THE SOUTH ASIAN MILITARY HANDBOOK

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001100030003-0
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RIPPUB
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S
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89
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November 9, 2016
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February 18, 1999
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3
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Publication Date: 
August 1, 1973
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CH
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Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 No Foreign Dissem The South Asian Military Handbook WOUN UL August 1973 COPY N2 250 Approved For Release 1999109/25 '`CIA-RDP85T00875R001'!100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 No Dissent Abroad/Background Use Only Controlled Dissem This publication was prepared jointly by the Central Intel- ligence Agency, Defense Intelligence Agency, and the Bureau of Intelligence and Research of the Department of State. It is anticipated that the Handbook will be updated, when necessary, by issuing only relevant sections rather than re-issuing the entire publicFtion. For this reason, the Handbook has been punched for insertion in a three-ring binder. 25X1A9a Comments or queries regarding the contents of this publication are welcome. They may be directed to r, Chief/South Asia Branch, OCI/CIA, Code 143, Extension 6062. ---Appproved-For-Release : AA-RDP8-5iOIIa7-5.k I-1-Q0A_3D0-03-D__. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET SOUTH ASIAN MILITARY HANDBOOK August 1973 No. 2294/73 1. BACKGROUND A. India vs. Pakistan: An Historical Summary . . . . . . . . 1 B. South Asia imd the Great Powers . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 II. RELATIVE MILITARY CAPABILITIES A. India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 B. Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 C. Bangladesh . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Tables: 1. Selected Armaments and Forces . . . . . . . 13 2. Forces on Indo-Pakistani Border . . . . . . . 17 3. India-Pakistan War Losses, 1971 . . . . . . . 18 4. Military Advisers in Foreign Countries . . . . 19 Maps: 1. India - Internal Administration 2. India - Army Order of Battle 3. India - Fighter/Bomber Order of Battle 4. India - Naval Order of Battle 5. Ground Forces on Indo-Pakistani Border 6. Jammu/Kashmir Area 7. Pakistan - Internal Administration 8. Pakistan - Army Order of Battle 9. Pakistan - Fighter/Bomber Order of Battle 10. Pakistan - Naval Order of Battle 11. Bangladesh - Internal Administration 12. Bangladesh - Order of Battle III. MILITARY EXPENDITURES A. India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B. Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C. Bangladesh . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Tables: 1. India: Net Defense Expenditures . . 2. India: Gross Defense Expenditures . . . . . . 3. India: Distribution of Defense Expenditures 4. India: Estimated Defense Foreign Exchange Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . . Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET 5. India: Military Expenditures and Total Central Government Budget . . . . . 8 6. India: Military Foreign Exchange Outlays and Export Earnings . . . . . . . . 9 7. Pakistan: Net Defense Expenditures . . . . . 10 8. Pakistani Military Expenditures and Total Central Government Budget . . . . . 11 9. Pakistani Military Foreign Exchange Outlays and Export Earnings . . . . . . . . 12 IV. DOMESTIC MILITARY PRODUCTION A. India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 B. Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 C. Bangladesh . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Tables: 1. India: Defense Production . . . . . . . . . 8 2. India: Aircraft Production . . . . . . . . . 9 V. FOREIGN SOURCES OF SUPPLY A. India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 B. Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Bangladesh . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Tables: 1. India: Foreign Military Imports . . . . . . . 10 2. Soviet Military Supply Agreements with India . 11 3. Pakistan: Foreign Military Imports . . . . . . 12 4. Chinese Military Supply Agreements with Pakistan . . . . . . . . . 13 5. French Military Supply Agreements with Pakistan . . . . . . . . . 14 ANNEXES A. South Asian Nuclear Weapons Capability . . . . . . . . A-1 B. Biographic Sketches of Military Leaders . . . . . . . . . B-1 C. Chronology of Major Events in South Asia 1947-1973 . . . C-1 GLOSSARY Performance Characteristics of Selected South Asian Military Equipment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . G-1 ii SECRET ?VJApproved_ ur Release?1-999W09t2.5 CIA--RDP85TOGS75RUO1'I-OO030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET 1. BACKGROUND 1947-1973 A. India vs. Pakistan: An Historical Summary Partition and Kashmir In August 1947, following years of agitation by the predominantly Hindu Congress Party, Great Britain gave up its Indian Empire. At the same time, as a result of Muslim agitation, Britain partitioned India, creating Pakistan from the two largest predominantly Muslim areas. The two wings of Pakistan had little in common other than religion and were separated by 1,000 miles of Indian territory. Even before partition became official, millions of Hindus had moved from Pakistan to India and millions of Muslims had migrated in the opposite direction. Violence on both sides encouraged the exodus. Nevertheless, some 10 percent of India's population remained Muslim, and several million Hindus stayed in Pakistan- almost all in East Pakistan. Large parts of the British Indian Empire had been ruled by theoretically sovereign native princes. The British left to them the decision as to whether their states would join Pakistan or India, or remain independent. In instances where the religion of the prince and his subjects was the same, accession did not become a problem in Indo-Pakistani relations. A few Muslim princes ruled predominantly Hindu populations in states not contiguous to Pakistan. Although several of these princes either acceded to Pakistan or decided to remain independent, all of their states were eventually incorporated into India. In Jammu and Kashmir, a Hindu Maharajah ruled a population that was mostly Muslim. When he delayed making a decision, some of his Muslim subjects rebelled, receiving assistance from some Pakistani tribesmen. At this point-on 27 October-the Maharajah opted for India in return for Indian military assistance. Indian troops arrived in the state the same day. The Indians and the Pakistanis fought in Kashmir for over a year, and in the end India held most of the state, including the strategically important Vale. Pakistan annexed part of northern Kashmir and gained control of a small part of western Kashmir, the theoretically independent state of Azad Kashmir. The UN Security Council called for a plebiscite to determine the future status of Kashmir, but the plebiscite was never held. A cease-fire 'ine was delineated in the summer of 1949, under UN auspices, and served as the de facto boundary until 1971. I-i SECRET :Approved, For-,R elease 1,~9991Q9125:CIA RDPS5T00875R?0;1100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET For over 15 years, despite continuing hostility, open fighting between India and Pakistan was limited to border incidents. In the spring of 1965, however, serious clashes broke out in a desolate area along the shore of the Arabian Sea known as the Rann of Kutch, where India and Pakistan had conflicting claims. Both sides eventually agreed to arbitration, and in 1968 a decision was announced that was generally regarded as favorable to Pakistan. In August 1965, Pakistan began sending "freedom fighters" into Indian- held Kashmir. India moved quickly to seal off the access routes, making incursions into Azad Kashmir in the process. In any case, no enthusiasm for rebellion developed among the Kashmiris. On 1 September, Pakistan launched an attack against extreme southern Kashmir in hopes of cutting India's communications with its forces farther north in the state. Five days later, India began a full-scale attack in the Lahore area of West Pakistan. The Pakistanis held the Indians outside of Lahore, and with little or no resistance captured extensive desert area in Rajasthan, but were unable to advance farther into Kashmir. By mutual agreement the-e was virtually no fighting along the border between India and East Pakistan. After three weeks of fighting in the West, both sides agreed to a UN-sponsored cease-fire. The Pakistanis were running critically short of military supplies, while the Indians believed that their gains would not be worth the considerable cost of protracting the war. Under Soviet sponsorship, the two countries reached an agreement in January 