WESTERN HEMISPHERE BRIEF 191-75-4

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
28
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 26, 2001
Sequence Number: 
93
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 12, 1975
Content Type: 
CABLE
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7.pdf1.01 MB
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Approved For Release 2}!0"I~OSi21 :CIA-Ii6P86GU817~d~(OgQOQ'~0093F7~ + ~~~ Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093, - I Secret NOI 'ORN I t'~ / I / / Secret Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 SECRET NOFORN WESTERN HEMISPHERE BRIEF 111-75?Y 1. //ARGENTINA] ARGENTINE OFFICERS WHO FAVOR DELAYING A M ITARY TAKEOVER WON A FRAGILE CONSENSUS AT A MEETING HELD BY ARMY CHIEF GENERAL VIDELA AND TOP ARMY COMMANDERS ON DECEMBER 5.//Y //VIDELA CALLED THE MEETING IN RESPONSE TO GROWING PRESSURE RR Ott OFFICERS WHO, ALONG WITH SOME CIVILIAN BUSINESSMEN, HAVE BEEN ADVOCATING THE OVERTHROW OF PRESIDENTHMARIA ESTELA PERON. GENERAL RODOLPO MUJICA, HEAD OF THE SUPERIOR WAR SCHOOL, HAS EMERGED AS A LEADING SPOKESMAN OF THOSE PAVOR_TNG A COUP- HE REPORTEDLY HAS THREATENED TO RESIGN HIS COMMISSION IF THE ARMY DOES NOT OUST PERON SOON//M //VIDELA URGED THE OFFICERS AT THE MEETING TO POSTPONE COUP PLANS AT LEAST UNTIL FEBRUARY OR MARCH, ARGUING THAT THE NATION'S ECONOMY HAS NOT DETERIORATED ENOUGH TO MAKE MILITARY INTERVENTION POPULAR. MANY OFFICERS ALREADY SHARED HIS CONCERN OVER THE PRESENT LACK OP POPULAR SUPPORT. AND VIDELA APPARENTLY HAD LITTLE DIFFICULTY IN WINNING A DELAY- EVEN 'SHE COUP PROPONENTS ARE LOATHE TO STRAIN MILITARY UNITY BY A PRECIPITATE MOVE, KNOtING THAT MILITARY OPINION Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 SECRET NOFORN IS NOT FULLY WITH THEii?//M /ITHOSE WHO FAVOR AN IMPiEDIATE COUP ARGUE THAT DELAY ONLY PLAYS INTO THE HANDS OF TV-' TERRORISTS+ WHO THEY SAY, CONTINUE TO INFILTRATE THE ARMED FORCES. MOREOVER+ COUP ADVOCATES FEEL THAT SINCE A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION HAS BEEN SET FOR LATE NEXT YEAR, IT IS IMPERATIVE TO MOVE NOW. BEFORE THE UALLOTING GETS SO COOSE THAT A MILITARY TAKEOVER WOULD BE HARD TO JUSTIFY.//M //VIDELA AND HIS SUPPORTERSi WHO INCLUDE CHIEF OF THE GENERAL STAFF GENERAL VIOLA, CONTEND THAT THE HILITARY CAN (OVERN EFFECTIVELY ONLY AFTER THE SUBVERSIVES ARE "NEUTRALIZED." MOREOVER, VIDiELA PREFERS NOT 79 MARTYR PERRON BY OUSTING HER BEFORE THERE IS FIRM PROOF Of WIDESPREAD, HIGH-LEVEL CORRUPTION IN HER GOVERNMENT.//Y //DESPITE THE AGREEMENT TO HOLD OFF, MILITARY INTERVENTION REMAINS A LIVE POSSIBILITY. fISSTEPS BY THE ADMINISTRATION ARC MORE LIKELY TO SPARK A COUP THAU TERRORIST PROVOCATIONS. INDEED% THE RECENT MURDER OF RETIRED GENERAL CACERES MONIE AND HIS W?CFE AND SUTSEOUENT ATTACKS AGAI4ST OTHER HIGH-RANKING BFFICERS DO NOT SEE" TO H*VE INCREASED SUPPORT FOR A COUP. {SECRET NOFORN}//Y Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R'000300010093-7 SECRET NOPORN 2. //MEXICO: THE RECENT. SEIZURE OP POUR US SHRIPIP BOATS BY THE MEXICAN NAVY SUGGESTS MEXICO IS DDOPTXNG A POLICY Of STRICT ENFORCEMENT OF CLAIMED TERRITORAL WATERS.//Y //THE BOATSv SEIZED LAST Ws.EK, MERE THE FIRST TAKEN INTO CUSTODY BY fEXICAN AUTHORITIES SINCE MARCH. THREE WERE CHARGED ONLY PORT PEES AMOUNTING TO ABOUT *SOO. THE FOURTH BOAT WAS GIVE.M A MINIMUM FINE OP *6,O80-PLUS PORT COSTS-FOR RESISTING ARREST. ALTHOUGH SHRIMP CATCHES WERE CONFISCATED, THE NOMINAL PINES SUGGEST THE SEIZURES tdERE UARNs R,IS.//Y //RECENT CRITICISM OP THE NAVY IN THE MEXICAN PRESS HAS UNDOUBTEDLY GENERATED SOME PRESSURES TO TAKE ACTION AGAINST FOREICN FISHING 804TS IN MEXICAN WATERS. ANOTHER REASON FOR STEPPED-UP ENFORCEMENT MAY BE MEXICAN LEGISLATIVE ACTIOM TO ESTABLISH A 200-NM OPPSHIRE ECONOMIC ZONE. WHEN IT BECOMES EFFECTIVE IN THE SPRING, THIS MEASURE WILL AFFECT US SHRIMPING IN THE GULF OP MEXICO. LAST WEEK'S ARRESTS COULD BE AN INDICATION THAT THE MEXICANS WILL NO LONGER TAKE A TOLERANT VIEW OF VIOLATIONS OF THEIR CLAIMED TERRITORIAL WATERS. THE ARRESTS MILL ALSO GIVE THE GOVERNMENT A BETTER Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 SECRET NOPORP BARGAINING ~9OSXTIOW% IF BILATERAL TALKS ARE REQUIRED. {CONPIDEMTIAL NOPORN}// DIPDET? d SDO?