THE BAATHIST REGIMES IN SYRIA AND IRAQ

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03151803
Release Decision: 
RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
March 9, 2023
Document Release Date: 
January 5, 2021
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
F-2017-00022
Publication Date: 
September 27, 1963
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon THE BAATHIST REGIMES IN S[15669765].pdf548.31 KB
Body: 
SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Skid THE BAATHIST REGIMES IN SYRIA AND IRAQ pproved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 GROUP I Excluded from automatic downgrading and declassification Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECT- 'NG THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECTIONS 793 AND 794, THE TRANSIVITS- ION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. lySSEMINATION CONTROLS This document MUST NOT BE RELEASED TO FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS. If marked with specific dissemination controls in accordance with the provisions of DCID 1/7, the document must be handled within the framework of the limitation so imposed. Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 -4.00 -SreREZ 27 September 1963 THE BAATHIST REGIMES IN SYRIA AND IRAQ The Baath Party's seizure of power in Iraq and Syria last February and March appears to have drastically transformed the struggle for Arab unity. Nasir's primacy now has been challenged by a well-organized power group located in the center of the Arab world, and his moves to counter it have thus far made little headway. At the same time, some of the Baath's strengths and weaknesses have been revealed to the Arab public, as well as to the party itself, especially the gap between Baathist theory and practice. Certain significant differences in internal policy, moreover, have developed between regimes in Syria and Iraq. Never- theless these two countries now are more closely entwined than at any time since the Ottoman Turkish period. Differences With Nasirism Baathism might be termed "Nasirism without Nasir," al- though the Baath party antedated Nasir's rise to power by ten years. Both stand for Arab unity, "Arab socialism," and the elim- ination of Western influence from the Arab world. Nasirism stresses the positive role of religion while Baathism's empha- sis is strictly secular,. but both advocate a secular state and "republicanism." Their quarrel arises over the question of whether Nasir will share leader- ship of the Arab unity movement with the Baath. Nasirism envisages a unity movement led by one man--Nasir-- whose charismatic qualities will spur the Arab masses to overthrow their feudal rulers and bring their countries under his leader- ship. Nasir has stated that the army rather than the party is the revolutionary vanguard. The Baath, on the other hand, is the only non-Communist international Arab political party with an ideological basis. It has long expounded on the virtues of democratic government, and does not depend on a single dynamic leader. Its founder, Michel Aflaq, is a theoretician who expounds his theories in writing and -whose halting speech lacks the fervor to whip up Arab masses. Heavily influenced by Marxist philosophy, Aflaq has taken a page from the Communist book and organized the Baath along Com- munist lines in cells and with a supreme international council directing the various national branches in the Arab countries. Although holding no official position in either Syria or Iraq, he maintains influence throughout the Middle East by virtue of his acknowledged lead- ership of the international Baath. 1 SEC-REX Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 The Iraqi Experience The Iraqi coup of 8 Febru- ary brought to power a small and closely knit group of young, inexperienced and ambitious men. Several members of the new gov- ernment had shared cells in Qasim's jails, and similar ex- periences of this nature ap- parently has given the party leadership a sense of cohesion and of collective identity. Suspicious and inbred, the party leaders moved quickly to consoli- date their hold on the state. The regime immediately threw its full weight against its only organized opposition, the Communist Party. The swift and harsh measures taken appear to have crippled the party in Iraq. Its cell network has been disrupted,its leaders have been jailed, and party activity has largely ceased. An attempted coup on 3 July organized by Communist elements was easily crushed and led to a new spate of arrests and to a series of swift executions. Sporadic ar- rests continue. As a consequence, relations between Baghdad and Moscow sharply deteriorated until August, when the regime apparently concluded that it had moved so far from the Soviet camp as to open itself to the charge--serious in the Arab world--that it had abandoned neutralism. Talks in Moscow and Baghdad quickly led to the resump- tion of interrupted Soviet arms shipments, and propaganda attacks on both sides fell off sharply, although Moscow still maintains 2 AFLAQ_ a drumf ire of clandestine broad- casts castigating the regime. The Baath government last June moved against the rebellious Kurds in northern Iraq in an offensive which has been far more ruthless and far more successful than any under Qasim. In con- trast to the campaigns under Qasim, the war as the Baathist regime has conducted it is gener- ally popular both in the army and in the Arab south, where Arab nationalist attitudes pre- vail. Deployment of larger numbers of troops, greater tac- tical flexibility, and the use of Kurdish irregulars who oppose Kurdish rebel leader Barzani-- and who have in fact borne the brunt of the fighting�have al- lowed the army to drive to with- in a few miles of the Turkish border. The regime appears to be- lieve that indiscriminate bomb- ing, weight of numbers, and the 31E-GREZ_ Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 'Nair Nor" SECRET_ army's overwhelming firepower will eventually sap Kurdish morale and cause a breakup of Barzani's fighting tribal coali- tion, as occurred in previous Kurdish rebellions in Iraq. Al- though Kurdish morale is far lower than during the fighting against Qasim, there have been no major defections from the rebel forces thus far, and Bar- zani has managed to keep the bulk of his fighting force