1966 at Tashkent that restored the border to that existing before the war. Bangladesh and Kashmir In Pakistan's general elections in December 1970, the Awami League, which advocated provincial autonomy, won enough seats in East Pakistan to ensure an absolute majority in the projected Pakistan National Assembly. The assembly was to write a new constitution, and the leaders of the league refused to compromise on principles many West Pakistanis felt would even- tually dissolve the union. In early March 1971, the Awami League in effect took over the administration of the province, and on 25 March, the army moved to restore central authority. The Bengalees then proclaimed their independence. The Indian Government felt threatened by events in East Pakistan. About 10 million Bengalees eventually fled to India, creating major eco- nomic problems and potentially serious political and social ones. SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25 :CIA-RD P85fi10087~5-ROO41-0x0-30003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Inside East Pakistan, extreme leftists became stronger, although they never became more than a long-term potential threat to the moderates in the freedom movement. India supported the Bengali guerrillas, hoping to force Islamabad to grant the Bengalees' political demands. By fall, the Indians were clearly willing to risk war, and by late November regular Indian forces, in brigade strength, were conducting raids into East Pakistan. On 3 December, Pakistan launched air strikes at air bases in western India, and full-scale war on two fronts began. In the East, on 4 December, India invaded East Pakistan. Pakistani forces surrendered after two weeks of fighting, and Bangladesh became independent. In the West, the main Pakis- tani attack into Kashmir stalled, but both sides seized some territory along the cease-fire line. In the strategic Lahore sector, there was relatively little fighting, but in the Sind, the Indians seized over 5,000 square miles of territory. The Indians proclaimed a unilateral cease-fire along the western border effective as of 17 December, and the Pakistanis concurred. In July 1972, at Simla, the two sides agreed to withdraw their troops from occupied territory, except in Kashmir, where a new "line of control" was established. The agreeme.,t was implemented in December. i - i SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 ti cr Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET B. South Asia and the Great Powers Relations between the Great Powers have important repercussions in South Asia. In the 1950s US-Soviet tensions played an important part in determining not only the relations of South Asian nations with the Great Powers, but relations among the South Asian nations themselves. The emer- gence of China in the 1960s and the detente in Sino-US and US-Soviet relations in the 1970s have also had a significant impact. The 1950s Washington's policy of containment during the 1950s put the US at odds with India and led to a military alliance with Pakistan: -India's policies, such as its ambiguous stand during the Korean conflict and its abstention on the UN vote to condemn the Soviet intervention in Hungary, led to serious strains between Washington and New Delhi; -US efforts to contain the USSR resulted in the inclusion of Pakistan in SEATO and CENTO, and in bilateral defense agree- ments with the US in 1954 and 1959. Moscow, after Stalin's death in 1953, placed a high priority on develop- ing close relations with India as a large new nation advocating socialism. In South Asia, while India bought arms from Western Europe, princi- pally Britain, a major US military supply program, including grant aid, enabled Pakistan to challenge Indian dominance. Nehru claimed the military assistance agreement prevented further progress on resolving the Kashmir dispute. China, not yet a Great Power, chose the Third World as its forum for international expression and also developed close ties with India. At the same time, India emphasized its own non-alignment and acted asa leader of the Third World. The 1960s Beginning in the late 1950s, the growing power of China began to change relationships in the sub-continent: SECRET Approved For Release 1999/0,9/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET r -China and India began to see each other as rivals for Ieadershil- in Asia and in the Third World; -Sino-Soviet rivalry encouraged close Indo-Soviet relations; -Pakistan began to see China as a potential ally against India and, as early as 1961, entered into negotiations with Peking for a border agreement, which was finally signed in 1963; -The US, desiring both to offset growing Soviet influence in New Delhi and to contain China, took some tentative steps toward improving relations with New Delhi. The war in the Himalayas in late 1962 brought most of these trends to a head. The US and UK rushed arms .to India to demonstrate their support for New Delhi. Pakistani faith in the US as a protector against India was badly shaken by these actions. The war also pointed up the mutual hostility of Pakistan and China toward India. The USSR, forced to choose between a Communist and a non-Communist country, opted for India. Soviet arms shipments began arriving the following year. The US continued to be the major arms supplier to Pakistan, but, when the US imposed an embargo during the 1965 Indo-Pakistani war, it was replaced by China. Decreasing strains in US-Soviet relations during the 1960s were both reflected and encouraged by the parallel policies of the two countries in South Asia: -Both sought to contain China; -Both worked for stability in the sub-continent; -In late 1965, US efforts with India and Pakistan undoubtedly contributed to the receptivity of each country to the eventual Soviet mediation at Tashkent; -Both sought to increase their influence in India and Pakistan. Following the 1965 war, the USSR improved its relations with Pakistan slightly, at minor cost to its relations with India. In the early 1 970s, there has been some swing back toward the relations existing in the 1950s. The Sino-US detente obviated Washington's interest in SECRET Approved: For.Release 199/02 CIA-.R? xt0Q87.5ROO'f t Oo30003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET India as a vehicle for containing China. The detente also eliminated a major complication in Pakistan's foreign policy, allowing Islamabad to maintain relations with one of its Great-Power allies without offending the other. US and Chinese policy toward the sub-continent began to coincide. For exam- ple, the policies of the two countries during the 1971 Indo-Pakistan war were roughly parallel. Finally, the detente and the continuing Sino-Soviet rivalry, together with Indo-Pakistani hostility, resulted in closer relations between New Delhi and Moscow-symbolized by the 1971 Indo-Soviet Friendship Treaty. The independence of Bangladesh injecte'i a new factor into the South Asian equation. Dacca's relations with the Great Powers tended to parallel India's. Bangladesh, however, stood in much greater need of economic aid from the US. Its relations with the U SR were limited to some extent by Soviet reluctance to undercut New Drahi's influerce in Dacca. China-with an eye toward Islamabad-refused to have any d.-slings with the new nation. The Future The beginnings of further shifts in the Great Power - South Asian relationship are already visible. China and India appear to be moving toward rapprochement, while Indo-US relations, badly hurt during the Bangladesh crisis in 1971, appear to be improving. The USSR is once again seeking better relations with Pakistan, and Pakistan for its part, now seems to want a more amicable relationship with Moscow. Regional Relations Relations between India and Pakistan have influenced and been in- fluenced by the policies of the smaller nations of the area. Iran has consistently supported Pakistan, providing limited quantities of military supplies and sanctuary for Pakistani civil aircraft during Pakistan's wars with India and using its diplomatic influence on Islamabad's behalf. The Iranian interest is in maintaining a stable and independent nation on its eastern border and in limiting Soviet, Chinese, and Indian influence both in South Asia and farther west. Iran has never, however, pressed its support of Pakistan to the point of actual involvemer,, 'n combat operations. Afghanistan has long-standing differences with Pakistan over the status of the two Pakistani frontier provinces-Baluchistan and the Northwest Frontier. India's cordial relations with Afghanistan are partly a function of SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R0011001030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET their respective problems with Pakistan. Afghanistan', military and economic vulnerability, a latent fear of Indian encroachment, and sympathy for fellow Muslims have all tended to limit Afghan-Indian cooperation. Sri Lanka and Nepal have pursued