THE CRISIS USSR/CUBA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010031-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 13, 2004
• Sequence Number: 31
• Publication Date: October 30, 1962
• Content Type: MEMO

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
THE CRISIS
USSR/CUBA
Information as of 0600
30 October 1962
PREPARED FOR THE EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE
OF THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL.
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I. THE SITUATION IN CUBA
Photographic coverage of 29 October on Sagua La Grande
sites 1 and 2 and the Remedios site was poor in quality
and does not permit any judgments regarding the nature cf
A activity there. Yesterday's coverage of the San Cristo-
bal and Guanajay sites is not available for interpretation
as of 0700 EST.
Castro continues his effort to insinuate his own con-
ditions into the Kennedy-Khrushchev agreement.
Cuban exile organizations are despondent.
Castro insists that the US must meet his conditions
before he will be satisfied with the US assurance that it
will not invade Cuba.
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the Kennedy-
1 ev agreement has plunged mos of the Cuban exile
community into despair. According to one UPI dispatch, some
of the bore aggressive anti-Castro groups such as Alpha--66
and the Revolutionary Student Directorate have pledged that
they will renew their armed fight against Castro.
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The USS is also tryingfto tie the US' hands by suggest-
ing in its opaganda that/President Kennedy's commitment
not to invade Cuba includes putting a stop to anti-Castro
activities by "counterrevolutionaries."
viet Mur; ch.' i- a
SOVIET DIPLOMATIC MOVES
The USSR'is maneuvering to bring its agreement on with-
drawal of offensive missiles from Cuba into line with its
general disarmament stand. Soviet propaganda continues to
work on portrayal of the agreement as a successful Soviet
peace initiative, Ibut in Peiping political circles, accord-
ing to one Western press report, it is,descred as a "So-
Moscow's refusal to allow UN inspection of the actual
dismantling of the missiles appears to be at least in part
an'attempt to avoid setting a precedent which could be cited
in general disarmament negotiations. Soviet First Deputy
Foreign Minister Kuznetsov told U Thant in his first dis-
cussion with him on 29 October that a UN team can be sent
to verify the dismantling after the USSR informs the Secur-
ity Council that the process has been completed.
This fits with the standard Soviet position on inspec-
tion--that there will be no inspection of armaments, but
only of disarmament, and then only to verify that the dis-
armament has been completed.
Kuznetsov said the missiles were already being dis-
mantled in preparation for shipment. He did not say spe-
cifically how'long the process would take, but U Thant re-
ceived the impression it would not be more than "a week
or two."
Kuznetsov also made it clear that the Soviet govern-
ment would not permit UN teams to inspect incoming Soviet
ships to verify that they were not carrying offensive arms.
He noted that Moscow would accept such inspection by Red
Cross representatives.from neutral countries if they boarded
the Soviet freighters from other Soviet or neutral ships.
Kuznetsov offered no objections to a suggestion that inspec-
tion be carried out in Ctibanports, if the Cuban government
agreed.
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The central theme of Moscow's propaganda commentary
for the last 24 hours has been to portray Khrushchev's 28
October letter to the President as a new peace initiative
by the Soviet leader. Specific indications as to which
areas of international dispute may become the subject of
new Soviet initiatives for negotiations are lacking, how-
ever,
The USSR is still attempting to broaden the President's
commitment not to invade Cuba. Talk of the alleged anti-
Castro activities of Cuban "counterrevolutionaries" contin-
ues to appear in bloc broadcasts, with a Soviet commentator
asking whether President Kennedy, in permitting the "shady
maneuverings" of these counterrevolutionaries to continue,
is living up to his guarantee that Cuba will not be invaded.
Reaction from Peiping continues to be at variance with
the propaganda from Moscow and Eastern Europe. Peiping yes-
terday carried an extensive TASS item on Khrushchev's 27
October offer to swap missiles:in Cuba for US missiles in
Turkey, but has played down the final agreement. An NCNA
review of the October 30 Peiping press says that "top promi-
nence" is given to Castro's "important" statement of Sunday
upholding Cuba's independence and sovereignty. A Western
news agency in Peiping reports that news of Khrushchev's Oc-
tober 28 letter was received with "surprise and disapproval,
and that the highest political circles in Peiping are talk-
ing of a "Soviet Munich. "
SOVIET MILITARY STATUS
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