-~-- DICEfl9ER 1s'i IV5 OCI/WHD 1027 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 OMF p app ~ved For F~eleaase?2001/Q8921 : CtA-RDP816T00608R000300010~l93-7 SECRET NOFORN MIDDLE EAST AFRICA BRIEF 191-75.Y INDEX DiSSEAI BY: NO INOUX AITVAN TO PER 1. LEBANON: RADICAL LEFTISTS ON THURSDAY NIGHT CONDITIONALLY- ACCEPTED PRIME MINISTER KARAMI'S LATEST CALL FCR A TRUCE. THEY WILL DECIDE WHETHER TO PARTICIPATE IN POLITICAL NEGOTIATIONS ON THE TERMS OF A MORE DURAULE CEASE-FIRE AFTER MEETING WITH THE PRIME MINISTER-4' THE LEFTISTS ARE DEMANDING THAT KARAMI "EXPLAIN" WHY THE GOVERNMENT USED THE ARMY IN BEIRUT'S COMMERCIAL CENTER THIS WEEK. THEY ALSO WANT AN EXPLANATION OF A SPEECH MADE BY PRESIDENT FRANJIYAH ON. DECEMBER 10, IN WHICH FRANJIYAH DENOUNCED THE CONTINUING VIOLENCE IN TERMS THAT THE LEFTISTS CONSIDERED PLACED UNDUE BLAME ON THEM.Y THE DECISION TO ACCEPT THE CEASE-FIRE CAME AFTER THE LEFTISTS MET WITH LEADERS OF THE PALESTINE LIBERATION ORGANIZATION. ZUHAYR MUHSIN, HEAD OF THE PLO MILITARY DEPARTMENT, TOLD NEWSMEN THAT THE PALESTINIANS HAD BEEN ABLE TO ACT AS MEDIATORS BECAUSE :..THEY "ARE NOT A PARTY TO THE CONFLICT. nY REPRESENTATIVES OF THE TWO LARGEST CHRISTIAN POLITICAL PARTIES, ::THE PHALANGISTS AND THE NATIONAL LIBERALS, HAVE SAID THAT THEY WILL DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: A/LEASING O.FICIA CIVR-w.AT,Vo OFF-IC, s -AVTNGNTICATINO OPICRR CL"31FICATION REPRODUCTION BY OTHER tHAH THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R00030001007 BY: ?e A proved Pb'r ReIe&%e 200"'/08/2'1" CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7 rnae or .noes OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 SECRET NOFORN INOIX NO INOIX FITUNN TO + O IF FILMS 'I} RESPECT THE CEASE-FIRE. A PHALANGIST REPRESENTATIVE HAS PLEDGED THAT HIS PARTY WILL. ALLOW AN OFFICIAL INQUIRY INTO THE CAUSES OF THE KILLINGS LAST WEEKEN) THAT SET OFF THE CURRENT ROUND OF FIGHTING.4' THIS RELATIVELY COOPERATIVE ATTITUDE HAS RESULTED IN PART FROM THE CHRISTIANS' INABILITY TO TURN THE TIDE OF BATTLE IN THE HOTEL DISTRICT. DESPITE INTERVENTION BY ARMY COMMANDOS, THE LEFTISTS APPEAR TO CONTROL TWO OF THE THREE HOTELS THAT COMMAND THE SEAFRONT BETWEEN THE CHRISTIAN AND MUSLIM AREAS OF BEIRUT. {CONFIDENTIALLY 2. SPANISH SAHARA: MOROCCO IS CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN ITS SECURITY FORCES IN NORTHERN SPANISH SAHARA, ANTICIPATING A RAPID SPANISH WITHDRAWAL FROM THE TERRITORY?Y A SPANISH FOREIGN 11INISTRY OFFICIAL RECENTLY INDICATED THAT VIRTUALIf ? ALL SPANISH FORCES AND CIVILIANS WILL BE OUT OF THE SAHARA BY DECEMBER 20, WELL AHEAD OF THE SCHEDULED FEBRUARY DEADLINE. THE SPANISH WANT TO AVOID INVOLVEMENT IN HOSTILITIES BETWEEN MOROCCO AND THE POLISARIO FRONT OR ITS SPONSOR, ALGERIA.Y ON THURSDAY, THE FIRST MOROCCAN ARMY UNITS ARRIVED IN EL AAIUN, THE CAPITAL, AMID MUCH FANFARE FROM MOROCCAN OFFICIALS ALREADY ON DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R00030001(&@387y: ApproraecfRarReIease 2001/08/21 : CIA-RD - AC[ COI ACP TOO TPL MRO DCI PAO7 OR PAGQS OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 INDex DISSEr4 BY: 0 NO INORX 0 RNTURM TO PER ^ IP FILMS THE SCENE-9 OPERATIONS ARE UNDER WAY IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE TERRITORY AGAINST GUERRILLAS OF THE POLISARIO FRONT. THE GUERRILLAS ARE NOW USING MORTARS, MACHINE GUNS, AND GRENADE LAUNCHERS. ACCORDING TO SPANISH PRESS REPORTS, POLISARIO GUERRILLAS MACHINE- GUNNED A MOROCCAN POLICE CAR IN EL AAIUN TUESDAY. THEY PROBABLY WERE ALSO RESPONSIBLE FOR A PRE-DAWN RAID THURSDAY ON A MOROCCAN GARRISON OUTSIDE THE CITY.Y SCATTERED FIGHTING REPORTEDLY IS ALSO OCCURRING BETWEEN MAURITANIAN FORCES AND POLISARIO GUERRILLAS ALONG THE SOUTHERN SPANISH SAHARAN BORDER. NOUAKCHOTT HAS MOBILIZED ITS 1,500-MAN ARMY AND MOROCCAN C-130S ARE SHUTTLING ARMS AND AMMUNITION INTO THE CAPITAL.Y ALGIERS REMAINS. OPPOSED TO A MOROCCAN-MAURITANIAN TAKE-OVER OF -SPANISH SAHARA AND IS CONTINUING A LIMITED MILITARY BUILD-UP IN -SOUTHWESTERN ALGERIA ADJACENT TO THE SAHARA. THE ALGERIAN GOVERNMENT HAS DECLARED A SAHARA SOLIDARITY WEEK AND IS STAGING DEMONSTRATIONS ',THROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY. THESE RALLIES ARE CLEARLY INTENDED TO DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: 1 O T t CLASSIFICATION ApprovWP-"61%%?4 20lId$ MT: IF~ISf ~ ~b6b~F lN~ST( 0I 0(327 IMPDET Cl. BY: ApfvmaedTeT~ease 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP ?791 GDI ACP TOO TPE MAO Oct OMF' 0 0 C 0 0 0 0 ^ INDEX DISSEN! BY: ^ NO INDEX ^ RITUIJN TO PER ^ IP PILES 1 t .AROUSE ANTI-MOROCCAN SENTIMENT, BUT WE BELIEVE THE GOVERNMENT IS ALSO TRYING TO DEVELOP DOMESTIC SUPPORT FOR INCREASED ALGERIAN ASSISTANCE TO THE POLISARIO FRONT. THE ALGERIA N MEDIA ARE HIGHLIGHTING POLISARIO CLAIMS OF MILITARY SUCCESS AGAINST MOROCCAN FORCES IN THE SAHARA.Y THE POLISARIO GUERRILLAS CANNOT DEFEAT THE MORE HEAVILY ARMED MOROCCAN ARMY, BUT WITH ALGERIAN BACKING THEY CAN PROBABLY KEEP UP TERRORIST AND SABOTAGE ATTACKS. THE AUTOMATED BELT CONVEYOR SYSTEM THAT MOVES PHOSPHATE ORE SOM' 60 MILES FROM BU CRAA TO EL AAIUN IS ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO GUERRILLA OPERATIONS.Y DEBATE ON SPANISH SAHARA IN THE UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY HAS ENDED WITH THE ADOPTION OF TWO CONTRADICTORY RESOLUTIONS. THIS OUTCOME IS A SETBACK FOR ALGERIA, WHICH SOUGHT FORMAL UN DISAVOWAL OF THE SPANISH-MOROCCAN-MAURITANIAN AGREEMENT THAT PROVIDED FOR GIVING THE -TERRITORY TO RABAT AND NOUAKCHOTT. {CONFIDENTIAL}M 3. ANGOLA: THE OFFENSIVE LAUNCHED LAST WEEK BY THE POPULAR :MOVEMENT FOR THE LIBERATION OF ANGOLA AGAINST AMBRIZ, THE HEAD- :. QUARTERS OF THE NATIONAL FRONT FOR THE LIBERATION OF ANGOLA, APPEARS DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: Appro\, d RLI ?6 4 +/Q~I 1TH~1; 4~I P86~A@6~8~H1O OO010 1 GE s T 0608R0003 0 1009 -7 AppEcaviceAEef,Relelase 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP P AOI COI ACP '7a T'l PAGE OF" PAGES 0 INOex DISSEM BY: ^ NO INOax 0 ROMAN TO PEP ^ IP PILE! TO HAVE STALLED SOME 50 MILES SOUTH OF ITS TARGET.Y THE NATIONAL FRONT HAS BEEN DESTROYING BRIDGES AS IT FALLS BACK TO P,MBRIZ AND POSITIONS FARTHER NORTH. MOREOVER, THE POPULAR MOVEMENT'S SUPPLY LINES TO LUANDA PROBABLY HAVE BEEN SLOWED BY THE 0N.;ET OF THE RAINY SEASON, A FACTOR THAT ANNUALLY HAMPERED PORTUGUESE OPERATIONS DURING THE INSURGENCY.Y A NATIONAL UNION SPOKESMAN' ANNOUNCED IN LUSAKA, ZAMBIA-. LAST WEEKEND THAT UNION FORCES HAD "LAUNCHED AN OFFENSIVE" AGAINST HENRIQUE DE CARVALHO, THE POPULAR MOVEMENT'S MAJOR STRONGHOLD IN EASTERN ANGOLA. THE EXTENT OF THE FIGHTING IN THAT AREA CANNOT BE DETERMINED. {CONFIDENTIAL}M 4. RHODESIA: JOSHUA NKO11O, THE LEADER OF A MAJOR FACTION OF RHODESIAN BLACK NATIONALISTS, ANNOUNCED ON THURSDAY THAT FORMAL NEGOTIATIONS WITH PRIME MINISTER IAN SMITH AIMED AT ACHIEVING A CONSTITUTIONAL SETTLEMENT WILL BEGIN ON FRIDAY.Y NKOMO AND SMITH LAST WEEK SIGNED A "DECLARATION OF INTENT" :' TO BEGIN THE FORMAL TALKS, BUT THEY HAD BEEN EXPECTED TO HOLD ANOTHER PRELIMINARY MEETING THIS WEEK TO SETTLE FINAL DETAILS. DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: 4 _ 7 e ^- e Cu!lIPICATION Approve) etr ase)20?pe/?8*MN:T6.:3A$RiID1k OTA06OSIROO03OQ0100 3--g IMPDET CL BY u T a App elrred FurReI ase 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDA! T oo AOI COI ACP TOa rPI Mno Oct OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CLASSIPICATION 0 INOIX . DISSEM BY: O NO INOuII 0 RITURN TO PER 0 IP PIL11!1 { NKOMO'S ANNOUNCEI1ENT SUGGESTS THAT ALL PROCEDURAL MATTERS MAY ALREADY HAVE BEEN WORKED OUT.9 NKOMO SAID HE WOULD LEAD A 12-MAN DELEGATION TO THE TALKS, 9UT HE DID NOT INDICATE WHETHER REPRESENTATIVES..OF OTHER NATIONALIST FACTIONS WILL BE INCLUDED. THE. '',.t.EGATION ALMOST CERTAINLY WILL NOT INCLUDE NKOMO'S MOST PROMINENT RIVALS, NDABANINGI SITHOLE AND BISHOP MUZOREI,IA, WHO HAVE DENOUNCED RFROM EXILE THE SMITH-NKOMO MEETINGS.Y SETTLEMENT TALKS WILL BE PROLONGED AND DIFFICULT, AND ULTIMATE SUCCESS IS FAR FROM ASSURED. IN ANY EVENT, SMITH CAN BE EXPECTED TO EMPLOY TACTICS AIMED AT AVOIDING A FINAL (SETTLEMENT FOR AS LONG ASN POSSIBLE. {CONFIDENTIAL} E-2 IMPDET.rI DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: cuSSIPICAr10N Approv@?PF% 4MI@(W 2JO ?01121 T9IA 1YP8 0@8iRA003'OM10093,11 IMPDET CL BY: --vTw : v~.r rr~v rTtt.: trtvZ '~ AOEAp,prpecfq,C,lele 2001/08/21 M,pIA-RDQ8 - OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 INDEX 0 NO INDIM EUROPEAN BRIEF 191-75.Y 1. SPAIN: THE NEW SF..NISH CABINET, WHICH IS TO BE SWORN IN. FRIDAY OR SATURDAY, PROMISES A BREAK WITH THE PAST. IT IS LIBERAL IN SPANISH TERMS, AS