LETTER TO HARRY R. MARSHALL JR. FROM HANS HEYMANN JR.

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87R00111R000200140009-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 19
• Document Creation Date: January 4, 2017
• Document Release Date: March 31, 2008
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: October 4, 1982
• Content Type: LETTER

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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
;4 0011982
Mr. Harry R. Marshall, Jr.
Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary
of State for Oceans and International
Environmental and Scientific Affairs
Department of State
Washington, D.C. 20520
Dear ;1. Marshall:
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNED
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
SECRET
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Jlil.JV: I
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Mr. James Devine
Deputy Assistant Secretary of State
for Nuclear Energy and Energy
Technology Affairs
Department of State
Washington, D.C. 20520
4 O OT 1992
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNED '':
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Rear Admiral Jonathan T. Howe
Director
Bureau of Politico-Military Affairs
Department of State
Washington, D.C. 20520
Dear Admiral Howe:
4 OCT 1982
As part. of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was.
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
SFC'RFT
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20505
National Intelligence Council
P?rr. Paul D. WVolfowitz
Director
Policy Planning Staff
Department of State
Washington, D.C. 20520
4 OCT 1982
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistanwill pro-
ceed with the development.of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
25X1
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
4 OCT 1982
Commander Frederick Demech
Acting Executive Director
President's Foreign Intelligence
Advisory Board
The White House
Washington, D.C. 20500
Dear Commander Demech :
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SISEEa
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
25X1
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Mr. Edward M. Malloy
Director of Nuclear Policy and Operations
Bureau of Politico-Military Affairs
Department of State
Washington, D.C. 20520
4 OCT 1982
Dear Mr. Malloy:
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
S?6NEQ
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
25X1
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Mr. Leslie H. Brown
Deputy Director
Policy Planning Staff
Department of State
Washington, D.C. 20520
4 OCT 1982
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in. the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
S16NW
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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 THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
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Mr. William C. Salmon
Special Assistant to the Under Secretary
of State for Security Assistance,
Science and Technology
Department of State
Washington, D.C. 20520
4 OCT 1982
As part of the Intelligence Comrnnity's.ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNED
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
25X1
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25X1
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( 1
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Ms. Sheila Buckley
Director of Multi Lateral Negotiations
Office of the Under Secretary of Defense
for Policy
Department of Defense
Washington, D.C. 20301
. ' 4 O CT 1982
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program. was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNM
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Maj. Gen. David W. Einsel, USA
Deputy Assistant to the Secretary of Defense
for Atomic Energy (Military Application)
Department of Defense
Washington, D.C. 20520
4 -OCT 1982
Dear General Einsel:
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, anupdated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
'SICHEB F
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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U
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Mr. Michael Guhin
Staff Member
.National Security Council
Washington, D.C. 20506
. 4 OCT 1982
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNED
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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 THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20505
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National Intelligence Council
Mr. Geoffrey Kemp
Staff Member
National Security Council
Washington, D.C. 20506
Dear Jeff:
4 OQT 1982
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNED
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Mr. Henry Nau
Staff Member
National Security. Council
Washington, D.C. 20506
4 OCT 1982
Dear Henry:
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNED
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
,25X1
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Rear Admiral John M. Poindexter
Military Assistant to the Assistant to
the President for National Security
Affairs
The White House
Washington, D.C. 20500
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments. in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan'.s nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNED
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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25X1
 QPCPPT
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
4 OCT 1982
Mr. Hugh Montgomery
Director
Bureau of Intelligence and
Research
Department of State
Washington, D:C. 20520
Dear Hugh:
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear-developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
25X1
Sincerely,
SINNED
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
General Richard G. Stilwell
Deputy Under Secretary of Defense
for Policy
Department of Defense
Washington, D.C. 20301
4 OCT 1982
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SINE
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Dom. Thomas M. O'Connor
Acting Director for Security
Plans and Programs
Department of Defense
Washington, D.C. 20301
4 OCT 1982
Dear Mr. O'Connor:
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
.relationship.
25X1
25X1
Sincerely,
116NED
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
25X1
25X1
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(J ( `
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
Lt. Gen. Philip C. Gast, USAF
Director for Operations
Joint Chiefs of Staff, J?-3
Department of Defense
Washington, J.C. 20301
4 OCT 1982
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIuHJ
Hans Heymann, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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National Intelligence Council
Dr. Andrew W. Marshall
Director of Net Assessment
Office of the Secretary of Defense
Department of Defense
Washington, D.C. 20301
4 OCT 1982
Dear Andy:
As part of the Intelligence Community's ongoing monitoring
of nuclear developments in the South Asian subcontinent, an
updated assessment (enclosed) of Pakistan's nuclear program was
recently completed. Among its key findings: Pakistan will pro-
ceed with the development of a nuclear weapon, but President Zia
will most likely hold off testing of a nuclear device, because
it would precipitate termination of the US security assistance
relationship.
Sincerely,
SIGNED
Hans Heymann, Jr..
National Intelligence Officer at Large
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