ASSESSMENT CENTER METHODOLOGY WITHIN THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
06158506
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RIPPUB
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U
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57
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October 29, 2024
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August 19, 2024
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F-2013-00715
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June 20, 1979
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Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 �� ASSESSMENT CENTER METHODOLOGY ; WITHIN THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 20 June 1979 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 TABLE OF CONTENTS SECTION PAGE I. Introduction 1 II. Origins of AC Methodology A. Traditional Selection Procedures 1 B. OSS Needs and Experiences 2 C. Principles of OSS AC Methodology 4 D. AC Methodology Today 6 III. Chronolog of AC Methodology in the Agency � � � 8 IV. Listing of Dimensions Identified and Measured 11 V. Commentary on Agency AC Activities to Date . . � � 13 �� VI. Criticality of Job Adhlysis to AC Validity. . . � � 17 VII. AC Activities of Other Federal Agencies 20 VIII. Extensions of AC Methodology 21 IX. Bases for the Growth of AC Applications 22 X. The Agency and Assessment Centers: An Overview A. Potential Uses 24 B. Present Situation 26 XI. The Future of Assessment Centers in the Agency . 31 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 MEMORANDUM FOR: Charles A. Bohrer, M.D. Director, Office of Medical Services FROM: Bernard L. Mooney, Ph.D. DCI Fellow Center for the Study of Intelligence SUBJECT: Assessment Center Methodology within the Central Intelligence Agency I. Introduction The comments which follow are an response to your request both for documentation of the recent history �f Assessment Center (AC) methodology within the Central Intelligence Agency as well as for first-hand perspectives on the implica- tions of the events cited in the.chronolog. The comments encompass:' a brief background on AC methodology; a synopsis of AC activities in the Agency; and perspectives on the past, present and possible future of AC methodology in the Agency. Origins of AC Methodology A. Traditional Selection Procedures Practical applications of the scientific study of individual differences (pioneered by the French psychometrician, Binet, within his nation's educational system) were quickly seized and improved upon by the United States Military at the onset of World War I. It was American know-how which built Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 upon this base and developed the Army's "Alpha" and "Beta" tests, so successfully used during World War I for scleeLing and placement of military volunteers and draftees. These beginnings led to tle Army General Classification Teqt (AGCT), the Armed Forces Qualification Test (AFQT) and finally, the Army Classification Battery (ACB). The tradi- tion of measurirg s3ng1e traits (learning ability, mechanical ability, etc.) was firmly engrained in the American personnel evaluation style and particularly within the American military tradition at the time of tbe outbreak.of World War II. Thus, it is not surprising that elements of thA traditioo influenced the Inittal pre-screening activities of the Office of Strategic Services (OSS). B. OSS Needs and Experiences In late 1943, with OSS hardly one year old, it had become painfully clear that the organization +acEd reJaLively unique selection problems ... the problems ui selecting individuals "best qualified" for assignments for which the specific demand; were either totally unknown ox weie ginvxatyd out of the fabrtc of arm-chair speculations. Tian, t)t these shakily defined job specifications into qualifications lists was not, at that time, handled either by professionals in the field of selection nor was there any uniform selection processing system in existence. Later, it was to be formally noted (OSS Assessment Staff, 1948) that during October, 1943, in a morning executive meeting with General Donovan, the idea 2 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 of forming a separate selection staff was proposed and was positively received by all the involved staffs (specifically, Recruiting, Planning and the Schools and Training Branch). Before the end of November 1943, the nucleus of an Assessment Staff was formed. (The linea] descendant of that Staff remains with the Agency today as the Psychological Services Staff, Office of Medical Services). Operation of the 3-day selection program began before the end of 1943 at the Schools and Training Branch site ... the former Willard family (owners of the Willard Hotel in Washington, D.C.) country estate-in-northern VirginAgt. referred to as Station "81. ("S" was synonymous for "Secret".) By war's enci; 5,391 candidates had been processed through Station "S" and Station "W" (the latter was a second selection base opened after Station "S" and which employed a 1-day selection program.) Not the least among the catalysts which pushed OSS into action in developing a systematized selection program was a "behind-the-lines" operation which not only failed in its objectives but also resulted in considerable loss of life to the "team" dispatched on the mission. Dr. Donald W. MacKinnon, a psychologist who joined the Assessment Staff dulinq its second month of operation (and who rose to Chief of the Station "S" Staff, remaining in that position to the end of the war), has indicated* that an adapted version of the (* personal conversation with Dr. MacKinnon, May 1974, West Point, New York, International Congress on Assessment Center Methodology) 3 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 unfortunate mission formed the basis of the plot to, tin , r movie "The Dirty Dozen." The sel tion of candidate. lot t this particularly disastrous OSS .eration singled out persons associated with Murder In4orporated. The rationale for selection was simply: "It taKes a dirty mtz t.a dirty job": (The operation involved behind-the lines. assassinations of high-ranking military officers. with failure of the operation and General Donovan's angry dis- covery of the selection criteria used in structuring the assigned team, the several staffs involved were provided cleaimeth td .pi.Oreisni.ialize and systematixe selection processing for the future. Unfortunately, the'iesolve forged out of the OSS experience was forgotten. Some 17 years later, the Agency found itself once more involved with the "Dirty Job--Dirty Man" equation--again with negative consequences fcr the Agency.* C. Principles of OSS AC Methodology The fact that the criterion data (the factual information abcut specific demands for each and e%.ery possible assignment/missionl were inaccessible coupled it1 .14 tect that, at time cf evaluation, no candidate wa,. untuf ,t....ideta- tion for a pre-determined assignment combined to reshape the thinking of the ASEeSSMent Staff regarding feasible approaches. The Staff concluder that their efforts would be best spent in (* "Alleged Assasination Plots Involving Foreign Leaders," Interim Report pf the Church Committee dated 20 November 1975, pages 74-86) 4 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 attempting: to describe the competencies of the individual candidate in ascomplete a manner as possible yet in terms of . dimensions of behavior having relevance to all possible assignments; and to place particular emphasis upon the assets of the individual candidate as these suggested potential for effective functioning under specified conditions. In its effort to describe the personality of the indi- vidual candidate as a totality, the Staff identified seven (7) major Factors or Variables and three (3) special Factors which were combined into the following General Qualifications 4 . List for all OSS men and women candidates: 1. Motivation for the Assignment 2. Energy and Initiative 3. Effective Intelligence 4. Emotional Stability 5. Social Relations 6. Leadership 7. Security (caution/discretion) 8. Physical Ability 9. Observing and Reporting Skills 10. Propaganda Skills With the Factors to be measured thus defined, the Staff set as its next task the development of assessment procedures designed to elicit the Factors chosen. Two constraints were applied in developing the assesment procedures and these represented a true breakthrough in the area of personnel evaluations. Further, these constraints have become the cornerstones for every successful Assessment Center Methodology in existence today. The first constraint was that each 5 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 factor would be meabured by several distinct assessment procedures. The second constraint was that each assessment procedure would be designed to sample the Factors under conditions as similar to the real-life criterion situation as possible (i.e., the use of simulations). An average ol six (6) differert simulations/tasks were used for each of the ten (10) Factors and these included individual as well as group tasks. (Psychometric test devices used along with the simulations wen. included in the average of six measures per Factor.) . � � , Scoring and analysis"-of psychometric measures proceeded along standard lines. Performances in the