thus far intact. Suppression of Opponents In dealing with its other domestic opponents the regime in Iraq has shown some of the ruth- lessness of its moves against the Communists and the Kurds, and also considerable deviousness. It has continued to mouth the slogans of democracy and broad Arab nationalism that Baath theory calls for, but in fact its main concern has been the protec- tion of its power base. Politi- cal activity other than that of the Baath itself in effect has been banned and newspapers are tightly controlled by the regime. In power the party has con- tinued to employ some of the techniques of a conspiratorial group. To protect itself from opposition penetration, it took in no new members for several months after the coup. At the same time it has effectively and thoroughly penetrated virtually all opposition parties and groups and carefully monitors their activities. These parties are themselves small, weak, and for the most part clients of Egyptian intelligence--a fact which the Baath has exploited. In late May it announced it had uncovered a "foreign plot" and used the occasion to remove from office the only pro-Egyptian in the cabinet and to arrest a number of prominent anti-Baath politi- cians, some of whom it later released. Thus far there have been no executions of non-Com- munist opposition elements. The regime is also making an attempt to weed out opposition elements from the government machinery--in particular the Ministry of Interior--and from the army, replacing them with trusted Baath Party members. However, many non-Baathists still hold responsible positions, particularly in the army, and the rumors of coup planning that have been endemic in Baghdad for several months are probably in part an attempt by the regime to smoke out plotters. The Baath has also created a paramilitary national board as a partial counterweight to the army and to serve as a party security force. In addition, Baath offi- cials who are army officers appear to give primary allegiance to the party rather than to the military. At the same time, the re- gime has appointed several nonparty technicians to impor- tant posts and has attempted to recruit "independent" Arab nationalists unaffiliated with the opposition parties into the government. In this it has had little success, for those whom the regime approaches recognize 3 3T-e-RE-T Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 3E-cRE-T__ that effective executive power remains exclusively in the hands of the Baath party. In an attempt to overcome this objection, the government has proposed the estab- lishment of an "advisory coun- cil" of prominent figures having some of the functions of a legis- lature but little real power. This idea has yet to be imple- mented. Baghdad's Economic Policy The Baath's advocacy of socialism, and statements by Deputy Premier Saadi shortly after the February coup,gave rise to fears of rapid wide- scale nationalization and a consequent further stagnation in business activity. However, the regime has made no move in this direction and has in fact made a number of gestures of reassurance to the merchant community--a class which Baath theory regards as the "natural enemy of the revolution." As a result of these ges- tures and of army successes against the Kurds, business activity has markedly improved in the last two months. In the field of agrarian reform-- which bogged in chaos during most of the Qasim era--the government has thus far made little or no progress, while moves toward a resolution of the Iraqi quarrel with the oil com- panies appear to have petered out. Apparently the regime plans to demonstrate that it has the capacity for survival before it attempts to implement Baath social and economic theory into practice. 4 Baghdad and Arab Unity In dealing with the question of Arab unity--a cardinal aim of Baath theory--the regime has used a more subtle approach. The talks which the Baath initi- ated last April in Cairo to bring Egypt, Iraq, and Syria into a new United Arab Republic were in form a public demonstration of the party's sincerity on this issue, while in substance they were an attempt to secure from Nasir terms that would allow the Baath to retain its power base in Syria and Iraq. There is no indication that the party actually expected Nasir to acquiesce to these terms, and its subsequent actions in this field have been not more determined moves to implement unity, but rather a series of maneuvers designed to saddle Nasir with responsibility for the stillbirth of the tri- partite unity idea. In this maneuvering the party has shown itself far more adroit than any previous oppo- nent of Nasir. Throughout this period Iraqi relations with Egypt have remained correct, if not cordial. Nasir has appeared to be reluctant to engage in a head-on confrontation with Iraq, where pro-Egyptian sentiment is far less strong than in Syria, although he has maintained clan- destine contact with anti-Baath groups plotting against the re- gime. Baath Role in Syria In Syria, on the other hand, the Baathist regime has been under almost constant pressure by --SreRE.z Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Awe Ns, 3'rc-RF.x pro-Nasir elements since shortly after its seizure of power on 8 March. The Syrian coup was a new demonstration of Baath strength in the Arab world, but the Syrian leaders, more ex- perienced but more faction-ridden than those in Iraq, as well as subject to far greater Nasirist pressures, were less securely in power. Subsequent moves to- ward unity, undertaken by Iraq in concert with Syria, have been designed to reduce Nasirist pressure on Syria and to maintain the Baath in power there. In early April while a Syrian delegation was in Cairo conducting unity negotiations, the Egyptians made direct propa- ganda attacks on the Damascus regime and instigated violent demonstrations. The Baath strongly resisted these pressures and crushed a pro-Nasir coup attempt in mid-July. Partly as a consequence of this steady pressure and the existence of a considerable pro- Nasir following in Syria, the regime has resorted to harsh internal security practices and has deviated widely from its past publicly proclaimed policies. Once having seized control, the Baathist leadership instituted an unprecedented and sweeping purge not only of Nasir sympathiz- ers in the army and civil