KING JUAN CARLOS AND PRIME MINISTER ARIAS TRY TO TAKE SOME OF THE WIND OUT OF THE OPPOSITION'S SAILS.Y MANUEL FRAGA IRIBARNE, THE NEW INTERIOR MINISTER, AMD JOSE MARIA DE AREILZA, THE NEW FOREIGN MINISTER, FAVOR AN EARLY AND FAIRLY EXTENSIVE LIBERALIZATION OF THE SPANISH POLITICAL SYSTEM. MOST OF THE OTHER POSTS-ARE FILLED BY MEN WHO FAVOR GRADUAL, BUT SIGNIFICANT, CHANGE. THE NEW JUSTICE MINISTER, FORMER AMBASS".D OR TO THE VATICAN -ANTONIO GARRIGUES, FOR EXAMPLE, MAY INTERPRET THE KING'S CONTROVERSIAL PARDON LIBERALLY ENOUGH TO FREE MANY OF THE REf1AINiNG POLITICAL PRISONERS-AN EMOTIONAL ISSUE FOR THE LEFTY LIEUTENANT GENERAL SANTIAGO DIAZ DE MENDIVIL WAS NAMED DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER AND COORDINATOR G'F DEFENSE AFFAIRS. HE IS ONE' OF THE LESS CONSERVATIVE MEMBERS OF THE MILITARY HIGH COMMANDS' THE NEW MINISTER OF THE GOVERNMENT'S LABOR ORGANIZATION, IRODOLFO MARTIN VILLA, AND THE NEW MINISTER OF THE PRIME MINISTER'S DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: RILIASINO OffoICIm COOAOINATINO OFFICIHS AUTHINTCATINO OFRICNX CIJASS'UICAT/ON REPRODUCIICN BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED 22 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21: CIA-RDP86T00608R0003000100~i-7BY; vv r ~~zr r r r u I T I %-.;I 7 Pt 167 ]= o r 9 NAL CCNTtr C O N a ---J 54prov~ rdr ease 8001/08/21 : CIA-f2 6 ~300AsTDD93 =. ~_ __ OMF 0 0 0 0 ^ n n SECRET NOFORN MESSAO^ MANOU40 440-CATOR OATE?TIME GROUP Cr1^ MEDSAO^ REMERENCU NUMOUR INDEX NO INOEK RETURN TO OFFICE, ALFONSO OSSORIO, ARE ALSO MEN WHO FAVOR GRADUAL DEMOCRATIZATION. INDEED, THE ENTIRE CABINET LIST PROVIDES SCANT COMFORT TO DIE-HARDS ON THE RIGHT. LEFTISTS ARE UNLIKELY TO GREET THE NEW GOVERNf1ENT WITH ANY PUBLIC ENTHUSIASM- ,-BUT THEY MAY BE PRIVATELY ENCOURAGED BY A CABINET THAT IS AS LIBERAL AS THEY COULD HAVE REALISTICALLY HOPED FOR.Y THE CABINET WILL HAVE TO MOVE QUICKLY TO DEAL WITH DEMONSTRATIONS AND STRIKES ORGANIZED BY THE LEFT. THOUSANDS OF INDUSTRIAL WOt'%:cRS?STRUCK ON THURSDAY AS LABOR ACTION SPREAD FROM MADRID TO OTHER INDUSTRIAL AREAS, INCLUDING BARCELONA, THE NORTHERN BASQUE COUNTRY, AND THE ASTURIAS COAL MINES. THE TWO PRINCIPAL THEMES OF THE STRIKERS HAVE BEEN POLITICAL AMNESTY AND THE WAGE FREEZE. THE STRIKES SO FAR HAVE FAILED TO r'.RALYZE THE CONSTRUCTION AND METAL WORKERS' INDUSTRIES-BODING ILL FOR THE COMMUNISTS' PLANS TO ORGANIZE A NATIONWIDE GENERAL STRIKE EARLY NEXT MONTH. {CONFIDENTIAL}P 2. PORTUGAL: FOREIGN MIf1!ISTER MELO ANTUNES, A KEY MEMBER OF PORTUGAL'S REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL, HAS ANi"JOUNCED THAT THE MILITARY Is DATE: ORIG: UINIT: F.XT: CLASS:.ICAT:ON REPROD IO Y OTHE i ~I Approve orNF eleaseR2~d /d6f2f . RYA- 3M&8686Wb80306011J093-7MPDET CL BY: ~~ i s -* V - ? ? i ]r L i" JrL' Ly o U T 1 NONALCANTER USK ONLY O Approved5or Re ase 20Q1/08/Zl : CIA-D PIUI OP PAOI9 OMF 0 0 0 0 U 0 17 4 C LAD IUTCA TION SECRET NOFORN JIUUAOI NAN0UNO INDICATOR NO INDIA RITURN TO PER 0 IP PILI I 1/. PREPARED TO ALLOW CIVILIANS A GREATER ROLE IN RUNNING THE ~:OUNTRY, BUT HE RULED OUT AN EARLY RETURN TO CIVILIAN RULE.Y SPEAKING AT A PRESS CONFERENCE ON TUESDAY, ANTUNES CONCEDED THAT THE ARMED FORCES MOVEMENT-WHICH HAS DOMINATED PORTUGAL FOR THE PAST 0 MONTHS- MAY HAVE TO SURRENDER ITS ROLE AS THE VANGUARD OF THE REVOLUTION. FIE CONFIRMED THAT A REVISION OF THE PACT SIGNED WITH THE POLITICAL PARTIES LAST SPRING IS UNDER WAY, BUT HE STRESSED THAT A PRECT?ITATE WITHDRAWAL BY THE iILITARY COULD ENDANGER ITS PROGRAM FOR LEADING THE CO!.NTRY TO SOCIALISM. ANTUNES, WHO HAS POLITICAL AMBITIONS OF HIS OWN, WAS RESPONDING TO RECENT DEMANDS BY MILITARY AND CIVILIAN LEADERS THAT THE ARMED FORCES MOVEMENT RELINQUISH POWER AND "RETURN TO THE BARRACKS."Y AMONG THE OFFICERS PUSHING FOR THE MILITARY TO WITHDRAW FROM POLITICS ARE A NIJMOER OF RESPECTED PROFESSIONAL SOLDIERS WHO BELIEVE THE PEOPLE SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO DECIDE WHETHER THEY WANT SOCIALISM. ALTHOUGH THEIR NUMBER AND INFLUENCE ARE NOT KNOWN1 SEVERAL OF THE OFFICERS ARE BELIEVED TO HAVE PLAYED A KEY ROLE IN Pll rTING DOWN THE LEF'i IST MILITARY REBELLIOC`` OF NOVEMBER 25-26. DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: PILE" NO OPPIC^R COOROINATINO OPPICIRS AUTNINTICATINO OPPICIR CLAS3TiICATION REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED Approved For Release 2001/08/21 CIA-RDP86T00608R000300c -7 IMPDET SIONAL CINTRA U3I 01-Le O1 ?1 A Approved 'For Release 2001/08/21 : CIATR[)P86T006 OMF 0 0 ^ 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORPJ M9 SAA 13^ MA 40-1?.O 14,^-CA*.nR a INOYI( DISSEM BY: ^ NO WORM 0 nsrunNTO PER ^ IM Fllss = THERE IS EVIDENCE THAT THE STRENGT;! OF THE GROUP IS GROWING AND THAT IT MAY EXERT INCREASING PRESSURE UPON THE ANTUNES FACTION TO CHANGE BOTH ITS GRADUALIST APPROACH TO RETURNING POWER AND ITS ATTACHMENT TO SOCIALISM AS AN UNALTF:RABLE GOAL. CCONFIDENTIAL}Y 3. EASTERN EUROPE: GENERAL SECRETARY BREZHNEV, FIVE OF HIS EAST EUROPEAN COUNTERPARTS, AND MONGOLIAN PARTY LEADER TSEDENBAL--ALL OF WHOM WERE ATTENDING THY POLISH CON- GRESS--HELD A SHORT "SUMMIT" MEETING IN WARSAW ON DECEMBER 9. ROMANIA, WHICH SENT A SECOND-LEVEL DELE- GATION TO THE CONGRESS, WAS NOT REPRESENTED.Y A SHORT COMMUNIQUE RELEASED BY TASS SAID ONLY THAT THE PARTICIPANTS GAVE SPECIAL ATTENTION TO WAYS TO IMPLEMENT THE EUROPEAN SECURITY ACCORD AND THAT DISARMAMENT MEASURES MUST ACCOMPANY POLITICAL RELAXA- TION. DISCUSSION MAY HAVE FOCUSED ON BREZHNEV'S PRO- POSAL, PUBLICLY AIRED THE SAME DAY, FOR PAN-EUROPEAN MEETINGS TO BE FIELD ON SUCH PROBLEi1S AS THE ENVIRON- ?;MENT AND ENERGY.Y DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: CussIFlCATION REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED IPTIPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R0003001 C'1L06-7 v U GUT'J PITE55A t OMF 0 a 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORN 8 T00608R0 03 OOQ 10093-7 r PAGE OF PAOIn 6 THE LEADERS ALSO "EXCHANGED OPINIONS" ON THE PROBLEMS OF FURTHER COOPERATION BETWEEN THEIR COUN- TRIES--LANGUAGE= THAT SUGGESTS A VARIETY OF PROPOSALS AND VIEWPOINTS IJERE AIRED-Y MOSCOW MAY HAVE WANTED TO. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF CEAUSESCU'S ABSENCE BY DISCUSSING INFORMALLY WITH ITS LOYALIST ALLIES SUCH SENSITIVE ISSUES AS PREPARATIONS FOR THE EUROPEAN COMMUNIST PARTY CONFERENCE, POLEMICS, WITH CHINA, AND CEI1A INTEGRATION- ROMANIA HOLDS DIS- SENTING POSITIONS ON ALL THESE ISSUES. CONVENING THE MEETING WITHOUT CEAUSESCU UNDERSCORES ROMANIAN ISOLA- TION AND MAY PROVOKE UNEASINESS IN BUCHAREST.Y IT I UNCLEAR WHETHER THIS MEETING RULES OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A CEMA SUMMIT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. ..ECONOMIC SUMMIT HAD BEEN EXPECTED BEFORE YEAR'S END, 7 BUT RECENT REPORTING SUGGEST., THAT IT HAS SEEN PUSHED BACK UNTIL NEXT YEAR. {CONFIDENTIALLY DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: -t} 4. CZECHOSLOVAK-YUGOSLAVIA: ECONOMIC RELATIONS WERE R ELEAEINO OFFICER COOUOINAT`NO OPP!CIRS AUTHENTICATING OPPICIR CLASSIFICATION ApprW@OIFIWRYI@A?g TT'li'br$l2f:I!3fAW19M6T0?6 GNOOOIO 3-7 INIPDET SIGNAL CBNTEN USE ONLY O Aproved Fear Release 2069/08/24-1 CIA-RDP~6 OO6O8RUOO IIOUi 937 . OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 CLA901/IC.r.oy SECRET NOFORN Mgy9AO^ MAN.L' 44 IYOICATON CONF: INFO: FILE THE FOCAL POINT OF CZECHOSLOVAK PREMIER STROUGAL'S MOREOVER, THE BASIC TENETS OF CZECHO- THREE-DAY VISIT TO YUGOSLAVIA, WHICH ENDED ON WEDNESDAY.Y A FIVE-YEAR {1976-3O} TRADE AGREEMENT AND A TRADE PROTOCOL FOR 1'176 WERE SIGNED. THE LONG-TERM AGREEMENT CALLS FOR A DOUBLING OF THE PRESENT TRADE LEVEL TO *4.3 BILLION. METALLURGICAL. AND AGRICULTURAL COOPERA- TION, THE TRANSPORT OF SO')IET NATURAL GAS FOR YUGOSLA- VIA ACROSS CZECHOSLOVAK TERRITORY, THE PAN ADRIA PIPE- LINE, AND ECONOMIC COOPERATION BEYOND 1980 APPARENTLY WERE ALSO DISCUSSED.Y IN THE POLITICAL REALM, WHERE THERE ARE FAR FEWER POSSIBILITIES FOR AGREEMENT, THE TWO SIDES EXCHANGED VIEWS". ON "TOPICAL QUESTIONS IN INTERNATIONAL RELA- TIONS." CZECHOSLOVAKIA AND YUGOSLAVIA ARE ON OPPOSITE =SIDES IN THE DEADLOCKED PREPARATIONS FOR A EUROPEAN COMMUNIST PARTY CONFERENCE, AND PRAGUE IS VIEWED BY :=BELGRADE AS A MAJOR SUPPORT CENTER rvR THE YUGOSLAV COMINFORMISTS. DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: INOlM NO INDEX R[TURN ro DISSEM BY: COOR:INA'INO OR/ICERS AUTHENTICATING OPFIC[R REPRODUCTION Y B OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED li%APDE l Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : ipphi: U T n