simulations were evaluated by trained observers (all professionals in the behavioral sciences), usually three in number. Integration of all the data gathered took place in an evaluation session attended by all observers after close of the 3-day evaluation program. After presentation of all observers' comments, consensus among observers was reached via application of a 6-point rating scal2 indicating the strength of earh ol the ten Factors in each individual case. Finally, the qamo 6- point scale was applied in defining an overall Factoi in each individual case which was referred to as "Job Fitness." D. AC Methodology Today After one abortive attempt to translate the OSS techniques into a practical tool for selection of sales 6 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 personnel within the structure of Macy's in 1948, nothing further was heard of the methodology until in 1956, Dr. Douglas W. Bray applied the techniques, at first in an experimental program, for identifying managerial potential among employees within AT&T. Dr. Bray saw particular utility in applications of the techniques to the problem of managerial selection because: in its initial stages the technique makes no assumptions about the "ideal" pattern of assets among managerial candidates; and, it permits observers to develop perspectives -about the ways in which candidates are likely to handle the problems of' new job.4emands (demands of management) by studying candidates' actual handling of realistic simulations of these "new" demands. It was perhaps for this latter reason that Dr. Bray saw AC methodology as particularly appropriate for individuals on the verge of moving into first line management positions. The AC metholology of Dr. Bray (in fact, of all AC activities today) has remained, point for point, true to the OSS prototype with but one exception. Today, the observers used during the operation of an AC are typically experienced, knowledgeable employees who are specifically trained in the observational techniques and operational procedures of their organization's AC. In AC's designed for identification of managerial potential, the observers are usually former incumbents of 7 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 the positions against which the candidates are beina measured ... former incumbents now one or two steps abot.e the position under study. The chronology which follows documents the efforts made in introducing the AT&T adapta- tion of AC Methodology to this agency. III. Chronolog of AC Methodology in the Agency TIME FRAME ACTIVITY A. 1968 B. 1968 C. 1974 D. 1974 E. 1974 (b)(3) PSS) (D)(3) attended a Seminar in which Dr. Bray (of AT&T) reported on his then current findings of AC results and performance of managers approaching mid-career with AT&T. and Mooney developed a series of AC tasks which were employed in the evaluation of on-board Carder Trainees. (Findings indicated the techniques were particularly useful in estimating "career stability.") The Behavioral and Social Sciences Committee of OMS was queried by the then DD/M&S: "What would you recommend as an approach to improving overall efficiency of Agency management function"? Using elements of a paper produced by Dr. Mooney ("Assessment Centers: Whys and Wherefores")(Attachment Dr. Tietjen (D/MS) proposed the concept of using AC's for identification of managerial potential. Cont1cts/br3efings with fl/OS (H. Obt )tx) and D/OL (J. Blake) regarding AC metho- dology ... no interest. Contact/briefing with D/OJCS (H. Fitzwater). Agreement reached on Management Develop- ment Center within OJCS focussed on potential for functioning as Branch Chief (GS-13 level) within Office. (DD/M&S, H. Brownman, actively supported D/OJCS in deciding to use AC). 8 (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 F. 1974 G. 1975 H. 1975 I. 1976 J. 1976 R. 1977 L. 1977 M. 1977 N. 1977 Contact/briefing with DDI (Dr. E. Proctor) and ADDI (P. Walsh) ... no interest. Two operations of OJCS Management Develop- (b)(3) ment Center. Observer/Managers trained; candidates evaluated with separate (b)(3) developmental profiles generated for each. Contact/briefing with Agreement reached on Assessment Center focussed on identification of potential for functioning within GS-12 level positions viz., Chief of Base, Chief of Operations and Chief of Engineering. Management Development Center of ODP (formerly OJCS) cancelled by D/ODP Reason for cancellation was negative impact on Office of drain of critical manpower resoucces needed to operate Center (bsIcal 3 Observer/Managers per Cenper). Mr. recommends DDA consider Directorate-wide for selection of managers. Two operations of OC AC. Observer/ Managers trained; candidates evaluated with separate evaluation reports produced for each. Contact/briefing of R Career Service Board (SST) on uses of AC's. Board recommends consideration of AC applications within FBIS. Contact/briefing of D/FBIS on possible use of AC's. Paper prepared and forwarded to rills detailing job analyses required before design of Center. (No response/reply was ever received from FBIS.) � 4 (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) Request from DD/OC for design (b)(3) of new AC focussed upon evaluation of poten- tial for functioning at GS-14 level under the so-called "Panel O. Request for design of multi-focus, Directorate- wide AC for use in DDA Upward Mobility Program ... Project AIM under DDA/EE00 (C. Jones). 9 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 (b)(3) O. 1977 Four operations of "Panel 0" Ceptvl. (b)(3) Observer/Managers trained; candi - dates evaluated with separate evaluation reports prepared for each. (b)(3) - P. 1.977 of Project AIM Center. rPour_7perations Observer/Managers trained; (b)(3) candidates evaluated with s epalat% vv.tlua- tion reports prepared for each. Q. 1976 Cancellation of GS-12 and GS-14 ("Panel 0") level Centers by OC. Reason for cancella- tion was negative impact on Office of drain of critical manpower resources needed to operate Centers (basically, 3 observer/ managers per Center). Discussion of possible Center for GS-09 trainees. No commatments. R. 1978 Two operations of Project AIM Centers. candidates evaluated with separate (b)(3) evaluation reports prepared, for each. S. 1979 One operation of Project AIM Center during May 1979; candidates evaluated with (b)(3) separate evaluation reports for each. Not detailed here are the regular presentations on the topic of AC Methodology offered by the undersigned to partici- pants in every runring of the OTR sponsored "Management Seminar" and "Senior Serrinar" from late 1975 through early 1978. No effective inquiries regarding AC Methodology ever emvx,:od from these didactic efforts so that they were terminated. i'thel formal didactic channels employed includc an .11 t It' :.� ' � 1..) by the undersigned which was published in the April 1911; edition of the DDA Exchange (Attachment B). At least as critical as a chronolog of Agency AC atilVltleS is a listing of what AC Methodology has uncovered regarding the behavioral dimensions determined to be critical for sur-eeqs across the range of positions studied and analyzed. 10 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 These dimensions are presented below in Section IV (with detailed definition of the dimensions provided in attachment C). IV. Listing of Dimensions Identified and Measured ODP (GS-13) OC (GS-12) OC (GS-14) PROJECT AIM DIMENSIONS DIMENSIONS DIMENSIONS DIMENSIONS A. AWARENESS OF (A.) DETAIL B. C. CLARITY OF ORAL COMMUNICATION D. CLARITY OF WRITTEN (D.) COMMUNICATION E. �REATIVITY F. DECISIVENESS G. DELEGATION (G.) CAREER AMBITION H. DEVELOPMENT OF SUBORDINATES I. EFFECTIVE COMMUNICATION J. ENERGY (J.) K. FACILITATES GROUP PROCESSES L. FLEXIBILITY M. FORESIGHT* N. IMPACT 0. INITIATIVE P. LEADERSHIP (P.) O. LISTENING ABILITY (*Dimension M., FORESIGHT: appears only in the ODP Center. Was later more appropriately labelled "PLANNING" ability and collapsed into X., PLANNING AND ORGANIZING.) 11 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 IV. Listing of Dimensions Identified and Measured (continue(1) ODP (GS-13) OC (GS-12) OC (GS-14) PROJLCT AIM DIMENSIONS DIMENSIONS DIMENSIONS DIMENSIONS R. MANAGEMENT CONTROL S. MOTIVATION FOR WORK T. ORGANIZATIONAL** ABILITY (as a manager) U. ORGANIZATIONAL** ABILITY (as a person) V. ..PERCEPTIVITY_AND (V.) (V.) SENSITIVITY (re- garding people) :1 W. PERSUASIVENESS X. PLANNING AND (X.) (X.) ORGANIZING Y. PROBLEM ANALYSIS AND JUDGMENT Z. RISK-TAKING AA. SOCIAL ADAPTABILITY BE. STRESS TOIERANCE (BB.) CC. TENACITY ("Dimensions T.&U., ORGANIZATIONAL ABILITY "as a manager/as a person" appear only in the ODP Center. Were later collapsed into the single dimension labelled "PLANNING AND ORGANIZING" ability ... referencing only the domain of managerial behaviors and characteristic!..) 