a policy of preserving their independ- ence and freedom of action by playing not only India against Pakistan, but the Great Powers against each other. India seeks, at a minimum, to have no other power dominant in these two countries, and-especially in Nepal-has made special efforts to increase Indian influence. SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET II. RELATIVE MILITARY CAPABILITIES II-1 SECRET paroved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 The 1971 war with Pakistan demonstrated India's pre-eminence as a military power in South Asia. Although Pakistan's military capability re- mained largely intact following the conflict, the country's leaders recognize that their armed forces are no match for India's. There is little difference between the two forces in terms of leadership, morale and logistic capability, but the Indian armed forces are much larger and better equipped, and would ultimately overwhelm their foe. India's military strength has, in fact, evolved to the point where it could probably defend itself successfully against a conventional attack by China or a combined Chinese-Pakistani attack. The key to India's strong position is the massive military expansion program, including the development of a domestic armaments industry, begun after the 1962 hostilities with China. India is continuing to purchase sophisticated military equipment from the Soviet Union as well as Eastern European and Free World countries, and is arranging for production of such items whenever feasible. Pakistan has increased its efforts to acquire weap- onry, primarily from France and the Peoples Republic of China, but has been unable to match India's military buildup. It is doubtful that military parity will ever be restored. The Bangladesh armed forces, in their present embryonic stage, have no offensive, and only a limited defensive, capability. A. India Ground: The Indian Army is capable of successful offensive and defensive operations within South Asia. It could also constitute an effective expedi- tionary force within the region, using its own resources, or elsewhere in combination with a major power. The Indian Army, in conjunction with the paramilitary forces, is capable of maintaining internal security and of meet- ing any civil emergency. The army has a personnel strength of about 1,092,000. There is no compulsory service. Enlistment is permitted between the ages of 17 and 24 for 10, 12, or 15 years of active service. Based on the availability of organized reserves, arms and equipment, training facilities and cadres, administrative machinery, and economic considerations, but without additional logistic support, maximum mobilization could be reached on M-plus-90 with 1,175,000 troops. The manpower would come from the Reserve Force (a pool of men who have completed active duty service), from the Territorial Army, and from the National Cadet Corps. Among the principal weaknesses of the army are logistics problems stemming from a diversity of equipment and a shortage of platoon and company officers. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Combat and support units are divided into five geographic (territorial) commands, with the majority of troops concentrated either on the western border with Pakistan or in northeastern India. Major tactical units include: 7 Corps Headquarters 15 Infantry Divisions 10 Mountain Divisions 1 Armored Division 8 (Independent) Infantry Brigades 2 (Independent) Parachute Brigades 7 (Independent) Artillery Brigades 7 Corps Artillery Brigades 5 (Independent) Armored Brigades 7 (Independent) Air Defense Brigades Twelve infantry divisions and several independent brigades are deployed against Pakistan, while six mountain divisions (in northeastern India) and one infantry division (in Ladakh) are stationed across the border from Chinese forces in Tibet and Sinkiang.* Arms and equipment are a mixture of imported and indigenously produced or assembled equipment. The USSR supplanted the UK and the US as the principal provider of military equipment after 1965. Foreign technical assistance is minimal; the quality of maintenance is good. A small number of personnel is sent abroad for staff or advanced technical training, but the Indian Army itself conducts a program covering all requirements from basic individual through advanced unit and high-level command and staff training. Many of the Indian Army schools accept students from less-developed countries.** On occasion, Indian training missions are sent out of the country. The Indian Army logistic system, despite problems stemming from a diversity of equipment, is capable of maintaining the forces. Vulnerable lines of communication, however, could jeopardize Indian forces in Kashmir and *Chinese forces along the borders with India include three infantry divisions, one independent- infantry regiment, one independent artillery regiment and seven border defense regiments. No combat aircraft are permanently stationed at airfields in Tibet. **Bangladesh, Bhutan, Ghana, Kenya, Iraq, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, and Zambia sen,' students. 11-2 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25-: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET northeastern India. The Banihal Road is the only major land communica- tions link in Kashmir, and its severance would seriously hamper any opera- tions in the area. An alternate, but less satisfactory, route is available. The reliance on one single-track railroad from West Bengal to Arunchal Pradesh opposite China has also been a significant logistic weakness, but this problem has recently been alleviated by the emergence of a friendly Bangladesh that would probably give transit rights to Indian forces. An extensive system of depots is maintained throughout India; stocks of ammunition, POL, and other stores are considered sufficient to support a maximum combat effort of at least 45 days. Air: The Indian Air Force is capable of providing air defense and engaging in strategic and tactical operations within South Asia, as well as assisting in civil emergencies. Its main strengths are: ? the availability of ample manpower; ? the high morale and individual capabilities of personnel; ? and the ongoing program to acquire modern aircraft from outside sources, while at the same time developing a local manufacture/assembly capability. The principal weakness is the diversity of aircraft (over 35 types). With such variety, there is considerable difficulty in resupply, in procurement of spare parts, and in training qualified pilots and maintenance personnel. Other weaknesses are lack of an effective strategic strike force, poor communica- tions in the air defense system, and the lack of an all-weather air-to-air missile. There are 104,000 men in the air force, of whom 2,300 are pilots. The aircraft inventory totals 1,415, including 354 supersonic and 261 subsonic fighters, 39 light bombers, 240 transports, 8 reconnaissance aircraft, 211 helicopters, and 302 other aircraft. The air force is organized into 95 units: 8 day fighter, 9 fighter/interceptor, 15 fighter-bomber, 3 light bomber, 1 strategic reconnaissance, 1 maritime reconnaissance, 13 transport, 14 heli- copter, 1 VIP, and 30 miscellaneous training and utility. Most of the major combat units are strategically located along the border areas. More than half of the flying units are based in the western portion of the country. Prior to any hostilities, a wide dispersal of forces and aircraft to numerous forward locations could be expected. I 'r Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET The air defense system has a good capability against a conventional medium-to-high altitude attack by either China or Pakistan. MIG-21 FL/Fishbeds are used in the interceptor or ground-support role, depending on priority. Effectiveness of the early warning/ground-controlled intercep- tion system is limited by the number of available radars and by the masking effect of the Himalayas. Siting is largely orieiited toward the north and northwest. Contiguous coverage is provided along the northern border and along the western border south to the Bombay area. Coverage does not exist along the eastern border, except for the Madras and Calcutta areas. The SA-2 SAM system, used in defense of significant military/industrial targets, in- cludes five main complexes consisting of 19 active sites (squadrons). The Fan Song F radar has been identified with the system, enhancing its electronic counter-countermeasure and low-altitude capability. Indian Army AAA weapons proved to be the most effective defense against low-level ground attacks and strikes on airfields during the 1971 war. The air force has a minor strategic bombing capability that would permit it to strike all targets in Pakistan. Fifteen fighter-bomber squadrons (SU-7/Fitter, HF-24 Marut, and F-56 Hawker Hunter day fighters) are available for tactical operations. Transport capability is built around 13 squadrons of medium and light