APPROVAL TO DISTRIBUTE DRAFT IIM 84-10005: THE AEGEAN: A NEW LOOK AT AN OLD PROBLEM TO NFIB REPRESENTATIVES

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86M00886R002400040020-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
December 21, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 8, 2009
Sequence Number: 
20
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 23, 1984
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86M00886R002400040020-3.pdf67.45 KB
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> CFr.RFT The Director of Central Intelligence Wpm, D.C. 20505 NIC No. 02759-84/2 23 July 1984 A". Nzc oa-iscl/i -~~( Si W _3sfaL MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence Deputy Director of Central Intelligence FROM: Herbert E. Meyer Vice Chairman, National Intelligence CouQcil SUBJECT: Approval to Distribute Draft IIM 84-10005: The Aegean: A New Look at an Old Problem to NFIB epreA se Ives 1.- Attached for your review is the subject draft which was prepared by the NIC/AG. We considered the May 18 comments made by the Senior Review Panel and adopted their suggestion that this paper be delayed "until the Cyprus NIE is completed so that its judgments can be factored into Aegean scenarios." Also, we have chosen to describe possible scenarios involving military conflict in detail in the Cyprus NIE. Other adjustments in the Key Judgments and the text of the Aegean IIM recommended by the SRP are also to be found in this draft. a one-page tabular summary of issues separating the Greeks and Turks is provided in the Key Judgments. -- a description of the several maps to be included in the final draft will be distributed to NFIB representatives. -- the Key Judgments have been expanded to include a description of the Soviet role, the importance of domestic factors, and possible negotiating frameworks. CL BY SIGNER DECL OADR DERV MULTIPLE errorTl Approved For Release 2009/04/13 : CIA-RDP86M00886R002400040020-3 P 2.- We hope to coordinate and publish this JIM in August as a companion piece to the Cyprus NIE. Attachment Draft IIM 84-10005 William ~. Casey It t AIL X94 1 - C/NIC 1 - VC/NIC 1 - NIC/PO 1 - NIC/AG 1 - NIO/WE chrono 1 - NIO/WE development 1-D A/NIO/WE (23JULTUq) 1 - DCI 1 - DDCI 1 - ER Approved For Release 2009/04/13 : CIA-RDP86M00886R002400040020-3 L.XECUTIVE SECRETARIAT ROUTING SLIP ! ACTION INFO DATE INITIAL I DCI x 2 DOCI +-- X _ 3 EXDIR 4 D/ICS S, DDI ~- 6 DDA ..7 DDO I 8 DDS&T 9 Chm/NIC )0. GC ?1 12 _ 1G Compt 13 D/Pers 14 IS ,D/OIL D/PAO i 16 17 F54/IA ;-O/ DCI 113 C/\PD/OIS sr~~ x 12'_ 22 l V(;/I?c i x 2yita . o.r 25X1 25X1