MOZAMBIQUE: RENAMO ASSERTING STRENGTH IN SOUTH

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06862565
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: March 9, 2023
• Document Release Date: November 13, 2020
• Case Number: F-2018-01308
• Publication Date: November 22, 1988

Approved for Release: 2020/10/29 C06862565
Directa
Central
Intelligence
Toni Seeret-
National Intelligence Daily
Tuesday
22 November 1988
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ICS, 2972/88 COPY 52
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. fiap-Seeret-
CPAS MD 88-272JX
TCS 2972/88
22 November 1988
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Contents
Mozambique: RENAMO Asserting Strength in South
Tap -Secret
TCS 2972/88
22 November 1988
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Selected RENAMO Incidents in Maputo Province, October and November 1988
Lake V Lake
pangweulu
Lake
Kariba
B tswana
APUTO
azilana
top-Sestet
'ICS 2972/88
22 November 1988
Tanzania
Mozambique
Channel
1 Italian economic project attacked,
21 and 26 October
Italian Corumana Dam project
attacked, 8-9 November
2 Powerline damaged, 28 October,
3 and 15 November
3 Train derailed by mine, 30 October
4 Railway hit, 2 November
Railway bridge severely damaged,
2 or 3 November
Pessane railway station attacked,
10 November
5 Railway attacked, 2 October
0 150 Kilometers
o I
150 Miles
715001 (A05253)11.55
Approved for Release: 2020/10/29 C06862565
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MOZAMBIQUE: RENAMO Asserting Strength in South
RENAMO guerrillas in recent weeks have disrupted Maputo's
electricity supply three times, attacked rail lines and roads serving the
capital, and raided several economic projects in the region
Mozambique's government-influenced media
speculate that some components of South Africa's security and
armed services are trying to derail improving relations between
Maputo and Pretoria by supplying the guerrillas despite President
Botha's pledge in September that South Africa does not provide
RENAMO with "positive support."
Mozambican President Chissano has hoped that South African
assistance to RENAMO would taper off or cease as a result of his
meeting with Botha in September
Comment: RENAMO appears to be reasserting itself after the
Botha-Chissano summit by attacking high-profile targets near the
capital. Maputo almost certainly overestimated Botha's ability or
willingness to control the insurgents and underestimated RENAMO.
The insurgents are increasingly self-sufficient and probably able to
continue operations without outside assistance. Hardliners in Maputo
will attribute the surge in guerrilla action to continued South African
support and may Increase their pressure on Chissano to slow the
pace of the rapprochement with Pretoria. But Chissano is not likely to
change course quickly because his policy toward South Africa has led
to increased economic cooperation
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TCS 2972/88
22 November 1988
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Approved for Release: 2020/10/29 C06862565