12 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 V. Commentary on Agency AC Activities to Date Though not immediately obvious, there has been an evolution in AC design characteristics from the early ODP Center to the present. In the case of the OD? Center, the design of the Center was focussed upon behavioral dimensions identified as critical for success within one specific position title, namely the position of Branch Chief. The next Center (The CC GS-12 Center) was designed to sample behavioral dimensions identified as critical for success within three distinct but related positions (Chief of Base, Chief of Operations, Chief of Engineering). Next came the Project AIM Center designed to sample behavioral dimensions which, in varying combinations, were identified as critical for success across some eight or nine distinct and unrelated positions. Finally, the CC GS-14 Center was designed to sample behavioral dimensions identified as critical to success at senior managerial levels within the Office, regardless of position title. Common to all Centers has been the painstaking Job Analysis phase with subsequent identification and definition of behavior dimensions regarded as critical for success. In addition, every Center has retained the goal of presenting management with a reliable "profile" for each individual, describing each person's assets and deficiencies in terms which are relevant to the job(s) under consideration. Thus, no individual is presented as having "Passed" or "Failed" 13 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 the Center. Ea.:11 person is presented according to his(h(x unique pattern of capabilities apart from any real ox "cutoff score" 3ystem. In this fashion, AC's do not provide decision-makers wit n a cut-and-dried decision regardino the person. Rather AC's supply job relevant data organized in such a fashion as to permit better understanding of the employee in questiol as well as to permit comparisons among several employees on behavioral dimensions critical to success in the position under consideration. The evolution in the design of Agency Centers reflects the Impact of growing experience with the Meth4dology. In other words, the range of positions included within a Center increased both in scope as well as level following the principle of: "...proceeding from the better known to the less well known...." Each successive Center Design Phase used the behavioral dimension data of previous Centers for purifying and refining definitions of new dimensions. Proceeding in tlis fashion, Agency AC's avoided the pitfalls which have bese: other Centers namely, developing definxtions of behaviorcl dImer.lon: so broad in nature that any wrhot of performance tasks in a Center might be argued as suitable measurement teclniqaes. For example, with a dimension called LEADERSHIP defiled as: "effectively directs others," what is an adequate behavior sample? It may be sufficient to infer LEADERSHIP from the manner in which a person respond9 to 14 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 paper-and-pencil exercises such as the classic In-Basket Task or it may be sufficient to study the person's behavior in a group situation where he/she has the opportunity to influence the group. Perhaps both samples of behavior are necessary...and one type of behavior should be given greater weight than the other in arriving at an overall estimate of LEADERSHIP. A detailed job-analysis during the Center Design Phase can lead to a more precise definition of LEADERSHIP such as: is effective in getting his/her ideas accepted by others; is effective in guiding a group or an individual toward accomplishment of iveguired tasks." (This is the actual definition of the dimension of LEADERSHIP which emerged from the CC Center Design Phase.) In this instance, it is clear that the behaviors to be evaluated must be sampled in both a group as well as a one-to-one situation and must involve a focus upon a task assigned to the person which he/she accepts as a task to be accomplished. The behavioral dimensions thus far identified through the several Center job analysis phases, exhibit interesting communalities. For example, two of the dimensions (D., CLARITY OF WRITTEN COMMUNICATION and J., ENERGY) surface as critical across all positions analyzed. (If one combines dimensions M., T. and U. of the ODP Center into dimension X., PLANNING and ORGANIZING, there are actually three dimensions common to all positions analyzed.) 15 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Considering only the managerial positions studied, two dimensions emerge as common viz., G., DELEGATION and V., PERCEPTIVITY and SENSITIVITY. At the same time, behavioral dimensions unique to each Center have been identified. For the ODP Center: AWARENESS OF DETAIL, LISTENING ABILITY, PERSUASIVENESS AND TENACITY. For the OC (GS-12) Center: CREATIVITY, IMPACT and MANAGEMENT CONTROL. For the OC (GS-14) Center: DEVELOPMENT OF SUBORDINATES, INITIATIVE, PROBLEM ANALYSIS AND JUDGMENT and RISKTAKING. For the Project AIM Center: CAREER AMBITION, MOTIVATION FOR WORK and SOCIAL ADAPTABILfTY. Do the present 26 dimensions "capture" the essence of the behavioral dimenions underlying most Agency positions? Probably not: Job analysis data gathered in support of the OC (GS-14) Center suggested that several unique behavioral dimensions are associated with successful functioning within OC (GS-14) positions in the Overseas environment as Opposed to the Headquarters environment. (Unfortunately, the small numbers t.f respondents vis-a-vis the Overmed:. environment did no' permit reliable defInitIon o4 Iflo,t tol dimensions.) Thus, even with positions considered near-identical, distinctions between overseas and headquarters were aerom- panied by variations in behavioral demands. Furthermoxe, there exist critical contextual variations even within identically latelled dimensions when these dimensions are 16 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 applied to positions at different levels within an organization. For example, dimension D., CLARITY OF WRITTEN COMMUNICATION was both measured and evaluated for Project AIM candidates in a context considerably different from that for OC Center candidates or ODP candidates. In other words, even a "common" dimension may require AC methodologies unique to the job behavior context within which the dimension is being studied. Progress has been made toward the goal of developing a "catalog" of behavioral dimensions underlying Agency position titles but obviously much remains to be done. VI. Criticality of Job Arialysis to AC Validity, The foregoing Agency AC experience underlines the fact that identically named position titles cannot be assumed to represent ,identical behavioral demands upon incumbents unless and until behavioral job analyses actually establish similarity. Also, identically named behavioral dimensions cannot be assumed to be validly measured by one and the same AC performance task unless and until behavioral job analyses establish the similarity of job demands. Is it then impossible to-design an effective AC to measure potential for successful functioning in positions generically and simply defined as, for example, first line management or middle-management or executive level management? The answer is that it is not impossible provided only that one is committed to carry out the time-consuming, laborious 17 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 but necessary behivioral analysis of the demands of all positions to be included within the AC. "Arm-chair" analyses do not suffice. Beginninq In 1973, the Civil Service Commission in collaboration with the Office of Manxgement and Budget commissioned the deblyn of an AC to identify "executive-generalist potentialm(within the Federal Service) as an element for selection into the Federal Executive Development Program (FEDP) ... a program intended to faster development of executive potential among highly-promising Federal Employees at the GS-15 level. Dimensions of behavior to be measured were identified via "arm-chair" rather than empirical methodology. In all, 12 dimensions of behavior were determined to be critical for successful executive-level ,functioning within the Federal bureaucracy. Early published research findings underlined the fact that the FEDP AC findings did significantly influence the final decisions regarding acceptance into the program.* Recently published follow on research, however, reveals that only one of the "arm-chair" dimensions correlates .;i(nifiyantly with on-the-job ratings of performance assigned to thf selectees. In addition, it has been determined that / of the 12 dimensions originally measured in the FEDP Center actually represert two distinct types of on-the-job behaviors each for a tctal of 14 job-related behaviors. It is not (*"An Overview of the Federal Executive Development Program Ii Assessment Center," Civil Service Commission, August 1q76 (PR 261-705)) 18 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 surprising that none of these 7 FEDP Center measures have proved predictive of any of the 14 on-the-job performance ratings. Few, if any, of the FEDP Center tasks actually bore any similarity to the real-life, on-the-job performance tasks which the FEDP selectees now face. More will be added later (Section 9.) about the Job Analysis Phase of AC development. For now, it should be pointed out that job analysis is not a unique characteristic of the AC methodology. In point of fact, it should be a prelude to any attempt to employ behavioral measures (whether these be AC performancetasks or psychometric devices) to predict on-the-job performance. The job analisis data which do exist within the Agency are of the type generated by Position Management and Cowensation Division (PMCD) of the Office of Personnel. While PMCD data are of important use in projecting pay-scales against job responsibilities, the data are couched in such