SIG`IAL CENTS n U58 ONLY O Aal Approved For Release 20Ol/08/Z$c CIA-RDP ? O M F 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORN 0 INDEX DISSEM BY: 0 NO INDEX 0 NITURN TO PER 0 lP ?ILI! r7w SLOVAK FOREIGN POLICY--PROLETARIAN INTERNATIONALISM AND A COORDINATED BLOC APPROACH--ARE ANATHEMA TO BEL- GRADE?Y THE YUGOSLAVS MAY HAVE COM^!AI?NED TO STROUGAL ABOUT CZECHOSLOVAK PRESS TREATMLNT OF THEIR COUNTRY. PRAGUE'S REPEATED EMPHASIS ON THE ROLE OF THE SOVIET UNION IN THE LIBERATION OF YUGOSLAVIA HAS PERSIST- ENTLY RANKLED BELCRADE?Y STROUGAL PROEIABLY PUSHED FOR A TITO VISIT TO PRAGUE. ALTHOUGH PARTY CHIEF HUSAK VISITED BELGRADE IN 1973 AND YUGOSLAV OFFICIALS HAVE STATED THAT THE ILL WILL OF THE POST-INVASION PERIOD HAS DISSIPATED, THE CZECHOSLOVAKS HAVE SOUGHT A TITO VISIT AS THE DECISIVE SIGN THAT RELATIONS HAVE NORMALIZED. STROUGAL, WHO WAS RECEIVED BY THE MARSHAL, SAID IN SAN INTERVIEW AT THE END OF THE VISIT THAT TITO HAD PROMISED 'ro VISIT PRAGUE ''IN THE NEAR FUTURE." THE YUGOSLAV VERSION OF THE INTERVIEW OMITTED THIS POINT. {CONFIDENTIAL}y DATP- ORIG: UNIT: EXT: CussinCAT1ON REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R00030001(~A03.y; rI N A'p jr"ove"fA r"PW&P',ase 2Q91/08/aLj : CIA-J O 0 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORN MP39AGA -AN :'L N, %D'CA rOA INOLM DISSEM BY: NO INOIX PITUAN TO PER 5. YUGOSLAVIA: THE ANNUAL ROUND OF GRUMBLING ABOUT BELGRADE'S FEDERAL BUDGET PROPOSALS SEEMS LOUDER THAN USUAL THIS YEAR AND EVEN PN'EVLQUSLY PRIVILEGED SECTOR---LIKE THE MILITARY--APPEAR TO BE FEELING THE PINCH.Y BELGRADE'S ECONOMIC PLANS FOR 19.76 FORECAST A 39.3 PERCENT INCREASE IN FEDERAL SPENDING--WELL BE- HIND THE CURRENT ANNUAL INFLATION RATE OF ABOUT 25 PERCENT. ALL THE NUMBERS ARE NOT YET KNOWN, BUT THE FACT THAT THE MAJOR INTEREST GROUPS ARE COMPLAINING SUGGESTS THAT THE SLOWER RATE OF INCREASED SPENDING IS BEING APPLIED EQUITABLY.Y THE WELL--DEVELOPED NORTHERN REPUBLICS, CROATIA AND SLOVENIA, CUSTOMARILY GROUSE ABOUT BEING OVER- TAXED FOR THE BENEFIT OF THE LESS-DEVELOPED SOUTHERN AREAS. AGAIN THIS YEA', THESE TIJO "HAVE" REPUBLICS ARE SHARPLY CRITICAL OF THE FEDERAL REGIME'S DICTA- =TION OF ECONOMIC POLICY TO THE REPUBLICS, PARTICULARLY IN SETTING INVESTMENT LIMITS FOR THE LOCAL ECONOMIES . Y DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: all-9.314% OPP'C[R C.OPD'NATING OPPICIAtS , E pR }~gL p AUTMIYf12CATINO OfJICf.R cwel.ISAr:c% A REPRO?UCTLQ,)BY01171hlgAylIC'I H'K t3 ~~EiU~KUUT~:f~~~ ~` 37 !MPDET J pprove or a ease - - CL BY: UTGOTN i S ? Ararr-aved,9QrP,Qlease 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDaT00608R00 80 j-0-0 10.093-7 OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 U iNOex DISSEM BY: 0 NO iNOux 0 TUN TO PER THE LESS-DEVELOPED REGIONS NORMALLY RECEIVE SUP- PLEMENTAL FEDERAL FUNDS, IN THEORY TO HELP THEM CATCH UP WITH THE NORTI.I. THESE DEVELOPMENTAL FUNDS HAVE USUALLY ASSURED A MEASURE OF PROTECTION FOR THE POORER AREAS FROM BUDGET SQUEEZES. THIS YEAR, RO(zIEVER, THE PICTURE HAS CHANCED. A PARLIAMENTARY DELEGATE FROM KOSOVO--THE POOREST AREA OF YUGOSLAVIA--RECENTLY COM- PLAINED THAT THE PROVINCE FACES NEARLY 300 PERCENT HIGHrR PAYMENTS INTO THE FEDERAL BUDGET THIS YEAR. HE ALSO SAID KOSOVO'S TAKE FROM SPECIAL DEVELOPMENT FUNDS IN L976 WILL FALL SHORT OF THE AMOUNT FORECAST IN THE LONG-RANGE DEVELOPMENT PLAN-Y THE YUGOSLAV DCFENSE MINISTRY, WHICH OVER THE PAST FEW YEARS HAS HAD SIZABLE INCREASES IN INVEST- MENT FOR ITS MODERNIZATION PROGRAM, ALSO APPEARS TO BE TIGHTENING ITS BELT. A DEPUTY DEFENSE MINISTER TOLD THE PARLIAMENT LAST' FRIDAY THAT THE MINISTRY'S ALLOTED FUNDS FOR L976 WOULD "ENSURE THE PRESENT, DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: CLA63mKJ.r,oN Appr8fiWFf$f-RIdb)b@T2?81r,@?8 ZfPq iDA I 9UMUOUROO1IflO23-7 INIPDET CL BY: L ) UI G) I N -T Ap moved 1 or Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RD(> 0 0 0 0 0. 0 SECRET NOFORN MUZSAO( HAIIOLI?.O INOICATQI CONF: INFO: FILE U U L OO6O8ROOO OlQqL 11, NO INOMR RETURN TO PER BUT NOT THE DESIRED LEVEL OF EQUIPMENT AND MODERN- IZATION?