transports, including aging C-47 and C-1 19G Packets, DHC-4 Caribous, AN-12 Cubs, and MI-4 Hound and MI-8 Hip helicopters. It is estimated that the air force is capable of transporting one of the army's parachute brigades on a single lift under optimum conditions. Inadequate logistic support would preclude sustained operations on this scale. Pilots are well-trained and effective in aerial resupply under visual conditions. The air force sends students to the USSR for training on the various pieces of Soviet-provided equipment, and Soviet technical specialists in India provide guidance in specialized fields. Students also attend staff colleges in the UK and Australia, on an exchange basis, while Egypt and France have conducted training programs for air and ground crews. The air force also trains a few students from underdeveloped countries. Air force logistics are hampered by the multiplicity of aircraft types. Maintenance is further complicated by lack of trained personnel, shortages of test equipment, insufficient spare parts, and lengthy lead-times in the procurement of spare parts for foreign aircraft. The air force normally has an operationally ready rate of 70 percent. During the December 1971 war, this rate dropped to 60 percent. The air force usually keeps a 30-45 day POL supply at principal operatir~; bases. Navy: The. Indian Navy, with 33,000 men (including air arm) and the largest, most potent fleet in South Asia, is capable of successful offensive or defensive operations in the region. I!-1 SECRET Approved for-Release1999/fl9t25-: -eiA-LRDP8&5fOO8?75RO01,100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET The navy has 1 antisubmarine warfare support aircraft carrier, 2 light cruisers, 4 submarines (Foxtrot-class), 2 destroyers, 16 destroyer escorts (including 8 Petya-class and 1 indigenously produced Leander-class), 26 coastal patrol ships/craft (including 8 Osa-class large guided-missile boats), 8 mine warfare ships, 3 amphibious ships, and 19 auxiliaries. The Styx missile- equipped Osa boats are unmatched in the area and were a decisive factor in the naval engagements of the 1971 conflict. While the antisubmarine warfare capability of the Indian Navy is effective within confined areas, the small number of antisubmarine warfare ships and aircraft precludes simultaneous patrol of all coastal waters. An- other serious shortcoming is the paucity of minesweepers. The main operating bases and the principal activities of the Indian Navy are in the ports of Bombay on the west coast, Cochin in the south, and Vishakhapatnam on the east coast. About two thirds of the total ships and craft are based at Bombay, with approximately one third at Vishakhapatnam and a few at Cochin. The Western Fleet operating out of Bombay consists of the aircraft carrier, the light cruisers, 1 destroyer, 11 destroyer escorts (including 3 Petyas), 17 coastal patrol ships/craft (including the 8 Osas), all 8 of the minesweepers, and the majority of the auxiliaries. The Eastern Fleet, working out at Vishakhapatnam, consists of 1 destroyer, 5 destroyer escorts (Petyas), all 4 Foxtrot-class submarines, 6 coastal patrol ships, 3 amphibious ships, and 5 auxiliaries. In addition to operating along the east coast, some of these ships are temporarily based at Port Blair in the Andaman Islands. Ships and craft based in southern India report to the Southern Naval Command at Cochin. These include 3 coastal patrol ships and 1 auxiliary. The Indian Navy sends a small number of personnel to the UK, US, and USSR for training, while at the same time training naval personnel from several Mid-East, African, and Asian-Pacific nations. The logistic system of the Indian Navy is beset by two major problems. First, the navy must depend upon outside sources for most of its ships and craft, supplies, and modern equipment. Second, Bombay is the only base capable of undertaking major repair and resupply of the forces afloat. In spite of these difficulties, ship production capabilities are increasing. Modest facilities at Cochin and the east coast ports of Calcutta and Vishakhapatnam are being expanded in an effort to decrease reliance upon outside sources for logistic needs. The Mazagon Docks at Bombay has successfully undertaken the Leander project, and the Garden Reach Workshops at Calcutta is building a number of small naval ships. Stocks of SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA RDP85T00.875R001100030003-0 Xi 1";.~M~ 'i~.tMA./:n'XW'Lr~A3~1... U+J-+v.-+.~/+Y .mil Sn4 t.ln i7w a,a aaL . ~_.7.. Approved For Release 1999/09/25':'- 999/09/251: C11 &-RDP85T00875R001 100030003- Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100030003-0 SECRET Table 1 (continued) India Pakistan Bangladesh NAVY Personnel 33,000 9,900 400J Ships Carriers 1 0 0 Cruisers 2 J 1 1 0 Destroyers 2 4 0 Destroyer Escorts 16 J 2 0 Submarines 4 3J 0 Missile Patrol 8 0 0 Other Coastal Patrol 18 13 5 J Aircraft 90 0 0 AIR DEFENSE Personnel Unknown Unknown 0 Missiles Surface-to-Air SA-2 est. 480 0 0 No. Launchers SA-2 est. 126 0 0 No. Sites SA-2 est. 19 0 0 AIR FORCE Personnel 104,000 17,100 750-1,000 Aircraft Jet Bombers (light) Canberra B (I) 58 (UK, New Zealand) 39 0 0 Canberra B-57B (UK) 0 13 0 IL-28/Beagle (P RC) 0 4 0 TOTAL 39 17 0 JJEstimated force of 2,000-2,500 planned. JBoth over 30 years old; one used as training ship. 111944 vintage. 4/Includes the Leander-class DEH and 8 Petyas. JNot included are 6 SXs. .At least two more are under construction. In addition, Bangladesh may have captured or salvaged sonic former Pakistan Navy boats. 4pproved For Reieesv 1n9J9 ??9123' - 5R00110Q030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Table 1 (continued) India Pakistan Bangladesh Jet Fighters Supersonic SU-7/Fitter (USSR) 88 0 0 MIG-21/Fishbed (USSR) 201* 0 10 H F-24 Marut (Indigenous) 65 0 0 F-104 A and B (US) 0 5** 0 MIG-19/Farmer D (PRC) 0 123-145 0 Mirage III-E (France) 0 21 0 Mirage 5 (France) 0 21 0 Subtotal 354 170-192 10 Subsonic Gnat I (UK, Indigenous) 176 0 0 Hawker Hunter F-56 (UK) 65 0 0 Vampire FB-52 (UK) 20 0 0 F-86F Sabre (US) 0 51 8 (Pak) Sabre MK-6 (F-86) (West 0 83 0 Germany) Subtotal 261 134 8 */ucludes both MIG-21M (Fishbed J) and MIG-21 FL aircraft. **In storage. Reconnaissance Canberra PR-57 (UK) 8 0 0 Mirage III-R (France) 0 3 0 RT-33A (US) 0 2 0 Transports Medium TU-124/Cookpot (USSR) 3 0 0 C-1 19G Packet (US) 54 0 0 AN-12/Cub (USSR) 38 0 0 L 1049 Super Constellation 8 (US) C-130B Hercules (US, Iran) 0 8* 0 Subtotal 103 8 0 *Two additional C-130s reportedly are on short-term loan from Saudi Arabia. pproved For Release 110991,Q91 5 TO 875RQ;Q11Q9G3Q003-0 AmfM Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Table 1 (continued) Light HS (Avro) 748 (UK, Indigenous) C-47A Skytrain (US, UK) DHC-4 Caribou (Canada) I L-14/Crate (USSR) F-27 (Netherlands) AN-24/Coke (USSR) AN?26/Curl (USSR) Hel icopters-Transport MI-4/Hound (USSR) Sikorsky S-62B (US) MI-8/Hip (USSR) HH-43B Huskie (US) Helicopters-Utility Alouette I I I Alouette I I (France) OH-13H (US) OH-13S (US) Sikorsky S-55 (US) UH-19D (US) Westland Wessex (UK) Trainers Utility India Pakistan Bangladesh 80 0 0 14 0 0 18 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 82 0 0 1 0 0 33 9 4 0 6 0 80 (France) 10 (France, 1 Saudi Arabia) 2 0 Approved fore1'~' 11`y=1v'fD75R001.100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Table 2 FORCES ON INDO-PAKISTANI BORDER (estimated) India Pakistan Current M+15 days Current Combat effective personnel Army 302,000 452,000+ 224,000 Paramilitary Border Security Force 34,000 34,000 Central Reserve Force 3,000 8,000 Civilian Armed Forces 0,000 TOTAL 339,000 494,000 232,000 Units Army Corps Hqs. 4 5 5 Divisions Infantry 12 14+ 11 Mountain 0 2 0 Armored 0 1 2 Independent Brigades Armored 5 5 1* Artillery 6 12 5 Infantry 5 8 3 Sp Svc Gp (Bde) (Abn) 0 0 1 Parachute 0 1 0 Air Defense 2 6 2 Paramilitary (Bns) Border Security Force 36 36 -- Central Reserve Police 4 10 -- Civilian Armed Forces -- -- 10 M+15 days 253,000 20,000 273,000 5 13 0 2 -- -- 25 Current deployment of aircraft in both India and Pakistan (see OB map) precludes the necessity to transfer combat units to the border areas. *In addition, each army corps headquarters has one armored reconnaissance regiment (bat- talion equivalent) assigned to it. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Table 3 INDIA-PAKISTAN WAR LOSSES, 1971 India Pakistan Personnel: KIA 3,691 5,000 (est.) WIA 8,650) 11,000 (est.) MIA 275 1,000 (est.) TOTAL 12,616 17,000 Equipment: Tanks 125 187 Naval Ships 1 6 Aircraft) 71 43 Canberra B(1)58 10 SU-7/Fitter 20 Hawker Hunter F-56 20 MIG-21/Fishbed 5 Gnat I 5 Mystere I V A 5 HF-24 Marut 5 Breguet 1050 Alize 1 71 F-86F 20 Sabre Mk-6 (F-86) 4 Canberra B-57B 4 F-104A 3 MIG-19/Farmer D 7 T-33A 2 UH-19D 2 Beech Queen (U8F) 1 TOTALS 43 )Approximately 1,100 personnel f,:ccived disabling wounds. )Some tanks listed as "losses" were subsequently returned to service after repair at depots. )Air-to-air combat operations were relatively few during the 1971 conflict and most aircraft losses on both sides resulted from ground fire. ./Includes an estimated eight F-86F and one T-33 captured and now in the Bangladesh Air Force. Approved for 1?ease'x9101'":=6'~85T00875RUO1100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T SECRET Ta Country A Pakistanis in: Abu Dhabi Oman Kuwait Saudi Arabia Iraq Jordan Syria Libya Maldives Nigeria Iran Qata *Does not include sevemi thousand personnel with the Border Roads Organization. **Approximateiy 40Ind'an military personnel serve as advisers in Bangladesh; breakdown by service is unavailable. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 India South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1. August 1973 Jammu and Kashmir Himachal Pradesh Chandigarh. }, Punjab ~`(??? Haryana .Delhi Uttar Pradesh ) ( 1 5 V~ ~~ ~t?^-~'.rt`. Bihar. 4.. Madhya \ r.; west Gujarat Pradesh 1. Bengal Orissa Dnmin Maharashtra Dadra arid r ~`?~ ~~ Nay,ir Hm'h Pondlchcny\, . 7 '!`'~'Y qtr Gaa Karnataka4,? Locrndlve. Minicoy and Amindivi Islands (Lokshadwcep) Nadu ( f'ondlcherry , gofdVed Po' ?Retease 11-99/09125`' Arunachal Pradesh la ? ya c /?' Man Igo 7ripurn ~Mimrnrn Andaman and Nicobar Islands R001100030,003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 516213 9.77 CIA Map 2 i.Ahmadabad Laccadive Sea I 'Secunderabad South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 INDIA Army Order of Battle 1 AUGUST 1973 Armored division Infantry division Mountain division Bay of Bengal NAMES ANO ROUNOARV REPRESENTATION ARE NOT : IECESSAIIILY AUTHORITATIVE Dinja SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEhM -Approved. For. Release, 1999/,A9125;: 'CIA :RDPO5T01G '7.5R0011,00030003-0 J*Baramula -Leh Rajaori Jammu .Pathankot Amritsar Pakistan )'Jullundur ff A?Ferozepore DehraY 1~Dun T I.Batinda i'Kausali Jodhpur'T Arabian Sea Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 r ? Z Jamnagar tab HF-24 1Poona 111B(1)58 11 MIG-21 515214 0.73 CIA Map 3 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 INDIA Fighter/Bomber Order of Battle 1 AUGUST 1973 0 too 200 300 MJos 0 100 200 300 M.-tors Bay of Bengal NAMES ANO VOUNOARV nErRr.SCNTATION ARC NOT NECESSARILY AUTHORITATIVE SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Aral )ia+r, Se 116 GNAT . culdam__npli~ rl~ 112 Hunter - Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 - --- S. R. Arabian Sea Amindivi Islands' Laccadivu 1.Aircrafl Carrier 2 Light Cruisers 13 Dostroycr/Destroyer Escorts '3 Patrol Escorts 8 Large Guided Missile Boats 6 Coastal Patrol Boats ?~8 Minesweepers y Bombay 2 Patrol Escorts Cochin 1 Small Submarine Chaser 510215 9.73 CIA Map 4 Maldives 6 Destroyer/ Destroyer Escorts 4S u bmarines 2 Small Submarine Chasers 3 Coastal Patrol Boats-?-Vlshakhapatnam Bay of Bengal Andaman i- Islands 1 SmcIl Submurlne ChaseryPort Blair Sri Laka (Ceylon NAMES AND ROUNOARY REPRESENTATION ARE NOT NECESSARILY AUTMORITATIVC Nico'oar Islands SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM . Approved For Release: 1999/ 09/25: IA-RDP85T0 8758001100030003-0 INDIA Naval Order of Battle 1 AUGUST 1973 0 100 200 300 Mlles 0 100 700 300 Kdomelers Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 Afghanistan 516716 8.77 CIA Map 5 Ground Forces on Indo-Pakistani Border 1 AUGUST 1973 Indian infantry division Pakistani armored division Pakistani infantry division BmuIa.' I(ASHMIR ' Murrou~ ISLAMABAD Rawalpindi' ?Rajaori Jholum? ~~ Kharian? iI ? Jammu SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 11999/09/25: C#A=RDP85T00875R0011000030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 .Srinagar, VZ1F KdSHM)(7, South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 1972) under theSimla Agreement Road Track or trail CONFIDENTIAL NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 1999/09/25 CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01100030003-0 Boundary of former state of Jammu and Kashmir International boundary -X- International boundary. indefinite Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Pakistan South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 /.Gllgit 1 1 L-1 Agency ` Boltistan North- west Frontier Azad -~? - Kashmir I51: MABAD 1\Sfalc 610710 013 Map 7 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO0110.01030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 516219 B-73 CIA Map 8 2294/73 1 August 1973 KASHMIR---_ Murree, ') Rawalpincli' Jhelum. \~r Kharlan? SIAM* -N SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM A -proved For Release 1999109/25 CIA RCkF 35TOO8 580011000.30003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 r PAKISTAN Fighter/Bomber Order of Battle 1 AUGUST 1973 0 100 200 MIles . . D 100 200 Kilometers NEW DELHI? 61.6220 8.73 GA Map 9 Arabian Sea SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM ,9-`pproved, For Release -1999/09/25- : Cho-RDP85T008875R001.100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 PAKISTAN Naval Order of Battle 1 AUGUST 1973 0 100 200 Miles 0 100 200 Kilometer, Arabian Sea 515771 8.79 CIA Map 10 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 JAMMU AND / KASHMIR`0ISLAMlZ6AD "1 NEW DELHI OW SECRET NO FOREIGN D/SSEM Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Bangladesh South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 610222 6 73 Map 11 Noakhall } Barisal ; J ~~ t ~.1 i rr 1 Chittagong t.l Chittagong' Approved For Release 1999/09/25 ,CIA-RDP85To. $7vRo"O 00530003-0 Dlnajpur r 1, Rangpur Bogra Mymensingh Raishahl >1 Tangall\..,n. I ~?' f Pabna Kushtla Uacca Comilla Jessore Faridpur Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 BANGLADESH Order of Battle 1 AUGUST 1973 T Arigadeeeedquarters Fighter-Order. of Battle Rangpur?' _ DACCA I r Comilla r' Bay of Bengal Map 12 SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 1999/09/25, : ,_ IA RDP85TOO875R001100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Military expenditures in India and Pakistan have grown substantially since 1960 and are absorbing a larger share of domestic economic resources. The outflow of foreign exchange for military purposes has increased and constitutes a significant portion of export earnings; military aid has deferred or eliminated only a portion of foreign exchange payments for imports. In both countries, higher military spending reflects increased personnel strength, qualitative upgrading of weapons systems, increases in equipment inventories and maintenance requirements, expansion of domestic military production, and rising costs for military items at home and abroad. The expenditures are given in "current" prices and cannot be adjusted satisfac- torily to reflect the impact of inflation. The available price information indicates, however, that most of the increase in military spending in South Asia since 1960 reflects a real growth in military strength. Indian defense expenditures rose sharply following the Chinese border incursions in 1962, increased more slowly through FY 1970,* then rose abruptly in 1971. This second heavy buildup followed the outbreak of civil war in East Pakistan (now Bangladesh) in March 1971, and continued through the December war with Pakistan. Defense spending for FY 1971 was more than $2.1 billion,** exceeding the previous year's spending by 25 percent, and the original budget by 22 percent. Procurement expenditures alone increased by more than 40 percent, reflecting accelerated deliveries of foreign military equipment. Army procurement increased by 64 percent, primarily as a result of large receipts of major combat equipment from the USSR and Eastern Europe. By contrast, pay and allowances-the largest component of the Indian military budget-increased by only 4 percent. The impact of these changes on the distribution of expenditures is shown in Tables 2 and 3. India's revised defense budget for FY 1972 and the budget estimate for FY 1973 are about 10 percent higher than actual expenditures incurred in *Fiscal year beginning 1 April of stated year. **This and other dollar values are computed at the exchange rate of 7.5 rupeesll US$. Data are gross expenditures unless otherwise stated. III-1 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25:.CIA-RDP85T00875R001100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET SECRET Approved :For, Release I999i01 L25 1 C1A RDPO5T008.75-R0011.00030,003-0 1971 civil war in its former East Wing and the December war with India, actual defense spending increased 16 percent over the previous year in terms of rupees. Much of this rise represented construction of defenses, repairs to war-damaged defense property, increased salaries and other personnel ex- penditures, and increased demands on the civilior sector to supply items such as fuels and transportation. Imports were limited by foreign arms embargoes, the ;.hort Indian blockade of Karachi harbor, and the inability of foreign suppliers to complete deliveries of new orders by 30 June 1972. Actual foreign exchange outlays probably were