serv- ice, but of old-line political civil servants as well. Appar- ently, Syrian Baathist leaders believe that their social revolu- tionary goals cannot be suitably carried out by executives who lack Baathist sympathies. The Syrian regime has jailed many opponents, and executed over a score. This willingness to execute opponents when it is in power distinguishes the Baath from Syria's traditional politicians. The Syrian Baath, like the party in Iraq, has carried out , its policy of opposition to Nasir with some skill. While main- taining an outwardly conciliatory posture toward him, it has method- ically undercut his bases of support through purges of the government administration, the press, and other pro-NaSir group- ings. As in Iraq, the party created a National Guard as a force directly subject to its will. Conservative forces have been removed from the political scene. Attitude Toward Communists Syrian Communists--deci- mated during Nasir's rule--have been little molested by the Baathist regime, probably not so much out of consideration for the Soviet Union as for their strong anti-Nasir attitude. However, there has been no repeti- tion of Baathist-Communist cooperation so prevalent before the union with Egypt. Should the Baath feel that the Commu- nists were becoming a menace there is little doubt that they would be as ruthlessly suppressed as the country's pro-Nasir eleMent-- and as they have been in Iraq. Syrian relations with the Soviet bloc took a turn for thp worse after the Baath seized -75E6RET__ Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 -SEGELEZ1 power, but never have reached the depths that Iraqi-Soviet relations did at the start of the campaign against the Kurds. Soviet support of Syria in the UN in early September against Israeli charges have in fact raised Soviet popularity in Damascus considerably. A Syrian economic-military delegation is in Moscow now, apparently negotiating new agreements. Internal Differences Although the Baath is a civilian political party, its base of power in Syria--as is the case with Nasir's Egypt-- is the army. The regime's ruling body, the National Revolu- tionary Command Council (NRCC) includes both civilians and military men. When the Baath came into power last March, the Syrian Army was as faction- alized as it had been in the past--conservatives, pro- Nasirists, Baathists, and non- political officers all were vying for control. Since then purges have left the Baath dominant, even though a considerable residue of pro-Nasir officers and noncoms remains. Within the NRCC, reports indicate that there is disagree- ment on a number of basic issues, notably over the amount of socialization to be carried out. The present army strongman, Gen. Amin al-Hafiz, is believed to lead a pragmatic group which in- sists on no compromise with Nasir and a de-emphasizing of the math's social theories. The party's secretary general Nur al-DinAtasi sides with Hafiz. The doctrinaire Baathists under the leadership of Prime Minister Bitar--supported by Col. Umran, who controls the key 70th Armored Brigade--are said to favor full implementation of Baathist theory. The position of the party's international leader, Michel Aflaq, is not known, but may be presumed to lie with Sitar, who is his long-time colleague. So far, it appears that disagree- ments have been confined within the ruling body. Despite the disagreements, Baathist socialist doctrine has been carried out to a considerable degree. Socialist measures were speedily instituted partly to ward off possible criticisms from Cairo, as well as to gain a measure of pop- ular support within Syria. The regime has nationalized all banks, reimposed and extended existing agrarian reform laws, and imposed foreign trade controls--largely because of a shortage of foreign exchange. The state may yet take -3-reREz. HAFIZ Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 003151803 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 SreR-EX over direction of foreign trade and much internal com- merce, and possibly nation- alize Syria's few industries not previously taken over, especially the large cotton textile industry centered in Aleppo. Baathist control of the press is tight--no anti- regime papers are allowed. The Goal of Unity As the idea of unity with Egypt has faded, there have been indications that Syria and Iraq might move toward bilateral union. Iraq placed its air force and part of its army under Syrian command in a propaganda gesture of sup- port during the recent Syrian- Israeli border crisis, and the communiqu4 issued after Iraqi President Arif's visit to Syria during August discussed closer economic relations between the two countries and of a joint military com- mand. However, the two regimes have moved in this direction with great circumspection; while economic relations be- tween them might become closer, the two governments have thus far been reluctant to fling down the gauntlet that joint military command or true political union would represent to Egyptian inter- est. In the fields of party activity--both in Syria and Iraq and in clandestine ac- tivity in Jordan and North Africa--and of intelligence and countersubversion the two regimes work in closest concert. The Baath's successes in Iraq and Syria have greatly BITAR heartened its sympathizers in the other Arab states and have alarmed rulers in these countries. King Husayn felt it necessary to place Jorda- nian party leaders under pre- ventative arrest. Libyan authorities have expressed alarm at Baathist penetration of the government--although there is no evidence that such fears are warranted. Several Yemenis in important official positions are reported to be Baathists, a fact which causes the Egyptians considerable distress. Syrian and Iraqi students in Egypt were expelled recently, and the Baath has threatened to carry its struggle to Nasir's homeland. The longer the party remains in power, the more it will become a rallying point for young nationalists throughout the Arab world. Recognizing this, Nasir has moved to create a counter party--a united Arab nation- alist movement--to give his adherents outside Egypt organizational strength. This maneuver has made almost no headway thus far. (SECRET) -31.1GRET 7 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803 -.1460 r4REz Approved for Release: 2019/06/25 C03151803