^Y EVEN TAE TRADE UNIONS--WHICH IN RECENT YEARS HAVE MADE FEW I,IAVES--ARE WARNING ABOUT THE IMPACT ON EMPLOYMENT OF SLOWER INVESTMENT RATES BY THE GOVERN- MENT-Y PREMIER BIJEDIC'S HANDLING OF ECONOMIC POLICY, WHICH HAS BEEN CRITICIZED HEAVILY OVER THE PAST YEAR, MAY ONCE AGAIN COME TO THE FORE. IN POINT OF FACT, THE DECISION FOR A TOUGHER ANTI-INFLATIONARY BUDGET IN 1976 APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN THOROUGHLY DISCUSSED AT TOP PARTY LEVELS. THE REGIME'S ATTEMPT TO TRIM YUGO- SLAV EXPECTATIONS MAY REQUIRE SCAPEGOATS, HOWEVER, PARTICULARLY WHILE THE POSSIBILITY OF DEMAGOGIC AP- -PEAL BY PRO-SOVIET FACTIONS IS OF SERIOUS CONCERN IN BELGRADE. {CONFIDENTIAL}y 6. YUGOSLAVIA: THE COMMUNIQUE ON Tt,. rOUR-DAY IT OF FOREIGN MINISTER MINIC TO THE SOVIET UNION SUGGESTS THAT BOTH DATE: ORIG: L'NIT: EXT: 0 IF FILMS f:' C.LA73-FICA,TIOti ApprdWdq%KR@IFagLQ1Td8f2 PCI DP86TOOS08 03A001#098-7 IMPDET CL BY: N SIGNAL C11N76 . US.! ONLY O -Approved ForAReleaseu2001 /A8/21 : =A-RD1B6 OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORN INDEX DISSEM BY: No :oIx RcruRN ro PER SIDES ARE TRYING TO SQUELCH SPECULATION ABOUT A WIDEN- ING BREACH IN THEIR RELATIONS.Y MINIC'S OFFICIAL TALKS IN MOSCOW TOOK PLACE, THE COMMUNIQUE SAYS IN AN ATEMOPHERE OF "FRIENDSHIP, f1U- TUAL TRUST, AND FRANKNESS." ALTHOUGH THE COMMUNIQUE IS SPRY;,;KLED WITH PRAISE FOR IMPROVEMENTS IN BILATERAL RELATIONS AND PROMISES TO CONTINUE THE "CONSTRUCTIVE SPIRIT." IT FOCUSES PRIMARILY ON INCREASED ECONOMIC TIES AND AREAS OF GENERAL AGREEMENT. IN FOREIGN AFFAIRS.Y THE ISSUES OF SOVIET SUPPORT FOR STALINIST SUB- VERSIVES IN YUGOSLAVIA--THE CENTRAL PROBLEM BETWEEN THE E'WO COUNTRIES--AND THE DEADLOCK OVER THE EUROPEAN COMMUNIST CONFERENCE WERE NOT MENTIONED DIRECTLY.Y THE YUGOS'.AVS, HOWEVER, ARE CLEARLY IRRITATED BY NUSCOW'S STANCE; ON BOTH PROBLEMS AND ARE VENTING THEIR ANGER IN VARIOUS WAYS. ON WEDNESDAY, FOR EX- -AMPLE, RADIO ZAGREB'S CHIEF FOREIGN AFFAIRS COM- MENTATOR BROKE A LONG-STANDING TABOO BY CRITICIZING DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: R ELSASING OFFICER COORDINATING OFFICLRS AUTHENTICATING OFFICER cuss?cArlcm REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R0003000100a-7 By . 0030b0009-7 a j 00"-7 rp 12 OUTGOING MESSAGE ApprpyAq&preg 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP81 ~ OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11409X 0 MO INOo11 BREZHNEV BY NAME. HE SAID THAT BREZHNEV'S SPEECH TO THE POLISH PARTY CONGRESS WAS A REVERSION TO THE KREMLIN'S HABIT' OF SETTING IDEOLOGICAL STANDARDS FOR THE WORLD COMMUNIST 11OVEMENT AND DIC` ATING DO- MESTIC AND FOREIGN POLICY TO THE "SOCIALIST COM- MUNITY." THE COMMENTATOR ALSO ACCUSED THE SOVIETS OF VIOLATING UNDERSTANDINGS ON PREPARATIONS FOR THE EUROPEAN PARTY CONFERENCE?Y THE PARTY PRESIDIUM MET IN BELGRADE ON THURS- DAY AND, AMONG OTHL1 THINGS, GAVE ITS FULL, BLESS- ING TO THE REFUSAL OF THE YUGOSLAV DELEGATION TO ACCEPT SOVIET INITIATIVES AT LAST MONTHS PREPARA- TORY TALKS FOR THE EUROPEAN PARTY CONFERENCE. {CON- FIDENTIAL NOFORN}Y SDO DDODO DATE: DECEMBER 12, 1975 ORIG: UNIT: OCI/FLO EXT: 9106 O 1 ? ~ 7 T a - o "ASS.F'Gr'?Y Approve QT"'SS "0191?8/Z1: T0AuR 6i1006O8RQOO GO I00a3-j 1MPOET CL BY: 010725 t A011 Col AC. OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 SECRET NOFORN INOIx DISSEM BY: No INOfx XWTURN TO PER 1- CHINA: THE LEFT WING OF THE CHINESE COMMUNIST PARTY, WHICH HAS WATCHED THE EXCESSIVE POLICIES OF THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION BEING OVERTURNED IN THE PAST YEAR, HAS LAUNCHED A STRIDENT PROPAGANDA COUNTERATTACK- THIS ASSAULT FOCUSES MAINLY ON THE NEW EDUCATIONAL POLICIES ANNOUNCED THIS FALL BUT INCLUDES A BROADER DEFENSE OF THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION IN GENERAL AND OF THE "NEW THINGS,'' A CODEWORD FOR POLICIES ADOPTED DURING THAT TURBULENT PERIOD.Y //AN ARTICLE CARRIED IN THE PARTY'S TWO MAJOR PUBLICATIONS- ATTACKS POINT BY POINT THE SHIFTS IN EDUCATIONAL POLICY ANNOUNCED IN A SPEECH BY THE MINISTER OF EDUCATION AND REPORTEDLY ENDORSED BY CHAIRMAN MAO. IT DISMISSES AS RIDICULOUS THE CHARGE MADE BY THE EDUCATION MINISTER THAT THE UNIVERSITIES HAVE FAILED TO PROVIDE QUALITY EDUCATION. IT SPECIFICALLY CRITICIZES THE NOTION THAT THE -+UNIVERSITIE!; LUST EMPHASIZE BASIC TECHNICAL COURSES, A DIRECT REBUTTAL TO THE REPORTED STATEMENTS OF MAO AND THE EDUCATION MINISTER ON THE =NEED TO INCREASE THE STUDY OF BASIC SCIENTIFIC THEORY. IT ATTACKS.. THE POLICY OF SENDING STUDENTS DIRECTLY TO THE UNIVERSITIES WITHOUT DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: u T a ' ? ? AppaoM dNF wUReI ase 2001/08/21: CIA-RDO$A 00608R000 0 0100 3- ZLASSIPICATIOr Approval l:W% QDIOI7Q$~P~+1T'?l,~ril i 9f 1G 6ba ? 