between $115 and $145 million. Pakistan's defense spending in FY 1973 was 19 percent higher in terms of rupees than the previous year. This reflected little change in real terms because most of the increase was used to cover the higher cost of military i;sports following the rupee devaluation in May 1972, and increased local costs resulting from domestic inflation. Pakistan's population was reduced by more than half when it lost the East Wing, so this is a considerable financial burden-roughly 8 percent of gross national product. There are no indications that Pakistan intends to reduce its arme forces or its military spending abroad soon. Scheduled equipment deliveries from foreign arms suppliers probably boosted foreign exchange defense outlays beyond the planned figure of $115 million for FY 1973. Military aid down payments and repayments to France alone were scheduled to increase, as were cash payments to several Western arms suppliers, including the US. Pakistan evidently has experienced diffi- culties in financing some of its arms procurement. It deferred taking delivery on French Mirage aircraft for about six months, and reportedly delayed its scheduled payments to France. The burden of Pakistan's foreign defense procurement can be seen in the ratio of foreign-exchange outlays to export earnings-about 17 percent through FY 1971, and more than 20 percent in FY 1972. This ratio may have declined to 15 percent in FY 1973 as a result of greatly increased export performance. Pakistan may have received some financial assistance for arms purchases from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Libya, but the amounts are not known; $18 million was transferred to Pakistan from Abu Dhabi in late June 1972. C. Bangladesh Bangladesh's military expenditures from 16 December 1971 to 30 June 1972 were announced by the government as $18 million, with an additional $53 million budgeted for 1972/73. These expenditures are classified as recurring expenses, which suggests that they are primarily for salaries and other personnel expenses. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 INDIA: Net Defense Expenditures* (Fiscal Year begins 1 April of stated year) BILLION RUPEES (Current Prices) 25 1 PERCENT OF GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (In Current Prices) 516224 8.73 CIA SECRET NO FORE?N C1SSE.M 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 (Revised (Budget) Estimate) 'After deducting the value of receipts and recoveries of the Ministry of Defense from gross expenditures. 'D 'ST $?7,5Fk407?4 00030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 INDIA: Gross Defense Expenditures (Fiscal Year begins 1 April of stated year) MILLION US $ App,roved.For, Release 1999/0.9/25 : l 1972 1973 (Revised Estimate) (Budget) ARMY (Weapons and Other Stores) MANUFACTURING AND RESEARCH TRANSPORTATION WORKS PAY AND ALLOWANCES NON-PROCUREMENT SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM P$5T0:O,8.,75;ROO:1:1,0OO3,0003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 INDIA: Distribution of Defense Expenditures (In Percent) > NON-PROCUREMENT MANUFACTURING AND RESEARCH ESTABLISHMENTS PROCUREMENT 1.8' I NAVY 1972 1973 (Revised Estimate (Budget) PAY AND ALLOWANCES SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 1.999/09/25 CIA-RDP85,T00875R0.01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 Figure 4 INDIA: Estimated Defense Foreign Exchange Costs* 1973 (Budget) 1969 1970 1971 1,172 1973 294 324 432 515 526 TOTAL IMPORTS -90 -92 -191 -130 N.A. FINANCED BY MILITARY AID 100 113 120 150 N.A. MILITARY DEBT REPAYMENTS 304 345 361 535 N.A. TOTAL ESTIMATED FOREIGN EXCHANGE OUTFLOW" begins 1 April of stated year) 1972 (Revised Whale) FINANCING MILITARY IMPORTS 'Computed at the exchange rate of 7.5 rupeesll US$. "Indian exports from defense industries, which totaled about $13 million in FY 1972, are not taken into account. SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 INDIA: Military Expenditures and Total Central Government Budget (Fiscal Year begins 1 April of stated year) 70.5 50.7 50.2 55.8 57.3 21% 22% 21% 23% 23% 22% 22% SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM -pp.roved. For.. Release, 1999/00/25..:..Q1,Eq-. h?P85I00I 75RO01100030003-0 717 7 TOTAL CENTRAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES MILITARY EXPENDITURES AS PERCENT OF CENTRAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 INDIA: Military Foreign Exchange Outlays and Export Earnings (Fiscal Year begins 1 April of stated year) BILLION US $ 2.4 MILITARY FOREIGN EXCHANGE OUTLAYS AS PERCENT OF EXPORT EARNINGS SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 PAKISTAN: Net Defense Expenditures* (Fiscal Year ends 30 June of stated year) BILLION RUPEES (Current Prices) PERCENT OF GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (In Current Prices) 1912 1973 1974 (Revised (Budget) Estimate) pp -oved ForR le :e 9994 / 51: IA }01100 30,003-0 'After deducting the value of revenue of the Ministry of Defense from gross expenditures. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 PAKISTAN: Military Expenditures and Total Central Government Budget Fiscal Year ends 30 June of stated year) BILLION RUPEES 12.1 9.7 F 28% :61 23%. 1 28% 32% E 1973 (Revised Estimate) 1914 (Budget) TOTAL CENTRAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES MILITARY EXPENDITURES AS PERCENT OF CENTRAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM Approved For_Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001.100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 South Asian Military Handbook 2294/73 1 August 1973 Figure 9 PAKISTAN: Military Foreign Exchange Outlays and Export Earnings (Fiscal Year ends 30 June of stated year) MILITARY FOREIGN EXCHANGE OUTLAYS AS PERCENT OF EXPORT EARNINGS 20- 25% 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 'Excludes former eastern wing. (Estimate) 111- 12 A . p roves( For- Release 193,940 /25 SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM P85TOQ$ Oci 1 OAp30003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET IV. DOMESTIC MILITARY PRODUCTION For more than a decade, New Delhi has tried to develop an arms industry that would enable it to be less dependent on foreign suppliers and thereby save foreign exchange. The industry's output already includes a wide range of defense equipment: small arms, artillery, tanks, several types of aircraft, frigates, and small tactical missiles. Although considerable progress has been made, particularly in small arms production, India still relies heavily on imports of raw materials, components, and technology for the manu- facture of more sophisticated weapons systems, such as aircraft and naval ships. Domestic military procurement now constitutes about 70 percent of total military purchases. Public and private enterprises in the civilian sector furnish about 60 percent of military supplies obtained in India, including petroleum products and foodstuffs. Ordnance factories and enterprises under the Ministry of Defense Production provide the balance, including most military hardware. Management and Scope: India's defense industries are managed primarily by the Department of Defense Production, which owns and operates 28 ord- nance factories, a tank factory, and a freeze-dried meat factory. The Govern- ment of India also has either majority or total ownership of eight public enterprises, which are controlled by the Department of Defense Production. Production in these industries increased at an average annual rate of 12 percent from April 1964 to March 1971. Concomitant with India's military build-up beginning in spring 1971, defense production was accelerated and output increased by 29 percent during FY 1971 * (see Table 1). Production is estimated to have increased an additional 10 percent to almost $520 million in FY 1972. Approximately 80 percent of defense production was for the Indian military, with the balance for the civilian market and exports. Defense plants provide transport aircraft for India's civil airlines, small commercial ships, trucks, tractors, railroad coaches, and communications equipment. Exports of products and services-about $13 million in FY 1972-include goods for both military and civilian end-use and repairs to foreign ships and aircraft. Ground Armaments: India is self-sufficient in small arms, light artillery and antiaircraft weapons, and related ammunition. Weapons production includes rifles, sub-machine guns, light machine guns, 3.5-inch rocket launchers, *Fiscal year beginning 1 April of the stated year. IV-11 Approved For Release 1999/09/25 : CTR=RIFTJ'35 008758001100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25.: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET 57-mm. and 106-mm. recoilless rifles, 2-inch, 81-mm., and 120-mm. mortars, 40-mm. antiaircraft guns, and 75-rrim, pack howitzers. A prototype 105-mm. 