REQUEST FOR AN ESTIMATE ON THE POLITICS OF SUCCESSION IN TAIWAN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86M00886R001100250003-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 7, 2008
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: May 21, 1984
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2008/11/07: CIA-RDP86M00886R001100250003-3
SECRET
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C. 20505
National Intelligence Council
NIC 002919-84
2 1 MAY 1984
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
VIA: Herbert E. Meyer
Vice Chairman, National Intelligence Council
FROM: David D. Gries
National Intelligence Officer for East Asia
SUBJECT: Request for an Estimate on the Politics of Succession
in Taiwan
1. As CCK's health deteriorates, potential successors actively
posture for position in the line-up. The passing of CCK highlights the
waning influence of the old-time mainland KDTT leaders. The emerging
leadership is from another generation whose attitudes and relationships
with the US developed differently. In this Estimate we will discuss the
players and assess the most likely outcome in the political leadership
sweepstakes.
present the NIE to NFIB during the third quarter. .--r.,..
David b. Gries
John N. McMahon 31 MAY 1984
Director of-Central Intelligence Date
DISAPPROVED:
Director of Central Intelligence Date
SECRET
Approved For Release 2008/11/07: CIA-RDP86M00886R001100250003-3
 Approved For Release 2008/11/07: CIA-RDP86M00886RO01100250003-3
Approved For Release 2008/11/07: CIA-RDP86M00886RO01100250003-3