generalities that they cannot be used to support efforts such as AC task design. Thus, the overall perspective regarding adequate job analysis data (adequate for behavioral science use) within the Agency is hardly promising. A potential side-benefit of the year- long DCI Fellowship Project of the undersigned may be the opportunity to establish a base-line of behavioral data regarding managerial functions at the executive level within the Agency. Such a side-benefit would represent an important advance not just for AC methodology 19 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 but for all behavioral science efforts directed toward.. early identification of employee potential for operating effectively in positions beyond present incumbency levels. VII. TIME AC Activities of Other Federal Agencies FRAME ORGANIZATION TYPE(S) OF CENTER(S) A. 1969*. Internal Revenue Service Identification of potential for first-level Supervisor. B. 1973* Civil Service Commission & Office of Manage- ment and Budget Identification of executive- generalist potential for selection into the Federal Executive Development Program. C. 1973* Federal Aviation Administration Three separate Centers for identification of supervisory, middle-management and senior management potential. D. 1973* Social Security Center to select candidates for Administration 2-year Management Intern Program; Center to identify developmental needs of upper-middle managers who are enrolled in SSA's Executive Fellow Program. ' E. 1974* Housing and Urban Development Identification of potential for first-level supervisory positions. F. (?)* Department of Army A-succession of Center designs to identify leadership potential among commissioned officeis. G. 1977* redkral Bureau of Inv..stigation By regulation, all caneldateq for first-line ,3,..pe I V 11,01 411 evaluated in an A( de.;icinvd assess supervisory potential. Plans are underway for a second Center to identify potential for functioning at executive levels. (* Centers for identification of supervisory/managerial/execu- tive potential.) 20 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 VII. AC Activities of Other Federal Agencies (continued) TIME FRAME H. (?)** I. 1973** ORGANIZATION Department of Air Force Law Enforcement Assistance Administration J. 1975** Bureau of Engraving and Printing K. 1977** Equal Employment Opportunity:. Commission L. 1979** Department of State TYPE(S) OF CENTER(S) Center to identify scientist potential for contributing to the mission of an R&D Command. A series of Centers funded by LEAA for use by regional and local agencies in selection of sergeants, captains and detectives. Center for the selection of candidates in the Bureau's Upward Mobility Program. tenter for selection of candi- dates for specialized staff aesignments.% � Center (under development) for selection of candidates for Foreign Service Officer. The foregoing list is ndt to be considered inclusive of all AC activities of other Federal agencies. The list has been derived from a review of printed materials regarding AC's made available by the named agencies as well as from personal information obtained by the undersigned in contacts with private and federal groups. VIII. 'Extensions of AC Methodology Inasmuch as the core element of AC's is behavior known to be associated with successful performance within a defined realm of work activities, the extended applications of AC's (** Centers for identification of potential for specialist positions.) 21 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 have found great acceptance among certifying and licen..inu agencies. Today, there exist AC's for certifying competencieh within the field of Eddcation. (The State of Wisconsin will accept AC findings in lieu of grade transcripts for accrediting teachers within the State.) Within the State of New York, the State Psychological Association requires AC finding!. for purposes of licensing Psychologists for practice within the state. The American Psychological Association is presently evaluating the design of an AC which the Association hopes to use in awarding the "Diplomate" in Psychology ... a certification of professional excellence at the' National level. Exploratory efforts are underway by several medical and medical-related organizations regarding the utility of Centers for evaluating candidtes for licensing within certain medical specialties and within the general fields of pharmacology and nursing. IX. Bases for the Growth of AC Applications With the Ecual Employment Opportunity Commission (1E0C) proscriptions regarding the necessary characteristic.- 04 twlec- tion techniques, the simplicity of AC methodology et u o, appeal. Current EEOC criteria require "Content Validity" of the selection methodology. In other words, the behaviors measured by the selection processing techniques must be demonstrably sinilar in content to the behaviors demanded by the position for which the person is being considered. Since 22 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 all Centers are preceded by a job analysis phase dnd hIncv Center performance tasks include elements of actual job behaviors, AC's are, "de facto," in compliance with the EEOC - defined criteria. An incidental benefit of the close rela- tionship between actual job behaviors and AC performance demands is the aspect of "Face Validity." In other words, AC candidates, perceiving the obvious relationship between Center and job behaviors, tend to be both less resistant to as well as to be more positively oriented towards evaluation via AC methodology. Of great impbrtance are the EEOC criteria regarding possibilities of "adverseampact" associated with selection procedures. An exhaustive research effort conducted within the Michigan Bell Telephone System-of AT&T* has established that, when the Standards for 'Assessment Center Operations** are followed, there exists no evidence to support the conten- tion that AC results exhibit adverse impact vis-a-vis Black or Female Minority Group members. While presumption (grounded in past differential validity research) supports AC methodology as free of adverse impact, nevertheless, as the Standards indicate, it is incumbent upon .each Center user to maintain adequate documentation of the Center process. A unique characteristic of AC methodology, enjoyed by no other selection procedure is its inclusion in a consent (* "Determinants of Assessment Center Ratings for White and Black Females and the Relationship of these Dimensions to Sub- sequent Performance Effectiveness," Ph.D. Dissertation, Huck, James R., Wayne State University, 1974.) ("" "Applying the Assessment Center Method," Moses, J. L. and Byham, Wm. C., Pergamon Press, New York, 1977. Appendix p. 303 ff.) 23 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 agreement arrived at through the courts between the tick aNd AT&T in the early 1970s. As the result of a class at.tion suit brought agiinst AT&T in behalf of 1700 women emploiees, claiming discriminatory exclusion from managerial positions, AT&T was directed by the courts to design and operate Absess- ment Centers for these complainants in evaluating their potential for advancement to managerial level positions. While many other selection procedures struggle to establish evidence of "fairnessTM, Assessment Center methodology stands alone as the only court-ordered/EEOC approved selection procedure in the United ttates today. The EEOC has itself used AC Methodology in the selection of candidates for placement in its 22Iistrict Director positions. X. The Agency and Assessment Centers; An Overview A. Potential Uses The original promise of AC Methodology still holds. Introduced to the Agency as a technique particularly well- suited (though not limited) to the task of identilying managerial potential, AC's expand the range of activitios ot behavioral sclentirfts to include focus upon the tq, f'. nq and structure of management within the Agency. Lxp.1 nt; the role of behavioral scientists in the Agency at a time when human resources to support such expansion are limited is made feasible by the key operating characteristic:, of Centers. 