LINCOLN VIEWS RE GUATEMALA SITUATION

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02021165
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: July 13, 2023
• Document Release Date: August 31, 2022
• Case Number: F-2019-01230
• Publication Date: June 21, 1954

Approved for Release: 2022/07/19 CO2021165
CLASS1400 MESSAGE
ROUTING
CALLIGERIS BUT HE HAS ,ALSO'
ARE PITIFULLY SMALL.
CO REGIME PLANNING SOON
-7
SENTING A si
Li
DATE : 21 JUNE 54
--S-E-G-R-E-T
1
4
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2
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5
5
6
TO
FROM
ACTION:
INFO :
DIRECTOR
LINCOLN
WH (PBS)(1-3)
WH (4)0 DCI (5), 0/001 (6), DD/P (L)(7), SA/PC/DCI (8)
LINO44131 LIN 2oacy1)�
TO: DIR
RYBAT PBSUCCESS
CITE
0648Z 21 JUN 54 OPERATIONAL IMMEDIATE
peel:tette/
CITE: SLING
1. FEEL MAY BE USEFUL TO PROVIDE OUR GENERAL VIEWS;
A. CONFLICT STILL IN TWO PARTS, FIRST, STRICT MILITARY
CALLIGERIS PHASE, SECOND, HOPE OF ARMY DEFECTION PROMPTED BY
HIGH LEVEL TAKE OVER FROM REGIME.
B.
CHOSEN TO PER
S'YET2WHOLLY
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T T �u oilpp
FORE HAVE BEEN TAKEN WITHOUTSHOT. SOME VOLUNTEERS HAVE JOINED
,RED spmE DEFECTIONS SO HIS FORCES
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TO START ACTIVE OPPOSITION WITH
r4N.
IFICANT MOIV1EN
No
07) EGIME HAS
TOWNS THERE-
S PHASE.
CALLIGERIS VICTORY WHICH CAN ONLY OCCUR WITH AUTHORIZED AIR
ACTION PLUS POOR OPPOSITION OR FAILURE TO DEFEND PROVE GREAT IN-
CENTIVE BOTH TO CALLIGERIS FORCES AND FOR DEFECTION AND INTERNAL
RESISTANCE SUPPORT, CHANCES OF SUCCESS ARE HOWEVER SLIGHT CON-
SIDERING SMALL ATTACKING FORCES PLUS PREPARED DEFENSES.
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IT I FORBIDDEN TO MAKE A COPY OF THIS MESSAGE Copy No.
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NEO
21 JUNE 54
LINO 4131 ( IN 20201)
PAGE
SECRET
D. MEANWH I LE NO EV I DENCE OF ARMY TAKE OVER IN CAPITAL
HAS APPEARED THOUGH THERE 15 STILL CIRCUMSTANTIAL EVIDENCE THAT
ARMY IS SPLIT AND NOT SOLIDLY BEHIND REGIME.
E. ASSUMING EITHER VICTORY OR DEFEAT AT HANK WITHOUT
SUBSTANTIAL ARMY DEFECTION OR TAKE OVER WE WILL BE FACED WITH
THE NECESSITY OP PROVIDING CALL I GER IS WITH ALL POSSIBLE SUPPORT.
2. IN LIGHT ABOVE WE BEL 1 EVE
A. MUST BE I N POSITION GIVE ALL POSSIBLE SUPPORT
MILITARY ACTION NOT ONLY TO AID ITS SUCCESS BUT TO PROVE TO ARMY
THAT A FOE OF SOME POWER IS INVOLVED. THIS INCLUDES THE AUTHORITY
TO GIVE SUCH AIR SUPPORT AS THE MILITARY REQUIREMENTS DEMAND.
B. MAKE AIR STRIKES AGAINST IMPORTANT TARGETS SUCH AS
SIBILITIES
AS RAIL : BRID St MP HAYE: AL PURPOSE OF :\
WEAKENING OP 44 ,f ,'',kELI,,, ti, 1341641 0 THE POOOF
ALLEGEDLY R E11: A( Y- ES AL I 6 AND ARMY
r .
3, TO EXTENT THerTWSBUR ERR MY IS TAKEN BY CA LL I GER I S
POSSIBILITY OF CONTROL 646 A10., 4 417S ipplEAsEs AND LANDING ARMS
OR TAKING OFF FOR M I SS i'aNS THOUGH som,e,:ymppl 14F-71k-FugmAp Ty DUE
LACK FUEL 0 AT.E7R1, ELtrETCtCANil OCCet,
A. 1) 6140.6S I btc: A STRICTLY MILITARY TYPE SITUATION HAS
MATERIALIZED AND IT MUST BE TREATED AS SUCH OR COMPLETE DEFEAT
ACCEPTED. WE URGE FORMER AND REQUEST AUTHORITY ON A BROAD RATHER
SECRET
POL STORAGE AT ADAM AND BOND AS WE
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"Of
�1400
SECA ET
21 JUNE 54
LINO 4231 (IN 20201)
Ft1GE -3.
THANPIECEMEAL BASIS TO TAKE ACTIONS SET FORTH IN PARAS 2 A AND B
ABOVE AS SITUATION REQUIRES. SUCH AUTHORITY MAY NOT ACHIEVE
SUCCESS BUT LACK OF SAME IN OUR OPINION WILL PROBABLY MEAN TOTAL
DEFEAT IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. THIS CONCLUSION HM' BEEN FORCED QN US
BY REFUSAL TO DATE OF ARMY Td ACT AGAINST REGIIE.
5. ABOVE REQUEST NOT BASED ON FEELING THAT LINO VIEWS
DIFFER FROM THOSE OF HQS BUT ON INEVITABLE TIME LAGS RESULTING
FROM COMMUNICATIONS. REVERSALS ONCE THEY BEGIN WILL ONLY BE
PREVENTED IF AT ALL BY QUICKEST POSSIBLE COUNTER ACTION.
END OF MESSAGE
CABLE SECRETARIAT COMMENT: MR. ESTERLINE, WHI, NOTIFIED OF
SECRET
Approved for Release: 2022/07/19 CO2021165