SOUTH AFRICA: WORKING TO PRESERVE REGIONAL DOMINANCE

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06825808
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: March 9, 2023
• Document Release Date: November 13, 2020
• Case Number: F-2018-01308
• Publication Date: May 24, 1988

Approved for Release: 2020/10/29 C06825808
Director of
Central
Intelligence
4
a
National Intelligonce Daily
Tuesday
24 May 1988
1103111111111111111111111
TCS 2821/88 COPY 15:3E2
CPAS NID 88-121JX
WS 2821/88
24 May 1988
Approved for Release: 2020/10/29 C06825808
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Contents
South Africa: Working To Preserve Regio lel Dominance
-T-ap-Oecret-
TCS 2821/88
24 May 1988
2
Approved for Release: 2020/10/29 C06825808
 Approved for Release: 2020/10/29 C06825808
op Secret
SOUTH AFRICA: Working To Preserve Regional Domino ce
South Africa's latest carrot-and-stick 100roaches to Its
neighbors are yielding mixed results
A combination of military pressure and e
has improved relations with Mozambique
delegation will be in Maputo tomorrow tc
Security Commission, suspended by Mai
revelations that Pretoria had violated the
continuing to aid RENAMO rebels. Despi
however, Pretoria remains concerned ab
Mozambique, while Maputo continues to
supporting RENAMO and for incidents st.
month that seriously wounded a white Al
South Africa's relations with Botswana a
deteriorated in recent months. Pretoria's
increasingly threatening following a spat(
South Africa in April and the recent disc(
brouoht SA-7 missiles into South Africa.
;onomic inducements
. A senior South African
reconvene the Joint
uto in 1985 following
Nkomati accord by
e the thaw in relations,
aut ANC infiltration through
criticize South Africa for
:h as a car pomb attack last
IC member
id Zimbabwe have
rhetoric has become
of ANC bombings in
very that the ANC has
Despite tie increased tensions, .
however, South Africa has recently imprc ved its channels of
communication�includina ministerial-lei el contacts�with both
Harare and Gaborone
Comment: Simultaneous use of diplomat c maneuver, economic
inducement, and military pressure to den onstrate regional
dominance remains a cornerstone of Sot th Africa's foreign policy.
Foreign Ministry officials undoubtedly an pleased by recent
successes with Mozambique and�to a k sser extent�with the
Improved contact with Zimbabwe and litc swana. Security issues
continue to take precedence, however, a id Pretoria will not hesitate
to attack ANC targets in neighboring stet as�such as Zimbabwe and
Botswana�when they are believed to tui n a blind eye to ANC use
of their territory. The discovery that the / NC has SA-7 missiles
significantly increases the likelihood of a ;ross-border attack�
Loerhaos before South African Republic C ay on 31 May
;
2
ICS 282 2821/88
24 May 1988
Approved for Release: 2020/10/29 C06825808