24 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 In other words, while Center Methodology permits expansion of the behavioral scientists' roles in the Agency, it also promises to accomplish their current requirements in a more cost-effective manner. As one example, a well-designed Center staffed by Observers drawn from either or both the Career Training Staff and the D Career Service/Career Management Staff (under the monitorship of one Psychologist) when operating on a once a week basis, could essentially meet the annual DDO-applicant evaluation processing requirements for the Career Training Program. (A fully operational Center can be anticipated to extend the Psychologist's assessment ser- vices by a factor of 3 to 4.) Note the critical phrase "fully operational Center" in the last sentence above. Only the Project AIM Center has provided the opportunity to document the behavioral science man- power savings of Centers. In the May 1979 AIM Center operation, a well-trained non-psychologist selected and combined the task elements which constituted the Center, designed the center schedule, made all the necessary administrative arrangements for the Center, conducted a "refresher training" course for the Observers, directed the operation of the Center and conducted the post- Center Evaluation Session. Only because no specific training has been provided in the areas of Center Report Writing and Center Feedback to participants, these two tasks are currently handled by Psychologists. Given the opportunity to provide 25 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 training in these two task areas, it is anticipated the Project AIM CeLter may eventually operate under the dliec- tion of the non-psychologist Center Administrator with a Psychologist available to the Administrator on an as-needed, standby basis. The Psychologist, of course, retains the responsibility regarding continuing validation of the Center (as detailed in Attachment A., Page 9 ). AC Methodology is capable of both meeting (and perhaps even exceeding) current evaluation requirements while, simultaneously conserving behavioral science resources for investment/involvement in developing and offering new services in new areas within the � Agency. (For actual Center "costs," see Appendix 1:0). B. Present Situation In the instances of the Centers designed to identify Office-specific managerial potential, it has been Center- related manpower requirements which have formed the bases for Center can.7ellations. Both ODP and CC stated that the manpower drain (resulting from the use of high-level Office managers as Centex Observers) seriousl} hampered the operating efficiency of the tespective Ufftreb thu, tequirtn,. -aticvnatton of their Centers. (This has not proved a critical problem with the Project AIM Center since each Observer required is drawn from a separate DDA Office.) A direct solution in reducing the manpower drain was proposed to and rejected by 26 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 both ODP and OC during Summer, 1976 namely, Observer Teams. It was proposed that managers from both Offices be cross- trained in the two Centers and assigned in Teams to a given Center so that no single Office would have to "bear the brunt" of the Center manpower demands. (Though it was then too early in the OC Center design phase to consider, it later became apparent that some melding of the ODP and OC Centers might have proved feasible ... providing a single Center staffed by Observers from both Offices and dedicated to processing candidates from both Offices as co-participants.) Rejection of the Observer Teams idea rested upon the manage- ment conviction that Observers drawn from one Career Sub- group were not sufficiently knowledgeable to be able to produce valid and useful evaluations of candidates from another Career Subgroup. In addition, there was important concern over the implications of permitting Careerists from one Career Sub- group (as Center Observers) to make input to decisions affecting the treatment/handling of members of another Career Subgroup. The foregoing examples of inter-Career Subgroup stereo- typing as "not sufficiently knowledgeable about us and our operations" draws attention to a pragmatic basis for insisting that Observer manpower be derived from the 'consumer' components rather than from a behavioral scientist resource pool. 27 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Career Subgroups look to behavioral scientists for ":0-teonim" individuals and perceive themselveq as sole resource lot "assessing" individuals. Evaluations conducted by trained local managers Ere more likely to be accepted and actnd upon by the Office. However, when the attempt is made (through AC Methodology) to systematize and formalize the Subgroups' assessment activities and to give Subgroups direct control over and responsibility for assessment and its consequences, the responses of Subgroups are not characteristically enthusiastic. �Op �� These seemingly conflicted tendencies of subgroups to endorse sole control of their Centers and yet to insist that they cannot supply the requisite manpower can be better appreciated through considering the operating characteristics of Centers (specifically those Centers designed to foster career development and/or to assess potential for advance- ment to or withLn managerial ranks.) Unlike standard assessment activities and psychomntiic testing, Assessnent Centers are not a "one shot afiati" representing a data source coming Iron somewheie iht chain-of-command. A Center is very carefully implanted within the very heart of an organization's personnel manage- ment policies and practices. In order to merit continuance, 28 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 the Center must not only "feed into" the local personnel system ... it must also be "fed by" the same system. It is typically during the 'implantation' phase that the consumer Office comes face-to-face with short-falls in its local personnel management system. Concrete examples of such oshort-falls" have surfaced repeatedly even during the short history of Centers in the Agency. Faced with the decision whether to permit employees to "volunteer" for a Center or to require employees to be onominated� by supervisors, one consumer Office opted for supervisor nomination. It was quickly determined that supervisors had never been asked to evaluate employees in terms of their management pptential and hence there existed no standardized system for nominating candidates. In another instance, a consumer Office concluded that it would be highly desirable to "track"the progress of employees in their efforts to correct deficiencies surfaced by the Center evaluation. It was felt that important data regarding the individual's career ambition could be gathered by documentino what efforts the individual put forth to increase his/her overall readiness for advancement. However, no formal mechanism existed to accomplish this purpose. (It was proposed that specific goals regarding self-improvement could be included in the person's Letter-of-Instruction ... but the proposal was 29 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 rejected since mana.4ement felt the LOI should be liwttpd to "job-related activities".) Even more critical than the instances cited above was the situation where a consumer Office found itself unable to come to grips with the reality implications of the substandard performer in its Center ... the Center participant whose Center evaluation reveals major deficiences in all areas deemed cri- tical for advarcement. While the consumer Office agreed that such a participant was destined to advance no further in the Office" it quickly became apparent that the Office possessed .� no mechanism for dealing with the participant. for designing a program to maximize use of the participant's skills at his/her then current level or. if necessary, for assisting the participant to transfer to another area of the Agency where his/her present skills would be in demand. In essence then,. while operation of the Centers themselves do place important demands upon the manpower resources of the consumer Office, the total manpower impact of Centers In the Agency has ben tn point up additional needs in lora: personnel management systems. While it may be x( utit 01 e that ODP and 0C chose to cancel their Centers, yet at the same time, these were prudent decisions. Granted these Offices found it impolsible to support a personnel management system at their "locil" levels which would fully utilize the benefits 30 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 of a Center, far better that the Office cancel the Center than to maintain it as only a screening tool in promotion decisions. Though the ODP and OC Centers no longer are in operation, residual benefits remain for the consumer Offices. Each now possesses a small cadre of managers whose capacities for evaluating subordinates have (according to the testimony of the managers themselves) been altered and improved. Most importantly, the Offices now possess behaviorally-anchored descriptions/definitions of performance characteristics of successful managers (at given levels within their organiza- tions) which represent the consensus of Office-wide manage- ment. Such definitions, if regarded as criteria for advance- ment into or through managerial levels, can contribute much to the Offices in systematizing and expanding their perspectives in regard to the career potential of their employees. XI. The Future of Assessment Centers in the Agency Of the three Centers (one in ODP and two in OC) designed within the Agency as career management/development tools, none are in operation today. The explanations offered at time of cancellation by each of the Offices are identical " ... opera- tion of the Centers places a manpower requirement upon the Office which the Office cannot support while simultaneously maintaining its efficiency in accomplishing its stated missions and goals ...." It is quite accurate to say that 31 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 had the Offices restructured and expanded their respective personnel management systems so as to offer a "full service" system to their employees (while using Center results to the opt2mum), thr Officrs would indeed have been incapacitated by the manpower requirements of so doing. Though Offices strive to perpetuate their local practices and controls over employees in thcir human resource management systems, Offices are not adequately staffed to accomplish this effectively. In essence, the experience with AC Methodology in the Agency has brought into clear focus the cost of the "trade- offs" involved In the decentralized personnel management System. Only a strong, centralized system integrated with the style, needs and realities of line management is capable of supporting and fully utilizing AC Methodology to the greatest benefits of management, the employee and the Agency. While the term "personnel management system" has been used, the system referenced must not be defined in the restrictive sense of Office of Personnel functions alone. The centralized system describe .1 must also include resources for employee training an(. dceolot.,ent (also reaching jrAL the dc .1. � d Office of Training functions.) A system of the type described has been proposed ("The CIA Personnel Management System," NAPA Report dated 13 March 1979, pp. 91 ff.) which, at least conceptually, holds promise of avoiding the "shortfalls" of local personnel management systems (particularly the shortfalls in manpower resources.) 