9010 327 Ih1PDET CL BY: O U T s 7 e 1 -? Apft ADD ~i+e`t'P'%~nyr-"Rel89se 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDFS AGE TOO TPI 0*0 OCI PAG^ OP PAGES OMF G 0 0 0 f7 0 0 3 SECRET NOFORN 0 NO^x DISSEM B.: 0 NO INOEx 0 RETURN TO PER 0 IP Plus # THEIR HAVING SPENT A FEW YEARS IN THE RURAL AREAS FIRST.//Y //THE ARTICLE ALSO REITERATES THE FAVORITE LEFTIST POSITION THAT POLITICAL TRAININ; IS THE MOST IMPORTANT FUNCTION OF THE UNIVERSITIES, DESPITE THE REPORTED STATEMENT BY_ MAO THAT UNIVERSITY STUDENTS NEED NOT STUDY POLITICS IN COLLEGE BUT CAN DO SO AT THEIR PLACES OF EMPLOYFIENT./!Y //THE ARTICLE HAS PROMPTED ONE COMMI.'NIST OFFICIAL TO EXPRESS HIS CONCERN OVER A POSSIBLE RESURGENCE OF ULTRA-LEFTIST ACTIVITY. AFTER A STEADY EROSION OF LEFTIST POLITICAL INFLUENCE-, PARTICULARLY IN THE CULTURAL ARENA, THE RECENT CHANGES IN EDUCATIONAL POLICY FORCED THE LEFTISTS WITH THE CHOICE OF STRIKING BACK OR 33ABANDONING THEIR LAST REMAINING AREA OF INFLUENCE TO THE MODERATE COALITICN HEADED BY VICE PREMIER TENG HSIAO-PING.//Y THE EDUCATIONAL DEBATE HAS APPARENTLY CAUSED SOME DISRUPTION IN TWO OF CHINA'S MOST PRESTIGIOUS UNIVERSITIES, THOSE IN PEKING AND TSINGHUA, WHERE STUDENTS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE ISSUE HAVE -PUT UP WALL POSTERS. SOME POSTERS COMPLAIN THAT EDUCATIONAL POLICIES ARE DEPRIVING STUDENTS OF A GOOD EDUCATION, WHILE OTHERS DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: Cu;SIPuCATION ApproffiaRP8PffAYa%ye?5(t$/ft)21TYrd -tt t 1 O t'U$6b010O9-7 IMPDET CL BY: . GApp ro 1~6$6 o N C,t,e~ea S SkP, 2001Q8/21 :..IA-RDP D.I A 8 OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 a INDIX DISSEM BY: I] NO INOlx 0 RITURN TO PER 0 IP F;LI5 .ATTACK WHAT THEY SEE AS A RETURN TO THE "ELITIST".POLICIES IN VOGUE BEFORE THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION. THE LATTER POSTERS INCLUDE SPECIFIC ATTACKS ON THE MINISTER OF EDUCATION, WHOA THEY BLAME FOR REINSTITUTING HIGHER EDUCATIONAL STAND3ARDS.Y LEFTIST ASSAULTS ON THE NEW EDUCATIONAL POLICY WILL PROBABLY STAVr OFF, TEMPORARILY AT LEAST, ANY MAJOR CHANGES IN THE EDUCA- TION SYSTEM. EFFORTS TO REGAIN SOME LOST GROUND AND TO EXPAND THIS ATTACK INTO A DEFENSE OF THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION ARE LIKELY TO MEET WITH LESS SUCCESS. THE BROADER ATTACK IS CONTAINED IN AN ARTICLE BY LIANG HSIAO, A PSEUDONYM FOR AN UNIDENTIFIED BUT INFLUENTIAL PERSON OR GROUP IN THE PART LEADERSHIP. THIS ARTICLE ATTACKS THOSE WHO HAVE "NEGATED" THE POLICIES OF THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION BY ENDLESS CRITICISM. THE ONLY SPECIFIC POLICY MENTIONED IS THAT OF EDUCATION, BUT THE DEFENSE OF THE "NEW THINGS" THAT EMERGED DURING THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION IS CLEARLY ^MEANT TO INCLUDE A WIDE RANGE OF POLICY ISSUES.Y THIS BROAD ATTACK IS A RESPONSE NOT ONLY TO THE CHANGES MADE RECENTLY IN CULTURAL REVOLUTION POLICIES AND TO MAO'S APPARENT DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: PILIASINO OFFICER COOPO.NATINO O?FIC[R3 AUTN[NTICATING OFPICItmt cusalPluTlor REPFor ease a T,t1rf3~41Q~ Tdn~5S11t.y~Q 1GE L5 2RD1i18I~EQ100 3-f IMP'DET a Approve d or ease U ~U ~L C:1 I CUF'tfb UUbUtfFtUUU.f UU CL BY: 5 10 N AL CMNTrn I., I A O'J.V ? BAppromedr ForrReleas6 2001/(9821 : CU;IA -RDP86T00608R000300010093-5 OF' NO INOIN IIITURN TO PER 0 I. PILO% ABANDONMENT OF THE LEFT, BUT ALSO UNDOUBTEDLY TO THE GROWING POWER AND PRESTIGE OF TENG HSIAO-PING. TENG IS A PARTICULAR IRRITANT TO THE PARTY'S LEFT WING BECAUSE, AS A VICTIM OF THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION, HE PERSONIFIES ALL OF THE 9"EVILS"..THAT THE LEFTISTS WANTED TO ERADICATE DURING THAT PERIOD.' IT UIS PRECISELY TENG'S POWER, GREATER NOW THAN BEFORE THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION, THAT IS LIKELY TO CONFINE LEFTIS'T'S' ATTACKS TO PROPAGANDA BROADSIDES, WHILE LIMITING THEIR ACTUAL INFLUENCE OVER POLICY. NEVERTHELESS, THESE RECENT ARTICLES CLEARLY Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010093-7. DEMONSTRATE THAT THE LEFT RETAINS ACCESS TO THE MEDIA AND IS