'Field gun has been developed, is scheduled to enter lim;'^d production by 1974, and to reach full production by 1976. An agre:ment for licensed production of the Soviet 130-mm. field gun was reached early in 1972, but production is not likely to begin soon. India already has produced about 400 "Vijayanta" (Vickers) medium tanks with a 105-mm. gun under British license at the Avadi heavy-vehicle factory. Almost 70 percent of the components currently are produced in India, but some major parts still must be imported. The factory also is producing armored recovery vehicles. The Ministry of Defense Production is developing an armored personnel carrier-a modified version of the Czech OT-62-as well as 105-mm. and 130-mm. self-propelled guns. Trucks and jeeps for the military are built under West German and Japanese licenses. Naval Construction: India produces Leander-class frigates equipped with antiaircraft missiles under British license at the Mazagon Docks in Bombay. These are the first large modern combatants constructed in the country, and the project is several years behind schedule. Of the six frigates currently under order, one has been commissioned, and two are fitting out. The locally produced content of the first unit is only about 50 percent, but is expected to increase to almost 80 percent by the end of the program. India also has constructed inshore minesweepers, patrol boats, landing craft, and dredgers; it eventually plans to expand production to include submarines and missile- equipped frigates. Aircraft Construction: Despite the fact that India has been engaged in military aircraft production for over a decade, the industry still relies extensively on imported raw materials and components, and on the use of foreign production licenses. To utilize domestic sources to the fullest, the Indians are attempting to substitute components manufactured indigenously for foreign-built ones. The difficulties in such a substitution of components and raw materials include the lack of suitable raw materials-steel alloys-and the stringent manufacturing specifications of most aircraft components. In addition, the unit cost of producing many aircraft parts domestically would be high because of the limited quantities required. Some items involving essentially unsophisticated technology-such as tires, hydraulic seals, filters, electrical components, electrical cable, and batteries-have been successfully developed by the Indians for their aircraft industry. The Indians also have been able to rqv. SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET produce some aluminum alloy sheets. These efforts have increased the domestic content, by value, of the various aircraft under production. They have not, however, created a great degree of Indian self-sufficiency. A plant for the manufacture of accessories for the Indian aircraft industry is under construction at Lucknow, and New Delhi hopes that it will result in a significant reduction of foreign contributions to the manufacture of some aircraft. The plant is scheduled to produce items such as wheels and brake systems, undercarriages, powered flying controls, fuel, hydraulic and instrument systems, and aircraft ejection seats-all under license from several British firms and the Soviet Union. Initially, all components will have to be imported, but the Indians plan eventually to substitute locally manufactured components. Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd., which is responsible for virtually all air- craft manufacture in India, produces six types of military aircraft with major assistance from various countries. The Soviet MIG-21, the British Gnat, the British HS-748 light transport, and the French Alouette III light helicopter are produced under license. The domestically designed HF-24 jet fighter and IAJT-16 jet trainer also are in production. Production of the Soviet MIG-21 jet fighter is likely to continue through much of the 1970s, as Moscow has agreed to license follow-on production of the improved MIG-21M to replace the MIG-21 FL. The scheduled production of 196 MIG-21 FLs should be completed in 1974, and the improved version should then be in full production. The first MIG-21M assembled in India was completed in early 1973, and less than 100 re- portedly will be produced. Final assembly and production of air frames for the MIG-21 take place at Nasik, engines are produced at Koraput, and avionics at Hvderabad. The Bangalore Division of Hindustan Aeronautics originally scheduled the production of 215 subsonic Gnat jet fighters. More than 200 already have been built. The program, employing an improved version, is likely to be extended as a result of the fighter's excellent performance in the 1971 conflict with Pakistan. India also is considering the manufacture of Gnat fighters for export. The HF-24 jet fighter program, intended tz) provide India with an indigenous Mach 2 interceptor, has not been very successful. The key problem has been matching the aircraft to a suitable engine. The current Mach 1 version, with a British engine, had some success in the ground-attack prgve IV-3 SECRET ra , Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET role, and an improved version and a trainer model are under development. Production is likely to continue well into the 1970s, and more than 150 Mach 1 aircraft may be built. India plans to produce a new generation supersonic fighter aircraft in the next decade as a follow-on to the HF-24 program. The shortcomings of the HF-24, however, suggest that the pro,,.;rn is likely to encounter diffi- culties, particularly in engine development. India will require considerable foreign assistance to ensure the success of the project. Production of the HS-748 medium transport for the military is also likely to continue into the late 1970s. Some 45 have been ordered by the air force, and freighter/airdrop and maritime reconnaissance versions are under development. The HJT-16 jet trainer is likely to continue in production at least until 1975. More than 65 of the aircraft have been ordered. The Alouette III helicopter production program was to end by late 1974 after some 145 aircraft had been built. India recently was seeking to extend the Alouette III licensing agreement with France to 1977. Agreement has been reached with the French for production of the SA-315 for use as an observation helicopter and the first prototype has been assembled. At least 140 are scheduled to be built. The Indians hope to develop their own helicopter by the end of the decade. Missile Production: In July 1971, Bharat Dynamics Ltd. began production, under license, of the French SS-11 anti-tank missile. India has secured options to produce other types of French missiles. Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. manufactures the Soviet K-13 Atoll air-to-air missile for the MIG-21 aircraft. A project was begun in 1972 to produce surface-to-air missiles based on the Soviet SA-2 design. Production is probably years away because the Indians are attempting to manufacture most of the components themselves. Development work also is under way on a launch vehicle for the country's space program, but the project is not likely to have any military applications until at least the 1980s. Assessment: India has developed a significant industrial base for military production and except for Israel, which it rivals, has the largest defense output ..f any developing country in the non-communist world. But it has not yet achieved over-all self-sufficiency, nor has it reduced annual foreign- exchange outlays for military imports. Its requirements for substantial quantities of sophisticated weaponry and support equipment necessitate large-scale procurement from abroad of finished defense stores. During the SECRET -----------Approved-- For-Release-1999/II.9/25-.:_CIA-RDP85T00875R001100030003-0 Sf3e~naf. ulH~ ,Lei,.....fi.yu+u i,.., .d. '.:- .,....lrk....S~iIGSv'RY ` ` . ~">iRfe~W~:AnSvf4sr~~1 n Sin-.ver_}:euw'n.56.x~;i! Approved For. Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01100030003-0 SECRET South Asian Nuclear Weapons Capabilities SECRET India has the skills and material to set off a nuclear explosion, probably of low yield. Its civil nuclear program is broadly based and is aimed principally toward the production of electrical power. The total nuclear program, including power applications, has been large; the Department of Atomic Energy has spent about $1 billion since the program began in 1954. It employs several thousand scientists who have studied in the US and Europe. Other technologies-electronics, metallurgy, computer capabilities, and high explosives-are more than adequate to support an effort to set off a nuclear explosion. India is capable of detonating a nuclear device within a few days to a year should it make a decision to do so. Actual time required would depend on how far preliminary work had gone. The nuclear device would have plutonium as its fissionable material. The Indians probably now have enough weapons-grade plutonium to make 10-12 weapons (15-20 kilotons each) and could add about two more each year from new production. 