WEEKLY SUMMARY GUINEA: GUERRILLA LEADER,

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06954162
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: July 13, 2023
• Document Release Date: November 7, 2022
• Case Number: F-2018-01460
• Publication Date: February 9, 1973

Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954162
oi_larL I
Secret
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
WEEKLY SUMMARY
9 February 1973
No. 0356/73
Copy N9 43
bLCHL I
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954162
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954162
C.;
The WEEKLY SUMMARY, issued eveni,Friday morning by
the Office of Current Intelligence, reports and analyzes signif-
icant developments of the week through noon' on Thuriday.
It frequently includes material coordinated with or prepared
by the Office of Economic Research, the Office .of Strategic
Research, and the Directorate of Science and Technology.
Topics requiring more comprehensive treatment and there-
fore published separately asl Special RePorts are listed in the
contents.
(b)(3)
CONTENTS (9 February 1973)
EUROPE
FAR EAST
1 Cease-Fire in Vietnam
2 Cambodia: No Peace
3 Laos: Racing the Deadline
4 USSR: Polyansky Demoted;
Winterkill
7 European Talks
9 USSR-Syria: More Aid
10 USSR: Middle East Consultations
10 Monetary Developments
11 Ireland: To the Hustings
12 France-UK: Supersonic Setback
13 China: Pushing the Pill
13 Korea: Recognition Game
MIDDLE EAST
AFRICA
WESTERN
HEMISPHERE
SPECIAL
REPORTS
15 Israel: Far from Agreement
16 Egypt: Dissent Disallowed
17 Rhodesia-Zambia: Smith Yields
18 Guinea: Guerrilla Leader
18 India: Food Outlook
19 Cyprus: Makarios
20 India: A Stronger Army
21 Bangladesh: Election Campaign
22 Uruguay: Generals Restless
22 Dominican Republic: Invaders
23 Venezuela: Oil Meeting
24 Bolivia: Divide and Control
24 Chile: Something for Everyone
25 Panama: Respectability
26 Cuba: Purge in Prospect
(Published separately)
A Japan's Southeast Asian Dilemma
B Venezuela Looks Toward the Caribbean
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954162
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954162
btlAlt.
' iKaunda's stand will be costly for Zambia!:
ILusaka's foreign minister told the US ambassador
that the initial cost of required trucks and cargo
handling facilities will approach $40 million; im-
ports will cost at least $30 million more a year
than beforeltrhese expenditures will have to be
� financed largely from Zambia's foreign exchange
reserves, which were slightly less than $150 mil-
lion at the end of January.;
)Part of the drain on foreign exchange hold-
ings could be alleviated by emergency fiscal meas-
ures. The minister of finance, for example, is
proposing increased tax rates on personal income
. and imported luxury goods.) I,These proposals
,) / would hit hardest at high-income earners, many
islander; and it was a dispute between the mulatto
Cape Verdians and black Africans from the main-
land that apparently lay behind Cabral's killing.
Pereira also is identified with the slain leader's�
cautious military approach, a policy reportedly
criticized by rebel military commanders.)
(-7L. ['The new leaders, who have made no men-
tion of when the independent government prom-
ised by Cabral will be established, are under pres-
sure from their African supporters to forge ahead.
Luiz Cabral, Amilcar's half-brother, did say under
questioning by the press that the rebel national
assembly elected late last year would meet inside
Portuguese Guinea sometime before April. Under
of whom are expatriates needed to operate Zam- the original formula, announced by the rebels in
bia's copper mines. Kaunda may have to with-t!'6 early Janu.ary, the assembly was to set up a gov-
draw or at least reduce the tax hikes if he is nototjernment.)he new leadership probably will not
to lose the services of skilled foreign workers. /alter drastically Amilcar Cabral's political plan,
Even with the anticipated increase in revenue;' but the disarray caused by his murder could stall
Zambia's budgetary deficit is forecast at almost the actual creation of a non-exile government.]
$200 million for 1973, with no allow
made for new development programs.
GUINEA: GUERRILLA LEADER NAMED
'Aristide Pereira, one of two top lieutenants
of the slain insurgent leader, Amilcar Cabral, was
named on 2 February to assume leadership of the
African Party for the Independence of Portuguese
Guinea and the Cape Verde Islands. Pereira is to '
serve until the movement's top decision-making:Ip
council can meet, possibly in March or April.
Appointment of Pereira, who reportedly was kid-
naped and tortured by Cabral's fleeing assassins,
will lend an appearance of continuity' )The selec-
tion of a new leader will also help l5olster the
movement's image, which was damaged when
Toure was seen to take over direction of the rebel
organization in the days immediately following
Cabral's death on 20 January. In actuality, Toure
remains the dominant behind-the-scenes figure.)
/ per ei r a may prove only a caretaker figure,,i
,
h wever. Like Cabral, Pereira is a Cape Verde
Page 18
-----:??:- 'Meanwhile, Toure's investigation into the
killing ha nrodured few announcements and may
end soon.
INDIA: FOOD OUTLOOK DARKENS
- 'A major part of western India is facing wors-
enin6 food and water shortages as the drought
now covers areas where about one third of India's
570 million people live. In some regions, little
rain has fallen for three years, and conditions in
these regions are more serious than in the
1965-66 period, when drought forced India to
import 18 million tons of grain over a two-year
period. No significant relief is in sight until at
least May-June, when spring crops start to reach
the markets and the monsoon rains begin.1
15 INew Delhi's hopes for a 15-million ton in-
crease in foodgrains in the April-June harvest,
7 compared with the same crop last year, have been
dashed. The US agricultural attache in New Delhi
SECRET
WEEKLY SUMMARY
9 Feb 73
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954162