Law of Socialism], ed3te~' by V. N. Cherkovets, Izdatel'stvo "Nauka", 1978, pp 174-175, 179. 9. See L. M. Gatovskiy, "Voprosy Razviti}ra Politicheskoy Ekonomii Sotsializma" [Issues of the Development of tfie Polttical Economy of Socialism], Izdatel'stvo "Nauka", 1979, pp 465-466. 10. See T. S. Khachaturov, "Effektivnost' Kapital'nykh Vlozheniy" [The Efficiency ' of Capital Investment], Izdatel''stvo "Ekonomika", 1979, p 183. 11. Gatovskiy, op. cit., p 373. 12. We do not consider here the question of the formation of personal needs under the influence of individual tastes, preferences, motivations, and the ltke. 23 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R040400060060-5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 13. See "MethodologicheskiyeVoprosy Opredeleniya Sotsial~no-~konomicheskoy Effektivnosti Novoy Tekhniki" [Methodologi.cal Issues of Determining the Socioeconomic Efficiency of New Technologp~, Izdatel'stvo "Nauka", 1977; "Osnovnyye MetodichQSkiyePolozfieniya Opredeleniya Sotsial*no-- Ekonvmicheskoy Effektivnosti Novoq Tekfinikf" [Basic Methodological Principles of Determining the Socioeconomic Efficiencp of New TecI~nology], draft version, Institute of Economics of the USSR Academy of Sciences, � 1980 (rotaprint). COPYRIGHT: Izdatel'stvo "Pravda", "Voprosy ekonomiki", 1981 11,176 CSO: 1827/101 END 24 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060060-5