32 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 The foregoing reference to the NAPA Team Recommendations is not intended as a self-serving proposal to accomplish "implantation" of. AC Methodology in the Agency at any cost. It is, first, an observation that the type of system recommended by the NAPA Team regarding executive development answers the very problems which have proved the bane of existence/continuance of Centers in the Agency thus far. Second, it is an observation (based on experience of the under- signed) that AC Methodology provides a central focus for and a systematic approach to defining the essential elements of _ any effectiveApersonnelloanagementidevelopmeng prpgram. _ _ - % wy. Eyery Center consumer has come away from -the experience with a alearer appreciation for: what types of behaviors are demanded by.gpecific managerial positions; Wait the assets and deficiencies of the present pool of candidates for appointment to those positions are; what steps can be taken now (in a training/development mode) to bring the pool of candidates up to a level more compatible with present (and even future) behavioral demands of specific manaaerial posi- tions. These same benefit, can certainly stand on their own merits in the type of executive development program proposed by the NAPA Team. 33 _ Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Over and above this fact, since the executive development program would oe starting "de novo", the data collection mechanisms of AC Methodology represent an invaluable resource for continual monitoring and evaluation of the program. Bernard L. Mooney, Ph.0 20 June 1979 s � - 34 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 APPENDICES A. "Assessment Centers: Whys and Wherefores" (paper dated May, 1974). B. "More About Assessment Centers" (DDA Exchange article dated April, 1978). C. Behavioral Definitions of Agency Assessment Center Dimensions D. Recorded Costs for Office of Communication � Panel "0" Assessment Center (Fall, 1977). Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 APPENDIX A Paper Entitled: "Assessment Centers: Whys and Wherefores" May 1974 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 What is an Assessment Center? It is a set of procedures, rather than a place...a set of procedures developed jointly by management and behavioral science which are applied by management in identifying managerial potential among employees. Originating within OSS for evaluation of intelligence operations potential, the original concept has been expanded and developed for in- dustrial/business applications, largely through the efforts of psychologists (Drs. Bray and Grant) employed by American Telephone and Telegraph within the Bell System subdivision. Beginning as early as 1956, Bray and Grant, working alongside Bell managers, devised a series of situational, job-related problems which were presented to candidates for advancement into or within the Bell managerial structure. Systematic observations of the candidates' behaviors in the face of these job-related problems were recorded and evaluated as to their efficiency, originality and utility. These behavioral evaluations or ratings have since been studied against the criterion of the given candidates progress through the pro- -motional structure of the Bell System. Reports of the initial findings regarding the success of Assessment Center procedures in predicting future managerial � success did not appear in professional literature until Bray and Grant had followed the first Assessment Center candidates Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 for about 10 years (first formal report of findings appeared in 1966). The exchange of ideas among behavioral scientists engaged in industrial/business psychology, of course, far antedated the Bell System Management Progress report of 1966. At the present time, for example, organizations such as Sohio, Sears, Penneys and IBM, all have developed and operate their own "custom-tailored" Assessment Centers. Conservative estimates suggest that since 1956, over 100,000 persons have been processed through Assessment Centers designed specifically for identification of managerial ability. (These numbers do not include persons processed through Centers designed to: (a) identify creative abilities; (b) identify sales potential; (c) identify candidates for advanced ("war college") military training by foreign governments. Likewise, these figures do not include the numbers of "on-board" and "applicant" Career 1 Trainees processed through the Psychological Services Staff's (PSS's) assessment center designed to point up: (a) career directions; (b) long range potential. Bow does the Assessment Center work? It may be helpful to comment first on a comparison of Assessment Center procedures with traditional behavioral science (psychological) assessment procedures. First, the Assessment Center approach places the candidate into a problem situation in which he must act (behave) so as to Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 handle same. Unlike traditional procedures, Assebt.ment Center procedures ar3 of exceptionally wide bandwidth i.e., the range of behaviors possible far outstrip the more narrow bandwidth procedures demanding either sole]Ar speed or general intelligence or verbal facility or eye-hand coordination, etc. The candidate is placed in a position which demands he display more global samples of his behavior than do traditional techniques. Next, the Assessment Center procedures are developed by behavioral scientists so as to simulate job-situat3ons defined as "stumbling blocks" or "stepping-stones" to managerial success by successful managers within the organization concerned. In other words, after close consultation with management, behavioral scientists design situational tasks which parallel those both "par for the course" and guaranteed to "test the mettle" of managers in the organization. In essence, the Assessment Center tasks are miniature life situations faced by the organization's managers in their day-to-day operations. In this sense, the Assessment Center procedures are akin to the training techniques for commercial airlines pilots...you put the candidate pilot in a realistic but simulated situation (where his worst per- formance costs neither lives nor a multimillion-dollar aircraft) in order to determine the reasonabldness of advancing him to the real-life situation. Finally, many of the traditional evaluation techniques are constrained by the need to identify THE RIGHT ANSWER from among THE WRONG ANSWERS in order to generate a quantifiable score. -3- Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 In the Assessment center approach, attempts to resolve the problem situation are not matched against a "school solution" ...the candidate's attempts may be judged to range from highly successful to highly unsuccessful...providing a clearly more detailed description of the candidate's performance than the simple "Right" vs "Wrong" dichotomy. In this same vein, it should be noted that descriptions of Assessment Center candidates expand rather than constrict the range of possible dispositions of the candidates. Given a representative number of job-related tasks, it is the rare candidate who comes through the Center as either 100% or 0%. Candidates come through identified as to specific strengths and deficiencies. Thus it is that the Assessment Center, properly used by an organization, does not proceed to replace or convert to "rubber stamps", the organization's ongoing mechanisms for advancement of employees. Instead, the Assess- ment Center provides such mechanisms (viz, promotion panels) with an additional, vital source of data to assist in decision- making. Why use an Assessment Center? The most obvious reason is that the Assessment Center works: The less obvious reason is that, given the research support necessary to document the validity and utility of the Center in any given organization, the highest levels of management are constantly up-to-date vis-a-vis the make-up of the managerial � -4- Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 character of the group; are alerted to sources for new input; and are in a position to input new elements to the managerial structure in the face of projected requirements and demands for the future. la epsence, the Center offers highest levels of management, the capability for prediction and direction