1-he plutonium is being produced and separated at the Bhaba Atomic Research Center near Bombay. The only safeguard on the reactor is a written Indian promise to the Canadians, who designed and helped build the facility, that the reactor and its products will be used only for peaceful purposes. India has not accepted the Canadian and US interpre- tation that any nuclear explosion is tantamount to a weapons test, regardless of the declared purpose of the test. India has ratified the Limited Test Ban Treaty, and the selection and preparation of a suitable underground site for a nuclear test would involve considerable time and expense. Current Indian delivery capabilities, like the prospective weapons them- selves, are modest. A fleet of about 40 Canberra light bombers, with a radius of about 1,000 nautical miles and a payload of 5,000 pounds, could reach India's closer neighbors, including much of western and southwestern China, but not the heavily populated areas farther east. India has no 'long-range bombers, but could conceivably, with extensive modifications, use some of its civil fleet of Boeing 707s and 747s to carry weapons several thousand miles. All these aircraft would be vulnerable to Chinese air defenses. M Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET For at least five years, India will .e unable to enhance its extremely limited nuclear weapons capability without violating safeguards. A large Indian-built nuclear power plant without international safeguards is sched- uled to be in operation sometime after 1977. The plant, at Kalpakkam in south India, will have two natural uranium-fueled reactors. With current and planned separation facilities, the plant eventually could produce enough unsafeguarded plutonium to make 50-70 low-yield bombs a year in the 1980s. A prototype for a new generation of fast-breeder reactors producing U-233 from India's huge supplies of thorium may be ready in the 1980s. India's planned and slowly expanding capabilities in the nuclear and space-related fields will eventually remove many of the obstacles to a large-scale nuclear weapons program. In the late 1980s, there will be enough plutonium and U-233 to make a number of intermediate-yield weapons. The Indian space program, which is still in its early stages, probably will have borne fruit by then. To date, only sounding rockets have been tested. A small test satellite was scheduled for launch in 1974, but the Indians have been unable to develop a suitable launch vehicle. As a result, the Soviets have agreed to orbit a satellite constructed in India. An Indian satellite launch is still at least five years away, however, and it would then require quite a few additional years and considerable cost to develop an operational missile system. Pakistan is unlikely to have any effective nuclear capability within the current decade. It has only one nuclear power reactor, a heavy-water model built with Canadian assistance and under safeguards. Negotiations reportedly are under way with the French for a chemical separation plant to extract plutonium from the spent fuel elements of the power reactor and for a fuel fabrication facility. Even if this plant is built,, the plutonium will remain safeguarded. Moreover, Pakistan has no large domestic sources of exploitable uranium. A-2 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 25X6 Next 8 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Chronology of Major Events in South Asia, 1947-1973 1940 23 March All India Muslim League, meeting in Lahore, calls for separation of predominantly Muslim areas from India 1942 8 August All India Congress Committee calls on British to "quit India" 1947 14 August Pakistani independence 15 August Indian independence 27 October Maharaja of Jammu and Kashmir accedes to India; Indian troops enter Kashmir to fight Pakistani- backed tribal invaders 1948 30 January Mahatma Gandhi assassinated 11 September Mohammed All 'innah dies 1949 1 January Kashmir cease-fire becomes effective 26 July Agreement reached on cease-fire line in Kashmir 1954 17 May US and Pakistan sign Mutual Defense Assistance Agreement 7 September Pakistan signs SEATO Treaty 1955 1 July Pakistan joins Baghdad Pact (later "' NTO) C-1 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET 1958 7 October President Iskandar Mirza imposes martial law in Pakistan 27 October Field Marshal Mohammed Ayub Khan seizes power 1959 5 March Pakistan signs bilateral defense agreement with US 1961 18-20 December Indi~jn conquest of Goa 1962 20 October After months of border clashes, heavy fighting breaks out between India and China 28 October Chinese halt their successful offensive 1962 14 November 21 November 1 December 20 December 1963 January 2 March 1964 27 May 2 June 1965 April US agrees to emergency arms aid for India Unilateral Chinese cease-fire goes into effect Chinese begin unilateral withdrawal US and U K agree to continue arms aid to India Soviets begin shipments of MIG-21s to India Pakistan signs border agreement with China Lal Bahadur Shastri chosen prime minister of India Fighting breaks out in the Rann of Kutch 30 June Formal cease-fire signed more than a month after fighting ends in the Rann C-2 SECRET ,Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T09-8 h-8001100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET Early August Pakistan begins infiltrating "freedom fighters" into Kashmir 1 September Pakistani troops launch major attack into Kashmir 6 September Indians launch full-scale attack on West Pakistan 8 September US embargoes all arms to India and Pakistan 22 September Cease-fire goes into effect 1966 10 January At Tashkent, India and Pakistan agree essentially to return to the status quo ante bellum 11 January Prime Minister Shastri dies 19 January Indira Gandhi becomes Prime Minister 1967 February Congress Party reduced to slim majority in parlia- ment in Indian general elections April US modifies arms policy to permit sale of some spares to India and Pakistan 1968 7 November Student riot in Rawalpindi; disorders spread to all of Pakistan 1969 25 March Ayub resigns and is replaced by General A. M. Yahya Khan 1970 28 March President Yahya, in Legal Framework Order, out- lines process for establishing a civilian government October US announces one-time exception in sale of military equipment to Pakistan C-3 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 /ILL 5, :~ a~ ~ :6 w X~ c~rtr.;. ~u.4ahra tibrLti s s2 ti ,z ~#s.w,il ivt~ Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET 7 December Z. A. Bhutto's Pakistan People's Party sweeps Na- tional Assembly elections in West Pakistan; Mujibur Rahman's Awami League in East Pakistan. Provin- cial Assembly elections on 17 December follow same pattern 1971 30 January Two Kashmiri "freedom fighters" hijack an Indian plane to Lahore 2 February India bans Pakistani overflights 1 March East Pakistan Awami League calls for a general strike to protest Yahya's postpoiement of the con- vening of the National Assembly March Prime Minister Gandhi's Congress Party wins sub- stantial majority in lower house of parliament 15 March Mujib announces he is taking over administration of East Pakistan; Yahya begins talks with Mujib 25-26 March Talks break down; Pakistan Army moves to restore central authority in East Pakistan; Mujib arrested; independence of Bangladesh proclaimed 17 April Bangladesh Republic (in exile) officially established 2 July US imposes total embargo on arms to Pakistan 9 August Indo-Soviet Friendship Treaty signed 3 December After gradually increasing Indian involvement in civil war in East Pakistan and military build-up by '-ioth sides in the west, the Pakistan Air Force at- tacks Indian air bases in the west; full-scale war breaks out on both fronts ,i 16 December Pakistani for-^s in East Pakistan surrender C-4 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET 17 December Cease-fire goes into effect in the west 20 December Yahya resigns, and Z. A. Bhutto becomes president 1972 7 January Mujibur Rahman, released from Pakistani custody, arrives in Dacca on 10 January and becomes Prime Minister 3 July Mrs. Gandhi and Bhutto reach agreement at Simla 29 August 7 December Indian and Pakistani negotiators, in New Delhi, reach accord clarifying Simla Agreement Delineation of new "line of control" in Kashmir completed 20 December Mutual troop withdrawals completed 1973 14 March US announces resumption of limited arms supply to Pakistan and India 17 April India and Bangladesh propose a package deal under which prisoners of war (except those to be tried for war crimes), bengalees in Pakistan, and Biharis in Bangladesh would be repatriated C-5 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100030003-0 SECRET The South Asian Military Handbook GLOSSARY Performance Characteristics of Selected South Asian Military Equipment SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA RDP85T00875RO0110,0030003-0 +p~x