OFFICE REPORT AND ESTIMATES, CIA FAR EAST/PACIFIC BRANCH

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-01090A000400060008-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: November 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 28, 1998
• Sequence Number: 8
• Publication Date: June 14, 1948
• Content Type: REPORT

O1 CB Hums. AND E5TIMATI S, CIA
FAR B ,ST -cuic BRANCH
25X6
Approved For ReleaQ 200 P79-010900004
ERM
3EEt OF 3 ~tYuI - 14 Juk, I940
S ' I 4 D X S U M M OF F A R M S T T- T , IBS A ]3 ? n ::::.
That U Senate. t:Lons Co :antes has voted e . separata it 2a
1
Iiscal ar
2 ,OCO,C f'c t} econc c x hab3 .tatjnn in iaz ^..
The roluctwnee of W C:i to regard the new rag-ire In South Korea as
national in scope i.s motivated in part by apprehension on the par''Z, of :or
as-mbars o`~ Soviet reaction and by a desire of other members.* who have Far
Basterrt ix tarasts, to keep tk US in Korea (page b),
T h3 Chinese mi3.itery scene, other than sporadic fighting in so-utfrec t
S. -hung and in West Horan reraai nc ralativa-ly quiet (pap 6), i cislativ4
opposition to the premier's prog .n a3 wall as its open critlciem of GIiau;Y:.,
poreona pooition is further evidance of the weakncueof the National Goti w~? -.
nn, t a .d. of the continuing loos of ~s? ga by Chia. ; Kai-shek (p''. e 6)
in Uurr.~.a serious polio ca?. 'cyst txa rc su1ti.r .. Tron Thakin Yiu' c : ,nwmc?< ..,
;t of a 3.oftist unity progr=, cR~ s~, _s~~z s (page B)
`, ~, 2 '3iiccee n~; ssc`c Iona o ' Vie, R F
(1)
co
6 o I
<
,
v p LIJ +.K
(2)
An a ter" sk (^.':` 1 r'rv R r,rUcate that all or part o1. an
item is based solely upon information from State k
'-'S/$ series"
up n s "Be s or "C" -Importance, in B/cE t e opinion, of
the its, watt "A" rapreseriting the most
important cUI330 .sit
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In Dudonee1a the presentation of a "fipa1" US pVm for the UN -00d Offices
Co ittee (tom) negotiations has offended the Netherlmvls Govern asnt aid MW
the futmxe of the 000 (page 8).. A digest of a reasnt W. stud3rj,
nmwTmcw fora ( u)?
The Pbi b M t aaat in Sian ' use strong .-am vii
%
re"w t to *f preetige (page 9).
proposed -establish t of the Chimse ikic aya
Fteutk relttcns in Fr mch-Sndoc h na (page 20).
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 I
Approved For ReIL" se 2000/0 RDP79-01A000400060008-4
A LM
w~-
o rs IN SFEC AREAS
to Cc4adtt" votes ra abilitation. aid for J
Swats A .ations CowAttes has voted $325,000,000 ftw the next ?Ae
a separate item for ownado rehabilitation in Ja
Is2muft is er 3c .c Coo; ration Acl t on d ie .
of the Arm had re at i 50,000,,000 fur this p *e. The
Hot" had provio=4 refused a sip 3li r apprapriatiaet for e-conoezic r~].i tioee
in Japan on the recomman iti an of its Co maittee on APprvpor! atio s. The Carsai ttee
hold that such an activity is related to the general reconstruction pwqV of
the LEA' and should, More, became an integral part of the general, economic
Mission.
The Senate Apperopriation Committee also recac m d $l#200,000,000 for
gov i v t and relief in occupied areas (Germany, J , lLo W902 and the ByWWu
Islands). The Dspertmaat of the Arn5r had requested ~250,000,000- for this
purpose. The Wan voted the am requested -by the Dopartarr t of the A= W but
on a fifteen-month basis. Although, the Senate Apprcpartatiaas Committee
reduced the am a t requested by the Department of the Army for its govnyemnt
and relief in occupied areas by $50,000,000, the reduction is more than offer
by the aelditiaa of the recovery item.