of the character and style of the organization. Lest the foregoing sound overly optimistic, let's look at the "box-score" for the Assessment Center approach. One way of checking the box-score is to ask whether the Center offers advantages over previous procedures. The answer is YES in the range of magnitude from 10% to 30% improvement in successful prediction of who will "make it" and "how far" in the organization. Next, in a unique sort of arrangement set up by Drs. Bray and Grant in the Bell System, conclusions from the Center can be held back from management. Later, Center predicted success can be compared with actual success in the organization. The time elapsed in the Bell System study (from Assessment Center to roughly ten years performance in the organization) draws focus on Center predictions regarding capacity to reach "middle- management" positions. Here, the box-score shows that of can- didates described by the Center as having middle-management potential, 2 out of 3 did realize their potential. Of all those described by the Center as deficient in such potential, only 1 out of 3 wexe actually advanced to middle-management positions. -5- Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 What of those studies wherein Assessment Center results are directly communicated to management? One of the better,. more recent and representative studies in this area has come out of IBM. Using 1016 employees, considered reasonable candidates for advancement into managerial positions in the time period 1965 to 1970, IBM used the following summary rating of managerial potential to describe Assessment Center findings: Rated Level Description 1 Executive Potential 2 High Level Potential 3 Second Line Potential 4 First Line Potential Remain Non-Management Of all candidates (1086) processed by the IBM Center, the following Rated Levels were assigned: Rated Level Percentage (of 1086) 1 4% 2 16% 3 24% 4 28%* 5 � (*Over 50% of all candidates were rated as incapable of pro- gressing beyond first line management...a fact having impli- cations for preselection of Center candidates to be discussed under the "When" section.) -6- Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Granted that the foregoing ratings were availdhle to management, it should not be surprising that the di.cl!,Ions about promotion to First-Line (First-Level) manag e:heflt WOre the following ' Rated Level PercentLge Fronoted- to First-Lint 1 87% 2 48% 3 42% 4 29% 5 24% There is a suggestion in the above data of the "Crown Prince Effect' i.e., if you are rated high by the Center, your future in the organization is guaranteed. Further data re- garding promotions after this initial promotion into management has been secured and looks like this: Rated Level Percentage Promoted Beyond First-Line M,Ipagement 1 34% 2 32% 3 27% 4 13% 5 7% Thus, after .irst Line promotion, later promotions tend to "level off' for the three highest Assessment Center ratings. It would appear that while later promotions are less influenced by the "halo effect" of earlier Center ratings and more determined by factors such as actual on-the-job performance, nonetheless, -7- Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 1. those identified by the Center as having higher potential actually do perform at higher levels than lower rated candidates. What about the "kiss-of-death" effect i.e., if a person receives a low Assessment Center rating, is he doomed? The following figures on separations among the Center candidates by IBM seems to answer this question: Rated Level Percentage of Separations Among Candidates 1 0% 2 2% 3 3% 4 3% 5 2% Obviously, separations are evenly spread across all cate- gories. (Note that given the small number of candidates rated at Level 1p the loss of even one person would be equal to 2% of the group!) Thus low ratings do not unreasonably prejudice the candidates career. Remember that Bray and Grant found that, after about 10 years, management had promoted to given levels 33% of those people rated by the Center as incapable of ad- vancing to those given levels. (Note that Bray and Grant used only the first Center prediction of ten years earlier, unrefined by data regarding training received and skills required.) The suggestion in the last two tables combined is somewhat e � intriguing i.e., the Assessment Center appears more appropriate in identifying the "comers" as opposed to branding the "losers". -8- Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Other findings of Bray and Grant further support this possibili- ty in that CeirLer predictions of success in sales acti%ities matched indepeldently obtained field ratings 100%. Center pre- dictions of failure in sales matched field ratings only 10t. Who operates the Assessment Center? Since the Assessment Center is a set of procedure!, designed conjointly by behavioral scientists and managers, applied by managers in evaluating...etc., the Center clearly is operated by the management of the organization for whom the Center is designed. In other words, after the job-related situational tasks are designed, experienced managers in the given organiza- tion are selected for training as assessors (observers, raters) in the Center. The preferred training technique is to permit the managers to deal with the same situational tasks the future candidates are to face. In this fashion, assessors both are made aware of the special demands of the tasks and also assist in "debugging" the design of the tasks selected. The behavioral scientist continues to contribute to the Center in three basic areas: (1) he contributes psychometric data responsive to highly specific questions about candidates; (2) he is available for consultation regarding unusual problems of behavior observed or observation of behavior; (3) he main- tains current validity data regarding Center findings and "on- the-job" performance. -9- Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 When is the Assessment Center used? This is a critical question bearing on the overall utility (cost-effectiveness) of the Center. Obviously the Center cannot accept all employees in the organization. Some career- development critical point should be identified e.g. the level in the organization regarded as First Line/Level management. Having identified this critical point, the next question is whether inclusion in the Center processing is to be automatic or at the individual's option. Where conduct the Assessment Center? This last point, while seemingly simple-minded, is hardly so. Candidates tend to be more spontaneous and less inclined to pursue rigid, "school solution" behaviors when they are removed from institutional surroundings. Most importantly, managers operating as assessors, tend to set aside assessor tasks when "day-to-day" office concerns are pushed upon them i.e., in institutional surroundings, they are too easily distracted from Center activities by phone-calls, "urgent" memos, and the like. Consequently, "isolated" and/or "protected" surroundings are both desirable and necessary for efficient operation of the Center. 064.4"-4'd& BERNARD L. Psychologist Msy � 197h -10- Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 APPENDIX B Paper Entitled: "More About Assessment Centers" DDA EXCHANGE April 1978 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 � _ IP medical services MORE ABOUT ASSESSMENT CENTERS Bernard 1. Mooney, Ph D.. OMS In the October issue of ODA Exchange, reference %vas made to Asseswint Centers and Assessment Center methodology In two separate articles One article described Um use of the Ascessment Center technique as one specifically designed to study an indivi- dual's potential for responding to the do- minds of managerial positions. while the other described the technique as one de- signed 10 study an Individual's potential tor responding to the demands of Project AIM positions none of which %lordly involved niniiiinerlal responsibilities 'I his mild%) may help to ciailly for some readers these seemingly c onti nclIcloi y desci lotions of As- SOCSM011t C011t01 methodology. The got minni notion of the Center. pio- � neered by the Assessment Shill of OSS (the � i sai . -C -. .4 r progenitor of today's Psychological Services Staff-OMS) placed the primary emphasis upon the design of simulations of real-life tasks .. simulations reflecting the key as- pects of performance situations that OSS candidates might eventually be required to handle in the held 1 hrough observation of candidates as they faced these simulations. Assessors-Observers attempted to generate dynamic descriptions of the candidates in an effort to support accurate prediction of "most likely" Individual behaviors in future real-life performance situations. Very early in the development of Center methodology, it became clear that unless there actually are observable behaviors rather consistently as- sociated with both successlul as well as unsuccessful performance In real-life situa- tions. then design of a Center is an impossi- ble task. Granted valid behavioral criteria of success vs 1.111WO performance (typically defined by means of consensus among "expoits" regal ding the performance stud- ied), the Center methodology can be ex- tended to emetically any moo of poi form- (ince-work. . ; glow. .1 I - \ i , - - Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 - Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 � 1 � " Milk� Curren'ty. Centers are being used to evaluate potential for performance In sales, In teeline:al a ea. and In entrepreneurial activities, the pi ogress of AB degree candi- dates preluding the award of bona lido undergraiunte credits for successful per- formance in Ilw Center), the qualilications of applicants for licensure as Psychologist, the potential of uniformed police for advance- ment to he pc .1ition of Detective., and so the lest goes .cently. the American Psycho- logical Association has funded a feasibility Study to explore the utility of Centers in evaluating Psychologists for award of nation- ally accepted i.ertilication of excellence Oho so-callec Diplornate) across 4-5 professional specialties. The valicaly of Centers Is a matter no longempen to critical debate The utility of Centel s (the overall cost effectiveness) Is. however, a miller which must be carelully considered by potential consumers Unfortu- nately, most consumers seldom possess data acequate to the task of evaluating Center utilities While a small number of 41. � � orb %owe consumers do have Information req.ddlno the dollar:. and cent , I of operateui Vick standard milli mon ....lecher) syatems, ol most none arc. able to cite data regal ding the predictive validity of their prewnt sys loins (how accurately theyC an predict mu: likely !Wive performance). the cos to the consumer ol making a � bad ' selechoi decision, the value to the cot...timer making a "good 'del v.ion, and, most imam Lanny. adequate and pragmatic definitions c "bad" and "good' dec isions. I c � "success and "failure" In the real-life situation While the question of Center utility I problematic, the mut Ii is clear . Centel enjoy their greate.,1 utility when they ai u;ed as a aunt* mem to the consumer extant selection mechanisms The mo effective Centers are those designed I measure solely thow elements of pe form:ince potential which are not dressed-inewarreif by the consumer's pm cid evaluation-elcction sy..tem Commit' In the article in the October ismie abo. using the Center to replace a system whit � vei IP � - � IT Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 �� APPENDIX C Behavioral Definitions of Agency Assessment Center Dimensions Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 BEHAVIORAL DEFINITIONS OF AGENCY ASSESSMENT CENTER DIMENSIONS DIMENSION BEHAVIORAL DEFINITION A. AWARENESS OF DETAIL B. CAREER AMBITION C. CLARITY OF ORAL COMMUNICATION D. CLARITY OF WRITTEN COMMUNICATION E. CREATIVITY F. DECISIVENESS G. DELEGATION in problem situations, carefully considers all relevant facts; does not overlook important though often minute details of the problem. clearly expresses desire to move to higher job levels; demonstrates active efforts towards self-develop- ment and self-improvement. oral communication is concise and to the point"; style is characterized by proper grammar, pronunciation and articulation; body language emphasizes rather than distracts from communication. expresses written ideas clearly; shows a mastery of the mechanics of English, e.g., grammar, syntax, spelling and punctuation. shows the capacity to generate as well as to recognize and accept imaginative solutions and innovative courses of actions in approaches to problem situations. shows the readiness to make decisions, to render judgments, to take action or to commit self; is able to recognize those situations where decision delays will be damaging vs. those where no urgency exists. assigns responsibilities effectively to subordinates; clearly understands the levels (organizational) at which given decisions are most effectively made; gives adequate directions to others and provides sufficient guidance when delegating. Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 DIMENSION BEHAVIORAL DEFlNlTIo% H. DEVELOPMENT OF SUBORDINATES I. EFFECTIVE COMMUNICATIM J. ENERGY K. FACILITA1ES CROUP PROCESSES L. FLEXIBILlTY M. FORESIGH" exerts effort to maximize human potential of subordinates through training and development asniqnments related to both current ac well as future jobs. keeps peers and subordinates and superiors informed of plans and activities; avoid conflicts, "snafu's" and needless duplication of effort by both sharing and seeking out information. achieves and maintains a high level of involvement in work activities; level of involvement is matched by level of output on a continuing rather than sporadic basis. in problem-solving situations when working with a group, deals with others in such a way that group efforts remain directed upon the problem rather against each other. in problem situations, when given management approaches or behavioral styles prove ineffective, is able to modify and vary approach and/or style in order to attain stated goals. - characteristically thinks several Steps beyond present problems; tries to anticipate impact both of problem resolution and side- effects of problem-solvinq techniques to be used; tends to include the future in addressing problems of the present. (This Dimension later melded with PLANNING under Dimension X, PLANNING AND ORGANIZING ... see below.) ii Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 DIMENSION BEHAVIORAL DEFINITION N. IMPACT 0. INITIATIVE P. LEADERSHIP Q. LISTENING ABILITY R. MANAGEMENT CONTROL is able to create a good "first impression" which endures; shows an air of confidence through basic interpersonal style; almost auto- matically and apparently effort- lessly, commands attention and respect. actively influences situations and events rather than passively accepting them; takes actions beyond those obviously and necessarily called for; is proactive rather than merely reactive. is effective in winning acceptance for plans and ideas from individuals and groups; is effective in guiding and directing individuals and groups towards efficient accomplishment of goals; is able to stimulate others to greater efforts and higher levels of attainment. is able to grasp and retain key ele- ments of ideas presented by others; conveys a sincere interest so that others make special efforts to present their ideas; on occasion, is able to perceive new relationships or con- cepts "buried" among ideas presented by others. understands the principles of control mechanisms over tasks, processes, products and people; institutes and maintains effective control mechanisms; makes provisions for follow-up of actions decided upon. Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 DIMENSION BEHAVIORAL DEFINIlloN S. MOTIVATION expresses strong desires to achieve FOR WORK in the area of work respoiv,ibalities; personal satisfactions involve primarily accomplishments attained in the area of work. T. ORGANIZATIONAL ABILITY (as a Manager) is knowledgeable about availability of resources; is knowledgeable about the capabilities of resources; brings together optimum combination of resources for effectively attacking problems or accomplishing assigned tasks. (This Dimension later melded with Dimension X., PLANNING AND ORGANIZING ... see below.) U. ORGANIZATIONAL shows a clear understanding of work- ABILITY (as an unit demands of tasks assigned; tends Employee) to restructure tasks so as to use personal assets most effectively; estimates time requirements of tasks with accuracy; persona] scheduling of activities makes optimum use of time. (This Dimension later melded with Dimension X., PLANNING AND ORGANIZING ... see below.) V. PERCEPTIVITY AND SENSITIVITY W. PERSUASIVENESS X. PLANNING AND ORGANIZING accurately perceives the needs which motivate others; reactions to others reflects awareness of and respect for needs of others; shows understanding of the impact oneself has on others. is able to present own ideas and proposals in such a manner that most other persons react to them in a positive, accepting fashion. effectively identifies key elements in problems or tasks to be accomplished; quickly establishes meaningful priorities among these key elements; effectively establishes course of action for oneself and for others; makes reality-based assignments of personnel and committment of resources in accomplishing specific goals within time constraints. Iv Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506 DIMENSION BEHAVIORAL DEFINITION Y. PROBLEM ANALYSIS AND JUDGMENT Z. RISK TAKING AA. SOCIAL ADAPTABILITY BB. STRESS TOLERANCE CC. TENACITY shows skills in identifying and defining problems; secures problem- relevant information and logically isolates probable problem sources; is able to evaluate direct and indirect effects of courses of action; is able to generate several alter- native approaches to problems. shows awareness of both positive and negative consequences of alter- native courses of action; to maximize gain, may take actions where losses can be sustained but has carefully calculated likelihood of loss beforehand; does not require 100% guarantee of success before taking action. is able to maintain effectiveness across a wide range of social situa- tions and work-group combinations; responds to differing social styles by altering personal style. whether operating under time, personal, social or situational pressures, main- tains a stable, effective level of performance. shows the capability to stay with a problem, pursue a line of reasoning or remain focussed on a task (which is within the reasonable capabilities of the person) until the matter is settled. Approved for Release: 2024/08/05 C06158506