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 Approved For Revise 2 AW01 A000400060008-4
25X6A
tion tt7 the United Nations T ra Commission on Korea of "A"
the reaeu ?-e Korean asses as a na ered .
os of certain - rs. Con ter at earlier stand
against the holding o e c one South Korea alone, Syria, Australia* Canada feel that since the assembly does not represent all of Yorerwi r the assembly nor any Bove :-Trent established br it can be
dead plated as "national". India is believed to shame this view, which
seers to oarr; sufricient weight within the Commission to produce a
highly cautious approach in interpretint* its oblipationa in Korea. Thus,
in its press release announciz its reaaness to ccrrisul.t,with the "elected
r+ ptesentativee", UNTOOK carefully avoided arty reference to a "rational
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ieftmW WIAL
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azcc: bIw ?? and made it clear that the initiative in conguitation gust
t?ken t,,/ the Koreans. The Com.:iasion's reluctance to rs axd the new
is in 5*uth Korea as rational Jr scoys is undoubtedly moti:vs
aljw try a rcherslon smonc adze n tbers of soviet tact , and 14., a
dwat.re among: those membors rrith ',`+ r Eastern interrestsf to keop the US
In k ,,a.
Approved For Release 2000/UB AtUP79-01090A000400060008-4
 j s .
Approved For Rese 20a
sear its mouth.
flsddit7 and their pre
eaUsms of vw-114onn
of +Ccwssaasiet
as yet, no all-out at
sd'forts in the
et$y whtls the capture
vital airborne euppliesl.
Ing action, altho a
p'*t1onsl4st resistance
sea Comuist effort
Ma~o4as.
11111
rs past week. Late press rsioit isdios ioi eystevn wauld not be noin . The
Chimse cars tt Oftft*l prod tots that fri+ dly roUtlon a bursae ms
and China will be ee3y affsoted if the From h fail to use diplaatia
olds to reach" 'fit tlenaont of thin problem.
Approved For Released 20,
A-RDP79-0109OA000400060008-4
 Approved For R4a~e 2000/05/23: CIA-RDP79-00A000400060008-4
M,.
3s
t s
t
eta ~ ~`-~
.,.e ,
. J
"t t4 :e t
t A .li..es;
o3.e Tnd
both raw
two sid+s s not if
the pn*t few ysams o
f emir w th t ho aaailebi
rim qtr.
avaU r eras the f o
redo' f oat w ** of
DrImas,
a nc iaa t pnbllladt co
ar rh bove Mated th
butah policies
Dutch la(Utsm,* In
aaUsIft that, at the
ftapdaltiaau authosrity
8e *ibU s in a federati
s.at cns vill be direc
ttST and its c c agent
t foe wcrk for the,
Dutch pmerm to Indone
to Rep ab1ic a
A prolonyNtieme at
biiitstL i e
n j ration for arA.
potential wmI.d be a vally a'b- aQae-t.-
ri.fe hu, cime the m r, ,Qasdo 9UI c t tim of
impossible. 7hough future friction bsUom the
emprsesion in as m h viola xa as has been t*ft r
t nuation of the andeaar1-3ng dimWeeirants U IM
c ai*oditi es from the pi odi ve are" of Jam
erabio p+a !"
wlod
. _ on of the nit ad State. of domsia ( .; a
rreeaot to be ostebl3shsd in the tex-ritarr a the
the efforte at the Dutch an wo a m W of the
the other to roalho in th?m UST the be 3 UT"
po .iai*z abase the and of " end U I %r TX,
acttcma will be directed toad the p r e s s he ax l ipeLv o and m M there fc*e rk
a p u b Atta ing to c*%Mtw the se of
as =%LU an area as poe3eib3.e d * irc
of Vro-Du h states. Republi4a - aoLLoie+ urd
toaatrd th+e repl c at of Dutch ! `3.uem* the
tesx by predomiumt Republican W240041 sad will
viii of its prestige, the rapdd aunts of
n governira bodies, the ea-r1y creation ut a
US Iv and the ut .liza tIm of the f*dew- rc 1 structure
wh ra ve r paeaib3.e.
which now Beare pr ble, >e Way
e! anfiint,
,
teal etabi.ltty and the rehabi3 itat1c* of the area'
WW reawtor*ttl Of po].t''
eeaccaa4f, end easy aaabanc
the ante este of the US
taticaer arcm1d best be
,spare., e,ffording cp
cOOMr of mi /cd' Dutch
such a addle comm', h
of third pe wie In the
Approved, For Release
the poeeibili ty of a f itaaa aatc Dees untfVO* bLO- t o
The a chley nt of stability artd ec aw9do r.hab
e by the deevelo t t U31 a3mg a a>i .s
ma t nattea U t but p t the
stance a n d g* d a n o o in r eia.. P U r s a of
i th t ifle
is l i k e l y to r e q u r ee; enuenc
%L m
5/23: CIA-RDP7iIQ -4
 -01 A000400060008-4
T 4L
ocnttnute their efforts to divert third-pear
tion of their respective obleatfve
the Du h
,
it position In rope and the teebaicaf. adr90ASes
Drat ll~ t
]t~sp~blia, and the Rbli+a CaocttSng
i
be able to otter to the ,*11d,
The Prospeate for a tbited Stettee of WhOSSIA